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Those what-ifs could further roil gas and oil prices. But if there’s further conflict, he said, “you’d see a much higher premium for oil prices. If there’s a de-escalation of tensions between Israel and Iran, they said, oil prices should come down over the next few weeks. But if there’s an escalation in conflict, they expect that oil prices could jump to more than $100 per barrel, they wrote in a note Monday. Retail sales rose 0.7% in March from the prior month, a slower pace than February’s upwardly revised 0.9% gain, the Commerce Department reported Monday.
Persons: New York CNN —, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, ” Dimon, Jerome Powell, We’ll, Christine Lagarde, Andrew Bailey, Dave Sekera, Israel doesn’t, , , Moody’s, there’s, Chris Isidore, Pete Muntean, Sam Salehpour, Read, Bryan Mena, Claire Tassin Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Dow, JPMorgan, International Monetary Fund, IMF, Bank, Bank of Canada, Seven, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Morningstar, Nvidia, AMD, Wall Street Journal, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Boeing, Federal Aviation Administration, Alaska Airlines, Commerce Department, Morning, Amazon Locations: New York, Russia, Ukraine, China, United States, Washington ,, Iran, Israel, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Interest rates are currently nestled at a 23-year high after the Fed launched an aggressive rate-hiking campaign two years ago. Inflation is down considerably from a four-decade peak reached in the summer of 2022, but recent inflation reports have shown persistent price pressures in services and housing. First rate cut in the summer? Wall Street already wasn’t betting on a rate cut in May, but some analysts are estimating the first cut could come some time in the summer. Analysts at Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan and Nomura are estimating a first rate cut in July.
Persons: Jerome Powell, , Powell, , ” Quincy Krosby, don’t, hasn’t, Goldman Sachs, Philip Jefferson Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal, Wilson, Fed, Congress, LPL, Atlanta Fed, Goldman, JPMorgan, Nomura, Bank of America, Barclays, Deutsche Bank, Locations: Wells Fargo, rebalance
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAsset quality of Indian banks 'one of the cleanest' in Asia-Pacific, says JPMorganHarsh Modi of the investment bank discusses the opportunities in India's banking sector.
Persons: Harsh Modi Locations: Asia, Pacific
Gold could have room for further upside as tensions in the Middle East mount, according to JPMorgan. Spot gold has been on a tear in 2024 with a gain of more than 14%. Prices hit an all-time high of $2,448.80 per ounce intraday on Friday as investors braced for a further escalation in the Middle East. @GC.1 YTD mountain Gold hit a fresh all-time high on Friday, but JPMorgan thinks bullion has more room to run. "Given positioning and recent price action, mean reversion risk in gold still remains elevated in the near-term though geopolitics remain a bullish-skewed wildcard amid risks of an escalating retaliation cycle between Israel and Iran," Shearer said.
Persons: Gregory C, Shearer, " Shearer, Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, Investors, Federal Reserve Locations: Iran, Israel, Damascus, Syria, @GC
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewThe market served up another reminder of its indifference to geopolitics on Monday, as traders seemingly shrugged off the potential impact of Iran's strikes on Israel. Signs that the conflict between the two countries won't escalate any further have calmed the market's nerves, XTB research director Kathleen Brooks said on Monday. "The dollar opened the week fairly muted and US bond yields are slightly higher, suggesting that there was no flight to safe havens." Anyone who's been following markets for the past two years won't be surprised at traders' muted reaction to the latest tensions in the Middle East.
Persons: , pare, Kathleen Brooks, Joe Biden, Brooks, who's, Jamie Dimon, Ray Dalio, Neal Shearing, Shearing, isn't Vladimir Putin, Xi Jinping, Ali Khamenei —, Jerome Powell Organizations: Service, Brent, West Texas, Business, JPMorgan, Bridgewater, Capital Economics, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: Israel, Iran, Tehran, OPEC
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJPMorgan's Michael Feroli: Still expect the Fed to carry out its first rate cut in JulyMichael Feroli, JPMorgan chief U.S. economist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss what Feroli made of the latest retail sales data, what to expect from the Federal Reserve, and more.
