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☆ A researcher who studied Trump's plans to control the Fed said it could tank the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-29 | by ( Alice Tecotzky | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Economists at the Peterson Institute studied what would happen if Trump undermined Fed independence. The study's lead researchers dug into the economic impact of three of Trump's campaign promises: mass deportations, tariffs, and eroding Fed independence. Though Trump promises an America First economic agenda, McKibbin said that taking control of the Fed would get him the opposite results. AdvertisementHe doesn't think the public is paying enough attention to the risks of Trump's Fed proposals or the overall murkiness of the candidates' economic policy. "If you're going to advocate a policy, there has to be evidence as to why you're advocating that policy," McKibbin said.

Persons: Trump, —, Warwick McKibbin, McKibbin, Jerome Powell, Trump hasn't, they're, Kamala Harris, Harris Organizations: Peterson Institute, Fed, BI, Service, Federal, Peterson Institute of International Economics, Trump, PIIE, Business, Wall Street Journal, Biden Locations: China, Canada, Mexico, Australia, America

☆ China's massive stimulus is missing a key ingredient: a way to revive the nation's consumers
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-28 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

But the past week's stimulus blitz did not offer fiscal support to China's discouraged consumers. AdvertisementChina's latest stimulus blitz offers everything but one key fix: new incentives to revive consumers. While Tuesday's stimulus package didn't address fiscal support, Chinese officials appear to be getting around to it. Even if China commits to bigger fiscal support in the near term, it could be too late to change things this year, Huang said. For instance, Chinese consumers are staying away from new housing projects even as China has introduced looser mortgage rates and downpayment rules.

Persons: —, Liz Young Thomas, Tianlei Huang, Huang Organizations: Service, JPMorgan, Investment, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Reuters, Communist, Barclays, Bank of America Locations: China, Beijing

☆ Trump's policies would be 'very costly' to the U.S. economy, analyst says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrump's policies would be 'very costly' to the U.S. economy, analyst saysMary Lovely, Anthony Solomon senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, discusses the impact that Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump's economic policies and proposed tariffs are likely to have on the U.S. economy, saying they're "likely to be enacted to some extent and dangerous."

Persons: Mary Lovely, Anthony Solomon, Donald Trump's, they're Organizations: Peterson Institute for International Economics, Republican Locations: U.S

☆ Trump’s promises would spike inflation and wipe out jobs, study finds
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

The paper represents the most comprehensive analysis to date on the combined impact of Trump’s trade, immigration and Fed proposals. In that scenario, employment would be 9% lower than baseline by 2028 and inflation would surge to 9.3% by 2026. “So-called economists and experts doubted President Trump’s economic plans in his first term. That means the same factory workers Trump says he is trying to help would be hurt the most. Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who was nominated by Trump in 2017, cautioned against any effort to interfere with Fed independence.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, “, Warwick McKibbin, Megan Hogan, Marcus Noland, they’ll, ” Karoline Leavitt, Trump’s, Kamala Harris, Harris, ” Trump, McKibbin, Mark Zandi, ”, Jerome Powell, ” Powell, We’re Organizations: CNN, Republican, Federal Reserve, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Peterson Institute, Trump, Security, ”, Peterson, Moody’s, Bloomberg Locations: United States, China, America, Georgia, Michigan, outflows

☆ There's a new reason people feel bad about the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Juliana Kaplan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Read previewIt's official: The labor market vibes are not great. It's the largest tumble in sentiment since August 2021 — and workers' experiences with and expectations for the labor market are partially to blame. A weaker jobs market — although one that's still historically strong — is warping Americans' beliefs about the economy. Even so, though, it'll take a little while for new monetary policy to trickle into daily life and the labor market. Are you having trouble finding a job, or is the job market making you feel bad?

