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Here's the bear case for artificial intelligence
  + stars: | 2023-02-16 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
Now that ChatGPT unleashed a firestorm of interest in artificial intelligence investing, it may be time to urge some calm for investors. AI YTD mountain AI software provider C3.ai has seen its stock more than doubled as investors look to hop on the artificial intelligence trend. Here's the bear case for artificial intelligence. That's about seven times more than the cost to run a typical Google search, which Nowak estimated to be $0.003, or not even half of one cent. Separately, the lack of proper citation from generative AI could mean future lawsuits for AI companies.
Emerging market stocks are off to a strong start in 2023, even as concerns remain for investors. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) tumbled more than 22% in 2022, and more than 5% the previous year. "One of the primary attractions for emerging markets has been compelling valuations," said LPL Financial's Quincy Krosby. Not all emerging markets are equal Even as emerging markets are broadly outperforming, some countries are expected to perform better than others. The iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) and the iShares MSCI Chile ETF (ECH) are up more than 10% and nearly 1%, respectively.
After enjoying a monster rally in 2022, energy stocks are heading into an uncertain new year. Energy stocks surged this year after the war in Ukraine interrupted the global oil supply, and drove up the price of a barrel of oil. Ongoing geopolitical risks To be sure, not everyone believes that the outlook is positive for energy stocks, especially without the resolution of some ongoing geopolitical disruptions. That would be bad even for energy stocks. If they do add to their energy allocation, he stressed a preference for U.S. energy over global energy for a "more stable" investment environment.
Analysts expect the dollar to decline against 18 out of 38 currencies in the fourth quarter of this year, according to FactSet data. UBS UBS considers selling the dollar against G-10 currencies being a "top investment idea for 2023." According to the investment bank, years of negative interest rates have led to a sizeable un-hedged buildup of dollars worldwide. BCA Research Analysts at BCA Research say from a technical standpoint, the dollar is due for a reversal. Goldman Sachs The Wall Street bank remains bullish on the dollar over the next three months and sees certain G-10 currencies only recovering beyond the six-month horizon.
The Fed's balance sheet though remains at a lofty $8.7 trillion, down modestly from a peak of nearly $9 trillion. Fed' balance sheetHowever, there are underlying liquidity and volatility problems in U.S. Treasuries amid the Fed's aggressive rate hike cycle. While the Fed is determined to reduce its balance sheet, if the problems facing investors get out of control, some analysts said the Fed may just halt or suspend it. UBS economists said last month the Fed's balance sheet runoff will face several complications through 2023, prompting the Fed to sharply slow or fully stop balance sheet reduction sometime around June 2023. BCA's Swift said while the Treasury market has grown dramatically since 2008, dealer intermediation, has remained low, noting that regulations made it less appealing for dealers to undertake such activity in the Treasury market.
Stocks in Chile are also outperforming the broader emerging markets. The iShares MSCI Emerging Market ETF (EEM) is down more than 28% for the year. Apart from the iShares MSCI Chile ETF, which helps investors gain exposure to the total addressable market, Chile makes up just a small part of other funds. The country comprises just 0.2% of the Morningstar global markets index, for example, and only about 0.6% of its emerging markets index. For macro investors, Chile is one of the interesting countries in the emerging market universe to deploy, according to BCA Research's Budaghyan.
European shares fall for sixth day on earnings jitters
  + stars: | 2022-10-12 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Weak results from Barratt Developments (BDEV.L), Britain's largest housebuilder, sparked a selloff in the sector. read more"Although depressed sentiment and cheapened valuations are tailwinds for European stocks, the region's macroeconomic outlook remains a potent headwind that could lead to further downside for European earnings," analysts at BCA Research wrote in a note. Overall, European companies are expected to report a 29.4% increase in third-quarter profit, slightly below the 33.2% rise forecast at the start of October, as per Refintiv IBES data. read moreOther luxury stocks such as Hermes (HRMS.PA), L'Oreal (OREP.PA) and Christian Dior (DIOR.PA) gained between 0.9% and 2.7%. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterReporting by Sruthi Shankar in Bengaluru; Editing by Savio D'Souza and Dhanya Ann ThoppilOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Jim O'Neill, former Goldman Sachs Asset Management chairman and a former U.K. Treasury minister, said the pound's fall shouldn't be misinterpreted as dollar strength. The announcement Friday featured a volume of tax cuts not seen in Britain since 1972 and an unabashed return to the "trickle-down economics" promoted by the likes of Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher. The radical policy moves set the U.K. at odds with most major global economies against a backdrop of sky-high inflation and a cost-of-living crisis. Ibrahim added that this would imply further suffering for U.K. financial markets due to the "unfavorable policy mix" over the near term. The British lender expects the government to clarify its plans to balance the books through "spending cuts and reform outcomes" ahead of the November budget statement, which Montagne suggested "should help to deflect immediate concerns relating to large unfunded tax cuts."
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