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India's stock market has been topsy-turvy in the past week. WealthMills Securities' equity market strategist Kranthi Bathini says "India's stock markets need stable policy continuity going forward." "The Union Budget has consistently increased allocations for infrastructure development. Strong digital economy and startup ecosystem Another longer-term theme on Sengupta's radar is the digital economy and startup ecosystem. Riding the consumer wave Aside from sectors poised for growth, WealthMills Securities' Bathini suggests looking out for names set to benefit from the strong consumer.
Persons: turvy, Narendra Modi's, Modi, Dhruba Jyoti Sengupta, Kranthi Bathini, Sengupta —, Sengupta, Bathini Organizations: Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party, BJP, Lok Sabha, Wrise, CNBC Pro, BSE, Bombay Stock Exchange, WealthMills Securities, Budget, Hindustan, Indian Railway Catering, Tourism Corporation, Indian, Construction, Titagarh, Systems, India, Canara Bank, Bajaj Finance, Securities, Hindustan Aeronautics, Tata Motors, Reliance Industries Locations: Lok, Asia, East, Europe, India, uptrend
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi gestures, at the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) headquarters in New Delhi, India, June 4, 2024. Adnan Abidi | ReutersThis report is from this week's CNBC's "Inside India" newsletter which brings you timely, insightful news and market commentary on the emerging powerhouse and the big businesses behind its meteoric rise. Far from rewarding Prime Minister Narendra Modi's party with a supermajority — as polls had predicted — Indians elected 240 BJP lawmakers to India's 543-seat Parliament, which falls short of a simple majority for Modi's party. However, as the largest party, the BJP will form a coalition government thanks to its alliance with smaller parties ahead of the elections. This "radical transformation" is expected to lead to a significantly more efficient economy and help India's currency, according to Sullivan.
Persons: Narendra Modi, Adnan Abidi, Narendra Modi's, Modi, Gavekal, Tom Miller, Udith Sikand, Malcolm Dorson, Aastha Gudwani, who's, India's, Morgan, Ridham Desai, Will, Goldman Sachs, Abhiram Eleswarapu, Eleswarapu, Tanvir Gill, Sri Jegarajah, Sumathi Bala, Seema Mody, Amala Balakrishner, Vinay Dube, could've, James Sullivan, Sullivan Organizations: Indian, Bharatiya Janata Party, BJP, Reuters, CNBC, Global, of America, Gavekal Research, India Active, BNP, CNBC Pro, JPMorgan, U.S . Federal Locations: New Delhi, India, CNBC's
"A lot of wealth, especially from ultra-high-net-worth individuals, is moving to Dubai," Dhruba Jyoti Sengupta, CEO of Wrise Private Middle East, told CNBC Pro on May 31. Sengupta — whose firm serves ultra-high-net-worth and high-net-worth individuals across Asia, the Middle East and Europe — said he regularly receives inquiries from individuals about investing in Dubai. The consultancy firm, which tracks private wealth and global investment migration trends, ranked it as the 21st wealthiest city in the world. "In fact, the super-wealthy do a lot of diversification and invest in different geographies and assets using Dubai as a gateway." Portfolio allocation Sengupta also revealed how individuals with around $10 million to invest typically allocate funds: $3 million (30%) in wealth accumulation.
Persons: Dhruba Jyoti Sengupta, Sengupta —, Europe —, Sengupta Organizations: Wrise, CNBC Pro, United Arab, Henley & Partners, Citibank Locations: India, South Korea, Dubai, Asia, East, Europe, Indonesia, United Arab Emirates, Africa
Goldman Sachs recommended that investors consider a specific strategy when trading European markets right now given the "scope for near-term volatility in equities." Here are two such stock ideas, which are also on the Wall Street bank's conviction list. Goldman gives the stock around 23.6% upside from a 12-month price target of 223 euros ($242.10). Bureau Veritas Another stock on Goldman's list is French company Bureau Veritas , known for its laboratory testing, inspection and certification services. Goldman gives the stock nearly 20% upside from a 12-month price target of 37 euros.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Liquide Goldman, Georgina Fraser, Fraser, Goldman, Suhasini, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Air Liquide, Euronext Paris Exchange, Veritas, Bureau Veritas, First Locations: Paris, Suhasini Varanasi
Shares of British luxury sports car manufacturer Aston Martin are set to rise more than twofold in the next 12 months, according to analysts from Barclays. The investment bank has an overweight rating on the stock at a price target of £300 ($380.79), giving it potential upside of about 116.5% from its closing price of £138.60 on May 30. Aston Martin is listed on the London Stock Exchange under the ticker AML. Shares in Aston Martin are down some 46.5% in the last 12 months. BP Another stock with massive upside potential on Barclays' radar is British oil and gas player BP .
