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Norway's sovereign wealth fund on Tuesday reported third-quarter profit of 835 billion Norwegian kroner ($76.3 billion), citing a stock market boost from falling interest rates. The so-called Government Pension Fund Global, one of the world's largest investors, said it had a value of 18.870 trillion kroner at the end of September. Trond Grande, deputy CEO of Norges Bank Investment Management (NBIM), which manages the world's largest sovereign wealth fund, said recent changes in monetary policy had "a pretty significant impact" on the fund's third-quarter results. "What I think you have seen from our numbers is that with a rising tide, all boats rise, right? And so, you saw a very broad increase in the stock market based on lower interest rates, essentially."
Persons: Trond Grande, Grande, CNBC's Silvia Amaro Organizations: Fund, Norway's Finance Ministry, FTSE, Bloomberg Barclays, Norges Bank Investment Management
Piper Sandler reiterates Tesla as overweight Piper says it's sticking with Tesla heading into earnings later this week. Morgan Stanley initiates BioAge Labs at overweight Morgan Stanley says the biotech company is well positioned. " Goldman Sachs upgrades Warby Parker to buy from neutral Goldman sees customer growth for the eyewear company. Morgan Stanley reiterates Home Depot as overweight Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Home Depot to $450 per share from $380. Morgan Stanley downgrades ServiceNow to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley said that expectations are already priced in to the stock.
Persons: John Donovan, Piper Sandler, Tesla, Piper, it's bullish, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Warby Parker, Needham, Reddit, Gary Friedman, Jack Preston, Baird, TD Cowen, Cowen, Prologis, Goldman, Craig Felenstein, Jim Bombassei, Morgan Stanley downgrades ServiceNow Organizations: Deutsche Bank, GE Vernova, Deutsche, General Electric, BioAge, Barclays, UPS, FedEx, Dominion, Goldman, Nvidia, AMD, Mohawk Industries, JPMorgan, China EV, Catalyst, Bank of America, Fortune Locations: GitLab, NVDA, Europe, U.S, Las Vegas, China
China growth could slow to 4.5% in 2025, says economist
  + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina growth could slow to 4.5% in 2025, says economistErica Tay of Maybank Investment Banking Group lays out the reasons why China's economic growth could slow to 4.5% next year, citing potential setbacks including trade restrictions and expectations for a deceleration in consumption.
Persons: Erica Tay Organizations: Maybank Investment Banking Group
Bank stocks have outperformed in recent weeks as investors see an improved regulatory environment if former President Donald Trump returns to the White House, according to Bank of America. The Invesco KBW Bank ETF (KBWB) , which tracks the KBW Bank Index, has climbed more than 6% since the start of October. By comparison, the S & P 500 has added less than 2% during the same period. "A Republican win would likely be viewed most positive for bank stocks in terms of returning to balance the regulatory environment." Either a Trump win with a split government or a Republican sweep would be seen as bullish for this group of stocks, Poonawala said.
Persons: Donald Trump, Ebrahim Poonawala, Trump, Poonawala, Kamala Harris, Harris, October's Organizations: White, Bank of America, KBW Bank, Republican, Department of Justice, Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, Citigroup, TD Bank, New York Community, Trump . Bank, Trump, Justice Department Locations: Wells Fargo
JP Morgan: Expect BI to cut interest rate by 50bps by Q1 2025
  + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJP Morgan: Expect Bank Indonesia to cut interest rate by 50bps before the end of Q1 next yearJP Morgan's Henry Wibowo calls for targeted fiscal stimulus from Indonesian government to support lower- and middle-income households
Persons: JP Morgan, Morgan's Henry Wibowo Organizations: Expect Bank Locations: Expect Bank Indonesia
Analysts are getting even more bullish on Netflix following its earnings beat for the third quarter . Here is what other firms are saying: Pivotal Research keeps buy rating on stock The firm raised its price target to $925, a Street high. Bernstein reiterates its market perform rating The firm increased its price target to $780 from $625. Bank of America reiterates its buy rating The bank increased its price target to $800 from $740. 3Q results were generally ahead (OI 5% higher) while commentary pointed to sustained double-digit revenue growth and margin expansion in 2025."
