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Russia's economy faces stress as high interest rates fail to control inflation. Business leaders criticize high rates, warning of potential bankruptcies and an economic slowdown. The data from Rosstat, Russia's federal statistics service, show that food prices have generally risen across the board this year. To tame prices, Russia's central bank has hiked its key interest rate to a record high of 21% last month. High interest rates are irritating business leaders, who are more loudly critiquing the central bank's policies.
Persons: , It's, Vladimir Putin, Sergei Chemezov, Chemezov Organizations: Business, Service, MMI Locations: Ukraine, Rosstat, Russian, Russia
“The Federal Reserve is one of many examples of how we’ve deviated from the Constitution in that regard,” Lee added. Challenging the Fed’s independence“The American people re-elected President Trump by a resounding margin giving him a mandate to implement the promises he made on the campaign trail. That’s empowered Fed officials to make interest rate decisions that aren’t necessarily popular but could help the nation’s economy in the long run. But on the campaign trail, Trump floated requiring Fed officials to consult with him on interest rate decisions. That could lead to pressure on Fed officials to keep rates lower to satisfy Trump’s wishes, which in turn could reignite inflation.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, it’ll, Elon Musk, Republican Sen, Mike Lee, ” Lee, Jerome Powell, Trump, , Vance, Karoline Leavitt, Ron Paul, Thomas Massie of, Lee, ” Leavitt, it’s, That’s, Powell, , briskly, hasn’t Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Trump, Republican, Fed, Federal, CNN, Treasury Department, National Association of Black Journalists, Republicans, Consumer Financial, Product Safety, Fed’s, of Governors, Consumer, Safety Locations: New York, Thomas Massie of Kentucky
Silicon Valley venture capital firm General Catalyst has made its first investment in Saudi Arabia through fintech startup Lean Technologies, which just closed a Series B round worth $67.5 million. General Catalyst has $30 billion in assets under management and has backed major U.S. tech companies like Snap , Stripe and AirBnb . Lean Technologies' fundraising round also saw participation from Bain Capital Ventures, Stanley Druckenmiller's Duquesne Family Office, and Arbor Ventures, among others, bringing the Riyadh-based firm's total funding to over $100 million to date, according to a Sunday statement from the company. For three of those investors — General Catalyst, Stanley Druckenmiller and Bain Capital — this investment is their first in the kingdom. "If you look at the region's growth over the last three to five years, it's been phenomenal, but there is still so much more room for growth."
Persons: Catalyst, Stanley Druckenmiller's, Stanley Druckenmiller, Hisham Al, Falih, it's Organizations: Lean Technologies, Bain Capital Ventures, Stanley, Stanley Druckenmiller's Duquesne Family Office, Arbor Ventures, Bain Capital, CNBC Locations: Silicon, Saudi Arabia, U.S, Riyadh, Saudi
Deliberations are in very early stages, however, the sources said, and any formal negotiations for an acquisition of a stake in a Malaysian bank would need approval from the Malaysian central bank, or Bank Negara Malaysia. "We do not comment on market rumors and speculation," said a spokesperson for DBS, Southeast Asia's biggest lender by assets. Alliance Bank, the second smallest listed bank in Malaysia by total assets, and Bank Negara Malaysia did not respond to requests for comment after business hours on Friday. DBS is the only Singaporean bank without a retail banking presence in Malaysia. Local rivals Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation and United Overseas Bank both have retail banking operations in Malaysia.
Persons: Piyush, Gupta, Tan Su Shan, Anwar Ibrahim Organizations: DBS Group Holdings, DBS, Alliance Bank Malaysia Bhd, Kuwait Finance House's, Bank Negara Malaysia, Temasek, Alliance Bank, Kuwait Finance House, Local, Oversea, Chinese Banking Corporation, United Overseas Bank, Gupta, Malaysian Locations: Malaysia, Singapore, Temasek, Kuwait, Malaysian, Bank, China, India, Indonesia, Taiwan
October saw Russia hit with its highest average daily casualties since the war in Ukraine began, a UK offical said. The UK's Chief of Defence Staff said Russia suffered around 1,500 killed or injured each day. Thousands of North Korean troops are now bolstering Russian President Vladimir Putin's forces. Russian forces were bolstered by the arrival of thousands of North Korean soldiers in October, Western officials have said. AdvertisementReports of Ukrainian and North Korean troops' first clashes in Russia's Kursk region emerged earlier this week.