Persons: Aston Martin, defensives, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Jenni Reid Organizations: Barclays, London Stock Exchange, Aston, BP, London Stock Locations: Aston Martin, U.S, Europe
Those searching for pockets of opportunities in the region can look to Goldman Sachs' selection of "alpha" stock opportunities. Goldman Sachs' list of opportunities include stocks with "deep value" and "defensive growth" characteristics. The company's shares are traded in the First Trust United Kingdom AlphaDEX Fund (1.2% weight) and Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta Europe Equity ETF (0.3%). 'Strong top-line prospects' Growth stocks the Wall Street bank is bullish on include those "with strong top-line prospects at reasonable growth-adjusted valuations." ASML: Goldman said the company has a "multi-decade competitive moat in High NA, which will be extremely difficult to replicate for the next 10-20 years at least."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, JD, Goldman, ASML, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Alpha, Sports Fashion, International Consolidated Airlines Group, ISS, First, United, AlphaDEX Fund, Equity, U.S . Global Jets ETF, NA, Euronext Amsterdam, Nasdaq Locations: U.S, Danish, Europe, Adyen
Investor darling Nvidia is dominating headlines once again after its earnings last week surpassed expectations on the back of the artificial intelligence boom. Morgan Stanley notes that the reaction to Nvidia's first quarter results is "very telling on how much buying power still exists in the market." Here are seven of Morgan Stanley's overweight-rated stocks to play these AI themes: Overweight-rated stocks Among Morgan Stanley's list of AI stock opportunities are South Korean tech giant SK Hynix and Taiwanese chipmaker Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company . SK Hynix stocks are held in the iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (8.4% weight) and Franklin FTSE South Korea ETF (8.3% weight). Shares in TSMC are included in the iShares MSCI Taiwan ETF (25.1% weight) and Franklin FTSE Taiwan ETF (22.2% weight) Beyond the headline-makers, Morgan Stanley also sees potential in Japanese manufacturer Advantest Corp .
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Nvidia's, Hopper, Morgan Stanley's, Morgan, Goldman Sachs, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, SK Hynix, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Korea ETF, Franklin FTSE, Franklin FTSE South Korea ETF, Advantest Corp, Japan Equity, JPMorgan BetaBuilders Japan, Alchip Technologies, Technology, Memory Technology, Micronics Locations: Asia, Korean, Korea, Franklin FTSE South, Taiwan, Franklin FTSE Taiwan
The global semiconductor industry is set to experience "groundbreaking changes," Citi said, naming stocks to play the theme. Here are six stocks from Citi's list, which stand out for having substantial upside potential, according to FactSet's consensus price targets. Nvidia Among Citi's list of top stocks is investor darling Nvidia . Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix South Korean tech giants Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix also made Citi's list. Citi also noted that SK Hynix is looking forward to stronger supplies of HBM3E chips through to 2025, "in line with the customer's roadmap."
