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Dollar holds near one-month peak as dovish Fed bets recede
  + stars: | 2024-01-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The dollar held close to a one-month peak versus major peers on Thursday after robust U.S. retail sales data overnight added to building expectations the Federal Reserve will not rush to lower interest rates. Australia's dollar weakened after data showed an unexpected decline in employment. Traders have trimmed the odds of a first Fed rate cut by March to 53.8%, down from 63.1% on Tuesday, according to CME's FedWatch Tool. ECB President Christine Lagarde told Bloomberg there would likely be majority support among ECB officials for an interest rate cut in the summer, although she stressed they would be data-dependent. Elsewhere, the Australian dollar weakened after data showed a 65,100 drop in jobs for December, where economists had forecast a 17,600 increase.
Persons: CME's, Christopher Waller, Tony Sycamore, Sycamore, Christine Lagarde, Sterling Organizations: Reserve, U.S, hawkish Bank, Japan, Traders, IG, Bloomberg, Bank of England, British, greenback Locations: Japan
Morimoto, who began his "Rental Person" service in 2018, says he has been hired more than 4,000 times. He recounted the incident in his memoir, "Rental Person Who Does Nothing," a translation of which hit bookstores in the US on January 9. She stared up at the ceiling and looked very upset," Morimoto wrote. "At first, I thought it might be fun, but it wasn't really — if you're not interested, you're not interested," he continued. "It's funny that someone like Rental Person should be in demand.
Persons: , Shoji Morimoto, Morimoto, I've, Morimoto doesn't Organizations: Service, Business, Reuters
TOKYO (AP) — Japan signed a deal with the United States on Thursday to purchase up to 400 Tomahawk cruise missiles as part of its ongoing military buildup in response to increased regional threats. In November, the U.S. approved a $2.35 billion sale of two types of Tomahawks — 200 Block IV missiles and 200 upgraded Block V versions. Political Cartoons View All 253 ImagesJapan and the United States agreed to expedite the deployment “in response to the increasingly severe security environment,” Kihara said. The government quickly approved a shipment of Japanese-made Patriot missiles to the United States to complement the U.S. inventory. “There is a new Japan emerging, a more competent Japan,” he said.
Persons: Fumio, spender, Minoru Kihara, Japan Rahm Emanuel, ” Kihara, Emanuel, Japan's, Organizations: TOKYO, , China . Defense, U.S, Kihara, United, Japan’s, Locations: — Japan, United States, Japan, China, North Korea, Australia, Britain, Tokyo, South Korea, U.S
TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares were trading mostly lower on Wednesday after a decline overnight on Wall Street, while Tokyo's main benchmark momentarily hit another 30-year high. S&P 500 futures fell 0.5% to 4,775.25. Companies across the S&P 500 are likely to report meager growth in profits for the fourth quarter from a year earlier, if any, if Wall Street analysts' forecasts are to be believed. But optimism is higher for 2024, where analysts are forecasting a strong 11.8% growth in earnings per share for S&P 500 companies, according to FactSet. The index remains within 0.6% of its all-time high set two years agoFor now, traders are penciling in many more cuts to rates through 2024 than the Fed itself has indicated.
Persons: Australia's, Korea's Kospi, Stephen Innes, Brent, Stan Choe, Yuri Kageyama Organizations: TOKYO, Dow, Nikkei, Companies, Wall, Federal Reserve, Fed, U.S, AP Locations: Hong, Shanghai, New York
By Rocky SwiftTOKYO (Reuters) - Japan welcomed a record number of visitors in December, official data showed on Wednesday, closing out a year of rapid recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic. The number of foreign visitors for business and leisure rose to 2.73 million last month from 2.44 million in November, data from the Japan National Tourism Organization (JNTO) showed. For the full-year 2023, a little more than 25 million visitors arrived in Japan, the agency said. Arrivals exceeded 2 million every month since June last year, boosted by a weakening in the yen that makes Japan cheaper compared to other destinations. That is helping to compensate for a slow recovery in visitors from mainland China, who made up nearly a third of all visitors and 40% of all tourist spending in Japan in 2019.
