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Investors should brace themselves for another big move next year, according to an analysis of historical data from Bank of America. The S & P 500 is up 24.7% in 2024 and on track for its second straight year with a gain of more than 20%. After rising 31% and 38% in 1927 and 1928, respectively, the S & P 500 lost 12% in 1929 and another 28% in 1930, Hartnett said. The last time the S & P 500 posted back-to-back 20% annual gains was in the 1990s, soaring 34% in 1995 and 20% in 1996. Hartnett noted that the "secret sauce" for the S & P 500 to avoid some of the sharp reversals seen before is a decline in Treasury yields.
Persons: Michael Hartnett, wasn't, Hartnett, Donald Trump, Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: Bank of America Locations: U.S
Opinion | A Range of Lessons From Trump’s Victory
  + stars: | 2024-11-22 | by ( ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
To the Editor:Re “Enough,” by Roxane Gay (Opinion, Nov. 17):I empathize with Ms. Gay’s feelings regarding not yielding “even a little” to Trumpism’s “odious politics.” But we also cannot be naïve about what’s necessary to most effectively fight and defeat Trumpism: political power. To win future elections Democrats — increasingly the party of well-educated, well-off citizens who have the privilege of voting based on concerns over the rule of law and cultural issues, not whether they can pay this month’s rent — do not need to cater to all who voted for Donald Trump. They just need to win over a small slice of the electorate that may have voted for previous Democratic candidates but, perhaps holding their noses, didn’t in 2024. They must acknowledge many voters’ fear, anger and insecurity over both major parties failing for decades to adequately address ever-increasing income and wealth inequality — that even when “the economy” improves, too often everyday workers still fall farther and farther behind. And they must relentlessly focus electoral messaging on their plans for how to repair this ever-worsening economic gulf.
Persons: Roxane Gay, Trumpism’s, , Donald Trump Organizations: Democratic
AdvertisementDonald Trump's sentencing in his New York hush-money case has been officially put off. President-elect Donald Trump's scheduled sentencing in his New York criminal case will not move forward next week, a Manhattan judge ruled on Friday. The sentencing in the former and future president's hush-money case had been on the calendar for November 26. Merchan ordered that Trump's motion is due by December 2, and prosecutors should respond by December 9. "All of the sham lawfare attacks against President Trump are now destroyed and we are focused on Making America Great Again."
Persons: Donald Trump's, Juan Merchan, Merchan, Trump, Steven Cheung, Hunt, Stormy Daniels, Attorney Alvin Bragg, Bragg Organizations: Trump, White House, American People, Manhattan, Attorney Locations: New York, Manhattan
New York CNN —The aftermath of the 2024 US presidential election has been a boon to Elon Musk. The richest person in the world got even richer Friday, with Musk’s net worth hitting a record $347.8 billion, Bloomberg reported. That beats his previous record set in November 2021, when the Tesla founder’s net worth exceeded $340 billion, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. Musk, Tesla’s largest individual shareholder, is roughly $83 billion richer since Election Day, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. As of Tuesday, Musk was more than $100 billion richer than the second richest person, Amazon founder Jeff Bezos.
Persons: Elon Musk, Trump, Donald Trump, Musk, Tesla, Vivek Ramaswamy, , Jeff Bezos, CNN’s Allison Morrow Organizations: New, New York CNN, Bloomberg, Tesla, SpaceX, Boring Company, “ Department, Government Efficiency, Wall Street Locations: New York
“You can just tell by the nominees for cabinet positions and agency heads that this will be an administration of retribution,” Baron added. Trump’s impending return to power was a theme of the conversations at the Committee to Protect Journalists gala. Attendees discussed the need to report without fear or favor, to be open-minded but clear-eyed about what actions the Trump administration might take, and to avoid fearmongering but to consider a range of possibilities. Here are some of the specific concerns that have arisen among members of the media:In the second Trump term, legal threats and frivolous lawsuits could pile up, costing newsrooms money and time. The Trump administration could reinstate the Justice Department’s past practice of pursuing reporters’ records in leak investigations.
