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Canadian dollar edges higher as oil prices climb
  + stars: | 2023-07-04 | by ( Fergal Smith | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Summary Canadian dollar strengthens 0.2% against the greenbackPrice of U.S. oil increases 2%Canada manufacturing PMI dips to 48.8 in JuneCanadian bond yields rise across the curveTORONTO, July 4 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar strengthened against its U.S. counterpart on Tuesday as oil prices rose and despite domestic data that showed factory activity slowing further in June. Speculators have slashed their bearish bets on the Canadian dollar, data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission showed on Friday. The price of oil , one of Canada's major exports, climbed 2% to $71.16 a barrel as markets weighed August supply cuts by top exporters Saudi Arabia and Russia against a weak global economic outlook. Contraction in Canada's manufacturing sector deepened slightly in June as an uncertain economic outlook weighed on both domestic and foreign demand. Canadian government bond yields were higher across the curve, with the 10-year up 6.4 basis points at 3.335%.
Persons: greenback Price, Fergal Smith, Josie Kao Organizations: greenback, Canadian, U.S, U.S . Commodity Futures Trading, P Global Canada Manufacturing, Bank of Canada, BoC, Thomson Locations: Canada, TORONTO, Saudi Arabia, Russia
By Steve SchererOTTAWA, June 30 (Reuters) - Canadian businesses see labor pressures easing and expect short-term inflation to edge down, the Bank of Canada said on Friday in a second quarter survey, but fewer firms expect an outright recession over the next year than three months ago. More businesses still expect wage growth over the next year, but the second-quarter number is a third of what it was a year ago. An increasing number of firms see both their input costs and the prices of what they sell declining over the next year. "Although labor shortages remain common in some sectors, pressures on the labor market are easing due to decreased competition for workers and increased labor supply," the report said. "Firms expect growth in their wages to moderate from high levels."
Persons: Steve Scherer OTTAWA, Steve Scherer, Ismail Shakil Organizations: Bank of Canada, BoC, Thomson
The central bank is worried that the Canadian economy is running too hot for inflation to return to its 2% target and that if it waits to act, inflation expectations could rise, making matters worse. The central bank lifted its benchmark rate to a 22-year high of 4.75% this month and is expected to tighten further in July or September. A hard landing for the economy, or a recession, could raise unemployment, something the BoC has been hoping to avoid. "I'm not going to be betting against interest rates and I'm not going to be betting against policy lags." The data has left analysts pushing back their forecasts of a slowdown to later in 2023 or in 2024 but accompanied by higher than anticipated interest rates.
Persons: Karl Schamotta, David Rosenberg, I'm, Royce Mendes, Fergal Smith, Steve Scherer, Denny Thomas, Stephen Coates Organizations: TORONTO, Bank, Bank of Canada's, BoC, Bank of Canada, Rosenberg Research, Desjardins, Thomson Locations: United States, Data, Toronto, Ottawa
Variable rate mortgages in Canada typically require borrowers to make regular payments in fixed amounts. WHAT IS THE EXTENT OF MORTGAGE AMORTIZATION EXTENSION? Both banks had no variable-rate mortgages with amortizations greater than 30 years prior to the start of rate hikes. If interest rates stay high over the next few years, as the central bank has warned, it raises questions about customers' ability to service bigger than anticipated debt at higher rates during renewals. The big banks said most customers are able to cope with higher interest rates as they had passed a rigorous stress test to handle higher interest rates.
Persons: Royce Mendes, Carolyn Rogers, OSFI, Nivedita Balu, Fergal Smith, Steve Scherer, Denny Thomas, Conor Humphries Organizations: TORONTO, Statistics Canada, Royal Bank of Canada, CIBC, Bank of Nova, National Bank, Bank of Canada, BoC, Thomson Locations: Canada, United States, Bank of Nova Scotia, amortization, Toronto, Ottawa
BENGALURU, June 13 (Reuters) - The Bank of Canada will raise interest rates again in July to 5.00% after a surprise 25 basis point increase last week, according to economists polled by Reuters, who unanimously said the main risk was the central bank might have to do more. The BoC will hike its overnight rate by 25 basis points to 5.00% at next month's meeting, according to 20 of 25 economists in a snap June 8-13 Reuters poll. "When you resume hiking, you don't resume for one 25 basis point hike. All but three of 25 economists forecast the overnight rate to peak at 5.00% or higher, 50 basis points more than was predicted in the last survey published on June 2. Only one of 25 economists expected a rate cut this year, compared with five in the last poll.
