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CNBC Daily Open: Focus turns to key inflation data
  + stars: | 2024-03-28 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Photographer: Christopher Dilts/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Xi on China tech progressChinese President Xi Jinping told Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte that no force can stop China's tech advance. Separately, Xi also told U.S. executives that bilateral ties can have a "brighter future" and vowed to improve the business environment. The next few days could prove crucial in diverting trade away from the port, logistics executives told CNBC, after a container ship collided into the Francis Scott Key Bridge early Tuesday.
Persons: Christopher Dilts, Topix, Xi, Xi Jinping, Mark Rutte, Janet Yellen, Yellen, Francis Scott Key, David Neuhauser Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, Nikkei, U.S ., CSI, Dow, Nasdaq, Dutch, Xinhua News Agency, U.S, Treasury, Francis Scott Key Bridge, Livermore Partners Locations: Chicago , Illinois, Japan, Seng, China, Beijing, U.S, Baltimore, Port of Baltimore
US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warns that China's big industrial-production push could destabilize the global economy. China's growing clean energy industry has oversupplied markets with cheap solar panels and EVs, she said in prepared comments that will be delivered on Wednesday. "It is important to the president and me that American firms and workers can compete on a level playing field," Yellen said in speech text released by the Treasury. Sign up for our newsletter to get the latest on the culture & business of sustainability — delivered weekly to your inbox. "Challenges for individual firms can lead to concentrated supply chains, negatively impacting global economic resilience."
Persons: Janet Yellen, Yellen Organizations: Treasury, Service, New York Times, Business Locations: China, Norcross , Georgia
"China's overcapacity distorts global prices and production patterns and hurts American firms and workers, as well as firms and workers around the world." China has a surplus of solar power, electric vehicles and lithium-ion batteries that it can ship out to other countries at cheaper prices. Yellen said she intends to put pressure on Chinese officials about these trade practices during her upcoming visit to China. Meanwhile, China has been pouring billions into clean energy for years, outpacing the rest of the world in the energy transition. Yellen added that the more China's clean energy glut interferes with global market prices, the worse off supply chains for these energy sectors will be.
Persons: Janet Yellen, Yellen, Biden Organizations: Treasury, Financial Services, General Government, Rayburn House, White House, Biden Administration, Embassy Locations: Washington , DC, China, U.S, Georgia, Washington
The International Energy Agency, a Paris-based intergovernmental group, notes that in 2023 China accounted for around 60% of global electric car sales. Yellen's remarks are to be delivered Wednesday afternoon at Suniva — a solar cell manufacturing facility in Norcross, Ga. It is reopening, in part, because of incentives provided by the Democrats' Inflation Reduction Act, which provides tax incentives for green energy manufacturing. The European Union, also concerned about the potential threat to its auto industry, launched its own investigation into Chinese subsides for electric vehicles last year. “In the past, in industries like steel and aluminum, Chinese government support led to substantial overinvestment and excess capacity that Chinese firms looked to export abroad at depressed prices,” Yellen said.
Persons: Janet Yellen, China's, ” Yellen, , Xi Jinping, Xi Organizations: WASHINGTON, , International Energy Agency, Treasury, Democrats, China, Trade Organization, U.S, Chinese Commerce Ministry, European Union, , Communist Party Locations: China, Georgia, Paris, Norcross , Ga, U.S, Beijing
Provisions of the TCJA — a landmark tax law proposed by the Trump administration and passed by Congress in 2017 — that are set to expire in 2025 include the child tax credit. An additional "other dependent credit" offers a tax credit of $500 to people with less than $400,000 in income who have qualified dependents who are ineligible for the child tax credit. Biden's budget will restore the expanded child tax credit, the White House has said. "Would you agree that if the TCJA child tax credit provisions are not extended, this would also result in a tax hike for Americans making under $400,000?" The budget would impose a minimum 25% tax rate on the unrealized income of the very wealthiest households and raise the IRA's corporate alternative minimum tax for billion-dollar companies from 15% to 21%, while increasing the larger corporate tax rate to 28%.
