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Gold holds ground on dovish Fed-speak, Mideast concerns
  + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Gold prices steadied on Tuesday after surging to a record high in the previous session, following broadly dovish comments from U.S. Federal Reserve officials and escalating tensions in the Middle East. Bullion hit a record high of $2,635.29 on Monday. "Gold prices continue to be well-supported amid a series of dovish Fed rhetoric overnight," said IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong. Chicago Fed Bank President Austan Goolsbee said there are "lots of cuts" to come over the next 12 months, while Fed President Neel Kashkari noted that the actual path would depend on incoming data. "Tensions in the region will likely be kept high for longer, which could see gold prices retain its bullish bias."
Persons: Yeap Jun Rong, Austan Goolsbee, Neel Kashkari Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Chicago Fed Bank, Hezbollah Locations: U.S, ., Israel, Lebanon
After the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a bumper 50 basis points , investors have been left wondering whether growth or value stocks are the best bet. On CNBC's upcoming Pro Talks , Silvia Amaro will ask value investor Sean Peche where he sees opportunities in the current market. Peche is portfolio manager at the U.K.-based Ranmore Fund Management and manages its $329 million Ranmore Global Equity Fund . As of Aug. 31, the Ranmore Global Equity Fund has returned 21.6% over the last year, underperforming its benchmark MSCI World Index's 24.4%. CNBC Pro subscribers can watch Pro Talks live on Wednesday, Sept. 25, at 7 a.m.
Persons: Silvia Amaro, Sean Peche, He'll, Warren Buffett, Eli Lilly, ager, CNBC's Silvia Amaro Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Ranmore Fund Management, Global Equity Fund, Investors, Ranmore, Equity, Petrobras, Baidu, ABN Amro, Ranmore Global Equity Fund, Decillion Fund Management, Orbis Investment Advisory, CNBC, Beyond Locations: Carrefour, China, U.S, London
September is a historically weak month for stocks, but the first U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut in four years meant that markets have mostly bucked the trend so far. The S & P 500 has risen around 1% month-to-date, and jumped about 8% since the end of June when stocks went through much volatility. But risks such as the U.S. election, inflation and geopolitical conditions raise the question of what the path ahead will be like for stocks. "In my view, the banking sector could win ... as should solid growth stocks – at reasonable valuations – in the healthcare and software sectors," he added. Valuations in the U.S. market look "less demanding" — if you exclude Big Tech, mega-growth stocks, which are dragging up the overall price-to-earnings multiple of the S & P 500, Webber added.
Persons: David Bianco, Simon Webber, Schroders, Webber Organizations: U.S . Federal, Equity, Big Tech, CNBC Pro Locations: DWS, U.S
A Chinese flag in Pudong's Lujiazui Financial District in Shanghai, China, on Sept. 18, 2023. Asia-Pacific markets opened lower Monday as investors assessed monetary policy decisions from Japan and China on Friday after U.S. Federal Reserve's sharp rate cut sent markets higher last week. Despite growing calls for lower interest rates, the People's Bank of China unexpectedly left its key benchmark rate on hold on Friday. The Reserve Bank of Australia starts its two-day policy meeting on Monday, where central bankers will decide on the country's monetary policy path on Tuesday. Overall year-on-year CPI is expected to have cooled to 2.15%, compared to 2.40% the previous month
Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, People's Bank of China, Reserve Bank of Australia Locations: Lujiazui, Shanghai, China, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Federal, Singapore
Oil edges up following U.S. rate cut move, geopolitical concerns
  + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices gained slightly during early trade on Monday, boosted by concerns conflict in the Middle East may impact supply in the key producing region and expectations the U.S. interest rate cut last week will support demand. Both contracts rose in the previous session on support from the U.S. interest rate cut and a dip in U.S. supply in the aftermath of Hurricane Francine. Last Wednesday, the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates by half a percentage point, a larger decrease in borrowing costs than many expected. Interest rate cuts typically boost economic activity and energy demand, but analysts and market participants are concerned the central bank may see a slowing job market. "Sentiment was buoyed by the Fed's rate cut amid hopes it can engineer a soft landing for the economy," said ANZ.
