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If the projection is correct, it will be the strongest output since the fourth quarter of 2021, when growth was just shy of 7%. However, policymakers, economists and markets will be focused more on forward-looking signals from an economy that repeatedly has defied expectations. For Q3, GDPNow is projecting growth of 5.4%, with more than half — 2.77 percentage points — to come from consumer spending. That expectation intensified during a brief banking industry crisis in March 2023 that the Fed expected would constrain credit enough to bring about a downturn. Central bank officials have raised rates aggressively while professing to not want to drag the economy into recession.
Persons: Spencer Platt, Dow, Joseph LaVorgna, Goldman Sachs, Donald Trump, LaVorgna, Steven Ricchiuto, Ricchiuto, , Quincy Krosby, that's Organizations: Getty, Gross, Dow Jones, Commerce Department, Nikko Securities America, Federal Reserve, Fed, White, Mizuho Securities USA, Department, Treasury, LPL Locations: Manhattan, New York City, U.S
The dollar was on the front foot on Wednesday, drawing support from yet another resilient U.S. economic data reading, while the euro struggled to make headway on the back of a darkening growth outlook in the bloc. Against the dollar, the euro was last 0.05% higher at $1.0595, having declined 0.75% on Tuesday. The euro is the most heavily weighted currency in the dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six peers. "By contrast, the U.S. Federal Reserve could continue to raise interest rates just because the economic data looks strong." Pressure is mounting on the Bank of Japan to change its bond yield control as global interest rates rise.
Persons: Tina Teng, Matt Simpson, Bitcoin, John Glover Organizations: Wednesday, European Central Bank, CMC Markets, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of Australia's Locations: Bogota, Australia, Wednesday .
Crypto firms failing to spell out risks, says UK watchdog
  + stars: | 2023-10-25 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Signage is seen for the FCA (Financial Conduct Authority), the UK's financial regulatory body, at their head offices in London, Britain March 10, 2022. REUTERS/Toby Melville/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Oct 25 (Reuters) - Britain's financial watchdog said on Wednesday that firms marketing cryptoassets are failing to highlight risks properly to consumers, such as by publishing warnings that are too hard to read. "We expect authorised firms approving the financial promotions of cryptoasset firms to take their regulatory obligations seriously," the FCA said in a statement. "Where this is not happening, we will take action and have already placed restrictions on an authorised firm to restrict it from approving cryptoasset financial promotions." The FCA said on Oct. 10 it was stopping peer-to-peer platform rebuildingsociety.com from approving financial promotions for Binance and other cryptoasset firms.
Persons: Toby Melville, cryptoassets, Huw Jones, David Evans, Jason Neely Organizations: FCA, Financial, Authority, REUTERS, Thomson Locations: London, Britain
[1/2] U.S. Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. Against the dollar, the euro was last 0.05% higher at $1.0595, having declined 0.75% on Tuesday. The euro is the most heavily weighted currency in the dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six peers. "By contrast, the U.S. Federal Reserve could continue to raise interest rates just because the economic data looks strong." Pressure is mounting on the Bank of Japan to change its bond yield control as global interest rates rise.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Tina Teng, Matt Simpson, Bitcoin, John Glover, Rae Wee, Lincoln Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Wednesday, European Central Bank, CMC Markets, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of Australia's, Thomson Locations: Rights SINGAPORE, Australia, Wednesday .
Here are the biggest calls on Wall Street on Tuesday: Bank of America reiterates Apple as neutral Bank of America said China remains a risk for Apple . UBS downgrades Regions to neutral from buy UBS said the Birmingham, Alabama-based regional bank is going into the "penalty box." DA Davidson upgrades Braze to buy from neutral DA said shares of the cloud-based software company will benefit from "resilient growth." Piper Sandler downgrades Monster to neutral from overweight Piper said in its downgrade of Monster that it had previously been just "wrong." Seaport initiates Amazon, Meta and Alphabet as buy Seaport initiated Amazon , Meta and Alphabet on Tuesday, saying it sees further upside for all three.
