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Massive stimulus from central banks in the U.S., China and elsewhere is driving bubble-like stock returns and could head off a global recession, according to Bank of America. "It's the bubble dream," BofA chief investment strategist Michael Hartnett wrote in his weekly "Flow Show" breakdown of where investors are putting their money. "Fed slashing, oil crashing, China inflating ... and if this China stimulus don't work then geopolitical risks [are] going to soar." But while some indicators do point to a slowing in global growth, the abundant forecasts for recession have eased. "Fed cutting into recession is negative for risk assets, but Fed cutting with no recession is positive and investors firmly of view Fed + China is sufficient policy easing to short-circuit recession risk," Hartnett wrote.
Persons: Michael Hartnett, Hartnett Organizations: Bank of America, Federal Reserve, People's Bank of China, Investors Locations: U.S, China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMalaysian Ringgit has outperformed Japanese Yen and gold since July, strategist explains whyAdarsh Sinha at BofA Securities discusses recent trends of the Malaysian Ringgit and highlights Korean Won's weakness.
Persons: Adarsh Sinha Organizations: Malaysian, BofA Securities
Analyst Jared Shaw raised his rating on the regional bank to overweight from equal weight and upped his price target by $4 to $14. Analyst Rob Dickerson downgraded the chocolate maker to underperform from hold and slashed his price target by $21 to $163. Analyst Lincoln Kong upgraded U.S.-listed shares to buy from neutral and raised his price target to $22.60 from $16.50. — Alex Harring 5:51 a.m.: BofA hikes Meta price target following Connect event Bank of America sees more room for Meta Platforms to run due to its artificial intelligence possibilities. Starbucks shares are flat year to date, but they have popped more than 20% over the past three months.
Persons: Bernstein, Jared Shaw, NYCB, Shaw, — Alex Harring, Sell Hershey, Jefferies, Rob Dickerson, Dickerson, flatlining, Hershey, Alex Harring, BofA, Ralph Lauren, Christopher Nardone, Justin Picicci, Corey Van der, Nardone, Picicci, Goldman, Bilibili Goldman Sachs, Lincoln, Kong, Bilibili, Justin Post, Post, Metaverse, Meta, Brian Niccol, Danilo Gargiulo, Gargiulo, Niccol, — Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, . Bank of America, Barclays, Bancorp New, Bancorp New York Community, Wall, Hershey, America's, Lincoln Kong, Bank of America, Facebook, Meta, Orion, Taco Bell Locations: Bancorp New York, Wednesday's, Thursday's premarket, Bilibili, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBofA Securities: Iron ore prices to drop next year as oversupply continuesMatty Zhao of BofA Securities expects the impact of stimulus on China's property sector will be short-lived, and that steel demand will decline again, leading to iron ore prices dropping to $90 in 2025.
Persons: oversupply, Matty Zhao Organizations: BofA Securities, Securities
Bank of America says the economy should enter a "recovery" phase as early as next year. So investors may want to consider higher-risk small-caps, which outperform in recovery, BofA says. Below are three higher-risk stocks that are well-positioned to take off next year. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! But despite warning signs emerging in the labor market, Bank of America says investors should start to consider adding riskier assets to their portfolio heading into 2025.
Persons: BofA, , Justin Post Organizations: of America, Service, Bank of America, Bank of, Federal Reserve, Business Locations: Bank of America's
Bowing to investor pressure, Salesforce has adopted a more disciplined approach to dealmaking, increasing the importance of internal product development. "Agentforce is the product announcement [Salesforce] investors have sought for years," Needham analysts wrote in a recent note to clients. Salesforce stock remains down about 13% from its 2024 peak close and record high of $316.88 a share on March 1. CRM 1Y mountain Salesforce's stock over the past 12 months. Analysts said Salesforce is cheap compared to peers on multiple valuation metrics with ample room to increase free cash flow ahead.
Persons: Salesforce, Jim Cramer, Agentforce, Mulesoft, Needham, Einstein, , Jim, Bofa, Baird, Piper Sandler, Piper, Jim Cramer's, Marc Benioff, Salesforce's Dreamforce, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Wall Street, Nasdaq, Barclays, Saks, Investors, Bank of America, CNBC, Getty Locations: Dreamforce, San Francisco, San Francisco , California
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt takes more than a year for monetary policies to come through, BofA strategist saysSebastian Raedler, head of European equity strategy at the Bank of America, discusses the impact of the Fed monetary policy on the U.S. market at the BofA Financials CEO conference in London.