Persons: Rocky Swift TOKYO, Teppei Kawanishi, Kawanishi, Wanping Aw, Rocky Swift, Rashmi Aich, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: Japan National Tourism Organization, Tourism, mov Locations: Japan, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Asia, Singapore, Australia, China
TOKYO (AP) — Uniqlo Co. has sued rival retailer Shein over a small shoulder bag the Japanese retailer said was an inferior and unlawful copy of its hit product touted as the “Mary Poppins bag.”The lawsuit demanded Shein stop selling its product that Uniqlo said looks too much like its Round Mini Shoulder Bag. The Uniqlo bag is praised on TikTok and other social media as roomy but also light and compact. Shein, founded in China but now based in Singapore, did not immediately respond to a request for comment. The lawsuit was filed in Tokyo District Court on Dec. 28 by Tokyo-based Fast Retailing Co., which operates Uniqlo stores. Uniqlo, which has nearly 2,500 stores in 26 global markets, is behind hit affordable casual clothing like HeatTech thermal underwear.
Persons: , Mary Poppins, Shein, Julie Andrews, Uniqlo, Yuri Kageyama Organizations: TOKYO, Court, Roadget, Shein Locations: China, Singapore, Tokyo, Shein Japan, Japan, U.S
Dollar at one-month high as rate cut expectations ease on Fedspeak
  + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The dollar index hovered at a one-month high against a basket of currencies on Wednesday as remarks by Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller dampened expectations for a March rate cut. "I will need more information in the coming months confirming or (conceivably) challenging the notion that inflation is moving down sustainably toward our inflation goal," before backing rate cuts, he said on Tuesday. Market expectations of a rate cut in March have eased to a 62.2% chance versus an 76.9% view in the prior session, according to CME's FedWatch Tool. "Rate cuts are coming but not as soon as some might be hoping for," Sycamore said. Meanwhile, the euro was hanging near a one-month low at $1.0875 after its steepest one-day percentage drop in two weeks, following comments from several ECB policymakers this week that maintained uncertainty over the timing of rate cuts.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, CME's, Tony Sycamore, Christine Lagarde, Sycamore, Sterling, Rodrigo Catril Organizations: Federal Reserve, IG, European Central Bank, Treasury, Bank of Japan, National Australia Bank Locations: U.S, Asia
Traders are back projecting cuts of 160 bps this year, up from expectations of 140 bps last week. Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone, said the risk is that Waller could push back on market pricing for a March cut and show a lack of urgency to normalize policy. "That said, should he even remotely validate market pricing, then we should see U.S. 2-year bond yields fall further. Markets are pricing around 120 bps of rate cuts by the Bank of England in 2024, with the first one most likely in May. Elsewhere, the Australian dollar fell 0.43% to $0.6632, while the New Zealand dollar fell 0.39% to $0.6176.
Persons: Hamish Pepper, Christopher Waller, Waller, Chris Weston, Weston, Bank's Joachim Nagel Organizations: U.S, Federal, Bank of Japan, Fed, Traders, Asset Management, Treasury, Bank of England, New Zealand Locations: Tokyo, Japan, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email2024 Taiwan election probably had the most fake information we've ever seen: Proton CEOAndy Yen, founder and CEO of Proton, said platforms were either unwilling or didn't have the ability to stop fake information during Taiwan's election.
Persons: Andy Yen Organizations: Proton Locations: Taiwan
BANGKOK (AP) — Shares fell Tuesday in Asia, with Hong Kong’s benchmark down nearly 2%, as jitters over Chinese markets dimmed confidence across the region. Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 index fell, snapping a New Year’s winning streak that took it to its highest level in 34 years. The dollar weakened against the Japanese yen even as a former central bank official said that the Bank of Japan is preparing to end its longstanding negative interest rate policy. The dollar bought 146.12 yen, up from 145.75 late Monday and at its highest level in more than one month. Traders are largely betting on the Fed cutting its main interest rate six or more times through 2024.