Persons: Hurricane Organizations: Brent, U.S . Federal Reserve, ANZ Locations: Houston , Texas, Israel, Iranian, Iran, Lebanon
LONDON — European stocks are expected to start the week in positive territory as global markets continue to react positively to the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate cut last week. The U.K.'s FTSE index is seen opening 46 points higher at 8,245, Germany's DAX up 87 points at 18,810, France's CAC 40 up 40 points at 7,359 and Italy's FTSE MIB up 169 points at 33,821, according to data from IG. Global markets continue to trade higher following the Fed's 50-basis-point cut last week, its first cut in four years. Asia-Pacific markets were mostly higher overnight as investors digested monetary policy decisions from Japan and China as well as the Fed's sharp cut. Dow futures were near flat Sunday night after enthusiasm for last week's interest rate cut propelled the blue-chip index to a record closing level.
Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: U.S, CAC, IG, Global, Dow Locations: U.S . Federal, Asia, Pacific, Japan, China
The move they made is a big cut," SlateStone Wealth's Kenny Polcari told CNBC's " Street Signs Asia " on Sept. 19. Calling it a "crisis level cut," he added that "people [are] scratching their heads, going, what's it really mean?" Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stressed that the big rate cut does not signal that the risk of a recession is elevated. According to FactSet data, of the 20 analysts covering the stock, 18 give it a buy or overweight rating, while two have a hold rating. Biotech play Another stock Polcari is bullish on is biopharmaceutical player Amgen , given its pipeline of new products .
Persons: Kenny Polcari, CNBC's, Jerome Powell, Polcari, Amgen, — CNBC's Sean Conlon Organizations: U.S, Biotech, U.S . Food, Drug Administration, Euronext, Nasdaq, Nvidia Locations: Federal, U.S, Amgen, Euronext Amsterdam, Dutch, ASML
Here's where to invest $1 million, according to the pros
  + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
If you had as much as a spare $1 million to invest right now, what should you buy? Balanced-to-medium risk profile With as much as $1 million to invest with, investors can buy individual securities instead of being restricted to funds, said David Dietze, managing principal and senior portfolio strategist at Peapack Private Wealth Management. "A much smaller amount leaves an investor forced to invest in funds to get adequate diversification. With one million, one could say invest $20K in fifty different stocks and be well diversified," he said. More aggressive risk profile Gambles says that taking on a more aggressive stance would mean an "all in commitment" on the themes he expects will perform, and removing any hedges against those trades.
Persons: Paul Gambles, David Dietze, Dietze, Bristol Myers, Gambles Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, CNBC Pro, Family, Yen, Wealth Management, Bristol, BHP Group, Hershey, BHP Locations: China, Australian
Khurana thinks what has made boomers the wealthiest generation — stocks and housing — also makes them a risk to economic stability. AdvertisementSuch a scenario is an '"underappreciated risk," he said, given how much boomers' spending habits have fueled economic growth in recent years. The demographic spends around $548 billion a year, more than any other generation, according to a report from marketing research firm Epsilon. AdvertisementBroken down by each generation's holdings of property and stocks, boomers accounted for 42% of all real estate ownership and 54% of all corporate equity and mutual fund ownership. That's not to say boomers will cause the next recession, but the risk during a recession is dialed up under the current paradigm, Khurana said.