Persons: offical, Vladimir Putin's, , Tony Radakin, Laura Kuenssberg, Mark Rutte, Vladimir Putin, Kim Jong, Gavriil, Kuenssberg, Radakin, Alexandra Prokopenko, Prokopenko, Donald Trump's Organizations: Defence Staff, Service, Ukraine's Ministry of Defense, General Staff, Ukrainian Armed Forces, NATO, North, AFP, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, Financial Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Russia's Kursk, Russian, Europe
Neel Kashkari, President and CEO, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, speaks at the Milken Conference 2024 Global Conference Sessions at The Beverly Hilton in Beverly Hills, California, U.S., May 7, 2024. Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said Sunday that President-elect Donald Trump's tariff proposals could worsen long-term inflation if global trade partners were to strike back. One-time tariffs, Kashkari said on CBS' "Face the Nation," "shouldn't have an effect long run on inflation." "The challenge becomes, if there's a tit for tat and it's one country imposing tariffs and then responses and it's escalating. Trump and his backers like billionaire Tesla CEO Elon Musk have also been outspoken about their desire to give the president input on Fed policy decisions.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, The Beverly Hilton, Donald Trump's, Kashkari, Trump, We've, Tesla, Elon Musk Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, The Beverly, Minneapolis Federal, Sunday, CBS, U.S, Wall Street Locations: Beverly Hills , California, U.S, Minneapolis, China
WASHINGTON — As a candidate, Donald Trump promised to relieve consumers of high interest rates. Trump repeatedly said during the campaign that he would bring down interest rates without elaborating on how. He has suggested the president should have a say in determining rates set by the Federal Reserve and publicly berated the central bank and its chairman, Jerome Powell, for not lowering rates sooner. Trump has no direct control over the interest rates set by the Federal Reserve, which is determined by a committee that includes seven members appointed to 14-year terms along with five regional Reserve Bank presidents. “There aren’t a lot of policies that the president has at his disposal that can really lower rates,” said McLaughlin.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Jerome Powell, , Kent Smetters, , isn’t, Ralph McLaughlin, McLaughlin, Powell, Xi Jinping, ” Powell, he’s, ” Trump, reappoint Powell, Scott Bessent, Barron’s, Bessent Organizations: WASHINGTON, Federal Reserve, United, University of Pennsylvania Wharton School, Federal, Realtor.com, Reserve Bank, Fed’s, Governors, Twitter, Trump, Chicago Economic, Senate, Republicans, Fed Locations: United States, America, U.S, China
Europe's banks brace for tougher competition under Trump 2.0
  + stars: | 2024-11-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
JPMorgan , Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley shares all soared while the STOXX Europe 600 Banks index is down more than 1% for the week. "If U.S. banks get the expected policy support, they could ramp up loan volumes and optimize capital in ways that Europe's banks just can't match right now," Materazzi said. Since early 2010, European banking shares have fallen 10%, while U.S. lenders have more than tripled. The European Central Bank has estimated that euro zone banks' return on equity fluctuates around 5%, against 10% in the U.S., linking it to higher U.S. fee income and legacy non-performing loans with which European banks still grapple. A wave of deregulation should give European banks some leverage to lobby for easing the rules in Europe, which are already more onerous, one banking executive told Reuters.
Persons: Boris Roessler, Donald Trump, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, David Materazzi, Materazzi, Karin Keller, Sutter, Rachel Reeves, Trump Organizations: Getty, JPMorgan, Galileo, European Central Bank, Trump . Swiss, Reuters, The Locations: Frankfurt, U.S, Britain, Basel, Italy, USA, Europe, The U.S
Trump has promised to do a variety of different things on "Day One" of his second term. "​​Many things will be done on day one," Trump said at a town hall with Tucker Carlson in Phoenix in late October. Trump has promised to issue several executive orders when he takes office, though some of them are likely to be challenged in court. "Day One" promises that Trump may not be able to fulfillSome "day one" commitments are simply not possible. AdvertisementAt times during the campaign, Trump pledged to "end inflation" just hours after taking office.
Persons: Trump, , Donald Trump's, Tucker Carlson, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Jack Smith, pardoning, Smith, Hugh Hewitt, Gary Gensler, Gensler, Biden Organizations: Service, Social Security, White, American Civil Liberties Union, Republican, Department, Securities and Exchange Commission, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: Phoenix, Wisconsin
Incumbent governments have been punished in Britain, France, India, Japan, South Korea, and elsewhere. The near-universal shift away from Democrats echoes voters' rejection of incumbent political parties across the world this year. South Africa's African National Congress (ANC) party lost its majority. Similarly, Deutsche Bank's Reid wrote that voters are disappointed by how slowly their lives are improving amid cooler economic growth. He said they don't buy that incumbents can tackle immigration, some incumbent governments have had scandals, and voters have become "much more willing to change their vote from election to election."
