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☆ Here's what usually happens to stocks when the Fed cuts rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Any September decision to lower the Fed's target range would be the first time interest rates have fallen since the hiking cycle began in March 2022. However, stocks fell soon after the rate cut in 2001 and 2007 by 13.5% and 20.6%, respectively, due to the dotcom crash and the global financial crisis. The current tightening episode is the seventh in the past 40 years. Historically, the Fed has cut rates because the U.S. economy was heading into a recession or experiencing a notable growth slowdown. While nominal rates peaked at 11.5% at the end of the 1983-84 episode, the current target range of 5.25%-5.50% is the highest this millennium.

Persons: Kevin Kliesen, Louis Organizations: CNBC, CNBC Pro, Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of St Locations: U.S

☆ Stock market today: Nasdaq surges nearly 3% amid chip rally, dovish Fed comments
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Central bankers said they had more confidence inflation was back on track to 2%. Markets are pricing in a 100% chance of a rate cut in September, per the CME FedWatch tool. AdvertisementUS stocks surged on Wednesday, driven by a rally in the tech sector and dovish comments from the Federal Reserve. The second quarter's inflation readings have added to our confidence, and more good data would further strengthen that confidence," Fed Chair Powell said in prepared remarks. Markets are now pricing in with certainty that the Fed will cut rates in September, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

Persons: —, Powell, Philip Straehl, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Fed, Service, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Morningstar Wealth, AMD, Nvidia

☆ The 'Trump dump': The presidential hopeful causes deep stock losses in companies and industries he targets, researchers say
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Trump is sparking steep losses in areas of the market he's targeted, a group of researchers said. Researchers pointed to Trump's many "tantrums" against certain companies and sectors, which sparked sell-offs. AdvertisementThe market is in the midst of another "Trump Dump," a phenomenon where stocks see deep losses when the presidential hopeful targets them, according a group of researchers. Advertisement"As bad as turbulence has been, a second Trump term promises to be even more perilous for the stock market," they added, pointing to the potential consequences of Trump's economic policies. Other economists have criticized Trump's economic agenda.

Persons: Trump, —, Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, Whitney Tilson, Steven Tian —, Davidson, Powell, Donald Trump, Harris, Joseph Stiglitz Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Taiwan Semiconductor, Nasdaq, Clean Energy, Harley, Delta Airlines, Biden, Trump Locations: Taiwan, Trump's

☆ The market is flashing signs of a dangerous debt bubble with losses that could be 'contagious,' economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The market risks a harmful debt bubble, potentially spreading losses in the financial sector. Economist Dambisa Moyo warns of overvalued stocks driven by enthusiasm for artificial intelligence. AdvertisementThe stock market could be hosting one of the most harmful types of debt bubbles, with losses that risk spreading around the financial sector, according to one economist and investing veteran. But even more concerning is that the US could be seeing one of the most problematic types of bubbles, fueled by highly borrowed and "unproductive" assets, Moyo said. Losses from troubled companies also risk contaminating other areas of the market, Moyo added.

Persons: Dambisa Moyo, Moyo, —, Dambisa Moyo —, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Project Syndicate, Versaca

☆ This chart suggests the current bull market rally in stocks will extend into 2025
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The cyclical bull rally starting in October 2022 is expected to last into 2025, according to Ned Davis Research. The firm highlights a chart that shows the historical trends of cyclical bull market rallies, and when they typically end. The research firm published a note last week that included a chart illustrating prior cyclical bull rallies within a secular bull market, as is the current rally. To monitor the current health of the bull rally in stocks, the research firm suggests investors closely monitor earnings results. Ultimately, the recent correction "should give way to another leg higher in the continuing bull market," Ned Davis Research concluded.

Persons: Ned Davis, —, Ned Davis Research, bode Organizations: Ned Davis Research, Service, Nasdaq

☆ Morningstar CEO on AI's investing impact, stock market outlook, and Fed rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMorningstar CEO on AI's investing impact, stock market outlook, and Fed rate cutsKunal Kapoor, Global CEO of Morningstar, discusses how AI impacts investing, future returns from the stock market, and the Fed's rate cut timeline.

