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Gold prices inched higher on Wednesday, as U.S. Treasury yields eased, while market participants waited for more U.S. economic data to determine the number of interest rate cuts the Federal Reserve is likely to deliver in the near term. Spot gold rose 0.3% to $2,667.97 per ounce by 0217 GMT, $17 shy of a record high hit last month. The 10-year Treasury yields slipped for a third straight session, making zero-yield bullion more appealing. "The game changer in gold prices is the U.S. monetary policy easing as it sets the stage for investment demand," said ANZ commodity strategist Soni Kumari. Delegates to the London Bullion Market Association's annual gathering predicted gold prices would rise to $2,941 over the next 12 months and silver prices would jump to $45 per ounce.
Persons: Soni Kumari, Mary Daly, Raphael Bostic, Benjamin Netanyahu, Emmanuel Macron Organizations: SA, Treasury, Federal Reserve, ANZ, San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank, Atlanta Fed, London Locations: Budapest, Hungary, U.S, rearming
Year to date, U.S. crude oil has fallen more than 1%. But Croft warned of a spiral of escalation that could ultimately lead to an oil disruption. Israel could be holding the oil card in reserve until they see how Iran responds to their strike, she said. OPEC also has millions of barrels per day in spare capacity that could jump into the breach if there is a supply disruption. “They will want to see that there is a physical supply disruption before they really jump in front of this.”
Persons: Israel, Helima Croft, CNBC’s, Brent, Croft, ” Croft, , Organizations: Biden, NBC News, RBC Capital Markets, West Texas Intermediate, Natural Gas, Israel, Global, International Energy Agency, IEA, OPEC Locations: Israel, Iran, Americas, U.S, Saudi Arabia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIsrael's response to Iran and impact on oil remains in question, says RBC's Helima CroftHelima Croft, RBC Capital Markets global head of commodity strategy, and John Kilduff, Again Capital founding partner, join CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss outlooks on oil as prices fall 5%, expectations for conflict in the Middle East, and more.
Persons: RBC's Helima Croft Helima Croft, John Kilduff, CNBC's Organizations: RBC Capital Markets, Capital Locations: Iran
Investors should take hold of SM Energy ahead of its earnings report, according to TD Cowen. Analyst Gabe Daoud upgraded his rating on the stock to buy from hold. Heading into its third-quarter results at the end of the month, Daoud expects the company to beat Wall Street's expectations. "SM remains a technical leader in the Midland Basin with '23 oil productivity ranking first among operators and '24 not far behind," Daoud said. On top of that, he noted that return-of-capital initiatives, such as dividend increases or share buybacks specifically, could drive more upside.
Persons: TD Cowen, Gabe Daoud, Daoud Organizations: SM Energy, bbl, Midland &, SM Locations: Klondike, Texas –, Uinta, Utah, Midland, Midland & South Texas
"Things were going okay before the election contracts, but since we put them on the platform there's been a lot more interest," Sanders said. The election contracts on each site are binary, and they pay out $1 if the correct outcome is chosen and $0 for the incorrect outcome. A fifth arena, Polymarket, is a blockchain-based prediction platform that is not open to U.S. customers. If they prove to be accurate over time, the prediction markets may also serve non-traders such as consultants and fundraisers who want to glean more insight into the election. Concerns More ominously, critics of the election markets have raised alarm that they could be moved by one or two big traders for possibly nefarious purposes.
Persons: politicos, Kalshi, Steven Sanders, Sanders, John Phillips, Phillips, Tarek Mansour, Bob Elliott, Ray, Elliott, Polymarket, Nikki Haley, Michelle Obama, Matt Thompson, Thompson, Koleman Strumpf, Cantrell Dumas, Dumas, PredictIt's Phillips, Strumpf, Mansour, We've Organizations: Wall, Interactive, Futures Trading Commission, CFTC, Kalshi, Funds, Bridgewater Associates, South Carolina Gov, Republican, Little Harbor Advisors, Wake Forest University, Better, CNBC, Wake Locations: Iowa, Winston, Salem, N.C, Susquehanna
Mizuho upgrades Duke Energy to outperform from neutral Mizuho said investors should buy the dip in the energy company. Barclays upgrades Doximity to overweight from equal weight Barclays said it sees growth potential for the online networking services provider for medical professionals. TD Cowen upgrades SM Energy to buy from hold TD Cowen said the energy company has "multiple resource catalysts." Barclays initiates Bruker as overweight Barclays said it's bullish on the analytical biotech solutions company. " Goldman Sachs reiterates Adobe as buy The firm said it sees "growth tailwinds" after attending the company's Adobe MAX conference.