Persons: Michael Feroli, Feroli Organizations: JPMorgan, Federal Reserve
JPMorgan says Iran's drone attack on Israel over the weekend can drive a near-term surge in Lockheed Martin stock. LMT YTD mountain Lockheed Martin stock. "What we can say is that it's a dangerous world and while that is not a sufficient condition for Defense stocks to outperform, it is a potential source of support, especially when they are under-owned." The analyst added that Lockheed Martin and the array of defense stocks could benefit from a small increase to the defense budget last month, forecasting some supplemental spending for Ukraine, Israel and Taiwan. Lockheed Martin stock has lagged the broader market so far in 2024, falling less than 1% through Friday.
Persons: Seth Seifman, Seifman, Lockheed Martin, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, Lockheed Locations: Israel, Lockheed Martin, Ukraine, Taiwan
JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon issued a warning in the bank's earnings report Friday. With so much at stake, here's an earnings season cheat sheet of when some of the biggest companies are reporting and the storylines to follow. Themes to watch: AI could reduce the number of junior bank employees thanks to the tech automating their grunt work . Themes to watch: Netflix was dubbed the king of streaming earlier this year after a big earnings report. The bank's earnings report beat analysts' expectations, but advisory revenues were down 21% year-over-year.
Persons: , Donald Trump's, iStock, Rebecca Zisser, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, Michael M, Goldman Sachs, Blackstone, Will Meta, Bob Iger's, Brooks Kraft, Jeremy Barnum, it's, Jeff Currie, Justin Sullivan, Tesla, Elon Musk, Musk, Marco Bottigelli, Yevgen Romanenko, Tyler Le, Michelle Grisé, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover, Grace Lett Organizations: Service, Business, JPMorgan . Tech, JPMorgan, New York Stock Exchange, Finance Key Companies, Bank of America, Companies, Meta, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Amazon, Retail, Walmart, Costco, Netflix, Disney, Paramount Global, Boeing, Brooks Kraft LLC, Getty, BI, Healthcare, RAND, Boston Marathon Locations: Israel, Russia, United States, New York, London, Chicago
Citi upgrades Frontier to buy from neutral Citi said it sees EBITDA growth ahead for the telecom and internet provider. Mizuho initiates GE Vernova as buy Mizuho says it's bullish on shares of the GE spinoff energy company. Citi opens a positive catalyst watch on Nvidia Citi said investors should buy any weakness in the stock. "We are launching [coverage on] on 4 US listed stocks and 5 HK listed stocks: Las Vegas Sands ( LVS, Buy, PT $63); MGM Resorts (MGM, Buy, PT $56); Melco Resorts (MLCO, Buy, PT $10)." Bank of America upgrades Cisco to buy from neutral Bank of America said it sees several growth drivers ahead for Cisco.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Apple, Logitech, IBM Evercore, it's, Argus, Mizuho, it's bullish, Reddit, UBS downgrades Rollins, Rollins, SharkNinja, Martin, LMT, Needham, Canaccord, Coty, Jefferies, Janus, Stifel, Guggenheim, ServiceNow, Wells, Tommy Hilfiger, Calvin Klein Organizations: Apple, Citi, Frontier, IBM, Argus, Constellation Brands, GE Vernova, Mizuho, GE, Nvidia Citi, Technology, Barclays, Cava, Meta, Astera, Data, JPMorgan, Hilton, UBS, Sands, MGM, HK, MGM Resorts, Melco Resorts, Bank of America, Cisco, of America, Bitdeer, Intel Citi, Intel, Deutsche Bank, Netflix, Deutsche, Coty, MASI, Guggenheim, & $ Locations: Churchill
"Everybody looks to United as the bellwether of all of health-care services. This will be different," said Lisa Gill, managing director and health care analyst at JPMorgan. The data breach at the Change Healthcare unit forced the firm to take down its massive billing and payment processing service. While the company has restored services for pharmacies, the outage has continued to disrupt operations for health-care providers across the country. Larger providers, such as home infusion services firm Option Care Health , have also warned that the outage could impact their quarterly results.
Persons: UnitedHealth Group's, Lisa Gill, Scott Fidel, UnitedHealth, they'd, James Allred, he's, Allred Organizations: JPMorgan, Healthcare, Optum, OptumRx, Stephens, American Medical Association, Aesthetics, Care Locations: Nashville
David Solomon, Chairman & CEO Goldman Sachs, speaking on CNBC's Squawk Box at the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos, Switzerland on Jan. 17th, 2024. Goldman Sachs is scheduled to report first-quarter earnings before the opening bell Monday. Dormant capital markets and missteps tied to Solomon's ill-fated push into retail banking should give way to stronger results this year. Unlike more diversified rivals, Goldman gets most of its revenue from Wall Street activities. After pivoting away from retail banking, Goldman's new emphasis for growth has centered on its asset and wealth management division.
