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☆ Gold lacks momentum as investors brace for Fed minutes
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices slipped on Thursday as investors booked profits after a sustained rally and pressure from institutional investors looking to raise cash, while focus shifted to U.S. economic data for clues on the Federal Reserve's rate path. Gold prices were subdued on Wednesday as investors strapped in for minutes from the Federal Reserve's latest policy meeting for insights into the U.S. central bank's interest rate trajectory. "Gold prices seem to be seeing a much-needed retracement lower. Boston Fed President Susan Collins said on Tuesday that weakening inflation trends make it likely the U.S. central bank can implement further interest rate cuts. Zero-yield bullion tends to thrive in a low interest rate environment.

Persons: I'm, Matt Simpson, Simpson, Susan Collins Organizations: Federal, Index, Traders, U.S . Consumer, Boston, Gold Locations: U.S, North America

But right now, borrowers should expect mortgage rates to remain near their current levels for the rest of 2024. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowWhat Are Today's Mortgage Refinance Rates? See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering around 6.20%, according to Zillow data. But now that inflation has decelerated and the Fed is expected to cut rates soon, mortgage rates have trended down.

Persons: Freddie Mac, it's, Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal Reserve, Zillow, Fed, Mortgage, Association, ARM, . Government Locations: Chevron, Government

☆ Social Security cost-of-living adjustment for 2025: Here's how benefits may change
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The Social Security cost-of-living adjustment, or COLA, could be 2.5% next year, Mary Johnson, an independent Social Security and Medicare analyst, predicted last month. The Social Security Administration is expected to announce the COLA for 2025 on Thursday. Social Security COLAs have averaged about 2.6% over the past 20 years, according to the Senior Citizens League. More from Personal Finance:House may force vote on bill affecting pensioners' Social Security benefitsWhy children miss out on Social Security survivor benefits72% of Americans worry Social Security will run out in their lifetimesCould the Social Security COLA estimate change? The official Social Security cost-of-living adjustment will factor in one more month of government inflation data when it is announced.

Persons: Mary Johnson, Joe Elsasser, Elsasser, Alicia Munnell, Johnson, Hurricane Helene Organizations: Social, Social Security, Social Security Administration, Senior Citizens League, Center for Retirement Research, Boston College, Finance, Urban, Clerical Workers

☆ Stock futures are little changed as September consumer inflation report looms: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading in New York City. U.S. stock futures were little changed Wednesday night as investors looked ahead to the release of September's consumer price index report. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average traded near the flatline. Fed funds futures trading data suggests a roughly 70% likelihood of a quarter-point cut, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. Economists polled by Dow Jones see core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, rising by 0.2%.

Persons: Dow, Dow Jones, Stephanie Roth Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal, Wolfe Research, Delta Air Lines Locations: New York City . U.S

Nonfarm payrolls added 254,000 jobs in September, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, down 0.1 percentage points. "It was a very good report across every indicator in there," said Aaron Sojourner, a senior researcher at the W.E. As they barnstorm across battleground states, Harris and Trump paint dueling pictures of the U.S. labor market. Jim Watson | AFP | Getty ImagesThe jobs report adds to a flurry of good economic news in recent weeks, with metrics that could potentially amount to the best economic upswing in decades. Following the jobs report blowout, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed out last week at a fresh all-time high of 42,352.75.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, payrolls, Dow, Aaron Sojourner, Harris, Trump, Jim Watson, I've, Mark Zandi, Biden, Clinton, Justin Wolfers, stoking Organizations: . Upjohn Institute, Employment Research, Trump, CBS, Republican, Ryder Center for Health, Physical Education, Saginaw Valley State University, AFP, Getty, Federal Reserve, University of Michigan, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, chipmaker Micron Technology, Oracle Locations: U.S, Michigan, America, Saginaw, Saginaw , Michigan

☆ Stock market today: Indexes edge up as oil prices ease and traders look to key inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices slid, while investors shrugged off sluggishness in China stocks. Wall Street is gearing up for CPI, which is in focus after the strong September payroll report. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementStock markets opened higher on Tuesday as oil prices dipped, helping investors recover slightly after Monday's losing session. Instead, Wall Street is largely focused on earnings and upcoming inflation data, scheduled for release on Thursday.

