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(PRO subscribers can view the official 2024 strategist survey here . ) "Lifting our 12-month S & P 500 target to 5100 as inflation falls, the Fed turns dovish, and real yields plunge," Kostin wrote. Other Wall Street firms with similarly bullish forecasts include Citigroup and BMO Capital Markets, which each have S & P 500 price targets of 5,100. Barclays' Venu Krishna was even more bearish, anticipating the S & P 500 would fall to 3,725. Entering the penultimate trading week of the year, the S & P 500 is almost 23% higher in 2023, while the Nasdaq Composite has advanced almost 42%.

Persons: —, Stocks, Sam Stovall, Monday, Stovall, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, John Stoltzfus, Stoltzfus, America's Savita Subramanian, JPMorgan's, Bujas, Morgan Stanley, BofA's Subramanian —, Venu Krishna, Oppenheimer's John Stoltzfus, Dow Industrials Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, CFRA Research, Goldman, Oppenheimer Asset Management, Citigroup, BMO Capital Markets, Bank, America's, Nvidia, Microsoft, Barclays, Nasdaq Locations: Friday's

☆ UBS sees big market swings and only slight gains for stocks in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-12 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

UBS is out with its 2024 outlook, and it expects some wild swings for markets next year. The Wall Street firm on Monday said it sees the S & P 500 ending next year at 4,850, roughly 5% above Monday's close of 4,622.44. Stocks have been on a tear recently, with the S & P 500 riding a six-week winning streak. "The large spread between current strength and expected weakness presents a dilemma for investors," Golub wrote Monday. Goldman Sachs' David Kostin said he anticipates the S & P 500 will end next year at 4,700 , just a stone's throw from where the broader index is currently trading.

Persons: Jonathan Golub, Stocks, Golub, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, America's Savita Subramanian, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: UBS, UBS Investment Bank, Bank, America's

☆ Stock market has 'modest upside' in 2024, says Goldman's David Kostin
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStock market has 'modest upside' in 2024, says Goldman's David KostinDavid Kostin, Goldman Sachs chief U.S. equity strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss Kostin's way of thinking about equity markets, if there will be revenue growth in a falling inflation environment, and much more.

Persons: Goldman's David Kostin David Kostin, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Email

☆ Goldman Sachs analyzed 1,216 hedge and mutual funds with a combined $5.2 trillion in holdings. Here are the 10 stocks they're both buying.
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: 1 min

Hedge funds and mutual funds have both increased their equity exposure, says David Kostin. This sent the S&P 500 to its highest peak of the year, now up 19.50% since January. These 10 stocks are the top picks among both hedge funds and mutual funds. Hedge funds and mutual funds have increased their position sizes in the equity markets this year. Hedge funds particularly have had a great stock-picking run; long positions from Goldman Sachs' Hedge Fund Very Important Position basket (GSTHHVIP), which includes the 50 most popular stocks within the top 10 holdings of fundamental hedge funds, has seen a 34% gain year-to-date, according to a December 1 note from Goldman Sachs Chief US Equity Strategist David Kostin and his team.

Persons: David Kostin, Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: Business Locations: Goldman Sachs

☆ Deutsche Bank sees S&P 500 gaining more than 11% and reaching a record next year
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-27 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Deutsche Bank expects the S & P 500 could climb more than 11% to a record next year — and said its base case seems "conservative." The investment bank set its 2024 year-end S & P 500 target at 5,100, or more than 11% above where the broader index closed Friday at 4,559.34. In its bull case, Deutsche Bank expects the S & P 500 could even climb to 5,500, or more than 20% above where the benchmark closed last. "We note that the S & P 500 has been in a clear trend up channel since the [Great Financial Crisis]. Goldman Sachs' David Kostin expects the S & P 500 will chop around and finally end next year at 4,700 .