Persons: underscoring, Sebastien Lavoie, Lavoie, Doug Porter, Milounee Purohit, Sarupya Ganguly, Ross Finley, Sharon Singleton Organizations: Bank of Canada, Reuters, BoC, Laurentian Bank, BMO Capital Markets, Thomson Locations: BENGALURU
China IPOs are uncoupling from Wall Street too
  + stars: | 2023-06-12 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Increasingly it is detaching from Wall Street too. Nonetheless, the Shanghai Stock Exchange will hold a hearing for the deal on Friday, per Refinitiv’s IFR. Syngenta is a pillar in Beijing’s strategy to shore up food security and will use the deal to pay down debt. The landmark IPO coincides with signs that Wall Street’s small position in the market is shrinking further. Syngenta’s blockbuster IPO will be an awkward new milestone for Wall Street already facing life in China’s second tier.
Persons: Beijing’s, It’s, Dealogic, Xavier Niel, Pete Sweeney, Thomas Shum Organizations: Reuters, Agricultural Bank of, Shanghai Stock Exchange, HK, BOC, Citic Securities, Twitter, Brookfield, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, Agricultural Bank of China’s, Hong Kong, China’s, Una
Dollar steady as traders consider Fed, global rates outlook
  + stars: | 2023-06-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The increased expectations that U.S. and global interest rates may have further to rise has come on the back of surprise rate increases by the Bank of Canada (BoC) and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) this week. The Canadian dollar was last steady at C$1.3365 to the greenback, after rising to a one-month top of C$1.3321 in the previous session. The U.S. dollar index dipped slightly to 104.02, though strayed not too far from an over two-month high hit last week, on the back of higher Treasury yields. Money markets are pricing in a 29% chance that the Fed raises rates by 25bps at its policy meeting next week. "Markets have raised their FOMC rate hike expectations following a surprise Bank of Canada rate hike," said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia.
Persons: Edward Moya, Carol Kong, Ray Attrill Organizations: Treasury, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of Canada, BoC, Reserve Bank of Australia, Wednesday, Canadian, U.S, European Central Bank, 25bps, of Canada, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, National Australia Bank Locations: Chicago, Asia
By Steve Scherer and David LjunggrenOTTAWA, June 8 (Reuters) - Surprisingly strong household spending in the first quarter and stubbornly high core inflation were among the top reasons the Bank of Canada hiked rates after a four-month pause, a senior official said on Thursday. The Bank of Canada (BoC) on Wednesday hiked its overnight rate to a 22-year high of 4.75%, and markets and analysts forecast yet another increase next month after the policy announcement declared monetary policy was not sufficiently restrictive. Speaking to business executives in Vancouver in the BoC's first remarks since raising rates, Beaudry singled out unexpectedly strong household spending, a rebound in the housing market, a tight labor market, and sticky core inflation as the main factors behind the latest move. Core inflation measures "seem to have lost their downward momentum", he said. There is a greater risk of higher rates in the future, so "it's important to think ahead", Beaudry said, and "be better prepared in the eventuality that we have entered a new era of structurally higher interest rates".
Persons: Steve Scherer, David Ljunggren OTTAWA, Paul Beaudry, Beaudry, David Ljunggren Organizations: Bank of Canada, Wednesday, BoC, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Vancouver, Reuters Ottawa
Traders have priced in a 73% chance of the U.S. central bank holding interest rates at the current 5%-5.25% range during its monetary policy meeting on June 13-14, according to CMEGroup's Fedwatch tool. "Today's data in terms of higher claims shows that the Fed policy is having a clear effect," said David Russell, vice president of Market Intelligence at TradeStation. The CBOE Volatility index (.VIX), also known as Wall Street's fear gauge, dropped to a fresh pre-pandemic low of 13.73. The U.S. Labor Department is due to release inflation data on June 13, the first day of the Fed meeting. The S&P index recorded six new 52-week highs and two new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 38 new highs and 29 new lows.
