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New York CNN —Oil prices could climb well into triple-digit territory by next year if Russia and Saudi Arabia don’t unwind their aggressive supply cuts, Goldman Sachs warned its clients. Goldman Sachs had forecast Brent oil to be $86 in December and $93 at the end of 2024. First, Goldman Sachs expects Saudi oil supply to be 500,000 barrels per day smaller than previously anticipated. Secondly, Goldman Sachs warned that some of its assumptions for oil production may be incorrect if the OPEC+ cut extensions continue. In that scenario, Brent oil prices would likely climb to $107 a barrel in December 2024, the bank said.
Persons: Saudi Arabia don’t, Goldman Sachs, Brent, don’t, Jake Sullivan, Joe Biden, ” Sullivan Organizations: New, New York CNN, Brent, Saudi, Goldman, US National Security Locations: New York, Russia, Saudi Arabia, North, OPEC, Saudi
[1/2] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 15, 2023. Weighing heavily on Wall Street stock indexes, shares of Apple (AAPL.O) fell 3.6% after the Wall Street Journal reported, citing people familiar with the matter, that China had banned officials at central government agencies from using iPhones and other foreign-branded devices for work. Some investors said the data may add to signs that interest rates could remain elevated for longer. The Nasdaq ended more than 1% lower, leading declines on Wall Street. In other data, manufacturing activity in Germany, Britain and the euro zone declined, while their service sectors fell into contraction territory.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Susan Collins, Jeffrey Roach, Caroline Valetkevitch, Gertrude Chavez, Dreyfuss, Nell Mackenzie, Kane Wu, Edmund Klamann, Sam Holmes, Will Dunham, Sharon Singleton Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, U.S, Apple, Treasury, Wall, Wall Street Journal, Institute for Supply Management, U.S . Federal, Fed Bank of Boston, Nasdaq, . Technology, Dow Jones, LPL, Brent, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, Germany, Britain, New York, London
Storage tanks and oil processing facilities operate beside the Arabian Sea at Saudi Aramco's Ras Tanura oil refinery and terminal in Ras Tanura, Saudi Arabia, on Monday, Oct. 1, 2018. The upcoming OPEC+ meeting in Vienna will result in an oil production cut "of some historic kind", said CIO of Pickering Energy Partners, Dan Pickering. Asia-Pacific markets are mixed after Saudi Arabia and Russia extended voluntary oil production cuts to the end of the year. Saudi Arabia will extend its cut of 1 million barrels per day until the end of December, while Russia will reduce its oil exports by 300,000 barrels per day. Brent crude futures settled at $90.04 a barrel, closing above the $90 mark for the first time since November.
Persons: Dan Pickering Organizations: Pickering Energy Partners, Brent, . West Texas Locations: Saudi, Ras Tanura, Saudi Arabia, OPEC, Vienna, Asia, Pacific, Russia
European stocks opened lower Wednesday, as investors focused on oil market moves after Saudi Arabia and Russia extended a set of voluntary oil supply cuts to the end of the year. The regional Stoxx 600 index was down by 0.6% at 8:43 a.m. London time, with most sectors in the red. European marketsAll three major U.S. indexes lost ground as the rise in crude oil prices weighed on stocks late on Tuesday, while Asia-Pacific markets were mixed overnight. Brent crude futures settled at $90.04 a barrel, closing above the $90 mark for the first time since November. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures traded near $86.87 a barrel, also a 10-month high.
Organizations: Brent, . West Texas Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, London, Asia, Pacific
Russia announced that it would cut oil production by 500,000 barrels per day in March after the West slapped price caps on Russian oil and oil products. Oil prices ticked up on Thursday, as markets worried about a supply shortage after Saudi Arabia and Russia extended their voluntary supply cuts to the end of the year. Near-term prices for oil traded on Tuesday at their steepest premium since November to later-dated prices, reflecting concern about tight near-term supplies. The Saudi and Russian voluntary cuts are on top of the April cut agreed by several OPEC+ producers, which extends to the end of 2024. Both countries will review the cut decisions monthly to consider deepening cuts or raising output depending on market conditions, SPA and Novak said.
