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A carry trade involves an investor borrowing a currency with low interest rates and reinvesting it in higher-yielding assets elsewhere — taking advantage of that differential to make a financial gain. Investors piled into yen carry trades in recent years, attracted by Japan's low volatility and ultra-loose monetary policy. Global stock markets meanwhile plunged as "safe haven" assets such as the Swiss franc and U.S. Treasurys were bolstered. "You can't unwind the biggest carry trade the world has ever seen without breaking a few heads," Kit Juckes, chief foreign exchange strategist at Societe Generale, said in a Monday note. Trichet told CNBC Tuesday: "The correction can be seen as a healthy correction, in some respects.
Persons: it's, Jean, Claude Trichet, CNBC's, Treasurys, Kit Juckes, Trichet Organizations: European Central Bank, ., Bank of Japan, U.S, Global, Swiss, Societe Generale, CNBC, Federal Locations: France's, U.S, Europe, United States
Investors are increasingly hopeful that will push Federal Reserve officials to come to their rescue with an emergency rate cut. But if something comes up in between those meetings that changes their views on the ideal level for rates, officials can gather for an unscheduled “emergency” meeting. By doing two large emergency cuts in succession, Fed officials didn’t have to weigh whether their actions would unnecessarily cause Americans to panic. Before those cuts, the last time the Fed was promoted to do an emergency rate cut was in the thick of the Great Recession shortly after Lehman Brothers collapsed in the fall of 2008. But he said he was “reluctantly” comfortable with an emergency cut since other central banks were doing it.
Persons: Austan Goolsbee, there’s, Lehman Brothers, ” Charles Plosser, , , That’s, Janet Yellen, ” Yellen, Plosser Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, Chicago Fed, New York Times, Philadelphia Fed, Bank of Canada, European Central Bank, Bank of England, San, Committee, Fed, Treasury Locations: New York
Some have called for emergency interest rate cuts this week as a result. The Federal Reserve has only cut rates off-cycle in extreme emergencies, like 9/11 and COVID-19. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Investors are panicking, and they're calling for the nation's central bank to cut interest rates over a month before the Fed's next meeting.
Persons: Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Investors, of Labor Statistics, Business
ETFs hold a collection of securities , like stocks or bonds, and so offer more diversification than a single asset. CNBC Pro asked Dennison for his top ETF picks that someone looking to invest $50,000 can buy and hold long-term. Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF Dennison says he's "very happy" with the Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF (AVDV-US). DFA Dimensional U.S. Small Cap Value ETF Another small-cap-focused ETF on Dennison's radar is the Dimensional US Small Cap Value ETF (DFSV-US), which owns companies that are "in corners of the market that are harder to reach." The Dimensional US Small Cap Value ETF is currently around 6% higher over the year to date.
Persons: Tariq Dennison, Dennison, he's, Spencer, Weizhen Tan, Ganesh Rao Organizations: Fidelity, GFM Asset Management, CNBC Pro, Value, U.S, Abercrombie, Fitch, Cadence Bank, Commercial Metals, JPM Global Equity, Global Equity, Arista Networks, Walmart, Deutsche Telekom, ASM International, Novo Nordisk, Vanguard Locations: U.S, Swiss, Dennison
With the stock market melting down, investors are scrambling for safety and ways to generate income. Treasury yields have also been falling as investors fled to safety, with the 10-year dropping more than 10 basis points earlier in the session. The move down in Treasury yields has Collin Martin, fixed income strategist at Schwab Center for Financial Research, shifting his outlook. "This is really attractive, especially considering that we have seen Treasury yields plunge so much," Martin said. Money needed in 12 months or less should be in a money market, he said.