Persons: David Russell, Wells, Ryan Cohen, Piper Sandler, Zhu Jiang, Sruthi Shankar, Shristi, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: GameStop, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, Traders, Market Intelligence, Fed, Nvidia Corp, Apple Inc, Tesla Inc, GameStop Corp, U.S . Labor Department, Bank of Canada, BoC, Dow Jones, Adobe, Lucid, NYSE, Thomson Locations: Wells, U.S, Wells Fargo, China, Bengaluru
Futures muted as bond yields rise on rate jitters
  + stars: | 2023-06-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
SummarySummary Companies Futures up: Dow 0.01%, S&P 0.06%, Nasdaq 0.09%June 8 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures were largely flat on Thursday as government bond yields hovered near recent highs on worries that major central banks could keep raising interest rates. The benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX) and the tech-heavy Nasdaq (.IXIC) closed lower on Wednesday, with megacap stocks leading declines as U.S. bond yields rose after the Bank of Canada (BoC) surprised markets with an interest rate hike. The 2-year Treasury yield , which tends to move in step with short-term rate expectations, rose for a third day to 4.56%, as investors await the Federal Reserve meet next week. Eventually we don't think the Fed will hike in July," Jefferies strategist Mohit Kumar said. They see a 50% chance of a rate hike in July.
Persons: Jefferies, Mohit Kumar, Russell, Thierry Breton, Ryan Cohen, Zhu Jiang, Sruthi Shankar, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Bank of Canada, BoC, Microsoft Corp, Apple Inc, Amazon.com Inc, Treasury, Reserve, Traders, U.S . Labor Department, Dow e, Meta, Inc, GameStop Corp, Thomson Locations: U.S, KBW, China, Bengaluru
Asian shares slide as traders fret on Fed rates
  + stars: | 2023-06-08 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) was down 0.53%, while Japan's Nikkei (.N225) edged 0.08% higher. The move from the BoC comes after Australia's central bank also stunned markets by hiking interest rates earlier this week. Treasury yields were stable in early Asian hours after surging overnight after the move from Canada's central bank. The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, was up 0.4 basis points at 4.554%. In the currency market, the dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six major peers, eased 0.029%, with the euro up 0.09% to $1.0707.
Persons: Ryan Brandham, hawkish, Hong, HSI, Saxo, Brent, Ankur Banerjee, Christian Schmollinger Organizations: Bank of Canada, Federal Reserve, Japan's Nikkei, BoC, Validus Risk Management, Reserve Bank of Australia, Fed, Saxo Markets, Traders, Reuters, Treasury, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Asia, Pacific, Japan, North America, China, Canada's
OTTAWA, June 7 (Reuters) - The Bank of Canada on Wednesday hiked its overnight rate to a 22-year high of 4.75%, and markets and analysts immediately forecast yet another increase next month to ratchet down an overheating economy and stubbornly high inflation. Noting an uptick in inflation in April and the fact that three-month measures of core inflation remained high, the Bank of Canada (BoC) said that "concerns have increased that CPI inflation could get stuck materially above the 2% target." However, Canada Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland said the economic rebound from the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia's invasion of Ukraine has been stoking price increases. "To bring demand lower, which is the bank's goal to achieve their 2% inflation target, we just simply need more tightening." The BoC said it would continue to assess economic indicators going forward to see if they "are consistent with achieving the inflation target."
Persons: Derek Holt, Paul Beaudry, Canada's, Pierre Poilievre, Justin Trudeau, Chrystia Freeland, Andrew Kelvin, Steve Scherer, David Ljunggren, Fergal Smith, Divya Rajagopal, Nivedita Balu, Mark Porter Organizations: OTTAWA, Bank of Canada, Wednesday, Canadian, Scotiabank, BoC, Conservative Party, Liberal, Canada Finance, TD Securities, Thomson Locations: British Columbia, Ukraine, Canada, Toronto
Dollar eases as chances for a U.S. rate rise ebb
  + stars: | 2023-06-07 | by ( Amanda Cooper | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
LONDON, June 7 (Reuters) - The dollar dipped on Wednesday as chances faded for a rate hike next week by the Federal Reserve, while the Canadian dollar touched one-month highs as traders amped up bets for the country to raise rates and the Turkish lira hit record lows. "Over the last month or so, we've seen the market slowly pricing out the risks of a 2023 interest rate cut. Nonetheless, traders were attaching a higher chance that the BoC would raise Canadian interest rates again later on Wednesday. Against the dollar, sterling rose 0.3% to $1.2456, while the Japanese yen rose 0.2% to 139.40 and the euro rose 0.2% to $1.0718. Elsewhere, the Turkish lira slid as much as 7.6% to a record low of 23.16 per U.S. dollar.
