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Commercial and residential buildings seen from the rooftop of the Lotte Corp. World Tower at sunset in Seoul, South Korea, on Tuesday, Nov. 28, 2023. Asia-Pacific markets took a breather after two straight days of rallies, mirroring moves on Wall Street ahead of first-quarter gross domestic product figures from the U.S. due Thursday. In Asia, investors will assess South Korea's advance first-quarter GDP growth of 3.4% year on year, the highest quarterly growth since the fourth quarter of 2021. Separately, the Bank of Japan kicks off its monetary policy meeting Thursday as investors monitor for action against yen weakness. The yen slid past the 155 mark against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday, hitting a fresh 34-year low.
Organizations: Lotte Corp, Bank of Japan, U.S Locations: Seoul, South Korea, Asia, Pacific, U.S
Hard-to-handicap geopolitical conflict never helps, even if it rarely serves as the key swing factor in a market trend. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500, 1-year And then there was simply the elevated valuation and over-optimistic sentiment that had built up over that five-month, 28% rally that culminated at the end of March. Over the long span of time, about 40% of all 5% market pullbacks deepened into full 10% corrections. A 10%-ish correction from the S & P 500 high of 5254 would pull the index down below 4800, the former record high from early 2022, and so would be a test of the first-quarter breakout. Last week's 3% decline took the index back to Feb 21 and thereby closed the "Nvidia gap," the 100-point S & P 500 pop the day after Nvidia's blowout fourth-quarter earnings report.
Persons: Warren Pies, Jerome Powell Organizations: Nasdaq, 3Fourteen, Nvidia, Big Tech, Treasury, Silicon Valley Bank Locations: Silicon
Dollar takes a breather as investors ponder U.S. rates outlook
  + stars: | 2024-04-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar was soft on Thursday as traders assessed the U.S. interest rates outlook in the wake of comments from Federal Reserve officials that cemented expectation of monetary settings remaining restrictive for a while longer. The dollar was soft on Thursday as traders assessed the U.S. interest rates outlook in the wake of comments from Federal Reserve officials that cemented expectation of monetary settings remaining restrictive for a while longer. The yen strengthened 0.05% to 154.29 a dollar but remained close to the 34-year low of 154.79 touched on Tuesday. Japan last intervened in the currency market in 2022, spending an estimated $60 billion to defend the yen. Elsewhere, the Australian dollar was little changed at $0.6439, while the New Zealand dollar eased a bit to $0.5914 after spiking 0.6% on Wednesday.
Persons: Sterling, Michelle Bowman, Kristina Clifton, Tony Sycamore Organizations: Federal Reserve, Traders, Market Committee, Federal, Fed, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, IG, Japan, New Zealand Locations: U.S, Japan, South Korea, Tokyo, Seoul
Read previewUS stocks may have already peaked, warns a Morgan Stanley investment chief with a penchant for making successful market predictions. Jim Caron, who oversees Morgan Stanley Investment Management's portfolio solutions group, may want to consider buying a lottery ticket. And considering how much could go wrong in markets, stocks may take a while before rebounding to record highs. Quality stocks in those less-loved sectors should stand out once markets bottom, he said. "The best cure for high yields is high yields because as yields go higher, it becomes like a high-quality hedge to a downturn in the market," Caron said.
Persons: , Morgan Stanley, Jim Caron, Caron, shouldn't, Morgan Stanley's, We're, they'll, We've Organizations: Service, Morgan Stanley Investment, Business, Federal Reserve
Several major gauges of fear in the market are reflecting increased alarm from investors. @VX.1 1Y mountain The VIX over the past year At the same time, CNN's Fear and Greed Index has tipped into "fear" territory this week. Rising oil prices have also weighed on the stock market, as commodity traders bought in on expectations of escalating conflict in the Middle East. But he said the key threat to this outlook is if the conflict in the Middle East further spirals. "But, the caveat is, if things really go sideways in the Middle East, that could change the calculus."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Alex McGrath, You've, Dow, Jason Heller, Heller Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Dow, Treasury, Coastal Wealth Locations: East, Iran, Israel
From late October through March, the S&P 500 enjoyed a virtually uninterrupted 27.6% rally based on better-than-expected earnings and economic data. And while it's still well below the dot-com bubble levels, it's still too close for comfort for many investors. Related story"Those higher rates are starting to push back on elevated valuations for stocks right now," Saglimbene said. "They're all much cheaper on an earnings basis than those Magnificent 7 companies," Saglimbene said. "So I think if we avoid a recession this year, the narrative will change to a broadening of companies and sectors that can participate in earnings growth this year."
