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TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares retreated Monday as investors awaited updates on consumer spending and inflation in the U.S. and other nations. While analysts expect them to stand pat on policy, attention remains relatively high, given concerns about inflation. Wall Street ended last week mixed with a half-day trading session that capped a fourth straight winning week. The holiday shopping season kicked off with Black Friday amid concerns that spending may slow under pressure from dwindling savings, rising credit card debt and inflation. The major stock indexes’ latest weekly gains reflect a turnaround in the market’s sentiment in November following a three-month slide.
Persons: ” Yeap Jun Rong, Hong, Hang Seng, Brent, Yuri Kageyama Organizations: TOKYO, Nikkei, IG, Shanghai, Reserve Bank of New, Bank of Korea, Bank of, Black, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Google, CF Industries, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Benchmark, New York Mercantile Exchange, U.S Locations: U.S, China, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Bank of Thailand
Tom Turkey float rides during the 97th Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., November 23, 2023. With Wall Street shut for Thanksgiving on Thursday, Asian investors will miss the usual swing factor. Instead, Friday's release of Japan's core inflation data for October will set the tone for trading in the region. Japan's core consumer inflation likely accelerated again in October, staying above the central bank's 2% price target for a 19th straight month, according to a Reuters poll. But some of the inflation-easing trade is already priced into the market, reflected in the near 11% rally in the MSCI world index (.WORLD) in the past 18 trading days.
Persons: Tom Turkey, Brendan McDermid, Denny Thomas, Josie Kao Organizations: REUTERS, Rights TORONTO, Bank of, Beijing, European Central Bank, Stocks, Malaysia CPI, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Manhattan , New York City, U.S, Japan, China, Europe, Singapore, New Zealand, Thailand, Taiwan
Five of the seven advisers who spoke with Reuters said they favoured a target of around 5%, matching this year's goal. The proposals will be made next month at the ruling Communist Party's annual Central Economic Work Conference that discusses policy plans and the outlook for the world's second-largest economy. "We need to adopt expansionary fiscal and monetary policy to stimulate aggregate demand," Yu Yongding, a government economist who advocates for a growth target of roughly 5%, told Reuters. "We are stepping up fiscal policy support," said another adviser, to make the "difficult" 2024 target "achievable." The stuttering post-COVID recovery has prompted many analysts to call for structural reforms that tilt the drivers of economic growth away from property and infrastructure investment and towards household consumption and market-allocation of resources.
Persons: Yu Yongding, Yu, Guan Tao, Xi Jinping, Kevin Yao, Marius Zaharia Organizations: Reuters, Communist, Economic Work Conference, BOC International, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Thomson Locations: China, BEIJING, Beijing, outflows, Japan
Industry practice suggests that a large share of hedge funds trading in repo markets put up zero collateral, meaning they are fuelling activity using enormous amounts of cheap debt. A looming rule by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission would expand the use of central clearing in the cash Treasury and repo market. SEC chair Gary Gensler recently promoted the benefits of central clearing and pointed to data showing high levels of repo trades transacted at zero haircuts. James Tabacchi, CEO of South Street Securities, called zero haircuts a "race to the bottom" and not healthy for markets. However, some market participants have voiced concerns that some of the proposed reforms could be a hurdle for some investors, potentially undermining the goal to improve liquidity and resilience in the Treasury market.
Persons: Rick Wilking, Christopher Clarke, Gary Gensler, James Tabacchi, Richard Chambers, Goldman Sachs, Davide Barbuscia, Megan Davies, Paritosh Bansal, Sonali Paul Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Industry, repo, North America Sovereign Financing, Morgan Securities, Treasury, Federal Reserve Bank of New, U.S . Securities, Exchange, Corporation, SEC, . Federal Reserve, South Street Securities, Goldman, Thomson Locations: Westminster , Colorado, Treasuries, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Carolina
NEW YORK (AP) — Brad Ausmus was hired by the New York Yankees on Tuesday to replace Carlos Mendoza as bench coach for manager Aaron Boone. Now 54, Ausmus spent 2022 as the Oakland Athletics' bench coach for manager Bob Melvin. Mendoza had been the Yankees' bench coach for four seasons when he left on Nov. 13 to manage the New York Mets. The Yankees said Tuesday that Ausmus will become the third bench coach for Boone, who started with Josh Bard as his bench coach in 2018-19. Ausmus hit .251 with 80 homers and 607 RBIs in 18 seasons for the Padres (1993-96), Detroit (1996, 1999-2000) and Houston (1997-98, 2001-08).