Persons: , Meituan, Kristalina Georgieva, Kospi, Germany's DAX, It's, Brent Organizations: Dow Jones, Nikkei, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, Tencent, China Garden Holding, Ocean, IMF, CNBC, CAC, Traders, Fed, New York Mercantile Exchange Locations: BANGKOK, Asia, U.S, Shanghai, China, Beijing, South, Australia, Paris
HONG KONG (AP) — Asian shares were mostly higher on Monday, with Tokyo extending its New Year rally, as China’s central bank kept its one-year policy loan interest rate unchanged. China’s central bank opted to keep its one-year policy loan interest rate at 2.5% on Monday while injecting funds into the financial system. Traders are largely betting on the Fed cutting its main interest rate six or more times through 2024. The airline and other travel-related companies were also hurt by a rise in oil prices, which put pressure on their fuel costs. A barrel of benchmark U.S. crude oil rose 10 cents to $72.78.
Persons: Zhaopeng Xing, Raymond Yeung, , Ernie, Baidu, Lai Ching, Lai, Taiwan’s Taiex, Australia’s, It's, Yemen’s Houthi, Brent Organizations: ANZ, Baidu, Democratic Progressive Party, Dow Jones, UnitedHealth Group, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Traders, Fed, Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, Cruise Line Holdings, U.S Locations: HONG KONG, Tokyo, Hong Kong, Shanghai, South Korea, China, Taiwan
A kid runs across the flag of Taiwan banner during the announcement of official results on January 13, 2024 in Taipei, Taiwan. While Lai won the presidential election on Saturday with 40% of the popular vote, his DPP lost 10 seats in Taiwan's parliament from its previous 61, giving up its majority. Taiwan's president- and vice president-elect from the Democratic Progressive Party Lai Ching-te and Hsiao Bi-khim standing along several party's heavyweight on the central stage in Taipei on Janauary 13, 2024 to celebrate victory in Taiwan's 8th presidential election. The Chinese Communist Party has refused to engage with outgoing President Tsai Ing-wen since she assumed office in 2016. Supporters attend the Taiwan People's Party (TPP) campaign rally on January 12, 2024 in Taipei, Taiwan.
Persons: Sawayasu Tsuji, Lai Ching, Han Kuo, rancor, , Lai, Timothy S, Rich, Sara Newland, TPP, Tsai, Gabriel Wildau, Democratic Progressive Party Lai Ching, Hsiao, Alberto Buzzola, Tsai Ing, Ting Yen Franklin Organizations: Getty, TAIPEI —, Taiwan People's Party, Democratic Progressive Party, Beijing Kuomintang, Kuomintang, KMT, TPP, Rich Western Kentucky University, Smith College, Lightrocket, Chinese Communist Party, Marshall College China, DPP, Chinese Communist Party officials, Taiwan Straits, Western Kentucky University, Supporters Locations: Taiwan, Taipei, China, Taiwan's, Beijing
Dollar wobbles; yuan on guard ahead of China data dump
  + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar ebbed on Monday on renewed expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in March, while the Chinese yuan struggled near a one-month low ahead of a slew of economic data this week. The offshore yuan languished near a one-month low of 7.1925 per dollar hit on Friday, and was last at 7.1861 per dollar. "I think more PBOC (People's Bank of China) easing is coming this year," said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia. "I don't think (Monday's move) will materially weigh on the (yuan) because a rate cut is more or less priced in. The Australian dollar , often used as a liquid proxy for the yuan, edged 0.07% higher to $0.6690.
