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(Higher interest rates tend to boost the value of a currency by attracting more capital from abroad as investors seek bigger returns.) “Investors are bracing for tariffs… which will push up the price of imported goods for American shoppers,” she wrote in a note Wednesday. The pain of Trump’s tariffs will be felt far beyond US borders. “We also believe that Trump could decide to implement even higher tariffs on economies that run large trade surpluses with the US,” BMI analysts wrote in a note Wednesday. “Donald Trump’s economic course will pose major problems for Germany and the European Union,” the institute said.
Persons: Donald Trump, Matthew Ryan, Susannah Streeter, Hargreaves, , Trump’s, Trump, ” Nomura, Philip Shaw, Ellie Henderson, Streeter, Anthony Kettle, , Spencer Platt, “ Donald Trump’s Organizations: London CNN, Republican, Senate, CNN, Federal Reserve, Trump, , RBC Global Asset Management, BMI, Fitch Solutions, Port, Getty, European Union, Ifo Institute for Economic Research Locations: United States, Mexico, China, Germany, Canada, Japan, South Korea, Newark, New Jersey, Munich
But Shelby McFaddin, senior analyst at Motley Fool Asset Management, is looking beyond the end result. "Either potential administrations would bring an increase in infrastructure spending and inflation remains a concern." 'Success story' Looking past the election result, McFaddin named three stocks she likes right now, including shipping and parcel delivery giant United Parcel Service . Calling the company "really interesting," the analyst said it has "been a little bit of a success story," with a rebound in earnings and revenue. It's not necessarily the world's fastest grower, but it is a really reliable company with really strong management," she added.
Persons: Shelby McFaddin, CNBC's, Kenny Polcari, McFaddin, It's Organizations: United Parcel Service, UPS, CNBC, Mastercard Locations: U.S, Washington
Stocks exploded higher, bonds tanked and crypto boomed to historic peaks, indicating lofty hopes for when the president-elect takes office in January. However, there's still a lot of game left to be played, and the score could change a lot in future days. Essentially, strategists worry Trump's plan for punishing tariffs, higher spending and lower taxes will send bond yields higher, generally a recipe for trouble in stocks. "The question for me is how much can the Trump rally extend in the short term, but it strikes me that selling long positions into a rally makes a good deal of sense." "This suggests an asymmetric risk/reward framework with a much higher probability of downside than upside," said Lisa Hornby, head of U.S. fixed income at Schroders.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Stocks, there's, Mark Dowding, Lisa Hornby Organizations: Trump, RBC Global Asset Management, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, Schroders
Tesla stock surged 12% in premarket trading following Trump's election victory. Musk's big bet on Trump has boosted analysts' confidence in Tesla's future prospects. AdvertisementElon Musk's big bet on Donald Trump is already paying off for Tesla. AdvertisementIn his victory speech early Wednesday, Trump paid tribute to Musk's efforts, calling him a "super genius" and a "new star." Trump win an 'overall negative' for EV industryDespite the surge in Tesla shares, Trump's victory could be bad news for the wider EV market.