Persons: aren't, Anthony Saglimbene, Rick Pitcairn, Pitcairn, it's, we've, Raheel Siddiqui, Neuberger Berman, Siddiqui, Jon Wolfenbarger, Albert Edwards, Bill Smead, James Ragan, DA Davidson, Ragan, Saglimbene, Indrani, she's, De, Davidson, Siddiqui's Organizations: Ameriprise, Business, DA, FTSE Russell, Investors Locations: Ameriprise
A flagship stock like Nvidia (NVDA) takes a month-long breather and many investors want to throw in the towel on the uptrend and say enough is enough. The last time we spoke about NVDA was on Feb 21st just before the earnings report, while I was on a ski vacation. Turning down to the 195-minute chart (that is a half-day chart), we can fine tune our entry on this idea. I added a one-half position size to our short-term Active Opportunities portfolio with stops just below the $832 low. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: NVDA, it's, Elliott, Todd Gordon, Gordon Organizations: Nvidia, PPI, Inside Edge, Inside Edge Capital Management
Expect the stock market's run to record highs to continue as the year goes on, according to Wells Fargo. Christopher Harvey, the bank's head of equity strategy, raised his 2024 S & P 500 target to 5,535 from 4,625, implying a 6.4% upside from here. Wells Fargo' new forecast is one of the highest on the Street, surpassing the 5,500 target from John Stoltzfus at Oppenheimer. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500 The market's 2024 took a breather as of late as investors reassessed the Federal Reserve's path to cut interest rates. The S & P 500 declined nearly 1% during the period, its biggest weekly loss since early January.
Persons: Christopher Harvey, Harvey, Wells Fargo, John Stoltzfus Organizations: CNBC Pro Market, Survey, Dow Jones Locations: Wells Fargo, Oppenheimer
AdvertisementWhen I first started working, I could not have imagined that I'd have to live through layoffs five times over eight years. I've worked in magazine media, startups, and tech. AdvertisementI am very loyal to all of the people that I've worked for and worked with. I started working as a director of marketing content strategy for Dropbox in August 2020. What I've learned after five layoffs in less than eight years is that no industry is immune to instability.
Persons: Betty Wong Ortiz, She's, Ortiz, , I've, Rocco DiSpirito, I'd, We'd, Meredith, It's Organizations: Service, Fitness Magazine, Meredith Corporation, Blink Health, Dropbox, Blink Locations: Lake George , New York, Dropbox
The major force behind this year's AI trade has cooled off in recent weeks. "For three decades we've pursued accelerated computing, with the goal of enabling transformative breakthroughs like deep learning and AI," Huang said at GTC. So, as the benefits of AI trickle through the "AI supply chain," look for the benefits of AI to spread and earnings to grow as a result. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.