Persons: Bernstein, Tesla, underperform Bernstein, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, it's bullish, Ingersoll Rand, Stifel, Davidson, Needham, Moffett, Piper Sandler, Piper, MNST, Redburn, Morgan Stanley, Wells, it's, Baird, KeyBanc, , Tommy Hilfiger, Larsson, Calvin Klein Organizations: Bank of America, Apple, of America, Nvidia, Reuters, AMD, Microsoft, UBS, Regions, Lattice Semiconductor, PSA, Fitness, Retail Media, Barclays, Rio Tinto, FMC Corp, FMC, JPMorgan, PVH, Energy Locations: China, wearables, Birmingham , Alabama, Rio
Wall Street is optimistic ahead of Google 's quarterly earnings announcement Tuesday as the tech giant's advertising revenue growth shows signs of recovery. Analyst Ronald Josey estimates search revenue growth gained 11.3% year-over-year, versus the consensus projection of 9.6%. Bank of America sees search growth accelerating Bank of America also maintained its buy rating and $146 price target. We expect disruption with the format change, which will likely drive headwinds to medium-term search growth. Competitors are likely to bid aggressively for Google's search distribution partnerships, driving profitability lower.
Persons: Doug Anmuth, he's, Ronald Josey, Max, Jefferies, Brent Thill, Michael Bloom Organizations: Google, YouTube, Deutsche, JPMorgan, Citi, 3Q, Bank of America, of America, 2H, 12.1x Locations: Monday's, Wells
GOOGL YTD mountain Alphabet YTD Bottom line Lower-than-expected operating income for the third quarter and a Google Cloud miss dragged Alphabet shares lower by more than 6% in after-hours trading. The Google Cloud performance was particularly disappointing given the strength we saw when Microsoft (MSFT) also reported its Azure numbers on Tuesday evening. Quarterly commentary Despite the topline outperformance, seen in the earnings table above, segment sales at Google Network, Google Cloud and Other Bets came up short. Operating income and quarterly operating margin were also short of expectations as total Traffic Acquisition Costs (TAC) were marginally above expectations. Expenses in Google Cloud and Other Bets were higher than expected, and the company took charges associated with workforce and office space reductions.
Persons: Wall, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Leonardo Munoz Organizations: Google, LSEG, Microsoft, Google Services, Management, Google Network, YouTube, NFL, TAC, Capital, CNBC, View, Getty Locations: New York City
DeRosa said Cuomo “could not stomach” how state government was being run after his resignation. DeRosa is particularly critical of state Attorney General Letitia James, the Democrat who released a report, crafted by outside lawyers, which concluded Cuomo had sexually harassed 11 women. According to DeRosa:— Former CNN President Jeff Zucker and his longtime aide Allison Gollust pressured Cuomo to appear on his younger brother Chris’s primetime show. Kushner responded that Florida was open and that the death rate there was lower at the time “even without the shutdowns. She agreed to go, DeRosa said, provided they find her a job in the federal government, preferably as ambassador to Canada.
Persons: Andrew Cuomo, , Melissa DeRosa, Cuomo, Kathy Hochul, DeRosa, Cuomo “, , Republican Lee Zeldin, Letitia James, James, Gary Ginsburg, ” Ginsburg, Jeff Zucker, Allison Gollust, Chris’s, — Cuomo, Donald Trump, Jared Kushner, Trump’s, Kushner, Hochul, Anthony Hogrebe, ” Cuomo’s, Rich Azzopardi, we’re Organizations: Former New York Gov, Center of Power, Republican, Democrat, CNN, Commerce Department Locations: ALBANY, N.Y, Florida, Canada, New York
For years, Argentinians have preferred to pay for many goods and services in greenbacks, rather than with their own collapsing currency, as part of an informal “blue dollar” currency market. To dollarize its economy, Argentina would need to exchange all pesos held by its people and businesses for US dollars, and assign a dollar value to all of its assets and contracts. The Fed would continue to set the cost of borrowing based on the needs of the US economy, not Argentina’s. Practical headacheThere’s another significant snag in Milei’s plan: Argentina doesn’t have enough dollars to ditch the peso. “People would need to take wheelbarrows of cash to convert to dollars,” Sabatini said.
