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The AI bubble, Taylor said, will be similar to the dot-com bubble in the late 1990s. AdvertisementThe buzz surrounding AI may echo the exuberance and excesses of the dot-com bubble in the late 1990s, OpenAI chairman Bret Taylor said in a podcast that aired on Wednesday. "I think the AI bubble will rhyme with the dot-com bubble and I believe with the benefit of hindsight, most of the excess of the dot-com bubble might have been justified," Taylor added. Most of today's leading tech companies like Amazon and Google, Taylor said, were started during the dot-com bubble. Advertisement"A huge percentage of the gains in the stock market over the past 30 years have more or less been these digital companies created in the dot-com bubble," Taylor said.
Persons: Bret Taylor, Sam Altman's, Taylor, Harry Stebbings, , Sam Altman, Mark Twain, Stebbings, Elon Musk, Goldman Sachs, Jim Covello, hasn't, We’ve, Elon, Musk Organizations: OpenAI's, Service, Google, Business Insider, Stanford, Facebook, Elon Locations: OpenAI, Silicon Valley
Miller's team compared AI's growth with past tech waves, finding consistent growth rates. In fact, the generative-AI wave looks a lot more like past tech waves than its revolutionary capabilities would suggest. That "rule of three" theory puts the value of the AI wave at about $20 trillion. Miller likened the AI wave to the mobile wave in about 2009, when there were few applications for the iPhone. "So the question is if compute is the primary underlying driver of economic activity, economic growth, economic opportunity, then there's an argument that it's actually bigger."
Persons: Ben Miller, Miller, Nvidia wouldn't, , Jensen Huang, Everybody's, Anthropic's Claude, Fundrise, shortsighted, it's, We'll, they're Organizations: Nvidia, Service, Cisco, Intel, Business, Adobe, AMD, Meta, Microsoft, Bloomberg, IDC
MIT economist warns AI infrastructure investments may not meet investor profit expectations. Only 5% of jobs are likely to be significantly impacted by AI in the next decade, according to the economist. That's according to MIT Economist Daron Acemoglu, who told Bloomberg in an interview that the hype surrounding AI may not meet its lofty expectations. The most optimistic scenario, according to Acemoglue, is that AI hype cools and some applications of the technology take hold. In such a scenario, investors and tech executives would become disenchanted with AI, leading to a "AI spring followed by AI winter."
Persons: MIT's Daron Acemoglu, , Daron Acemoglu, Acemoglu, Acemoglue Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, MIT, Microsoft, Technology
The $69 billion hedge fund uses a strict trading strategy to make sure it consistently makes money. This trading strategy has helped founder Israel Englander become a billionaire. AdvertisementThe $69 billion Millennium Management hedge fund employs a simple yet effective trading strategy to make sure it almost always makes money in the stock market: cut losing stock positions as quickly as possible. This strict stop-loss trading strategy means the hedge fund goes through a lot of employees, sporting a high turnover rate of about 15%-20% of its staff each year. But the trading strategy is also what turned its founder, Israel Englander, into a billionaire.
Persons: Israel Englander, , Englander Organizations: Management, Service, Millennium, Bloomberg, Wall Street Journal, Millennium Management
President Biden said on Tuesday that his administration will be "monitoring for any price gouging activity" that benefits foreign ocean carriers, including those on the USMX board. He also said "foreign ocean carriers have made record profits since the pandemic, when Longshoremen put themselves at risk to keep ports open." UBS forecast that 20% of Maersk's total volume would touch a U.S. port that would be impacted by the strike. Acting Secretary Julie Su lashed out at the idea that labor wage increases would be passed onto U.S. exporters and importers. I know they understand, just as consumers and American workers understand, that foreign companies who profit from our economy and who employ American workers and have an impact on American consumers should do the right thing, and in that battle, we are always going to stand with American workers, American businesses and American consumers."
