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Amazon.com Inc | ReutersThe initial third-quarter report on gross domestic product showed consumer spending zooming higher by 4% percent a year, after inflation, the best in almost two years. How is this possible with interest rates on everything from credit cards to cars and homes soaring? But they were below expectations at electric-vehicle leader Tesla , which blamed high interest rates, and at Ford . "And as interest rates rise, the proportion of that monthly payment that is interest increases." At American Express , which saw U.S. consumer spending rise 9%, the mild surprise was the company's disclosure that young consumers are adding Amex cards faster than any other group.
Persons: Bill Ackman, CFRA, Sam Stovall, Ryan Marshall, Wells, Jackie Benson, Tesla, Elon Musk, GM, Mary Barra, Paul Jacobson, John Lawler, Musk, Brian Moynihan, Jeremy Barnum, Sachin Mehra, Zers, Guess they're, Stovall, chargeoffs, John Greene, Morgan Stanley, Ravi Shanker, Spirit, Sundaram, Ethan Allen, they've, Marc Bitzer, Arun Sundaram, Amanda Agati, there's Organizations: Amazon.com Inc, Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, Coldwell, Ford, General Motors, GM, United Auto Workers, UAW, Cox Automotive, Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, MasterCard, American Express, Discover Financial Services, JetBlue, Whirlpool, Amazon, PNC, Federal, Asset Management Locations: Shakopee , Minnesota, U.S, Covid, PulteGroup, Vermont
New York CNN —The benchmark S&P 500 index closed in correction territory on Friday, ending a week made volatile by weaker-than-expected earnings reports and strong economic data. The S&P 500 fell 0.5%, marking a more than 10% drop from its most recent July peak. Amazon shares rose 6.8% on Friday after the e-commerce giant reported a beat on top-and bottom-lines for its most recent quarter. Excluding gas and food prices, the core PCE index rose 3.7% for the 12 months ended in September, its smallest year-over-year increase since May 2021. The index rose 0.3% on a monthly basis from the 0.1% rate seen in August.
Persons: Dow, Jamie Dimon Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nasdaq, Chevron, ExxonMobil, Ford Motors, United Auto Workers, JPMorgan Chase, Dow, Gross, Commerce Department, Federal, Traders, The University of Michigan’s Locations: New York
The shaky stock market is making Americans feel uneasy
  + stars: | 2023-10-27 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
Washington, DC CNN —Americans’ moods soured this month, largely due to a wobbly stock market. The survey also showed that Americans became more pessimistic about the economy’s outlook for the year ahead. The tech-heavy Nasdaq tilted into correction territory Thursday as shares of some Big Tech companies slipped. Meanwhile, Americans’ inflation expectations for the year ahead worsened in October, jumping to 4.2% from 3.2% in September, the highest reading since May. The Federal Reserve pays close attention to inflation expectations, particularly longer-term expectations.
Persons: Joanne Hsu Organizations: DC CNN, University of Michigan’s, Consumers, Investors, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Meta, Microsoft, Google, Big Tech, Apple, Nvidia, Fed Locations: Washington
Morning Bid: Amazon and goldilocks ride to the rescue
  + stars: | 2023-10-27 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +6 min
Unlike the reaction to similarly decent results from some of its Big Tech peers this week, shares in the online retail giant Amazon climbed 5% after hours. And both Nasdaq and S&P500 futures were set to bounce into the weekend later after the cash markets closed at their lowest since May. With nominal U.S. growth running at close to 8%, depending on which inflation gauge you use, the heat is impressive. And even the racy headline GDP growth rate was below many assumptions of a 5%-plus print. That bond relief has perhaps flattered the overnight stocks bounce - although on aggregate the earnings season is pretty decent too.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, megacaps, Wang Yi, crumb, Sanofi, TRowe Price, Stanley Black, Decker, CBRE, Christine Lagarde, Jane Merriman Organizations: Chevron Corp, Hess Corp, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Amazon, Big Tech, Nasdaq, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Fed, Big, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Apple, of Japan, European Central Bank, Britain's NatWest, Financial, Authority, University of Michigan, Colgate, Palmolive, Xcel Energy, Charter Communications, Phillips, Central Bank, European Union Summit, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, United States, China, Syria, Europe, Dallas, Abbvie, LyondellBasell, Brussels
That is more than double the 2.1% recorded in the second quarter and a testament to the strength of consumers. But he warned that stronger than expected economic data, particularly as regards the labor market, could leave the door open to even more pressure to raise rates or keep them higher for longer. "Additional evidence of persistently above-trend growth, or that tightness in the labor market is no longer easing, could put further progress on inflation at risk and could warrant further tightening of monetary policy." Complicating matters is that the post-pandemic economy has not gone according to script where higher interest rates almost always blunt economic activity and cause a marked slowdown in the labor market. “The labor market is still adjusting, if it ever does, there’s a question whether retail will ever recover completely,” he says.
