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"This is welcome news," Cardillo added, suggesting that "there's a possibility the Fed raises interest rates by 50 basis points in December and then takes a pause." Signs that decades-high inflation growth is beginning to ebb sent U.S. Treasury yields lower, supporting expectations that the Fed could ease its foot from the rate-hike accelerator. The dollar lost ground against a basket of world currencies as sunny economic data lured investors away from the safe-haven greenback. The dollar index fell 1.96%, with the euro up 1.55% to $1.0166. Gold prices jumped as the dollar dropped, reflecting hopes that the inflation data could rein in the Fed's hawkish stance.
In the Treasuries market the yield on the 2-year note , the maturity most sensitive to Fed rate expectations, dropped by nearly 20 basis points, the most in one day since June. And traders in futures contracts tied to the Fed's benchmark rate show traders now expect the blistering pace of policy tightening to slow next month. Rate futures contracts are now pricing in a top policy rate in the 4.75%-5% range next March -- lower than the 5%-plus range seen before the report -- and interest-rate cuts in the second half of the year. Continued high inflation for services, possibly reflecting labor markets that remain tight, could prevent any quick resolution of the overall inflation problem. Speaking after the report, Philadelphia Fed president Patrick Harker indicated his support for slowing rate hikes and then stopping, perhaps even earlier than markets are now pricing in.
read moreMARKET REACTION:STOCKS: S&P 500 futures turned sharply higher and were up 3.1%BONDS: The yield on 10-year Treasury notes tumbled and was down 21.5 basis points at 3.927%; The two-year U.S. Treasury yield was down 26.6 basis points at 4.362%. The dollar index was off 1.3%COMMENTS:BRIAN JACOBSEN, SENIOR INVESTMENT STRATEGIST, ALLSPRING GLOBAL INVESTMENTS, MENOMONEE FALLS, WISCONSIN“Well, that was a relief. And I think the expectation now is the Fed hikes rates 50 basis points in December. ART HOGAN, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, B. RILEY WEALTH, NEW YORK"A softer than expected inflation report is acting as a tailwind for markets. "Given just this data, it would allow the Fed to raise by only 50 basis points rather than 75 at the next meeting.
VIEW Comfortably cool US Oct CPI spells relief for Fed
  + stars: | 2022-11-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
And I think the expectation now is the Fed hikes rates 50 basis points in December. ART HOGAN, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, B. RILEY WEALTH, NEW YORK"A softer than expected inflation report is acting as a tailwind for markets. Next, we immediately turned our attention to the CPI and that clearly came in better than expected. It rocketed the futures higher and then to top it off, weekly initial unemployment claims came in higher than expected. "Given just this data, it would allow the Fed to raise by only 50 basis points rather than 75 at the next meeting.
read moreMARKET REACTION:STOCKS: S&P 500 futures turned sharply higher and were up 3.1%BONDS: The yield on 10-year Treasury notes tumbled and was down 21.5 basis points at 3.927%; The two-year U.S. Treasury yield was down 26.6 basis points at 4.362%. And I think the expectation now is the Fed hikes rates 50 basis points in December. ART HOGAN, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, B. RILEY WEALTH, NEW YORK"A softer than expected inflation report is acting as a tailwind for markets. Next, we immediately turned our attention to the CPI and that clearly came in better than expected. "Given just this data, it would allow the Fed to raise by only 50 basis points rather than 75 at the next meeting.
3 Markets rejoice after surprisingly cool inflation report
  + stars: | 2022-11-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +9 min
YUNG-YU MA, CHIEF INVESTMENT STRATEGIST, BMO WEALTH MANAGEMENT, CHICAGO“The better-than-expected CPI numbers are welcome but show a lot of underlying volatility. What Powell said is that we are going to need a few more reads on good CPI data before he can say we’re done." Shelter is the main contributor to inflation and everyone should know by now that it’s a garbage indicator of where inflation is headed. ART HOGAN, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, B. RILEY WEALTH, NEW YORK"A softer than expected inflation report is acting as a tailwind for markets. “The good news is that we saw a significant sequential improvement, inflation is clearly moving in the right direction.