Persons: Kunal Kapoor Organizations: Global, Morningstar

☆ How One Man Lost $740,000 to Scammers Targeting His Retirement Savings
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( Tara Siegel Bernard | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

He was actually assisting criminals in stealing hundreds of thousands of dollars — of his own money. “They kept telling me, ‘This is a big case and we are going to stop a whole ring of people,’” Mr. Heitin said. I was going down the hole with them.”It cost him almost all of his retirement savings: roughly $740,000. Americans spend a lot of energy saving for retirement and worrying about losing money to the gyrations of the stock market. But these days, sophisticated criminals — on dating sites, social media, in messaging apps, or using malicious software — present an ever-growing risk to people and their savings.

Persons: Barry Heitin, “, ’, Heitin

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Persons: Motley, it's, It's, You'll, Tessa Campbell, Tessa, she’s Organizations: Stock, Service, Motley, Investment, Invest, Susquehanna University

☆ Elon Musk Says Robotaxis Are Tesla’s Future. Experts Have Doubts.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( Jack Ewing | Peter Eavis | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

In Mr. Musk’s telling, one of Tesla’s main A.I.-based businesses will be driverless taxis, or robotaxis, that can operate pretty much anywhere and in any condition. Tesla is very close to perfecting such vehicles and will easily secure regulatory approval to put them on roads, Mr. Musk said last week on a conference call to discuss the company’s second quarter results. Mr. Musk’s vision of autonomous vehicles, or A.V.s, is not limited to cars that drive themselves. He has also claimed that individuals who buy Teslas would be able to make money when they are asleep or at work by letting the company use their cars as robotaxis. The robotaxi service will, Mr. Musk has said, catapult Tesla’s stock market valuation, around $700 billion now, into the trillions of dollars.

Persons: Elon Musk, Musk’s, Tesla, Musk Organizations: Wall

☆ Stocks are due to take a rest after a furious bull run, Bank of America says. 4 reasons that's a good buying opportunity.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

According to Bank of America, the most recent market pullback is a symptom of a "buffalo" market. Related stories"A buffalo market is still in the bull family," McGregor said. She expects that the buffalo market will roam around this summer before stabilizing into a bull market later this year. "We're expecting this earnings growth story to broaden beyond the Magnificent Seven in tech in the coming quarters." Bank of America believes small-caps could lead the stock market for the next ten years if interest rates come down and remain favorable.

Persons: —, Marci McGregor, we've, McGregor, We're, Russell Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Bank of America, Business, Energy, Vanguard Health Care Locations: Buffalo

☆ Stocks are approaching a 'watershed' moment as rate cuts unlock opportunity in unloved areas of the market, Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The stock market is about to see a major shift once the Fed cuts rates, Jeremy Siegel said. The top economist thinks value stocks could start outperforming growth stocks once the Fed eases policy. Cooling inflation data supports a Fed rate cut by September, Siegel predicted. The Wharton School finance professor pointed to opportunity lurking in value stocks, an unloved group of the market that's underperformed this year when compared to growth stocks. Growth stocks have outperformed partly due to Wall Street's AI craze, which has ignited investor fervor for growth stocks, like mega-cap tech firms.

Persons: Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, —, Powell Organizations: Service, Wharton School, CNBC

☆ Stock market today: Indexes rise ahead of busy week for earnings, economic data, and Fed
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks rose as investors anticipate key economic data and earnings results this week. Major companies like Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon will release second-quarter earnings results this week. AdvertisementUS stocks edged higher on Monday as investors prepare for a big week ahead filled with important economic data and earnings results. Investors are instead expecting a 100% chance that the Fed cuts interest rates at its September FOMC meeting. Finally, it's a big week for earnings results, with about 34% of S&P 500 companies set to release their second-quarter results this week.

Persons: —, Steve Sosnick Organizations: Apple, Microsoft, Service, Interactive, Here's

Margin trading, aka buying on margin, is the practice of borrowing money from your stock broker to buy stocks, bonds, ETFs, or other market securities. But keep in mind that margin trading amplifies losses just as it does for profits. Advantages of margin tradingWhile it may seem that margin trading means bigger profits, that's not technically true. Dangers of margin tradingUsing leverage to increase investment size, as margin trading does, is a two-edged sword. But provided that you fully understand the risks and costs, margin trading could increase your profits and return on your investments.