Persons: Janet Yellen, Joe Biden's, Biden, Sen, Steve Daines, Yellen, Daines, Trump, Mike Crapo, pare Organizations: Treasury, Capitol, WASHINGTON —, Congress, White, Child Tax, Rescue, National Conference of State Legislatures, . Census, House Republicans, Lawmakers, Department of Homeland Security Locations: Washington , U.S, Idaho
That's not to say predictions of a commercial real estate rebound are a sure bet. Here are four signs that support Gray's prediction that the commercial real estate market may be bottoming. (New York Community Bank had previously purchased $2.7 billion in Signature's loans and deposits, but not the real estate loans.) According to David Seifert, partner at private equity real estate firm Velocis, there are some sweet deals to be had in secondary sales of private-equity funds tied to real estate. The road aheadWhere Gray sees signs of bottoming, others think commercial real estate has much further to fall.
Persons: Warren Buffett, Buffett, Paul Getty, Getty, Steve Mnuchin —, Blackstone, Mnuchin, Donald Trump's, George Soros, John Paulson, It's, Jonathan Gray, Jim Garman, That's, Barry Sternlicht, Gray, Tracy Chen, Chen, BGO, secondaries There's, Ares, Brian King, King, David Seifert, Seifert, Velocis, Goldman Sachs, Dan McNamara, McNamara, Scott Rechler, wallop, Janet Yellen, Rechler, there's Organizations: Business, Goldman, Reuters, Starwood, Brandywine Global, Federal Reserve, . Bank, New York Community Bank, FDIC, Signature Bank, Community Bank, Fund Management, Community Preservation, New, Commercial Observer, Blackstone, Homes, Digital Realty, Polpo, RXR Locations: Blackstone, , New York, New York, BREIT, Real, Velocis
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on Wednesday lauded President Joe Biden's investment in electric vehicles for accelerating the sector, even as the industry cools off from its yearslong hot streak. Yellen touted Biden's EV actions in Kentucky at a new $49 million EV battery factory built by Advanced Nano Products, a battery supplier that will receive tax credits from Biden's Inflation Reduction Act for the new clean energy facility. "It's part of a boom in EV-related investments in Kentucky," Yellen said. "The Biden Administration's policies and federal funds are fueling private sector investments." The secretary's EV bullishness comes as the private sector tempers its mood on all-electric vehicles.
Persons: Janet Yellen, Joe Biden's, Yellen, Biden, optimistically Organizations: Treasury, Financial, Washington , D.C, EV, Nano Products, bullishness, CNBC, Ford, General Motors, IRA Locations: Washington ,, Kentucky, EVs, Michigan
Key takeaways from the latest jobs report
  + stars: | 2024-03-08 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
“The economy remains strong, held up by a robust labor market,” wrote Christopher Rupkey, chief economist with FwdBonds, in a note Friday. Still, Friday’s jobs report also showed that the whopping gains initially recorded for January and December were revised down by a combined 167,000 jobs. January’s job gains now sit at an estimated 229,000 (down from the blowout 353,000); and December’s job growth at 290,000 (down from 333,000). In February, that included construction (up 23,000 jobs); transportation and warehousing (up 19,700 jobs); and retail (up 18,700 jobs). Friday’s jobs report showed that wage growth is indeed slowing.