Persons: Alexander Novak, Novak Organizations: Brent, U.S . West Texas, Saudi Locations: Russia, Saudi Arabia
The German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, September 4, 2023. REUTERS/Staff/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSept 6 (Reuters) - European stocks extended losses for a sixth consecutive session on Wednesday as worries about global economic slowdown and higher crude prices spurring inflationary pressures weighed on risk sentiment. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) slipped 0.5% by 0713 GMT, hovering near a one-week low. While oil prices pulled back slightly, government bond yields continued to rise, with the German 10-year yield jumping to two-week highs. Further denting the mood, German industrial orders fell more than expected in July, the federal statistics office said.
Persons: Sruthi Shankar, Sherry Jacob, Phillips Organizations: REUTERS, Staff, Telefonica, Saudi Arabia's STC, Spanish, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Bengaluru
Insider Today: IPOs' make-or-break moment
  + stars: | 2023-09-06 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +8 min
Speaking of fighting, the IPO market has been KO'd since 2022. But that could change with one company's upcoming public debut. Even if it slightly misses those numbers, it'll still be the largest public debut in the US since Rivian's IPO in late 2021. The stock market recovered in record time, but then something else held up IPOs: VC money. Tech has already led the stock market for about a decade — starting when Apple became the biggest company in the world.
Persons: Mark Zuckerberg, Phil Rosen, IPOs, Andrew Burton, Brent, Gabe Ginsberg, Tony Avelar, Mustafa Suleyman, It'll, Arantza Pena Popo, Insider's Eliza Relman, Vivek Murthy, Lovell, Christian Lovell, Freddie, Lil Wayne, Buster's, Elaine LaLanne, She's, Dan DeFrancesco, Naga Siu, Hallam Bullock, Lisa Ryan Organizations: Service, Apple, Publishing, Getty, Bloomberg, Cash, Google, Nvidia, Getty Images, Tech, US, BMI Locations: Wall, Silicon, British, Russia, Saudi Arabia, China, London, New York City, San Diego, New York
The world’s second-largest economy is grappling with growing financial distress, which means big problems for the nation’s nearly $3 trillion shadow banking industry. What’s happening: Shadow lenders, including trust firms, operate outside of the formal banking system. That’s because shadow banks are not just a problem in China. The key concern, said Towes, is whether Western organizations have loaned to shadow banks and are now vulnerable. Production cuts by OPEC+, which produces 40% of the world’s crude oil, have helped send oil prices higher in recent months, a development that could have repercussions for inflation and interest rates.
Persons: they’ve, , Phillip Toews, “ we’ve, Toews, that’s, Goldman Sachs, Matt Egan, That’s, It’s, , Jan Hatzius, ” Hatzius, , CNN’s Hanna Ziady, Brent, ” Stephen Innes Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Asset Management, US, IMF, Global, Federal Reserve, West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, Saudi Ministry of Energy Locations: New York, China, Beijing, Europe, Saudi Arabia, Russia, OPEC
Saudi Arabia and Russia said they will extend oil supply cuts of 1.3 million barrels a day through December 2023. Analysts think inflation could stay at higher levels for longer due to the higher oil prices. US West Texas Intermediate, or WTI, crude oil futures also hit a 10-month high. Higher oil prices are bad news for the world's central banks, which have been trying to tame high inflation since last year. Energy is a key input for economic activities, so higher oil prices generally lead to inflation.