Persons: —, It's, Jerome Powell, Wells, Shannon Seery Grein, Jeremiah Kohl, Dana M, Peterson, it'll, Julia Pollak Organizations: Service, Conference, Business, Federal Reserve, Conference Board, Conference Board's, New York Federal Reserve's Survey, Consumer, Survey, Labor

☆ Trump is threatening tariffs on yet another business — and economists say it makes no sense
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Ana Altchek | Grace Eliza Goodwin | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Now, trade economists say Trump's latest trade threat makes no sense. I love the company, but as you know, they've announced a few days ago that they're going to move a lot of their manufacturing business to Mexico," Trump said at Monday's event. AdvertisementJohn Deere is the latest company to face a threat of tariffs from Donald Trump. It's not the first time Trump has threatened companies and Trump's threat to impose large tariffs on imports also isn't new. Trump's tariff goals going into the next election go beyond his former policy on international imports.

Persons: —, Donald Trump, John Deere, they've, Trump, Jonathan W, Coppess, Ian Sheldon, Sheldon, Gary Hufbauer, Hufbauer, Rick Wilking, he's, Trump's, we're, Nicole Bivens Collinson, Sandler, Travis, Rosenberg, Collinson, " Collinson, Kamala Harris Organizations: Service, Business, Fox Business, Republican, University of Illinois, Agricultural Marketing, Trade, The Ohio State University, Peterson Institute for International Economics Locations: Mexico, Smithton , Pennsylvania, Iowa, United States, University of Illinois Urbana, Champaign, Canada, North America, Central America, South America, Georgia, China

☆ Consumer confidence fell more than expected this month
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Jeff Cox | Jeff Cox Is A Finance Editor With Cnbc.Com Where He Covers All Aspects Of The Markets | Monitors Coverage Of The Financial Markets | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +2 min

The board’s Consumer Confidence Index slid to 98.7, down from 105.6 in August, the biggest one-month decline since August 2021. By contrast, the index had a reading of 132.6 in February 2020, a month before the Covid pandemic hit. Each of the five components the organization samples fared worse on the month, with the biggest fall coming among those aged 35-54 and earning less than $50,000. “Consumers’ assessments of current business conditions turned negative while views of the current labor market situation softened further. Consumers were also more pessimistic about future labor market conditions and less positive about future business conditions and future income,” said Dana Peterson, chief economist at The Conference Board.

Persons: Dow, ”, Dana Peterson, Stocks, ” Peterson Organizations: Conference Board, Treasury, Federal Reserve

☆ 10-year-old Texas student charged with 'terrorist threat' over hoax school shooting threat, police said
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Minyvonne Burke | Minyvonne Burke Is A Senior Breaking News Reporter For Nbc News. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +1 min

A 10-year-old student has been charged with felony terrorist threat for allegedly threatening to commit a school shooting at a Kerrville, Texas, middle school, police said Monday. School resource officers, working with district officials, began investigating and found that the 10-year-old made the social media posts as a hoax. Hal Peterson Middle School in Kerrville, Texas. Google MapsPolice said "no valid threat to Hal Peterson Middle School existed." Kerrville police said that making a school shooting threat is a felony offense and every threat will be taken seriously.

Persons: Hal, Hal Peterson Organizations: Kerrville Police, Hal Peterson Middle School, Hal Peterson Middle, Google, Police Locations: , Texas, Kerrville , Texas, Volusia County , Florida

☆ September consumer confidence falls the most in three years
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The board's Consumer Confidence Index slid to 98.7, down from 105.6 in August, the biggest one-month decline since August 2021. By contrast, the index had a reading of 132.6 in February 2020, a month before the Covid pandemic hit. "Consumers' assessments of current business conditions turned negative while views of the current labor market situation softened further. Consumers were also more pessimistic about future labor market conditions and less positive about future business conditions and future income," said Dana Peterson, chief economist at The Conference Board. The last time the confidence index dropped more came as inflation was just beginning a climb to what ultimately was the highest level in more than 40 years.

Persons: Dow, Dana Peterson, Stocks, Peterson Organizations: Conference Board, Treasury, Federal Reserve

☆ Americans are fretting over the job market
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

Washington CNN —America’s slowing job market is taking a toll on people’s moods. The Conference Board’s latest consumer survey showed that Americans became much more pessimistic about the US economy’s current health and the future of the job market. “September’s decline was the largest since August 2021 and all five components of the Index deteriorated.”The US job market is in decent shape, but it is clearly running at a much slower pace these days than it has in recent years. Peterson said the weaker-than-expected survey results “reflected consumers’ concerns about the labor market and reactions to fewer hours, slower payroll increases, fewer job openings — even if the labor market remains quite healthy, with low unemployment, few layoffs and elevated wages.”The job market’s fate is unclear. Employers might be holding back on hiring for two good reasons: Uncertainty over the upcoming US presidential election and the fate of interest rates, CNN previously reported.