Persons: Brad Ausmus, Carlos Mendoza, Aaron Boone, Ausmus, Bob Melvin, Mendoza, Boone, Josh Bard, ___ Organizations: New York Yankees, Los Angeles Angels, AL Central, Tigers, Baltimore, Oakland Athletics, Yankees, New York Mets, Dartmouth, Padres Locations: Detroit, New York, Colorado, San Diego, Houston
Wall Street is keenly focused on what officials will do next. Fed policymakers had predicted one more 2023 rate move as of their September economic projections, but investors think that there is little chance they will raise rates at their final meeting of the year on Dec. 12-13. Those, together with remarks from Fed Chair Jerome H. Powell, could provide important clues about the future. As of now, market pricing suggests that Wall Street expects policymakers to begin lowering interest rates at some point in the first half of 2024. Several central bankers have been clear in recent weeks that they aren’t sure they are done raising interest rates.
Persons: Jerome H, Powell, ” Susan Collins Organizations: , Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, CNBC
I hope it’s the beginning of an era,” says FastHorse, a member of the Sicangu Lakota Nation and a 2020 MacArthur Fellow. “The truth was most theaters had never produced a single play by a Native playwright. It may have been about some Native people, but it was not written by Native people. They would answer that they didn't know any Native playwrights or that there weren't enough Native audiences to power ticket sales. “I think one thing I’m just hoping that people take away from this play is like, ‘Wow, Native stories are really compelling.
Persons: Mary Kathryn Nagle, swindled, Nagle, “ I’m, , Larissa FastHorse, ” Nagle, Martin Scorsese’s, Ken Burns, , ” Madeline Sayet, what’s, FastHorse, Peter Pan, Jerome Robbins, Moose Charlap, Carolyn Leigh, Jule Styne, Betty Comden, Adolph Green, Lily fends, randy braves, , ” ___ Mark Kennedy Organizations: Cherokee Nation, Lakota, MacArthur, University of California, Natives, The, Arizona State University, Yale Indigenous Performing Arts Program, Civil Rights Movement, Mohegan Tribe, Public, Young, Broadway, Indians, “ redskins Locations: , New York City, “ Rutherford, Los Angeles, Oklahoma, The American Buffalo, New York, , Africa, Japan, Eastern Europe, South Dakota
China keeps lending benchmark rates unchanged, as expected
  + stars: | 2023-11-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Paramilitary police officers stand guard in front of the headquarters of the People's Bank of China, the central bank (PBOC), in Beijing, China September 30, 2022. The one-year loan prime rate (LPR) was kept at 3.45% and the five-year LPR was unchanged at 4.20%. Most new and outstanding loans in China are based on the one-year LPR, while the five-year rate influences the pricing of mortgages. The steady fixings came after the central bank kept its medium-term interbank liquidity rate unchanged last week. The LPR, which banks normally charge their best clients, is set by 18 designated commercial banks who submit proposed rates to the central bank every month.
Persons: Tingshu Wang, Julian Evans, Pritchard, Winni Zhou, Tom Westbrook, Sam Holmes Organizations: People's Bank of China, REUTERS, Rights, Capital Economics, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, Rights SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, United States, outflows
The US is nearing an "inflection point" as the debt pile accelerates, Ray Dalio told CNBC. AdvertisementThe US's fiscal situation is heading for an "inflection point" as government debt grows faster than income, according to billionaire investor Ray Dalio. With the government borrowing more money to just pay for debt service while spending continues unabated, the hole gets deeper and deeper, he said on a CNBC interview on Friday. AdvertisementSuch issues have also impacted foreign demand, Dalio warned, noting that 40% of US debt is sold to foreigners. We are near that inflection point."
Persons: Ray Dalio, , it's, Torsten Sløk Organizations: CNBC, Service, Bridgewater Associates, Apollo Management
"I believe that a 'soft landing' is possible, with continued disinflation and a strong labor market, but it is not assured," Cook said in remarks prepared for delivery to a San Francisco Fed conference on Asian economic policy. "I see risks as two-sided, requiring us to balance the risk of not tightening enough against the risk of tightening too much." Meanwhile, Cook noted, other global central banks have also tightened policy rapidly. "But in a world of uncertainty it is hard to judge the exact size of these spillovers." Reporting by Ann Saphir; Editing by Paul SimaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Lisa Cook, Jonathan Ernst, Cook, bank's, there's, Ann Saphir, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve, of Governors, Capitol, REUTERS, FRANCISCO, Federal, San Francisco Fed, U.S, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S
A gardener works outside the headquarters of the central bank of the People's Republic of China in Beijing October 8, 2008. REUTERS/Jason Lee (CHINA) Acquire Licensing RightsSHANGHAI/SINGAPORE, Nov 15 (Reuters) - China's central bank ramped up liquidity injection but kept the interest rate unchanged when rolling over maturing medium-term policy loans on Wednesday, matching market expectations. The central bank said the loan operation was meant to maintain banking system liquidity reasonably ample to counteract short-term factors including tax payments and government bond issuance. All 31 market watchers polled by Reuters this week had expected the central bank to inject fresh funds to exceed the maturity. The most likely outcome is for PBOC to inject more support through open market operations, while leaving the MLF rate unchanged."
