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☆ Middle-class Americans are falling behind
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-06 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Middle-class income growth has lagged behind that of the upper class since 1970, according to a Pew Research Center report published May 31. There are signs that middle-class Americans are dialing back their spending. Fast food joints, a mainstay dining destination for middle-income consumers, are leaning into discounts to placate frustrated diners. Kohl’s that same month reported weak first-quarter results, underlining how middle-income consumers are pulling back spending on non-essential clothing and discretionary merchandise at department stores. Economic growth has been anemic in recent years, squeezing living standards and starving public services of funds.

Persons: ”, Jennifer Jones Austin, Thomas Kingsbury, Narendra Modi, Diksha Madhok, Peeyush Mittal, Modi, ” Shilan Shah, ” Read, Hanna Ziady, Rishi Sunak, Sunak, Keir Starmer, Tony Blair, Starmer Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Pew Research, Living Coalition, Data, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Matthews Asia, Bharatiya Janata Party, BJP, Capital Economics, Conservative Party of, European Union, Labour Party, National Health Service, Labour, Conservative Party Locations: New York, India’s, India, United Kingdom, China, San Francisco, Beijing, Washington, Ukraine

☆ India’s economic boom won’t be derailed by its election shock
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( Diksha Madhok | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

New Delhi CNN —Narendra Modi has declared victory in India’s election but he’ll need the support of smaller parties to govern, a shock result that could make it harder for him to pass major economic reforms. Experts have highlighted land reform as an example of policies that might now be tougher for Modi to implement. India will need to address those issues if it is to capitalize on the massive rethink underway among companies on supply chains. Despite the surprise electoral setback for Modi’s right-wing, Hindu-nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), experts say the world’s fastest growing major economy will continue to live up to its billing. The party’s underperformance led to a plunge on India’s stock market, which had its worst day in four years Tuesday.

Persons: New Delhi CNN — Narendra Modi, ”, Peeyush Mittal, Modi, ” Shilan Shah, underperformance, Aditya Suresh, Shah, Malcolm Dorson, It’s Organizations: New, New Delhi CNN, Matthews Asia, Apple, Foxconn, Bharatiya Janata Party, BJP, Capital Economics, Investors, Macquarie Capital, Unified Locations: New Delhi, United Kingdom, India, China, San Francisco, Beijing, Washington, United States, Western

India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi flashes victory sign at the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) headquarters to celebrate the party's win in country's general election, in New Delhi on June 4, 2024. Completed vote counts by the Election Commission of India showed that Modi's BJP won just 240 seats. India's Parliament has 543 seats, and the party or coalition that wins at least 272 forms the government. Modi's decade-long ruleUnder Modi, India, home to 1.4 billion people, has witnessed robust economic growth. While India has seen robust economic growth under Modi, observers and critics have warned about the country's "democratic decline."

Persons: Narendra Modi, Money Sharma, Modi, Aiyar, CNBC's, Shilan Shah, Shah, Kranthi, Sensex, Samir Kapadia, that's, Malcolm Dorson Organizations: India's, Bharatiya Janata Party, BJP, Afp, Getty, Indian, Modi's BJP, National Democratic Alliance, Developmental Inclusive Alliance, Indian National Congress, Policy Research, Centre, Monitoring, Capital Economics, BSE, WealthMills Securities, Adani, Adani Enterprises, State Bank of India, ICICI Bank, Monetary Fund, India Index, Vogel, Dem, Global, Vogel Group, IMF Locations: New Delhi, India, INDIA, China, Sweden

☆ Job market is still strong but has 'gotten competitive' for applicants, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-04 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

"This is still a strong labor market." The U.S. Federal Reserve raised borrowing costs to pump the brakes on the economy and labor market, ultimately to throttle back inflation. watch nowThere are indicators the U.S. job market remains strong and resilient despite headwinds, economists said. The national unemployment rate has been below 4% — a level indicating historical labor market strength — since February 2022. The current job market is more sustainable, she said.