Persons: Biden, Longshoremen, majeure, Daggett, Harold Daggett, Lars Jenson, Pete Buttigieg, Julie Su, Taft, Hartley, Buttigieg, Larry Lindsey, Su, Peter Friedmann, I've, nonfarm, Helene, switchers, they're, Jim Bianco, CNBC's, Peter Boockvar, Alan Baer, Steve Lamar, Taft Hartley, Lamar, CNBC's Jeff Cox Organizations: CMA, U.S, United States Maritime Alliance, Vespucci, Federal Reserve, Transportation, Labor, International Longshoremen's Association, UBS, Maersk, Federal Maritime Commission, ILA, Boeing, The Lindsey Group, Agriculture Transportation Coalition, Bianco Research, Bleakley Financial, USA, American Apparel and Footwear Association, Biden Administration, Locations: East, Gulf Coast, U.S, autoworkers
Ilia Yefimovich/dpa | Picture Alliance | Getty ImagesMarkets are in danger of being "whipsawed" by the combination of regional conflict in the Middle East and rising unemployment in the United States, says Stephen Roach, senior fellow at Yale Law School's Paul Tsai China Center. Most Asian markets fell on Wednesday, tracking losses on Wall Street overnight, as investors fretted over rising tensions in the Middle East. A higher-than-expected unemployment rate could prompt the Fed to accelerate the easing cycle to achieve a soft landing. The unemployment rate in September is expected to come in at 4.2%, according to data of a Reuters poll on LSEG, unchanged from the August figure. The unemployment rate had jumped to near a three-year high of 4.3% in July, a dramatic rise from the five-decade low of 3.4% in April 2023.watch now
Persons: Ilia Yefimovich, Stephen Roach, Yale Law School's Paul Tsai, Hassan Nasrallah, Roach, CNBC's, Stephen Stanley, Kelvin Tay Organizations: Missiles, Getty, Yale Law, Yale Law School's Paul Tsai China Center, Wall, Israel Defense Forces, Santander, Organization of, Petroleum, Energy Information Administration, UBS Global Wealth Management, U.S . Federal Reserve, Traders, U.S, U.S . Federal Locations: Israel, Tel Aviv, Iran, United States, Iranian, Lebanon, U.S .
I’ll frequently update this list leading up to October’s Prime Day sale on Oct. 8 and 9. SKIP AHEAD Best early Prime Day deals | More early Prime Day sales | Best sales at other retailers | How I picked the best early Prime Day deals | Why trust NBC Select? Best early Prime Day kitchen deals4.3-star average rating from 68,314 reviews on AmazonThis microwave popcorn maker is one of my favorite kitchen gadgets. Best early Prime Day salesHere are the best early Prime Day sales to know about. Best sales at other retailersHow I found the best early Prime Day dealsAll of my recommendations above are based on NBC Select’s previous coverage and reporting.
Persons: I’ve, I’ll, It’s, petrolatum, popper, fryer, Lindsay Schneider, TikTok Organizations: Deal, NBC, October’s, Alexa Voice, Amazon, Bluetooth, Wellness, Bath, Giftable Tech, Facebook, Twitter Locations: California
The final three-month stretch of 2024 is here, and Wall Street is riding high. RBC head of derivatives strategy Amy Wu Silverman noted her clients are bracing for "3 standard-deviation drawdowns" in coming weeks. The VVIX gauges the volatility of the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) itself — seen by many as Wall Street's preferred measurement of how much investor fear is in the market. That … is a very different narrative from the first six months of this year," Wu Silverman added. Elsewhere on Wall Street this morning, Pivotal Research Group initiated analyst coverage of Alphabet , the parent of Google and YouTube, with a buy rating.
