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☆ Stock market today: Indexes decline after inflation comes in hotter than expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Indexes dipped Thursday as investors took in hotter-than-expected inflation data. Traders see the latest data solidifying odds of a 25 basis point rate cut next month. AdvertisementUS stocks edged lower on Thursday as investors took in slightly hotter-than-expected inflation data after last week's blockbuster jobs report. The core CPI reading, which excludes food and energy costs, came in at 3.3% year-over-year, slightly above forecasts of 3.2% and 0.3% higher than the August reading. JPMorgan's top strategist, one of Wall Street's biggest bears, is turning upbeat on the stock market for the first time in two years.

Persons: —, Milton, Bill Gross Organizations: Traders, Service, CPI, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Labor Department, FEMA, Hurricanes Locations: Here's

☆ Stock market today: Indexes close lower after CPI shows sticky inflation in September
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Indexes slipped Thursday as investors priced in a higher-than-expected inflation reading. The data raises the possibility of a "no landing" scenario for the US economy. AdvertisementStocks fell on Thursday from records reached in the previous session, as traders took in a sticky inflation reading for September. September consumer price index data released on Thursday showed inflation rose 2.4% year-over-year, slightly above consensus forecasts of a 2.3% rise. AdvertisementThe core CPI reading, which excludes more volatile food and energy costs, was up 3.3% year-over-year and just above forecasts of 3.2%.

Persons: —, Stocks, Hurricane Milton, Jamie Dimon, Buffett Organizations: Traders, Service, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, CPI, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Investors, Labor Department, Here's, Insurance Locations: Hurricane

☆ Stock market today: US stocks trade mixed with Fed minutes and rate outlook in focus
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks traded mixed as investors looked ahead to the central bank's meeting minutes. Traders are anticipating a quarter-point rate cut in November. Monetary policy is in focus after an unexpectedly hot job report in September, fueling doubt over whether the Fed will issue another jumbo rate cut this year. "The tone of the Fed minutes should not change expectations of further rate cuts—the Fed is still scrambling to catch up with inflation slowing in the US, and started cutting rates late. AdvertisementAccording to Pantheon Macroeconomics, the Fed is more likely to begin cutting rates in 25-basis-point increments rather than issuing another 50-basis-point rate cut.

Persons: —, Paul Donovan Organizations: Service, Reserve, UBS Global Wealth Management, Pantheon, Fed, US Department of Justice

☆ 4 trends to watch this bank earnings season
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Kaja Whitehouse | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Expect lots of questions about how lower rates will affect business going forward. JPMorgan and Wells Fargo will kick off earnings on Friday, followed by Goldman Sachs, Citi, and Bank of America on Tuesday. Related storiesHere are the top four things to look for this bank earnings season. AdvertisementGoldman Sachs CEO David Solomon described a "more challenging macro environment, particularly in the month of August," and said the bank's trading business was "trending down close to 10%." In good news, the compensation expert Johnson Associates sees bonuses up this year across the board, an analysis that's reflected in part of Wall Street's earnings results so far this year.

Persons: Wells Fargo, —, Daniel Pinto, Wells, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, What's, David Solomon, Solomon, Pinto, Banks, Johnson Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, JPMorgan Chase, Federal Reserve, Citi, Bank of America, Investment, LSEG, Renaissance, Barclays Financial Services Conference, Lending, Fed, Wall, Barclays

☆ Gold lacks momentum as investors brace for Fed minutes
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices slipped on Thursday as investors booked profits after a sustained rally and pressure from institutional investors looking to raise cash, while focus shifted to U.S. economic data for clues on the Federal Reserve's rate path. Gold prices were subdued on Wednesday as investors strapped in for minutes from the Federal Reserve's latest policy meeting for insights into the U.S. central bank's interest rate trajectory. "Gold prices seem to be seeing a much-needed retracement lower. Boston Fed President Susan Collins said on Tuesday that weakening inflation trends make it likely the U.S. central bank can implement further interest rate cuts. Zero-yield bullion tends to thrive in a low interest rate environment.