Persons: Collin Martin, Martin, Barry Glassman, Glassman, Chuck Failla, Failla Organizations: Federal, Treasury, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Investment, Wealth Services, CNBC, Sovereign Financial Group
As turmoil swept through global financial markets on Monday, fueled by concerns that the economy is headed for a hard landing, investors began to speculate that the Federal Reserve could jump in to cushion the fallout with an emergency interest rate cut. The Fed considers emergency cuts — ones that occur outside of its regularly scheduled meetings — for extreme situations. Joblessness rarely rises sharply outside of an economic downturn. The data fueled serious concerns that Fed officials have fallen behind on adjusting their policy stance. The risk is that Fed policymakers might have choked off demand too much for too long, causing a slowdown in the labor market that will begin to snowball into wider economic pain.
Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: United States
The epicenter is Japan," Jim said during the Club's Morning Meeting. However, significant changes in the currencies can "force you to unwind the trade," Jim explained. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, we'll, Jim, Wells Fargo, we're, It's, Morgan Stanley, Stanley Black, Jim Cramer's, DOV Organizations: CNBC, Overseas, Nikkei, U.S ., U.S, Nextracker, Microsoft, Treasury, Energy, Uber Technologies, Caterpillar, Super Micro, Corp, NXT Locations: Japan, U.S, Dover, DuPont, Wells
Here's Jim Cramer's market sell-off playbook
  + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Ece Yildirim | In Ecedyildirim | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
watch nowCNBC's Jim Cramer shared his playbook for the brutal global market sell-off on Monday. Identify what's actually wrongAlthough the global sell-off hit U.S. markets hard, "the epicenter of the damage" was Japan, Cramer said. The sell-off started when Japan's stock market posted its worst drop since the stock market crash of 1987 known as Black Monday. The sell-off is sparked by money managers who think the Federal Reserve should have cut rates last week. Investors can also take advantage of the decline in interest rates and buy stocks that yield more than 4%, Cramer said.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Cramer, Blackwell, Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, you'd, Banks, Morgan Stanley, haven't, Harris, Biden Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Berkshire, Apple Locations: U.S, Japan
Investors are de-risking their portfolios amid recession fears, driving a stock-market sell-off. AdvertisementThe stock market's recession playbook is in full swing as suddenly panicked investors look to aggressively de-risk their portfolios amid fears of a downturn. Investors are questioning whether the Federal Reserve waited too long to cut interest rates and whether it's too late to fend off recession. AdvertisementDetailed below are four outperforming areas of the market that make it clear investors are employing the recession playbook:1. "Next's year's pricing makes sense if the US economy falls into recession and/or inflation tumbles below the Fed's 2% target," analysts said of the market's rate-cut expectations.
Persons: , it's, they've, David Sekera, David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Ned Davis Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Treasury, Bloomberg, Morningstar, Global, ETF, Rosenberg Research, Ned Davis Research
Why the stock market is freaking out again
  + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( David Goldman | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
The Dow tumbled more than 1,000 points at the open, and the broader market plunged 3% Monday. The Nasdaq, full of risky tech stocks, dropped 3.7%. Although that’s not in and of itself an unhealthy unemployment rate, its sudden march higher is alarming: Last year, the unemployment rate was at its lowest level since the moon landing. Traders are beginning to unwind big trades on Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Alphabet and other tech stocks that had been surging since the beginning of last year. Monday’s rout, if it ends at current levels, wouldn’t even crack the top 100 worst days in market history.
Persons: Dow, that’s, Goldman Sachs, That’s, Jeremy Siegel, , , Siegel, Stocks, it’ll, Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway Organizations: CNN, Nasdaq, Nikkei, Federal Reserve, of Labor Statistics, Citigroup, JPMorgan, CNBC, Traders, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Berkshire Locations: Wall
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementThe tech slide follows a dramatic sell-off in Asia, with Japan's main stock market index, the Nikkei 225, ending 12.4% lower and other AI heavyweights such as SoftBank slid hard. By the end of the year, the company expects to spend up to $40 billion on AI research and product development. That's because AI's been touted as a technology as revolutionary as the internet and smartphones by tech luminaries like Bill Gates. If others really start to believe that's the case, it could mark the beginning of the end for the AI rally.