Persons: Philip Lowe, Jane Foley, we've, Foley, Siong Sim, bitcoin, Coinbase, Binance, Zhao, Binance's, Rae Wee, Clarence Fernandez, William Maclean Organizations: Federal Reserve, Australian, Reserve Bank, U.S ., Rabobank, BoC, U.S, Canadian, Fed, Bank of Singapore, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC, Thomson Locations: U.S, CHINA, China, Turkish, Singapore
TSX pares gains after surprise BoC rate hike
  + stars: | 2023-06-07 | by ( Ankika Biswas | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
June 7 (Reuters) - Canadian stocks pared gains on Wednesday after the country's central bank's surprise decision to raise its benchmark interest rates, while a boost from energy shares helped keep the main stock index afloat. The Toronto Stock Exchange's S&P/TSX composite index (.GSPTSE) was up 0.05%, after rising as much as 0.4% to 20,149.95 ahead of the rate decision. The Bank of Canada (BoC) hiked the key rate to 4.75%, the highest level in 22 years, on increasing concerns that inflation could get stuck significantly above its 2% target. Canadian money markets see a near-50% chance of another rate hike in July, fully pricing in further tightening by September. BOCWATCHInvestors are now on the lookout for inflation data out of the U.S. and the Federal Reserve's policy meeting next week.
Persons: Diana Avigdor, Ankika Biswas, Shashwat Chauhan, Shilpi Majumdar Organizations: Toronto Stock, Bank of Canada, BoC, Capital Management, BOCWATCH, Energy, North West Company, Thomson Locations: China, Bengaluru
Bank of Canada hikes rates to 4.75%, highest in 22 years
  + stars: | 2023-06-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The Bank of Canada in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, on Thursday, May 18, 2023. The BoC on Wednesday hiked its key rate to 4.75%, the highest level in 22 years. The Bank of Canada on Wednesday hiked its key overnight benchmark rate to 4.75%, the highest level in 22 years, on increasing concerns that inflation could get stuck significantly above its 2% target amid persistently strong economic growth. The central bank had been on hold since January to assess the impact of previous hikes after raising borrowing costs eight times to a 15-year high of 4.50% - the fastest tightening cycle in the bank's history. About two-thirds of economists polled by Reuters last week expected the central bank to keep rates on hold through to end-2023.
Organizations: Bank of Canada, BoC, Wednesday, Reuters Locations: Ottawa , Ontario, Canada
Greenback gains, Aussie jumps on RBA rate hike
  + stars: | 2023-06-06 | by ( Karen Brettell | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
NEW YORK, June 6 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar gained against the euro and yen on Tuesday as investors focused on the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will continue hiking rates, while the Aussie jumped after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) surprised with a rate increase. “We’re waiting to see if inflation is going to provide some upside surprises,” said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA in New York. Fed funds futures traders see the Fed as likely to then resume rate increases, with a 65% chance of an at least 25 basis-point increase in July, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool. The euro was last down 0.15% against the dollar at $1.0694 and the greenback gained 0.06% to 139.64 yen . ========================================================Currency bid prices at 3:00PM (1900 GMT)Additional reporting by Samuel Indyk in London; Editing by Sharon Singleton and Chizu NomiyamaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: , , Edward Moya, we’re, Moya, Chris Turner, Samuel Indyk, Sharon Singleton, Chizu Organizations: YORK, U.S ., Federal Reserve, Reserve Bank of Australia, New York Fed, Bank of, BoC, U.S, Canadian, Thomson Locations: U.S, New York, London