Persons: Julia Pollak, Don't, Thomas Ryan, it's, Pollak, ZipRecruiter Organizations: SDI, U.S . Federal Reserve, Labor, Capital Economics, Workers, Federal Reserve Locations: North America

☆ The S&P 500 could climb 23% next year if Treasury yields fall and AI momentum stays strong, research firm says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-03 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Falling yields and continuing excitement for AI could boost the S&P 500 to 6,500, the firm said. "This expectation that AI hype will increase and that Treasury yields will fall underpins our long-standing forecast for the S&p 500 to hit 6,500 by end-2025." But narrow stock market rallies have the potential to last years, Rielly said, suggesting the stock market run-up could continue for now. Warnings of a market bubble have proliferated as the S&P 500 notched a series of record-highs this year. Capital Economics has also warned of a stock market correction akin to the 1929 and dot-com crashes, which could begin in early 2026.

Persons: That's, —, Reilly, that's, Rielly Organizations: Capital Economics, Service, Treasury, Street, NVIDIA, Capital

☆ Dollar steadies before inflation test; yen brushes off Tokyo CPI
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The dollar was licking wounds against peer currencies on Friday after a downward revision to U.S. GDP for the first quarter suggested room for rate cuts this year, while investors braced for inflation data. The dollar index , which measures the currency against six major peers, consolidated around 104.82 after dipping as low as 104.63 overnight. Softer U.S. consumer price inflation data earlier in May rekindled rate cut expectations for this year, weakening the dollar across the board and setting it on track to post its first monthly losses in 2024. "All told, the Tokyo CPI leaves us confident that nationwide underlying inflation will fall below 2% as soon as July." Price data for the euro zone is due on Friday, following a stronger-than-expected April inflation reading for Germany on Wednesday.

Persons: John Williams, Matt Simpson, Index's Simpson, Marcel Thieliant, Sterling, bitcoin Organizations: Treasury, greenback, New York Fed, Index, PCE, Capital Economics, Japan's Ministry of Finance, Germany Locations: U.S, Tokyo, Asia

☆ Uptick in European inflation clouds outlook for interest rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-31 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

London CNN —Inflation in Europe has ticked up for the first time in five months, casting doubt on the possibility of a steady stream of interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank over the next few months. The European Central Bank began hiking rates in July 2022 to curb runaway inflation sparked by the reopening of the world’s economies following the pandemic as well as Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. “May’s increases (in inflation) won’t stop the ECB from cutting interest rates next week. All 82 economists polled by Reuters ahead of Friday’s inflation data expected the ECB to cut rates by a quarter of a percentage point next week. Over two-thirds, 55 of 82, expected two more cuts this year, in September and December.

Persons: “, Jack Allen, Reynolds, Claus Vistesen, ” Organizations: London CNN, European Central Bank, Reuters, ECB, Capital Economics, Pantheon Locations: Europe, Ukraine

☆ CNBC's Inside India newsletter: Could markets sink even if Modi wins?
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-30 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

This report is from this week's CNBC's "Inside India" newsletter which brings you timely, insightful news and market commentary on the emerging powerhouse and the big businesses behind its meteoric rise. Separately, the stock market will also deliver its verdict when markets open on Monday. Nervousness among investors over the results has meant that the India VIX index, the market's so-called fear gauge, has shot up by more than 135% since its April lows. However, some equity strategists point out that even a landslide victory for Modi's BJP could potentially sour the stock market. Meanwhile, Gautam Chhaochharia, head of global markets for India at UBS, said foreign investors are in a "wait and watch mode" ahead of India's election results despite economic fundamentals looking "very, very strong."