Persons: Elon Musk, , Elon, Donald Trump, Dan Ives, Musk, Gene Munster, Munster, Trump, Tesla's robotaxis Garrett Nelson, Ives, Nelson, Tesla, BYD Organizations: Trump, Service, Fox News, CNN, Electoral, Wedbush Securities, Tesla, Deepwater Asset Management, EV company's, Tesla's, CFRA Research, EV, Business Locations: Tesla, Butler , Pennsylvania, China
Markets, in particular, crave certainty, and the clear path forward will allow companies to adjust their business and hiring plans. But stocks may also be reacting to Trump’s victory, in particular. Trump flipped several swing states from President Joe Biden’s 2020 victory, and Republicans also took control of the Senate. So Trump’s victory, at least for now, appears to be keeping those rates somewhat higher. Other so-called Trump trades, including shares of his social media stock, Trump Media & Technology Group, surged Wednesday morning.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden’s, refocusing, Sam Stovall, Bitcoin, Crypto, Trump’s, Germany’s DAX, Australia’s, , Neil Newman, Hong, ” Daniel Murray Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Dow, Nasdaq, Republicans, Fed, JPMorgan, Democratic, CFRA Research, Gross, Treasury, Trump, Trump Media & Technology Group, CAC, Nikkei, Advisory, EFG Asset Management Locations: New York, Europe, Asia, China, Tokyo, Shanghai
Memecoins surged early Wednesday on the back of election results that showed former President Donald Trump in a strong position to gain a second term. "Certain sectors that have buoyed prices, such as the renewed interest in memecoins, may experience major price movements as individual states report election results." In the lead-up to Election Day, memecoins and AI-related crypto tokens outperformed the overall crypto market. The sector of the crypto market is used as a measure of retail investors' risk appetite. The crypto market seemed to be positioning for a Trump victory Wednesday as investors monitored the results of the U.S. presidential election.
Persons: Memecoins, Donald Trump, Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, Chris Chung, Ryan Rasmussen, I'm, Trump, Chung, Elon, Nic Puckrin Organizations: Elon, Metrics, Titan, Solana, Bitwise Asset Management, CNBC, lotto, Trump, U.S, Securities, Exchange, of Government, Department of Government Locations: memecoins, bitcoin
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHow global markets are reacting to the U.S. presidential electionTim Seymour, Seymour Asset Management chief investment officer, and Gunjan Banerjee, Wall Street Journal lead writer, discuss how the markets are reacting to the U.S. presidential election.
Persons: Tim Seymour, Gunjan Banerjee Organizations: U.S, Seymour Asset Management, Wall, Journal
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDonald Trump is an incredible divider, says SkyBridge's Anthony ScaramucciAnthony Scaramucci, SkyBridge Capital founder and managing partner, and Vivek Ramaswamy, Strive Asset Management co-founder, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the 2024 election, the economic proposals of VP Kamala Harris and former President Trump, and more.
Persons: Donald Trump, SkyBridge's Anthony Scaramucci Anthony Scaramucci, Vivek Ramaswamy, Kamala Harris, Trump Organizations: SkyBridge Capital, Management
Trade Tracker: Jenny Harrington buys Devon Energy
  + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrade Tracker: Jenny Harrington buys Devon EnergyJenny Harrington, CEO of Gilman Hill Asset Management, joins CNBC's 'Halftime Report' to break down why she's buying back Devon Energy.
Persons: Jenny Harrington, Devon Energy Jenny Harrington Organizations: Devon Energy, Asset Management
Bolster your portfolio for any Election Day outcome
  + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +7 min
With Election Day underway, income investors should soon find out how their portfolio may — or may not — be affected by the outcome. Harris has said she wants to boost the corporate tax rate to 28% and increase the top rate for long-term capital gains to 28% for those making more than $1 million. That means that those who are buying AMT bonds but not paying AMT are getting free income, he said. Lastly, a higher corporate tax rate could also spur banks and insurance companies to return to the muni market. The companies owned a lot of municipal bonds when the tax rate was 35% and many bought more corporate bonds when the tax rate fell to 21%, Brandon said.
Persons: Colleen Cunniffe, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Collin Martin, Martin, Trump, Harris, Dan Close, Craig Brandon, Brandon, Andrzej Skiba, Skiba, Schwab's Martin, Cunniffe, Cunniff, Darla Mercado Organizations: Vanguard, Wells Fargo Institute, Schwab Center, Financial Research, US, Treasury, , munis, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Investors, Trump, RBC Global, Management, Federal Reserve Locations: China, Nuveen, U.S
It is currently 5% off its all-time high, after trading near it last week. Stocks tied to the price of the cryptocurrency got a boost in earlier trading during regular stock market hours. Investors are expecting bitcoin trading to be choppy until a clear winner is declared. "Expect bitcoin – and crypto more broadly – to be choppy in the days ahead … until we have definitive election results." "For now, everyone we've spoken to is keeping their powder dry," said James Davies, CEO at crypto futures and options trading platform Crypto Valley Exchange.