Persons: Stocks, —, Monday's, Brent, Wells Organizations: CPI, Service, Stock, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, PepsiCo, JPMorgan, BlackRock Locations: sluggishness, China, Beijing, Wells Fargo, Here's

☆ Gold eases as dollar firms; focus on Fed cues, U.S. data
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Spot gold was down 0.2% to $2,639.45 per ounce, as of 0303 GMT. U.S. gold futures lost 0.3% to $2,658.70. The dollar index hovered near a seven-week high, making bullion more expensive for holders of other currencies, while the benchmark U.S. Treasury 10-year yield topped 4% for the first time in more than two months. Investors are focused on the minutes of the Fed's latest policy meeting, due on Wednesday, followed by the U.S. Consumer Price Index on Thursday and the Producer Price Index data on Friday. "Looking ahead, if we see any upside surprises in the U.S. CPI numbers this week, this could boost further boost the dollar and pressure gold," Waterer added.

Persons: Gold, Tim Waterer, Israel, Bullion, Waterer, Louis, Alberto Musalem Organizations: Treasury, KCM Trade, U.S . Consumer, U.S, CPI, Louis Fed Locations: Singapore, Haifa, Lebanon, Gaza, St

☆ Stock market today: Indexes slip as bond yields jump after strong jobs data
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks fell Monday as investors assessed interest rate moves after Friday's strong jobs report. The 10-year Treasury yield rose above 4% for the first time since late July. Investors will focus on earnings season and the upcoming September CPI report this week. AdvertisementUS stocks dipped to start the week as investors assessed the outlook for interest rates following the strong September jobs report. The September CPI report is also on the economic calendar this week, set to be released on Thursday.

Persons: — Organizations: Treasury, Service, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Investors, PepsiCo, Here's

☆ Stock market today: Indexes drop and yields, oil prices spike ahead of earnings and fresh economic data
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks fell Monday as bond yields and oil prices moved higher. The rise in oil prices and solid September jobs report has revived inflation concerns. Friday's release of the September jobs report sparked the move higher in yields. AdvertisementMeanwhile, oil prices continued to surge on Monday, rising by about 4% as tensions in the Middle East continued to simmer on the first anniversary of the Hamas-led attack against Israel. The rise in oil prices and the stronger jobs report are fanning fears of a potential rebound in inflation, which would mean fewer rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.

Persons: — Organizations: PepsiCo, Service, Treasury, Israel, Federal Reserve, Amazon, Epic, Bank of America, Here's Locations: Hurricane Milton, Wells

☆ Thai headline inflation quickens in September, still below central bank target
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The headline consumer price index rose 0.61% in September from a year earlier, after August's annual increase of 0.35%, and missed a forecast rise of 0.80% in a Reuters poll. Thailand's annual headline inflation quickened in September due mainly to higher prices of diesel and some vegetables, the commerce ministry said on Monday, and was still below the central bank's target range of 1% to 3%. The headline inflation rate is expected to be 1.25% in October and about 1.49% in the final quarter of 2024, Poonpong Naiyanapakorn, director of the trade policy and strategy office, told a press conference. In the January to September period, average annual headline inflation was 0.20%. The commerce ministry on Monday revised its forecast for the full year to between 0.2% to 0.8%, from between zero and 1% seen earlier.