Persons: Narendra Modi's, Modi, Bradley Saunders, Saunders, Venugopal Garre, —, Garre, Fitch, SRH, Mark Mobius, Gautam Chhaochharia Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, BJP, Traders, " Bank of America, Capital Economics, Modi's BJP, —, Reuters, Kolkata Knight Riders, IPL, Sunrisers, Knight Riders, CNBC, UBS Locations: Delhi, India, Kolkata, Sunrisers Hyderabad

☆ History shows how a UK election can impact the country's stock market
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-27 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Labour leader Tony Blair arriving in Downing Street after his election victory with crowds waving flags in the background, 2nd May 1997. The more domestically-oriented FTSE 250 has tended to outperform the FTSE 100 following elections, with stronger outperformance following Labour victories, it said. Leon Neal | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesAccording to Capital Economics, the U.K. stock market has faltered on five occasions under past Labour governments. Higgins also observed that the relative performance of U.K. stocks has "generally been underwhelming since 2010," when the Conservatives took office. Three could be attributed to the "unsustainability of fixed exchange rate regimes" between the 1930s and 1970s, one to the Great Financial Crisis, and the fifth to the 1976 Debt Crisis, he said.

Persons: Tony Blair, Jeff, Rishi Sunak, Rachel Reeves, Sir Keir Starmer, Angela Rayner, Leon Neal, John Higgins, Higgins, Labour's, Keir Starmer, Reeves, Venkatakrishnan, Liz Truss, Sunak Organizations: BBC News, Current Affairs, Labour Party, Labour, Conservative Party, Citi, Conservative, Centre, Getty, Capital Economics, Conservatives, Shadow, Economic, Barclays, C.S, CNBC Locations: Downing, Purfleet, United Kingdom, Davos

☆ Britain's inflation rate could be about to drop below the Bank of England's 2% target
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-21 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesLONDON — U.K. inflation could be about to hit a major milestone, with some forecasting that a sharp fall in the April print will take the headline rate below the Bank of England's 2% target. That would represent a plunge from the current level of 3.2% and could "make or break" a June interest rate cut, economists say. Ashley Webb, U.K. economist at Capital Economics, said that if the headline rate does fall below 2% in April, as he expects, it would be "momentous." "This will be crucial in determining whether the first interest rate cut from 5.25% will happen in June (as we expect) or in August. We think inflation will fall further, perhaps even to 1.0% later this year," Webb said in a Friday note.

Persons: Ashley Webb, What's, Webb, —, BOE Governor Andrew Bailey, BOE, Ben Broadbent, James Smith, ING's Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Bank of England's, Capital Economics, Bank of England, European Central Bank, ING Locations: Kingston, London, U.K

☆ The stock market will inflate another 20% before the bubble bursts, research firm says
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-20 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The stock has another 20% rise left in it before the bubble deflates, Capital Economics predicted. That's because stocks tend to inflate rapidly right before the end of a bubble, the firm said. AdvertisementInvestors on the lookout for signs of a bubble should expect the stock market to be pumped up by another 20% before correcting, Capital Economics researchers said. According to John Higgins, Capital Economics' chief market economist, stocks look like they're in a late-stage bubble, meaning equities are in for a steep rally before the bubble eventually bursts. I think that it's a simple one really that involves a bubble inflating in the stock market," he said, pointing to the excitement for big tech.

Persons: —, John Higgins, There's, I'm, we've, Higgins, Bubbles Organizations: Capital Economics, Service, Capital, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq

☆ Here's the deflation breakdown for April 2024 — in one chart
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-16 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Consumers have largely seen prices deflate for physical goods, such as cars, furniture and appliances, economists said. They've also declined for some groceries and other things, such as travel, according to the consumer price index. Physical goods prices have deflated in all but one month since May 2023, for example. watch nowThe U.S. dollar's strength relative to other global currencies has also helped rein in prices for goods, economists said. Downward pressure on goods prices has waned a bit in recent months as supply-and-demand dynamics have normalized, economists said.

Persons: Oscar Wong, They've, they've, Michael Pugliese, Stephen Brown, Mark Zandi, Zandi, Hayley Berg, Hopper, There's, Brown Organizations: Consumers, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics, North, Capital Economics, Finance, GameStop, AMC, U.S, Federal Reserve, Canadian, Moody's, Airlines Locations: Wells Fargo, North America, U.S

☆ Why Biden’s monster EV tariffs could inflame a Europe-China trade war
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

It’s a very different matter in Europe — by far the biggest export market for Chinese EV manufacturers. EU tariffs could backfireAccording to Citi, the EU accounted for 36% of Chinese EV exports last year, more than the next five largest markets combined. By contrast, the United States currently receives just 1.1% of China’s EV exports. For BYD, China’s biggest EV maker, the tariffs would likely have to be even higher to be effective, they add. “I’d say we are entering a very tense period in terms of trade interactions and trade defense,” she added.