Persons: bitcoin, Stocks, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Ryan Rasmussen, Rasmussen, Harris, Julio Moreno, James Davies, I've Organizations: U.S, Metrics, Investors, Bitwise Asset Management, Trump, Federal
Kevin Lamarque | ReutersTensions are likely running high in Kyiv ahead of Tuesday's presidential election in the U.S. — a vote that could make or break ongoing aid for Ukraine. Officials in Kyiv say the election is being watched closely, amid concerns that future aid could be cut. In the week before the presidential election, Western officials were reported as saying that a Harris administration would likely struggle to push significant aid for Ukraine through Congress. A win by Donald Trump could see him placing a phone call to Russian President Vladimir Putin as early as 6 November. Then President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin at a joint press conference after their summit on July 16, 2018, in Helsinki, Finland.
Persons: Volodymyr Zelenskiy, Kamala Harris, Kevin Lamarque, , Donald Trump, Joe Biden, It's, Trump, it's, Yuriy Sak, J.D, Vance, JD Vance, Carlos Osorio, Putin, Harris, Timothy Ash, Reuters Ash, Ash, Tim Willasey, Vladimir Putin, Chris McGrath Organizations: U.S, White, Reuters, NBC News, Republican, Democrats, NATO, Russia, Ukrainian, CNBC, Anadolu, Getty, Kiel Institute of, European Investment Bank, European Commission, Republicans, Kyiv, Reuters Trump, Berenberg Bank, Berenberg, Washington, Congress, Trump, Ukraine, BlueBay Asset Management, Democratic, Royal United Services Institute Locations: Washington , U.S, Kyiv, U.S, Ukraine, United States of America, United States, America, Russia, Toretsk, Donetsk, Donbas, Moscow, St, Cloud , Minnesota, Europe, Belgian, Helsinki, Finland
The ETF industry is gearing up for some potentially seismic changes in 2025 and beyond. Policy changes from the SEC are hard to predict, but the ETF industry appears to sense an opening to push new types of products. Private credit funds One big area of focus for the ETF industry is how to tap into the private credit boom that has become a key part of the U.S. financial system. Fund issuers will need the SEC to bless new types of constructions in order to get a private credit fund approved. "For the most part, private credit is an investment that is limited to sophisticated investors and not retail investors," said Brian Murphy, a partner at law firm Stradley Ronon.
Persons: Republican Donald Trump, Gary Gensler, Kamala Harris, Todd Sohn, Brian Murphy, Stradley, You've, Gerard O'Reilly, What's, Matt Hougan, Harris, Sohn, " Sohn, Bitwise Organizations: Republican, Securities, Exchange, Democratic, SEC, State, Vanguard, BlackRock, Trump, solana
China's hot electric vehicle market has been gaining investor interest, and one analyst sees potential for the sector to grow further. "China's EV market is the largest in the world and also delivers fast growth," Vincent Sun, senior equity analyst at Morningstar said. This translates to a penetration rate of 49% of China's auto market in September. Sales of these vehicles in China's domestic market were up 66% year-on-year to 72,000 in September . Hsu said BYD and Tesla have a "good separation" because they are not seen as competitors in the Chinese market.