Persons: China's, Sterling, Chris Weston, Carol Kong, Party's Lai Ching, te, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Federal Reserve, Traders, U.S, Treasury, CPI, PPI, Bank of, People's Bank of China, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Australian, New Zealand, Democratic, Taiwan Locations: Asia, U.S, Bank of Japan, China, Taiwan
Taiwan's President-elect Lai Ching-te (left) gestures beside his running mate Hsiao Bi-khim during a rally outside the headquarters of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) in Taipei on January 13, 2024, after winning the presidential election. The outcome of the presidential election on Saturday riled Beijing, which has repeatedly labeled Lai as a "stubborn worker for Taiwan independence" and a dangerous separatist. Annabelle Chih | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesDPP's Lai — Taiwan's current vice-president — won more than 40% of the popular vote in Taiwan's eighth presidential election. DPP is the first party to win the presidential office three times in row since direct presidential elections were introduced in 1996. This year, 71.9% of all eligible voters cast their ballots for the presidential election, according to preliminary data from Taiwan's Central Election Commission.
Persons: Lai Ching, Hsiao Bi, Yasuyoshi Chiba, Lai, Tsai Ing, Tsai, Annabelle Chih, DPP's Lai, Taiwan's, , Beijing's, Hou, Ko Wen, Chen Binhua, Chen, Xi Jinping, Antony Blinken, Ko, Wei, Ting Yen Organizations: Democratic Progressive Party, AFP, Getty, TAIPEI, Saturday, Beijing, Chinese Communist Party, DPP, KMT, Chinese Communist Party officials, Democratic Progressive, Kuomintang, Taiwan People's Party, Taiwan's, Taiwan Affairs Office, State Council, CNBC, Franklin, Marshall College, Taiwan's DPP Locations: Taipei, Taiwan, China, U.S, Taiwan Strait, Beijing, Taiwan —, Republic of China, Xinhua, United States
"While we expect a very modest cyclical recovery as a whole, we continue to look for opportunities among individual stocks," Goldman Sachs' analysts, led by Daiki Takayama, wrote in the note, naming buy-rated names — including four conviction list stocks — to play the theme. The bank's conviction list comprises its top buy-rated stock ideas that are expected to beat the market. SK Hynix South Korean chipmaker SK Hynix was among the stocks that made Goldman's list of buy-rated names that are also on its conviction list. Goldman gave the stock a price target of 3,300 Japanese Yen ($22.78) implying upside of around 37.7%. Meanwhile, the bank has a target price of 29 Chinese yuan ($4.07) on Foxconn, giving it around 124.6% potential upside.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Daiki Takayama, Hynix, Goldman, it's bullish, Hai, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: SK Hynix South, SK Hynix South Korean chipmaker SK Hynix, Korean, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Electronics, Industrial, Renesas Electronics, Apple Locations: SK Hynix South Korean, Taiwan, Shanghai
Dollar pares gains on soft U.S. inflation data
  + stars: | 2024-01-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar index pared gains on Friday after U.S. producer prices unexpectedly fell in December, raising expectations of an early U.S. rate cut. That led traders to add to bets for a rate cut in the coming months. Fed funds futures now imply a 79% chance of a March rate cut, up from 73% on Thursday, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool. Traders maintained their view that a March rate cut is likely even after consumer price inflation data on Thursday came in above economists' expectations. The dollar index was last up 0.19% at 102.40.
Persons: Steve Englander, Englander, Martin Luther King Jr, Sterling, bitcoin Organizations: U.S, British, Global, Research, Standard Chartered Bank, Branch, Traders, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Wednesday Locations: Yichang, Hubei province, U.S, Yemen, America, Zealand, Iran, Red, Gaza
The headline U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.3% last month, for an annual gain of 3.4%, against expectations of 0.2% and 3.2%, respectively. Traders are pricing in aggressive expectations for rate cuts this year, with the Fed seen as beginning to cut rates in March. But "today's CPI report suggests that the Fed's initial rate cut may be later than the market is hoping for," said Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist at LPL Financial in Charlotte, North Carolina. "The question everyone is struggling with is what kind of inflation regime we are in - are we still in a 2010s era of low growth, low inflation and we're still just working through the end of the pandemic adjustment and then we're back into that?" The dollar index was last down 0.05% on the day at 102.29.