Persons: Jason Lee, Carlos Casanova, corporates, Xing Zhaopeng, Winni Zhou, Tom Westbrook, Christian Schmollinger, Stephen Coates Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, People's Bank of China, Reuters, AAA, ANZ, Thomson Locations: People's Republic of China, Beijing, China, CHINA, Rights SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, Asia, UBP, United States
FRANKFURT, Germany (AP) — The European Union's executive commission lowered growth its expectations for this year and next, saying the economy “has lost momentum” as inflation discourages consumers and higher interest rates deter borrowing for purchases and investment. And the outlook is exposed to risks of trouble spreading from Russia's ongoing war against Ukraine and the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza. Nevertheless, “the main risk that we see is energy prices,” said Paolo Gentiloni, the EU's commissioner for economy. Meanwhile, government deficits and debt have declined after a burst of stimulus spending during the COVID-19 pandemic. "Importantly, this forecast foresees wage growth exceeding inflation, finally allowing workers to at least partially recovery purchasing power, Gentiloni said.
Persons: , , Paolo Gentiloni, Gentiloni Organizations: United Arab, European Central Bank Locations: FRANKFURT, Germany, Ukraine, Israel, Gaza, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Brussels
SINGAPORE — Central bank digital currencies have the potential to replace cash, but adoption could take time, said Kristalina Georgieva, managing director of the International Monetary Fund on Wednesday. "CBDCs can replace cash which is costly to distribute in island economies," she said Wednesday at the Singapore FinTech Festival. CBDCs are the digital form of a country's fiat currency, which are regulated by the country's central bank. They are powered by blockchain technology, allowing central banks to channel government payments directly to households. Several central banks have already launched pilots or even issued a CBDC," the IMF said in a September report.
Persons: Kristalina Georgieva Organizations: International Monetary Fund, IMF, Singapore FinTech, Bank for International, Atlantic Council Locations: SINGAPORE — Central, Singapore
DAKAR, Nov 14 (Reuters) - Niger has missed payments on interest and capital totalling 187.136 billion ($304 million) CFA francs since a July coup and its suspension from regional financial markets, data from the West African regional debt management agency showed on Tuesday. The West African monetary union debt management agency UMOA Titres said in a statement on Tuesday that the country had missed another interest payment of around 2.464 billion CFA francs ($4 million) on its debt. "This payment incident occurs in a context where the State of Niger is subject to sanctions taken against it by the conference of heads of state and government of the West African Economic and Monetary Union," the agency said. Niger has been suspended from the regional financial market, and the regional central bank by the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) and the West African monetary union following a military coup in July that ousted President Mohamed Bazoum. ($1 = 615.5300 CFA francs)Reporting by Bate Felix; Editing by Andrew Heavens and Bernadette BaumOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: UMOA Titres, Mohamed Bazoum, Bate Felix, Andrew Heavens, Bernadette Baum Organizations: CFA, West, West African Economic, Monetary Union, Economic, West African States, ECOWAS, Thomson Locations: DAKAR, Niger, State
Cash from money market funds and other eligible firms flowing into the Fed's reverse repo facility stood at $993.3 billion on Thursday, which was the first time flows fell under the $1 trillion mark since Aug. 10, 2021. Until fairly recently, Fed efforts to pull liquidity out has had only a modest impact on the reverse repo inflows, which had held above $2 trillion per day until mid-June. J.P. Morgan economists said Thursday that reverse repo balances "should decline further" given what's happening with Treasury debt offerings. The accelerating decline of the reverse repo facility has fueled questions about how far the Fed has left to go on shrinking the size of its balance sheet. They project reverse repo levels will stand at $700 billion at that point.