Persons: Ryan Detrick, Dow, Amy Wu Silverman, Wu Silverman, CNBC's, Wall, GOOG, Jeffrey Wlodarczak Organizations: Investment, Carson Group, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Fed, CNBC, RBC, Research Group, Google, YouTube Locations: China
There's a good chance of running into someone you know at the diner in the center of town. On any given day, odds are I'll run into someone I know in the diner. In 2011, Tropical Storm Irene decimated it (it hovers over a river), and the townspeople were beside themselves. The New York Times even wrote an article about it titled, "In Vermont, a Town That Would Not Let Its Diner Go." Although the diner belongs to Reagan (her co-owner and husband, John, died in 2017), as The New York Times put it, "everyone, it seems, has a claim."
Persons: Gilmore, Lauren Harkawik Dot's, Irene, Patty Reagan, Reagan, John Organizations: New York Times Locations: Dot's, Vermont
But we are not on any preset course,” he told the National Association for Business Economics in prepared remarks. A basis point equals 0.01%. “We do not believe that we need to see further cooling in labor market conditions to achieve 2 percent inflation,” Powell added. For his part, Powell expressed confidence in economic strength and sees inflation continuing to cool. Broader economic conditions also set the table for further disinflation.”Following the speech, Powell was scheduled to sit for a question-and-answer session with Morgan Stanley economist Ellen Zentner.
Persons: Jerome Powell, , ” Powell, Powell, , Morgan Stanley, Ellen Zentner Organizations: National Association for Business Economics, Committee, Fed Locations: Nashville
High risk of natural disaster and extreme heat For two decades, they’ve also been some of the most popular places to move as Americans have flocked to the South and West. Much of Vermont, which is not highlighted as high risk in the maps above, saw devastating flooding last year following a record-breaking storm. Jacksonville Tallahassee Gainesville Daytona Beach Orlando Tampa HIGH HURRICANE WIND RISK Sarasota The Tampa metro area has been one of the fastest growing in the country. Many of these new residents have settled in coastal communities that are at high risk for hurricanes. Dallas-Fort Worth sits in an area at high risk for serious thunderstorms, hailstorms and tornadoes.
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Do vibration plates have health benefits? Although vibration plates are safe for most people, ultimately, Johnson says, “when we make changes, we tell people to listen to their body.”Deja Mason of Roanoke, Virginia, said she first heard about vibration plates on TikTok. As vibration plates experience a resurgence, some hear echoes of past fitness fads. “Trends come and go,” she said, pointing to other trends that displaced vibration plates, like group fitness and CrossFit. But just as vibrating plates shake users up and down in quick succession, trends too are always oscillating.
Persons: , Jörn Rittweger, Rittweger, , that’s, There’s “, Håkan, Peter W, Johnson, ” Johnson, Lifepro, Deja Mason, ” Mason, Natalia Mehlman Petrzela, ” Petrzela Organizations: German Aerospace Center, University of Cologne, Lund University Cancer Centre, International Society of Lymphology, School of Public Health, University of Washington, New School Locations: TikTok, Germany, Sweden, Roanoke , Virginia, New York City
AdvertisementJohn Hussman, the president of the Hussman Investment Trust who called the 2000 and 2008 market crashes, isn't shy about his characterization of the current market environment. The first piece of evidence Hussman cites is valuation, specifically the total market cap of non-financial stocks to total value added of those stocks. He predicted in 2000 that the S&P 500 would likely see negative total returns over the following decade, which it did. He predicted in April 2007 that the S&P 500 could lose 40%, then it lost 55% in the subsequent collapse from 2007 to 2009. The S&P 500, by comparison, is up about 32% over the past year.
Persons: John Hussman, , It's, Mike Wilson, Michael Kantrowitz, Lance Armstrong, Hussman, Armstrong, David Walsh Organizations: Service, Hussman Investment Trust, Tour de France, Hussman, Intelligence, Labor Locations: Irish
SoftBank founder Masayoshi Son has spent his life putting bold bets on the future of technology. SoftBank, the media-technology conglomerate Son founded two decades prior, was riding high on the glory it attained in the dot-com boom. He was told he was special," Barber told BI. "He wants to be seen as the great modernizer transforming this petrostate into a truly modern economy where technology is at the forefront," Barber told BI. But as previous cycles in Son's life dictate, the flurry of enthusiasm is typically followed by failure.