Persons: you'd, It's, that's, it's, Clint Proctor Clint Proctor, millennials, Read Organizations: Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, Mutual, Green Bay Packers

☆ SoftBank-backed Ola Electric aims to raise $734 million in India's biggest IPO this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The new Ola electric scooters displayed during its launch at the Ola headquarters in Bangalore on August 15, 2021. With e-scooter prices starting at around $900, Ola Electric has become the biggest player in a country where adoption of clean vehicles is still low, but rising rapidly. In the IPO, Ola will issue new shares to raise $657 million while existing investors offload their stake of about $77 million to IPO investors, the term sheet showed. Aggarwal and investors such as SoftBank and Matrix Partners will sell part of their stakes in the IPO. Monday's newspaper ad showed 10% of the IPO will be reserved for retail investors, with proceeds going to fund capital expenditure and research and development efforts.

Persons: Manjunath Kiran, MANJUNATH KIRAN, Ola Electric, Narendra Modi's, Tesla, Ola, Bhavish Aggarwal Organizations: Ola, Getty, Tata Motors, TVS, Hyundai, West, Temasek, Fidelity, Nomura, Norges Bank, Reuters, Financial Express, Matrix Partners Locations: Bangalore, India

☆ Short seller Andrew Left surrenders on securities fraud charges in L.A., due in court
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( Dan Mangan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The activist short seller Andrew Left surrendered in Los Angeles on Monday to face federal criminal securities fraud charges, a spokesman for the U.S. Attorney's Office there said. Left, 54, is scheduled to appear before Magistrate Judge Rozella Oliver in U.S. District Court in L.A. at 4:30 p.m. ET, where the Citron Capital hedge fund boss is expected to be released after bail conditions are set by Oliver. "This should be Mr. Left released on his own recognizance," Spertus said. Left, who lives in Florida, was indicted last week on 19 criminal counts by a grand jury.

Persons: Andrew Left, Judge Rozella Oliver, Oliver, Left's, James Spertus, Spertus Organizations: U.S, Attorney's, CNBC Locations: Los Angeles, U.S, L.A, Florida

☆ Stock market today: Indexes struggle for direction as investors await wave of data
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks closed mixed as investors awaited a wave of data this week, from earnings to the July jobs report. 171 S&P 500 companies, including Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon, will report Q2 earnings this week. AdvertisementUS stock indexes closed mixed on Monday as investors awaited a massive wave of data this week. AdvertisementAmid the steady stream of earnings data, investors will also turn their attention to the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting on Wednesday. AdvertisementThe jobs report will help inform the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy going forward, as the Fed balances a steady economy with a falling inflation rate.

Persons: —, Jerome Powell, Fawad Razaqzada, Forex.com Organizations: Apple, Microsoft, Service, Federal, Business

☆ The election doesn't matter for stocks, says chief market strategist who tracked results back to Eisenhower
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( Ryan Ermey | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

You'd be wise to factor in where potential lawmakers fall on these issues when considering how you'll vote. But don't worry about how a particular candidate might affect the stock market, says Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at the Carson Group. "A lot of people didn't like President Obama. A lot of people didn't like President Trump. The stock market did just fine under all three of them."

Persons: You'd, Ryan Detrick, Obama, Trump, Biden Organizations: Social Security, Carson Group, CNBC

☆ Investors are punishing stocks that miss earnings more than normal this season
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Companies with disappointing quarterly results are getting punished more than usual this earnings season. This phenomenon underscores the high expectations going into this season as well as a stock market that's viewed by many as overheated. Case in point, shares of Ford Motors plunged more than 18% on Thursday after the automaker came in short of earnings expectations due to warranty costs. "So far this earnings season, the results for many large bellwether companies have been better than the stock reactions," John Belton, portfolio manager at Gabelli Funds, said in an email. Investors will be closely watching this week's earnings slate , which includes Microsoft , Meta Platforms , Apple and Amazon .

Persons: FactSet, Peter Boockvar, Dexcom, John Belton Organizations: Bleakley Financial, CNBC, Ford Motors, JPMorgan Chase, Gabelli, Microsoft, Meta, Apple

☆ These drugmakers are catching up to Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk in weight loss treatments
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-28 | by ( Christina Cheddar Berk | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

With billions at stake, that's pretty much been a guarantee facing the current market leaders, Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk , from the start. Their updates are likely to be joined by others in the coming months even as today's incumbents develop their own next-generation weight loss treatments. Other analysts have also grown more optimistic about the future of weight loss treatments. Orforglipron, a once-a-day oral GLP-1 drug that Lilly is working on, had shown a 3% weight loss at 4 weeks. The company is also exploring whether the weight loss treatment could be given only once a month.