Persons: Jensen Huang, Huang, we've, It's, Jim Cramer, Nvidia –, We're, hyperscaler, Jack, McDonald's, Jim, That's, Jim Cramer's, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Nvidia, GTC, Blackwell, Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet's Google, Google, Club, Web Services, Super, CNBC, Intelligence, SAP Center Locations: U.S, China, San Jose , California
Dollar takes a breather ahead of U.S. jobs data
  + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
European inflation came in softer-than-expected on Wednesday, reinforcing expectations for a European rate cut in June. "The speech broadly affirmed the Fed is on track to cut rates this year, with data determining the timing. The Australian dollar broke above its 200-day moving average as the U.S. dollar dipped overnight and was steady at $0.6568 on Thursday. The Aussie is at a five-month high on the New Zealand dollar with traders expecting New Zealand rate cuts beginning in August but Australian rates on hold until November. The New Zealand dollar rose 0.7% on the greenback overnight to regain a foothold above $0.60.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Sterling Organizations: Federal, Traders, ANZ, Australian, U.S, New Zealand, . U.S, Treasury, PMI, Central Bank Locations: Zealand, ., Europe
Mizuho reiterates Nvidia as a top pick Mizuho says Nvidia is still a top idea at the firm. Morgan Stanley initiates Mural Oncology at overweight Morgan said in its initiation of the biotech company that it sees a long "cash runway" lasting through 2025. Morgan Stanley downgrades Block to underweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley sees growth headwinds for the payment tech company. Morgan Stanley upgrades Zeta to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said the marketing technology company has an underappreciated valuation. " Morgan Stanley reiterates Tesla at overweight Morgan Stanley lowered its price target to $310 per share from $320. "
Persons: Bernstein, Reddit, underperform Bernstein, Raymond James, Raymond James downgrades Bumble, Barclays downgrades Ferrari, it's, Mizuho, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Morgan, Wolfe, underperform Wolfe, Piper Sandler, Piper, Synopsys, Morgan Stanley downgrades Block, Dave, Buster's, Jefferies, Zeta, Oppenheimer, Ball, Wayfair, Wynn, bullish, Tesla, Goldman Sachs downgrades Hertz Organizations: Citi, Barclays, Ferrari, Nvidia, JPMorgan, Avis, UBS downgrades Bank of America, UBS, Apple, AstraZeneca JPMorgan, AstraZeneca, Amazon, AWS, Meta, General Motors, GMC, Chevrolet, Buick, GM, DFS, Mizuho, Eversource Energy Locations: Avis, MURA, Charlotte, Wayfair, Capital, Macau
A flare stack burns beyond oil storage tanks at the Taneco Oil Refining and Petrochemical complex, operated by Tatneft PJSC, in Nizhnekamsk, Tatarstan, Russia, on March 5, 2019. Crude oil futures were flat Thursday, taking a breather as traders took stock of the market after prices advanced more than 2% this week to hit the highest level since October. The West Texas Intermediate contract for May delivery gained 2 cents to $85.45 a barrel, while the Brent contract for June delivery was unchanged at $89.35. Oil prices have rallied this year, booking three consecutive months of gains with U.S. crude adding 19% while Brent is up about 16%. The rally comes as the wars in Eastern Europe and the Middle East raise renewed fears about supply disruptions.
Persons: Tatneft PJSC, Brent Organizations: Oil Refining, Petrochemical, The West Texas Intermediate Locations: Nizhnekamsk, Tatarstan, Russia, Eastern Europe, Ukraine
An energy installation on a property leased to Devon Energy Production Company by the Catholic Archdiocese of Oklahoma City is seen near Guthrie, OklahomaCrude oil futures ticked slightly lower Monday, taking a breather after a strong first quarter. The West Texas Intermediate contract for May delivery lost 33 cents, or 0.4%, to $82.84 a barrel in the first day of trading for the second quarter. The Brent contract for June delivery dropped 40 cents, or 0.49%, to $86.57 a barrel. U.S. crude and Brent also booked three consecutive months of gains. WTI is up 15.5% for the year while Brent is up 12.3%.
Persons: Brent, WTI Organizations: Devon Energy Production Company, Catholic Archdiocese of, West Texas Intermediate Locations: Catholic Archdiocese of Oklahoma, Guthrie , Oklahoma
The S & P 500 has more room for upside in 2024, according to RBC Capital Markets head of U.S. equity strategy Lori Calvasina. The upgrade comes as the S & P 500 wraps up a monster start to the year. The strategist also expanded her 2024 earnings forecast to $237 from $234, which underpins her overall higher outlook for the S & P 500. Calvasina also laid out her bull case, which has the S & P 500 soaring to 5,400, nearly 3% above Wednesday's close. The current signal is little changed from her January S & P 500 forecast, where she also said U.S. equities appeared to be overbought.