Persons: —, Jim Reid, Reid, America's Savita Subramanian, Lori Calvasina, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Bank, America's Locations: London, financials

☆ Goldman Sachs: These are the 50 highest-quality stocks to buy heading into the new year
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-26 | by ( Mark Reeth | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

With their well-entrenched businesses, high sales growth, and strong balance sheets he believes they will continue to outperform next year. Thankfully, Kostin wrote that "equity valuations appear less stretched in absolute and relative terms after adjusting for record high market concentration." "In a recession, we expect the S&P 500 would end 2024 at 3700 (-18%)," Kostin wrote. First, Kostin wrote investors should "own growth stocks with high returns on capital that typically outperform given stable economic growth and interest rates." To that end, Kostin shared Goldman Sachs' basket of 50 stocks the analysts there believe are the highest quality on the market.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin isn't, Kostin, Altman Organizations: Business

☆ The S&P 500 will trade near its all-time high before a recession drags it down again in a topsy-turvy 2024, Société Générale says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-23 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The S&P 500 will climb higher in the first quarter but then plunge 12%, the French bank said. AdvertisementGet ready for an up-and-down 2024 where the S&P 500 nears record highs, plunges, and then stages another comeback, Société Générale says. "The S&P 500 should be in 'buy-the-dip' territory, as leading indicators for profits continue to improve." The S&P 500 traded at 4,556 as of Wednesday's closing bell. Goldman Sachs' David Kostin said earlier this month that he's expecting the S&P 500 to trade at 4,700 points by the end of 2024.

Persons: Société, —, Société Générale, SocGen, Manish Kabra, It's, Kabra, who's, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, he's Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Big Tech, Wall, Bank of America, RBC Capital Markets

☆ This is Goldman's No. 1 stock strategy going into what the firm expects to be a meager year
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-20 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Investors should stick with quality stocks against a lackluster macroeconomic growth outlook, according to Goldman Sachs. "Despite our economists' optimistic US economic growth outlook, it seems likely that investor economic uncertainty will generally remain elevated next year," Kostin said. Here's a look at some of the quality stocks that made the Goldman list. SHW YTD mountain Sherwin-Williams stock. Kostin noted that growth stocks "typically outperform given stable economic growth and interest rates," while cyclicals "represent attractive tactical investments if economic data surprise to the upside relative to consensus expectations."

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, David Kostin, Kostin, Sam Altman, Altman, Sherwin, Williams, Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal, Microsoft, BMO Capital Locations: U.S

☆ Goldman Sachs expects below-average returns for the next 2 years. It shares 3 strategies to beat the market and 23 stock picks across them.
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-18 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

These are some of the forecasts for 2024 from Goldman Sachs chief US equity strategist David Kostin and his team. But that doesn't mean it's time to expect a full-on bull market or rapid economic growth anytime soon. So, to leave room for alternative outcomes, Kostin envisioned an even more optimistic scenario that would see rate cuts and stronger economic growth. The second strategy is to not shy away from growth stocks, but rather, be discerning. Yet, their forecasted sales growth is below their 2023 numbers.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, Goldman isn't, Sherwin, Williams, Stocks, Eli Lilly, Russell, John Organizations: Federal, Treasury, Bloomberg, Business, O'Reilly Automotive, Dwight, Marathon Petroleum, Intercontinental Exchange, Truist Financial, Rollins Inc, Power Systems, Water, Enphase Energy, Co, NVIDIA, EQT Corp, Toro Company, John Bean Technologies Corporation, Delta Air Lines, DAL, Alaska Air Group Locations: Goldman's, ORLY, Albemarle, ALB

☆ Goldman sees S&P 500 rising to 4700 by year-end 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