Persons: , Christopher Rupkey, FwdBonds, , ” Robert Frick, , ” Diane Swonk, Swonk, February’s, ” Frick, Julissa Carielo, ” Swonk, Gus Faucher, Lydia Boussour, EY, Boussour, Janet Yellen, CNN’s Kate Bolduan, they’re, ” Yellen, Price, CNN’s Bryan Mena Organizations: New, New York CNN, of Labor Statistics, Navy Federal Credit Union, CNN, KPMG US, Health, Baby Boomers, Transportation Security Administration, DreamOn, Inc, Boomers, Fed, Labor, Federal, PNC Financial Services, “ Fed Locations: New York, San Antonio , Texas, Texas
Seizing Russian assets won't make up for the failure to send aid to Ukraine, Janet Yellen warned. Republicans have blocked a plan to send aid to Ukraine in a bid to force Joe Biden to take action on immigration. AdvertisementUkraine needs the West to do much more than just seize frozen Russian assets, according to Janet Yellen. AdvertisementG7 finance ministers met in Brazil last week to discuss what to do with frozen Russian assets worth about $300 billion. "I want to be very clear: we currently have no legal basis for the seizure of Russian assets," he said on the sidelines of the Brazil summit.
Persons: Janet Yellen, Joe Biden, , São, Yellen, Bruno Le Maire, Biden Organizations: Republicans, Service, São Paulo, Kyiv, Bloomberg, European Union, US Locations: Ukraine, Japan, Brazil, Italy, Mexico
Divisions among the world’s top economic officials over how to use Russia’s central bank assets to support Ukraine spilled into public view on Wednesday when Bruno LeMaire, France’s finance minister, said that seizing the frozen assets would be a violation of international law. The comments, made on the sidelines of the gathering of finance ministers of the Group of 20 nations in Brazil, came a day after Treasury Secretary Janet L. Yellen said that seizing the assets was a possibility and suggested that there was a legal justification for doing so. Officials from the Group 7 advanced economies have been debating for months over whether they could legally seize more than $300 billion in Russian central bank assets stashed in Western nations and use those funds to aid Ukraine. Those discussions have taken on greater urgency amid waning political support in the United States and Europe to continue to provide Ukraine with economic and military support. Ms. Yellen, who initially had reservations about the viability of freezing or seizing Russia’s assets, offered her most explicit public support to date on Tuesday for the idea of unlocking “the value” of Russia’s immobilized assets.
Persons: Bruno LeMaire, Janet L, Yellen Locations: Ukraine, Brazil, Russian, United States, Europe
Treasury Secretary Janet L. Yellen said on Tuesday that she had personally urged Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel to increase commercial engagement with the West Bank, contending that doing so was important for the economic welfare of both Israelis and Palestinians. Ms. Yellen’s plea was outlined in a letter that she sent to Mr. Netanyahu on Sunday. It represented her most explicit public expression of concern about the economic consequences of the war between Israel and Hamas. In the letter, Ms. Yellen said, she warned about the consequences of the erosion of basic services in the West Bank and called for Israel to reinstate work permits for Palestinians and reduce barriers to commerce within the West Bank. “These actions are vital for the economic well-being of Palestinians and Israelis alike,” Ms. Yellen said at a news conference in Brazil ahead of a gathering of finance ministers from the Group of 20 nations.
Persons: Janet L, Yellen, Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel, Yellen’s, Netanyahu, Ms Organizations: West Bank, Palestinian Authority, United Locations: Israel, Brazil, Gaza, Qatar, United State, Egypt
Among the most common email scams are phishing emails. Instead of sending out generic emails, the emails are addressed to an individual or a specific organization. Now, criminals anywhere in the world can use ChatGPT or FraudGPT to create convincing phishing and spear phishing emails. If I'm going to do 1,000 spear phishing emails or CEO fraud attacks, and I find one in 10 of them work, that could be millions of dollars," said Davies. It will take some time for companies to adjust, but for now, cybersecurity experts say generative AI is leading to a surge in very convincing financial scams.