Persons: Cash, Morgan, Michael S, Daniel Wallis, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Fed, Thomson
After traveling around Israel and the West Bank, I now understand why so much has changed. It is crystal clear to me that Israel is in real danger — more danger than at any time since its War of Independence in 1948. Last Saturday night, a retired Israeli Army commander stopped by my hotel in Tel Aviv to share his perspective on the war. Consider this context: “According to Israel’s official Central Bureau of Statistics, at the end of 2021, 9.449 million people live in Israel (including Israelis in West Bank settlements), the Times of Israel reported last year. Let me not mince words, because the hour is dark and Israel, as I said, is in real danger.
Persons: I’ve, , Vladimir Putin, Biden, Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu, Kiryat Shmona, Kibbutz, Liat Admati, “ Mahmoud, , he’d, , Yoav Gallant, Netanyahu, Israel’s, Biden —, Ron Scherf Organizations: West Bank, Yemen —, West Bank —, U.S, Israeli Army, Iranian, Hamas, Sunday, The Times, ABC News, Central Bureau of Statistics, Palestinian, Statistics, West Bank Palestinian, West, Palestinian Authority, Brothers Locations: Tel Aviv, Israel, America, U.S, Independence, Iraq, Yemen, Jerusalem, Hamas, Gaza, United States, Israeli, Kiryat, Lebanon, Kibbutz Be’eri, Be’eri, Mefalsim, “ Israel, West Bank, Netanyahu Israel
Please refresh the page if you do not see a player above at that time.] Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks Thursday to a monetary policy panel presented by the International Monetary Fund. The U.S. central bank leader's remarks follow a Fed decision last week to hold benchmark policy rates at their current level, in a target range between 5.25%-5.5%. However, Powell has cautioned that should inflation persist, he won't hesitate to push for higher rates. In fact, markets expect the Fed to start cutting in 2024, possibly as soon as June.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Read, Jamie Dimon Organizations: International Monetary Fund, The, Federal, CME, CNBC, YouTube Locations: The U.S, U.S
Federal Reserve policymakers will have to hold interest rates higher than they think over the long term, according to Goldman Sachs. Even after the central bank starts cutting, which markets expect to happen in 2024, Goldman economists expect the Fed to have to hold its policy rate higher than it previously had indicated. However, Goldman said a variety of factors are lining up to make both the Fed's target and those of other global central banks unrealistic. Factors pushing policy rates up include high government deficits , investment in AI and carbon emission reductions and productivity increases from generative AI. Moreover, the ability of developed economies to keep growing in the face of higher rates also could diminish the need for cuts.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: Market, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Australian, Fed Locations: Canadian
That drop has helped fuel a stock rally that has given the S&P 500 (.SPX) and the Nasdaq (.IXIC) their longest streak of gains in two years through Wednesday's close at eight and nine sessions, respectively. Still, comments from several central bank officials over the past few days left the door open for additional hikes, causing some uncertainty among investors. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) fell 40.33 points, or 0.12%, to 34,112.27; the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 4.40 points, or 0.10 %, at 4,382.78; and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) added 10.56 points, or 0.08 %, at 13,650.41. Declining issues outnumbered advancers by a 1.3-to-1 ratio on the NYSE while on the Nasdaq declining issues outnumbered advancers by a 1.7-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P 500 posted 17 new 52-week highs and eight new lows while the Nasdaq recorded 53 new highs and 206 new lows.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Dow, we're, Jason Ware, Brendan McDermid, Jerome Powell, Chuck Mikolajczak, Richard Chang Organizations: Warner Bros, Nasdaq, Federal, Treasury, Albion Financial, Dow Jones, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, U.S . Food, Drug Administration, Warner Bros Discovery, Paramount Global, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S
A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. U.S. Treasury yields have retreated sharply from their recent highs. That drop has helped fuel a rally in stocks, sending the S&P 500 (.SPX) and the Nasdaq (.IXIC) to their longest streak of gains in two years through Tuesday's close. Still, comments from several central bank officials over the past few days left the door open for additional hikes, causing some uncertainty among investors. The S&P 500 posted 15 new 52-week highs and five new lows while the Nasdaq recorded 52 new highs and 173 new lows.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, we're, Jason Ware, Jerome Powell, Chuck Mikolajczak, Richard Chang Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Warner Bros, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Treasury, Fed, Albion Financial, Dow Jones, Warner Bros Discovery, Paramount Global, Tech, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Tuesday's
A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell did not comment on monetary policy in opening remarks to the U.S central bank statistics conference. On the earnings front, eBay <EBAY.O> shed 5.5% as the e-commerce platform forecast fourth-quarter revenue and profit below Wall Street estimates. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 1.31-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 1.08-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded 14 new 52-week highs and four new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 31 new highs and 75 new lows.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Armour, Peter Andersen, Michelle Bowman, Jerome Powell, Amruta Khandekar, Anil D'Silva, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Warner Bros, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Fed, Andersen Capital Management, Analysts, eBay, Wall, Warner Bros Discovery, Dow Jones, Rockstar Games, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Boston
The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD.P), which tracks the price of gold, has rallied 9.82% this year, driven by concerns about inflation and economic growth as well as geopolitical turbulence. Yet those gains have not been reflected in the share prices of gold miners: the iShares MSCI Global Gold Miners ETF (RING.O) and the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX.AX), which track the shares of gold producers, are up only 2.28% and 1.7% respectively. "Gold prices can only help so much, if you can't produce the gold in the first place," said Islam. Even Barrick Gold, which reported a 3% gain in gold production in the third quarter, said overall output in 2023 won't meet expectations. "Investors seem very wary of stocks as a whole, and gold miners have been tracking that rather than what's happening in gold itself," said Casanova.