David Kostin, Chief US Equity Strategist for Goldman Sachs, speaks during an interview with CNBC on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., May 10, 2022. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/file photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 15 (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs investment strategists said on Wednesday that they now expect the S&P 500 to end 2024 at 4700, implying a roughly 6% gain including dividends. The estimate, from a research note led by chief equity strategist David Kostin, is based on modest economic expansion, an increase in earnings of 5% and a valuation multiple of 18. The target assumes a roughly flat market during the first half of the year with returns concentrated in the second half, after the Federal Reserve starts cutting interest rates and the U.S. election overhang ends. Reporting By Sinéad CarewOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: David Kostin, Goldman Sachs, Brendan McDermid, Sinéad Carew Organizations: US Equity, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ Goldman Sachs is out with its official 2024 outlook. Here's where it sees stocks going
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Goldman Sachs just came out with its official 2024 outlook — and has a message penned by Taylor Swift for investors. The strategist penned his 2024 outlook after Swift's "All You Had To Do Was Stay" — a song from the singer-songwriter's "1989" album. As homage to the global icon, our 2024 US Equity Outlook is subtitled 'All You Had To Do Was Stay' – invested," Kostin wrote. The strategist expects rate cuts in the fourth quarter of next year. He recommended three strategies for equity investors: buy quality stocks, own growth names with a high return on invested capital (ROIC), and invest in beaten-down cyclicals.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Taylor Swift, David Kostin, Kostin, Taylor Swift's Organizations: Kostin, Federal Reserve, 2Q Locations: U.S

☆ S&P 500 returns tend to be measly in the 12 months leading up to a presidential election
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The 2024 U.S. presidential election is now only 12 months away, with the primary season set to begin Jan. 15. While every election year brings with it a unique mix of political and macroeconomic conditions, Goldman Sachs' portfolio strategy research team says equity returns tend to be weaker than average in the 12 months leading up to a presidential election. Since 1984, the average S & P 500 return on election years is only 4%, according to Goldman. When looking more broadly from 1932, the S & P 500 has averaged returns of 7% during an election year and 9% outside of election years. "Post-election returns have typically been stronger when the election resulted in a divided government than a unified government, especially in the case of a wave election," Kostin said.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Louis, David Kostin, Kostin, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Louis Federal, Tech

☆ Goldman says sell-off is a buying opportunity for these stocks with healthy balance sheets
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-30 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The recent sharp drawdown in stocks presents a buying opportunity for those stocks that are positioned to withstand a double whammy of higher interest rates and an economic slowdown, according to Goldman Sachs. "Although we expect headwinds to discount rates and balance sheets to persist, we would view a substantial further downgrade to the growth outlook as a buying opportunity," David Kostin, Goldman's chief U.S. equity strategist, said in a note to clients. Therefore, Goldman believes many cyclical stocks, or those with a high sensitivity to the economy, shouldn't suffer. "We therefore remain wary of long-duration and highly levered stocks but think investors should treat cyclical sell-offs as a buying opportunity," Kostin said. Energy stocks Devon Energy and Patterson-UTI Energy also made the list.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Goldman, Kostin Organizations: Academy Sports, PVH Corp, Holdings . Energy, Devon Energy, Patterson, UTI Energy

☆ Goldman says dividend growth has been resilient and these stocks are the best at returning cash
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-25 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

He forecasts stable dividend growth of 5% this year and 4% in 2024. Chevron has a dividend yield of 3.6% in 2023, with a dividend compound annual growth rate of 5% to 2025. Its dividend compound annual growth rate of 8% to 2025 means the company's payout to its investors will continue to grow. The firm also has the highest dividend compound annual growth rate of 29% on the list. Investors can expect their cash returns to grow further through 2025, with a dividend compound annual growth rate of 14%.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, Goldman, Hess, Blackstone, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Devon Energy, Chevron, Wall Street, CNBC, Blackstone, Capri Holdings Locations: capex, Guyana, Delaware, Devon, Israel

☆ Goldman Sachs: 21 stocks returning cash to shareholders through buybacks and dividends, setting them up to beat the market
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-24 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

According to David Kostin and his team, companies are continuing to spend cash even as EPS is down. Companies with strong balance sheets will continue to reward shareholders. Stocks are getting rattled by what's going on in the bond market. This dynamic means that companies with expensive debt to repay are less attractive to investors, according to an October 20 note from Goldman Sachs. Meanwhile, investor interest will tilt towards firms with strong balance sheets that can return cash to shareholders, said the note authored by David Kostin.