Persons: ”, Dana Peterson, mightily, Peterson, Jerome Powell, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump Organizations: Washington CNN, Conference Board, Employers, Federal Reserve, CNN

☆ Trump's mass deportation plans could wreak havoc on the fight against inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Alice Tecotzky | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

But think-tank economists warned Business Insider that former President Donald Trump's proposed mass deportation could open that door right back up. Beyond posing significant humanitarian concerns, economists worry Trump's proposed mass deportation would be hugely inflationary, partly due to the basic calculations of supply and demand. Both he and Edelberg said a sudden mass deportation would upend the labor supply and, in turn, the ability to make goods. McKibbin has researched the impact of mass deportation and said it would lead to a combination of lower production and higher costs, particularly in the agriculture and construction sectors. Add on the uncertainty that mass deportation would bring, and a chilling effect among investors seems plausible.

Persons: —, Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris, Trump's, Wendy Edelberg, Warwick McKibbin, Edelberg, Adam Posen, Posen, McKibbin, Josh Bivens Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Trump, Business, Brookings Institution, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Peterson Institute, Bloomberg TV, Economic Policy Institute, Democratic

☆ South Korea is going big on American manufacturing. The Battery Belt could benefit the most.
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( John Towfighi | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Read previewSouth Korean companies are investing billions of dollars in the US to take advantage of two big laws meant to boost American manufacturing. A Financial Times analysis of United Nations data found South Korean companies invested $21.5 billion in US projects in 2023, more than any other country. Related storiesAnd South Korean investments span multiple states, mainly in the South. In the past decade, South Korean companies have created about 7,000 jobs in Texas and nearly 8,000 jobs in Indiana. Those provisions have incentivized South Korean companies to divert from China and focus more on the US.

Persons: —, Yeo, South, Biden, South Korea —, " Yeo, Joe Biden's Organizations: Service, United, Business, Samsung, LG, Hyundai, South, Peterson Institute for International Economics, EV, Financial, Kia, SK Hynix, Korea's Ministry of Trade, Industry, Energy, Wall Street, World Bank, Biden Locations: United Nations, South Korea, Taiwan, Southern, China, US, Georgia, South, Texas, Arizona, Indiana, Korea's

☆ John Banuelos: What to know about the Jan. 6 shooter arrested three years later
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Thomas Lake | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +33 min

He was still at large in July 2021, when he took part in a fight in Salt Lake City that left another man dead. He’d been living in a park in downtown Salt Lake City, and he’d decided to cook for his hungry new friends. The Salt Lake City Police Department also declined, even though its investigation into Senn’s death was complete. In recent years he appeared to split his time between Chicago and Salt Lake City. Mark Peterson/ReduxReturning to Salt Lake City by unknown methods, Banuelos resumed his frequent appearances in local police reports.

Persons: John Banuelos, ” “, ” — Derrick Evans, Banuelos, Christopher Senn, Victoria Thomas, “ Chris, ”, John, he’s, he’d, Chris Senn, John Banuelos Long, Chris, Chris ’, Gabe Hamilton, Thomas, Taylorsville, ” Christopher Senn, Victoria Thomas Chris, they’re, Randall, Talisha, Toro, “, ” Victoria, …, vaping, ” Banuelos, Michael Lawlor, George Floyd, Trump’s, I’m, Donald Trump, Mark Peterson, ‘ He’ll, ’, Senn, ‘ I’m, FBI hasn’t, John Banuelos “, Steven Parisot, Det, Weldon Wilson, ” Parisot, ” Wilson, Banuelos wasn’t, Sim Gill, … He’s, Gill, Rick Bowmer, ” Gill, that’s, “ Banuelos, Gary Wickersham, Rebecca Lavrenz, Grandma, Lavrenz, —, Derrick Evans, who’d, Evans, Will Price, ” Evans, “ …, hadn’t, Tanya Chutkan, Chutkan, Judge Chutkan, Trump, He’d, ” Chutkan, “ I’ve, Lawlor, ” Lawlor, ” Victoria Thomas, Victoria, Christopher Senn's, Victoria Thomas “, — Victoria Thomas, ” Randall Organizations: CNN, Capitol, FBI, Banuelos, Chicago Police Department, Independence, Salt Lake City —, U.S, Attorney’s, District of Columbia, Salt Lake City Police Department, DC, Federal Bureau of Prisons, Salt Lake City . Chicago Police Department, Police, U.S . Capitol, TRUMP, Trump, Salt Lake City, National Threat Operations Center, Vice News, Liberty, ” Police, KUTV, KSL, NBC, Army, Congress, West Virginia House, West, West Virginia Legislative, Justice Department Locations: Salt Lake City, Senn, Illinois, Liberty, Utah, Randall’s, Victoria, Salt Lake, Chicago, Burger, Washington, Banuelos, Salt Lake County, Colorado, West Virginia, ”, Salt, Valley, Provo , Utah