Persons: Joe Scarborough, Mika Brzezinski’s, Donald Trump, Brzezinski, Trump, Joe ”, Marty Baron, ” Baron, Jodie Ginsberg, they’re, newsrooms, Trump’s, Jessica Lessin, , it’s, ” Lessin, Jacob Weisberg, Matt Egan, ” Poynter, Kelly McBride, , leakers, nix, CNN’s Liam Reilly Organizations: New, New York CNN, MSNBC, Scarborough, Washington Post, , Protect Journalists, Committee, Newsroom, “ Journalists, Trump, Media, TV, Nonprofit, Social, Republicans Locations: New York, Mar
In today's big story, billionaire Ken Griffin has some advice for President-elect Donald Trump, including a suggestion for his Treasury pick . While speaking Thursday at the Economic Club of New York, Griffin said he appreciates the importance of those issues to Americans but said aggressive tactics to address them could make things work. Griffin is one of the biggest donors to the Republican Party, but declined to publicly endorse either presidential candidate this year. AdvertisementModeration hasn't been the name of the game for Trump with some of his proposed policies. AdvertisementHe said he'd be open to selling a minority stake in his hedge fund to the right partner.
Persons: it's, Ken Griffin, Donald Trump, Trump Ken Griffin, Mike Blake, Insider's Bradley Saacks, Michelle Abrego, Griffin, Manny Roman, Trump, Marc Rowan, Rowan, Alexander Tamargo, Thoma Bravo Griffin, he'd, Zalubowski, Chelsea Jia Feng, Elon, Paul, Tyson, Megyn Kelly, Tucker Carlson Ron Antonelli, Chip Somodevilla, Rebecca Zisser, Tucker Carlson, Bari Weiss, BI's Peter Kafka, Chris Balfe, Ridley Scott's, You've, Dan DeFrancesco, Jack Sommers, Grace Lett, Ella Hopkins, Amanda Yen, Milan Sehmbi Organizations: Business, Treasury, Trump, Citadel, Milken, Global Conference, Reuters, Economic, of New, Republican Party, Citadel Securities, Sequoia, Millennium Management, BlackRock, Chelsea, Getty, Netflix, Bank of America, NY Daily, Fox News, Auto, Ford, GM, Volkswagen Locations: Beverly Hills , California, U.S, of New York, Montreal, New York, London, Chicago
The presidential election was two weeks ago, and the country’s liberals are already deep into the blame phase. Before those premature post-mortems get fully baked into conventional wisdom, though, I wanted to flag a handful of observations about the race and how it’s already being interpreted — some caveats, some counterpoints, some context that may help us understand the meaning of a big messy election in a big messy country, at least until we get the actually-reliable voter data. In the end, it seems, Donald Trump’s margin in the national popular vote will be about 1.6 percentage points — the narrowest victory since razor-thin 2000. The election did mark a decisive shift: a broad, uniform move to the right, down to the county level, that carried a Republican to a popular vote win for the first time in 20 years. But this was not a wipeout even like the one in 2008 (let alone 1932, 1972 or 1984).
Persons: we’ve, Donald Trump’s, Joe Biden, Trump Organizations: Republican Locations: Midwest
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Markets digest Nvidia earningsU.S. markets rose on Thursday after digesting Nvidia's earnings release. "If someone bought or if the Bluesky company went down, everything is open source." [PRO] Focus on Nvidia's BlackwellDespite Nvidia's revenue growth rising at a slower pace each subsequent quarter, analysts are still optimistic on the stock.
Persons: Donald Trump, Michael Novogratz, Trump's, Trump, Bluesky, Jay Graber, Nvidia's Blackwell, Blackwell, Colette Kress Organizations: CNBC, U.S . Department of Justice, Google, Chrome, JD Sports, Galaxy Digital, U.S . Federal Reserve, Elon, Nvidia Locations: British
To these stark claims, let me add two supplementary comments that qualify the scale and nature of the shift that I’m describing. First: The end of the post-1989 era doesn’t mean the end of liberalism. Well, maybe. But before going all the way to that conclusion, consider first how many people inside the Trump-Vance coalition still consider themselves partisans of liberal values — defenders of free speech and other liberties they deem most threatened by the left, not the right. And then consider the recent argument from Gray’s fellow critic of liberal overreach, Aris Roussinos, pointing out that the version of the liberal order that bestrode the world after 1989 was quite different from the post-World War II liberal order that preceded it — more utopian in its ambition, more culturally comprehensive in its claims, more imperious and imperial and hubristic and therefore, yes, foredoomed.