Persons: Masayoshi Son, Lionel Barber, , Son, Bill Gates, Masa —, Uber, Barber, Vladimir Putin, Barack Obama, — he's, Jack Ma's Alibaba, Wang, he's, Napoleon Bonaparte, Genghis Khan, Qin Shi Huang, Emperor of, Microsoft's Gates, Jordan Strauss, Mitsunori, SoftBank, Rupert Murdoch, Larry Ellison, Jack Welch, Steve Jobs, Masayoshi, Justin Sullivan, Rajeev Misra, Nikesh Arora, Phil McCarten, Abu Dhabi's Mubadala, Mohammed bin Salman, Saudi, Michael Moritz, Kim Jong, Adam Neumann, Donald Trump, Wirecard, Jesus, NurPhoto, He's, Allen Lane Organizations: Service, Financial Times, Kremlin, Yahoo, Popular Electronics, Vision, Deutsche Bank, Google, Reuters, Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund, Vision Fund, Valley's, Sequoia Capital, Greensill, Nvidia, Signal Publishers Locations: Tokyo's Roppongi, Japan, Masayoshi, Washington, Wayne, Emperor of China, Kyushu, United States, Riyadh, Berkeley, Las Vegas
But to archaeologists, the Tollense Valley is considered Europe’s oldest battlefield. The biggest mysteries that researchers aim to uncover are why the battle occurred and who fought in it. A long time agoYears of excavations in the Tollense Valley have uncovered evidence that the site was the scene of Europe's oldest battlefield 3,250 years ago. S. SauerDozens of bronze and flint arrowheads recovered from the Tollense Valley are revealing details about the able-bodied warriors who fought in the Bronze Age battle. The research team analyzed and compared the arrowheads, some of which were still embedded in the remains of the fallen.
Persons: Sauer, Al Hadid, , Martijn Oei, carolinus, Grearson, Ashley Strickland, Katie Hunt Organizations: CNN —, United Arab Emirates, ., California Institute of Technology, Grearson Harvard, Stanford, CNN Space, Science Locations: Germany, Bavaria, Moravia, Dubai, United Arab, China —, Chile, Australia, New Zealand, Falkland, Antarctica
CNN —Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are tied among likely voters in North Carolina, while Harris holds a comfortable lead in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, according to two new CNN polls conducted by SSRS. In North Carolina, Harris and Trump stand at 48% each among likely voters. In Nebraska’s 2nd District, the so-called blue dot encompassing Omaha, Harris has 53% to Trump’s 42%, the poll finds. An 86% majority of Democratic likely voters and 69% of independent likely voters favor keeping the current system, while 69% of GOP likely voters say they’d rather move to a winner-take-all system in the state. But just 41% in North Carolina say they’re very confident, rising to a 59% majority in Nebraska’s 2nd District.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, SSRS, Mark Robinson, Trump, Barack Obama, Joe Biden, they’ve, White, Biden, Brian Snyder, Josh Stein, Robinson, Stein, Tony Vargas, Don Bacon, Vargas, Bacon, Jim Watson, CNN’s Jennifer Agiesta, Edward Wu Organizations: CNN, Congressional, Gov, Democratic, Trump, North, Nebraska’s, Sun, College, Cornhusker State, Republican, Obama, Biden, Reuters Male, GOP, Republican Rep, Republicans, Getty Locations: North Carolina, Nebraska’s, The, Carolina, Omaha, Nebraska, Maine, Wilmington , North Carolina, Congress, Trump, North Carolina’s, North, Charlotte , North Carolina, AFP, The Nebraska
Appaloosa Management's David Tepper said investors should believe the Federal Reserve when it says it will lower interest rates because the central bank has now to keep credibility. "Probably two or three interest rates, 25 basis point cuts, they have to do, or they lose credibility," Tepper said. You know, another 25, 25, 25 seems like it's going to have to be done." The super-sized rate cut last week came despite most economic indicators looking fairly solid. "It was around the 90s in that market where the where the Fed cut rates into Y2K in a good economy," he said.
