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TULSI, India Oct 21 (Reuters) - A man sporting a black cap and pink T-shirt sits on a bullock cart, pile of grass behind him, and busts a rhyme to a camera while riding across the dusty streets of India's Tulsi village. The hip-hop video is just one of many home-grown, Bollywood-inspired productions being created for the village's flagship YouTube channel, which boasts nearly 120,000 subscribers and has more than 200 uploaded videos. They now produce two to three videos a month, from slapstick comedy and action dramas to educational shorts and music videos. But for some, the channel is an opportunity to dream big -- well beyond the confines of the small village. "We want the entire world to know us, not just India," said Verma, 30.
Pump jacks operate at sunset in an oil field in Midland, Texas U.S. August 22, 2018. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude for November delivery (WTI) , which expires on Thursday, rose $1.29, or 1.5%, to $86.84 per barrel. Bloomberg news reported on Thursday that China is considering cutting the quarantine period for inbound visitors to seven days from 10 days, citing people familiar with the matter. "Short of an unlikely shale oil revival, there are few lasting policy measures the Biden administration can use to effective push oil much lower." "EU sanctions on Russian oil imports will likely become the focus of the oil market in coming weeks... We expect Brent oil futures to average $100 per barrel in Q4 2022 on the back of supply disruption from the EU sanctions," Dhar added.
Oil prices mixed amid uncertain demand, supply concerns
  + stars: | 2022-10-20 | by ( Emily Chow | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
REUTERS/Nick Oxford/File PhotoSINGAPORE, Oct 20 (Reuters) - Oil prices were mixed on Thursday as investors balanced caution over tightening supply against concerns that a global slowdown could curb demand. "Oil prices are being whipsawed by a number of drivers in Q4 2022," said Commonwealth Bank commodities analyst Vivek Dhar in a note. Upward pressure though is coming from OPEC+ supply cuts and imminent EU sanctions on seaborne imports of Russian oil and refined production." Global recession concerns and the potential for another aggressive U.S. rate hike were clouding the outlook for oil prices, said CMC Markets analyst Leon Li. "Therefore, oil prices would return to a downtrend after a short-term rebound," he said.
SYDNEY, Oct 20 (Reuters) - Australian employment posted a disappointingly small rise in September in a hint that a very tight labour market might finally be loosening, lessening pressure for faster increases in interest rates. The miss on jobs supports the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) decision this month to slow the pace of rate hikes to quarter-point moves, having already lifted rates by 250 basis points since May. The jobless rate held near 48-year lows at 3.5% in September, while the participation was just off record highs at 66.6%. This is a major reason why markets fully expect another rate rise of 25 basis points in November. The RBA has argued it can afford to go slower than the Fed since wages in Australia are growing at half the pace of those in the United States, even with a very tight labour market.
Soaring food prices push UK inflation back to 40-year high
  + stars: | 2022-10-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
LONDON, Oct 19 (Reuters) - The biggest jump in food prices since 1980 pushed British inflation back into double digits last month, matching a 40-year high hit in July in a new blow for households grappling with the cost-of-living crisis. The Office for National Statistics said the consumer price index (CPI) increased by 10.1% in annual terms in September. Hotel prices also increased in September, the ONS said. "Today's release highlights the danger that underlying inflation remains strong even as the economy weakens," said Paul Dales, chief UK economist at consultancy Capital Economics. He pointed to rising core inflation, a measure that excludes volatile food and energy prices, which hit a new 30-year high of 6.5%.
The dollar pushed as high as 149.395 yen overnight for the first time since August 1990, before last trading at 149.305 in the Asian session. read moreThe dollar index - which measures the currency against six peers including the yen, sterling and euro - added 0.2% to 112.19, after dropping to the lowest since Oct. 6 at 111.76 overnight. Meanwhile, sterling was little changed at $1.1318, licking its wounds after a 0.34% decline in the previous session. Economists in a Reuters poll predict another 75 basis-point rate hike from the European Central Bank on Thursday of next week. The currency last traded 0.08% higher at $0.56905, close to the previous session's two-week high of $0.5719.