Persons: Eli Lilly, drugmakers Roche, Lilly, Denmark's, Trung Huynh, Huynh, Rajesh Kumar, Kumar, Novo, Roche, Roche ADRs, Justin Zelin, Zelin, Viking's, HSBC's Kumar, Novo aren't, —, Nick Wells Organizations: Novo Nordisk, Viking Therapeutics, UBS, HSBC Global Research, Carmot Therapeutics, Food and Drug Administration, Viking, European Association for, Diabetes, Pfizer, Amgen, Therapeutics Locations: Swiss, Novo, San Antonio, Spain

☆ The 'great rotation' faces its biggest test yet: earnings from Microsoft, Meta, Apple and Amazon
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-28 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +15 min

That will be the case in this jam-packed week , with the earnings from Microsoft on Tuesday, Meta Platforms on Wednesday, and Apple and Amazon on Thursday. If Alphabet said it cut back on data-center spending, then it would be alleged the company is falling behind Amazon and Microsoft in the AI race. The company also is now dogged by another competitor in search engines after ChatGPT creator OpenAI announced a prototype of SearchGPT . Apple reports on Thursday, and if you think the cloud-computing heavyweights are spending on too much AI, then you should be buying Apple. President Joe Biden always chose to have his agencies wear down tech companies.

Persons: Don Forst, There's, hadn't, OpenAI, Tesla, Elon Musk, —, Russell, Mark Zuckerberg, Nvidia's Jensen Huang, It's, Zuckerberg, EssilorLuxottica —, EssilorLuxottica, Andy Jassy, Stanley Black, Decker, it's, Kamala Harris, Tony West, Joe Biden, Harris, Biden, Biden couldn't, Gina Raimondo, Raimondo, Donald Trump, Sen, JD Vance, Vance, Trump, Xi Jinping's, Abbott, Jim Cramer's, ABT, Jim Cramer, Jim, Sebastien Bozon Organizations: Los Angeles Herald Examiner, Microsoft, Apple, Google, YouTube, Amazon, Nvidia, Siggraph, Federal Reserve, Mohawk Industries, Fortune Brands, Club, Democratic, Uber Technologies, titans, Department of Justice, Federal Trade Commission, Department of Commerce, Republican, Big Tech, Republican Party, Trump, Abbott Laboratories, Drug Administration, CNBC, AFP, Getty Locations: Los Angeles, Denver, Ray, California, U.S, Ohio, Taiwan, St, Louis , Missouri

☆ Stock futures rise slightly ahead of loaded week for tech earnings
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-28 | by ( Jesse Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Stock futures rose modestly on Sunday evening as Wall Street gears up for a busy week of corporate earnings. S&P 500 futures gained 0.2%, while Nasdaq 100 futures added 0.3%. The move in futures comes after a volatile week in the stock market. This week's earnings slate will play a role in determining whether tech stocks can now bounce back. Another key event this week will be the Federal Reserve meeting, with the central bank set to release a new policy statement on Wednesday.

Persons: Russell, it's, Callie Cox Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Ritholtz Wealth Management, Microsoft, Meta, Apple, Federal Reserve

☆ Meet the mastermind behind 'Mamma Mia!' — the musical that's been playing in London for 25 years
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-28 | by ( Chris Johnston | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

"Mamma Mia!" AdvertisementBjorn Ulvaeus and Benny Andersson at the London premiere of "Mamma Mia! "Mamma Mia!" Dave M. Benett/Getty ImagesThe film's huge success meant a sequel was always on the cards — and "Mamma Mia! musical, Craymer had a stint as chair of Universal Music that spanned its stock market debut in September 2021.