Persons: Atif Malik, ASMPT, Kevin Chen, Takayuki Naito, Ibiden, Hynix, Peter Lee, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Citi, Nvidia, Tokyo Stock Exchange, Franklin FTSE, Franklin FTSE Hong Kong ETF, BlackRock Future Tech ETF, Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix South, SK Hynix, Korea ETF, Franklin FTSE South Korea ETF Locations: Hong Kong, Franklin FTSE Hong, SK Hynix South Korean, Korea, Franklin FTSE South
The analysts project that over $100 billion will be channeled toward such "potential investments propel[ling] AI and spur[ring] power demand growth in Asia." Here are three of Morgan Stanley's overweight-rated stock picks with more than 35% upside potential over the next 12 months. Morgan Stanley has a target price of 7.20 Singapore dollars ($5.35) on the Singapore Exchange -listed shares, giving them 36.9% potential upside. GDS Holdings Another Morgan Stanley favorite is Chinese data center developer and operator GDS Holdings . Morgan Stanley has a target price of $13.30 on the Nasdaq-listed stock, which translates to 40% potential upside.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley's, Tenaga Nasional Morgan Stanley, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Tenaga Nasional, Tenaga, Microsoft, Amazon Web Services, U.S, Global X FTSE, Asia, Malaysian, Industries, Sembcorp, Morgan, Singapore, Sembcorp Industries, GDS, GDS Holdings, ASEAN, Nasdaq Locations: Asia, U.S, Malaysian, Tenaga Nasional, Bursa Malaysia, Malaysia, Singapore, Cambria, China, Japan, Hong Kong, Indonesia
BofA Securities has screened for 20 of Asia's "most important stocks," selected from the constituents of the MSCI Asia Pacific Index. Here are 10 stocks from the investment bank's list, which stand out for having substantial upside potential, according to FactSet's consensus price targets. This gives the stock upside potential of 42.0%. Analysts' target price on the stock is 103,211 Korean won ($76.61), or 32.0% potential upside, according to FactSet data. Their average target price is 233,378 Korean won, implying nearly 20.9% upside potential, FactSet data shows.
Persons: — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: BofA Securities, MSCI, AIA Group, Hong, Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Korean Locations: Hong Kong, Korean
The substantial rise in Nvidia's share price has, however, has raised questions about whether those not already invested should buy the stock now, or wait to see if its price drops. Buy Nvidia Trent Masters, portfolio manager at the Sydney-based Alphinity Investment Management, has a buy recommendation on Nvidia, even as he acknowledges that it is "hard to buy a stock that has already gone up a lot." Acknowledging that Nvidia is a "great company," that is effectively operating a "monopoly" in the AI chipmaker segment, he has been reducing his holdings in the stock "Nvidia is a company that ran too far too fast. For instance, he is looking at an annualized revenue growth rate of near 50% over the next five years to justify the stock price. Despite reducing his position in the stock, Coons remains cautiously optimistic on Nvidia.
Persons: It's, We've, we've, Nvidia Adam Coons, Coons, " Coons Organizations: Nvidia, CNBC, Nvidia Trent Masters, Alphinity Investment Management, Devices, Winthop Investment Management Locations: Sydney, U.S
One investor says growth stocks still offer opportunities — but it's time to get selective. "Growth stocks will continue to outperform value stocks, generally speaking. Growth stocks are expected to grow rapidly, but do not pay out dividends and are often often more expensive than so-called value stocks. When considering which stocks to buy, Coons stressed the importance of valuations. "I would stay away from growth stocks outperforming because of story and invest in those with real revenue and earnings growth."
Persons: Adam Coons, Coons, PayPal Holdings Coons, " Coons, Moody's Organizations: Winthrop Capital Management, CNBC Pro, PayPal Holdings, PayPal, C Technologies, SS Locations: Coons
Will McDonough, CEO of merchant bank Corestone Capital, says he has "not seen this level of interest and conversation on copper." "Any population growth or industrial growth leads to growth in copper demand. And with the whole battery and electrification movement, there is going to be so much demand for lithium and copper that the company can benefit from," the investment manager said. Copper futures Aside from stocks, McDonough suggests buying copper futures as a good way to play the opportunities in the copper market and the rising demand for the metal. "I think that the price of copper is way under-appreciated.
Persons: Will McDonough, McDonough, SQM Organizations: CNBC Pro, New York Stock Exchange, Sociedad, Minera de Chile SA, BHP Locations: Minera, Chilean
Gold stocks Among Teng's top gold picks is Canadian miner Barrick Gold . Gold ETFs Aside from stocks, Teng recommended that investors consider exchange-traded funds (ETFs) as a good way to gain exposure to the yellow metal. "ETFs are highly liquid and can be bought and sold daily on the open market, making it easy to adjust a portfolio's gold exposure when needed," he said. He added that ETFs with exposure to the mining sector were an "attractive option," highlighting the VanEck Gold Miners ETF ( GDX ) and VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF ( GDXJ ). While Teng is bullish on specific stocks within the ETFs, he notes that they broadly capture "the most popular large-cap and mid-cap gold miners funds," thereby offering a "relative balance in one's gold portfolio."