Persons: Brent, Jorge Leon, Leon, Naeem Aslam, Aslam Organizations: Service, West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, Rystad Energy, Energy, Zaye, International Energy Agency, IEA Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, Wall, Silicon, OPEC
Crude oil prices pushed higher, adding to inflationary pressures at a time when investors are hoping to see central banks back away from interest rate hikes. Energy stocks rose along with crude oil prices after Saudi Arabia and Russia said they will extend their voluntary production cut of 1 million barrels of oil a day through the end of the year. Much of the information fueled hopes that the Fed might moderate interest rate increases to fight inflation, which has been easing for months. Wall Street expects the Fed to hold its benchmark interest rate steady at its next meeting later in September, just as it did at its previous meeting. The central bank has raised its main interest rate aggressively since 2022 to the highest level since 2001.
Persons: ” Stephen Innes, Russell, Cintas, Brent, Kroger, Alex Veiga, Damian J, Troise Organizations: Japan’s Nikkei, Management, Labor, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, New York Stock Exchange, Merck, Co, JPMorgan Chase, Microsoft, Energy, Chevron, New York Mercantile Exchange, Institute for Supply Management, GameStop, Dave, AP Business Locations: Asia, U.S, Seoul, Australia, Shanghai, Saudi Arabia, Russia
"Further progress is likely to become more difficult as base effects fade, and supply-constraints could drive global energy and food prices higher again." Brent crude prices have risen 27% since mid-year and U.S. crude is up 30%, with U.S. retail pump prices already up almost 10% so far since June. Oil and inflation expectationsReuters GraphicsSLOWING DESCENTAnd alongside creeping worries about rising debt supply, the long end of bond markets has been rattled again by the oil price jump. And this has been a far bigger influence on the inflation trajectory than oil prices per se. Yet, restive crude prices will still cloud a messy and tricky battle with inflation expectations just as policy tightening cycles near an end.
Persons: Brent that's, Christian Keller, Akash Utsav, Andrew Goodwin, there's, George H.W, Jamie Freed Organizations: Brent, UBS, Organization for Economic Cooperation, Development, Barclays, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of England, U.S, Treasury, Oxford, Monetary Fund, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Ukraine, Saudi Arabia, Russia, tailwind, U.S, Europe, Britain, West, George H.W . Bush
[1/3] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 15, 2023. The Dow led declines among the three major stock indexes on Wall Street, even as higher oil lifted shares of some energy companies. Oil prices rose to their highest since November after Saudi Arabia and Russia extended their voluntary supply cuts to the end of the year. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) lost 0.23% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) shed 0.60%. Brent crude futures rose by $1.04, or 1.2%, to settle at $90.04 a barrel, while U.S. crude futures gained $1.14, or 1.3%, to settle at $86.69 a barrel.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Paul Nolte, Murphy, Christopher Waller, Dow, Caroline Valetkevitch, Sinead Carew, Samuel Indyk, Ankur Banerjee, Shounak Dasgupta, Mike Harrison, Lincoln Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, U.S, Sylvest Wealth Management, Investors, Fed, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Brent, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, Europe, Britain, Elmhurst , Illinois, Saudi Arabia, Russia, New York, London
Investors had expected Saudi Arabia and Russia to extend voluntary cuts into October, but the three-month extension was unexpected. "This is a clear indication that oil prices trump volume (for Saudi Arabia)," said Jorge Leon, senior vice president at Rystad Energy. "These bullish moves significantly tighten the global oil market and can only result in one thing: higher oil prices worldwide," Leon added. Both Saudi Arabia and Russia said they would review the supply cuts monthly, and could modify them depending on market conditions. Along with the Saudi supply cuts, which began in July, prospects of the U.S. economy avoiding a hard recession have helped lift oil demand and prices in recent months.
