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☆ Mortgage rates plummet by largest amount in a year
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( Manav Tanneeru | Anna Bahney | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Washington, DC CNN —Mortgage rates tumbled this week in the biggest one-week drop since last November. “Many consumers are feeling strained by the high cost of living, so unless mortgage rates decrease significantly, the housing market will remain stagnant.”The average mortgage rate is based on mortgage applications that Freddie Mac receives from thousands of lenders across the country. When Treasury yields go up, so do mortgage rates; when they go down, mortgage rates tend to follow. But while mortgage rates remain relatively high, the difference between rates now and what they were a year ago has narrowed, said Lisa Sturtevant, chief economist at Bright Multiple Listing Service. “We are in a new era for mortgage rates, where prospective homebuyers can expect rates to settle above 6%,” said Sturtevant.

Persons: It’s, Freddie Mac, ”, Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s, Joel Kan, Jiayi Xu, Xu, Realtor.com, Lisa Sturtevant, Sturtevant Organizations: DC CNN —, “, Treasury, Mortgage, Association Locations: Washington

☆ Homeowner insurance and climate have become major factors in real estate
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( Anna Bahney | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Farmers Insurance deemed it too risky to continue insuring homes in Florida and pulled out of the market there entirely. The average cost for homeowners’ insurance in the United States is about $1,820, according to an analysis by NerdWallet, but there are many variables. As climate risks continue, a standoff has developed over who should pay the cost of insuring homes against ever-growing risks. And for many of the properties that are on the market you can’t obtain insurance? “We’ll have to see some creative solutions in the near term to create that competitive marketplace for insurance,” she said.

Persons: Michael Monaghan, Sellers, “, ’ ” Monaghan, ”, Monaghan, Will, Amy Bach, United, Hurricane Andrew, ” Bach, mitigations, Bach, Jennifer Branchini, Branchini Organizations: DC CNN, Coldwell, Allstate, . Farmers Insurance, National Oceanic, Atmospheric Administration, NOAA, Hurricane, FAIR, California Department of Insurance, California Association of Realtors, State Farm, Farm, “ Locations: Washington, California, Bayside, ”, Florida, Monaghan, United States, “, San Francisco, “ Florida, Louisiana, WUI, Pleasanton

☆ After a $1.8 billion verdict, the clock is ticking on the 6% real estate commission
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-05 | by ( Manav Tanneeru | Anna Bahney | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

And yet, every day, people across America hire a real estate agent to help them sell a home. While state governments license real estate agents, NAR has an extensive code of ethics it expects members to adhere to. NAR and the brokerages have vowed to appeal the verdict, which means real estate commissions aren’t going anywhere immediately. Last month Redfin, an internet real estate company, left the association. The longer-term impact of the verdict may be that the pairing of buyer’s agent commission and seller’s agent commission will eventually be separated.

Persons: Keller Williams, –, Corcoran —, Kenny Parcell, ”, Mantill Williams, Darryl Frost, homesellers, Stephen Brobeck, ” Brobeck, Jen Davis, ” Davis, “, they’ll Organizations: DC CNN, National Association of Realtors, Homeservices, Keller, Keller Williams Realty, Coldwell Banker, Sotheby’s, Realty, NAR, US Department of Justice, “, Consumer, Consumer Federation of America, Holt Homes Group Locations: Washington, America, Missouri, Keefe, Springfield , Missouri

☆ Stocks week ahead: Here’s how America’s economy could begin to weaken
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-05 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

The job market or spending? The spending argument: But there have been instances in which spending weakened before the job market. “I think it starts with the perception of the labor market,” Drew Matus, chief market strategist at MetLife Investment Management, told CNN. The ticket-industry giant said it has sold a record 140 million tickets so far this year, up 17% year-over-year and has already surpassed the 121 million tickets sold in all of 2022. In the third quarter, Ticketmaster sales surged 57% to $833 million and 90 million fee-bearing tickets were sold in the period.