Persons: I'm, Matt Simpson, Simpson, Susan Collins Organizations: Federal, Index, Traders, U.S . Consumer, Boston, Gold Locations: U.S, North America

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Opportunity in October’s choppiness for stocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Both West Texas Intermediate and Brent futures retreated 4.63% during U.S. trading hours Tuesday, halting the red-hot rally oil prices have experienced the past week. The central bank's likely to make another half-point cut in November, Paul Bloxham, HSBC's chief economist for Australia and New Zealand, told CNBC. On the back of such turbulence, CNBC Pro asks two strategists whether now's the time to invest in China.

Persons: It's, Paul Bloxham, HSBC's Organizations: Central, CNBC, Technology, Nasdaq, Google, U.S . Department of Justice, U.S, The New York Times, West Texas Intermediate, Brent, Reserve Bank of New, CSI, CNBC Pro Locations: New York, United States, Jerusalem, Israel, Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Australia, New Zealand, China

☆ India's central bank holds rates as expected, shifts stance to 'neutral'
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept its key interest rate unchanged on Wednesday, as widely expected, but tweaked its policy stance to "neutral," opening the door for rate cuts amid early signs of a growth slowdown in the economy. The Monetary Policy Committee, which consists of three RBI and three external members, kept the repo rate unchanged at 6.50% for a tenth straight policy meeting. The committee, however, changed its policy stance to "neutral" from "withdrawal of accommodation." The MPC last changed rates in February 2023, when the policy rate was raised to 6.50%. India's overall growth slowed to 6.7% in the June quarter.

Organizations: Bank of, Global, Reserve Bank of India, Monetary, Committee, Reuters, MPC, PMI Locations: Bank of India, Mumbai, India

This has helped push mortgage rates back up near where they were this summer, when 30-year rates were above 6%. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile. But now that inflation has decelerated and the Fed is expected to cut rates soon, mortgage rates have trended down. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.

Persons: you'll, they've, Freddie Mac, it's, Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal Reserve, Zillow, ARM, Federal Housing Administration, Department of Veterans Affairs, Fed, Mortgage, Association Locations: Chevron

☆ Thai headline inflation quickens in September, still below central bank target
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The headline consumer price index rose 0.61% in September from a year earlier, after August's annual increase of 0.35%, and missed a forecast rise of 0.80% in a Reuters poll. Thailand's annual headline inflation quickened in September due mainly to higher prices of diesel and some vegetables, the commerce ministry said on Monday, and was still below the central bank's target range of 1% to 3%. The headline inflation rate is expected to be 1.25% in October and about 1.49% in the final quarter of 2024, Poonpong Naiyanapakorn, director of the trade policy and strategy office, told a press conference. In the January to September period, average annual headline inflation was 0.20%. The commerce ministry on Monday revised its forecast for the full year to between 0.2% to 0.8%, from between zero and 1% seen earlier.

Persons: Poonpong Naiyanapakorn Organizations: CPI

☆ 4 reasons why China's blistering stock rally has another 20% to run, Goldman says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

China's stock rally could extend another 15% to 20%, Goldman Sachs says. Goldman highlighted out still-low valuations and diminishing risk as tailwinds for a continued rally. AdvertisementThe blowout surge in China's stock market still has ways to go, with another 15% to 20% upside ahead, Goldman Sachs predicts. Third, earnings growth could pick up if the economy responds well to China's latest support measures. Goldman is optimistic in this outcome, estimating that the central bank's policy easing could uplift China's GDP by 40 basis points.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, —, It's Organizations: Beijing, Service Locations: China, Beijing

☆ 10-year Treasury yield slightly higher following bumper jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

U.S. Treasury yields were slightly higher early Monday as investors assessed future moves from the Federal Reserve following Friday's bumper jobs report. The 10-year Treasury yield was up by under a basis point at 3.984%, while the yield on the 2-year Treasury was over 3 basis points higher at 3.968%. One basis point equals 0.01%. Treasury yields jumped on Friday as investors digested a better-than-expected September jobs report. The CME Group's FedWatch tool indicates that traders are now pricing in an 91% chance of a quarter percentage point rate cut at the central bank's next meeting in November.