Persons: ” Sam Bullard, Wells, Jerome Powell, Powell, , George Calhoun, Calhoun, Bill Adams, , speakership Organizations: Federal, Economic, of New, Stevens Institute of Technology, University of, Comerica, Locations: U.S, of New York, Washington, Israel
Retail sales, which are adjusted for seasonality but not inflation, grew 0.7% in September from the prior month. Factoring in September’s 0.4% rise in consumer prices, inflation-adjusted retail sales were up 0.3% last month. From a year earlier, retail sales and food services spending were up 3.8% in September, the strongest annual gain since February. Spending grew across most categories last month, with sales at specialty stores advancing the most, by 3%. Excluding sales at gasoline stations, retail sales still advanced 0.7% last month.
Persons: , BIll Adams, , Adams, US Energy Information Administration “, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Brian Field, Gregory Daco, ” Daco, Joe Biden, Jordan Organizations: DC CNN, Comerica Bank, headwinds, UAW, United Auto Workers, US Energy Information Administration, Hamas, University of, San Francisco Fed, “ Retail, CNN, Employers, Sensormatic Solutions, Services, OPEC Locations: Washington, Israel, Iran
Breast cancer signs you need to look out for
  + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( Madeline Holcombe | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
CNN —Do you know what to look for to detect breast cancer early? “Many breast changes are the result of aging and childbirth; however, breast cancer can present in a number of ways. “The only breast cancers that are cured … are breast cancers that are detected early,” he said. When it comes to breast cancer, men also need that empowerment, Pariser said. “Although the disease is less common in men, 1% of breast cancers occur in men,” she said.
Persons: Arthur G, Richard J, James, Ashley Pariser, – James, Pariser, , , ” Pariser, Otis Brawley, Brawley, don’t, Organizations: CNN, The Ohio State University Comprehensive Cancer, James Cancer Hospital, Solove Research, American Cancer Society, Bloomberg, Johns Hopkins University, Empowerment Locations: United States
The days of rising interest rates could soon be over
  + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
What’s happening: US Treasury rates are white hot — 10-year Treasury yields are near their highest levels since 2007. It also means more expensive mortgage rates. Mortgage rates tend to track the yield on 10-year US Treasuries. When Treasury yields go up, so do mortgage rates; when they go down, mortgage rates tend to follow. US mortgage rates are at 23 year-highs, and home affordability is at its lowest level since 1984.
Persons: haven’t, Philip Jefferson, ” That’s, Lorie Logan, Raphael Bostic, , , ” Bostic, Mary Daly, Bonds, What’s, Birkenstock, Elisabeth Buchwald, Megan Penick, Robinson, Rachel Ramirez, It’s, they’re Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, Financial, CME, Treasury, New York Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Consumer, Dallas, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, American Bankers Association, San Francisco Fed, Index, PPI, CPI, New York Stock Exchange, Renaissance, Nature Communications Locations: New York, Germany, Czech Republic, Slovenia
However, the fall Prime event might have better prices for home goods. In fact, the best prices happened on days that were not key shopping event days. Regardless, the July Prime event offered a deeper discount to shoppers when compared to last year's October Prime sale and Super Saturday. The product did go on sale during last October's Prime member event and this past July's Prime sale, but the discounts were not as deep. Downloads of Amazon's shopping app have declined steadily during each subsequent Prime member shopping event since Amazon's Prime Days in July 2021, according to data intelligence platform Apptopia, which tracks mobile app usage for brands like Amazon.
Persons: Tom Williams, Nick Handrinos, Julie Ramhold, it's, Ramhold, iRobot's, Keurig, AF101, fryer, The Bissell Organizations: Washington , D.C, Cq, Inc, Getty, Adobe, Amazon Prime, Gallup, Finance, Deloitte, CNBC, Electronics, Deal, CoreSight Research, NBC, Scout, Amazon, Sony, Black, Health, Revlon, Philips, July's Locations: Washington ,, Research's U.S
"You see all these high-level headline numbers, and those numbers don't jibe with your economic reality," said Elizabeth Crofoot, senior economist at labor analytics firm Lightcast. Higher prices have been one problem. Are the jobs numbers really that good? Beyond the housing costs, there's some evidence that the jobs numbers may not be all they're cracked up to be, either. After all, more than a quarter of the job creation for September came from lower-wage occupations in the leisure and hospitality industry.