Persons: Shannon Stapleton, Imaru Casanova, Casanova, Roxanna Islam, George Milling, Stanley, Suzanne McGee, Ira Iosebashvili Organizations: United States West Point Mint, REUTERS, Gold Miners, World Gold, Gold, Newmont Corp, State Street Global Advisors, Barrick, Thomson Locations: West Point , New York, Mexico
IMF upgrades China's 2023, 2024 GDP growth forecasts
  + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
People wait to board trains at the Shanghai Hongqiao railway station ahead of the National Day holiday, in Shanghai, China September 28, 2023. GDP growth could slow to 4.6% in 2024 because of continued weakness in China's property sector and subdued external demand, the IMF said in a press release, albeit better than its October expectation of 4.2% in the IMF's World Economic Outlook (WEO). The combination of the downturn in the property sector and local government debt crunch could wipe out much of China's long-term growth potential, economists say. Local debt has reached 92 trillion yuan ($12.6 trillion), or 76% of China's economic output in 2022, up from 62.2% in 2019. China should also develop a comprehensive restructuring strategy to reduce the debt level of local government financing vehicles (LGFVs), she said.
Persons: Aly, IMF's, Gita Gopinath, Gopinath, LGFVs, Joe Cash, Ryan Woo, Edmund Klamann, Christopher Cushing Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Monetary Fund, China's, Communist Party, Thomson Locations: Shanghai Hongqiao, Shanghai, China, Rights BEIJING, Gopinath
Ueda's intentions are based on interviews with six sources familiar with the BOJ's thinking, including government officials with direct interaction with the bank. "Given uncertainty over the economic outlook, the BOJ probably wants to wait at least until spring next year in normalising policy," said another source. If the yen continues to fall, that could heighten political pressure on the BOJ to exit sooner than it wants, some analysts say. The risk of sharp yen falls and an inflation overshoot may leave the BOJ with less time than it wants to exit. "The BOJ doesn't have much time left, a point governor Ueda is probably mindful of."
Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, Kuroda, it's, Robert Samson, Ueda hasn't, Hiromi Yamaoka, Leika Kihara, Anisha, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Japan, Kyodo, REUTERS, Bank of Japan, Nikko Asset Management, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, BOJ, YCC, TOKYO, U.S, Bengaluru
An aerial view shows an oil factory of Idemitsu Kosan Co. in Ichihara, east of Tokyo, Japan November 12, 2021, in this photo taken by Kyodo. Brent January crude futures rose 0.3%, or 28 cents, to $85.30 a barrel by 0330 GMT, after falling more than 1% on Tuesday. Brent December futures settled 4 cents lower at $87.41 a barrel at the contract's expiry on Tuesday. Interest rate hikes aimed at taming inflation can slow economic growth and reduce oil demand, while rate cuts to spur spending could increase oil consumption. The Fed, which will end its meeting on Wednesday, is expected to hold rates steady, according to a poll by CME's Fedwatch tool.
Persons: Brent, Edward Moya, CME's, Goldman Sachs, Antony Blinken, Mohi Narayan, Emily Chow, Jamie Freed Organizations: Kyodo, U.S . Federal Reserve, . West Texas, Treasury, Federal, Market, American Petroleum Institute, Central Bank, Bank of England, Israel, Thomson Locations: Idemitsu, Ichihara, Tokyo, Japan, DELHI, Israel, ., U.S, Europe, China, East, Gaza, New Delhi, Singapore
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