Persons: Nonfarm payrolls, Dow Jones, Neel Kashkari, Raphael Bostic, Michelle Bowman, Alberto Musalem Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Investors Locations: Israel

☆ Brace for stock-market volatility this week if inflation comes in hot after the September jobs report, BofA says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

A blockbuster jobs report raises the stakes for upcoming inflation data, BofA analysts say. AdvertisementThe September jobs report was good news, but it gives investors more reason to brace for the next inflation reading, Bank of America analysts say. Economists forecast the CPI report will show inflation continued to cool last month, rising 2.3% year-over-year compared to 2.5% in August. AdvertisementHowever, with the blockbuster September jobs report, some economists say inflation is still a concern. The September jobs report blew past forecasts, with 254,000 nonfarm payrolls added compared to expectations of 150,000.

Persons: —, Brian Rose Organizations: Service, Bank of America, CPI, Fed, UBS

☆ 'Inflation is not dead': Consumer prices are still in focus for investors despite the Fed's labor-market pivot
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-05 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The upcoming inflation report will help determine the Fed's next move. Friday's surprisingly strong jobs data has slashed bets of a half-point rate cut. AdvertisementBut with September's jobs report crushing expectations, concerns may have been premature. AdvertisementHow inflation data could compound these forecasts will be known on Thursday, when the CPI report comes out. Still, with inflation still slightly above the central bank's 2% target , some analysts are cautioning investors not to forget about price pressures.

Persons: Friday's, —, it's, they're, Mohamed El, Erian, Brian Rose, Seema Shah Organizations: UBS, Service, US, Bloomberg, CPI, Fed, Bank of America, Barclays

☆ The jobs market had a very strong September
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Fed is pivoting away from fighting inflation to supporting the labor market. The encouraging numbers doubled down on a labor market that's showing signs of strength after a slowdown. The Federal Reserve signaled a pivot from fighting inflation to supporting the job market with a 50-basis-point interest rate cut in mid-September, the first cut in four years. AdvertisementWage growth was another highlight for the labor market in September. The latest jobs report didn't just indicate a strong September.

Persons: —, Glen Smith Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, BLS, GDS Wealth Management, Fed

☆ Stock market next week: Investors wonder what's to come after tumultuous October start
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Stocks struggled this week as rising tensions in the Middle East set off the strongest rally in oil prices since March 2023. "The stock market has been living up to October's reputation of increased volatility," said Glen Smith, chief investment officer at GDS Wealth Management. Inflation report, Fed minutes on deck In the week ahead, investors will keep an eye on a couple of potential catalysts. On Wednesday, investors will parse minutes from September's central bank gathering for insights into the future path of monetary policy. "I would say the inflation report is probably less important than it used to be," Dickson said.

Persons: Stocks, Glen Smith, Said, Mike Dickson, Chris Zaccarelli, Zaccarelli, Investment's Dickson, It's, Dickson, Wells, John Williams, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, GDS Wealth Management, Federal, Horizon Investments, CNBC Pro, Independent, Alliance, PepsiCo, Delta, JPMorgan Chase, PepsiCO, New York Fed, PPI, University of Michigan, BlackRock, Bank of NY Mellon, JPMorgan Locations: White, Wells Fargo, Fastenal, Wells

☆ Interpreting the jobs data: No more half-point rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Fred Imbert | Kavitha Shastry | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The U.S. economy added a whopping 254,000 jobs in September, nearly 100,000 more than economists expected. The unemployment rate, which was expected to hold steady at 4.2%, slipped to 4.1%. Wages also rose more than expected month over month. To be sure, the new data also has traders pricing a smaller quarter percentage point interest rate reduction at the central bank's November meeting. "Fed cuts should be slower and I continue to think (and the data supports it) that the current neutral rate is well above 3% (economy chugging along on 5% yields for over a year)," said Tchir.