The Aussie was last up 0.6% at $0.6656, after leaping as high as $0.6686, a level last seen on May 16. "For this week it will be wait-and-see mode for euro-dollar," Al-Saraf said, expecting euro-dollar to remain rangebound around 1.07. Meanwhile, the dollar was flat at 139.58 yen , while sterling fell 0.2% to $1.2410. Elsewhere, bitcoin attempted to find its feet around $25,700, after tumbling 5.1% on Monday in its biggest drop since April 19. Reporting by Samuel Indyk and Kevin Buckland; Editing by Shri Navaratnam, Kim Coghill and Ed OsmondOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Sean Callow, Chris Turner, Mohamad Al, Saraf, bitcoin, Binance, Changpeng Zhao, Samuel Indyk, Kevin Buckland, Shri Navaratnam, Kim Coghill, Ed Osmond Organizations: Australian, Reserve Bank of Australia, U.S, Westpac, Bank of, BoC, Canadian, CENTRAL FOCUS, Market, Danske Bank, Fed, European Central Bank, Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC, Thomson Locations: U.S
Shares steady on June hike hiatus hopes
  + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( Lawrence White | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Japan's Nikkei (.N225) had earlier surged 2.1% to stand above 32,000 for the first time since July 1990. "With Saudi Arabia protecting oil prices from sliding too low ... we think oil markets are now more prone to a shortfall later this year," said Vivek Dhar, a mining and energy commodities strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia. The greenback also rose 0.1% on the Japanese yen to 140.26 while the euro eased 0.1% to $0.1069. Markets see a sizeable chance - about 40% - that the RBA could surprise with a quarter-point hike on Tuesday, after a minimum wage hike that economists feared could further stoke inflationary pressures. Additional reporting by Stella Qiu, Editing by Sam Holmes, Kim Coghill, Ed Osmond and Chizu NomiyamaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Issei Kato, Brent, Vivek Dhar, Fitch, Stella Qiu, Sam Holmes, Kim Coghill, Ed Osmond, Chizu Organizations: Nikkei, REUTERS, LONDON, Federal Reserve, Saudi, Japan's Nikkei, Nasdaq, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Treasury, AAA, U.S, Bank of Canada, Reuters, BOC, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Saudi Arabia, Asia, Pacific, China, U.S, United States, Australia, Canada
Asian shares extend global rally
  + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( Stella Qiu | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Brent oil rose 1% to $76.89 a barrel, giving up some of its earlier gains to as high as $78.73, while U.S. crude climbed 1.2% to $72.61 a barrel, after hitting a session high of $75.06. Oil prices have recently come under pressure amid heightened concerns about China's slowing economic recovery. "With Saudi Arabia protecting oil prices from sliding too low ... we think oil markets are now more prone to a shortfall later this year," said Vivek Dhar, a mining and energy commodities strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia. S&P 500 futures dipped 0.1% and Nasdaq futures dropped 0.3% in Asian hours, after a strong rally on Friday, driven by a mixed U.S. jobs report, a resolution to the debt-ceiling issue and the prospect of a U.S. rate pause this month. The U.S. dollar remained elevated on Monday at 104.14 against its major peers, after gaining 0.5% on Friday on the jobs report.
Persons: Brent, Vivek Dhar, Hong, Fitch, Himani Sarkar, Sam Holmes Organizations: Nikkei, Saudi, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, bbl, Japan's Nikkei, Nasdaq, Treasury, AAA, U.S, Bank of Canada, Reuters, BOC, Thomson Locations: SYDNEY, U.S, Saudi Arabia, OPEC, China, Asia, Pacific, Japan, United States, Australia, Canada
Inflation, which peaked at 8.1% last year, accelerated for the first time in 10 months in April to 4.4%, more than double the Bank of Canada's 2% target. The recent recovery in Canada's housing market is also putting pressure on prices, analysts say. "The Bank of Canada's penchant for surprising traders means that nothing can be ruled out," said Royce Mendes, head of macro strategy at Desjardins Group. Mendes said there could be more than one rate hike in the cards, and Canadians should "brace themselves for a further tightening in financial conditions this summer". "The latest round of data adds weight to our view that the Bank will need to conduct an insurance rate hike at either of its next two meetings," said Jay Zhao-Murray, FX analyst at Monex Canada.