Persons: Bitcoin, Adam Button, Quincy Krosby, Button, it's, Loretta Mester, Thomas Barkin, Sterling Organizations: Federal Reserve, Consumer, Index, Fed, ForexLive, Traders, Financial, Cleveland Fed, Richmond Fed, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Wednesday Locations: Toronto, Charlotte , North Carolina, U.S
Dollar gains on yen, bitcoin edges up before expected SEC decision
  + stars: | 2024-01-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The SEC was expected to announce later in the day whether it will approve applications from asset managers Ark Investments and 21Shares (ABTC.S) to launch a spot bitcoin ETF. More than a dozen bitcoin ETF applications - including from BlackRock (BLK.N), Fidelity and VanEck - are also pending with the agency. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) due out on Thursday is the next likely driver of dollar direction. It is expected to show that headline inflation rose 0.2% in the month and by 3.2% on an annual basis. Anticipation of a positive SEC decision on ETFs, which is likely to draw billions of dollars in new investments, has boosted bitcoin prices in the past two months.
Persons: Exchange Commission's, Marc Chandler, Chandler, bitcoin, Chris Weston, Ethereum Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S . Securities, Exchange, SEC, Ark Investments, BlackRock, Fidelity, Institute for Supply Management, Index, Fed, Bank of Japan Locations: U.S, Bannockburn, New York, Japan
Dollar gains before inflation data, bitcoin slips
  + stars: | 2024-01-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar rose against the euro and yen on Tuesday as traders awaited inflation data on Thursday for clues on when the Federal Reserve is likely to cut rates. But Fed expectations are likely to continue to drive dollar moves. The release on Thursday of the consumer price inflation report for December will be the main piece of economic data this week. If the data confirms that inflation is continuing to moderate it could boost expectations for a March rate cut, though if it comes in above expectations it could also reverse some of that pricing. The U.S. dollar index , which measures the greenback against a basket of six currencies, was last up 0.33% at 102.55.
Persons: Bipan Rai, Kamal Sharma, steepening, Sharma Organizations: Federal Reserve, Securities and Exchange, CIBC Capital Markets, Bank of America, Fed, U.S, Bank of Japan, Investment Locations: North American, Toronto, U.S, Asia, Bitcoin
Prices for the JR Pass, as it's known, increased roughly 65%-75%, in October 2023. The East Japan Railway Company, better known as JR East, announced a new Kyun Pass in December. Kyun Pass pricesThe cost for the one-day, all-you-can-ride Kyun Pass is a flat 10,000 yen ($70). Here's a comparison of roundtrip bullet train tickets, with and without the Kyun Pass. What the Kyun Pass covers
Persons: Matsumoto, Kyun Organizations: The East Japan Railway Company, East, JR, Yokohama — Locations: Japan, Tokyo, Kyoto, Osaka, Aomori, Nagano, Kanto, Yokohama, Niigata
Dollar falls as traders focus on data for Fed policy clues
  + stars: | 2024-01-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The greenback initially bounced on Friday after data showed that U.S. employers hired 216,000 workers in December, above economists' expectations in a Reuters poll, while average hourly earnings rose 0.4%, which was also above expectations. The U.S. currency then dropped, however, as investors focused on some underlying factors in the jobs report that showed less strength. It declined further after a separate report showed the U.S. services sector slowed considerably in December, with a measure of employment dropping to the lowest level in nearly 3-1/2 years. The release on Thursday of the consumer price inflation report for December will be the main piece of economic data this week. Fed funds futures traders are pricing in rate cuts beginning in March, though the odds of a move that soon have fallen.