Persons: Nick Oxford, Brent, Goldman Sachs, Jorge Leon, Leon, Giovanni Staunovo, Shariq Khan, Natalie Grover, Katya Golubkova, Andrew Hayley, Andrea Ricci, Nick Macfie, Timothy Gardner Organizations: Midland , Texas U.S, REUTERS, Brent, . West Texas, Investors, Rystad Energy, UBS, Thomson Locations: Midland , Texas, Saudi Arabia, Russia, BENGALURU, 4Q23, U.S, Saudi
Riyadh's decision to extend its 1 million bpd voluntary cut will be reviewed monthly to consider whether to deepen the cut or increase production, state news agency SPA said on Tuesday. It has been cutting output and exports in tandem with Saudi Arabia on top of existing OPEC+ supply reductions. Russia had said it would cut oil exports voluntarily by 500,000 bpd, about 5% of its output, in August and by 300,000 bpd in September. Although Saudi Arabia was widely expected to extend its voluntary cuts into October, and Russia had indicated that it too planned on expanding its cut through next month, the three month extension was unexpected. Brent, which is used to price over three-quarters of the world's traded oil, has been rising since late June, after Riyadh first announced its voluntary cuts.
Persons: Nick Oxford, Alexander Novak, Craig Erlam, Brent, Natalie Grover, Katya Golubkova, Andrew Hayley, Sharon Singleton, Jason Neely, Jan Harvey, David Goodman, Alexandra Hudson Organizations: Midland , Texas U.S, REUTERS, Brent, West Texas, OPEC, Reuters, Alexandra Hudson Our, Thomson Locations: Midland , Texas, Saudi Arabia, Russia, U.S, Brent, Riyadh, London, Tokyo, Beijing
Oil prices climbed after Saudi Arabia and Russia committed to further production cuts until December. West Texas Intermediate crude oil, meanwhile, traded at about $87 a barrel, also a 10-month high. The jump in prices followed a statement published by state-run Saudi Press Agency that declared Saudi Arabia and Russia would prolong their oil production cuts for another three months until December. "This voluntary cut decision will be reviewed monthly to consider deepening the cut or increasing production," according to the media statement, per Bloomberg. Oil prices have remained tempered due to mounting concerns around China's economy.
Persons: Brent, Alexander Novak, Vladimir Putin Organizations: Service, West Texas, Saudi Press Agency, OPEC, Bloomberg, UBS, CNBC, bbl Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, Wall, Silicon, 4Q23, Riyadh, Moscow, Beijing
The US dollar is losing some influence in the oil markets, according to JPMorgan. The correlation between the USD's strength and oil prices has weakened, per the bank's research. The analyst drew the conclusion by looking at the impact of a strengthening dollar on oil prices. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe relationship exists because the dollar is traditionally inversely correlated to oil prices — meaning that when the greenback's value rises, oil prices fall, and vice versa. This trend is because more oil is now being transacted in non-dollar currencies, JPMorgan said in its report, such as the Chinese yuan.
Persons: Natasha Kaneva, Kaneva, Jahangir Aziz, , It's Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Brent, Reuters, Russia Locations: Wall, Silicon, China, Russia, Ukraine, Washington
Meanwhile, U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) October futures rose $2.42, or about 2.8%, to $87.97 a barrel, also a 10-month high. Investors had expected Saudi Arabia and Russia to extend voluntary cuts into October, but the three-month extension was unexpected"It would appear they're trying to double down and capitalize on the recent price moves. Both countries said they would review the supply cuts monthly, and could modify them depending on market conditions. Prospects of the U.S. economy avoiding a hard recession have helped lift oil demand and prices in recent months. Brent futures, which are used to price over three-quarters of the world's traded oil, have gained by about 26% since late June, after Riyadh first announced its voluntary cuts.
Persons: Nick Oxford, Goldman Sachs, Craig Erlam, Brent, Giovanni Staunovo, Natalie Grover, Katya Golubkova, Andrew Hayley, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Midland , Texas U.S, REUTERS, Brent, West Texas, Investors, Reuters, bbl, UBS, Thomson Locations: Midland , Texas, Saudi Arabia, Russia, BENGALURU, U.S, 4Q23, Riyadh, London, Tokyo, Beijing
On Tuesday, Saudi Arabia extended its 1-million-barrels-per-day voluntary oil production cut until the end of the year, according to the state-owned Saudi Press Agency. China, the world's second-largest economy, is considered crucial to shoring up oil demand over the rest of the year. Saudi Arabia is widely expected to extend voluntary oil cuts into October and Russia will unveil a new OPEC+ supply cut deal this week, according to its deputy prime minister. Moscow has already announced it will cut exports by 300,000 barrels per day (bpd) in September, following a 500,000 bpd cut in August. Riyadh is also expected to roll over a voluntary 1 million bpd cut into October.