Persons: Lori Calvasina, Calvasina Organizations: RBC Capital Markets, CNBC's Market, Survey
A psychologist shared why a friendship reshuffle can be better than breaking up or quiet quitting. A reshuffle keeps a friend in your life while allowing you to branch out and focus on new people. Luckily, there's another, less permanent option for needing some space: a friendship reshuffle. Kirmayer shared how to reinvigorate your social life with a reshuffle — and leave room for later reconnection. Stay in touch in smaller waysAs you encounter various life changes, you may need a reshuffle to avoid becoming overwhelmed.
Persons: , there's, Miriam Kirmayer, Kirmayer, Rebalance, you've, You've Organizations: Service
The Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE), operated by Japan Exchange Group Inc. (JPX), in Tokyo, Japan, on Friday, Feb. 16, 2024. Kosuke Okahara/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets were set to fall Tuesday as the U.S. market took a breather following a rally sparked by optimism over the Federal Reserve's interest rate stance at its latest meeting. "We're coming off of a post-FOMC high," he told CNBC, referring to the U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee meeting last week. "The market is getting more and more vulnerable to a market decline or a pullback in prices." Investors in Asia also await economic data out of Southeast Asia, including Singapore's manufacturing output and Thailand's trade balance.
Persons: Kosuke Okahara, Sam Stovall Organizations: Tokyo Stock Exchange, Japan Exchange Group Inc, Bloomberg, Getty Images, Federal, CFRA Research, CNBC, U.S, U.S . Federal Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Getty Images Asia, Pacific, U.S, U.S ., Asia, Southeast Asia
European markets are heading for a lackluster open Tuesday as investors continue to ponder last week's central bank policy decisions in Europe and the U.S. Regional markets had a tentative start to the new trading week Monday and the lack of momentum looks set to continue Tuesday. Today, investors in Europe, the Middle East and Africa will be keeping an eye out as Nigeria's central bank publishes its latest monetary policy decision, and as earnings come from Smiths Group, Ocado Retail, Bellway and A.G. Barr. Asia-Pacific markets were mixed Tuesday as the U.S. market took a breather after a rally sparked by optimism over the Federal Reserve's interest rate stance at its latest meeting. U.S. stock futures traded near the flatline Monday night, after the major averages took a breather from their rally.
Organizations: U.S . Regional, Smiths Group, Ocado, Federal Locations: Europe, East, Africa, Barr, Asia, Pacific, U.S
CNBC Daily Open: Inflation isn't coming down fast enough
  + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Indian bonds on global indexesIndian bonds are set to be added to global indexes which could be a gamechanger for the country. Trump Media to start tradingThe company behind former President Donald Trump's social media platform Truth Social, will start trading on Tuesday. Called Trump Media & Technology Group Corp., it will trade on the NASDAQ under the stock ticker symbol DJT.
Persons: Patria Stodghill, vender Susan Mendoza, Donald Trump's, Trump, David Dietze Organizations: Patria, Washington , DC, CNBC, CSI, Federal Reserve, Dow, Nasdaq, Bloomberg, Services, China Apple, Wedbush Securities, Huawei, Apple, Trump Media, Trump Media & Technology Group Corp, NASDAQ, Nvidia, Wealth Management Locations: Washington ,, South Korea, Seng, China
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Wall Street lowerU.S. stocks closed lower Monday taking a breather from a rally sparked last week after the Federal Reserve stuck to its rate-cut forecast. Trump Media to start tradingThe company behind former President Donald Trump's social media platform Truth Social, will start trading on Tuesday. Called Trump Media & Technology Group Corp., it will trade on the NASDAQ under the stock ticker symbol DJT. That's according to David Dietze, managing principal and senior portfolio strategist at Peapack Private Wealth Management.