Persons: , America's, Brij, Khurana, boomers, they've, John Hussman, That's Organizations: Service, Wellington Management, Business, McKinsey & Company, New York Fed, Epsilon, New, Boomers, Federal Reserve, Governors Boomers, Governors Locations: New, New York, Florida and Texas
The Japanese flag flutters over the Bank of Japan (BoJ) head office building (bottom) in Tokyo on April 27, 2022. The Bank of Japan kept its benchmark interest rate steady at "around 0.25%" — the highest rate since 2008 — at the conclusion of a two-day meeting Friday. Japan's economy has recovered moderately, the central bank said in its official statement, while acknowledging "some weakness has been seen in part." BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said last month that the central bank would continue to raise interest rates if the economy and inflation stayed in line with the central bank's projection. On Thursday, The U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points to a range of 4.75% to 5.0%.
Persons: BOJ, Kazuo Ueda Organizations: Bank of Japan, The Bank of Japan, Nikkei, U.S . Federal Reserve Locations: Tokyo
It also means lots of talk from the experts about "normalizing the yield curve" in the bond market — meaning getting back to a setup where bonds with longer maturities yield higher rates than those with shorter-term maturities. That's referred to as "yield curve inversion," which has historically signaled an upcoming recession. Currently, however, the yield curve looks more like a check mark than a gradually rising hill. An inverted Treasury yield curve messes with that dynamic. Everyone, from private citizens to multinational corporations benefits from a normalized yield curve because normal means less uncertainty, which means more predictability.
Persons: Jerome Powell, shouldn't, Stanley Black, Decker, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, William McChesney Martin Jr, Anna Moneymaker Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Treasury, CNBC, Federal, Getty Locations: U.S, Washington , DC
HSBC in a Sept. 17 report examined the relationship between Fed rate cuts and copper and aluminum prices over the past 30 years. In its base case, Citi sees copper prices averaging $9,000 per ton for the rest of this year, citing U.S. election uncertainty and weak manufacturing sentiment. Energy Citi anticipates that oil will suffer renewed price weakness in 2025, with Brent falling to around $60 a barrel. Based on what happened in 2019, trade tariffs lowered global oil demand growth by 0.2 million barrels a day. A slowdown in China, among the world's largest importer and consumer of oil, has been blamed on slowing global oil demand.
Persons: annualized, it's, that's, Brent Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Citi, HSBC, Commodities, Energy Citi Locations: China, U.S, Europe, Iran
Yen nurses losses as BOJ meets, dollar dogged by rate outlook
  + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Japanese 10,000 yen, left, and US 100 dollar banknotes arranged for a photograph in Tokyo, Japan, on Friday, May 10, 2024. It has been a tough week for the yen, with the euro gaining 2.2% to 159.46 as speculators booked profit on recent long yen positions. The dollar was up 1.4% for the week at 142.84 yen , though off an overnight high of 143.95. "As such, there is scope to further raise the policy rate while keeping financial conditions accommodative," she said. "The recent financial market ructions and the upcoming Liberal Democratic Party election may make the BOJ more cautious about raising."
Persons: Samara Hammoud, Kazuo Ueda, Sterling Organizations: Bank of, U.S ., CBA, 25bp, Liberal Democratic Party, U.S Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Bank of Japan, Samara, China, U.S . Federal, Bank of England
Shoppers on the high street in the Kingston district of London, U.K.LONDON — European markets were poised to open lower Friday as investors digested a slew of central bank rate decisions this week and their impact on the global economy. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 was seen opening 41 points lower at 8,291, Germany's DAX down 59 points at 18,939, France's CAC 2 points lower at 7,604 and Italy's FTSE MIB down 124 points at 33,913, according to IG data. The regional Stoxx 600 closed higher Thursday, after the U.K.'s Bank of England and Norway's Norges Bank both held rates steady, drawing a contrast with the U.S. Federal Reserve's bumper rate cut a day prior.
Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: LONDON, CAC, Bank of England, Norway's Norges Bank, U.S Locations: Kingston, London, U.S . Federal
Bank of England holds interest rates steady after August cut
  + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Commuters cycles past the Bank of England (BOE), left, in the City of London, UK, on Monday, Sept. 16, 2024. The central bank's Monetary Policy Committee's interest rate decision is scheduled for release on Sept. 19. LONDON — The Bank of England on Thursday said it would hold interest rates steady following its initial cut in August, even after the U.S. Federal Reserve opted for a jumbo rate cut the day before. The Monetary Policy Committee voted by 8 to 1 to hold, with the dissenting member voting for a 0.25 percentage point cut. Many strategists had expected a smaller 25 basis point cut at the September meeting, despite market pricing through this week pointing to more than 50% probability of the more aggressive option.
Persons: BOE Organizations: Bank of England, City of, LONDON, U.S . Federal, Monetary, U.S . Federal Reserve Locations: City, City of London, U.K
'I was surprised': S&P economist on the Fed's bumper rate cut
  + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'I was surprised': S&P economist on the Fed's bumper rate cutSatyam Panday, chief economist at S&P Global Ratings, says it's clear the U.S. Federal Reserve doesn't want to get behind the curve.
Persons: Satyam Panday Organizations: Satyam, U.S . Federal
Hong Kong central bank cuts interest rate, tracks Fed move
  + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
People wearing face masks walk by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority on March 4, 2020 in Hong Kong. HKMA said the U.S. interest rate cut will have a positive impact on the economy of the Asia financial center and will provide some room for easing of local interest rates. "In Hong Kong, our financial and monetary markets have continued to operate in a smooth and orderly manner. "The rate cut cycle has just begun, interest rates will remain at relatively high level in the foreseeble future. The public should carefully assess and continue to manage the interest rate risk when making property purchase, mortgage or other lending decisions," Lee added.
Persons: HKMA, Howard Lee, Lee Organizations: Hong Kong Monetary Authority, Hong, HK, U.S ., U.S . Federal Reserve, Hong Kong Locations: Hong Kong, United States, U.S, Asia
Trump says Fed's rate cut was 'political move'
  + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Republican presidential nominee and former U.S. President Donald Trump holds a rally at Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum, in Uniondale, New York, U.S., September 18, 2024. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump said on Thursday the U.S. Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates by half of a percentage point was "a political move." Most people thought it was going to be half of that number, which probably would have been the right thing to do," Trump said in an interview with Newsmax. The Federal Reserve on Wednesday kicked off what is expected to be a series of interest rate cuts with an unusually large half-percentage-point reduction. Trump said last month that U.S. presidents should have a say over decisions made by the Federal Reserve.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump Organizations: Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Republican, U.S, U.S . Federal, Newsmax, Federal Reserve, Senate, Fed Locations: Uniondale , New York, U.S, U.S .
Ray Dalio, Bridgewater Associates co-chairman and co-chief investment officer, speaks during the Skybridge Capital SALT New York 2021 conference. Brendan McDermid | ReutersAs the U.S. Federal Reserve implemented its first interest rate cut since the early Covid pandemic, billionaire investor Ray Dalio flagged that the U.S. economy still faces an "enormous amount of debt." The central bank's decision to cut the federal funds rate by 50 basis points to a range of 4.75% to 5%. On Wednesday, Dalio listed debt, money and the economic cycle as one of the top five forces influencing the global economy. The country's central bank only recently lifted interest rates in March this year.
Persons: Ray Dalio, Brendan McDermid, CNBC's, Dalio, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: Bridgewater Associates, Reuters, U.S . Federal Reserve, Federal, U.S . Treasury Department Locations: U.S, Japan
Anna Moneymaker | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. By contrast, the prevailing sentiment among experts was that a 25-point cut was more likely, according to a CNBC survey. And he was likely aware that a bigger-than-usual cut might connote that the Fed's worried about the economy. "I don't see anything in the economy right now that suggests that the likelihood of a recession, sorry, of a downturn, is elevated," Powell said.
Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Anna Moneymaker, Jerome Powell's, Powell, , Jeff Cox, Yun Li, Hakyung Kim, Samantha Subin Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Locations: Washington , DC
Anna Moneymaker | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. By contrast, the prevailing sentiment among experts was that a 25-point cut was more likely, according to a CNBC survey. And he was likely aware that a bigger-than-usual cut might connote that the Fed's worried about the economy. "I don't see anything in the economy right now that suggests that the likelihood of a recession, sorry, of a downturn, is elevated," Powell said.
Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Anna Moneymaker, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Jeff Cox, Yun Li, Hakyung Kim, Samantha Subin Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, Getty, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Locations: Washington , DC
Bank of England in the City of London as economists and mortgage holders await this week's interest rate announcement on 28th July 2024 in London, United Kingdom. LONDON — European markets were poised to open higher as investors digested the U.S. Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut in four years and looked ahead to the Bank of England's rate decision later in the session. Back in Europe, investor attention is now turning to the Bank of England, with the central bank largely expected to hold rates steady at 5%. The Fed's jumbo rate cut is unlikely to impact the Bank of England, according to economists, as the central bank ratified its decision around lunchtime Wednesday, hours before the U.S. announcement. Also on Thursday, Norway's central bank will deliver its latest interest rate decision.
Persons: Germany's DAX, Tiina Lee, CNBC's Organizations: of England, City of, LONDON, . Federal, Bank of, FTSE, France's CAC, Fed, Bank of England, Citi UK Locations: City, City of London, London, United Kingdom, ., Trading, Asia, Europe, U.S, Norway's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed's interest rate cut is an inflection point for real estate markets: HinesDavid Steinbach of Hines discusses the U.S. Federal Reserve's September interest rate cut and what this means for investor interest in the real estate market.
Persons: Hines David Steinbach, Hines Organizations: U.S, U.S . Federal Locations: U.S .
Gold holds ground after Fed's oversized rate cut
  + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold bars and gold coins of different sizes lie in a safe on a table at the precious metal dealer Pro Aurum. Gold prices held steady on Thursday after hitting a record high in the previous session, after the U.S. Federal Reserve delivered a super-sized interest rate cut. Spot gold was little changed at $2,562.85 per ounce, as of 0319 GMT after scaling a record high of $2,599.92 on Wednesday. Powell, however, said the economy remained strong, with many job market indicators like unemployment claims and even the current 4.2% unemployment rate not at worrying levels. Zero-yield bullion tends to be a preferred investment in a lower interest rate environment and during geopolitical turmoil.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Kelvin Wong, OANDA's Organizations: Aurum, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, Asia, Traders Locations: ., Lebanon
Fed expected to cut key interest rateChair of the U.S. Federal Reserve Jerome Powell speaks at the U.S. Capitol in July. Bonnie Cash / Getty ImagesThe Federal Reserve is poised to cut its key interest rate for the first time since the onset of the Covid pandemic in 2020. But mixed signals from the economy have some Wall Street traders predicting it’s more likely that there will be a 0.5% cut. It’s for Prime members only, so you’ll have to sign up in time if you want to shop. And did you know that in addition to free shipping, members also get benefits like Prime Video and Grubhub+.
Persons: Sean “ Diddy ” Combs, Jerome Powell, Bonnie Cash, Hsu Ching, kuang, Cristiana Bársony, Arcidiacono, Gold, , , pagers, Sean ‘ Diddy ’ Combs, Combs, Mike Johnson, Trump, Donald Trump, Harris, Kamala Harris, Chuck Todd, Gisele Pelicot, Christophe Simon, I’m, don’t, Annie Hill, Elizabeth Robinson Organizations: U.S . Federal, U.S, Capitol, CNBC, Fed, Consulting, Prosecutors, of, National Association of Black Journalists, Republicans, NBC, Trump, Polaris, University of North Texas Health Science, The, Getty, Amazon Locations: Lebanon, Taiwan, Iran, Israel, Hungary, Southern, of New, Springfield , Ohio, Gaza, Ohio, San Diego, Mazan, France, AFP
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