Persons: Chase, Christopher Budd, Elon, Gayle King, Tucker Carlson, Bill Maher, Andrew Davies, Cyril Noel, Tagoe, Davies, Venmo, Wise, Netcea, Banks, Ajay Bhalla, haven't, Noel, I've, Budd Organizations: Association of Financial, eBay, CBS, Fox News, Facebook, YouTube, PayPal, Mastercard Locations: Hong Kong, ComplyAdvantage
WASHINGTON (AP) — The Biden administration is rolling out new recordkeeping rules for U.S. investment advisers in its continued effort to clamp down on money laundering, illicit finance and fraud in the American financial system. The Treasury Department's Financial Crimes Enforcement Network — known as FinCEN — proposed a regulation on Tuesday that would require investment advisers to develop anti-money laundering programs and file reports with the government when suspicious activity is detected by clients, among other things. Treasury last week proposed a rule that would require real estate professionals to report information to the agency about non-financed sales of residential real estate to legal entities, trusts and shell companies. All-cash purchases of residential real estate are considered at high risk for money laundering. The risk assessment also identified cases of Chinese and Russian individuals using investment advisers to access sensitive information and emerging technology, Treasury said.
Persons: , Biden, , Andrea Gacki, Janet Yellen Organizations: WASHINGTON, Treasury, House Locations: U.S, United States
The Treasury Department's corruption watchdog on Tuesday issued new proposed regulations that would extend major pieces of the anti-money laundering (AML) rules that apply to banks to some investment advisers. The new rules would apply to investment advisers who are registered with or report to the Securities Exchange Commission, leaving out what FinCEN estimates to be at least 17,000 state-registered investment advisers. The proposed regulations stop short of requiring investment advisers to adopt formal customer identification programs, like banks do. Investment advisers manage tens of trillions of dollars, but until now, they have been largely exempt from the AML regulations arising from the 1970 Bank Secrecy Act and subsequent legislation. In 2003 and 2015, FinCEN proposed similar rules that would have expanded BSA provisions to cover investment advisers.. to combat money laundering and terrorist financing.
Persons: Janet Yellen, FinCEN, Andrea Gacki Organizations: Financial, Treasury, Securities Exchange Commission, Investment Locations: Vienna , Virginia, FinCEN, China, Russia
The dollar is back. It’s not all good news
  + stars: | 2024-02-09 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
New York CNN —The greenback is strengthening again after a bumpy 2023, as Wall Street accepts that interest rate cuts are coming later than previously expected. The US Dollar Index, which tracks the dollar against the British pound, euro, Swiss franc, Japanese yen, Canadian dollar and Swedish krona, is up 2.8% for the year as of Friday morning. “All of a sudden the interest rate differential kicks in — if that is slower than the Fed or faster,” said Krosby. Higher interest rates tend to garner more international capital to flow into a country, raising demand for the currency and thus its value. Still, Todd Jones, chief investment officer at Gratus Capital, says he expects the dollar to trend lower eventually as the Fed gets closer to cutting rates.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Christine Lagarde, Quincy Krosby, , Neel Kashkari, Todd Jones, Jones, Anna Cooban, Richard Meade, Janet Yellen, Alicia Wallace, Yellen, ” Yellen Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Swiss, Canadian, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, LPL, Treasury, Minneapolis, Gratus, Fed, Hamas, Lloyds, CNN, Banking Committee Locations: New York, Swedish, Iran, Suez, Asia, Europe
New York CNN —High commercial real estate vacancies are expected to create some stress for smaller banks, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said Thursday. However, she said she does not see them as causing a systemic risk to the nation’s financial system. “It’s obvious that there’s going to be a stress and losses that are associated with this,” Yellen said. On Tuesday, Yellen said she does “have a concern about commercial real estate.” She noted that higher interest rates and rising vacancy rates in office buildings have combined to cause problems — especially as real estate loans come due. New York Community Bancorp recently disclosed a surprise loss and a spike in loan losses as commercial real estate loans go bad.
Persons: Janet Yellen, Yellen, ” Yellen, , CNN’s Matt Egan Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Banking Committee, Silicon Valley Bank, New York Community Bancorp, Moody’s Investors Service, Bank Locations: New York, Silicon
The bank announced earlier on Wednesday that it had appointed DiNello, formerly the president of Flagstar Bank, to the position effective immediately. The bank holds total deposits of approximately $83 billion, the lender said in a statement Tuesday evening. US banks hold about $2.7 trillion in commercial real estate loans. But while the last crisis was all about interest rate risk, this one revolves around the $20 trillion commercial real estate market. The increase was driven partly by expected losses on commercial real estate loans, it said.
