However, the credit rating company said the number of defaults won't reach pandemic level-highs as the industry has "emerged in better shape to meet the growing challenges," analysts wrote in an October report.
A clothes shop tries to sell the last of its stock before closing down on February 1, 2012 in Stoke-On-Trent, England.
Staffordshire has borne the brunt of the economic downturn with the loss of 21,100 manufacturing jobs which have fallen from 74,200 in 2006/07 to 53,100 in 2010/11, the highest in the UK according to a survey by the GMB union.
Christopher Furlong/GettyTheir findings anticipate defaults to rise to 5.5%, up from the current rate of 1%, but still well below 23% in 2020.
"As the retail industry squares off for another period of rising defaults over the next 12 months, this time will be markedly different from the last downturn during the pandemic, when defaults skyrocketed," Moody's analysts wrote in the report.