Persons: Javier Milei, Sergio Massa, Argentina’s, JP Morgan, Argentinians, Milei, Natacha, Matias Baglietto, Reuters “ That’s, ” Christopher Sabatini, Kimberley Sperrfechter, ” Sperrfechter, It’s, ” Sabatini, Luis Robayo, Sabatini, Organizations: London CNN, National Institute of Statistics, Argentina’s, US Federal Reserve, Economic, Reuters, America, Chatham House, CNN, Capital Economics, International Monetary Fund, Getty, IMF Locations: Argentina, greenbacks, Washington, El Salvador, Panama, Ecuador, United States, Buenos Aires, AFP
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 20, 2023. The yield on the note touched the July 2007 milestone that it briefly attempted to scale last week. Of the 86 companies in the S&P 500 that have reported earnings so far in the third quarter, 78% have been above analyst estimates, according to the LSEG data. The benchmark stock index is down 8% from late July, when it hit its highest for the year, though still up 10% year-to-date. ET, Dow e-minis were down 224 points, or 0.67%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 31.5 points, or 0.74%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 129.75 points, or 0.88%.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Hess, Hadjikyriacos, Benjamin Netanyahu, Jerome Powell, Piper Sandler, Morgan, Shubham Batra, Shashwat Chauhan, Nivedita Bhattacharjee, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Chevron, Walgreens, Dow, Nasdaq, XM, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Intel, Exxon Mobil, General Motors, Federal, Market, Dow e, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Hess Corp, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, megacap, Israel, Gaza, Bengaluru
"We've seen all types of credit card rates go up in recent years, but store cards have been increasingly notable," said Ted Rossman, senior industry analyst at Bankrate. "It's becoming way more common for many credit cards to have that as a possible standard rate," Schulz told CNBC in a previous interview. watch nowYet, about 74% of 2023 holiday shoppers still plan on using credit cards to buy gifts this year, NerdWallet found. 'These 0% promos are very dangerous'Retail credit cards will oftentimes offer a 0% interest promotion described as "deferred interest." Sara Rathner credit cards expert and writer at NerdWallet.
Persons: We've, Ted Rossman, Matt Schulz, Schulz, Sara Rathner, NerdWallet, Bankrate's Rossman, Rathner Organizations: Bankrate, Finance, CNBC Locations: NerdWallet
The benchmark S&P 500 index (.SPX) bounced above 4200, a key technical level, after falling almost a percent during the open. Microsoft (MSFT.O), Alphabet (GOOGL.O), Amazon.com (AMZN.O) and Meta Platforms (META.O), which have helped power the S&P 500 (.SPX) higher in 2023 while the other indexes lagged, report later this week. Chipmaker Intel (INTC.O), oil major Exxon Mobil (XOM.N), General Motors (GM.N) are among other major companies set to report results this week. Overall, earnings are expected to grow at 1.2% in the third quarter for S&P 500 companies, as per LSEG data. Seven of the 11 major S&P 500 sub sectors were in the green, with industrials (.SPLRCI) and communication services (.SPLRCL) leading gains.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Hess, Bill Ackman's, David Bahnsen, Piper Sandler, Morgan, advancers, Shubham Batra, Shashwat Chauhan, Sriraj Kalluvila, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Chevron, Walgreens, Dow, Nasdaq, Capital Management, Microsoft, Intel, Exxon Mobil, General Motors, Dow Jones, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Hess Corp, FMC, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, East, Israel, Gaza, Lebanon, Bengaluru
“This feels like a really precarious spot.”In Pennsylvania, officials estimate 40 of the state’s 67 county election offices have new directors or deputy directors since 2020. In North Carolina, where the Republican Legislature recently moved to gain more control of state and local election boards, roughly a third of 100 county election directors have left since the 2020 election. Of the local election office, Fitzgerald said he knows they are trying to improve: “But they are not coming through when you need them the most,” he said. Local election officials were in a tough position trying to explain what happened given the active investigation, Sanguedolce said. She recalls angry voters showing up at the election office, contentious public meetings and law enforcement officials warning her about threats.