Persons: ” Alessandro DiNello, DiNello, NYCB, , weren’t, Fitch, Thomas Cangemi, ” DiNello, Goldman Sachs, Moody’s, Neel Kashkari, ” Kashkari, he’s, Janet Yellen, , Yellen, “ I’m, ” Yellen Organizations: New, New York CNN —, New York Community Bancorp, Moody’s Investors Service, Flagstar Bank, Bank, Moody’s, JPMorgan, Signature Bank, Silicon Valley, Regulators, Federal, Community Bancorp, CNBC, Financial Locations: New York, Flagstar, New, Minneapolis
WASHINGTON (AP) — The Biden administration wants to make residential real estate transactions more transparent by unmasking the owners of certain all-cash purchases. It's part of an ongoing effort to combat money laundering and the movement of dirty money through the American financial system. The Treasury Department's Financial Crimes Enforcement Network proposed a regulation on Wednesday that would require real estate professionals to report information to the agency about non-financed sales of residential real estate to legal entities, trusts and shell companies. All-cash purchases of residential real estate are considered at high risk for money laundering. One study on the impact of money laundering on home values in Canada, conducted by a group of Canadian academics, found that money laundering investment in real estate pushed up housing prices in the range of 3.7% to 7.5%.
Persons: , Biden, , Andrea Gacki, Ian Gary, Janet Yellen Organizations: WASHINGTON, Treasury, Network, House, FACT Coalition, Small Business Association Locations: Canada, U.S
New York CNN —Some of the very first signs of banking stress in the crisis that unfolded last year were reflected in Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and First Republic Bank’s nosediving share prices. That’s a considerably larger share compared to Signature Bank and Silicon Valley Bank shortly before their demises. So far, there’s no evidence that the bank is at risk of failingAs scary as it may be to see a bank’s stock price plunging, it’s not the best gauge for the bank’s viability. The best source of information on that front is a bank’s deposit flows, Chiaverini said. As of last quarter, deposits were down just 2% and declined even less excluding the custodial deposits connected to the acquisition of Signature Bank.
Persons: Bank’s, Thomas Cangemi, David Chiaverini, it’s, Chiaverini, NYCB, Janet Yellen, ” Yellen Organizations: New, New York CNN, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, First, New York Community Bancorp, Moody’s Investors Service, Wedbush Securities, , Silicon Valley, Bank of America, Financial Services, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Locations: New York, Silicon Valley
CNN —Embattled regional bank New York Community Bancorp suffered another blow Tuesday evening as Moody’s Investors Service downgraded its credit rating to junk status. Shares of New York Community Bancorp tumbled 17% in after-hours trading Tuesday evening after the downgrade. Moody’s is keeping New York Community Bancorp’s credit rating on review, signaling further downgrades are possible. New York Community Bancorp did not immediately respond to a request for comment. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen declined to specifically comment on New York Community Bancorp’s troubles during a hearing on Tuesday.
Persons: Moody’s, , Wall, ” Moody’s, Janet Yellen, Yellen, “ I’m, ” Yellen Organizations: CNN, New, New York Community Bancorp, Moody’s Investors Service, Community Bancorp, New York Community, Silicon Valley Bank, York Community Bancorp, Financial Services Committee Locations: New York, New, Silicon
“I will never forget it,” Yellen told lawmakers during a hearing before the House Financial Services Committee, referring to the weekend after Silicon Valley Bank failed. Although the bank crisis subsided after federal regulators launched emergency programs, some regional banks have come under renewed pressure in recent days. Yellen said bank regulators are “quite focused” on this problem, including by working with banks to manage risks, build up reserves to cover losses, adjust dividend policies and maintain liquidity. “It’s critically important that the US be on a fiscally sustainable path,” Yellen told lawmakers during the hearing. “We are doing better” than the rest of the world, Yellen told lawmakers Tuesday.