Persons: Frederic J, Brown, Elizabeth Crofoot, nonfarm, Joe Biden's, Crofoot, millennials, Jessica Lautz Organizations: Shell, Afp, Getty, Labor Department, Reuters, Consumer, University of Michigan, Consumers, National Association of Realtors, NAR, Federal Reserve Locations: Alhambra , California, U.S
Minneapolis CNN —Buy Now, Pay Later installment payment offerings appear to be disproportionately used by people facing financial difficulties, raising concerns about the potential for greater money trouble, according to research from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York released Tuesday. New York Fed researchers delved into recently collected consumer survey data to determine who is being offered BNPL options and who uses them. They drew on data collected as part of the June 2023 Survey of Consumer Expectations Credit Access Survey, which included a set of BNPL-specific questions. “The fact that a disproportionate share of BNPL users are already financially fragile raises questions about the resilience of BNPL lending and its performance following an adverse economic shock,” New York Fed researchers wrote. The New York Fed research substantiates previously raised concerns from critics that BNPL may attract — and could ultimately harm — financially fragile individuals.
Persons: Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York Fed, Consumer, Survey, ” New York Fed, Consumer Financial Protection Locations: Minneapolis
Investors may want to stay away from Nike as near-term headwinds weigh on the sports retailer, according to Jefferies. "We see incremental risk ahead for NKE as the wholesale channel is likely to remain pressured and growth in China faces macro headwinds," Konik wrote in a Monday note. "Meanwhile, our consumer survey results indicate that US consumers are likely to reduce spending ahead, with apparel and footwear being the most likely areas of pullback." Jefferies also pointed to a slowdown in U.S. consumer spending that could lead to further headwinds for Nike. Nike's stock has struggled this year, losing more than 22%, making it the second worst-performing Dow Jones Industrial Average member.
Persons: Randal Konik, Konik, Jefferies, Michael Bloom Organizations: Nike, Jefferies, NKE, Dow Jones Industrial Locations: China
Market Movers rounded up the latest reactions on Nike from investors and analysts. The pros discussed the sports apparel retailer after Jefferies lowered its call on the stock from buy to hold. The analyst behind the call, Randal Konik, also lowered Nike's price target by $40 to $100 . The firm's recent consumer survey signaled that there will likely be a slowdown in spending as federal student loan payments ramp back up in October. These repayments had been paused since March 2020 as a Covid-era relief measure.
Persons: Jefferies, Randal Konik Organizations: Nike
A higher share of hybrid workers are stressed or burned out in the past year than fully remote workers, Deloitte found. The recently shared results from the Deloitte survey to Insider were based on nearly 240 fully remote workers, around 350 hybrid workers, and about 460 fully in-person workers and was conducted in April. Just over a third of hybrid workers also felt they didn't really have enough time for wellness, while almost a quarter of fully remote workers felt like this. A quarter of hybrid workers said they felt disconnected from their on-site colleagues compared to 13% of fully remote workers. Similarly, almost a quarter of hybrid workers felt there was ineffective collaboration happening compared to 9% of fully remote workers.
Persons: Deloitte's Jana Arbanas, they're, Jana Arbanas, Arbanas, They've Organizations: Deloitte, Service, US Telecom, Media, Entertainment, Consumer Survey Locations: Wall, Silicon, mhoff@insider.com
Checkers & Rally'sLast year, Checkers & Rally's became one of the first big chains to implement widespread use of AI-powered voice assistants. Out of the 803 Checkers and Rally's restaurants, voice AI was live in 390 as of August. AdvertisementAdvertisementSoundHound, best known as a music-recognition app, has spent years perfecting its conversational voice AI bots. Sister burger chains Carl's Jr. and Hardee's also announced plans to test Presto's AI voice bots this year. Hardee's and Carl's Jr. are also testing voice AI bots by OpenCity.