Persons: Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, , Donald Trump, Biden, Harris, Narendra Modi, Korea's Democrat Party snagged, Jim Reid, Tina Fordham, Louis Perron, Deutsche Bank's Reid Organizations: Service, Democratic, Britain's Labour Party, Conservative Party, Rally, Japan's Liberal Democratic Party, Indian, Korea's Democrat Party, National Congress, ANC, Deutsche Bank, Fed, Bank of England, European Central Bank, CNN, Win, Deutsche Locations: Britain, France, India, Japan, South Korea, London, Tokyo, Seoul, Cape Town, Washington, Gaza, country's, South, Ukraine
Russian officials and business leaders met at an economic forum this week. Russia's main interest rate is at 21% and could be hiked further still. Officials and business leaders shared pessimistic economic outlooks for 2025 at the Russian Economic Forum, held this week in Chelyabinsk, in central Russia. Andrei Klepach, chief economist at the state-run development entity VEB.RF, predicted that economic growth would fall from an estimated 2.5% to around 2% in 2025. Some, he said, would benefit from a subsidized interest rate of 1% to 5%.
Persons: , Andrei Klepach, Alexander Shokhin, Shokhin, Mikhail Mishustin, Alexander Novak, Kirill Tremasov Organizations: Service, Russian Economic, Central Bank of Russia, Industrialists, Russian, Russia's Locations: Chelyabinsk, Russia, Ukraine, Russian Union, Russian
China consumer prices rise slowest in 4 months, despite stimulus
  + stars: | 2024-11-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
People purchasing fruit at an agricultural trade market on May 11, 2024 in Lianyungang, Jiangsu Province of China. China's consumer prices rose at the slowest pace in four months in October while producer price deflation deepened, data showed on Saturday, even as Beijing doubled down on stimulus to support the sputtering economy. Analysts say the package will likely do little to boost economic activity, demand and prices in the near term. However, core inflation, excluding volatile food and fuel prices, rose 0.2% in October, accelerating from 0.1% in September. China's central bank in late September unveiled the most aggressive monetary support measures since the COVID-19 pandemic to revive economic growth.
Persons: Bruce Pang Organizations: National Bureau, Statistics, JLL Locations: Lianyungang, Jiangsu Province, China, Beijing, China's
Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk, the billionaire backer of newly minted President-elect Donald Trump, endorsed the idea of allowing presidents to intervene on Federal Reserve policy. Though brief, Musk's comment reflects a broader pressure campaign on Fed independence that could take shape in the next Trump administration. On Thursday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said he would not resign from his post if Trump asked him to do so. But during his first term in office, Trump was not shy about breaking from tradition and publicly disparaging Powell and his policy decisions. Over the course of the 2024 presidential campaign, Trump also often flirted with the idea of giving himself a say in Fed policy if he were to win the White House again.
Persons: Elon Musk, Donald Trump, Tesla, Sen, Mike Lee, Musk, Lee, Trump, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Republican, SpaceX, Fed, White, Federal Reserve Locations: Butler , Pennsylvania, Utah, U.S, Lago, Florida
But that doesn’t mean as a result interest rates are now low — or will soon be low. “‘Falling interest rates’ are not the same as ‘low interest rates.’ Interest rates are high and will only decline to ‘not as high’ as … we move into 2025,” said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate. Credit cards: Just before the Fed cut its key rate in September, the average credit card rate was 20.78%, according to Bankrate. Another option: Try transferring your balance to a credit card from a credit union or local bank. Before the Fed’s September rate cut many of those accounts were offering yields between 4.25% and 5.3%, according to those listed on Bankrate.com.