Persons: Sebastian Raedler Organizations: Bank of America Locations: London
Go to newsletter preferencesSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. There was a brief period during the pandemic and the years after it when hybrid work, four-day workweeks, and flexible hours gave employees more power than ever before. And now, employee surveillance is on the rise. "That might create high staff turnover rates," he said, "and there are all sorts of costs associated with recruiting staff." Overall, Kayas held that whether staff surveillance is good or bad, or right or wrong, comes down to whether you're asking the employee or the employer.
Persons: , JPMorgan Chase, Leo Lukenas III, BofA, Oliver Kayas, Kayas Organizations: Service, Business, Street Journal, Bank of America, JPMorgan, of America, Army, Liverpool John Moores University, Citigroup
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBofA on China's stimulus announcement: It is a whole package, but not a big bazookaWinnie Wu from BofA Securities says big cap beta names will do well in this risk-on environment, but for the rally to sustain, more needs to be done, especially in terms of fiscal stimulus and structure reform.
Persons: Winnie Wu Organizations: BofA Securities
Luxury stocks slip as fears grow of a prolonged downturn
  + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesLONDON — European luxury stocks tumbled on Monday as analysts warned of a deteriorating demand outlook, particularly among high-spending Chinese consumers. "Following the post-Covid peak in consumption in 2022, luxury sector revenues have been sequentially slowing. Across European luxury firms, they expect a 1% revenue decline in 2024. The Stoxx Europe Luxury 10, an index tracking top names in the sector, managed to hold flat but has fallen 3.82% in the year to date. 'Prolonged period of weakness'They're not alone in their bearish view on Europe's luxury sector.
Persons: Hugo Boss, Germany's Hugo Boss, Burberry, Kering, Hermes, Jon Cox, Kepler Cheuvreux, CNBC's, Cox Organizations: Hugo, Hugo Boss AG, Bloomberg, Getty, Bank of America, Korean, BofA Securities, Kepler, U.S, CNBC, Burberry Locations: Shanghai, China, American, Europe
Read previewApple Intelligence didn't come with the latest iPhone 16 drop on September 20, but that won't matter — analysts are confident that it'll still boost iPhone 16 sales throughout the next 12 months as Apple releases the AI-powered features in multiple software updates. "Apple Intelligence is still the big driver," Gil Luria, an Apple analyst for D.A. The analyst compared Apple Intelligence's sales boost potential to the excitement around 5G coverage for iPhone 12 about four years ago. According to the analyst, the difference now is that Apple Intelligence won't come out of the box. Luria, the Apple analyst, told BI that Apple Intelligence won't be a popular feature until people can start using it, comparing it to AI's dominance after ChatGPT was released to the public in 2022.
Persons: , Gil Luria, Davidson, Chi Kuo, Luria, Dan Ives, Ives, Ron Witt, " Luria, ChatGPT Organizations: Service, Apple, Apple Intelligence, D.A, Business, BofA Global Research, BI, 5G, Wedbush Securities Locations: Cupertino, San Francisco and New York, San Francisco
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBofA CEO Brian Moynihan: Fed should keep making sure they 'stay ahead' to get soft landingBrian Moynihan, CEO of Bank of America, joins CNBC's 'Power Lunch' to discuss his reactions to the Federal Reserve's decision to cut rates by 50 basis-points, whether he thinks inflation should continue to be at the forefront for the central bank, and more.
Persons: Brian Moynihan Organizations: Bank of America, Federal
There are key stock market catalysts on the horizon before November. In a Monday note, Bank of America highlighted the most important days for the stock market between now and the November Presidential election. AdvertisementBank of AmericaNovember 6Technically the day after the election, the most important day for the stock market is November 6, when markets can react to the results. The stock market experienced a similar-sized move on the day after the prior Presidential election, with the S&P 500 jumping 2.2% on November 4, 2020. But now that the Fed has started its cutting cycle, we think labor market data (e.g.