Persons: Doug Anmuth, Anmuth, Morgan Stanley, Benjamin Swinburne, Bernstein, Goldman Sachs, NFLX Organizations: Netflix, JPMorgan, WWE, NFL, of America, Gaming, UBS, 3Q
Grant said stocks could soon enter a period of weak returns, possibly for "many years." AdvertisementThe bull market in stocks looks like it's close to the top, according to an investment chief. AdvertisementSentiment and position indicators are also flashing signs investors are overexcited about the stock market, Grant said. The 3-month moving average of year-ahead stock market expectations has climbed to its highest on record, according to Conference Board data. That suggests there's little "cushion" in the event the stock market declines or experiences a shock, Grant said.
Persons: Michael Grant, Grant, , subpar, Morgan Organizations: Calamos Investments, Service, Conference, Board, Federal, Federal Reserve, Governors, Morgan Research, Bloomberg, Investors
The latter appeared to hint at the Germany's waning influence over regional policy — a likely unthinkable notion only a few years ago. "The question is whether German car makers manage to adjust their product portfolios, change their organizations, and ramp up productivity quickly enough to preserve the status and relevance they had for decades." Brand loyaltyNot everyone is as concerned about the outlook for Germany's car industry. Sigrid de Vries, director general of the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association (ACEA), a car lobby group, said she finds it "really hard to believe" that Germany's auto sector is struggling to adapt to the electrification. Stephane Mouchmouche | Afp | Getty ImagesSome hope that this week's Paris Motor Show could prove to be a turning point for Europe's auto industry.
Persons: Julian Stratenschulte, Rico Luman, Robert Habeck, Luman, Chancellor Olaf Scholz, Germany's, Sigrid de Vries, de Vries, ACEA's de Vries, Porte, Stephane Mouchmouche, John Cooper, Julia Poliscanova, Poliscanova Organizations: VW, Getty, Volkswagen, Mercedes, Benz Group, BMW, Union, ICE, ING, CNBC, Federal, Economic Affairs, Emden ., EVs, Reuters, European Automobile Manufacturers ' Association, Paris, Automotive Summit, Porte de, Afp, John Cooper Works Electric, Transport, Environment Locations: Wolfsburg, Germany, China, Emden, German, Berlin, Europe, France, automaking, Paris
Independent power producers Vistra , Constellation Energy and Talen Energy are positioned to benefit from a "paradigm shift" in electric demand from artificial intelligence data centers, according JPMorgan. "We see structural tailwinds, including manufacturing onshoring, broader electrification trends (transportation, heating, and more), as well [as] data center development underpinning a paradigm shift in power demand," Tonet and his team told clients in research report. Demand from tech companies for carbon-free power to drive their data centers will transform nuclear power and enable its owners to "command a substantial premium," they wrote. CEG 1Y mountain Constellation Energy shares over the past 12 months. TLN 1Y mountain Talen Energy stock over the past year
Persons: Jeremy Tonet, Tonet, Vistra Organizations: Constellation Energy, Talen, JPMorgan, Lone Star State, VST, Microsoft, Constellation, Amazon Web Services, Susquehanna, Energy Locations: Wednesday's, Texas, Pennsylvania
Citi is warning that Constellation Energy could face execution risks in restarting the Three Mile Island nuclear plant , initiating coverage of the high-flying power stock with caution. But Citi analyst Ryan Levine warned that Constellation will likely face cost overruns and delays in restarting Three Mile Island. Every month that the project is delayed could shave 9 cents off Constellation's stock, according to Levine. Levine also warned that Constellation could face challenges inking deals to directly power data centers with its nuclear reactors, the largest such fleet in the country. About 35% of Constellation's current stock price assumes power sales from its nuclear fleet to the tech companies scaling up data centers.
Persons: Ryan Levine, Levine Organizations: Citi, Constellation Energy, Constellation, Microsoft
Three U.S.-based academics won the 2024 Nobel economics prize on Monday for their research into why global inequality persists, especially in countries dogged by corruption and dictatorship. The laureates have demonstrated the importance of societal institutions for achieving this,” said Jakob Svensson, Chair of the Committee for the Prize in Economic Sciences. Last year, Harvard economic historian Claudia Goldin won the prize for her work highlighting the causes of wage and labour market inequality between men and women. In 2019, economists Abhijit Banerjee, Esther Duflo and Michael Kremer won the award for work on fighting poverty. The economics prize has been dominated by U.S. academics since its inception, while U.S.-based researchers also tend to account for a large portion of winners in the scientific fields for which 2024 laureates were announced last week.