Persons: Joe Biden, “ I’m, ” Biden, Joseph Webster, Agatha Kratz, Kratz, That’s, Oliver Zipse, ”, Tu Le, “, Josh Lipsky, Juliana Liu Organizations: London CNN, United, EV, European Union, Atlantic Council, EU, CNN, Citi, Capital Economics, BMW Locations: China, America, Europe, United States, It’s, Brussels, “ Brussels, Beijing, subsidization, EU, States, Italy, Hong Kong

☆ Here's the inflation breakdown for April 2024 — in one chart
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

That increase is largely due to dynamics in the market for crude oil, which is refined into gasoline, economists said. Annual housing inflation declined to 5.5% in April from 5.7% in March. Shelter and gasoline inflation combined contributed more than 70% of the monthly CPI increase for all items, according to the BLS. Americans' buying patterns also simultaneously shifted away from services — such as entertainment and travel — toward physical goods since they stayed at home more, driving up demand and fueling decades-high goods inflation. Wage growth has been one contributor to services inflation, for example, economists said.

Persons: Grace Cary, That's, Mark Zandi, we're, Zandi, Michael Pugliese, Trump, Stephen Brown, Pugliese Organizations: U.S . Labor Department, Moody's Analytics, Federal Reserve, of Labor Statistics, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics, U.S, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Finance, GameStop, AMC, Biden, North, Capital Economics, Supply Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, North America

☆ Consumer sentiment tumbles as inflation fears surge, closely watched survey shows
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Consumer sentiment slumped as inflation expectations rose, despite otherwise strong signals in the economy, according to a closely watched survey released Friday. The University of Michigan Survey of Consumers sentiment index for May posted an initial reading of 67.4 for the month, down from 77.2 in April and well off the Dow Jones consensus call for 76. Along with the downbeat sentiment measure, the outlook for inflation across the one- and five-year horizons increased. The inflation readings represent the biggest pitfall for policymakers as the Federal Reserve contemplates the near-term path of monetary policy. The next important data point for inflation comes Wednesday when the Labor Department releases its consumer price index report for April.

Persons: Dow Jones, Joanne Hsu, Paul Ashworth, Jeffrey Roach, it's, Jerome Powell Organizations: The University of Michigan Survey, Dow, North, Capital Economics, Federal Reserve, LPL, Fed, Labor Department Locations: North America, Michigan

☆ Don't blame Wall Street for jacking up home prices, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-09 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Wall Street isn't to blame for the non-stop rise in housing prices, according to Capital Economics. The research firm said any legislation designed to block hedge funds from buying homes won't lower home prices. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe ongoing rise in home prices shouldn't be blamed on Wall Street, according to a Thursday note from Capital Economics. The worry is that a surge in big investors buying up single-family homes is driving up prices, exacerbating a shortage in housing, and preventing younger people from becoming first-time home buyers.

Persons: — Organizations: Capital Economics, Investor, Service, Business Locations: Congress

☆ Turkey's inflation accelerates to nearly 70% in April
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( Natasha Turak | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Turkey's inflation accelerated to 69.8% annually for the month of April, the Turkish Statistical Institute reported Friday. On a monthly basis, Turkey's inflation increased 3.18%, led by price rises in alcoholic beverages and tobacco, and hotels, cafes and restaurants. April's inflation rate marks the highest annual increase since November 2022, when inflation was around 85%. But any hopes of interest rate cuts are a long way off, economists said. Turkey's central bank has hiked its key interest rate to 50%, citing the continuing need to counter climbing inflation in the country.