Persons: Emily Cook, , , Cook, Jennifer Morrell, Al Schmidt, Schmidt, ” Schmidt, “ We’ve, , ’ ”, Walter Griffith Jr, you’re, Griffith, “ They’re, Denise Williams, I’ve, ” Cook, we’ve, Theodore “ T.J, ” Fitzgerald, Al Gore, John Kerry, Barack Obama, Fitzgerald, Sam Sanguedolce, Sanguedolce, Bryan Steil, Romilda Crocamo, ” Crocamo, I’m Organizations: Republicans, Republican Legislature, Republican, ” Lawmakers, Justice Department, Democrat, Trump, U.S . Rep, Cook, Associated Press, AP Locations: BARRE, Pa, Pennsylvania, Luzerne County, Utah, Colorado, , In Nevada, Arizona, North Carolina, Philadelphia, Illinois, Luzerne County’s
When Mark Cuban launched his first tech startup, he couldn't have known he'd end up a billionaire today. He was confident, though, that his sales pitch for the company — a software startup called MicroSolutions — would work. In the proposal, Cuban wrote that his tool would be a great resource for attorneys looking to streamline their workflow — by having information "immediately published electronically to the organization," as opposed to using notebooks. Basically, it was our version of Slack long before Slack," Cuban wrote in a follow-up post. A year after sending his pitch to the law firm, Cuban sold MicroSolutions to now-defunct internet services company CompuServe for $6 million.
Persons: Mark Cuban, Cuban, Gilchrist, Slack Organizations: Twitter, GQ, Cuban, CompuServe, Yahoo, Forbes, CNBC, Global Locations: Dallas, Cuban
“Quiet luxury, oh God,” Isabel Wilkinson Schor, the designer of Attersee, said with a small sigh. “I don’t consider us a part of that trend at all. It’s been around for a very long time, and it’s equated with minimalism. I don’t see what we are doing as minimalism.”Attersee, which Ms. Wilkinson Schor founded in 2021, is known for the kinds of high quality, strokeable fabrics associated with the trend. The impetus for the line was simply to find everyday clothes that were comfortable and beautiful, not the kind of thing that would be worn only to a big event once a year.
Persons: ” Isabel Wilkinson Schor, Attersee, It’s, it’s, Wilkinson Schor, Mary Janes, Drogheria Locations: cardigan
Wall Street analysts this week weighed in on five our of mega-cap tech stocks ahead of their quarterly earnings reports in the coming weeks. Street take: Piper Sandler named Microsoft (MSFT) its "highest conviction large cap stock" to own going into the end of 2023. Meta Platforms META YTD mountain META stock performance YTD. Street take: Bank of America said Meta Platforms (META) is "best positioned for revenue acceleration" as the outlook for digital advertising revenue growth remains solid. Ahead of the tech firm's fiscal third-quarter earnings on Oct. 24, the analysts estimate 10% year-over-year revenue growth in Search and 9% revenue growth in YouTube ads.
Persons: Here's, Morgan Stanley, Piper Sandler, Mark Zuckerberg, Jeff Marks, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, New York Stock Exchange Michael Nagle Organizations: Nvidia, Citi, Microsoft, Apple, Counterpoint Research, Bank of America, JPMorgan, Meta, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: United States, China
AdvertisementAdvertisementThe information for the following product(s) has been collected independently by Business Insider: Hilton Honors American Express Surpass® Card, Hilton Honors American Express Aspire Card. Customers who hold the mid-tier Hilton Honors American Express Surpass® Card or the premium Hilton Honors American Express Aspire Card will soon receive enhanced benefits – as well as increased annual fees. What you should know about the Hilton Honors Amex CardThe Hilton Honors Amex is the hotel chain's base-level credit card. If you reach the $2,000 spending requirement making Hilton hotel purchases, you could end up with 114,000 Hilton Honors points, since eligible Hilton purchases earn 7 points per dollar. If you're a heavy Hilton loyalist, consider the mid-tier Hilton Honors American Express Surpass® Card or the premium Hilton Honors American Express Aspire Card.