Persons: David Solomon, Goldman Sachs, StreetAccount Goldman Sachs, Goldman, outsized, Solomon, Philip Berlinski, Beth Hammack, Wells Fargo Organizations: LSEG Revenue, Trading, Rivals JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Wall, JPMorgan Locations: Davos, Switzerland
Artificial intelligence is on everyone's lips, and that's expected to translate into big bucks for Goldman Sachs, according to CEO David Solomon. He said the bank has been "advising clients on these topics and how to think about potential use cases in their operations." AI's impact on jobsSolomon also explained how, internally, AI could impact its own workforce. "We see enormous opportunities for productivity gains and also opportunities for efficiency," Solomon said, describing how the AI revolution could impact Goldman's human capital. Some firms like Deutsche Bank have been piloting test cases to evaluate the impact AI could have on junior bankers' workflows.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, Solomon, PwC, — Goldman, Goldman, JPMorgan Chase, Reed Alexander Organizations: Business, P Global, Intelligence, Deutsche Bank, Goldman, New York Times, JPMorgan, Global Locations: ralexander@businessinsider.com
A Slimmer Goldman Sachs Posts Hefty Jump in Profit
  + stars: | 2024-04-15 | by ( Rob Copeland | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
What a difference a year makes at Goldman Sachs. The venerated Wall Street investment bank, which a year ago was in the throes of struggle after attempting to build a Main Street franchise, on Monday showed off the benefits of sticking to what it knows best. It earned nearly $4 billion in the first quarter — around $1 billion more than analysts expected — after reaping big profits in its trading and corporate advisory franchises. Its investment banking fees exceeded $2 billion in the first quarter, nearly one-third higher than the same period a year earlier. If it returns, Goldman is among the big banks in line to benefit.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: Wall, JPMorgan
But the calm could be short lived, as world leaders and markets focus on Israel’s response. Military clashes don’t always sink the markets, as was the case when Hamas attacked Israel in October and Israel retaliated. “We may be entering one of the most treacherous geopolitical eras since World War II,” Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase’s C.E.O., warned last week. “Take the win,” President Biden reportedly told Israel’s embattled prime minister after the attack was rebuffed with American help. Iran has signaled that the attack was a one-and-done, but Israel’s war cabinet hasn’t indicated its next move.
Persons: Israel, ” Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase’s, Benjamin Netanyahu, Biden, hasn’t, Helima Croft Organizations: JPMorgan, , RBC Capital Markets Locations: Israel, Ukraine, United States, Iran
Goldman posted earnings of $11.58 per share on revenue of $14.21 billion for the period, while analysts surveyed by LSEG had called for earnings of $8.56 per share on revenue of $12.92 billion. Analyst Erik Woodring forecast only 3% annual revenue growth through fiscal 2027, which is below consensus. Morgan Stanley initiated coverage of the social media platform at equal weight, saying shares are already trading at fair value. Deutsche Bank called Reddit a buy, while Raymond James said the social media stock is a strong buy. Trump Media & Technology Group — Shares of Trump Media plunged more than 15% after the company filed to issue up to 21.5 million shares.
Persons: Elon Musk, Tesla, Goldman Sachs, Wall, Goldman, LSEG, Morgan Stanley, Erik Woodring, Salesforce, Raymond James, Coupang, Resideo, Charles Schwab —, Schwab, Yun Li, Lisa Kailai Han, Sarah Min, Michelle Fox Organizations: Logitech —, Dow, Street Journal, Informatica, Reddit, Wall, JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank, Medical Properties, Trump Media & Technology, Trump Media, Citi, Resideo Technologies Locations: Stifel, Utah, South Korea
A slate of major Wall Street firms has begun coverage of Reddit – and some of them see the stock's gains moderating from here. He rated the company neutral and gave it a price target of $47, anticipating 11% upside from Friday. Sheridan's 12-month price target of $40 was one of the lowest on Wall Street and implies that shares could slide 5% from here. Morgan Stanley had a slightly more optimistic price target of $45, corresponding to a roughly 6.5% gain. Citi analyst Ronald Josey's price target of $53 — which forecasts 25% upside — is among one of the highest on the Street.