Persons: Organizations: Service, Federal, Bank of America, Investors, Fed Locations: United States
And so it is with Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway slashing its holdings in Apple and Bank of America in recent months. Buffett himself has indicated in recent years that he doesn't see an abundance of compelling value on offer in the public markets. But this in itself isn't much of a clue about future market prospects or the macroeconomic moment. Borgato says he believes "Buffett wants to leave a Berkshire behind that requires [fewer] future cash allocation decisions, not more." I'm not a buyer of the "cash on the sidelines" case for expecting money market assets to drain into stocks.
Persons: , Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett, Ed Borgato, it's, pare Berkshire's, Greg Abel, Berkshire Hathaway, BRK.B QUAL, Ajit Jain, Trump, Borgato, Jared Woodard Organizations: Apple, Bank of America, Bank of, Buffett, Berkshire, Berkshire Hathaway, Washington Locations: Berkshire's, Berkshire, Apple,
Apple Intelligence, the AI feature analysts believe will spark a consumer rush to update their iPhones, Business Insider previously reported, was not installed in the new iPhones straight out of the box. AdvertisementDespite the lines, the data shows that preorder sales took a hit this year — possibly due to the absence of Apple Intelligence. The average global shipping time for the iPhone 16 was 7 days compared to 9 days for the iPhone 15. Shipping times for the 16 Pro Max were 11 days compared to 19 days for the 15 Pro Max. The level of draw Apple Intelligence will have on customers is also in question.
Persons: , Siri, Ron Witt, Witt, It's, Saul Campos, Campos, Tim Cook, it's, Mark Gurman, Chi Kuo, Kuo, Max, Gil Luria, Davidson, Techradar, Apple Organizations: Service, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Business, Apple's, CNBC, Reuters, Shipping, D.A, Consumer Intelligence Research Partners Locations: San Francisco, New York, Manhattan
But that means investors once again exposed to risks of a tech bubble inflating anew. Hartnett says investors should allocate to bonds and gold to hedge bubble risk. But it means investors will have to chase the stock market surge as bubble risks bounce back, he added. AdvertisementHartnett has previously warned of the potential for a tech bubble as investment in AI has soared. Amid further AI investment and easing policy, Hartnett says the best way to position portfolios is with allocations to bonds and gold, which hedge against growth and inflation risks.
Persons: BofA's Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, , Michael Hartnett Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Nvidia, Broadcom, ASML, Meta, Treasury
This trade was the biggest post-Fed winner
  + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
It looks like small caps were the winning trade following the Federal Reserve's supersized rate cut on Wednesday . With that, the fund has climbed 3.1% this week and 10.2% in the third quarter alone, double the return of the S & P 500 in each period. Large-cap stocks easily outperformed small caps in five of eight instances when the Fed was lowering rates, small caps outperformed twice and in one case, 1995, there was virtually no difference. Regime Indicator to 'Downturn' all support our preference for large vs small [stocks]," the analysts wrote. In Thursday's session, the S & P jumped 1.7% to a fresh all-time high, topping the 5,700 mark for the first time.
Persons: Russell, Clinton Organizations: Fed, Strategas Securities, Federal, Bank of America, U.S
7:03 a.m.: Bernstein cuts price target on Nike amid innovation critiques Bernstein sees slightly less room for Nike to rebound. — Alex Harring 6:25 a.m.: Jefferies recommends buying NextEra Energy Partners despite buyout concern Jefferies came out of the gates optimistic on NextEra Energy Partners . Analyst Julien Dumoulin-Smith initiated coverage of the Florida-based renewable energy stock at a buy rating. — Alex Harring 5:54 a.m.: AI helps HubSpot compete, BofA says Bank of America is keeping an eye of HubSpot's artificial intelligence work. — Alex Harring 5:46 a.m.: JPMorgan says to sell Five Below JPMorgan turned bearish on Five Below , citing challenges that are hard to surmount for the value-focused retailer during a tough year.