Persons: Poonpong Naiyanapakorn Organizations: CPI

☆ Brace for stock-market volatility this week if inflation comes in hot after the September jobs report, BofA says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

A blockbuster jobs report raises the stakes for upcoming inflation data, BofA analysts say. AdvertisementThe September jobs report was good news, but it gives investors more reason to brace for the next inflation reading, Bank of America analysts say. Economists forecast the CPI report will show inflation continued to cool last month, rising 2.3% year-over-year compared to 2.5% in August. AdvertisementHowever, with the blockbuster September jobs report, some economists say inflation is still a concern. The September jobs report blew past forecasts, with 254,000 nonfarm payrolls added compared to expectations of 150,000.

Persons: —, Brian Rose Organizations: Service, Bank of America, CPI, Fed, UBS

☆ How to hedge the overall market with several critical events just around the corner
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The upcoming month is a crucial time for the stock market, with a series of events that will make an impact. A quick peek at the history of S & P earnings reveals a couple of things. Note that the chart below depicts S & P earnings on a logarithmic scale —S & P earnings have grown by more than ninefold since January 1991. Over the past two years, S & P earnings have grown from ~$196 "per share" to about $204, an increase of 4%, but the S & P 500 Index has risen by more than 60% over the same period. Why not purchase a downside SPDR S & P 500 ETF Trust put spread if these cause a pullback?

Persons: Low, we'll Organizations: U.S, Trust, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S

☆ Here's why this week's inflation report could be a big market mover
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Inflation could be a market-driving fear again this week when September data is released, according to Bank of America. But last week's stronger-than-expected jobs report has shaken up the consensus outlook for the economy. "After the blowout jobs report, CPI is no longer a 'non-event.' The CPI report is due out before the opening bell Thursday. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones expect the CPI report to show a 0.1% increase in September and a 2.3% rise from 12 months earlier.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Bank of America, Federal

☆ Inflation, earnings and AI are the three market drivers we're watching this week
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-06 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Friday's rally on a strong jobs report gained momentum into the close and pushed the stock market into the green for the week. Inflation data: The September consumer price index (CPI) report is out Thursday. The September producer price index (PPI) is out Friday. Jim said last week that investors who don't own AMD shares should buy some ahead of CEO Lisa Su's presentation. ET: Consumer price index 12 p.m.

Persons: we'll, Jim Cramer, Friday's, Matthew Graham, Israel, Joe Biden, Wells, Jim, we're, We're, Morgan Stanley, Lisa Su's, Su, Jim Cramer's, Michael M Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Mortgage News, Mortgage News Daily, CNBC, Devices, PPI, Bank, Nvidia, SOXX Semiconductor, PepsiCo, Delta Air Lines, DAL, JPMorgan, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty Locations: U.S, Iran, Israel, Wells Fargo, BlackRock, New York City

☆ 'Inflation is not dead': Consumer prices are still in focus for investors despite the Fed's labor-market pivot
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-05 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The upcoming inflation report will help determine the Fed's next move. Friday's surprisingly strong jobs data has slashed bets of a half-point rate cut. AdvertisementBut with September's jobs report crushing expectations, concerns may have been premature. AdvertisementHow inflation data could compound these forecasts will be known on Thursday, when the CPI report comes out. Still, with inflation still slightly above the central bank's 2% target , some analysts are cautioning investors not to forget about price pressures.

Persons: Friday's, —, it's, they're, Mohamed El, Erian, Brian Rose, Seema Shah Organizations: UBS, Service, US, Bloomberg, CPI, Fed, Bank of America, Barclays

☆ Stock market next week: Investors wonder what's to come after tumultuous October start
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Stocks struggled this week as rising tensions in the Middle East set off the strongest rally in oil prices since March 2023. "The stock market has been living up to October's reputation of increased volatility," said Glen Smith, chief investment officer at GDS Wealth Management. Inflation report, Fed minutes on deck In the week ahead, investors will keep an eye on a couple of potential catalysts. On Wednesday, investors will parse minutes from September's central bank gathering for insights into the future path of monetary policy. "I would say the inflation report is probably less important than it used to be," Dickson said.