Persons: can’t, ” Shannon Seery, “ It’s, ” Seery, Luke Tilley, ” Tilley, Jerome Powell, ” Drew Matus, ”, Taylor Swift, Parija Kavilanz, Swifties, Taylor, Michael Rapino, Beyoncé, Harry Styles, Bunny, Jonas Brothers, Bruce Springsteen, Lisa Cook, Michael Barr, Jeffrey Schmid, Christopher Waller, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Ralph Lauren, Steve Madden, Phillip Jefferson, Raphael Bostic, Tom Barkin, Christine Lagarde Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, CNN, Employers, Investment Advisors, Companies, National Bureau of Economic Research, CNN Wednesday, Federal, MetLife Investment Management, Ticketmaster, Ryanair, Goodyear, Fed, Reserve Bank of Australia, Uber, Occidental Petroleum, KKR, The Carlyle Group, US Commerce Department, Biogen, Warner Bros, Teva Pharma, The New York Times Company, Armour, SeaWorld, MGM Resorts, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Sony Group, Astrazeneca, Tapestry, News Corp, US Labor Department, Soho House, National Statistics, European Central Bank, University of Michigan Locations: Washington, Wells, Wilmington, Lyft, Brookfield, Soho

☆ National Association of Realtors CEO steps down, days after real estate group found liable for conspiring to inflate rates
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-02 | by ( David Goldman | Anna Bahney | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

Washington, DC CNN —Bob Goldberg, chief executive officer of the National Association of Realtors, the nation’s largest trade association, is stepping down, the organization announced Thursday. Earlier this week, a federal jury in Missouri found NAR and two brokerages conspired to keep real estate agent commissions artificially high and determined they were liable for $1.8 billion in damages. Nykia Wright, previously CEO of the Chicago Sun-Times, has been appointed NAR interim Chief Executive Officer, starting November 20th. “We are delighted to welcome Nykia as interim CEO,” said NAR President Tracy Kasper, a real estate agent from Nampa, Idaho, and broker-owner of Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Silverhawk Realty. He added: “Nykia’s strategic expertise and forward-looking perspective are exactly what NAR needs to continue advancing its mission in an ever-changing world.”

Persons: Bob Goldberg, Kenny Parcell, Redfin, Nykia Wright, Nykia, ”, Tracy Kasper, Berkshire Hathaway, Silverhawk, Kasper, “, ” Goldberg Organizations: DC CNN, National Association of Realtors, NAR, Chicago Sun, Times, Sun - Locations: Washington, Missouri, Nampa , Idaho, Berkshire

☆ What to expect from today’s Fed meeting
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

That would be the second consecutive meeting the Fed keeps rates unchanged. But that doesn’t mean the Fed is done hiking rates. Still, hawkish Fed officials — those who back a more aggressive approach to addressing inflation — believe there’s more room to raise rates. Domestic spending has continued at a strong pace and the labor market remains tight,” Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said last month in Morocco. The strong economy will likely slowDespite the Fed’s 11 rate hikes since March 2022, the US economy has displayed remarkable resilience.

Persons: Jerome Powell, “, ” Powell, Michelle Bowman, ” Luke Tilley, Powell, Banks, ”, Nela Richardson Organizations: DC CNN, Federal Reserve, hawkish Fed, ”, Labor Department, Wilmington Trust, CNN Locations: Washington, New York, Morocco, Wilmington, Israel

☆ Tinder owner Match Group settles antitrust claims against Google’s app store
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( Brian Fung | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Washington, DC CNN —Online dating giant Match Group has dropped a closely watched antitrust lawsuit against Google’s app store, the two companies said Tuesday, days before a trial set to begin in San Francisco federal court. The settlement between the search giant and the owner of sites such as Match, Tinder and Hinge resolves allegations that Google harmed competition through its app store terms. It permits Match Group to provide users alternative ways to pay for in-app content without requiring them to use Google’s proprietary payment channels. Developer complaints about high app store fees — charged by app store owners such as Google — have reached a fever pitch in recent years, along with related allegations about other restrictive app store terms. The outcome of the app store cases could shape the livelihoods of app developers and determine the flow of billions of dollars in economic activity.

Persons: Tim Sweeney, ” Sweeney, ” Organizations: DC CNN —, Google, Epic Games, Apple, Supreme, Match Locations: Washington, San Francisco federal

☆ US home prices rose in August for the seventh straight month
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Anna Bahney | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

Washington, DC CNN —US home prices continued to rise in August, hitting a new record high and marking the seventh consecutive month of increases. Prices rose 0.9% in August from the month before, according to seasonally adjusted data from the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index released Tuesday. Compared to a year ago, the national composite index also rose, with prices up 2.6% from August 2022, according to Case-Shiller data. On a seasonally adjusted basis, prices increased in 19 of 20 cities in August — and Cleveland only missed by a hair. Where prices are rising and falling the mostWhile 12 of the 20 cities reported higher prices in the year ending August 2023 versus the year ending July 2023, seven of 20 cities reported lower prices.