Persons: Stephen Brown, Royce Mendes, Mendes, Macklem, Jay Zhao, Murray, Steve Scherer, Fergal Smith, Denny Thomas, Daniel Wallis Organizations: OTTAWA, Bank of Canada, BoC, Bank of Canada's, North, Capital Economics, Reuters, Federal Reserve, Desjardins Group, Monex Canada, Thomson Locations: North America, United States, States
NEW DELHI, May 30 (Reuters) - India's aviation watchdog has put on hold requests from lessors to repossess planes from Go First, as the airline's bankruptcy process imposes a freeze on assets which supersedes such requests, the regulator said in a court filing seen by Reuters. Lessors of Go First have locked horns with Go First and India's Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA) to reclaim its planes for missed payments, filing as many as 40 requests with the watchdog to allow repossession. Go First's lessors include Standard Chartered's Pembroke Aircraft Leasing, SMBC, CDB Aviation's GY Aviation Leasing and BOC Aviation. India has ratified the treaty but the DGCA argued there was no local legislation enforcing it, rendering it ineffective. The DGCA filing said local laws "prevail over provisions of any international treaty that India is a signatory to".
In March, lessor Airborne confiscated four of Flair Airlines' planes because of late payments. A low-cost Canadian upstart airline had four of its planes repossessed by New York-based aircraft lessor Airborne Capital on March 11, forcing the carrier to cancel multiple flights and leaving a trail of disgruntled passengers behind. Flair Airlines CEO Stephen Jones blamed "behind the scenes" scheming between the airline's competitors and Airborne Capital for the repossession of four of Flair's Boeing 737 planes. It's not the first time Flair has clashed with other Canadian airlines. US investment firm 777 Partners owns a 25% stake in Flair Airlines, which was cause for concern for the CTA.
Persons: Stephen Jones, Flair, We've, Jones, — Flair, It's, , Tim Donovan, Donovan, Prince Edward Island Organizations: Airborne, Flair Airlines, Flair, Morning, Capital, Airborne Capital, Boeing, The Canadian Press, Air Canada, BOC Aviation, Financial, Ontario Superior Court of Justice, National Airlines Council of Canada, Canadian Transportation Agency, Partners, CTA, National Airlines Council, Easter, Airways Magazine, Bonza Airlines, Dominican Republic Locations: New York, North America, Canada, Titusville , New Brunswick, Toronto, Saint John , New Brunswick, Charlottetown, Ottawa, Montreal, Florida, Dominican
SAO PAULO, May 19 (Reuters) - Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem reiterated on Friday it is far too early to be thinking about interest rate cuts, adding that he expects the consumer price index to decline to around 3% this summer and back to the bank's 2% inflation target around the end of 2024. Macklem told a seminar hosted by Brazil's central bank that the Canadian monetary authority has been using a pause in interest rate increases to assess whether policy has been tightened enough to get inflation back to 2%. Canada last hiked rates in January, holding its benchmark rate at 4.5% since then, despite saying it would be ready to hike again if inflation risks remain significantly above target. "So far, Canadians are proving resilient," the central bank governor said, pointing out that delinquencies on mortgages remain low. Reporting by Gabriel Araujo; editing by Jonathan OatisOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
SAO PAULO, May 19 (Reuters) - Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem reiterated on Friday it is far too early to be thinking about interest rate cuts, adding that he expects the consumer price index to decline to around 3% this summer and back to the bank's 2% inflation target around the end of 2024. "We have paused our interest rate increases... and we are using this pause to assess whether we have increased our policy rates enough to get inflation back to 2%," Macklem told a seminar hosted by Brazil's central bank via video conference. Reporting by Gabriel Araujo; editing by Jonathan OatisOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
OTTAWA, May 16 (Reuters) - Canada's annual inflation rate surprisingly ticked up to 4.4% in April, as higher shelter costs contributed to the first acceleration in the consumer price index in 10 months, Statistics Canada data showed on Tuesday. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected the annual inflation rate to edge down to 4.1% from 4.3% in March. Higher rent and mortgage interest costs contributed the most to the annual inflation rate in April, Statscan said. The higher interest rate environment may have contributed to rising rents in April by stimulating higher rental demand, the agency said. The month-over-month inflation rate was driven by gasoline prices, which posted the largest monthly increase since October, following an announcement from OPEC+ to cut oil output, Statscan said.
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