☆ China-Mexico freight traffic surges in Trump, Biden tariff era, as companies find ways to evade U.S. trade war
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Lori Ann Larocco | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +16 min

Patrick T. Fallon | AFP | Getty ImagesNew data shows a surge in trade between China and Mexico at a time of tough tariff talk during the presidential campaign. This nearshoring of manufacturing enables companies to change a product's origin of goods, also referred to as the "economic nationality" of a product. Data from freight analytics firm Xeneta shows China to Mexico container trade up by 26.2% from January to July 2024, after growing by 33% in 2023. Mexico is also a member of the Pacific Alliance, a trade bloc formed by Mexico, Chile, Colombia, and Peru. "Bilateral tariffs should be expected to lead to trade diversion, and that's exactly what happened in the aftermath of the trade war.

Persons: Patrick T, Fallon, Jordan Dethwart, Mary Lovely, Anthony Solomon, Simon Cohen, Peter Sand, Donald Trump, Trump, John Piatek, Biden, Piatek, Lovely, Moody's, Elon Musk, Musk, Tesla, Sand, Charles Van der Steene, Van der, Mexico —, Freightos, Erica York, York, Tim Robertson, Ian Arroyo, Arroyo, Saul Loeb Organizations: El, El Paso Sector, AFP, Getty, U.S, Companies, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Henco Logistics, European Union, European Free Trade Area, Pacific Partnership, Pacific Alliance, GEP, Motive, BMW, Ford, GM, Kia, gigafactory, Volvo, Pirelli, Michelin North America, Hyundai, SFK USA, Maersk, Bureau of Transportation Statistics, CNBC, United, Pacific, Port, U.S ., ITS Logistics, Tax, DHL Global, Dana, Afp Locations: El Paso, Mexico, New Mexico, Chihuahua, Sunland Park , New Mexico, China, Redwood Mexico, United States, Canada, U.S, Japan, Israel, Latin America, Chile, Colombia, Peru, USA, propping, Laredo , Texas, El Paso , Houston, San Diego, Monterrey, Fremont , California, Austin , Texas, Americas, Mexican, Monterrey . Mexico, East, lading, Maersk North America, Tijuana, El Paso , Texas, Pacific Coast Port, Lazaro, Laredo, Monterrey , California, U.S . West, U.S . East, Gulf, West Coast, Asia, Mexico City, Warren , Michigan

☆ The biggest threat to the US dollar is America's exorbitant debt load, JPMorgan says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

One of the main takeaways was that the biggest threats to dollar dominance are swelling US debt levels and fiscal deficits, which officials in Washington could step up to tackle. "The biggest challenge to US dollar dominance is the US itself given the mounting public debt levels and elevated fiscal deficits," JPMorgan said, in a note summarizing the webinar. For instance, many alarmists have focused on the dollar's share in foreign reserve holdings, often pointing out that the foreign central banks have piled into gold as an alternative. But this fixation omits the fact that bank deposits, sovereign wealth fund assets, and other dollar instruments have been on the rise among reserve holdings, JPMorgan said. "In China's case, it has had an explicit target to bring down dollar holdings in FX reserve but has shifted USD holdings to state-owned entities.