Persons: ”, Craig Lazzara, Dow, Charlotte ,, ” Lazzara, Lazzara Organizations: DC CNN, Dow Jones Indices, “, Cleveland Locations: Washington, Atlanta, Boston, Charlotte, Charlotte , North Carolina, Chicago, Detroit, Miami, New York, —, Las Vegas, West

☆ US paychecks grew faster than expected in the third quarter
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Washington, DC CNN —Total compensation paid to US workers grew at a faster pace than expected last quarter, pointing to ongoing momentum in the job market. That’s a faster pace than the 1% gain registered in the second quarter. Wage growth advanced at a robust 1.2% pace in the July-through-September period, accelerating from the prior three-month period’s 1% rise, contributing to a pickup in overall compensation growth. From a year earlier, wages and benefits grew 4.3% in the third quarter, a slower pace than the second quarter’s 4.5% annual gain and the first quarter’s 5% rate. An analysis from jobs site ZipRecruiter showed that consumer prices rose faster than wages from the first quarter of 2020 through this year’s second quarter: Consumer prices grew 17.2%, versus compensation growth of 13.6%.

Persons: ” Julia Pollak, ZipRecruiter, ” Pollak, “, ” Organizations: DC CNN —, Labor Department, Federal Reserve, CNN Locations: Washington, That’s

☆ How the Fed is using its multi-trillion-dollar balance sheet to fight inflation
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-29 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

Washington, DC CNN —The Fed’s fight against inflation is about to enter a new phase, but the central bank’s enormous balance sheet will continue to play a key role. The Fed also manages a multi-trillion-dollar balance sheet that accounts for trillions in government securities and lists how much currency is in circulation. For over a year now, the Fed has been steadily shrinking its balance sheet to help cool the economy. The Fed’s balance sheet is currently at around $7.9 trillion, down from its peak of $9 trillion in early 2022 right before the runoff. They also see alternative scenarios for the end of the balance sheet runoff if there isn’t a recession.

Persons: that’s, Lael Brainard, What’s, Wells, Jerome Powell, JPMorgan Chase’s Jamie Dimon, Jamie Dimon, Krystal Hur, Dimon —, Mr, Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, what’s, Estee Lauder, Kraft Heinz, Yum, Bausch, Eli Lilly, Molson Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Congress, Fed, Wall Street, JPMorgan, JPMorgan Chase, CNN, HSBC, McDonald’s, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Bank of Japan, Pfizer, Caterpillar, Marathon Petroleum, Sirius XM, Anheuser, Busch, BP, Chesapeake Energy, US Labor Department, Global, Board, CVS, GSK, Humana, Reuters, Apollo Global Management, Brands, Garmin, Cruise Line Holdings, Qualcomm, Airbnb, PayPal, MetLife, Aflac, AIG, Allstate, Prudential, P Global, Institute for Supply Management, Federal Reserve, ConocoPhillips, Starbucks, Duke Energy, Shopify, Ferrari, Marriott International, Moderna, Fox, Molson Coors, Hyatt, Apple, Motorola, Bank of England, Dominion Energy, Gartner, Restaurant Brands Locations: Washington, Treasuries, China’s, Mondelez, DoorDash, Avis, Shell, Cigna

☆ The shaky stock market is making Americans feel uneasy
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-27 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

Washington, DC CNN —Americans’ moods soured this month, largely due to a wobbly stock market. The survey also showed that Americans became more pessimistic about the economy’s outlook for the year ahead. The tech-heavy Nasdaq tilted into correction territory Thursday as shares of some Big Tech companies slipped. Meanwhile, Americans’ inflation expectations for the year ahead worsened in October, jumping to 4.2% from 3.2% in September, the highest reading since May. The Federal Reserve pays close attention to inflation expectations, particularly longer-term expectations.

Persons: Joanne Hsu Organizations: DC CNN, University of Michigan’s, Consumers, Investors, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Meta, Microsoft, Google, Big Tech, Apple, Nvidia, Fed Locations: Washington

☆ Federal judge hints that Big Tech companies may have to face consumer allegations of mental health harm9
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-27 | by ( Brian Fung | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

This week, dozens of states filed a virtually identical federal lawsuit against Meta alleging the company knew that the design of its social media platforms had been harmful to kids. She also expressed skepticism in response to claims by industry lawyers that tech companies have no legal obligation to ensure their platforms are safe for children. Still, she said, the burden falls on the tech platforms to prove why she should throw out the cases at an early stage in litigation. “It doesn’t seem to me that you can escape that,” Gonzalez Rogers said. But one thing is certain, Gonzalez Rogers said: “Your billing fees today exceed my annual salary.”