Persons: David Tepper, Tepper, " Powell, Jerome Powell, Rich, " Tepper Organizations: Federal Reserve, Gross, Atlanta Fed, U.S, National Football League's Carolina Panthers Locations: U.S, China
New York CNN —McDonald’s has become notorious for its broken ice cream machines — there’s even an independent website that monitors broken McFlurry machines. Wendy’s is selling small-sized, $1 Frosty frozen dairy desserts until September 30 — and it’s collaborating with McBroken, which reports which McDonald’s locations have broken ice cream machines. Nearly 15% of McDonald’s ice cream machines are broken as of Thursday, according to McBroken’s data. McBroken was created a few years ago by Rashiq Zahid, who was also frustrated by the lack of working ice cream machines at McDonald’s. Eugene Gologursky/Getty ImagesIf the ice cream machine is offline, the McDonald’s app will remove the ice cream order from the cart, he said.
Persons: New York CNN — McDonald’s, Frosty “, , There’s, McBroken, Rashiq Zahid, Frosty, Eugene Gologursky, McDonald’s, Wendy’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, McBroken, CNN Locations: New York, Chicago, Houston, Las Vegas , New York, Los Angeles, Wendy’s
One of the world's largest e-commerce companies is emerging as a top pick on Wall Street as investors look for tech opportunities beyond the Magnificent Seven. "There was no venture capital for Latin America. Last year, venture-backed companies in Latin America raised $3.3 billion across nearly 1,000 deals, according to PitchBook. E-commerce and online payments are steadily growing, and Latin America has a young, mobile-savvy population of more than 600 million people. "When you look at the penetration of e-commerce in Latin America, it's still quite low compared to the U.S., Europe or Asia," Galperin told CNBC.
Persons: Marcos Gaplerin, Brad Gerstner, Gerstner, CNBC's Scott Wapner, Goldman Sachs, It's, Buenos Aires Galperin, Galperin, MercadoLibre, We've, it's Organizations: Nasdaq, Wall Street, Stanford Graduate School of Business, CNBC, Stanford, eBay Locations: Delaware, Brazil, Argentina, Mexico, Chile, South America, Mercado Pago, Buenos Aires, Palo Alto , California, California, America, Silicon Valley, New York, Sand, West, Latin America, U.S, Europe, Asia
The stock market runs a bigger risk of an unsustainable melt-up, according to Ed Yardeni. AdvertisementStocks run the risk of seeing an unsustainable, dot-com style melt-up, thanks to the Federal Reserve's recent rate cut, according to market veteran Ed Yardeni. That move sparked a rally in stocks to fresh records —but it's also raised the odds of a stock market melt-up, he said, meaning investors are now facing the risk of an unsustainable market boom. And while inflation has cooled from its highs several years ago, it is still a risk, Yardeni noted. Advertisement"If they get to overheat the economy and get to create a bubble in the stock market, yeah they're creating some issues," Yardeni added.
Persons: Ed Yardeni, , Stocks, it's, Yardeni, Michelle Bowman, haven't Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Yardeni, Labor Department, Atlanta Fed
CNN —Astronomers have observed a massive pair of jets releasing from a supermassive black hole 7.5 billion light-years from Earth. The megastructure spans 23 million light-years in length, making these black hole jets the largest ever seen, according to new research. Black hole jets can accelerate radiation and particles close to the speed of light, causing them to glow in wavelengths visible to radio telescopes. The massive black hole jets could help answer both. Martijn Oei (pictured), lead author of the new study, and his colleagues will continue their search for massive black hole jets.