Persons: Kevin Teng, Teng, Barrick, Newmont, Will McDonough, McDonough Organizations: Wrise, CNBC Pro, Barrick Gold, Newmont Corporation, Wall, Coeur Mining, Hecla Mining, New York Stock Exchange, BHP, Gold Miners
Consumers, particularly those in China, have been tightening their purse strings and cutting their spending on luxury goods in light of macroeconomic uncertainties. But Barclays notes that several companies in the sector make good plays right now. LVMH Barclays is bullish on French label LVMH and raised its target price by nearly 13.6% to 937 euros ($1,009.18). "We remain confident that Moncler will deliver above-market growth for the rest of 2024," the analysts wrote. Barclays' target price on the stock is 168 Swiss francs ($182.62), which gives it around 28.2% potential upside.
Persons: Christian Dior, Louis Vuitton, Dior, Tiffany, Moncler Organizations: Barclays, Tiffany, Vogue, Richemont Locations: China, Europe, Sephora, Switzerland
Goldman Sachs just refreshed its lists of top global stock picks, adding some and removing others. The investment bank's "Conviction List - Directors' Cut" aims to offer investors a "curated and active" list of 15 to 25 buy-rated stocks. The stocks are selected by a subcommittee designated by the bank's Investment Review Committee for each region. Here are three of the latest additions to Goldman's directors' cut lists — for Asia-Pacific and Europe — that were given more than 30% upside potential in the next 12 months. Goldman has a target price of 11,850 British pence ($148.71) on the stock, giving it around 30.7% upside potential.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, London Stock Exchange Goldman, Oliver Carruthers, Samsung Biologics Goldman, Ziyi Chen, Michele Della Vigna, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: bank's Investment, London Stock Exchange, Microsoft, Samsung, Korean, EU's Renewable Energy, . Locations: Asia, Pacific, Europe, Korean
They project that 800 billion euros ($857.5 billion) will be spent on Europe's power transmission and distribution, thanks in part to "years of under-investment." Here are three of Goldman's buy-rated stocks with over 30% upside potential in the next 12 months. That gives the German stock — which is on Goldman's conviction list — about 35% potential upside. Goldman has a target price of 2,024 British pence on the stock, giving it around 42.8% upside potential. Goldman has a target price of 135 euros on the stock, giving it 45.5% upside potential.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Elia, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: E.on Goldman, E.on, Goldman Locations: Europe, Belgian
U.S. bank Citi refreshed its list of "highest conviction ideas" for Europe and recommended a specific trading strategy that investors can adopt right now. "The focus is on bottom-up ideas," Citi's analysts wrote in an Apr. The list also "highlights liquid names in which investors can build positions," the Citi analysts added. Citi's focus list delivered returns of 3.4% over the last 12 months and 5.4% in the past three months. Citi has a target price of £200 on the LSE-listed stock, giving it 34% potential upside.
Persons: , Leonardo Citi, Leonardo, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Citi, U.K . Ministry of Defence, Revenue, London Stock Exchange, New York Stock Exchange, LSE Locations: Europe, U.S, Ireland, Australia, Italy
Investors seeking exposure to China's growing mobile gaming industry should look at technology giants Tencent and NetEase , according to Goldman Sachs. The investment bank expects "China to see faster growth from mid 2024 supported by game launches and a loosening regulatory environment." Tencent Tencent's game sales were up 14% year on year domestically in March and 36% internationally. NetEase NetEase posted a 16% year-on-year rise in domestic sales growth and 1% rise in international sales growth last month, Goldman's analysts noted. Domestic mobile game sales fell by 12% year-on-year Japan in the first quarter of the year.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, 2Q24, Lincoln Kong, FactSet, NetEase NetEase, Michael Bloom Organizations: Street, Hong, Nasdaq, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, China, Domestic Locations: China, Tencent, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea
One strategist, however is looking keenly at European equities, and notes that "Europe isn't a boring market." "You would hope that will translate through to the stock market in terms of company earnings growth in Europe. "While you might see some kind of short-term downturn, in the longer-term the picture is very positive for the sector," Field added. He sees value in payments, which he described as "one of the most undervalued parts of European financial services." The sector has trailed market performance, with valuations looking "interesting" over the last 12 months, Morningstar noted in its recent report.