[1/2] A Wall Street sign outside the New York Stock Exchange in New York City, New York, U.S., October 2, 2020. REUTERS/Carlo AllegriSummarySummary Companies Meta Platforms rises on report of job cutsFutures up: Dow 0.22%, S&P 0.21%, Nasdaq 0.23%Nov 7 (Reuters) - U.S. stock indexes were set to open higher on Monday following a rollercoaster week, with investor focus shifting to Tuesday's midterm elections that will determine control of Congress. Traders are now betting on 67% odds of a 50-basis point rate hike at the U.S. central bank's meeting in December. ET, Dow e-minis were up 72 points, or 0.22%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 7.75 points, or 0.21%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 25.25 points, or 0.23%. The CBOE Volatility index (.VIX), also known as Wall Street's fear gauge, rose to 25.38 points a day after closing at its lowest since Sept. 13.
ROSS MAYFIELD, INVESTMENT STRATEGY ANALYST, BAIRD, LOUISVILLE, KENTUCKY"It's just another data point that proves the labor market is too strong to accommodate what the Fed wants. They're looking for a situation where you don't just have unemployment rate coming up a little bit. You may have it coming up a little bit more." "They may also be looking for lighter jobless claims and a little bit less in the way of average hourly earnings growth. This tightness in the labor market is probably reaching its peak.
U.S. Q3 GDP rise burnishes soft landing case
  + stars: | 2022-10-27 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast GDP growth rebounding at a 2.4% rate. Exports will soon fade and domestic demand is getting crushed under the weight of higher interest rates. We expect the economy to enter a mild recession in the first half of next year." BRIAN JACOBSEN, SENIOR INVESTMENT STRATEGIST, ALLSPRING GLOBAL INVESTMENTS, MENOMONEE FALLS, WISCONSIN“GDP was a weak bounce from the negative prints in Q1 and Q2. The Fed wants to see pain on Main Street.”Compiled by the Global Finance & Markets Breaking News teamOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Raindrops hang on a sign for Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange in Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., October 26, 2020. All three major U.S. stock indexes rallied to end the session 1.9% to 3.4% higher while and the dollar lost ground against a basket of world currencies. "The catalysts that have triggered in the markets year-to-date are well-known," said Joseph Sroka, chief investment officer at NovaPoint in Atlanta. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) rose 1.83% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) gained 2.09%. Emerging market stocks rose 0.32%.
Raindrops hang on a sign for Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange in Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., October 26, 2020. "More and more economists are embracing recession," said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities in New York. "Usually when the market has discounted everything - and I believe it has - usually (the last months of the year) are positive for the stock market." Emerging market stocks rose 0.42%. Treasury prices rose, tracking similar moves in the UK bond market, pushing benchmark Treasury yields lower for the first time in three days.
read more read moreAmong the 11 S&P 500 sector indexes, technology (.SPLRCT) was the sole decliner, down 1.2%. read moreEli Lilly & Co , which is also developing an Alzheimer's drug, rose 7.7% and was the biggest boost to the S&P 500 index. In the previous session, Wall Street's main indexes sank deeper into a bear market, with the S&P 500 recording its lowest close in almost two years on rate hike worries. read moreAdvancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 3.55-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 2.45-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded one new 52-week high and 29 new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 16 new highs and 140 new lows.
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 7, 2022. ET, Dow e-minis were down 139 points, or 0.47%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 21 points, or 0.57%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 51 points, or 0.45%. In premarket trading on Monday, cyclical stocks traded lower on worries that such sharp rate hikes could rattle the economy. The CBOE Volatility index (.VIX), also commonly known as Wall Street's fear gauge, hovered near three month highs. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterReporting by Shreyashi Sanyal and Ankika Biswas in Bengaluru; Editing by Anil D'Silva and Shounak DasguptaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Reactions: Putin mobilises more troops for Ukraine
  + stars: | 2022-09-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +20 min
Russian President Vladimir Putin makes an address on the conflict with Ukraine, in Moscow, Russia, in this still image taken from video released September 21, 2022. I think even with this Russia stuff it’s hard to see the market really rally a lot more from here ahead of the FOMC. From a geopolitical standpoint, Putin is frustrated that the war isn’t going his way and he’s threatening the west. "If it gets really, really bad, I'd expect the dollar to rise." This announcement by Putin to intensify the escalation in Ukraine definitely doesn’t help.
Traders work on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., September 13, 2022. read more"The key to tomorrow is going to be indications by the Fed chief as to what's the next possible move. The benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yield hit 3.54%, its highest level since April 2011, in anticipation of the rate hike, while the closely watched yield curve between two-year and 10-year notes inverted further. ET, Dow e-minis were down 153 points, or 0.49%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 22.25 points, or 0.57%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 78.75 points, or 0.65%. read morePayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL.O) fell 2.6% after Susquehanna Financial Group downgraded the fintech company's stock to "neutral" from "buy".
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