Persons: —, Meta, it’s, Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers, Gonzalez Rogers, ” Gonzalez Rogers, “, ” Organizations: DC CNN, Google, Meta, Court, Northern Locations: Washington, California, Northern District

☆ Pending home sales rose in September, despite high mortgage rates
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-26 | by ( Anna Bahney | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

Washington, DC CNN —US pending home sales ticked up in September despite mortgage rates surging over 7%. Pending sales were down 11% from a year ago. Pending sales had seen slight increases in June and July, despite elevated prices and higher mortgage rates. But mortgage rates topping 7% in August snapped that streak, and pending sales dropped 7% from July to August. “Because of home builders’ ability to create more inventory, new-home sales could be higher this year despite increasing mortgage rates,” said Yun.

Persons: “, ”, Lawrence Yun, Yun, They’re Organizations: DC CNN, National Association of Realtors, South, West, “, Midwest, Housing Locations: Washington, Northeast, Midwest

☆ The US economy grew at a robust 4.9% rate in the third quarter
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-26 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Gross domestic product, a measure of all goods and services produced in the economy, grew at an annualized 4.9% rate in the third quarter, the Commerce Department reported Thursday. Robust consumer spending fueled growth in the third quarter, a sign of the economy’s surprising resilience in the face of tougher borrowing costs and persistently high inflation. Spending grew from July through September by an annualized rate of 4%, its strongest pace since the fourth quarter of 2021. Residential fixed investment, which reflects conditions in the housing market, advanced at a 3.9% annualized rate in the third quarter, Thursday’s GDP report showed. That’s down from a peak of 5.6% in early 2022, but well above the Fed’s inflation goal.

Persons: splurged, Taylor Swift, Barbie, outlays, ”, Jeffrey Roach, Jerome Powell, Powell, ” Powell Organizations: DC CNN, Gross, Commerce Department, LPL, Federal Reserve, Economic, of New Locations: Washington, of New York, United States

☆ US new home sales surged in September
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-25 | by ( Anna Bahney | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Washington, DC CNN —New home sales in the United States surged higher in September from the month before, even as mortgage rates remained over 7%, making financing a home costlier and pushing people out of the market. This represents the fastest pace of sales since February 2022 and easily exceeds analysts’ expectations of a sales pace of 680,000. Sales of existing homes have been trending down since February and are down 20% year to date in September from a year ago. While new home sales are a much smaller share of the overall sales market than existing home sales, the inventory picture is rosier for new construction homes. This represents a supply of 6.9 months at the current sales pace.

Persons: Freddie Mac, ”, Kelly Mangold, Mangold Organizations: DC CNN, United States, US Department of Housing, Urban Development, Census, Federal Reserve, Real Estate Consulting, National Association of Realtors Locations: Washington, United, “

☆ After a robust third quarter, US economic growth will likely slow. That's good for the prospect of rate cuts next year.
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-22 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

The central bank also doesn’t have any incentive to restrict the economy through elevated interest rates if inflation is already under control. The US central bank has raised interest rates 11 times since March 2022 to their highest level in 22 years. The US Commerce Department reports new home sales in September. The US Commerce Department reports third-quarter gross domestic product along with September figures on new durable-goods orders. The US Labor Department reports the number of new applications for jobless benefits in the week ended October 21.

Persons: Jerome Powell, ” Gregory Daco, ” Diane Swonk, Donald Trump, Colin Kaepernick’s, Bud Light’s, Elliott Gotkine, ”, Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, “, Satya Nadella, ” Sundar Pichai, , Sherwin, Williams, Clark, General, Hess, Rowe Price Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, The Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, Treasury, KPMG, BlackRock, America, Nike, Yale School of Management, Microsoft, ” Disney, Sonnenfeld, Tottenham Hotspur, Whirlpool, Verizon, General Electric, Barclays, 3M, General Motors, Spotify, Quest Diagnostics, Mobile, Boeing, General Dynamics, Old Dominion, Hilton, Meta, IBM, US Commerce Department, Mastercard, Merck, Comcast, UPS, Myers Squibb, Northrop Grumman, Valero, The Hershey Company, Amazon, Intel, European Central Bank, US Labor Department, National Association of Realtors, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Colgate, Palmolive, Phillips, University of Michigan Locations: Washington, EY, Israel, United States, United Kingdom, London, Gaza, Kimberly, Haliburton, Old, Bristol, AbbVie