Persons: Michael Field, Field, Morningstar Organizations: CNBC Pro, European Central Bank, Consumer, Swatch Group, Financial, Morningstar, ING Bank, Group, Health, Novo Nordisk Locations: U.S, Europe, Netherlands, British, Swiss
Heightened geopolitical tensions have triggered volatility in crude oil prices, but one strategist is looking keenly for opportunities in the energy sector. Stephen Ellis, energy and utilities strategist at Morningstar, said oil market volatility does present challenges and urged investors to be patient, which "regularly pays off within energy." Brent crude oil prices were trading around $86.50 on Apr. 'Quality' names within energy Ellis said he searches for quality names when selecting stocks in the energy space. "All of these are 'moaty' firms that have some upside to our fair value estimates, even in a period of high oil prices," Ellis explained.
Persons: Stephen Ellis, Ellis, Morningstar, SLB Morningstar, It's Organizations: Morningstar, CNBC Pro, TC Energy, APA Corp, ExxonMobil, Schlumberger Locations: Brent, Suriname
Global stock markets may be coming under pressure from geopolitical tensions and sticky inflation — but one portfolio manager sees potential in several stocks. Hinchliffe oversees more than $1 billion of PineBridge's assets via its Global Focus Equity Fund . What we are trying to do is beat the benchmark by constructing our portfolio to be similar to the market from a risk perspective," Hinchliffe said. "We're not taking a view that small caps are better or worse this year than last year; we're not taking the view that growth stocks are better than value stocks. The portfolio manager noted that they "clearly led the market last year based on fantastic earnings growth by and large."
Persons: Rob Hinchliffe, Hinchliffe, , Morningstar, We're, we're, France's Legrand Organizations: PineBridge Investments, CNBC Pro, Global Focus Equity Fund, Equity Fund, Stock, Microsoft, Nvidia, Walmart Locations: U.S, Swiss
"The stars have aligned for India in terms of demographics, population and market movements. Peeyush Mittal, portfolio manager at Matthews Asia, agrees with the consensus that Modi will win a majority once again — which would be a "non-event" for markets. Conrad Saldanha, portfolio manager at the Neuberger Berman Emerging Markets Equity Fund, agrees. Among the companies on his watch are power equipment player Bharat Heavy Electricals and engineering conglomerate Thermax , amid an expected expansion in power generation capacity. According to FactSet data, 24 of the 26 analysts covering the stock have a buy or overweight rating on it.
Persons: Narendra Modi, Neil Bahal, Peeyush Mittal, Modi, Mittal, Conrad Saldanha, Neuberger Berman, Bharat, Neuberger Berman's Saldanha, Saldanha Organizations: South, Bombay Stock Exchange, CNBC Pro, , Matthews Asia, Reserve Bank of, India Fund, Neuberger, Markets Equity Fund, Cummins India, Investor, Bharat Electronics, ICICI, HDFC, IndusInd Bank, Apollo Locations: Hong Kong, India, Reserve Bank of India, Saldanha
Several countries have been beefing up their defense budgets in light of mounting geopolitical tensions, and Goldman Sachs has named several European stocks to play the theme right now. European defense stocks "have closely tracked super-cycles and are now "trading at peak multiples (20x 12-month forward price-to-earnings) vs history," which translates to a 45% premium to the benchmark Stoxx 600 index , the bank's analysts noted. Stocks Goldman's analysts said they "increasingly favour stocks exposed to long-term secular growth themes with superior visibility on growth." Other stocks with an exposure to the defense industry on Goldman's buy-rated list include aerospace names Rolls-Royce Holdings (also on its "conviction list") and Airbus . The bank has increased its 12-month price target on the stock by close to 60% to 606 euros, giving it nearly 13.4% upside potential.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Victor Allard, Goldman, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Stocks, Thales, Royce Holdings, Airbus, Rheinmetall
The unpredictability has led some analysts to reiterate their recommendation to buy dividend stocks. According to Morgan Stanley, the MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan High Dividend Index outperformed the MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan index in the first quarter of the year, albeit by only 0.58%. The cautious investors' sentiment also drives allocation toward Quality Dividend stocks," the investment bank's analysts wrote in an Apr. These translate into a higher UST bond yields and particularly favoring dividend stocks to outperform." The latter has a forward dividend yield of 8%, according to Morgan Stanley, comfortably higher than the average of 5.1% on the screen.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Morgan, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: MSCI Asia, Asia, UST, U.S . Treasury, China Overseas Property Holdings, China Medical System Holdings, Bank of China Locations: Japan, Asia, Pacific, China, Taiwan
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