Persons: Janet Yellen, ” Yellen, , Yellen, Maxine Waters, “ I’m, Larry Kudlow, It’s, Joe Biden, Jerome Powell, “ It’s, ” Powell Organizations: New, New York CNN, Valley Bank, Financial Services, Bank, New York Community Bancorp, Financial, Trump, Federal Locations: New York, Valley, United States, Japan
New York CNN —A team of five US Treasury Department officials is traveling to Beijing this week for a series of meetings on the economy with their counterparts in China, a Treasury official told CNN on Monday. The trip by senior officials comes ahead of a planned return to China by Treasury secretary Janet Yellen later in 2024. Specifically, the Treasury delegation plans to raise China’s use of non-market economic practices and industrial overcapacity, the official said. The visit marks the first time that the economic working group is meeting in Beijing since it was launched last September after Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s trip to China. However, there is nothing to suggest the latest US-China meeting is in direct response to the renewed concerns about China’s economy and financial markets.
Persons: New York CNN —, Janet Yellen, Jay Shambaugh, Donald Trump, Yellen, Janet Yellen’s, ” Yellen, , Jerome Powell, , Powell, ” Powell Organizations: New, New York CNN, US Treasury Department, Treasury, CNN, Shanghai, Weibo, The New York Times, China Business Council’s, Federal, United Locations: New York, Beijing, China, Treasury’s, Washington, Hong Kong, Evergrande, United States
Treasury Secretary Janet L. Yellen will tell lawmakers on Tuesday that the United States has had a “historic” economic recovery from the pandemic but that regulators must vigilantly safeguard the financial system from an array of looming risks to preserve the gains of the last three years. Ms. Yellen will deliver the comments in testimony to the House Financial Services Committee nearly a year after the Biden administration and federal regulators took aggressive steps to stabilize the nation’s banking system following the abrupt failures of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. While turmoil in the banking system has largely subsided, the Financial Stability Oversight Council, which is headed by Ms. Yellen, has been reviewing how it tracks and responds to risks to financial stability. Like other government bodies, the council did not anticipate or warn regulators about the problems that felled several regional banks. “Our continued economic strength depends on a solid and resilient U.S. financial system,” Ms. Yellen said in her prepared remarks.
Persons: Janet L, Yellen, Biden, Ms Organizations: Financial Services, Valley Bank, Signature Bank Locations: United States,
The nation's central bank started off the new year as it closed out the last: no change to interest rates. On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee announced it would continue its pause on interest rate increases, falling in line with economists' and market watchers' predictions. Still, the FOMC's December Summary of Economic Projections penciled in three interest rate cuts for 2024, suggesting the central bank is anticipating relief at some point this year. AdvertisementAs to how soon a rate cut might come, it's still unclear. But overall, she's optimistic about 2024 and thinks it's "going to be a very good economic year."
Persons: Cory Stahle, Stahle, Jerome Powell, Powell, it's, Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Janet Yellen, Yellen Organizations: Service, Federal, Market Committee, Federal Reserve, Business, Labor Statistics, Democratic, ABC
However, Gen Z adults are also less likely to own a home, be married or have children. Pew surveyed about 1,500 adults between the ages of 18 and 34 and more than 3,000 parents of adult children. Gen Z is generally defined as those born between 1996 and 2012, including a cohort of teens and tweens. Now, 25% of young adults live in a multigenerational household, up from just 9% five decades ago. Meanwhile, as living with mom and dad has become more common for young adults — it's also more socially acceptable, according to Parker.
Persons: Gen, Pew, Zers, Kim Parker, they've, Nicole Smith, that's, Janet Yellen, — it's, Parker Organizations: Pew Research Center . Pew, Georgetown University Center, Education, Workforce, CNBC, Treasury, Pew Research Center
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