Persons: Kemal Ataturk, April's, Liam Peach Organizations: Turkish, Turkish Statistical Institute, Economics Locations: Turkish, Sisli, Istanbul, Turkey, London

☆ Live Updates: The April Jobs Report
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( Lydia Depillis | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

PinnedIt’s been a hot spring for the American labor market, and while the summer forecast is milder, it’s not clear when the cool-down will begin. The last three months have seen an upswing in job creation, bending what had been a bumpy but definite downtrend since the post-pandemic resurgence. Does that mean the labor market is taking off again without ever having touched down? Workers are quitting their jobs at even lower rates than they were in 2019. “You don’t have that cost of onboarding and starting over again if you can hold on to them.”

Persons: It’s, ”, Stephen Brown, Belinda Román, “ Organizations: Labor Department, North, Capital Economics, Institute for Supply Management, National Federation of Independent, Workers, St, Mary’s University Locations: North America, San Antonio

☆ There are 4 big factors to watch that could bring turmoil to financial markets, research firm says
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Stocks and the economy look strong but there are four factors that could pose a problem, Capital Economics said. Geopolitical risks in the Middle East and high interest rates are big risks to markets. A depreciation of the Chinese yuan and soaring US debt are also the two factors investors need to watch. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Thirdly, with the rising value of the Chinese yuan, any depreciation could trigger currency market volatility elsewhere.

Persons: —, Ruben Gargallo Abargues, Jonas Goltermann, Wednesday's, Goltermann, Bill Gross Organizations: Economics, Service, Capital Economics, Brent Locations: Israel, Treasuries

☆ CNBC's Inside India newsletter: Will AI make or break India?
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

But one that could foreshadow India's growth story. Can Teleperformance's stock plunge be the canary in the coal mine for what is likely to happen to India because of AI? But it's likely to be a blip for India's growth trajectory, given the macro forces at play. Besides creating jobs that are less likely to be immediately disrupted by AI, India could also be a net beneficiary of artificial intelligence. The Indian stock market indexes, Sensex and Nifty 50 , are heading for a positive week again — up by 1% and 1.2%, respectively.

Persons: Findlay Kember, Klarna, ChatGPT, K Krithivasan, Krithivasan, Narendra Modi, It's, Shilan Shah, Goldman Sachs, Vinay Dwivedi, Ashok Gulati, Nomura, League Pickleball, Karine Jean, Pierre, Jerome Powell, Raghuram Rajan, Ashish Jain, CNBC's Ayushi Jindal Organizations: AFP, Getty, India's Tata Consultancy Services, Financial Times, TCS, World Bank, International Monetary Fund, University of Oxford, Capital Economics, Investment, Nomura, Qualcomm, Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing, UPI, India, Commission, Agricultural, United Pickleball Association, Global Sports, PPA, League, Washington Post, White, U.S ., Federal, CNBC, Reserve Bank of India, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Locations: Swedish, Paris, India, Chennai, U.S, Europe, China, Singapore, South Korea, Canada, United States

☆ Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet are doubling down on AI for the cloud — and it seems to be paying off
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Aaron Mok | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Over the last two weeks, major cloud providers Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet have reported quarterly earnings that exceeded Wall Street's expectations. Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet's shares also climbed after earnings were reported, evidence that doubling down on their AI strategies seems to be paying off. Davidson Companies analyst Gil Luria told Business Insider regarding Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet. Microsoft Cloud generated $35.1 billion in revenue — up 23% year-over-year — that CEO Satya Nadella credits partly to investments into AI tools like Microsoft Copilot. Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet didn't immediately return a request for comment from Business Insider before publication.

Persons: —, D.A, Gil Luria, Claude, Andy Jassy, Satya Nadella, Nadella, Ruth Porat, OpenAI's ChatGPT, Luria, doesn't, Jassy, Sundar Pichai Organizations: Service, Microsoft, Business, Davidson Companies, Amazon, Web Services, Google Cloud, Google, Gemini, Research, Capital Locations: Indonesia

☆ Trump could drive inflation higher with his second-term economic agenda, analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Rebecca Picciotto | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Scott Olson | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesFormer President Donald Trump is building a second-term economic agenda that analysts say could reheat the very inflation that he has slammed President Joe Biden for creating. We have a ring around the country," Trump said in a TIME interview released Tuesday, referring to aggressive tariffs he has promised to impose in a second term. Yet economists and Wall Street analysts agree that these plans would likely drive consumer prices higher. "A second Trump term could bring higher tariffs, attempts to weaken the dollar, even higher deficits, deportation of illegal immigrants, and other policies that could put upward pressure on inflation," Piper Sandler analysts wrote last week. Reached for comment, the Trump campaign said, "under President Trump, inflation was non-existent, gasoline was cheap, groceries were affordable, and the American Dream was alive and well."