☆ Why the housing market is going from tough to terrible
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-20 | by ( Anna Bahney | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

The current housing market offers a crushing affordability picture for would-be-homebuyers and is keeping many out of the market. The monthly payment on an average-priced home now requires 40% of the median household income, making housing the least affordable it’s been since 1984, according to ICE. “Longer term Treasury yields — which mortgage rates tend to follow — depend on expected economic growth and inflation expectations,” said Orphe Divounguy, senior economist at Zillow. The median household income was $74,580 in 2022, according to the US Census Bureau. “Good news in the economy causes rates to stay higher for longer — but the longer rates are higher, the more likely something in the market goes ‘boom.’”

Persons: Freddie Mac, ”, Andy Walden, ” Walden, Orphe Divounguy, Nicole Bachaud, Bachaud, John Toohig, Raymond James, ” Toohig, “ Organizations: DC CNN —, ICE Mortgage Technology, Black, ICE, “, Zillow, Census Bureau Locations: Washington

☆ Fed Chair Powell to deliver remarks during uncertain moment for the US economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Washington, DC CNN —Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is set to deliver remarks during a moderated discussion hosted by the Economic Club of New York at 12 pm ET on Thursday. The yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note reached its highest level since 2007 on Wednesday, while 30-year Treasury yields breached the 5% mark. That’s a welcome development for the Fed, but officials aren’t quite yet ready to declare victory. Inflation is still above the Fed’s 2% target, and officials have said they need to see further evidence of the economy cooling. Employers added a robust 336,000 jobs in September, while the unemployment rate held at a low 3.8% that month.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Philip Jefferson, That’s, ”, Mary Daly Organizations: DC CNN — Federal, Economic, of New, Treasury, ” San Francisco Fed, Traders, Commerce Department Locations: Washington, of New York, June’s, ” San, Israel

☆ Existing home sales dropped in September to 13-year low as surging prices and mortgage rates stymie demand
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( Anna Bahney | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

The median price for existing homes — which include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops — was $394,300 last month. That was up 2.8% from a year ago and marked the third consecutive month of year-over-year price increases, setting a record high price for homes in September. Low inventory and high prices contributed to sales of existing homes dropping 2% from August to September to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.96 million units, just above analysts’ expectations. More than 90% of homeowners with a mortgage have rates at 6% or lower, according to ICE Mortgage Technology, which recently acquired mortgage data provider Black Knight. Part of this, of course, is because buyers with the means are working to avoid high mortgage rates by purchasing in cash.

Persons: —, ” Lawrence Yun, ”, Yun Organizations: DC CNN —, National Association of Realtors, NAR, Federal, ”, ICE Mortgage Technology, Black, Homeowners Locations: Washington, Northeast, Midwest, South, homeownership

☆ Homebuilding bounced back in September
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-18 | by ( Anna Bahney | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

Washington, DC CNN —US homebuilding bounced back in September, after dropping in August to the lowest levels since 2020 as mortgage rates climbed. Building permits dropped in September, falling 4.4% from August’s revised number to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.473 million. “Builders continue constructing smaller homes using less land, and offering incentives, but to build our way out of the housing shortage we’ll need mortgage rates well below current levels,” he said. Homebuilders are becoming increasingly anxious about persistently high mortgage rates and cooling demand, she said. “To keep buyers interested, many builders have been offering upgrades or buying down mortgage rates,” she said.

Persons: US homebuilding, ”, Robert Frick, Lisa Sturtevant, “, Sturtevant Organizations: DC CNN, US, Housing, Census, Navy Federal Credit Union, “ Builders, Bright MLS Locations: Washington

☆ US retail sales rose in September for the sixth-straight month
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Retail sales, which are adjusted for seasonality but not inflation, grew 0.7% in September from the prior month. Factoring in September’s 0.4% rise in consumer prices, inflation-adjusted retail sales were up 0.3% last month. From a year earlier, retail sales and food services spending were up 3.8% in September, the strongest annual gain since February. Spending grew across most categories last month, with sales at specialty stores advancing the most, by 3%. Excluding sales at gasoline stations, retail sales still advanced 0.7% last month.