Persons: Piper Sandler, Bernstein, Aneesha Sherman, Sherman, Alex Harring, BTIG, it's, Jake Fuller, Fuller, DoorDash, — Alex Harring, Jefferies, Julien Dumoulin, Smith, Hertz, Dan Levy, Levy, Avis, HubSpot, BofA, BofA's Brad Sills, Sills, monetization, Matthew Boss, Boss, Abbott, Adam Maeder, necrotizing, ABT, Maeder, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Laboratories, JPMorgan, Nike, Dow Jones, Jefferies, NextEra Energy Partners, Barclays, Hertz, Bank of America, LSEG, Abbott Laboratories Locations: Wednesday's, Florida, Thursday's premarket
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSeeing signs of softness, not accelerating weakness in small businesses: BofA's Liz Everett KrisbergLiz Everett Krisberg, head of Bank of America Institute, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the results from the bank's small business survey, impact of the Fed's interest rate decision on small businesses, state of consumer spending, and more.
Persons: Liz Everett, Liz Everett Krisberg Organizations: Bank of America Institute
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEconomist: 50 basis point Fed rate cut will give ASEAN central banks scope to move on policyKai Wei Ang of BofA Global Research discusses his outlook for Southeast Asian central banks amid a looming interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve.
Persons: Kai Wei Ang Organizations: ASEAN, BofA Global Research, U.S . Federal Reserve
Millennials and Gen Z are increasingly shopping at discount stores like TJ Maxx, Burlington, and Ross. AdvertisementGen Z wants more bang for their buck, and their love of a good deal could drive shares of some discount retailers up nearly 20%, Bank of America says. AdvertisementThe report from BofA on Wednesday attributes the rise in popularity among discount stores to inflation weariness. The analysts see Burlington and Ross Stores shares rising 16% and 18% from Wednesday highs, respectively. "Off-price has attracted the customer, helped by the quest for value amidst persistent multi-year inflation pressures," Bank of America's analysts wrote.
Persons: Millennials, TJ Maxx, Ross, , Ross . Younger Organizations: Service, Bank of America, TJ Maxx, Goods, Burlington, Ross Stores, Bank of Locations: Burlington, Millennials, BofA
That marks a real GDP growth rate of 51.1% between 2010 and 2021, meaning an economic contribution that's 2.7 times that of the non-Hispanic population. Despite those large figures, some economists think that U.S. Latinas could be contributing more to GDP than the report's figure. A growing forceWhen it comes to labor force participation, Latinas are outpacing other groups, the BofA report showed. Conversely, the non-Latino labor force growth rate was negative that year, meaning that more people left the labor force than entered it. "Whereas all Latinos are a source of economic strength, Latinas are drivers of vitality that the economy needs."
Persons: Manolo, Jeffrey Greenberg, Jeff Greenberg, Belinda Román, Mónica, Pérez, Matthew Fienup, David Hayes, Bautista, , Latinas, Elise Gould, Andrew Lichtenstein Organizations: Miami, Universal, Getty, Bank of America, St, Mary's University, CNBC, Fayetteville State University, Latina, Center for Economic Research, California Lutheran University, Center, Latino Health, Culture, School of Medicine, UCLA, Drivers, Economic, EPI, Brooklyn Puerto Rico Day, Corbis Locations: Miami Beach , Florida, U.S, Florida, California , Texas, New York, Brooklyn, Bushwick, Brooklyn , New York
Bank of America doesn't see gold's rally ending soon and thinks producer Gold Fields could benefit. A key asset for the metal producer is Chilean mine Salares Norte, which could increase growth through near-term gold production. "Salares Norte should be a highly cash generative asset and we think it could account for [about]. BofA also thinks lower Federal Reserve rates can drive gold to $3,000 by 2025. A longer-term catalyst includes Gold Fields' acquisition of Osisko Mining in August.
Persons: Gold, Jason Fairclough, Fairclough, BofA Organizations: America, Osisko Mining Locations: Chilean, Norte, Quebec
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailiPhone 16 delivery lead time is 'one indicator, not the only indicator', says BofA's Wamsi MohanWamsi Mohan, BofA Securities senior IT hardware analyst, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk reports of a pre-order slowdown with Apple's new iPhone 16.
Persons: BofA's Wamsi Mohan Wamsi Mohan Organizations: BofA Securities
Traders should look to financials, utilities, and real estate stocks, Savita Subramanian says. Subramanian pointed to large-cap value stocks, and said they "look incredibly attractive." Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementTraders should look to avoid risks and hide in safe dividend stocks as the market faces rising uncertainty, Bank of America chief equity strategist Savita Subramanian said.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, Organizations: Service, of America, Bloomberg Television, Business
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