Persons: Hilton, , David Slotnick, Amex, You'll, you'll Organizations: Business, Hilton, American, Hilton Honors, Service, Honors, U.S, Hilton Gold Locations: Bangkok, U.S, Hampton, Colombia, Mexico's Baja California
A digital-age dirty-trickster who used Twitter posts that looked like Hillary Clinton ads to spread false information before the 2016 presidential election was sentenced on Tuesday to seven months in prison. But they argued that Mr. Mackey committed a crime days before the election when, using the name Ricky Vaughn, he posted images targeting Black and Latino voters that claimed it was possible to vote by text message. The idea, prosecutors said, was to suppress votes for Mrs. Clinton. One of the images showed a Black woman and another one had a message in Spanish. Both included logos resembling the Clinton campaign’s and fine print attributing them to “Hillary for President.”
Persons: Hillary Clinton, Douglass Mackey, Donald J, Trump, Mackey, Ricky Vaughn, Clinton, “ Hillary, Organizations: Twitter
Keep your sweetened CD yields going with this maneuver
  + stars: | 2023-10-18 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The one-year Treasury bill is yielding 5.47% Wednesday, and one-year CDs at some institutions offer annual percentage yields exceeding 5%. "It always makes sense to look at the landscape," said Danika Waddell, a certified financial planner and founder of Xena Financial Planning. Ally Financial and Bread Financial are among the institutions offering a higher renewal rate for customers who stick around. Consider that about a year ago, the average one-year CD had an APY of less than 1%, according to Bankrate.com . Consider that Synchrony Financial has an 11-month no-penalty CD that offers a 4.5% APY, while its 12-month standard CD yields 5.1%.
Persons: Danika Waddell, Morgan Stanley, Banks, Betsy Graseck, Mark Hamrick, It's, Waddell, Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Investors, Xena, PNC, WFC, Bankrate.com, Ally, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp Locations: JPM
Vcg | Visual China Group | Getty ImagesChina's third-quarter economic growth came in stronger than expected, boosting hopes that the world's second-largest economy will meet or even exceed Beijing's target for about 5% this year. China posted 4.9% growth in the July to September quarter from a year earlier, according to a release from China's National Bureau of Statistics on Wednesday. This follows the 6.3% print for the April-June quarter and 4.5% growth for the January-March quarter. On a quarter-on-quarter basis, China's economy grew 1.3% in the third quarter, stronger than economists' expectations for a 0.9% growth. China's consumer prices were flat in September, on the verge of deflation, while producer price index saw annual declines slow for a third month.
Organizations: Visual China, Getty, China's National Bureau, Statistics, CNBC Locations: Chongqing, China
LONDON — U.K. inflation came in at 6.7% in September, slightly ahead of expectations and unchanged from the previous month. For August, the U.K. consumer price index surprised with a dip to 6.7%, below expectations, which sparked the Bank of England to end a run of 14 straight interest rate hikes. The bank had been hiking rates consistently since December 2021 in a bid to rein in inflation, taking its main policy rate from 0.1% to a 15-year high of 5.25% in August. The market is pricing around a 77% chance that the Bank holds rates steady again at its next meeting on November 2nd. For now, the higher for longer interest rate narrative will continue to persist," he said Wednesday in an emailed note.