Persons: , Greg McBride, Matt Schulz, Chris Diodato, they’re, Freddie Mac, Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s, ” McBride, Sinead Colton Grant, Colton Grant, , Don’t, Diodato, you’re, BNY, they’ve Organizations: CNN, Reserve, Bankrate, Fed, LendingTree, Treasury, Savings Locations: Treasuries
Inflation data in the week ahead could determine whether a stock market that surged to all-time highs after Donald Trump 's decisive victory can continue to push higher. Meanwhile, the October producer price index, which excludes shelter, is set to have risen 0.3%, consensus estimates show, up from a 0.0% reading the prior month. Initial Claims (11/09) 8:30 a.m. Producer Price Index (October) Earnings: Applied Materials , Walt Disney Friday, Nov. 15 8:30 a.m. Export Price Index (October) 8:30 a.m. Import Price Index (October) 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Donald Trump, Hogan, We've, Nancy Tengler, Bitcoin, Harker, Tyson, Price Organizations: Federal Reserve, Riley Wealth Management, FactSet, Laffer, Investments, Trump, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Atlanta Fed, Treasury, Philadelphia Reserve, Carnegie Mellon, Occidental Petroleum, Nation Entertainment, Tyson Foods, Mosaic, Treasury Budget NSA, Cisco Systems, Walt Disney, Price, Retail, Manufacturing Locations: China, U.S
Trump took a dim view of the Powell Fed during his first term in office, calling policymakers "boneheads" and once compared Powell to a golfer who couldn't putt. Powell, who was nominated by Trump in November 2017 and took office the following February, largely shrugged off the criticism then, and he again deflected Thursday. However, dealing with the ramifications of a Trump presidency will be almost unavoidable for the Fed leader. LaVorgna has a unique perspective on the situation, having served as chief economist for the National Economic Council under Trump. Trump historically has favored lower rates, though that too could change if the Fed cuts and inflation rises.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Kent Nishimura, Donald Trump, Trump, Powell, I'm, Joseph LaVorgna, LaVorgna, Lavorgna Organizations: Federal, Getty, firebrand Republican, Powell Fed, Trump, Fed, Nikko Securities, National Economic Council Locations: Washington, Washington , DC, stoke
Powell to Trump: Go ahead, make my day
  + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
That’s essentially what Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is experiencing with President-elect Donald Trump’s return to the White House. When a reporter asked the Fed chair if he’d resign if Trump asked him to, Powell didn’t miss a beat. Removing a Fed chair isn’t so simpleIf Trump, or any president for that matter, were to try to remove a Fed chair, they would encounter a steep uphill battle. Ultimately, the Supreme Court could have the final say on what merits a “for cause” firing of a Fed chair. Trump has tried testing the limits anywayNevertheless, Trump threatened to fire Powell on several occasions when he was first president.
Persons: That’s, Jerome Powell, Donald Trump’s, Trump, he’d, Powell didn’t, , , curtly, ” Powell, Powell, won’t, Powell doesn’t, Joe Biden, ” Trump Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, Trump, Republican, Bloomberg, Economic, of Chicago Locations: New York
Russia's brain drain has become its economy's biggest problem, an economist told Business Insider. The long-lasting nature of brain drain makes the issue more serious than, say, inflation, which could be remedied by central bank maneuvering. Over the next decade, Russia's economy could devolve into one dependent mainly on its natural resources rather than on the most innovative industries, Portes speculated. That's similar to what other economic forecasters have predicted, with some warning Russia's economy could become de-industrialized as its resources are siphoned off by the war. Advertisement"It will be reduced to a resource economy, a natural resource economy," he said of Russia's future.
Persons: , Richard Portes, they've, Portes Organizations: Service, London Business School, Russia, French Institute of International Relations, Business, Institute of Economics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Labor, Russian, UC Berkeley Locations: Russia, Ukraine
Treasury yields have ripped higher of late, even as the Federal Reserve continues to cut rates. The benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield has soared nearly 70 basis points to 4.3% since mid-September, when the Fed cut rates by a half-point. Despite the Fed's latest action, the incoming Trump administration is likely to keep yields elevated, according to Ned Davis Research. Dimitrova noted that rising debt-to-GDP ratio has been closely linked with higher bond yields. The question for investors now is: How long until higher yields start putting pressure on equities?
Persons: Trump, Ned Davis, Veneta, Dimitrova, Goldman Sachs, BNTX Organizations: Federal Reserve, Ned Davis Research
Yields and prices have an inverted relationship and one basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. U.S. Treasury yields were lower on Friday as investors considered the outlook for interest rates and the economy after the Federal Reserve's latest rate cut decision. Treasury yields had tumbled on Thursday after the Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point interest rate cut to a target range of 4.50%-4.75%. The Fed began easing rates at its previous meeting in September with a more aggressive 50 basis point reduction. One Fed meeting remains on the agenda for this year on December 17 to 18, for which traders were last pricing in an around 75% chance of another rate cut, CME Group's FedWatch tool showed.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, Federal Reserve, Fed
Now that the central bank is lowering rates — with a new quarter point rate cut announced by the Fed on Thursday — experts say having money in cash can still be a competitive strategy. Yet just how much cash to set aside is a question every individual investor needs to determine. Strive for at least a six-month emergency fundMost financial advisors recommend having cash set aside so that unexpected expenses don't blow your budget or cause you to rack up credit card debt. However, having a year's worth of expenses set aside may also be reasonable, depending on your household budget, she said. For many individuals, inflation and having too many expenses has made finding cash to set aside more difficult.