Persons: Simon Johnson, James Robinson, Daron Acemoglu, , Jakob Svensson, Alfred Nobel, Acemoglu, ” Acemoglu, Johnson, Robinson, Milton Friedman, John Nash —, Russell Crowe, Ben Bernanke, Claudia Goldin, Abhijit Banerjee, Esther Duflo, Michael Kremer, Victor Ambros, Gary Ruvkun, Japan’s Nihon Organizations: Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, Economic Sciences, Bank, Sveriges, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, University of Chicago, Technology, Federal, Research, Harvard, U.S Locations: U.S, Hiroshima, Nagasaki
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Winning week for marketsAll major U.S. indexes rose Friday on the back of encouraging inflation data and positive earnings from big banks. That gave them a winning week. Banks' earnings in good shapeJPMorgan Chase , the biggest bank in the U.S., reported third-quarter earnings and revenue that beat estimates.
Persons: Tesla's, Tesla, Elon Musk, Musk, of Finance Lan Fo'an, Lan, Banks, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, of Finance, JPMorgan, It's Bank of America Locations: New York, Asia, Pacific, Shanghai, Beijing, China, U.S
London CNN —Three economists were awarded the Nobel Prize Monday for their research into how the nature of institutions helps explain why some countries become rich and others remain poor. Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson and James Robinson will share the prize, which carries a cash award of 11 million Swedish kronor ($1 million). The authors warned that “the current path of AI is neither good for the economy nor for democracy.”The latest Nobel Prize in economics was announced in Stockholm on October 14, 2024. In “Why Nations Fail,” he and Robinson argued that China, because it lacks inclusive institutions, would not be able to sustain its economic growth. The economics prize is officially known as Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel.
Persons: Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson, James Robinson, , , , Robinson, Acemoglu, Johnson –, MIT –, Christine Olsson, ” Acemoglu, Alfred Nobel, Claudia Goldin, Goldin Organizations: London CNN —, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, MIT, University of Chicago, TT, Agency, AP, Bank of Sweden, Economic Sciences, Harvard University Locations: Turkish, American, British, Nogales, Arizona, Mexico’s Sonora, Nogales , Arizona, Stockholm, China, Beijing, Bank, Swedish
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Winning week for marketsAll major U.S. indexes rose Friday on the back of encouraging inflation data and positive earnings from big banks. That gave them a winning week. Banks' earnings in good shapeJPMorgan Chase , the biggest bank in the U.S., reported third-quarter earnings and revenue that beat estimates.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Europe's, Tesla's, Tesla, Elon Musk, Musk, of Finance Lan Fo'an, Lan, Banks, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Organizations: US Federal Reserve, National Association of Business Economics, CNBC, of Finance, JPMorgan, It's Bank of America Locations: Nashville , Tennessee, U.K, China, Beijing, U.S
Asked about the note, Trump campaign press secretary Karoline Leavitt did not deny that Lighthizer has been meeting with investors. But she cautioned, "No policy should be deemed official unless it comes from President Trump directly." Lighthizer is advising Trump's presidential campaign on economic issues, according to Inside U.S. Trade. Lighthizer is also a director of Trump Media, the publicly traded social media company that is majority owned by the former president. Lighthizer's reported conversations, and his apparent influence with Trump, both underscore how central tariffs are to carrying out Trump's overall economic vision.
Persons: Robert Lighthizer, Donald Trump, Donald Trump's, Wall, Piper Sandler, We've, Trump, Karoline Leavitt, Lighthizer, Trump's, AFPI, Lighthizer's, Kamala Harris, Anna Kelly, Harris, Joe Biden, Kelly Organizations: Republican, Trade, CNBC, U.S, Trump Cabinet, Center for American Trade, Trump, America, Policy, Trump Media, Democratic, Republican National Locations: York , Pennsylvania, Washington
A teenage hunter filmed four people believed to be Thomas Phillips and his children on October 3. Instead, his grandson filmed them on his phone, providing the first proof of life of the missing Phillips children that their mother Cat has seen since they left. Police released video purportedly of Thomas Phillips shopping at a hardware store in August, 2023. “We’re talking very, very deep bush and rugged countryside.”Police suspect Thomas Phillips and a child of breaking a shop window in November 2023. This is the first apparent sighting of Thomas Phillips with his children since they vanished in December 2021.