Oil prices were also buoyed as risk sentiment was lifted by upbeat U.S. corporate earnings and rising equity markets. That is equal to about 104 million barrels. The EU's sanctions on Russian crude and oil products will take effect in December and February, respectively. read moreIn December, the administration plans to sell 15 million barrels of oil from its reserves, the final tranche of the 180 million barrels release announced earlier this year, a senior U.S. official said. Gasoline inventories declined by about 2.2 million barrels while distillate stockpiles dropped by 1.1 million, the sources said.
The euro hovered close to a two-week high. read moreThe dollar, which currently reigns as the safe-haven currency of choice, has sagged this week amid the bear rally in equities globally following some upbeat earnings. read moreThe euro was about flat at $0.9857, hanging just under Tuesday's high of $0.98755, a level last seen on Oct. 6. read moreThe New Zealand dollar remained elevated following Tuesday's blowout consumer price data, which raises expectations for continued aggressive tightening by the Reserve Bank. The currency last traded 0.19% higher at $0.5695, close to the previous session's two-week high of $0.5719.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) edged up 0.2%, but further gains were capped by slight falls in Chinese shares. Japan's Nikkei (.N225) advanced 0.4%, Australia's resources-heavy shares (.AXJO) gained 0.4%, while South Korea (.KS11) rebounded 0.5%. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterU.S. S&P 500 futures rose 0.8% and the Nasdaq futures jumped 1.3%. Netflix Inc (NFLX.O) reversed customer losses that had hammered its stock this year and projected more growth ahead, sending shares 14% higher in after-hours trading. Chris Turner, global head of markets at ING, said a quiet week for U.S. data could also see the dollar correction extend a little.
Oil prices rise on supply woes
  + stars: | 2022-10-19 | by ( Isabel Kua | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
read moreThe OPEC+ production cut, which comes ahead of a European Union embargo on Russian oil, will squeeze supply in an already tight market. The European Union's sanctions on Russian crude and oil products will take effect in December and February, respectively. To plug the gap, the Biden administration is planning to release more oil from the SPR to dampen fuel prices before next month's congressional elections. read moreIn December, the administration plans to sell 15 million barrels of oil from its reserves, the remainder of the 180 million barrels release announced earlier this year, a senior U.S. official said. In Europe, EU's emergency oil stocks, including crude oil and petroleum products, recovered slightly in July after two coordinated releases drained the levels to a record low in June, but were still 3.7% lower than in July 2021, the bloc's statistic office said on Tuesday.
UK house prices rise 13.6% y/y in August
  + stars: | 2022-10-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: 1 min
Oct 19 (Reuters) - British house prices increased by 13.6% year-on-year in August, the Office for National Statistics said on Wednesday. House price growth slowed from a 16% surge in July which reflected how prices in the same month last year were hit by the end of a tax break for home-buyers. A Reuters poll published in August showed the surge in British house prices is expected to end next year as the cost-of-living crisis and rising interest rates put the brakes on the market. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterReporting by Ana Nicolaci da Costa; Editing by William SchombergOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterBut helping to offset that has been increased pollution across Europe, where power producers and industry have scrambled to replace reduced Russian natural gas supplies with high-emitting coal and liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports. European natural gas imports by main sourceImporters have managed to replenish natural gas stockpiles to try to prepare for greater heating demand later this year, but power producers will be relieved by the curtailed demand for warmth so far. Weather forecasts deteriorate in accuracy farther out, but historically it is clear that the winter months tend to generate more wind power than other seasons. So power producers will also be hoping for blustery conditions to kick in, especially in wind-heavy economies like Germany, which in 2021 got roughly 20% of its electricity from wind power, according to data from BP. For European citizens, wet and windy weather may not sound like the ideal conditions for a comfortable winter.