Persons: Donald Trump, Scott Olson, Joe Biden, Trump, Jay Powell, Piper Sandler, Donald Trump's, Paul Ashworth, Wells Organizations: Clinton Middle School, Getty, Wall Street, Trump, Federal, Wall, Capital Economics, North, U.S ., Wells Locations: Clinton , Iowa, China, Mexico, South Carolina, North America

☆ From Wall Street to Silicon Valley, AI specialists are a hot commodity
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-29 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Today's big story examines how recruitment for AI talent is ramping up in the tech industry and on Wall Street . AdvertisementEager to understand how to leverage the tech, companies are racing to scoop up AI specialists. But Big Tech companies aren't just competing with each other. With so many venture capitalists eager to fund AI ideas , some AI talent are starting their own companies. Businesses are already fighting the rule, but if it survives the courts it could mean even more movement of AI talent.

Persons: —, We've, we've, Justin Sullivan, Chelsea Jia Feng, Eager, Kali Hays, Ellen Thomas, Banks, it's, Getty, Sean Gladwell, Olga Pyrkina, Tyler Le, Amy Hood, Mark Zuckerberg, Zuckerberg, Johannes Eisele, Swan, Mark Spitznagel, Spitznagel, David Einhorn, there's, Dimitrios Kambouris, Leon Neal, Abanti Chowdhury, Bill Gates, Gates, BI Gates, Satya Nadella, Zs, Herman Miller Eames, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover, Grace Lett Organizations: Business, Service, Getty Images, Anadolu Agency, Big Tech, Johannes, Getty, Federal Reserve, Reuters, Research, Capital Economics, Greenlight, Staff, Microsoft, BI, Paramount Locations: California, AFP, America, New York, London, Chicago

☆ The AI-fueled stock market bubble will crash in 2026, research firm says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-27 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The AI-fueled stock market bubble will burst in 2026, according to Capital Economics. The research firm said rising interest rates and higher inflation will weigh down equity valuations. AdvertisementAn artificial intelligence-fueled stock market bubble will burst in 2026, according to Capital Economics. The research firm has said that a stock market bubble, driven by investor excitement towards artificial intelligence, would drive the S&P 500 to as high as 6,500 by 2025, led by technology stocks. The expected bursting of the stock market bubble should lead to a decade of investment returns that favor bonds over stocks.

Persons: —, Diana Iovanel, James Reilly, Iovanel, Reilly Organizations: Capital Economics, Service, Capital, US

☆ Europe is beating inflation. Why can’t America declare victory?
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

The Fed aims to keep inflation at 2% over the longer run. Meanwhile, among the 20 countries that use the euro, annual consumer price inflation has slowed steadily since the start of the year. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said earlier this month that she would favor a rate hike “should progress on inflation stall or even reverse.”So why does the United States appear to have a bigger inflation problem than Europe? Some economists argue there isn’t actually much daylight between the US and European rates of inflation, pointing to a quirk in the US measures. The measure is designed to track inflation in the real estate market while accounting for the fact that most Americans own their homes.

Persons: Michelle Bowman, Paul Donovan, Simon MacAdam, ”, MacAdam, ” Carsten Brzeski, Janet Yellen, Jim Watson, Brzeski, “, ” Davide Oneglia Organizations: London CNN, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, PCE, UBS Global Wealth Management, Capital Economics, ING, CNN, Monetary Fund, Washington, Reuters, Getty, —, ECB, Lombard Locations: United States, Europe, Centreville , Maryland, AFP, Russia, Ukraine

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