Persons: —, Peter G, Mark Sobel —, Trump, Sobel Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, US, Peterson Foundation, Treasury, Monetary, Financial, greenback Locations: Washington, China

☆ Americans Really Hate the so-so Economy, Worried About Recession
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Emily Stewart | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

We expected there to be a cooling labor market — that's kind of the goal — and it's always just, you know, how cool?" That being said, when it comes to the labor market … it is, in fact, so over. That's an improvement over July's 4.3% unemployment rate, but overall, the jobs market in the US is cooling off. Related stories"If you imagine a labor market like a bathtub, the bathtub is full," said Dana Peterson, the chief economist at the Conference Board. Despite the strong labor market, they're sending endless résumés into the ether without getting any bites, and they don't understand why.

Persons: I've, it's, Allison Shrivastava, Joanne Hsu, there's, Dana Peterson, Jaime, Alexis Fowler, she'd, That's, pang, Hsu, Michael Madowitz, Y, Peterson, We're, Emily Stewart Organizations: Federal, University of Michigan, Conference Board, Roosevelt Institute, Business

☆ Average base pay raises at larger corporations projected to be just under 4% next year
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-15 | by ( Jeanne Sahadi | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

New York CNN —Mostly large US corporations are projecting an average increase in their base pay budgets of 3.9% for next year, according to a new survey of 300 compensation leaders across 11 major industries from The Conference Board. That is lower than the 4.4% average increase they paid out in 2023, which marked a 20-year high for base pay raises. But it is a tick up from the 3.8% bump that companies were paying out this year, according to The Conference Board. Base pay budget increases are typically viewed as a proxy for the average raises employees may receive. Actual base pay increases next year may be different if economic and business conditions change.

Persons: Dana Peterson Organizations: New, New York CNN, The Conference Board, Conference Board, Base, ” Conference Board Locations: New York

☆ Why Trump’s trade hero turned against tariffs
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-14 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +15 min

Vice President Kamala Harris has lambasted Trump’s tariff plan as a tax, but President Joe Biden has maintained tariffs Trump put in place during his presidency. We used trade policy, or tariffs, as a form of reciprocity, where we said, OK, our tariffs are pretty high. So that’s what led to all these trade agreements, the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, GATT, which became the WTO (World Trade Organization), NAFTA (North American Free Trade Agreement) and other free trade agreements that we’ve reached. He began to entertain this idea of reciprocity, of trying to reduce foreign tariffs by offering cuts in our tariffs. How do those tariffs compare with the late 19th century tariffs?

Persons: CNN —, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Biden, Read, Douglas Irwin, Irwin, William McKinley —, Trump, IRWIN, there’s, It’s, we’ve, William McKinley WOLF, William McKinley, McKinley, they’ve, Bush, H.C ., William Jennings Bryan, that’s, they’re, it’s, Britain WOLF Organizations: CNN, Republicans, Democrats, Trump, Dartmouth College, Commerce, US Trade, Trade, WTO, World Trade Organization, American Free Trade, of Congress, University, Virginia’s, Federal, WOLF, Peterson Institute for International, Republican Party Locations: China, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Homestead , Pennsylvania, H.C, Buffalo, trillions, United States, it’s China, Britain, Japan

☆ Brain scans show teen girls aged 4 years faster than boys during COVID lockdowns. We asked the researcher what that means long-term.
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Julia Pugachevsky | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

AdvertisementThe average acceleration for teen girls was 4.2 years, compared to 1.4 for boys. It comes at a time when teen girls have seen a sharp rise in sadness and hopelessness, often attributed to social media use. The team measured cortical thinning, a natural process that usually begins in late childhood and is believed to improve cognitive performance. Cortical thinning isn't always negativeCorrigan said there's a lot we still don't know about cortical thinning, such as whether it's reversible. It's believed that the cortex thins to reduce the effect the environment has on brain development, Corrigan said.