Persons: DoorDash, Deloitte, Keyvan Mohajer, it's, Mohajer, Schier, Rally's, Domino's, ConverseNow, SoundHound, SoundHound's Mohajer, Beef, Chippy, Rebecca Harrington, McDonald's, Carl's Jr, Del, Carl's, Hardee's, Presto, Taco, Chris Turner, Turner, Taco Bell Organizations: Service, Chipotle, Industry, National Restaurant Association, Deloitte, Wingstop Tech, Anthony's, Slim, Dialog, Taco Bell, Taco, Yum Brands Locations: White, Wall, Silicon, McDonald's, Texas, California , Texas, Florida, Chicago, Thai, Newport Beach , California, Del Taco, Mexican, Southern California, Taco Bell's
Americans are getting a little worried about inflation
  + stars: | 2023-08-29 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
Washington, DC CNN —Americans felt more pessimistic about the economy in August, following two straight months of growing confidence. That would make it extremely hard for the Fed to bring inflation back down to 2%. Consumer attitudes are sometimes a bellwether for spending, which is mainly what economists focus on since consumer spending accounts for about two-thirds of economic output. That’s because the US economy’s strength might not be consistent with 2% inflation, the Fed’s inflation goal. But both the economy and job market also remain on strong footing, and that’s helping to keep inflation elevated.
Persons: , Dana Peterson, , Jerome Powell Organizations: DC CNN, Conference Board, Labor, University of, Federal Reserve, Fed, Street, Kansas City, Atlanta Fed, Commerce Department Locations: Washington
Morning Bid: Dollar rockets as Powell trumps AI
  + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Fed Chair Jerome Powell is due to deliver a keynote address to the annual central banking symposium in Jackson Hole at 1405 GMT. And given increasingly contrasting fortunes of economies on either side of the Atlantic, Powell's words are expected to contain a different message to the one from European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde later in the day at 1900 GMT. Turkey's lira gave back only some of Thursday's gains after its central bank shocked with a 750 basis point interest rate to 25%. Events to watch for on Friday:* Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell gives keynote speech at annual Fed symposium in Jackson Hole. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde also speaks at Jackson Hole.
Persons: Mike Segar, Mike Dolan, Jerome Powell, Christine Lagarde, Ifo, Jackson, Powell, Patrick Harker, Susan Collins, Collins, Harker, BoE, China's bourses, Christina Fincher Organizations: Wall, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Nvidia, European Central Bank, Philadelphia Fed, Boston Fed, ECB, Bank of, Treasury, Reuters, Authorities, University of Michigan's, Marvell, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, Jackson, Bank of England, Asia, Jackson Hole, Jakarta
People walk by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York in the financial district of New York City, U.S., June 14, 2023. Meanwhile, respondents to the bank’s Survey of Consumer Expectations said that the lowest wage they’d accept to take a job also jumped, hitting a record $78,645, from $72,873 a year ago. The survey said that survey respondents said that in July the average wage offered for a full-time job was $69,475 versus $60,764 in July 2022. The jump in compensation, actual and expected, came even as poll respondents saw some softening around the edges of the job market. The New York Fed reports on labor market expectations quarterly as part of a data series best known for tracking the expected path of inflation and household financial situations.
Persons: Shannon Stapleton, they’re, there’s, they’d, , Michael S, Chizu Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of New, REUTERS, bank’s Survey, Consumer Expectations, New York Fed, Cleveland Fed, Thomson Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City, U.S, Jackson Hole , Wyoming
More shoppers are choosing electric vehicles so far this year than ever, according to vehicle sales data from Cox Automotive. While EV sales have been growing healthily for the past couple of years, that trend has accelerated this year. The electric vehicle market is entering into a transition period, she said. The average electric vehicle price in July was $53,469, according to Kelley Blue Book, versus an average price of $48,334 across all vehicles. But the number of charging stations still lags behind what is needed to support a wider-scale adoption of electric vehicles.
Persons: Cox, That’s, , Stephanie Valdez, Streaty, Chevrolet Bolt, Rivian, BEV, “ We’ve, ” Valdez, Price, Kelley, Organizations: Cox Automotive, EV, Streaty, CNN, Alliance for Automotive Innovation, Tesla, Volkswagen, Valdez, US Energy, Ford, EV considerers, US Department of Energy, Alliance, Automotive, Quarterly, California Energy Commission, AAI, District of Columbia, California Air Resources Board Locations: Valdez, California
Now, it's using that influence to kick-start its own music-streaming app, TikTok Music. Like TikTok's interface, TikTok Music includes a "For You" feed of recommended content. This sets it apart from leading streamers like Spotify and Apple Music, which have limited in-app social features. It's still very early days for TikTok Music, and its rivals have a big headstart — Apple Music and Spotify are each in more than 100 countries. TikTok has not yet said when TikTok Music will roll out to other countries including the US.