Persons: Stephens, it's, Wells, Tesla, Berenberg, it's bullish, Wedbush, Mizuho, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, BTIG, Morgan Stanley, McDonald's, TD, TD Cowen, Price, Crane Organizations: Valvoline Inc, YouTube, Cadence Design, Netflix, Nvidia, AMD, Citi, Consolidated Edison, Duke Energy, Mizuho, Barclays, Etsy, Global, RBC, BMW, Mercedes, Volkswagen, Energy, Holdings, TD Cowen, BMO, AIG, Adobe, MAX, Constellation Energy Locations: China, North America
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Data on employment, inflation and economic growth have signaled that the "economy may not be slowing as much as desired," Waller said. A soft landing is the scenario in which inflation drops to the Fed's 2% target while economic growth and employment remain healthy. A "no landing," on the other hand, is when the economy continues expanding as inflation remains high.
Persons: Jefferies, Kelly Ortberg, Christopher Waller, Waller, Fed Governor Waller, Henry Allen, Ohsung Kwon, BofA, Kwon, , Jeff Cox, Sarah Min, Lisa Kailai Han, Yun Li Organizations: Shoppers, Miami Design District, CNBC, Grand View Research, Boeing, P Global, U.S . Federal, Fed, Deutsche Bank, Bank of America Securities Locations: Miami , Florida, U.S
Investors need to be wary as sticky inflation remains a risk, Deutsche Bank says. But it's not yet time for investors to relax, Deutsche Bank wrote on Monday. "If inflation does return, this could have very important implications for markets," Deutsche Bank strategists said. While that much is true, history shows that easing cycles are precisely the time to be cautious over inflation, Deutsche said. The firm cited the fact that in August, US M2 money supply rose 2.0% year-over-year, the highest growth rate since September 2022.
Persons: , Brent, Deutsche Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Service, Federal Reserve, Deutsche, Atlanta Locations: China, Israel, Iran, Iranian
Russia is proposing alternative payment systems and commodity centers. Challenges include entrenched dollar dominance and existing global trading systems' liquidity. Other than championing alternative payment systems based in non-dollar currencies, Russia is also pitching the set-up of centers for mutual trade in commodity resources. Moving BRICS trade to trading centers within the bloc would also involve the use of local currencies and facilitate a move away from using the dollar for trade, according to the document. Russia faces an uphill battle in changing the basics of dollar-dependent financial trading systems.
Persons: , Yakov, Brent Organizations: Service, Russia's Finance Ministry, Partners, Tass, Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Grain, country's Agriculture Ministry, Brent, International Monetary Fund Locations: Russia, Moscow, Ukraine, Brazil, India, China, South Africa, Russian, Pakistan, Kazan, masse, Scotland
All kinds of startups are rushing into the AI inference market. AdvertisementJared Quincy Davis and his AI computing startup Foundry sell inference. And cost in inference computing is even more important than in training, Groq cofounder Jonathan Ross recently told BI. In other words, "it turns out, when you make inference cheaper, people decide to do a lot more inference," Davis said. He agrees the next few years will be wildly competitive for inference providers, but he believes the winners will be decided on merit.
Persons: , Jared Quincy Davis, Davis, Jonathan Ross, Mitesh Agrawal, Agrawal, it's, Jensen Huang, Davis isn't, Intel Andy Grove, Sriram Viswanathan, Viswanathan, Hugh Langley Organizations: Service, Foundry, SambaNova Systems, Lambda, Nvidia, Microsoft, Business, o1, Intel, Celesta Capital
A federal appeals court has fast-tracked the Commodity Futures Trading Commission's case challenging the right of the event exchange Kalshi to offer U.S. political election contracts. Kalshi touted its presidential election contracts on electronic signs in New York City's Times Square over the weekend. The CFTC told the appellate court that election contracts "are susceptible to market manipulation" and also pose a risk to election integrity or how the public views the integrity of elections. Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour, in a statement, said his company is "confident" that the law allows election contracts. As of Monday, Kalshi had booked more than $7 million in contracts on the presidential election outcome.