Persons: Stocks, Glen Smith, Said, Mike Dickson, Chris Zaccarelli, Zaccarelli, Investment's Dickson, It's, Dickson, Wells, John Williams, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, GDS Wealth Management, Federal, Horizon Investments, CNBC Pro, Independent, Alliance, PepsiCo, Delta, JPMorgan Chase, PepsiCO, New York Fed, PPI, University of Michigan, BlackRock, Bank of NY Mellon, JPMorgan Locations: White, Wells Fargo, Fastenal, Wells

☆ Jim Cramer's week ahead: CPI data and earnings from Delta, Domino's and major banks
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

CNBC's Jim Cramer reviewed next week's top market-moving action, highlighting new consumer price index data and a slew of earnings reports as the season begins, including ones from Delta , Domino's and several major banks. The labor department will release September's CPI report on Thursday, and Cramer said investors who want a rate cut are hoping for a cool number. Friday brings the producer price index report, and like the CPI, this data will be a metric for the Fed's next decision, Cramer said. Big ticket financial earnings will also come out that day, including Wells Fargo , JPMorgan and Blackrock . He said banks represent the least expensive group on the market, and investors should use any weakness to buy them.

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, he's, Delta, Tesla Organizations: Wall, PepsiCo, General Motors, Federal, Big Tech, AMD, HP Enterprise, Big, JPMorgan, Blackrock Locations: Delta, Domino's, Wells Fargo

Experts believe mortgage rates will hold steady for the rest of the year in the low 6% range. After spending the first half of the year at record highs, mortgage rates have finally been trending down for several months now. According to Freddie Mac, 30-year mortgage rates are now just above 6%. But Fed officials have indicated that we may only get 50 basis points worth of cuts by December. What would need to happen for mortgage rates to drop further?

Persons: —, Freddie Mac, Danielle Hale, Realtor.com, Hale, Scott Haymore, Haymore, Will, Dan Burnett, Phil Crescenzo, We're, that's, Crescenzo, there's, refinance Organizations: Service, Federal, Traders, TD Bank, Hometap, Nation One Mortgage Corporation

☆ German inflation drops to 1.8% in September, below expectations
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The September harmonized CPI figure had been forecast to come in at 1.9% according to a Reuters poll. The German harmonized CPI figure was last under 2% — which is the European Central Bank's target rate for inflation — in February 2021, LSEG data indicated. For that, the still elevated core inflation rate would also need to ease notably. Within Europe, data published last week showed that the harmonized inflation rate in France and Spain fell below the 2% target in September. "The recent series of disappointing economic sentiment indicators and lower-than-expected inflation data have provided new strong arguments for ECB doves," he said.

Persons: Destatis, Sebastian Becker, Becker, Carsten Brzeski Organizations: European Union, Deutsche Bank Research, CNBC, European Central Bank, ING, ECB Locations: Berlin, Germany, European, Westphalia, Europe, France, Spain

☆ A 'Roaring '20s' economy is becoming more likely as bullish factors stack up, UBS says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

UBS predicts a "Roaring '20s" economy, assigning a 50% chance to such an expansion by 2030. Solid data revisions, along with Fed rate cuts, support the optimistic outlook. "It's no longer too soon nor too optimistic to suggest that the US will experience a Roaring '20s economy," UBS said. AdvertisementA slew of bullish factors suggest the economy could be headed towards "Roaring '20s" status, according to a Monday note from UBS. Advertisement"The bread crumbs suggest a policy reaction function that is directionally supportive of a Roaring '20s outcome," Draho said of the Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's full employment goals.

Persons: —, UBS's, Jason Draho, Draho, Jerome Powell's Organizations: UBS, Service, Treasury, Atlanta, CPI

☆ China stocks see best week since 2008 on stimulus impact as most Asia markets rise
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +4 min

Chinese markets clocked their best week in almost 16 years as the mainland’s CSI 300 rallied 15.7% this week, buoyed by several economic stimulus measures by the central bank. The last time the index saw a bigger weekly gain was the week ending Nov. 14, 2008. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index recorded a weekly gain of 12.75%, making it the index’s best week since February 1998, according to FactSet data. Tokyo’s headline inflation rate eased to 2.2%, down from August’s 2.6%. A slate of fresh U.S. economic data also supported the market’s gains, with weekly jobless claims falling more than expected, pointing to a steady labor market.