Persons: Thomas Callam Phillips, Ember, Jayda –, Phillips, Thomas Phillips, John McOviney, ” McOviney, , Lance Burdett, , Max Baxter, Baxter, “ Tom, Peter Jackson’s “, ” Phillips, New Zealand Police It’s, he’d, , Jayda, “ Ember, Jubilee Dawson, “ Jayda, she’s, ” Dawson, Dawson, Kuiti, Police Burdett, ” Burdett, “ They’re, Tom, Waikato Police Burdett, Let’s, Mayor Baxter, they’ve, John McOviney McOviney, Thomas Organizations: CNN, New Zealand police, Police, New Zealand Police, TVNZ, Facebook, Ember . New Zealand Police, New Zealand, ANZ, New, Waikato Police, Zealand Police, ” “ Police Locations: Marokopa, Otorohanga, Marokopa , New Zealand, Ember ., Waikato,
South Korea's central bank has cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.25%, the first rate cut from the BOK since the Federal Reserve started tightening its monetary policy in March 2022. This was in line with a poll of economists from Reuters, who forecasted a rate cut. At that time, South Korea's inflation stood at 2.6%, but climbed sharply to hit 6.3% in July 2022, its highest in over 20 years. Oh noted that macro conditions are supportive of a rate cut, with a "favourable" inflationary backdrop. Oh predicts that after the October cut of 25 basis points, three more consecutive cuts will follow on a quarterly basis, eventually bringing the BOK's benchmark interest rate to 2.5%.
Persons: BOK, Morgan Stanley's, Kathleen Oh, We've, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Bank of, Federal Reserve, Reuters Locations: Bank of Korea, Seoul, Korea's, Korea
A UK man transformed his physique by following a calorie deficit and protein goal. To get enough daily protein, he started eating more fish and eggs and snacking on chickpeas. AdvertisementA 41-year-old man said learning two simple diet tips helped him build a more muscular, lean physique in less than a year. A protein goal helps fuel muscle growth and stave off cravingsKnebeg's other major daily goal is to eat around 142 grams of protein. AdvertisementKnebeg rounds out his diet with protein supplements for convenience when he needs a quick, lower-calorie boost to meet his goal.
Persons: , Alec Knebeg, he's, Adam Enaz, Knebeg, I'd, Enaz Organizations: Service, International Society of Sports Nutrition Locations: London
JPMorgan Chase is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings before the opening bell Friday. The biggest American bank has thrived in a rising rate environment, posting record net income figures since the Fed started hiking rates in 2022. Now, with the Fed cutting rates, there are questions as to how JPMorgan will navigate the change. Last month, JPMorgan dialed back expectations for 2025 net interest income and expenses, and analysts will want more details on those projections. Wells Fargo is scheduled to release results later Friday, while Bank of America , Goldman Sachs , Citigroup and Morgan Stanley report next week.
Persons: Chase Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon's, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Chateau, JPMorgan, LSEG Revenue, Trading, American, Fed, KBW, Bank of America, Citigroup Locations: Versailles, Paris, Wells
The total assets of TD Bank’s two U.S. banking subsidiaries will be barred from exceeding $434 billion under that restriction. “Today, TD Bank also became the largest bank in U.S. history to plead guilty to Bank Secrecy Act program failures, and the first US bank in history to plead guilty to conspiracy to commit money laundering,” Garland said. “TD Bank chose profits over compliance with the law — a decision that is now costing the bank billions of dollars in penalties. “In August 2021, a TD Bank store manager emailed another store manager and remarked, quote, ‘You guys really need to shut this down. “This settlement lets bad bank executives off the hook for allowing TD Bank to be used as a criminal slush fund.
Persons: , General Merrick Garland, ” Garland, , Garland, David, Lol, ’ ” Garland, , FinCEN, Wally Adeyemo, ” Adeymo, ” Sen, Elizabeth Warren, ” Warren, Bharat Masrani, ” Masrani Organizations: Bank, Department of Justice, TD Bank, Currency, Federal Reserve, , Washington , D.C, DOJ, Treasury, Enforcement Network, FinCEN, Street, CNBC, of Justice, Consumer Financial, Bureau Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, Washington ,, Newark , New Jersey, United States, Canada,
As the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, investors should review their bond portfolio, which could see a boost from dovish Fed policy. Typically, bond prices and market interest rates move in opposite directions. While it may be tempting to cling to cash, it will become “less attractive, less productive as interest rates fall,” Ward said. Many corporations leveraged rock-bottom interest rates during the pandemic to strengthen balance sheets and refinance debt, said Ward. As interest rates fall, those longer-maturity bonds should reward investors, experts say.