Persons: Jeremy Hunt, Marcus Brookes, Brookes, Hetal Mehta, BoE Organizations: LONDON, Reuters, National Statistics, Chancellor, Bank of, Bank, Quilter Investors, Bank of England's, Bank of England Locations: Canary, London, Bank of England, British, James's
VIEW Canada's annual inflation cools in September
  + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
TORONTO, Oct 17 (Reuters) - Canada's annual inflation rate edged down to 3.8% in September on broad-based price reductions for some travel-related services, durable goods and groceries, Statistics Canada said on Tuesday. This beat analysts' expectations for annual inflation to remain at 4.0%. "It's pretty clear that (the central bank) won't be raising rates in my opinion in October. I think if we had gotten another inflation print like August in September - that was the big risk to have another hike. DEREK HOLT, VICE PRESIDENT OF CAPITAL MARKETS ECONOMICS AT SCOTIABANK"I think on a trend basis, the Bank of Canada is behind the inflation wage cycles.
Persons: CLAIRE FAN, MICHAEL GREENBERG, FRANKLIN TEMPLETON, JULES BOUDREAU, MACKENZIE, There's, They'll, DEREK HOLT, Divya Rajagopal, Steve Scherer, Fergal Smith, Denny Thomas Organizations: TORONTO, Statistics, ROYAL BANK, CANADA, Bank of Canada, Business Outlook Survey, ECONOMICS, SCOTIABANK, Thomson Locations: Statistics Canada
Pedestrians walk past a billboard announcing the World Bank Group and International Monetary Fund annual meetings, on the side of the International Monetary Fund headquarters in Washington DC on October 5, 2023. Mandel Ngan | Afp | Getty ImagesTop economists and central bankers appear to be in agreement on one thing: interest rates will stay higher for longer, clouding the outlook for global markets. Despite the pause, Fed officials have signaled that rates may have to remain higher for longer than markets had initially expected if inflation is to sustainably return to the central bank's 2% target. The European Central Bank last month issued a 10th consecutive interest rate hike to take its main deposit facility to a record 4% despite signs of a weakening euro zone economy. "We may have more shocks that may drive inflation up, and that's why of course we have to remain very cautious about inflation developments."
Persons: Mandel Ngan, Ajay Banga, Greg Guyett, Guyett, Boris Vujčić, Vujčić, Mārtiņš Kazāks, CNBC's Joumanna Bercetche, Silvia Amaro, Austrian National Bank Governor Robert Holzmann Organizations: World Bank Group, International Monetary Fund, Washington DC, Afp, Getty, U.S . Federal Reserve, World Bank, IMF, Bank, Labor Department, U.S ., HSBC, CNBC, European Central Bank, Council, Croatian National Bank, U.S, Bank of Latvia, ECB, Governing Council, Austrian National Bank Governor Locations: Washington, Central, U.S, Marrakech, Morocco, ECB's, Europe, Marrakech ., Israel
As consumers continue to remain selective with their spending and cracks start to show within the consumer discretionary sector, one name that is worth paying attention to is McDonald's (MCD) . As a trader, one could look at McDonald's stock and see that the trends are bearish with negative momentum. MCD 3M mountain MCD 3 months But I prefer to view this from a contrarian perspective. (The chart above shows the Commodity Channel Index indicator in the lower panel, which looks at the current stock price vs. its historical average price and is used by technical analysts to determine a trend change.) BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Zhang
CNN —NBC News is uniting with a pair of strange bedfellows for the third Republican Party primary debate. It’s no surprise that the GOP, which veered sharply to the right during Donald Trump’s presidency, would select Salem and Rumble as partners. Before Trump upended America’s politics, Salem was a run-of-the-mill conservative media organization. When I asked NBC News on Monday if the network was actually comfortable collaborating on the third GOP debate with Salem and Rumble, given each company’s history, a spokesperson declined comment. Most conservative media outlets are not what they were pre-2016.
Persons: It’s, Donald Trump’s, Trump, Salem, , Hugh Hewitt, , Charlie Kirk, Dinesh D’Souza, Sebastian Gorka, Jenna Ellis —, Kirk, Joe Biden, baselessly, Benjamin Netanyahu, Andrew Tate, Nick Fuentes, Hewitt Organizations: CNN, NBC, Republican Party, Republican National, Monday, Miami, Salem Radio Network, GOP, ” CNN, MAGA Media, NBC News Locations: Salem, Romania
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