Persons: TikTok, Tatiana Cirisano, Cirisano, It's, MIDiA Organizations: Spotify, Apple Music, MIDiA Research, TikTok, TikTok Music, YouTube Locations: Singapore, Brazil, Indonesia, Australia, Mexico
Now, it's using that influence to kick-start its own music-streaming app, TikTok Music. Like TikTok's interface, TikTok Music includes a "For You" feed of recommended content. It's still very early days for TikTok Music, and its rivals have a big headstart — Apple Music and Spotify are each in more than 100 countries. But other relative newcomers like YouTube Music have shown there's room to break into music streaming, particularly for platforms that can leverage another popular app to drive sign-ups. TikTok has not yet said when TikTok Music will roll out to other countries including the US.
Persons: TikTok, Tatiana Cirisano, Cirisano, It's, MIDiA Organizations: Spotify, Apple Music, MIDiA Research, TikTok, TikTok Music, YouTube Locations: Singapore, Brazil, Indonesia, Australia, Mexico
Wages and benefits paid to US workers rose 1% in the second quarter from the prior one, a slightly weaker pace than the 1.2% gain in the first three months of the year. The Employment Cost Index, a comprehensive measure of employers’ compensation costs, advanced 4.5% in the second quarter from a year earlier, a slower pace than the 4.8% rise earlier in the year. Monitoring the tight labor marketThe Fed is closely watching the state of the labor market because of the role that higher labor costs play in pushing up consumer prices. But the job market has cooled in the past several months as job openings declined while the share of people employed or seeking work increased, so some of those dynamics have been slowly unwinding. It remains to be seen whether inflation can drift all the way to 2% without a substantial weakening in the labor market.
Persons: paychecks, Friday’s, , Daniel Zhao Organizations: DC CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Fed, University of Michigan’s Locations: Washington
Some market shareThe music streaming market is currently dominated by Swedish giant Spotify and Apple Music. Spotify commands almost 31% of the global streaming market with Apple Music following with 13.7%, according to the International Music Summit Business Report 2023. But Cirisano said that heavy TikTok users could convert into TikTok Music users if they are using other services such as Spotify. Still, Woo of Phillip Securities Research said TikTok Music presents a "low risk" for Spotify and Apple Music. Spotify and Apple Music did not respond to CNBC's requests for comment.
Persons: TikTok, Tolga Akmen, Jonathan Woo, Ole Obermann, Tatiana Cirisano, Cirisano, Woo Organizations: Afp, Getty, Spotify, Apple Music, Phillip Securities Research, YouTube, MIDiA Research, CNBC, MiDIA, Apple, International Music Summit, TikTok Locations: TikTok, Indonesia, Brazil, U.S, Australia, Canada, Germany, France, Sweden, South Korea, Swedish
The nation's largest retailer said Thursday that it will cut the price of Walmart+ in half for those low-income households. Walmart has not disclosed total Walmart+ subscribers, but said about a quarter of its members get government assistance. Walmart launched Walmart+ in 2020 to hook shoppers and increase the likelihood of them spending more on its website and in stores. Along with the Walmart+ discounted price, Walmart said it has made it easier for families receiving food aid to shop online. It said it now accepts SNAP online in all 50 states.
Persons: Doug McMillon, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Walmart, Nutrition, SNAP, United States Department of Agriculture, Amazon Prime, Costco, Sam's, Paramount, Consumer Intelligence Research Partners, Walmart Connect Locations: U.S, Alaska
The National Retail Federation is predicting record spending , whether students are heading back to elementary school, high school or college. Bracing for higher prices as wages fall Baked into that outlook was an expectation held by the vast majority of respondents, 82%, that prices will be higher this year than in 2022. As in the KPMG survey, the gain largely reflected the perception that prices will be higher this year. In the JLL poll, Walmart , Target and Amazon were among the top three retailers parents planned to shop, by a wide margin. Stifel reiterated its price target of $163 for Walmart, saying, "We continue to see more upside than downside from current levels."
Persons: Paul Ashworth, Staples, Mark Astrachan, Astrachan, Stifel, Corey Tarlowe, Tarlowe Organizations: Prime, National Retail Federation, KPMG, Big, Capital Economics, Consumers, Walmart, Target, Old Navy, Kohl's, Macy's, Costco, Adobe Analytics, Jefferies, Amazon, Walmart U.S, Bed Locations: American
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