Persons: Kalshi, Tarek Mansour, Mansour, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: Long, Fitness Center, Interactive, U.S, Senate, New York City's, Appeals, District of Columbia Circuit, CFTC, Washington , D.C Locations: Virginia's, Arlington , Virginia, New York, U.S, Washington ,
A vessel identified by the Philippine Coast Guard as "Chinese maritime militia" (back R) and a China Coast Guard vessel (front R) sailing near the Philippine military chartered Unaizah May 4 (L) during its supply mission to Second Thomas Shoal in the disputed South China Sea on March 5, 2024. Some of the world's busiest shipping lanes are at risk due to rising tensions in the South China Sea, experts warn. In recent months, skirmishes have escalated in the highly-contested South China Sea – a marginal sea in the Western Pacific ocean that's a crucial trade route for China, Japan and India, three of the world's biggest economies. These developments in the South China Sea should be on the radar of global markets and supply chains due to the importance of these waterways to international trade, according to Marko Papic, chief global geo-macro strategist at BCA Research. "The South China Sea is the most valuable shipping lane in the world in terms of the value of trade that transits through it," Papic told CNBC, noting that conflict there poses obvious risks to global shipping.
Persons: Thomas Shoal, Marko Papic, Papic Organizations: Philippine Coast Guard, China Coast Guard, Philippine, Unaizah, Beijing, BCA Research, CNBC Locations: China, South China, Japan, India, Philippines, Vietnam, South, U.S
However, prices for many physical goods have deflated as supply-and-demand dynamics return to normal following pandemic-era contortions. "Outside of goods prices, I don't think we'll see price cuts," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's. That served to weaken demand, which also pushed down prices, economists said. Outside of supply-demand dynamics, the U.S. dollar's strength relative to other global currencies has also helped rein in prices for imported goods, economists said. Energy, food and consumer electronicsOutside of imported goods, consumers may also see a "normalization" of prices in food and energy, Zandi said.
Persons: Jeff Greenberg, Mark Zandi, Zandi, women's outerwear, Sarah House Organizations: Universal, Getty, Finance, Social Security, Vehicles, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics ., U.S . Federal, Fed, U.S, Energy Locations: Wells Fargo, U.S
Howbout is a social-calendar app that wants to help friends make plans. The UK-based startup raised an $8 million Series A led by Goodwater Capital. "That person — and it's usually she — is so powerful in her friendship group," Howbout CEO Neil Tanna told Business Insider. Howbout is approaching 5 million users, Tanna said, and is currently ranked No. Read the 12-page pitch deck that Howbout used to raise its $8 million Series A:Note: Some slides have been edited and details have been redacted to share the document publicly.
Persons: , Neil Tanna, Goodwater Capital's, Chien, Tanna, it's, Howbout Organizations: Goodwater Capital, Service, Friendship, Apple, Tinder, Sony Music
Inside data brokers' massive vaultCybersecurity experts estimate that data brokers collect an average of 1,000 data points on each individual with an online presence. Little oversight around data privacyThe lack of comprehensive regulation around data privacy allows data brokers to operate with little oversight, unlike the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) in the European Union. Opt-out links and instructions are readily available for most of the major data brokers: ExperianTransUnionLexisNexisEpsilon But data privacy experts says reclaiming or deleting your data from brokers can be a deliberately complex process that is not only time-consuming but frustrating. "With AI, data brokers will create even more detailed and predictive profiles, incorporating everything from biometric data to behavioral tracking," Abed said. Until regulation steps in, data brokers will continue to collect as much data as possible.