Persons: Helen, Raphael Bostic Organizations: Federal Reserve, greenback, Monex USA, New York Fed, Traders, Atlanta Fed Locations: U.S, Washington
Read previewA bluefin tuna sold for 114.2 million Japanese yen, or nearly $800,000, at Tokyo's largest fish market is set to be served at a Michelin-starred restaurant in Japan. The prized tuna will be enjoyed by diners at the Michelin-starred sushi restaurant Onodera in Tokyo's upmarket Ginza district, reported The Japan Times. Media crowd around as a 524 pound bluefin tuna - which was purchased earlier in the day for $788,440 at the first tuna auction of the New Year in Tokyo on January 5, 2024. The world record price for a tuna was set in 2019, when the sushi tycoon and "Tuna King," Kiyoshi Kimura, paid $3.1 million for a 612-pound fish. AdvertisementDerek Wilcox, a chef trained in Japan and who worked there for 10 years, previously told Business Insider that bluefin tuna was "the most sought after."
Persons: , Hiroki Matsushita, Yukitaka Yamaguchi, Bluefin, RICHARD A, BROOKS, Kiyoshi Kimura, Kimura, Derek Wilcox Organizations: Service, Michelin, Bloomberg, Business, Onodera Group, Japan Times, Media, Getty, Japan National Tourism Organization, AFP, Oma Locations: Japan, Aomori Prefecture, Ginza, Tokyo, AFP
Dollar steady as traders weigh labour data, rate outlook
  + stars: | 2023-12-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six rivals, was 0.019% higher at 103.99, having climbed 0.3% overnight. Data also showed there were 1.34 vacancies for every unemployed person in October, the lowest since August 2021. "This week the highlight is payrolls (report)," OCBC currency strategist Christopher Wong said, adding that a downside surprise could see dollar rebound stall. Investors believe the European Central Bank could deliver its first rate cut by March. Inflation across the euro zone has fallen more quickly than most anticipated, as evidenced by last Thursday's consumer price data.
Persons: Christopher Wong, Jerome Powell, Sterling, bitcoin, Organizations: Reserve, Traders, ANZ, Fed, Investors, European Central Bank Locations: U.S
Morning Bid: RBA holds and the dollar pauses, too
  + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Pedestrians walk past the main entrance to the Reserve Bank of Australia building in central Sydney, Australia, October 3, 2016. The relative U.S. interest rate outlook right now fits the weaker dollar narrative - futures markets are pricing in bigger rate cuts by the Fed next year than by any other major or emerging market central bank. But will the Fed cut rates by 125 basis points next year? Doubts about that prospect have for now put the brakes on dollar selling. Gold , which shot to a record high in Asia's notoriously thin morning hours on Monday, has recoiled sharply.
Persons: David Gray, Tom Westbrook, Edmund Klamann Organizations: Reserve Bank of Australia, REUTERS, Bank, Aussie, Fed, Bank of Japan, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Sydney, Australia, Asia, U.S, Europe, Tokyo
TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares declined Tuesday on heavy selling of property and technology shares. A key report on Japanese inflation showed core consumer prices in Tokyo, which excludes volatile food prices, rose 2.3% from a year ago, slowing from previous months' increases. Hopes that inflation is easing enough to allow the Federal Reserve to stop raising interest rates have pushed shares higher in recent weeks. The sector is a key component in the U.S. economy and accounts for the majority of the nation’s jobs. The government’s monthly jobs report for November is due on Friday.
Persons: Hang Seng, Australia's, Biden, Uber, Brent Organizations: TOKYO, Shanghai, Nikkei, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, Technology, Microsoft, Nvidia, Netflix, Alaska Air Group, Hawaiian Airlines, Spotify, Federal Reserve, Institute for Supply Management, FactSet, U.S . Locations: Tokyo, U.S
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