Persons: Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin’s, John Gray, Trump, JD Vance Organizations: Statesman, Trump, Vance, Aris Roussinos Locations: Ukraine, British, Europe, United States, overreach
The S & P 500 has now seen seven consecutive weeks of inflows, keeping the post-election momentum intact. I want to use the S & P 500 SPDR Trust ETF (SPY) to hedge these gains and bet against the consensus of markets finishing the year on a high note. SPY YTD mountain SPDR S & P 500 ETF Trust, YTD Investors have rejoiced with expectations for a more business-friendly economy ahead following President Elect Donald Trump's victory in early November. My short-term view of a shallow repricing in the S & P 500 might come to fruition now that we have Nvidia's earnings in the rearview mirror. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Long Organizations: Bank of America, SPDR, Trust, YTD Investors, Treasury, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
X's new terms of service, which took effect Nov. 15, are driving some users off Elon Musk's microblogging platform. The terms are prompting some longtime users of the service, both celebrities and everyday people, to post that they are taking their content to other platforms. Although Musk said in May that X has 600 million monthly users, market intelligence firm Sensor Tower estimates X had 318 million monthly users as of October. That same month, Meta said Threads had nearly 275 million monthly users. Here are some of the noteworthy changes in X's new service terms and how they compare with those of rivals Bluesky and Threads.
Persons: Gabrielle Union, Donald Trump, Musk, Meta, Bluesky Organizations: Elon Musk's, Twitter, Bluesky's, CNBC Locations: Bluesky, Bluesky's U.S
Opinion | The Secret Behind America’s Moral Panic
  + stars: | 2024-11-22 | by ( M. Gessen | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +2 min
President Trump is for you” — Democrats are now debating how much the issue of trans rights hurt them and how fast they should retreat from it. The party’s decision to focus on the issues that matter to most voters, especially reproductive rights, and set trans rights aside is based on a misconception. The two issues can’t be separated, because trans rights don’t just resemble reproductive rights; trans rights are reproductive rights. But opponents of trans rights argue that there is an area in which the consequences can be nothing short of catastrophic, and that area is reproduction. Both of them have repeatedly expressed fear that the treatment they received as teenagers could have rendered them infertile.
Persons: Donald Trump, “ Kamala, Trump, Kamala Harris, Chloe Cole, Keira Bell Locations: United States, United Kingdom
CNN —President-elect Donald Trump is expected to offer Kelly Loeffler the job of secretary of the Department of Agriculture, two people familiar with the matter told CNN. He is set to meet with her at Mar-a-Lago Friday afternoon, but as is always the case, nothing is final until Trump announces it. The agriculture job will likely be a significant one — especially as Trump’s pick to run the Department of Health and Human Services, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., has promised to assert his influence over the agriculture industry. Loeffler, appointed to the Senate by Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp over the wishes of Trump, lost her seat in a 2021 runoff to Democratic now-Sen. Raphael Warnock.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kelly Loeffler, Loeffler, Michael Whatley, Sen, Marco Rubio, Elise Stefanik —, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Brian Kemp, Trump, Raphael Warnock, Joe Biden’s, , CNN’s Zachary Cohen Organizations: CNN, Department of Agriculture, Mar, Trump, Senate, Republican National, of Health, Human Services, Georgia Gov, Democratic, Capitol Locations: Georgia, Washington, Trump’s
The High Risk, High Reward Trump Market
  + stars: | 2024-11-22 | by ( Jeff Sommer | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
Markets abhor uncertainty. That bit of Wall Street wisdom helps explain their ebb and flow since Donald J. Trump’s victory on Election Day, and even earlier. Stocks and bond yields began rising early in October, when Wall Street concluded that Mr. Trump would win. Yet for the markets, uncertainty hasn’t vanished. He promises lower corporate taxes and less regulation: Those assurances are being widely interpreted as a recipe for fat company profits and a prosperous stock market.