Persons: Pew, Arjun Bhatnagar, Roger Grimes, Jeff Chester, Chester, I'm, Bruno Kurtic, Chris Henderson, Chelsea Magnant, Rob Hughes, Kurtic, Cloaked's Bhatnagar, Henderson, Javad Abed, Abed Organizations: Pew Research, Social, LexisNexis, Epsilon, OneRep, Center for Digital Democracy, D.C, Bedrock Security, National Security Agency, CNBC, Data Protection, European Union, NYU's Center for Global Affairs, Brunswick, RSA, U.S, Consumers, Consumer, Engage, Federal Trade Commission, FTC, Johns Hopkins Carey Business School Locations: Washington, California, U.S, Chester
U.S. crude oil on Friday was on pace to eek out its second weekly gain in a row as Israel prepares to retaliate against Iran. Oil prices have gained more than 10% through Thursday's close since Iran hit Israel with ballistic missiles last week. Here are Friday's energy prices:Israel's security cabinet met Thursday to discuss the country's response to Iran's attack, according to media reports. Traders have worried that Israel will hit Iran's oil industry, potentially triggering a cycle of escalation that causes a significant disruption of supplies in the Middle East. Croft warned, however, that the U.S. influence may have waned since April, when Israel's response to Iran's first missile and drone attack was relatively muted.
Persons: Natasha Kaneva, Morgan, Joe Biden, Benjamin Netanyahu, Biden, Israel, Helima Croft, Croft Organizations: Brent, Traders, RBC Capital Markets Locations: Iran, The U.S, Israel
Why investors shouldn’t sweat this inflation report
  + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The latest inflation report came in slightly hotter than expected, knocking stock prices lower. But the odds of a quarter-point Fed rate cut in November actually rose after the report came out. "CPI Inflation data was slightly on the hotter side, with commodity prices (outside) energy rising more than expected. The good news is that shelter inflation is pulling back and that's going to pull inflation lower. Investors received fresh labor market data Thursday as well, with initial jobless claims jumping by 33,000 to 258,000.
Persons: Dow Jones, Sonu Varghese, Goldman Sachs, Whitney Watson, Ian Lyngen, Stephen Tusa Organizations: CPI, Reserve, Carson, Investors, BMO Capital Markets, JPMorgan, Honeywell
Kalshi wagers on the presidential race outcomes were split 50-50, roughly reflecting national polling on the contest. The new contracts were added to Kalshi's platform within days of a favorable federal appeals court ruling for the company on Oct 2. Even more political races could soon become available for betting with Kalshi contracts, the CFTC said, citing contract terms published on the exchange's web site. But the commission argues that Kalshi's contracts might cast doubt on the integrity of elections. The appeals court initially blocked that judge's ruling from taking effect, which meant Kalshi could not offer any political contracts.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Kalshi, KalshiEx, It's, there's, Tarek Mansour, Mansour, Patricia Millett Organizations: White, Electoral, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, U.S ., Appeals, District of Columbia Circuit, CNBC Locations: Washington ,
Foreign investors now hold 39% of Peru's sovereign bond market holdings, the highest level across all emerging market countries. This underscores the increasingly positive sentiment surrounding the Peru's fixed income outlook. "It has recognized the need to provide international investors positive returns on domestic assets, and for central banks to be aligned with international investors and provide positive returns on domestic assets." "In some sense, the lack of a strong executive has led to better fixed income outcomes," Austerweil added. Dhawan also underscored that Peruvian fixed income is a high quality market for foreign investors.
Persons: Moody's, Dina Boluarte's, Pramol Dhawan, Pimco, Dhawan, David Austerweil, Soberano, Austerweil Organizations: Southern Copper Corp, Lawmakers, Peruvian, International Monetary Fund, Central Reserve Bank of, Bank of America, Mining Locations: Peru, Sol, Central Reserve Bank of Peru, America, U.S, Peruvian, China
In 2022, oil flow in the Strait of Hormuz averaged 21 million barrels per day, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Saul Kavonic, senior research analyst at MST Financial, said supply disruptions along the Strait of Hormuz could send oil prices significantly higher. Oil prices traded more than 3% on Monday, extending gains even after notching their sharpest weekly gain since early 2023 last week. "But seeing where the oil price sits right now the market doesn't seem to hold much probability for such a development at all," he added. "A significant disruption to these flows would be enough to push oil prices to new record highs, surpassing the record high of close to $150/bbl in 2008," he added.