Persons: , Jensen, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, SoftBank, Sundar Pichai, Susan Li, AI's, Bill Gates, Goldman Sachs, Jim Covello, Daron Acemoglu, it's, Blackwell, Elliott, Dan Ives Organizations: Service, Tech, Business, Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Nikkei, Google, Big, Investors, Meta, Elliott Management, Financial Times Locations: Asia
Data released Friday showed 114,000 jobs were created last month, far below a Dow Jones estimate of 185,000. The S & P 500, accounting for Monday's expected losses, will be down around 9% from its recent high. She sees support emerging for the S & P 500 around the 5,000 level, or another 6.5% from here. If market conditions get very dire in the meantime, there is a chance the Federal Reserve could step in, investors hope. "The fed funds rate right now should be somewhere between 3.5% and 4%," he said .
Persons: Dow Jones, Katie Stockton, There's, Stockton, CNBC's, Jeremy Siegel, They've Organizations: Nikkei, Federal, Wharton Locations: Japan, U.S
The global sell-off in equities could end up being a mere "growth scare," according to Fundstrat managing partner and head of research Tom Lee. The index, known as Wall Street's "fear gauge," has more than doubled to above 50 since Friday, when it stood at roughly 23. For his part, Lee has been one of Wall Street's more bullish market commentators . But Lee opined that the sharp spike in Wall Street's fear gauge may suggest that a return to investor confidence could be over the horizon. "We have over three days where suddenly markets reversed, [and] declines like that are generally symmetric but you have to watch the VIX," Lee said.
Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, CNBC's, Russell Organizations: Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Bank of, greenback Locations: U.S, Asia, Japan
More than 70 S & P 500 names are slated to report this week, including Disney and Caterpillar . Tuesday Uber Technologies is set to report earnings before the bell. This quarter: The ride-hailing giant is expected to report a 70% year-over-year increase in earnings, LSEG data shows. What history shows: Uber has beaten earnings expectations in six of the last seven quarters, according to data from Bespoke Investment Group. Wednesday Walt Disney is set to report earnings before the open.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Benjamin Black, Uber, Walt Disney, Wells, Steven Cahall, LLY, Eli Lilly's Organizations: Disney, Caterpillar . Pharmaceutical, behemoth, CNBC, Technologies, Investors, Autonomous Vehicle, Deutsche Bank, Investment, Caterpillar, JPMorgan Locations: California
Anything above 4% indicates the market is overbought, anything below a minus 5% means the market is oversold.) I am just prematurely predicting other investors fleeing the stock because they think Warren knows more than them. Many investors thought that Amazon was the best set up of the Mag Seven going into earnings. We are right smack in a most perilous moment because the Fed doesn't want to move too fast but the stock market does and the Fed does not care about that. I don't think a presidential election is all that conducive to the market.
Persons: Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Apple, Warren, That's, Buffett, Tim Cook, Cook, Carl Icahn, I'd, Donald Trump, don't, Jerome Powell, Meta, It's, Pat Gelsinger, Andy Grove, Gelsinger, Craig Barrett, that's, Pat, Let's, Mark Zuckerberg, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, of America, Apple, Microsoft, Bank of America, Amazon Web Services, Investors, Comcast, Walgreens, CVS, Federal, whimpers, Amazon, Nvidia, Meta, Intel, Lenovo, Dell, HP, CNBC, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Traders, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Friday's, China, , Wells, U.S, humorless, Taiwan, Brookfield, Arizona, NBCUniversal
Read previewHome flipping and the BRRRR method have been in the doghouse among much of the real-estate investing community over the last couple of years. As the Federal Reserve jacked up interest rates and home prices cooled off, warnings about the viability of these strategies abounded. But now, the popular strategies are due for a resurgence, according to Dave Meyer, BiggerPockets' housing market expert. Related storiesOne piece of evidence for this is that home flipping profits have generally been on the rise since the start of 2023 and jumped significantly in Q1 2024, according to real-estate data firm ATTOM. Further, he argues, the housing market is not as volatile as the stock market, and it's rare to see forced selling on a grand scale, he said.