Persons: Hong, PBOC, Shigeru Ishiba, Sanae Takaichi, Korea’s Kospi, Australia’s, ’ Organizations: CSI, People’s Bank of China, Google, Shanghai Stock Exchange, Reuters, Japan’s Nikkei, of Japan, U.S ., Micron Technology, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial Locations: China, Shanghai, Asia, Pacific, Tokyo, August’s, U.S

☆ French inflation cools more than expected in September as energy prices, transport costs decline
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

France's harmonized inflation rate fell sharply in September, preliminary data from the National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies (Insee) showed Friday. Harmonized consumer prices in the euro zone's second-largest economy came in at 1.5% in September, down from 2.2% in August. The Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) is adjusted for comparison with other euro zone countries. Altogether, Insee said that the September drop in consumer prices represents the sharpest monthly fall since 1990. Tobacco prices were expected to be virtually unchanged in September, compared to the previous month, Insee said.

Organizations: Eiffel, Paris, National Institute of Statistics, Economic Studies, Consumer, Reuters, European Central Bank, ECB, France's, Index, Olympic, Paralympic Games Locations: Paris, London

☆ Australia's inflation rate has come within its target range, but rate cuts likely won't come anytime soon
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Australia's inflation rate has come within the RBA's target range in the month of August, easing from 3.5% in July to 2.7%., according to a Wednesday release from the country's Bureau of Statistics. The drop puts the rate below the Reserve Bank of Australia's target range of 2%-3% for the first time since August 2021. He said that while the relief programs will bring headline inflation to the top of the RBA's target range, the RBA will be "looking through" these subsidies and focusing on core inflation. He writes, "the path of core inflation back to the target range has stalled somewhat, and it is hard to see a major improvement in the near term. We think the bank will need to see three more inflation prints before they are comfortable embarking on an easing cycle."

Persons: Australia's, Michelle Bullock, Bullock, Sean Langcake, Langcake Organizations: Statistics, Reserve Bank, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, ., Australia's Locations: SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA, Sydney, Australia, country's, Oxford

☆ Social Security’s death benefit has been $255 since 1954. Some senators want to change that
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

When a Social Security beneficiary dies, their loved ones may qualify for a one-time $255 lump-sum death payment. Yet that amount has not changed in 70 years — since 1954 — while inflation has pushed the costs for funerals higher. On Wednesday, Sen. Peter Welch, D-Vt., introduced a new bill, the Social Security Survivor Benefits Equity Act, to raise the lump-sum death benefit to $2,900 to reflect today's cost of living. Under the terms of the bill, the higher $2,900 death benefit would go into effect in 2025. The proposal has been endorsed by advocacy organizations Social Security Works and the Strengthen Social Security Coalition.

Persons: Sen, Peter Welch, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Welch, haven't Organizations: Social, Social Security Survivor, Equity, Finance, Social Security, National, Consumer, Urban, Clerical Workers, Social Security Coalition Locations: Sens

☆ Here are the most important days for the stock market between now and the November election, according to BofA
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

There are key stock market catalysts on the horizon before November. In a Monday note, Bank of America highlighted the most important days for the stock market between now and the November Presidential election. AdvertisementBank of AmericaNovember 6Technically the day after the election, the most important day for the stock market is November 6, when markets can react to the results. The stock market experienced a similar-sized move on the day after the prior Presidential election, with the S&P 500 jumping 2.2% on November 4, 2020. But now that the Fed has started its cutting cycle, we think labor market data (e.g.

Persons: — Organizations: Service, Federal, Bank of America, Investors, Fed Locations: United States

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