Annual inflation ran at 7.2% in the third quarter, sitting just below a three-decade high, Statistics New Zealand said in a statement on Tuesday. Inflation slowed slightly from 7.3% in the second quarter but far outpaced expectations in a Reuters poll for a 6.6% annual rise. "With the RBNZ having the inflation bit between its teeth, all options are likely to remain on the table." Smith said they had changed their OCR forecast and were now expecting a 75-basis-point rate hike in November, and two further 50 bp rate hikes in February and April 2023. Statistics New Zealand added that annual non-tradable inflation - products made in New Zealand for domestic consumption - rose 6.6%, the highest since it began tracking that data in June 2002.
Six banking sources told Reuters the country's major state-owned banks were spotted swapping yuan for U.S. dollars in the forwards market and selling those dollars in the spot market, a playbook move used by China in 2018 and 2019 as well. One of the sources noted the size of the dollar selling operation was "rather huge". "The big banks want to acquire dollar positions from the swap market to stabilise the spot market," said another source. State banks usually trade on behalf of the central bank in China's FX market, but they can also trade for their own purposes or execute orders for their corporate clients. At the same time, the move helps state banks to procure dollars at a time when rising U.S. yields have made dollars scarce and expensive.
Asia shares ease, major test looms for UK bonds
  + stars: | 2022-10-17 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Concerns about financial stability added to the corrosive mix with all eyes on UK bonds, now that the Bank of England's (BoE's) emergency buying spree is over. "Monday's market action will provide a test, not only for the survival of Truss' low-tax vision, but also her political future." Sterling was quoted up 0.4% at $1.1219 , but off the early high with trading sparse in Asia. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) eased 1.2% and back toward last week's 2-1/2 year low. In currency markets, the dollar remains king as investors price in U.S. rates peaking around 5%.
BEIJING, Oct 17 (Reuters) - China's economy showed a significant recovery in the third quarter and employment is generally stable, said an official at China's economic state planner on Monday, but the economy still faces many challenges and difficulties. The comments come as the world's second-largest economy has grappled with stringent COVID-19 curbs and a deepening property crisis. "The improvement of the Chinese economy will be consolidated as the effects of macro policies continue to be released," said Zhao Chenxin, deputy head of the National Development and Reform Commission, at a news conference. China will unswervingly promote the opening up of its markets and give greater space for economic development in Hong Kong and Macau, Zhao added. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterReporting by Liangping Gao and Kevin Yao; Editing by Christopher Cushing and Ana Nicolaci da CostaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Asia shares slip, testing times for UK bonds
  + stars: | 2022-10-17 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Concerns about financial stability added to the corrosive mix with all eyes on UK bonds now that the Bank of England's (BoE's) emergency buying spree is over. "Monday's market action will provide a test, not only for the survival of Truss' low-tax vision, but also her political future." Sterling was quoted up 0.6% at $1.1233 , but trading was sparse with little liquidity in Asia. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) eased 1.2% and back toward last week's 2-1/2 year low. read moreIn currency markets, the dollar remains king as investors price in U.S. rates peaking around 5%.
One of the sources noted the size of the dollar selling operation was "rather huge". "The big banks want to acquire dollar positions from the swap market to stabilise the spot market," said another source. State banks usually trade on behalf of the central bank in China's FX market, but they can also trade for their own purposes or execute orders for their corporate clients. A third source noted that the state banks' trades appeared to be managed so that the country's closely-watched $3 trillion foreign exchange reserves will not be tapped for intervention. At the same time, the move helps state banks to procure dollars at a time when rising U.S. yields have made dollars scarce and expensive.
This was the fourth straight week that funds have reduced their collective bet on rising U.S. interest rates. A short position is essentially a wager that an asset's price will fall, and a long position is a bet it will rise. Funds are now holding the smallest net short three-month SOFR position since July, and it has pretty much halved in the last six weeks. There have only been 11 weeks of bigger net short positions since the contract's launch over 30 years ago. "With 2s already at 4.5% and the terminal Fed funds rate in March 2023 almost at 5%, it seems unlikely that 2s can sell-off much more in the near term.