Persons: David Kostin, what's, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Stocks, Treasury

☆ Goldman's playbook for 5% 10-year yield. These strong balance sheet stocks are winners
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-23 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Investors should focus on stocks with strong balance sheets as these companies tend to be more resilient against high interest rates, according to Goldman Sachs. Bond yields have been surging lately as the Federal Reserve signaled higher rates for longer in its inflation fight. Higher rates make it more expensive to borrow, and they effectively lower the present value of any future earnings. Stocks with strong balance sheets have outperformed those with weak ones by 4 percentage points since the start of September, Goldman said. Meanwhile, investors are rotating away from stocks perceived to be vulnerable to the higher rate backdrop, including those with levered balance sheets, Goldman said.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Goldman, Kostin, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Companies, Big Tech, Netflix, Nvidia, Colgate, Palmolive, Costco, American Airlines, Caesars Entertainment, Delta Air Lines

☆ Goldman Sachs: These 40 stocks could earn higher profits than the rest of the market next year — including one that could see earnings grow by 181% by the end of 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Mark Reeth | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

But a new earnings season could bring a new spark to markets. 40 stocks with earnings growth aheadWhile any improvement to bottom lines across the market is a good thing, investors don't have to settle for market-matching EPS growth. In a separate note published earlier this month, Kostin revealed the 40 stocks that Goldman Sachs believes will enjoy stronger earnings growth than the rest of the market next year. All 40 are below, ranked in descending order of 2024 estimated EPS growth. Along with each stock is its ticker, 2023 estimated EPS growth, and 2024 estimated EPS growth.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, that's, — Organizations: 3Q, 4Q Locations: Wall

☆ Asia markets rise as Wall Street rallies and Treasury yields ease
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Goldman Sachs' chief U.S. equity strategist David Kostin does not expect the Israel-Hamas conflict will have a huge impact on markets. "It's a tragedy from a human point of view," Kostin told CNBC's "Squawk on the Street" on Tuesday. "But the idea fundamentally, we'll be getting earnings for the last three months, which is obviously backward looking. And the prospects looking forward are probably more domestically facing issues that are sort of pertinent to a lot of portfolio managers." Still, the strategist expects other risk factors will continue to weigh on stocks, citing higher yields and oil prices that could impede multiple expansion.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, CNBC's, we'll, Sarah Min Locations: Israel

☆ Earnings will be the first time in a year we see positive EPS growth, says Goldman's David Kostin
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEarnings will be the first time in a year we see positive EPS growth, says Goldman's David KostinDavid Kostin, Goldman Sachs chief U.S. equity strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss his thoughts on the upcoming earnings results, what could pose a risk to the aggregate index, and more.

Persons: Goldman's David Kostin David Kostin, Goldman Sachs

☆ Volatility is back—Here's what hedge funds are doing during the market's wild swings
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-06 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Volatility has made a comeback, and that's typically when hedge funds outperform and offer downside protection. Amid the elevated volatility, hedge funds increased their short activity, while focusing on quality stocks, according to Goldman Sachs' prime brokerage data. Specifically, hedge funds have been shorting exchange-traded funds in large cap equity, sectors and credit categories for three sessions in a row this week, Goldman said. Quality trade Meanwhile, hedge funds are pivoting to stocks with high-quality fundamentals. The real estate sector, for example, saw a net short position of 2% among hedge funds, DeSanctis said.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, David Kostin, Steven DeSanctis, DeSanctis, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Costco, Cisco, Cadence Design Systems Locations: U.S