Persons: —, COVID lockdowns, Dr, Neva Corrigan, Corrigan, It's, Bradley, Peterson Organizations: Service, University of Washington, Business, Children's Hospital Los, New York Times Locations: Children's Hospital Los Angeles

☆ Trump's tariff proposals would mean 'consumers are going to pay more,' says economist—here's why
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Ryan Ermey | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

But as a general rule, economists tend to agree that, for U.S. consumers, higher tariffs tend to mean higher prices. "They'll be buying things at higher prices than they otherwise would." Still, a number of organizations say that Trump's new tariff policy would have a negative tangible effect on American consumers' finances. Plus, financial experts say a more aggressive tariff policy could be viewed as a form of economic saber-rattling. It tends to lead to higher prices for consumers in both countries."

Persons: Trump, Howard Gleckman, Kamala Harris, Biden, Donald Trump, Harris, George Ball, Sanders Morris, Clark Bellin, Sam Millette Organizations: Urban, Brookings Tax Policy Center, CNBC, U.S, Trump, U.S ., American Progress, Peterson Institute for International, Commonwealth Financial Network Locations: China, U.S, —

☆ Trump likely wouldn’t need Congress to approve his most controversial trade policy
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

New York CNN —It’s easy to dismiss many presidential candidates’ campaign promises as empty, because Congress would need to approve them. Alex Durante, an economist at the Tax Foundation, a right-leaning think tank, told CNN that 100% tariffs would threaten the economy. It’s possible he is floating 100% tariffs as just a threat designed to change the behavior of other countries. ‘No question it’s inflationary’The Trump campaign did not provide an explanation to CNN about how Trump would implement 100% tariffs nor what the trigger would be. He said Trump’s tariff plan, if enacted, would risk setting off a market panic like former UK Prime Minister Liz Truss did in 2022.

Persons: New York CNN —, Donald Trump, Trump, ” Trump, “, you’re, ” Maury Obstfeld, Obstfeld, ” Obstfeld, Christine McDaniel, George W, Bush, ”, McDaniel, George Mason University’s, Alex Durante, ” Durante, Brian Hughes, ” Hughes, ‘, Harris, Kamala Harris, ” Kent Smetters, Smetters, Wharton “, it’s, ” Wharton, Liz, Joe Brusuelas, ” “ I’m, Joe Biden, Biden, Brusuelas, Liz Truss, Matt Priest, Trump’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Peterson Institute for International Economics, CNN, International Monetary Fund, Trump, United States Trade Representative, Commerce Department, Tax Foundation, University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, Penn Wharton Budget, Wharton, ABC, RSM, Democratic, Footwear Distributors, Retailers of America Locations: New York, Wisconsin, United States, China, Russia, “, American

☆ Fact check: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris debate on ABC News
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Cnn Staff | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +18 min

CNN —Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are facing off for the first time Tuesday during ABC’s presidential debate. “I had no inflation, virtually no inflation,” Trump said. Harris introduced herself by name and said, “Let’s have a good debate.” Trump responded: “Nice to see you. Have fun.” Saul Loeb/AFP/Getty Images Trump and Harris stand on stage at the start of the debate. “But understand if Donald Trump were to be elected, he will sign a national abortion ban.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Donald Trump’s, Trump, Katie Lobosco, MAGA, “, ” Trump, Daniel Dale, Tami Luhby, Chip Somodevilla, he’s, FactCheck.org, Steven Cheung, Cheung, Kaanita Iyer Trump, Joe Biden, ”, gotaways, Michelle Mittelstadt, Piper Hudspeth Blackburn, David Muir, Linsey Davis, Michael Le Brecht, Alex Brandon, Doug Mills, Pat Tuttle, George Walker IV, Saul Loeb, Tristen Rouse, CNN Harris, Win McNamee, Sheena Carey, Morry Gash, Matthew Hatcher, ” Saul Loeb, Roberto Schmidt, Andrew Thomas, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kennedy, Jim Lo Scalzo, Anthony Scaramucci, Olivia Troye, Matt Rourke, Hannah Beier, Lilly, Evelyn Hockstein, Matt Slocum, Kenny Holston, ” Harris, Noah Weinrich, Kaanita Iyer, Feedback Trump, John Roberts, Devan Cole Trump, Sen, JD Vance, ” Vance, Michael Williams Trump, United States –, Katie Lobosco Harris, –, Mike Pence, Rather, “ Joe Biden, Ella Nilsen Trump, Elisabeth Buchwald Organizations: CNN, Trump, Center for American Progress, Fund, CAP, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Center, CNN Trump, Breitbart News, Border Patrol, Biden, Patrol, Republicans, Migration, Institute, ABC News Trump, National Constitution Center, New York Times, Bloomberg, Getty Images, Getty, Pennsylvania Convention Center, People, Philadelphia International Airport, AFP, Philadelphia City Hall, Former Trump, Reuters, ABC, Force, Democratic, Convention, Leadership, Heritage, United States Supreme, White, City, Springfield News, Sun, Springfield Police, United States, US International Trade Commission, Treasury, Consumer, Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, United Kingdom, Venezuela, United States, Nashville , Tennessee, Washington ,, Washington , DC, Milwaukee, AFP, Springfield , Ohio, “, Springfield, City, China, American