Persons: , Dave Meyer, BiggerPockets, Meyer, he's bullish, there's, it's, Skylar Olsen, she's Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, ATTOM, Labor
The Federal Reserve now has egg on its face after it kept interest rates near a quarter-century high earlier this week. By now, there’s ample evidence that the job market, a key driver of the US economy, has lost steam. Here are three reasons to be worried about July’s shockingly weak jobs report — and one silver lining. Consumer demand itself also hasn’t weakened just yet, despite the highest interest rates in more than two decades. Generally, the Fed makes its decision congruent with what’s going on with inflation or the job market.
Persons: , July’s, , , Claudia Sahm, Sahm, Elizabeth Crofoot, Alicia Wallace, Jerome Powell, ” Crofoot, ” Michael Gapen, Matt Egan, weren’t, ” Truist’s Keith Lerner, they’ll, hasn’t, ” Chris Rupkey, Alan Blinder, Paul Krugman Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, Bloomberg, Bank of America, Dow, Nasdaq, Wall, Investors, Labor, Citigroup, JPMorgan Locations: New York, decelerate, American
Warren Buffett walks the floor and meets with Berkshire Hathaway shareholders ahead of their annual meeting in Omaha, Nebraska on May 3rd, 2024. Berkshire Hathaway 's cash pile swelled to a record $276.9 billion last quarter as Warren Buffett sold big chunks in stock holdings including Apple . The Omaha-based conglomerate's cash hoard jumped significantly higher from the previous record of $189 billion, set in the first quarter of 2024. For the second quarter, Berkshire's operating earnings, which encompass profits from the conglomerate's fully-owned businesses, enjoyed a jump thanks to the strength in auto insurer Geico. Operating earnings totaled $11.6 billion in the second quarter, up about 15% from $10 billion a year prior.
Persons: Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, Tim Cook, Buffett, I've Organizations: Berkshire Hathaway, Berkshire, Apple, Oracle, Buffett, Bank of America, Federal Reserve, Dow, Industrial Locations: Omaha , Nebraska, Omaha, Berkshire
The S & P 500 ended the week down by 2%. As of Friday, the Nasdaq Composite was more than 10% below its recent high, while the S & P 500 was down by 5.7%. Markets were last pricing in a 71% chance of a half percentage point rate cut in September, up from 22% on Thursday, according to the CME FedWatch Tool . Brands , Fidelity National Information Services , Uber Technologies , Marathon Petroleum , Caterpillar Wednesday Aug. 7 3 p.m. Consumer Credit (June) Earnings: Costco Wholesale , Warner Bros. Discovery , Occidental Petroleum , Ralph Lauren , CVS Health , Hilton Worldwide Holdings , Walt Disney Company Thursday Aug. 8 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Stocks, payrolls, Bill Hornbarger, Benjamin F, Edwards, Russell, Claudia Sahm, selloff, Michael Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler, Kantrowitz, Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs, Hatzius, CNBC's, Eli Lilly, Ralph Lauren, Martin Marietta Organizations: Nasdaq, Treasury, Investors, Federal Reserve, Walt Disney Company, Caterpillar, Costco, Micro Computer, PMI, PMI Services, Services PMI, Simon Property Group, Diamondback Energy, Tyson Foods, Devon Energy, Airbnb, Wynn Resorts, TransDigm, Brands, Fidelity National Information Services, Uber Technologies, Marathon Petroleum, Consumer Credit, Costco Wholesale, Warner Bros, Discovery, Occidental Petroleum, CVS Health, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Gilead Sciences, Akamai Technologies, News Corp, Paramount Global, Expedia, Martin, Martin Marietta Materials Locations: Fortinet, Devon
Technical signals suggest downside is limitedThere isn't much evidence that poor-performing areas of the market, like small-cap stocks, have peaked, Newton said. Meanwhile, Treasury yields have fallen in recent months as traders anticipate Fed rate cuts, which is typically bullish for stocks, he added. Advertisement"Thus, looking to buy dips makes sense technically," he said, adding that small-cap stocks looked "certainly appealing" after their recent slide. Fed rate cuts will mark a turning point in the marketThat's because rate cuts are expected to ease borrowing costs across several sectors. Small-cap stocks are flashing bullish signalsThe Russell 2000 hit a 30-month high in July, something that's only happened nine times over the past 45 years.