Persons: Brent Organizations: U.S, West Texas Intermediate, Saudi Press Agency, European Union, Federal, ING Locations: Long Beach , California, Saudi Arabia, China, Britain, Russia, Moscow, Riyadh
Saudi Arabia said on Tuesday that it would extend its cut in oil production cut of one million barrels a day for three months, through for the rest of 2023. The moves helped nudge oil prices, which have been on the rise in recent weeks, upward. Futures for Brent crude, the international benchmark, briefly reached $90 a barrel for the first time since June 2022. Together, the cuts amount to about 1.5 percent of global supplies. The Saudi cuts, first announced early in the summer, are a move to support oil prices, and until now have been extended on a month-to-month basis.
Organizations: Brent, West Texas Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, OPEC, U.S, Saudi, United States
DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — Saudi Arabia and Russia agreed Tuesday to extend their voluntary oil production cuts through the end of this year, trimming 1.3 million barrels of crude out of the global market and boosting energy prices. The decision “is aimed at strengthening the precautionary measures taken by OPEC+ countries in order to maintain stability and balance of oil markets,” Novak said. There was no immediate reaction in Washington, though U.S. lawmakers have criticized OPEC, Saudi Arabia and Russia over their past production decisions. The Saudi reduction, which began in July, comes as the other OPEC+ producers have agreed to extend earlier production cuts through next year. But Saudi Arabia also has to manage its relationship with Washington.
Persons: Joe Biden, Alexander Novak, ” Novak, Brent, Biden, Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Jamal Khashoggi, Prince Mohammed, Vladimir Putin Organizations: United Arab Emirates, Brent, Saudi Press Agency, OPEC, Energy Ministry, Benchmark Brent, AAA, Labor, Washington, Washington Post, U.S Locations: DUBAI, United Arab, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Riyadh, Moscow, Saudi, United States, Ukraine, Washington, U.S, China, Israel, America, Iran, India
London CNN —Oil prices hit a new high for the year so far after Saudi Arabia and Russia — the world’s biggest crude exporters — said they would extend output cuts by at least another three months. The moves by Saudi Arabia and Russia reinforce efforts by the alliance known as OPEC+ — which includes members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and other producers — to support oil prices by agreeing to deep and prolonged production cuts. Saudi Arabia needs Brent crude to trade at around $81 a barrel in order to balance its budget, according to the International Monetary Fund. Production cuts by OPEC+, which produces 40% of the world’s crude oil, have helped send oil prices higher in recent months, a development that could have repercussions for inflation and interest rates. “These impending increases in oil prices present a fresh challenge for central banks as they continue their diligent efforts to bring inflation levels back in line with their desired targets.”
Persons: , Brent, Alexander Novak, Novak, , ” Stephen Innes Organizations: London CNN, West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, Saudi Ministry of Energy, International Monetary Fund, Russia’s, Reuters Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, OPEC, Saudi, Riyadh, Ukraine
Pumpjacks are seen during sunset at the Daqing oil field in Heilongjiang province, China August 22, 2019. REUTERS/Stringer/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSept 6 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. Oil is back in the spotlight after Russia and Saudi Arabia on Tuesday extended output cuts. Oil prices have essentially been disinflationary all year, meaning the year-on-year price change has always been negative, sometimes dramatically so. With the dollar, bond yields and oil prices all marching higher, it is little wonder investors are drawing in their horns.