Persons: Reddit, Doug Anmuth, JPMorgan's Anmuth, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Goldman, Eric Sheridan, Brian Nowak, Ronald, Josey, Benjamin Black Organizations: Bank of America, Citi, Deutsche Bank
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHiring pace is likely to slow down, says JPMorgan Asset Management's Priya MisraPriya Misra, JPMorgan Asset Management fixed income portfolio manager, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, when is the good time to cut interest rates, and more.
Persons: Priya Misra Priya Misra Organizations: JPMorgan, Management
10 things to watch Monday, April 15 The market is trying to rebound from Friday's selloff. UBS starts coverage on SharkNinja with a buy rating and a $76-per-share price target. Mizuho starts coverage on GE Vernova with a buy rating and a $154-per-share price target. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. 10 things to watch Monday, April 15The market is trying to rebound from Friday's selloff.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Jensen Huang, Lockheed Martin, Tommy Hilfiger, Calvin Klein, Guggenheim, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Nvidia Lockheed Martin, ServiceNow Organizations: Revenue, Citi, Nvidia, Taiwan, Lockheed, JPMorgan, Cisco Systems, Bank of America, Constellation Brands, Argus, ISI, IBM, UBS, GE Vernova, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Goldman Sachs Citi, Nvidia Lockheed, Nvidia Lockheed Martin Cisco Systems Club, Guggenheim, ServiceNow UBS, Mizuho Locations: Israel
Goldman Sachs — Goldman Sachs shares jumped 3.3% in premarket trading after the company beat Wall Street's first-quarter earnings expectations . Goldman posted earnings of $11.58 per share on revenue of $14.21 billion for the period, fueled by its trading and investment banking businesses. Analysts surveyed by LSEG had called for earnings of $8.56 per share on revenue of $12.92 billion, meanwhile. Analyst Erik Woodring thinks the market is "mis-pricing" Logitech's outlook and forecasts only 3% annual revenue growth through fiscal year 2027. Masimo — The health tech stock rose more than 2% following an upgrade to buy from hold at Stifel.
Persons: Goldman Sachs — Goldman Sachs, Wall, Goldman, LSEG, Morgan Stanley, Erik Woodring, Masimo, Rick Wise, there's, Lockheed Martin, Tal Liani, Canaccord Genuity, Coty, Charles Schwab —, Schwab, Elon Musk, — CNBC's Brian Evans, Michelle Fox, Sarah Min, Pia Singh Organizations: Logitech —, Stifel, Wall Street Journal, Reuters, Informatica, Medical Properties, Citi, Lockheed, JPMorgan, Cisco Systems —, Bank of America, Splunk, Coty —, Revenue, Resideo Technologies Locations: Utah, South Korea
New data showing a sharp decline in iPhone shipments due to weakness in China is unwelcome news for investors in Apple. Sluggish iPhone sales this year have been well documented, and they're the reason Apple shares have fallen roughly 9% in 2024. First-quarter numbers from International Data Corporation (IDC) show the extent of the weakness, with iPhone shipments dropping 9.6% year-over-year to 50.1 million units — its sharpest year-over-year loss out of the top five smartphone brands. That put Samsung back in first place for phone shipments, after Apple held the crown for all of 2023 . AAPL YTD mountain Apple YTD Echoing Jeff's remarks, Jim Cramer has advised members to have patience and "own, don't trade" Apple stock despite these headwinds overseas.
Persons: Jeff Marks, it's, Jim Cramer, Apple, iPhones, that's, Jim, Apple hasn't, Jim Cramer's, Alexi Rosenfeld Organizations: Apple, International Data Corporation, IDC, Samsung, Apple's Worldwide, Nasdaq, Microsoft, Nvidia, JPMorgan, 5G, The, Bloomberg, CNBC, Getty Locations: China, New York City
The oil market has brushed off Iran's weekend air assault against Israel, with futures trading as much as 1.5% lower on Monday. Oil prices could spike above $100 a barrel depending on how Israel responds to the attack, the analyst wrote. Attack 'well-telegraphed' Iran's attack, though unprecedented, did little actual damage as Israel and the U.S. intercepted nearly all the drones and missiles. The Islamic Republic warned, however, it would strike harder next time if Israel responds to the weekend attack. Potential threats include Iran seizing ships associated with Israel in the Strait of Hormuz; Israel attacking Iranian oil and gas assets; or Iran striking energy assets of its neighbors if Israel hits too hard.