Persons: ”, BIll Adams, ’, Adams, US Energy Information Administration “, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Brian Field, Gregory Daco, ” Daco, Joe Biden, Jordan Organizations: DC CNN, Comerica Bank, headwinds, UAW, United Auto Workers, US Energy Information Administration, Hamas, University of, San Francisco Fed, “ Retail, CNN, Employers, Sensormatic Solutions, Services, OPEC Locations: Washington, Israel, Iran

☆ Adjustable-rate mortgages are making a comeback
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( Anna Bahney | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Meanwhile, the average rate for a kind of adjustable rate mortgage — a 5/1 ARM — dropped to 6.33% from 6.49%. (Freddie Mac, which provides an average that CNN covers weekly, does not track interest rates for adjustable rate mortgages). When Treasury yields go up, so do mortgage rates; when they go down, mortgage rates tend to follow. Fixed rate vs ARMWhile the overwhelming share of loans are still fixed-rate mortgages, ARMs are becoming more attractive in the current higher-rate environment. Generally, homeowners with higher mortgage rates will pay more in interest rather than principal for a longer time than those with lower interest rates.

Persons: —, Freddie Mac, ”, Bob Broeksmit, Melissa Cohn, Cohn, National Association of Home Builders —, ” Cohn, Kaylin Dillon, Jay Zigmont, ’ ” Zigmont, you’re Organizations: DC CNN, Mortgage, Association, CNN, “, ARM, Fed, Federal Reserve, William, Treasury, Mortgage Bankers Association, National Association of Realtors, National Association of Home Builders, Childfree Locations: Washington, Israel, Kansas, Mississippi

☆ Israel-Hamas war risks further deglobalization and inflation
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-15 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Washington, DC CNN —The global economy is facing tremendous uncertainty from the war between Hamas and Israel in the Middle East, on top of the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine. They say Israel’s declaration of war against Hamas could be yet another catalyst for deglobalization, though the extent of that is still up in the air. If deglobalization does get exacerbated, what would that mean for inflation and monetary policy, globally? With deglobalization, you get a global economic environment that’s less competitive, and when there’s less competition, that is ultimately inflationary, causing prices to rise. Over the Covid era, China shut down production, disrupting the global supply chain, so deglobalization would bring some production back within US borders.

Persons: Wells, Bell, Brendan McKenna, that’s, Trump, there’s, Hanna Ziady, we’ve, ”, Avi Hasson, Patrick Harker, John Williams, Tom Barkin, Michelle Bowman, Tesla, Christopher Waller, Lisa Cook, Jerome Powell, Austan Goolsbee, Michael Barr, Raphael Bostic, Loretta Mester Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Trump, Hamas, Nation Central, Philadelphia Fed, US Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, National Association of Home Builders, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Procter & Gamble, United Kingdom’s, National Statistics, American Airlines, US Labor Department, Federal, Fed Locations: Washington, Israel, Russia, Ukraine, China, Wells Fargo, Gaza, deglobalization, United States, Mexico, US, Tel Aviv, New York

☆ Americans are becoming more worried about inflation after resumption of student loans
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-13 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

Washington, DC CNN —Persistently high inflation took a toll on Americans’ attitudes this month as many began to pay back student loans following a three-year hiatus. The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index fell 7% in October from the prior month, according to a preliminary reading released Friday. October marks the first month of Americans paying back their student loans since the pandemic-related pause. The pause gave relief to more than 43 million Americans who have student loans, with the vast majority owing less than $40,000 and nearly one-third owing less than $10,000. Expectations can worsen, the longer inflation remains elevated, so the upward pressure from higher gas prices on headline inflation can make Americans more pessimistic about inflation.

Persons: DC CNN —, ”, Joanne Hsu, “ Organizations: DC CNN, University of, Consumers, Federal Reserve Locations: Washington, Wells Fargo

☆ Most Fed officials expect one more interest rate hike and that they'll remain elevated for a while, minutes show
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Washington, DC CNN —Most Federal Reserve officials said last month that they expect one more rate hike, according to minutes from their September policy meeting released Wednesday. Some officials said that how fast inflation cools in the coming months will determine how long rates remain elevated. Inflation’s steady descent over the past year, and the job market’s gradual cooldown, gave officials enough reassurance to pause, the minutes showed. The central bank’s latest set of economic projections also showed that most Fed officials expect fewer rate cuts next year, confirming investors’ fears that rates could remain higher for longer. It’s unclear how much higher yields will weigh on economic activity, but several Fed officials have said in public remarks this week that it could mean less action from the Fed.

Persons: ’, Jerome Powell, Philip Jefferson, ”, Lorie Logan, Mack Trucks Organizations: DC CNN, Federal, Fed, Treasury, ” Dallas, Employers, Labor Department, United Auto Workers, UAW Locations: Washington

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