Persons: Dow, Bitcoin, Jane Street, Donald Trump's, Trump, David Dietze Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Investment, HOF Capital, Ford Foundation, Fidelity . Trump Media, Trump Media & Technology Group Corp, NASDAQ, Nvidia, Wealth Management Locations: UAE, Britain, China, Beijing
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on March 20, 2024 in New York City. U.S. stock futures traded near the flatline Monday night, after the major averages took a breather from their rally. Month to date, the major U.S. stock benchmarks are on pace for their fifth straight month of gains. Despite some concerns that the market rally has crossed into overbought territory, investors still can't be underweight on equities as of now, according to 3Fourteen Research cofounder Warren Pies. Durable goods orders and the Richmond Fed's manufacturing survey will also provide insight on the health of the manufacturing sector.
Persons: Dow, Warren Pies, CNBC's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Richmond Locations: New York City . U.S, U.S, overbought
However, I want to establish an insurance trade in the event chip stocks come up for a breather short-term or reverse some of this rally. SOXX .SPX 6M mountain iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) vs. the S & P 500 The continued euphoria and associated demand for artificial intelligence semiconductors has boosted several chip stocks such as Nvidia, Broadcom and AMD. These three stocks alone are collectively up 150% on a one year look back and also make up nearly 25% of iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) . DISCLOSURES: (Long SOXX, Long this put spread) THE ABOVE CONTENT IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY . BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Long Organizations: Federal Reserve, Semiconductor, Nvidia, Broadcom, AMD, iShares Semiconductor Locations: U.S
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. AI catalysts ahead: The newsy Alphabet headline Friday was Wedbush adding the stock to its Best Ideas List and increasing its price target. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Morgan Stanley, Cramer, Claude, Abbott, Lululemon, It's, Goldman Sachs, Jonathan Kanter, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Google, Conference, Apple, Abbott Laboratories, Abbott Labs, Nokia, Target, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Morgan
Eight economists, investment chiefs, and strategists that Business Insider recently spoke to credited healthier-than-anticipated consumer balance sheets and spending for the continued expansion. "Either that, or they're going to be maxed out — they can't get any more money. They're not going to have any liquidity to be able to continue to do the things they're going to do." He's also sticking with defensive stocks as consumer spending softens, including those in the consumer staples sector like Clorox (CLX) and Procter & Gamble (PG). Real estate is a "hated asset class" that's negatively correlated with interest rates, Sekera said.
Persons: shouldn't, Kevin Gordon, Charles Schwab, they're, Sue Crotty, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Clark Bellin, Bellin, David Rosenberg, They're, Rob Swanke, Swanke, Preston Caldwell, Morningstar's, Dave Sekera, Sekera, Christopher Barto, Gordon, Clissold, He's, Morningstar's Sekera, Crotty, Segal Marco Advisors, She's, Barto, that's Organizations: Business, Consumers, Segal Marco, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Commonwealth Financial Network, Nasdaq, Morningstar, Fort Pitt Capital Group, Procter, Gamble, Federal Reserve, Exxon, APA Corp, Duke Energy, Segal, Energy, Healthcare Locations: Devon, Real, NiSource
Gold prices slipped from near record-high levels on Tuesday, as traders braced for key U.S. inflation report that could give more clarity on when the Federal Reserve might start cutting its interest rates. Spot gold fell 0.2% to $2,178.53 per ounce, as of 0424 GMT, after rising for nine consecutive sessions. "Following the stellar run-up in gold prices, it does call for some near-term breather," IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong said. Another surprise run of hotter-than-expected inflation data for February will likely challenge that, which could drive some near-term unwinding in gold prices." Traders are pricing in three to four quarter-point (25 bps) U.S. rate cuts, with a 70% chance for the first in June, as per LSEG's interest rate probability app.
Persons: Bullion, Yeap Jun Rong, there's, Tim Waterer Organizations: Co, Federal Reserve, Traders, U.S . Treasury, KCM Trade Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, U.S
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