Persons: Sonu Varghese, Glen Smith, Lindsay Rosner, Ian Lyngen, Peter Tchir Organizations: Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal, Carson Group, GDS Wealth, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, BMO Capital Markets, Academy Securities Locations: U.S

☆ As Costco sells platinum, experts explain how the precious metal differs from gold
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Dominick Reuter | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Costco sells a broad selection of gold and silver products, and now it's adding platinum to the mix. The wholesaler has already sold through multiple rounds of platinum coins and bars in the past week. AdvertisementCostco shoppers have been snapping up a broad selection of gold and silver products over the past year. Costco now offers platinum products online, including both bars and coins. Related storiesGoldCore's business is primarily in gold and silver, but Russell told BI that platinum makes up a "very small percentage" of what the company sells.

Persons: —, Gary Millerchip, Edward Sterck, Sterck, bode, Mindy Schauer, David Russell, Russell Organizations: Costco, Service, Canadian Mint, Platinum Investment Council, Media, Getty, ICE Locations: Swiss, Orange

☆ Jim Cramer's week ahead: CPI data and earnings from Delta, Domino's and major banks
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

CNBC's Jim Cramer reviewed next week's top market-moving action, highlighting new consumer price index data and a slew of earnings reports as the season begins, including ones from Delta , Domino's and several major banks. The labor department will release September's CPI report on Thursday, and Cramer said investors who want a rate cut are hoping for a cool number. Friday brings the producer price index report, and like the CPI, this data will be a metric for the Fed's next decision, Cramer said. Big ticket financial earnings will also come out that day, including Wells Fargo , JPMorgan and Blackrock . He said banks represent the least expensive group on the market, and investors should use any weakness to buy them.

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, he's, Delta, Tesla Organizations: Wall, PepsiCo, General Motors, Federal, Big Tech, AMD, HP Enterprise, Big, JPMorgan, Blackrock Locations: Delta, Domino's, Wells Fargo

☆ Why China's massive stimulus effort might not have any effect until next year
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The direct effects of China's latest stimulus may not kick in until 2025, one researcher says. That's because Beijing needs to ramp up spending in addition to monetary stimulus measures. Lower interest rates, for one, may not entice households and businesses to borrow, or banks to ramp up lending, given China's already-sluggish economic environment. In particular, Beijing needs more fiscal stimulus to go alongside its monetary stimulus measures, Huang said. Experts have warned that China's economic problems could stick around for the long term given some of the nation's deep-rooted issues, like its population decline.

Persons: —, Tianlei Huang, Huang Organizations: Service, Peterson Institute for International Economics, National, Terry Locations: Beijing

☆ Yale's Stephen Roach: Markets are in danger of being 'whipsawed' by Middle East conflict, U.S. unemployment
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Anniek Bao | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Ilia Yefimovich/dpa | Picture Alliance | Getty ImagesMarkets are in danger of being "whipsawed" by the combination of regional conflict in the Middle East and rising unemployment in the United States, says Stephen Roach, senior fellow at Yale Law School's Paul Tsai China Center. Most Asian markets fell on Wednesday, tracking losses on Wall Street overnight, as investors fretted over rising tensions in the Middle East. A higher-than-expected unemployment rate could prompt the Fed to accelerate the easing cycle to achieve a soft landing. The unemployment rate in September is expected to come in at 4.2%, according to data of a Reuters poll on LSEG, unchanged from the August figure. The unemployment rate had jumped to near a three-year high of 4.3% in July, a dramatic rise from the five-decade low of 3.4% in April 2023.watch now

Persons: Ilia Yefimovich, Stephen Roach, Yale Law School's Paul Tsai, Hassan Nasrallah, Roach, CNBC's, Stephen Stanley, Kelvin Tay Organizations: Missiles, Getty, Yale Law, Yale Law School's Paul Tsai China Center, Wall, Israel Defense Forces, Santander, Organization of, Petroleum, Energy Information Administration, UBS Global Wealth Management, U.S . Federal Reserve, Traders, U.S, U.S . Federal Locations: Israel, Tel Aviv, Iran, United States, Iranian, Lebanon, U.S .