Persons: , Scott Ward, ” Ward, Ted Jenkin, Ward, , Jenkin Organizations: Federal Reserve, dovish Fed, Fed, Morningstar, Bond, CNBC’s Locations: Birmingham , Alabama, Atlanta,
Here are Wednesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Citi initiates FedEx and UPS as buy Citi said in its initiation note that FedEx and UPS are well positioned. "Netflix remains a compelling growth story with significant room for revenue, earnings, and FCF growth over the next several years." Wells Fargo upgrades Valero to overweight from equal weight Wells said the company is one of the "best independent refiners." Mizuho reiterates Nvidia and Broadcom as outperform Mizuho said it's sticking with its outperform ratings on Nvidia and Broadcom. Wells Fargo reiterates Roblox as overweight Wells Fargo raised its price target on Roblox ahead of earnings in late October to $54 per share from $46.
Persons: underperform Jefferies, Guggenheim, TD Cowen, Cowen, Morgan Stanley, it's bullish, Piper Sandler downgrades Blackstone, Piper, Piper Sandler, Wells, Jefferies, Wolfe, VALE, Chewy, it's, Mizuho, Wells Fargo, Evercore Organizations: Citi, FedEx, UPS, Jefferies, Southwest, Deutsche Bank, Netflix, Deutsche, Inc, MetLife, Barclays, Apple, Apple Intelligence, New York Times, Industry, Nvidia, Broadcom, Mizuho, Lowe's Locations: Valero, underperform, Underperform
For Selva, leading the Transformation is unlike any test he has faced in his three-decade career at Citi. To do so, he has to solve for Citi's decades of underinvestment in its infrastructure, which affects every business line of the bank. Under Selva, Citi was the No. Related stories"The challenge with the Transformation role is you are accountable yet not responsible," the managing director in the Transformation said. Courtesy of CitiBringing in Ryan, the bank's head of technology and business enablement, to help the bank catch up makes sense.
Persons: Jane Fraser, Anand Selva, Selva, Sen, Elizabeth Warren, We've, Fraser, Gonzalo Luchetti, Luchetti, Kathleen Martin, Martin, Mike Mayo, Tim Ryan, Mayo, Vernon Yuen, Adora Tidalgo, Anand, Jim O'Donnell, Win McNamee, Andy Sieg, Tidalgo, Phil Waxelbaum, Jeffrey Warren, Ryan, Warren, Ashutosh Nawani, Japan Mehta, Mehta, Nawani, Tom Williams, Timothy Coffey, Janney Montgomery Scott, they've, Stephen Biggar Organizations: Citigroup, Citi, Federal Reserve, Currency, OCC, Business, underperformance, BI, Citi ., Coimbatore Institute of Technology, Madurai Kamaraj University, Asia Pacific, divesting, Employees, Merrill Wealth Management, PricewaterhouseCoopers, Russell Reynolds Associates, Securities, Exchange Commission, Bloomberg, Getty, Argus Research Locations: Selva, Chennai, India, Asia, who's, Wells, Madurai, Coimbatore, China, Singapore, New York, Fraser, Europe, Ryan
As the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, investors should review their bond portfolio, which could see a boost from dovish Fed policy. However, the Fed policy shift could be good for parts of the bond market, experts say. Typically, bond prices and market interest rates move in opposite directions. "This is a fantastic time to revisit bonds again," said certified financial planner Scott Ward, senior vice president of Compound Planning in Birmingham, Alabama. While it may be tempting to cling to cash, it will become "less attractive, less productive as interest rates fall," Ward said.
Persons: Scott Ward, Ward Organizations: Federal Reserve, dovish Fed, Finance, SEC, Fed Locations: Birmingham , Alabama
In 2022, oil flow in the Strait of Hormuz averaged 21 million barrels per day, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Saul Kavonic, senior research analyst at MST Financial, said supply disruptions along the Strait of Hormuz could send oil prices significantly higher. Oil prices traded more than 3% on Monday, extending gains even after notching their sharpest weekly gain since early 2023 last week. "But seeing where the oil price sits right now the market doesn't seem to hold much probability for such a development at all," he added. "A significant disruption to these flows would be enough to push oil prices to new record highs, surpassing the record high of close to $150/bbl in 2008," he added.
Persons: Alan Gelder, Wood Mackenzie, CNBC's, Iraq —, Gelder, Saul Kavonic, Kavonic, Bjarne Schieldrop, SEB, Brent, Schieldrop, Warren Patterson, Patterson Organizations: Nurphoto, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Energy, Brent, U.S, West Texas, ING, bbl, United Arab Emirates, Space Shuttle Columbia Locations: Persian, Bushehr, Iran, Hormuz, Oman, Strait, Israel, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Iraq, UAE, Gulf, Muscat
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