Persons: Israel, Maximilian Layton, Layton, Brent, Helima Croft, CNBC's, Natasha Kaneva, Kaneva, Goldman, Daan Struyven, RBC's Croft, Jan Stuart, Piper Sandler, Stuart Organizations: Citi ., Brent, Citi, RBC Capital Markets, RBC, U.S, United Nations, Islamic, JPMorgan, CNBC Locations: Israel, Iran, Damascus, Syria, Tehran, Lebanon, Republic, Islamic Republic, Goldman Sachs, Strait, Hormuz, Iranian
What will it take to get Apple stock and iPhone sales out of their slumps? Although details on Apple's AI offerings are limited, management's track record has shown that new innovative features to Apple's devices will improve the overall user experience. We expect to learn more about Apple's AI strategy during the company's annual Worldwide Developer Conference (WWDC) in June. Apple stock continued modestly higher on Friday — bucking a sharp sell-off in the overall market that was led by a major reversal in tech. The Club did sell some Apple, along with seven other big tech stocks, on the first trading day of the new year .
Persons: , hasn't, Jim Cramer, Jim, Jim said, Tim Cook, Jim Cramer's, Christian Organizations: Apple, Wall Street, JPMorgan, Club, Developer Conference, Bloomberg, Justice, CNBC, Getty Locations: AAPL, China, U.S, Apple, Hamburg, Germany
S&P 500 futures added 0.2% and Nasdaq-100 futures advanced 0.3%. The losses caused the Dow to shed 2.4% last week for its worst week since March 2023 and its second down week in a row. The S&P 500 slid 1.5% for its worst week since October 2023. Iran launched drones and missiles on Israel on Saturday night, marking the first direct attack on Israel from Iranian territory. Guha added that the a key question remaining is how Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will respond to the attack.
Persons: Dow, Krishna Guha, Evercore, Guha, Benjamin Netanyahu, Biden, Netanyahu, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Iran's, Dow, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Global Policy, Central Bank Strategy, Israel, T, Treasury, JPMorgan Locations: Israel, Iran
Ukraine's campaign of attacks against Russian oil refineries is demonstrating how relatively cheap drones that utilize artificial intelligence could pose a major threat to global energy markets. Ukraine-launched drones have hit 18 Russian oil refineries this year with a combined capacity of 3.9 million barrels per day, according to report published by JPMorgan earlier this month. Some 670,000 bpd of Russian refining capacity is currently offline due to the strikes, according to the bank. "Certainly, those attacks could have a knock-on effect in terms of the global energy situation," Austin told the Senate Armed Services Committee. The deployment of AI drones also has broader implications for global energy markets, according to Bob Brackett, a senior research analyst at Bernstein.
Persons: Natasha Kaneva, Lloyd Austin, Biden, Austin, we've, John Kilduff, Bob Brackett, Bernstein, Brackett Organizations: Reuters, JPMorgan, Kyiv, . Defense, Senate Armed Services Committee, Financial, Again Locations: Ukraine, Ryazan, Ryazan Region, Russia, Taneco, Kyiv, Moscow, Russian, China, India
Jack Ma is praising Alibaba. Wall Street is more cautious
  + stars: | 2024-04-14 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Alibaba shares got a boost last week from news founder Jack Ma is pleased with the company's turnaround so far. They cut their price target to $100 a share, down from $105 previously, while maintaining an overweight rating. Eddie Wu became CEO of Alibaba in September, and is also acting head of the cloud business. They cut their price target by $1 to $105 a share and maintained their buy rating. They have a price target of $85, and, in contrast to the many buy ratings, rate the stock equal weight.
Persons: Jack Ma, Joe Tsai, Ma, Alex Yao, Tsai, Nicolai Tangen, We've, Eddie Wu, Trudy Dai, Daniel Zhang, Kenneth Fong, Douyin, Nomura, Doubao, Ernie, Qianwen, monetization, Morgan Stanley, Gary Yu, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Arjun Kharpal Organizations: CNBC, Wall Street, JPMorgan, Norges Bank Investment, Alibaba, Commerce, UBS, PDD Holdings, Norges Bank Investment Management Locations: China, U.S, Taobao, BABA
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