☆ South Korea inflation cools more than expected as rate cut talk grows
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Pedestrians walk past food stalls and shops in the Myeongdong shopping district of Seoul on March 26, 2024. South Korea's consumer inflation cooled more than forecast in September and below the central bank's target for the first time since early 2021, amid growing expectations of an imminent policy easing. The consumer price index rose 1.6% in September from a year earlier, after a rise of 1.9% in August, data from Statistics Korea showed on Wednesday. It was weaker than a median 1.9% increase tipped in a Reuters poll of economists and marked the weakest annual increase since February 2021. The reading was below the Bank of Korea's medium-term target of 2% and comes amid growing talk among policymakers and market participants about an imminent interest rate cut with the next policy meeting scheduled for Oct. 11.

Organizations: Statistics Korea, Bank of Locations: Seoul

☆ Morgan Stanley names China stocks set to benefit from a 'sustained rally'
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Morgan Stanley says that Chinese stocks could enjoy a more "sustained rally" in the next phase — beyond a near-term jump — as they ride on the wave of stimulus measures and signals announced last week. They predict at least a 10% rally in the near term , and even more ahead. Against that backdrop, the bank indicated its preference for certain stocks that are set to benefit from easing measures. Stock screens Morgan Stanley did a few stock screens to sieve out those set to benefit. Morgan Stanley says it expected a supplementary budget to be announced in late October, supporting consumption and local government financing.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Evelyn Cheng Locations: Hong Kong, China

☆ Euro zone inflation falls to 1.8% in September, below the European Central Bank's 2% target
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Euro zone inflation fell to 1.8% in September, coming in below the European Central Bank's 2% target, flash data from statistics agency Eurostat showed Tuesday. The reading was in line with the expectations of economists polled by Reuters, after annual inflation hit a three-year-low of 2.2% in August. The core inflation rate, which excludes more volatile energy, food, alcohol and tobacco prices, came in at 2.7%. The figures come after September inflation eased below the 2% European Central Bank target in several key euro zone economies, including France and Germany. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde on Monday said that policymakers were becoming more confident about inflation returning to the 2% target.

Persons: Christine Lagarde, Lagarde Organizations: Central, Reuters, Central Bank, European Central Bank, European Parliament's, Economic, Monetary Affairs Locations: A Coruna, Spain, France, Germany

☆ German inflation drops to 1.8% in September, below expectations
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The September harmonized CPI figure had been forecast to come in at 1.9% according to a Reuters poll. The German harmonized CPI figure was last under 2% — which is the European Central Bank's target rate for inflation — in February 2021, LSEG data indicated. For that, the still elevated core inflation rate would also need to ease notably. Within Europe, data published last week showed that the harmonized inflation rate in France and Spain fell below the 2% target in September. "The recent series of disappointing economic sentiment indicators and lower-than-expected inflation data have provided new strong arguments for ECB doves," he said.

Persons: Destatis, Sebastian Becker, Becker, Carsten Brzeski Organizations: European Union, Deutsche Bank Research, CNBC, European Central Bank, ING, ECB Locations: Berlin, Germany, European, Westphalia, Europe, France, Spain

☆ China property stocks rally after major cities ease homebuying restrictions
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( Anniek Bao | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Noel Celis | Afp | Getty ImagesShares of Chinese property developers rallied on Monday after major cities in mainland China unveiled easing measures to boost homebuyer sentiment, following the central bank's blitz of policy stimulus. The Guangzhou city government said in a notice on Sunday that all restrictions on home purchases would be removed, effective from Monday. China Overseas Land & Investment and China Vanke climbed 5.06% and 12.89%. Mainland China's CSI 300 surged 6% Monday, after the index logged its best week in almost 16 years on Friday. The easing measures follow the central government's call last week to combat the property slump last week.

Persons: Noel Celis, China Vanke, Allen Feng, Gary Ng, Ng, Xi Jinping Organizations: HK, Afp, Getty, Mainland Properties, Longfor Group Holdings, Hang Lung, China Resources, ., . China Overseas Land & Investment, China's CSI, CSI, People's Bank of Locations: Guangzhou, China's, Guangdong, China, Shanghai, Hong Kong, . China, —, Beijing, People's Bank of China

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