☆ Goldman Sachs says the Magnificent 7 are the cheapest they've been in 6 years — and an upcoming catalyst could help push shares another 20% higher from today's prices
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-06 | by ( Mark Reeth | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

A magnificent time to buy the dipHigher bond yields hurt the Magnificent Seven's shares, Kostin said, simultaneously sending their valuations lower. "The recent upgrade to consensus estimates in part reflects the largest tech stocks growing into their elevated P/E multiples – especially NVDA and AMZN." "History suggests the upcoming earnings season is a potential catalyst for the largest tech stocks," he wrote. And for investors worried about price, Kostin has good news: shares of the Magnificent Seven stocks are the cheapest they've been in six years. Goldman SachsWith higher sales and higher earnings expectations powering shares skywards, Kostin believes that shares of the Magnificent Seven could enjoy shockingly strong appreciation from today's prices.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Tesla, David Kostin, Kostin Organizations: Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Meta, Treasury

☆ Goldman analysts say these stocks have the most downside potential
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-04 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Western Digital and Intel are up by double digits in 2023, but Goldman Sachs says these shares may see sharp declines. But even given this optimism, Goldman believes some stocks are bound to fall. In a recent note, the firm detailed several stocks that have the most downside potential based on Goldman's respective target prices. This summer, Western Digital issued weak guidance for its fiscal first quarter, calling for a loss ranging between $2.10 and $1.80 per share, excluding items. The firm sees a descent of more than 14% for the lodging stock, a sharp turn from its 49% year-to-date gain.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Goldman, FactSet, Justin Patterson, Northrop, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Western Digital, Intel, Chief, KeyBanc, Northrop Grumman, APA, Hormel Locations: Airbnb

☆ Goldman Sachs: These 40 stocks have the biggest upside right now ahead of a Q4 market rally — including one that could rise over 175%
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-04 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Goldman Sachs believes the S&P 500 will find a floor and reverse course in the next few months. Here are 40 high-upside stocks to buy as markets rally again. But after the S&P 500 soared nearly 16% in the first half of the year it feels like a disappointment. Higher interest rates and bond yields hampered stocks in the late summer and early fall, culminating in a 4.9% decline in September. Despite the drop, Goldman Sachs is sticking with its mid-year price target of 4,500 for the S&P 500, which is about 6% higher than current levels.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin Organizations: Wall

☆ Goldman analysts say these stocks have the most upside — including 3 expected to double
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-03 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Kostin outlined several stocks that Goldman thinks have the most upside based on the firm's target price. Etsy could gain more than 70% over the next 12 months, according to Goldman's price target on the e-commerce platform. Moderna has the largest potential upside from Goldman's target price at 175.9%. Another stock that is expected to more than double is FMC , a chemical manufacturing company with a focus on agriculture. Shares are off about 48% in 2023, but Goldman Sachs sees 101.6% upside for the stock.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, Goldman, Etsy, SolarEdge, FactSet, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Barclays, Moderna, FMC, Revenue Locations: Europe

☆ Goldman says interest rate expense is biggest threat to profitability, but these stocks are immune
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-02 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The higher-for-longer interest rate regime poses a direct threat to company profitability, but some stocks are a lot less vulnerable to higher borrow costs, according to Goldman Sachs. The Federal Reserve has taken interest rates to the highest level since 2001 while forecasting one more hike this year. The S & P 500 finished September down 4.9%, suffering its worst month of 2023. The Wall Street firm screened the S & P 500 for stocks with low leverage, high interest coverage and low EBITDA growth variability. Specifically, Goldman identified stocks with net debt to EBITDA below 1, EBIT to interest expense in top quartile among S & P 500 stocks and with EBITDA growth variability in bottom quartile.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, ROE, David Kostin, Stocks, Kostin, Goldman Organizations: Goldman, Federal, Street, Cisco, Cadence Design Systems, Cognizant Technology Solutions, Consumer, Costco Locations: EBITDA

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