ZAMA, Japan, Oct 14 (Reuters) - Chinese renewable energy group Envision's battery business is seeking potential investors, as it looks to fund a planned 30-fold expansion in its battery production capacity for electric vehicles (EV), the unit's chief executive said. Envision AESC has also said it plans to supply batteries for Honda Motor Co (7267.T) and Mercedes-Benz (MBGn.DE). The company hopes to break into the top-tier EV supply rankings by leveraging its more than a decade of battery production experience. Matsumoto said the company is aiming to expand its share in the global EV battery market by roughly five times to about 15% by 2025 or 2026. Solid-state battery technology involves a high-capacity energy storage device that improves on lithium-ion batteries, replacing the liquid or gel-form electrolyte with a solid, conductive material.
But some still expect the People's Bank of China (PBOC) to ease banks' reserve requirements next month, to aid an economy hit by the COVID-19 pandemic and property market woes. Most of the 27 participants in the poll conducted this week said they predicted the PBOC will partially renew 50 billion yuan ($6.98 billion) worth of policy loans that mature on Saturday. Traders point out that China's banking system is not short of cash - evidenced by the fact that market rates are lower than policy rates, curbing demand for central bank loans. "We don't expect policy rate cuts until pressure on the currency eases," wrote Zichun Huang, an economist at Capital Economics. Zhou Maohua, analyst at China Everbright Bank, said September's robust credit expansion also made monetary easing less urgent.
"We expect probably in 2023 the semiconductor industry will likely decline, but TSMC also is not immune," Wei told a media call. TOOL DELAYSTSMC, Asia's most valuable listed firm, cut its capital expenditure (capex) for 2022 to around $36 billion. "We say 2023 is still a growth year for TSMC, and the overall industry probably will decline," said Wei. Revenue for the quarter climbed 36% to $20.23 billion, versus TSMC's prior estimated range of $19.8 billion to $20.6 billion. Shares in TSMC have fallen almost 36% so far this year, giving it a market value of $323.7 billion.
TSMC's business has swelled thanks to a global chip shortage that was sparked by pandemic-fuelled sales of smartphones and laptops. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterRevenue for the quarter climbed 36% to $20.23 billion, versus TSMC's prior estimated range of $19.8 billion to $20.6 billion. Shares in TSMC have fallen almost 36% so far this year, giving it a market value of $323.7 billion. The stock fell 0.6% on Thursday, compared with a 2.1% fall for the benchmark index (.TWII). TSMC has said it has seen little impact from the current down cycle in the chip sector and expected its capacity to remain tight because long-term demand for TSMC's chips was "firmly in place".
Fragile yen tests 1998 low, sterling holds its breath
  + stars: | 2022-10-13 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
The yen hit a trough of 146.98 per dollar overnight and last traded at 146.87. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterIt is a whisker away from its August 1998 low of 147.64 per dollar, and well past last month's low of 145.90 per dollar which prompted Japanese authorities to intervene to buy the yen. "It has lost its safe haven appeal," said Rodrigo Catril, a senior currency strategist at National Australia Bank. The Aussie was up 0.02% at $0.6279, after sliding to a 2-1/2-year low of $0.62355 in the previous session. Overnight, data showed that U.S. producer prices increased more than expected last month.
Oct 12 (Reuters) - The Bahamas on Wednesday outlined the details of temporary price control measures aimed at helping families brave mounting global inflation, saying they would affect 38 key staples, such as eggs, bread and sanitary towels. Prime Minister Philip Davis announced the controls in a national address on Tuesday as part of broader measures to help the island nation, which imports many goods, tackle the effects of rising price pressures globally. The controls, which limit price increases to 15% for wholesalers and 25% for retailers, take effect from Monday and will last six months, after which they will be subject to review. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com Register"The prime minister remains confident that these additional measures will provide relief to Bahamian families," the government said in a statement. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterReporting by Sarah Morland in Mexico City and Jasper Ward in Nassau; Editing by Ana Nicolaci da CostaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
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