Persons: Vincent Sun, Morningstar, Sun —, Sun, Jason Hsu, There's, CNBC's, BYD, Tesla, Hsu Organizations: CNBC Pro, EV, Rayliant Global Locations: China, U.S
Market analysts predicted choppy trading and sharp swings going into the US presidential election. AdvertisementMarket analysts are braced for volatility ahead of Tuesday's presidential election as traders shuffled their bets on a Donald Trump or Kamala Harris victory. The drivers of market performance — economic growth, corporate earnings, and innovation — ultimately outshine the impact of political changes. The Trump trade is a stronger dollar, weaker bonds/ higher bond yields and stronger crypto. With one day left of this campaign, the dollar is falling, and the dollar index is at a two-week low.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, , who'll, Naeem Aslam, Joshua Mahony, Harris, Hal Cook, Hargreaves, Kathleen Brooks, Trump Organizations: Service, Republican, Democratic, Federal Reserve, Zaye, Trump, FX Locations: Iowa, United States
If Trump wins the election, the Fed could pause rate cuts in December, JPMorgan's David Kelly says. Kelly points to Trump's plans for expansionary fiscal policy that would fuel inflation. Kelly pointed to Trump's plans for an expansionary fiscal policy that would fuel inflation higher and keep rates from coming down. AdvertisementIn that case, the Fed would likely stick to its projected path of policy easing, Kelly said. Advertisement"Once they got some sense of what fiscal policy is going to do, I think that will have some impact on their decision-making.
Persons: JPMorgan's David Kelly, Kelly, Harris, , Donald Trump, David Kelly, Trump, Kamala Harris, They're Organizations: Trump, Service, Federal, JPMorgan, Business, Fed
Among the megacap stocks, Alphabet , Amazon and Microsoft grew year-over-year, cloud-based revenue by 35%, 19% and 20%, respectively. But of the five largest companies that have so far reported results — Meta Platforms , Alphabet, Amazon, Apple and Microsoft — only two finished the week higher. META 5D mountain Meta, 5 days Commentary from some of the tech companies signaled that AI demand remains robust. Amazon CEO Andy Jassy justified stepped up AI spending, saying that investors will be rewarded over the long haul. AMZN 5D mountain Amazon, 5 days Meanwhile, the still enormous spending patterns among megacap technology companies signals no downturn for de facto AI leader Nvidia.
Persons: Gene Munster, Sundar Pichai, Andy Jassy, Ray Wang, Wang, Mark Malek, Constellation's Wang, Satya Nadella's, Eric Clark, Clark Organizations: Microsoft, Apple, Constellation Research, Brands, Nvidia
The monthly jobs report is typically closely-watched watched by traders and creates a reaction in the market. To be sure, storms in the Southeast and the Boeing labor strike were cited as downward pressures on the labor market. To Elizundia's point, fed funds futures are now pricing in 99.9% odds the central bank cuts rates by 25 basis points next week, and an 83.6% chance it lowers borrowing costs by another quarter-point percentage in December. There was no Fed meeting in October. "And yet, a deeper ponder of the numbers suggests that, beneath all the noise and disruption, is a fundamentally slowing labor market.
Persons: , Dow jones, Elizundia, Seema Shah, Shah, Stocks Organizations: Dow, Boeing, Fed, Federal Reserve, Asset Management, U.S Locations: U.S
Investing doesn't guarantee productivity growth, says analyst
  + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvesting doesn't guarantee productivity growth, says analystIsabel Albarran, investment officer at Close Brothers Asset Management, talks about the ramifications of the U.K. budget, and how it may take some time for confidence to grow.
Persons: Isabel Albarran Organizations: Asset Management
Investment banks also suggested that stocks that had dipped ahead of the budget are likely to now gain on better-than-expected outcomes. "The U.K. budget was a clear signal that the new govt. Banks Investors in U.K. bank stocks will also be relieved as no new tax measures were applied to lenders specifically. RBC Capital Markets analysts echoed the view, saying the budget "included no major surprises relevant to the wealth sector." Any changes to the rules were a "relatively benign outcome for the sector" and removed an "event risk" for stocks, the investment bank said.