Persons: Martijn Oei, ” Oei, Europe’s, Oei, , Aivin Gast, Gast, LOFAR, “ Aivin, Porphyrion, NASA's, Powell, Nelson, Martin Hardcastle, Sasha Tchekhovskoy, , Tchekhovskoy Organizations: CNN —, California Institute of Technology, Astrophysics, University of Oxford, NASA, JPL, Caltech, CNN, Keck, NASA's Goddard, University of Hertfordshire, Northwestern University Locations: India, Hawaii, England
HONG KONG — Xavian Wu, Hong Kong’s first high-profile transgender singer-songwriter, sought to use the city’s annual LGBTQ Pink Dot HK carnival on Sunday to share his story through music. I don’t want to hide,” Wu told Reuters. He started enjoying music and performing when he was a teenager. After seeking medical advice, he started taking testosterone in 2018 and finished top surgery in Thailand in 2020. Wu said he was incredibly fortunate to have his mother accompany him to Thailand and support him.
Persons: Xavian Wu, Hong Kong’s, Wu, ” Wu, , women’s, Music Organizations: Dot, Reuters Locations: HONG KONG, Hong Kong, Thailand
Investors await key economic data this week, including consumer confidence, revised GDP growth, and the PCE Index. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari defended the recent rate cut and sees more cuts ahead. AdvertisementUS stocks rose on Monday, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average testing record highs as investors prepare for fresh economic data this week. Investors will get consumer confidence data on Tuesday, another revision to second-quarter GDP growth on Thursday, and fresh inflation data on Friday with the release of the personal consumption expenditures index. The chatter comes just a few days after the Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points at the end of its policy meeting last Wednesday.
Persons: Dow Jones, Neel Kashkari, , Kashkari Organizations: Dow, Minneapolis, Service, Dow Jones, Federal, Governors, CNBC, Fed, Here's
Nebraska Republicans dominate the state's politics, including its officially non-partisan, one-house legislature. The Nebraska Examiner reported that without McDonnell, Republicans have "no path" unless a Democrat or nonpartisan lawmaker changes their mind. Nebraska and Maine are the only states that award some of their Electoral College votes by congressional district. In 2020, President Joe Biden carried the Omaha-area 2nd District and its one Electoral College vote. If she carries the Omaha-area vote, she could win by holding onto Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin — the so-called "Blue Wall" states.
Persons: , Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, Sen, Mike McDonnell, US Sen, Lindsey Graham, McDonnell, Jim Pillen, Trump, Chris LaCivita, Harris, Joe Biden, Don Bacon, Biden Organizations: Service, White, US, Trump, Business, Nebraska Republicans, Nebraska Examiner, Republicans, Republican, Mayor, Nebraska, Politico, GOP, White House, Electoral, Omaha -, Rep, Representatives Locations: Nebraska, Omaha, Maine, District, Pennsylvania , Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona , Nevada , Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Nevada
Read previewNASA's James Webb Space Telescope floored astronomers and spectators across the globe when it released its first full-color images. Even those preliminary snapshots revealed countless stars, galaxies, and fine details that hadn't been seen before. A side-by-side collage of the same area taken by Hubble and the James Webb Space Telescope in its very first image. In the JWST image, you can see galaxies in the background that were invisible to HubbleA few galaxies that are clearly visible in the JWST image, but not the Hubble image. The JWST image also revealed the stellar nurseries created as galaxies mergeThe JWST image shows a region of gas compressed between merging galaxies.
Persons: , James Webb, Webb, Joseph DePasquale, JWST, hadn't, Eric Smith, Hubble, STScI Webb, Mark McCaughrean, McCaughrean, Amber Straughn, Jane Rigby, we've Organizations: Service, Business, NASA, ESA, CSA, Hubble, James Webb Space, Hubble Heritage, European Space Agency Locations: JWST
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