Persons: Donald J, Trump, It’s Organizations: Wall, Mr, Trump Locations: Washington
CNN —A Norwegian man working as a security guard for the US Embassy in Oslo was arrested this week on allegations of spying for Russia and Iran. According to Norway’s public broadcaster NRK, the man is in his 20s and was arrested at home in his garage on Wednesday. He is charged with attempted aggravated intelligence activities against state secrets and admitted to having collected and shared information with Russian and Iranian authorities, according to NRK. The arrest comes amid ongoing concerns about Moscow and Tehran’s espionage and influence operations around the globe. Western officials have disrupted plots from Tehran to harm or kill individuals, including an alleged assassination plot against President-elect Donald Trump.
Persons: Donald Trump, John Christian Elden, Elden, Organizations: CNN, US, NRK, Wall Street Journal, Norway “, US State Department, Norwegian Locations: Oslo, Russia, Iran, Moscow, Tehran, Germany, United Kingdom, Canada, Norway,
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Friday said companies related to natural gas and oil will thrive under President-elect Donald Trump's administration and a majority Republican Congress. "If you want a sustainable Trump trade, I say bet on the natural gas ecosystem. Enbridge says it transports about 20% of all natural gas consumed in the U.S., and Cramer claimed the Canadian outfit has "strategically located assets." He also named Cheniere and Sempra , saying the former is the "best play" for liquified natural gas exports. "Seasonally, this is a good time for the commodity," he said, pointing out that natural gas itself has climbed since the election.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Donald Trump's, Joe Biden's, Cramer, Trump, Chris Wright, Kinder Morgan, Enbridge Organizations: Republican Congress, Trump, Department of Energy, Energy Locations: underperform, U.S
CNN —President-elect Donald Trump has selected Russell Vought as his pick to lead the Office of Management and Budget, he said in a Truth Social post. Vought was one of the key authors of Project 2025 – the conservative blueprint that Trump tried to distance himself from during the campaign. He was Trump’s former budget director during his first administration when Vought oversaw a widespread deregulation push. During Trump’s first administration, Vought made a name for himself as a policy wonk committed to the MAGA movement. Before serving as Trump’s budget director, Vought was the deputy director and later acting director of OMB.
Persons: Donald Trump, Russell Vought, Trump, ” Trump, MAGA, Vought, Mike Pence Organizations: CNN, Management, Budget, OMB, Center, CRA, Heritage Foundation, Trump –, Mandate, Leadership, Republican National Convention Locations: America
Welcome to Best of Late Night, a rundown of the previous night’s highlights that lets you sleep — and lets us get paid to watch comedy. Here are the 50 best movies on Netflix right now. A Distraction From the DistractionsMatt Gaetz, who was President-elect Donald J. Trump’s choice for attorney general despite allegations that he’d used drugs and had sex with a 17-year-old, withdrew his name from consideration on Thursday. Jimmy Kimmel said the ex-congressman from Florida had “crawled back under the rock of cocaine he scurried out from under.”
Persons: Matt Gaetz, Donald J, he’d, Jimmy Kimmel, , Organizations: Netflix Locations: Florida
CNN —President-elect Donald Trump on Friday named former NFL player and White House official Scott Turner to lead the Department of Housing and Urban Development. If confirmed by the Senate, Turner would lead an agency that enforces fair housing laws, administers mortgage insurance to prospective homeowners and gives rental subsidies to lower-income families, among other things. In 2019, Turner traveled with former HUD Secretary Ben Carson touting the program. After leaving the league, Turner mounted an unsuccessful run for California 50th Congressional District in 2006. He was elected to the Texas House in 2012 and finished out his term in 2017 after losing a bid for the state House speakership.
Persons: Donald Trump, Scott Turner, Turner, Ben Carson, , ” Turner Organizations: CNN, NFL, White, of Housing, Urban, Senate, Center for Education Opportunity, America, Policy Institute, Council, Trump, Economic, Washington Redskins, Washington Commanders, San Diego Chargers, Denver Broncos, California, Congressional District, Texas House Locations: Texas, Washington
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Chip War' author discusses Trump 2.0's impact on U.S. semiconductor policyChris Miller, associate professor at the Fletcher School at Tufts University and author of "Chip War: The Fight for the World's Most Critical Technology," discusses what Donald Trump's presidential election victory means for U.S. semiconductor policy and competition with China.