Persons: Roberta Ciaccia, Balfour Beatty, Rachel Reeves, Jefferies, Graham Hunt, Balfour Beatty's, AJB's, Genuity, Canaccord Genuity, Alex Brooks, Brooks Macdonald Organizations: Labour, City, Investment, Infrastructure Civil, U.K . Finance, Jefferies, Rail, Defence, Banks, RBC Capital Markets, AIM, London Stock Exchange's, Ashtead Tech, Aquis, FactSet, RBC, Tatton Asset Management Locations: Transport, Britain, Quilter
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAureus' Kari Firestone on key takeaways from earnings season so farKari Firestone, Aureus Asset Management executive chairman and co-founder, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, takeaways from earnings season so far,
Persons: Kari Firestone Organizations: Aureus Asset Management
The new year is commencing with most sectors — and stocks — being overvalued, according to Kotak's analysts. Here are four buy-rated Indian stocks with over 30% potential upside that analysts are betting on this Diwali. Kotak has a 12-month target price of 2,140 Indian rupees ($25.45) on the stock, implying around 40.8% potential upside. Other factors in its favor include regulatory tailwinds promoting recycling and the formalization of reverse charge mechanism on metal scrap, Kotak's analysts wrote in a Sept. 30 note. "SHK['s] tiny relative to global majors, but its technical capabilities are reputable," Kotak's analysts wrote in their Sept. 30 re-initiation report.
Persons: Kotak, Kelkar, Gabriel India, Organizations: South, Kotak Securities, Bombay Stock Exchange, Industries Fiem Industries, India's National Stock Exchange, Company, BSE, Anand, Gabriel Locations: India, automotives
RIYADH — Franklin Templeton CEO Jenny Johnson said the firm is focused on doing right by its clients, in her first public comments after the company saw its worst quarter for financial outflows in its history and the Securities and Exchange Commission started a probe into suspicious trading at its fixed-income unit. Franklin Templeton's fixed-income business has also dealt with years of underperformance, which many investors expected to reverse course as money moves into bonds and other fixed-income products, which make up about 30% of the firm's assets. Johnson told CNBC Wednesday that the issue with Western Asset Management was damaging, but stressed that it stemmed from an isolated case, and that supporting clients was Franklin Templeton's top focus. "We've had an issue at Western which is isolated to an individual and a subset of strategies, but there's definitely been outflows in those strategies," Johnson told CNBC's Dan Murphy in Riyadh. "I mean, the good news — Western has a significant amount of other strategies that are outside of this and have a lot of global clients there, but we've definitely been hurt by the issues on those three strategies."
Persons: Franklin Templeton, Jenny Johnson, Ken Leech, Franklin Templeton's, Johnson, Franklin, We've, CNBC's Dan Murphy Organizations: Securities and Exchange Commission, Western Asset Management, SEC, Financial Times, CNBC Wednesday, Franklin Templeton's Locations: RIYADH, California, outflows, Riyadh
Franklin Templeton CEO addresses reports of record outflows
  + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFranklin Templeton CEO addresses reports of record outflowsJenny Johnson, Franklin Templeton CEO, discusses the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's probe into Western Asset Management, a subsidiary of the company.
Persons: Franklin Templeton, Jenny Johnson Organizations: U.S . Securities, Exchange, Western Asset Management
The outcome of upcoming elections in the world's leading economy is set to ripple into global markets no matter who clinches leadership of the White House, UBS head Sergio Ermotti told CNBC on Wednesday. "We do expect, no matter who wins and the outcome, we do expect some market movements. Markets are bracing as voters flock to the polls on Nov. 5, with the U.S. holding both the world's foremost reserve currency and the largest stock exchange by market capitalization. Under a [Donald] Trump presidency, we see that as being inflationary on the back of his focus on immigration and on tariffs. But we don't see any outcome as being particularly growth positive.
Persons: Sergio Ermotti, CNBC's Annette Weisbach, Ermotti, Donald, Trump, Arun Sai, CNBC's Organizations: White House, UBS, CNBC, Swiss, U.S, U.S . Federal, . Treasury, Pictet Asset Management, Trump Locations: U.S
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