Persons: Nopphon, Greg McBride, Callie Cox, that's, Cox, Natalie Colley, Colley Organizations: Istock, Getty, Federal Reserve, Fed, Ritholtz Wealth Management, Francis Financial, Finance Locations: New York
Andrew Caballero-Reynolds | AFP | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Powell, in yesterday's press conference, maintained that "the election will have no effect on our policy decisions." According to the futures market, just 30.4% of traders think the Fed will cut rates again in January. "By December, we'll have more data, I guess one more employer report, two more inflation reports and lots of other data," Powell said.
Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Andrew Caballero, Reynolds, Jim Reid, Trump, Scott Helfstein, Powell, we'll, that's, , Jeff Cox, Lisa Kailai Han, Hakyung Kim, Jesse Pound, Alex Harring Organizations: Federal Reserve, AFP, Getty, CNBC, Deutsche, Tech, Apple, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Global, Congress, Fed Locations: Washington , DC
download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . In today's big story, the Fed cutting interest rates yesterday was never really in doubt . Additional rate cuts aren't as clear, though, as Donald Trump's proposed widespread tariffs could slow down the Fed's plans . The market is indicating inflation could lead the Fed to keep borrowing rates high. AdvertisementGreg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate.com, told Insider Today that Fed Chair Jerome Powell didn't indicate a pause in cuts was coming in December during Thursday's press conference.
Persons: , MANDEL NGAN, Chelsea Jia Feng, Donald Trump's, Paul Krugman, It's, Chip Somodevilla, Greg McBride, Jerome Powell didn't, Powell, McBride, There's, Dominique Lapointe, Lapointe, Trump, ANGELA WEISS, Morningstar, Trump's, Dave Sekera, Goldman execs, Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, Donald Trump, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Elon Musk, David Zaslav, Zaslav, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Ella Hopkins, Amanda Yen, Milan Sehmbi Organizations: Business, Service, Getty Images, BI, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Fed, Manulife Investment Management, Morningstar, Elon, Trump, Keystone State, Big Tech's, Walmart, Target, Costco, Big Media, Warner Bros, Discovery, Paramount, Sony Locations: AFP, China, Pennsylvania, New York, London
Dollar winds down after volatile week, China NPC in focus
  + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The dollar further unwound some of its sharp gains from earlier in the week as traders closed out profitable bets on a Trump presidency after his election victory. That helped lift sterling back toward the $1.30 mark, while the yen similarly got some respite and hovered closer to the 153 per dollar level. Sterling last traded $1.2983, recovering from its fall to a roughly three-month low earlier in the week. Against a basket of currencies, the dollar ticked up 0.03% to 104.44, on track to gain just above 0.1% for the week. "All eyes are on what may emerge from China's policy toolkit after the conclusion of the NPC standing committee meeting."
Persons: Donald Trump's, Chancellor Olaf Scholz, Kerry Craig, Trump, Wells, Jay Bryson, Sterling, David Chao Organizations: White, National People's Congress, Trump, Federal Reserve, Morgan Asset Management, Traders, Bank of England, NPC, New Zealand, Asia Pacific, European Union Locations: U.S, Beijing, Germany, Wells Fargo, Japan, Invesco
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose Thursday, extending Wall Street’s rally in the wake of President-elect Donald Trump’s victory, as traders weighed the latest rate cut from the Federal Reserve. The S&P 500 gained 0.74% to close at a record high of 5,973.10. The S&P 500 jumped 2.53% for its best post-election day in history. Those big swings were the backdrop for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut Thursday afternoon. “The balance of risks gives the Fed ample room to lower the Fed Funds rate well into 2025.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump’s, Jerome Powell, , Jamie Cox, Trump, Tony Roth, we’ve, ” Roth, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Dow, Treasury, Harris Financial, Wilmington Trust, , Big Tech, Apple, Nvidia, JPMorgan, American Express Locations: Wilmington
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