Persons: Alan Gelder, Wood Mackenzie, CNBC's, Iraq —, Gelder, Saul Kavonic, Kavonic, Bjarne Schieldrop, SEB, Brent, Schieldrop, Warren Patterson, Patterson Organizations: Nurphoto, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Energy, Brent, U.S, West Texas, ING, bbl, United Arab Emirates, Space Shuttle Columbia Locations: Persian, Bushehr, Iran, Hormuz, Oman, Strait, Israel, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Iraq, UAE, Gulf, Muscat
London CNN —Global oil prices have spiked in recent days as the conflict in the Middle East has reached fever pitch. They could rise yet further if Israel’s widening war embroils the vital Strait of Hormuz off Iran’s southern coast. About one-fifth of the world’s global oil trade passes through the strait every day, notes Simone Tagliapietra, a senior fellow at Brussels-based think tank Bruegel. It also accounts for about a quarter of the world’s daily trade in liquefied natural gas. But if oil trade through the critical Strait of Hormuz wobbles, prices could soar above $100 a barrel, according to research firm ClearView Energy Partners, sending gasoline prices surging.
Persons: Simone Tagliapietra, Hassan Nasrallah, Yoav Gallant, ” Tagliapietra, Brent, Richard Bronze, Organizations: London CNN —, US Energy Information Administration, Israel’s, CNN Sunday, Israel . West Texas Intermediate, ClearView Energy Partners Locations: Hormuz, Brussels, Iran, Israel, Lebanon, United States, China
Some of the biggest losing stocks in 2024 could be in for even steeper declines as investors jettison them to save on taxes, according to Morgan Stanley. Such moves, known as tax loss harvesting, helps investors trim their tax bills the next year. Boeing pressure Beleaguered aerospace company Boeing was also called out by Morgan Stanley as likely to see pressure tied to tax loss selling. Morgan Stanley also called out oil service giant Halliburton . Other names on Morgan Stanley's list include Chord Energy , Simply Good Foods and timeshare operator Hilton Grand Vacations .
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Michelle Weaver, Morgan, Jackson Ader, Ronald Epstein, who's, Epstein, Keith Mackey Organizations: Nasdaq, Wall, Computer, Adobe, Boeing, Alaska Airlines, Bank of America, Aerospace, Defense, Halliburton, RBC Capital, HAL, Energy, Hilton Locations: Alaska, Seattle
U.S. crude oil rose about 2% on Monday, as the market waited for Israel to strike Iran. Oil prices spiked last week on fears that Israel could hit Iran's oil industry in retaliation for Tehran's ballistic missile attack. The impact on the oil market would be significant if Israel struck Kharg Island, through which 90% of Iran's crude exports pass, Croft said. The worst-case scenario is a disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20% of the world's crude exports flow, Gelder said. Iran might target the strait in response to an Israeli strike, which would have a far more dramatic effect on crude prices, the analyst said.
Persons: Israel, Joe Biden, Biden, Helima Croft, Croft, CNBC's, Alan Gelder, Wood Mackenzie, Gelder Organizations: Texas Intermediate, Brent, RBC Capital Markets Locations: Israel, Iran, U.S, Kharg, Wood, Strait, Hormuz
Stock futures were little changed on Monday night, following a losing day on Wall Street as rising oil prices and bond yields weighed on markets. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures each also traded near flat. The Dow finished nearly 400 points lower, while the S&P 500 slid close to 1%. Bond yields and prices move inversely to each other. But energy names climbed alongside the commodity, making it the only sector of the 11 that comprise the S&P 500 to finish Monday in the green.
Persons: Bond, Larry Tentarelli, you've, They'll, Susan Collins, Raphael Bostic Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Treasury, West Texas, Boston Federal, Atlanta Fed Locations: New York City, East, Iran, Israel
They said, ‘No, no, NO!’ Advances in medical and life-extending technologies will accelerate and will drag life expectancy along with it,” he said. We have shown the era of rapid increases in human life expectancy has ended, just as we predicted,” Olshansky said. “We’re still gaining life expectancy, but it’s at an increasingly slower pace than in previous decades.”Olshansky spoke to CNN about his analysis of longevity data. Just 5% of baby girls and about 2% of baby boys born today will live to 100, according to a new analysis. (That woman, Jeanne Calment, was born in 1875 in Arles, France, at a time when life expectancy was nearly 45 years.
Persons: CNN — Gerontologist Jay Olshansky, Olshansky, , , ” Olshansky, , “ We’re, Jeanne Calment, it’s, that’s Organizations: CNN, , School of Public Health, University of Illinois, ER Productions, Getty Locations: Chicago, Australia, France, Hong Kong, Italy, Japan, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United States, Arles
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