Persons: Stringer, Jamie McGeever, Brent, Japan's Hajime Takata, Josie Kao Organizations: REUTERS, Reserve Bank of Australia, U.S ., Asia, Bank, Japan's, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Heilongjiang province, China, Asia, Taiwan, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Japan, Australia
Saudi Arabia has spearheaded efforts to support prices, making large voluntary output cuts as part of a production deal agreed by the OPEC+ producer group comprising the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies including Russia. Saudi Arabia's previous announcements have come ahead of its official selling prices, which typically emerge in the first week of the month. Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak, meanwhile, has said that Moscow had agreed with OPEC+ partners on the parameters for continued export cuts in October. Saudi Arabia and Russia could withdraw the cuts at any point, said OANDA analyst Craig Erlam, "but I can't imagine they'll be in any rush and risk sending the price tumbling again." The oil market is vulnerable to price spikes due to low inventories and underinvestment in new oilfields, a senior official at global commodities trading firm Trafigura (TRAFGF.UL) said on Monday.
Persons: Alexander Novak, Craig Erlam, Brent, Russell Hardy, Xi, John Evans, Stephanie Kelly, Paul Carsten, Natalie Grover, Mohi Narayan, Yousef Saba, Andrew Hayley, Jason Neely, David Goodman, Mike Harrison Organizations: Companies, U.S . Federal, of, Petroleum, Saudi, . West Texas, . U.S, Federal, Thomson Locations: Companies Saudi Arabia, Russia, Saudi Arabia, OPEC, Moscow, India, Kuwait, Jizan, Oman, China, ., New York, London, New Delhi, Dubai, Beijing
Shares, oil rise as sentiment towards China brightens
  + stars: | 2023-09-04 | by ( Amanda Cooper | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
There was relief that embattled property developer Country Garden won approval from its creditors to extend payments for an onshore private bond. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures rose between 0.2%-0.3%, while European stocks neared one-month highs. At least seven Fed officials are due to speak this week ahead of the next policy meeting on Sept. 19-20. In commodities, oil traded near seven-month highs on tightening supply as Saudi Arabia was widely expected to extend voluntary oil production cuts into October. Brent crude futures rose 0.2% to $88.75 a barrel, as did U.S. futures , reaching $85.73.
Persons: Ron Temple, I'm, Craig Erlam, we're, Christine Lagarde, Wayne Cole, Shri Navaratnam, Muralikumar Anantharaman, Simon Cameron, Moore, Sonia Cheema, Ed Osmond Organizations: Federal Reserve, Country Garden, Lazard, Investor, Holdings, Nasdaq, drugmaker Novo Nordisk, August's U.S, European Central Bank, Brent, Thomson Locations: United States, Beijing, China, Europe, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Sydney
LONDON, Sept 4 (Reuters) - Oil prices were stable on Monday amid expectations that major producers would keep supplies tight, as hopes grew for the Federal Reserve to leave interest rates unchanged to avoid dampening the U.S. economy. Both contracts ended last week at their highest in more than half a year, after two previous weeks of losses. "Crude oil prices have been primarily driven by the anticipation of additional supply cuts from major oil-producing nations, Russia and Saudi Arabia," said Sugandha Sachdeva, executive vice president and chief strategist at Acme Investment Advisors. Saudi Arabia is expected to roll over a voluntary 1-million-barrel per day (bpd) cut into October. Saudi Arabia's previous announcements on its voluntary cut extension came ahead of its official selling prices, which typically come out in the first week of the month.
Persons: Sugandha Sachdeva, Sachdeva, Alexander Novak, Russell Hardy, Paul Carsten, Mohi Narayan, Yousef Saba, Andrew Hayley, Simon Clarence Fernandez, Jason Neely Organizations: Federal Reserve, Brent, . West Texas, Acme Investment Advisors, Saudi, Russia, Organization of, Petroleum, Reserve, PMI, Investors, Thomson Locations: U.S, Russia, Saudi Arabia, India, Kuwait, Jizan, Oman, China, London, New Delhi, Dubai, Beijing
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