Persons: Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee, , Tom Lee, who's, Mark Newton, Newton, I'm, Russell, That's Organizations: Tech, Service, Fed, Wall Street Locations: Wall
The big storyFor saleGetty Images; Jenny Chang-Rodriguez/BIOne of Tesla's biggest assets is its willingness to try new things, but its unique approach to sales is also what's giving it headaches. AdvertisementA key issue is Tesla's inability to evolve its sales tactics as the EV market rapidly changes . Business Insider's Grace Kay spoke to more than a dozen current and former employees in Tesla's sales division about how the company has tried to kick-start its sales unit . Not unlike its cars, Tesla's sales approach is innovative compared to the rest of the automotive industry. It's a great strategy when the cars sell themselves — which Teslas did for a while — since you don't need to maintain a traditional sales structure.
Persons: , Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, It's, Elon Musk, Insider's Grace Kay, There's, Teslas, Justin Sullivan, Fintechs, chatbots, Rebecca Zisser, Goldman Sachs, James Knightley, Andy Jassy, Mike Blake, Chelsea Jia Feng, Venu, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Annie Smith, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, EV, Tech, Citadel, ING Economics, Big Pharma, Pfizer, Novo Nordisk, Department of Labor, Chevron, ExxonMobil Locations: New York, London
Club stocks Broadcom was down and Advanced Micro Devices was actually up. Sign up for my Top 10 Morning Thoughts on the Market email newsletter for free (See here for a full list of the stocks at Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.
Persons: Apple, Hess, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Nasdaq, Amazon, Intel, Apple, Nvidia, Broadcom, Devices, Coterra Energy, Exxon, Club, Natural Resources, Chevron, Revenue, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: U.S, Central, Guyana, Texas, California
Jim Cramer said Friday the Fed should have cut at this week's meeting. Those were in place with AMD because Jim Cramer mentioned the stock on CNBC TV over the past 72 hours. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Dow Jones, here's, Eli Lilly, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Fed, Bond, chipmaker Broadcom, AMD, Palo Alto, Nvidia, Wynn Resorts, Disney, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: U.S, DuPont, Dover, Wells
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPutin’s Trader: How Russian hackers stole millions from U.S. investorsRussian oligarch Vladislav Klyushin was the owner of a cybersecurity company in Moscow called M-13, but the firm was secretly a front for a hacking and insider trading operation that plagued Wall Street for years, generating more than $90 million in illicit profits. With exclusive access to the investigators who chased Klyushin around the globe, and an interview with a former Russian spy, CNBC’s Eamon Javers reveals the shocking details of this audacious criminal enterprise.
Persons: Russian oligarch Vladislav Klyushin, Klyushin, CNBC’s Eamon Javers Locations: Russian, Moscow
CNBC's Jim Cramer examined Thursday's market action, attributing the day's brutal sell-off to the Federal Reserve's decision to hold rates steady instead of making a cut. "To me, today's terrible action in stocks was a function of the Fed not cutting rates yesterday," he said. Although Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated a rate cut was "on the table" in September, many on Wall Street feared that would be too late. The "soft economy" is new, he added, saying last year at this time Wall Street criticized the Fed for being unable to tame inflation. "I have better things to do with my time than lambaste a Fed chief for conceivably letting the economy wither for seven more weeks," Cramer said.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, they've, Jerome Powell, Russell, Cramer, lambaste, Powell Organizations: Federal, Wall, Investors, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, Fed
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