☆ What Trump and Harris’ economic proposals mean for you
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

Here’s a look at what could happen to inflation, jobs and the deficit if Trump or Harris win in November. That, among other things, would keep the top tax rate individuals pay at 37% compared to 39.6% before it went into effect. Meanwhile, the tax proposals Harris has put forth so far mostly involve imposing higher taxes, which would have a positive impact on the deficit. For instance, she’s endorsed raising the top individual income tax rate to 44.6% and the top long-term capital gains tax rate to 28% versus the current 20%. Taken together, the Penn Wharton Budget model estimates Harris’ proposals could increase the deficit by an additional $1.2 trillion by 2034.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Goldman Sachs, Trump, Warwick McKibbin, Goldman, she’s, ”, Justin Wolfers, Kevin Dietsch, He’s, Elon Musk, She’s, Joshua Gotbaum Organizations: New, New York CNN, Labor Department, Trump, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Gross, University of Michigan, CNN, Federal Reserve, Treasury Department, Wharton Budget, Social Security, Penn, Wharton Budget Model, Penn Wharton Budget, Brookings Institution Locations: New York, United States, Penn

☆ China should focus on fighting deflationary pressure, former central bank governor says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-06 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Yi Gang was governor of the People's Bank of China from 2018 to 2023. He is pictured here speaking at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington, DC, US, on Saturday, April 15, 2023. SHANGHAI — China's policymakers need to focus on boosting domestic demand, Yi Gang, former head of the People's Bank of China, said Friday at the Bund Summit in Shanghai. "At this point, proactive fiscal policy and accommodative monetary policy are important," he said. In contrast to high inflation in the U.S. and Europe, China's consumer prices fell in 2023 and have only picked up marginally so far this year as domestic demand remains lackluster.

Persons: Yi Gang, Yi Organizations: People's Bank of, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Bund, Reuters Locations: People's Bank of China, Washington , DC, SHANGHAI, Shanghai, U.S, Europe

☆ The Trump policy that freaks out economists the most
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-05 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

New York CNN —Former President Donald Trump wants to spend trillions of dollars on tax cuts. “It’s enormously protectionist and terrible economic policy,” said Holtz-Eakin, who served as an economic adviser to former President George H.W. The cost of the Trump tax cutsTrump has called for extending his signature 2017 tax cuts, which expire next year if no action is taken by Congress. Trump has argued that extending the tax cuts will boost the economy, create jobs and help families. The Trump campaign has not detailed significant spending cuts or tax hikes to offset these tax cuts.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Goldman Sachs, Kamala Harris, Goldman, “, ” David Kelly, Kelly, “ It’s, ”, ’ Trump, Douglas Holtz, Eakin, Holtz, George H.W, Bush, GOP Sen, John McCain, Mark Zandi, ” Zandi, Karoline Leavitt, they’ll, ” Leavitt, Trump’s, ” Harris, “ Donald Trump, ” Brian Nelson, Harris, Kimberly Clausing, Mary Lovely, ” Trump, Joe Biden, Penn, Penn Wharton, The Trump, CNN’s Katie Lobosco Organizations: New, New York CNN, Asset Management, CNN, America, New York Economic Club, American, GOP, Moody’s, Trump, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Peterson Institute, US Customs, Louis Federal Reserve, Biden, Congress, Princeton University, University of Chicago, Harvard University, US Treasury Department, Penn Wharton Model, Social Security Locations: New York, United States, China, America

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