Persons: —, Meryl Streep, Pierce Brosnan, Colin Firth, Judy Craymer, Mia, Craymer, Benny Andersson, Björn Ulvaeus, Abba, Tim Rice, Cramer didn't, Bjorn Ulvaeus, Wiktor Szymanowicz, Catherine Johnson, Phyllida Lloyd, Johnson, Lloyd, Andersson, Ulvaeus, I'm, — I'm, they're, Streep, Donna, Bertolt Brecht's, Courage, Ashley Lilley, Amanda Seyfried, Stellan Skarsgård, Julie Walters, Dominic Cooper, Dave M, Cher, Mamma Mia, Meryl, Pierce, Cameron Mackintosh, Andrew Lloyd Webber, Bruce Milton Miller, Richard East, Taylor Swift, Lucian Grainge, Michael Buckner Organizations: Service, Business, London, Cher, London's Guildhall School of Drama, Fairfax Media, Universal, Variety Locations: London, Swedish, New York, Cannes, North America, Sweden

☆ Top Wall Street analysts suggest these dividend stocks for enhanced returns
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-28 | by ( Tipranks.Com Staff | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Investors seeking solid dividend payers can rely on top-ranked Wall Street analysts, who make recommendations after thoroughly analyzing a company's ability to generate solid financials and deliver strong returns. Here are three attractive dividend stocks, according to Wall Street's top pros on TipRanks, a platform that ranks analysts based on their past performance. WES offers a high dividend yield of 8.8%. Hanold expects Q2 2024 shareholder returns to comprise a fixed dividend of 90 cents a share and a variable dividend of $1.25 per share, with no stock buybacks. KO offers a dividend yield of about 2.9%.

Persons: Wall, WES, Gabriel Moreen, Moreen, TipRanks, FANG, Scott Hanold, KO, Nik Modi, Modi Organizations: Wall Street, Western, Western Midstream Partners, Mizuho, MLP, Diamondback Energy, Endeavor Energy, RBC Capital, Diamondback, Cola Locations: Texas , New Mexico , Colorado , Utah, Wyoming, West Texas, Philippines, India

☆ A notorious market bear who called the 2000 and 2008 crashes warns his favorite valuation measure just hit all-time highs — setting stocks up for a potential 70% drop
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-27 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

But it's hard to argue against the track record of his most preferred valuation measure — total market cap of non-financial stocks to total revenue of those stocks — when it comes to long-term stock-market returns. Unfortunately for investors, the measure just hit an all-time high, topping levels seen in 1929, 2000, 2008, and 2022. Here's the metric:AdvertisementHussman Funds"Last week, our most reliable measure of stock market valuations hit the highest extreme in history," Hussman wrote in a July 20 commentary. AdvertisementWhile Hussman's valuation measure doesn't necessitate near-term losses, there is some evidence that stocks could soon face downside. And as the stock market ground mostly higher, he persisted with his doomsday calls.

Persons: —, John Hussman, Hussman, Jeremy Grantham Organizations: Service, Hussman Investment Trust, Business, Federal Reserve, Rosenberg Locations: recessionary

☆ 14 earnings, jobs and the Fed are what we're watching in the market this week
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-27 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +12 min

As for Club earnings, we got positive results from life sciences company Danaher and industrial firm Dover. Ford was a major disappointment and its nearly 20% stock drop for the week was the worst performer in the portfolio. In the week ahead, it's going to be another big week of earnings with the four mega-cap names and 10 other Club names set to report. Linde : We're looking for more of the same — steady earnings growth; 6% is the Street estimate. End market commentary will also help us better formulate our view of the economy — and in turn the stock market.

Persons: Russell, Jerome Powell's, Ford, Stanley Black, Decker, We're, we'll, Elliott, we've, We'll, Kraft Heinz, Vita Coco, COCO, Lam, SIRI, WEN, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Michael M Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, Communication, Honeywell, YouTube, Procter & Gamble, Devices, Microsoft, Starbucks, GE Healthcare, DuPont, Meta, Apple, Coterra Energy, Linde, Silo AI, Elliott Management, GE HealthCare, Amazon, Apple Intelligence, U.S, Labor, Fed, Networks, Procter, Gamble, PayPal, Pfizer, BP, JetBlue Airways, Merck, Solar Inc, Caesars Entertainment, Electronic Arts, EA, Nation Entertainment, Boeing, Cruise, Mastercard, Teva Pharmaceutical, Hess Corp, Arm Holdings, Qualcomm, Lam Research, Western, eBay, EBAY, MGM Resorts, MGM, ConocoPhillips, Mobileye, Canada Goose Holdings, Hershey, Toyota, Dominion Energy, Air Products & Chemicals, Southern Company, International, Coterra Energy Intel, Coinbase, Booking Holdings, LIN, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, LyondellBasell Industries, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty Locations: Dover, Eaton, Amazon, China, destocking, Corning, New York City

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