Persons: Chris Miller, Donald Trump's Organizations: Trump, Fletcher School, Tufts University Locations: China
In many ways, President Vladimir V. Putin seems to be winning. Russian forces are pushing ahead in Ukraine. President-elect Donald J. Trump is returning to the White House. And yet on Thursday, Mr. Putin appeared weary, threatened and newly aggrieved as he took his bellicose threats against his Western adversaries to a new level. As a result, Mr. Putin is bringing Russia closer to a direct conflict with the United States than at any point in decades.
Persons: Vladimir V, Putin, Donald J, Trump Locations: Ukraine, Europe, North, Russia, United States, Moscow
AdvertisementTrump's proposed tariffs could raise costs for hardware startups making physical goods. Hardware startups rely on a host of manufacturers that are mostly based in China. When China-based manufacturers ship the final products back, the hardware startups may get hit with levees of up to 60 percent on goods from China, according to Trump's statements during his campaign. AdvertisementThe impact on startups: 'We're done here'In the aftermath of Trump's election win, euphoria is sweeping through the business world. AdvertisementHe said he's worried about the potential for Trump tariffs to spark a recession.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Nikhil Basu Trivedi, Jared Friedman, Combinator, Friedman, Graham Anderson, Marc Andreessen, Elon Musk, Bradley Tusk, Santosh Sankar, Trump's, Tim Cook, Cook, Donald Trump, Ivanka Trump, Steven Mnuchin, Mandel Ngan, Alan Deardorff, Trump, Deardorff, he'll, Lea Suzuki, Spencer Penn, Tesla, Penn, , Chris Van Dyke's, he's, Van Dyke Organizations: Investors, Elon, Washington Post, Washington, Dynamo Ventures, Apple, Trump, Mac, Getty, Big Tech, University of Michigan, Tesla, San Francisco Locations: China, Asia, When China, Flexport, Austin , Texas, AFP, Fremont , California, Europe
Four big reasons to own gold into 2025
  + stars: | 2024-11-22 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
On Friday, spot gold rose about 1% amid increasing tensions between Russia and Ukraine . Secondly, the global interest rate-cutting cycle will also stretch into 2025, which will serve as another driver of higher gold prices. Moreover, a push among central banks to diversify their reserves away from the dollar could also provide some additional support for gold, he said. "We expect the de-dollarization trend among central banks and private asset managers to continue," Khandelwal said. "We estimate central banks bought around 900 metric tons of gold in 2024, and these volumes can be sustained well above the prior decade's average of around 325 metric tons a year."
Persons: Gold, Donald Trump's, Sagar Khandelwal, Khandelwal Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: Russia, Ukraine
What Elon Musk Needs From China
  + stars: | 2024-11-22 | by ( Keith Bradsher | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
No American business leader has more visibly and lavishly supported President-elect Donald J. Trump than Elon Musk — and few if any have a more complex relationship with China, a country that Mr. Trump has vowed to confront with higher tariffs and other measures. Mr. Musk has a lot on the line. Tesla sells more cars in China than anywhere except the United States, and his local competition is getting stronger. Mr. Musk has personally appealed to China’s premier, Li Qiang, for permission to proceed with what Tesla calls Full Self-Driving as the company’s market share in China has dwindled. Some experts have suggested that Beijing may be able to turn Mr. Musk into an influential ally in trying to persuade Mr. Trump to take a more conciliatory approach on trade.
Persons: Donald J, Trump, Elon Musk, Musk, Tesla, Li Qiang Organizations: Elon, Mr Locations: China, United States, Beijing
President-elect Donald Trump is considering naming Kevin Warsh as Treasury secretary then ultimately sending him off to serve as Federal Reserve chair, according to a Wall Street Journal report. The speculation comes with Treasury being the last major Cabinet position for which Trump has yet to state his intention. Among the potential scenarios would be one where Bessent would lead the National Economic Council initially then go over to Treasury after Warsh takes over at the Fed. However, Trump is known for the propensity to change his mind, and the report noted that nothing has been finalized. Read the full Wall Street Journal story here.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kevin Warsh, Warsh, Jerome Powell's, Trump, Marc Rowan, Scott Bessent Organizations: Wall, Fed, Treasury, Apollo Global Management, National Economic Council
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