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A "Buy Treasury bonds" poster is seen at a bank in Haian, East China's Jiangsu province, Aug 1, 2024. "We remain actively bullish," said a bond fund manager, undeterred by unprecedented government moves to cool the sizzling treasury market and arrest a plunge in yields, which move inversely to prices. Falling yields also complicate the People's Bank of China's (PBOC) efforts to stabilize the weakening yuan. Unlike the West, "China's financial markets, including the bond market, are subject to top-down regulation," said Ryan Yonk, economist with the American Institute for Economic Research. Late on Friday, the central bank said it will gradually increase the purchase and sale of treasury bonds in its open market operations.
Persons: Wang Hongfei, Ryan Yonk, Pan Gongsheng, Kiyong Seong, Tan Yiming Organizations: Bank of China's, American Institute for Economic Research, Societe Generale, Minsheng Securities Locations: Haian, East China's Jiangsu, Beijing, Shanghai, China, Asia
Mortgage rates are down today compared to where they've been in recent weeks, with 30-year mortgage rates hovering in the low 6% range, according to Zillow data. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesLast week, average 15-year mortgage rates were 5.63%, a 36-basis-point decrease from the previous week, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates have been elevated for most of 2024, but they've been trending down in recent months. Once the Fed cuts rates, mortgage rates should fall even further.
Persons: they've, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's Organizations: July's, CPI, Federal Reserve, Zillow Locations: Chevron
New inflation data will arrive on Tuesday with the producer price index report for July. AdvertisementUS stocks wavered on Monday, struggling to keep the rally that materialized at the end of last week going ahead of new inflation data for July. On Tuesday, investors will digest the first of two inflation data points due out this week. The producer price index, a measure of wholesale inflation, is expected to be in-line with the June data at 0.2%. The second update will be the main event, with the consumer price index set to show the rise in inflation faced by the average consumer last month.
Persons: , Louis Nevallier Organizations: Traders, Service, Fed, Pentagon Locations: Here's, Iran, Israel, Tehran
Here’s the latest:S&P 500 futures were up slightly after fears of a slowdown in growth and hiring rocked the benchmark index last week. Investors endured both a stomach-churning rout on Monday and a bounce-back rally on Thursday. Despite that, the S&P 500 ended the week down just 0.04 percent. The big event this week is Wednesday’s inflation data. Investors are anxious after tepid jobs and manufacturing data suggested a slowdown was on the horizon.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, ” Brian Moynihan, Wall Organizations: Investors, Nvidia, Fed, Bank of America, CBS Locations: Europe, Asia
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading on May 31, 2024 in New York City. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Asia markets climb higherAsia-Pacific markets were mostly higher on Monday ahead of U.S. economic data later in the week. [PRO] Distinct marketWhile U.S. and Japanese indexes fell sharply amid recent volatility, the MSCI China index rose slightly, reinforcing China's distinct market status despite slower growth.
Persons: Disney, Indiana Jones, Donald Trump, Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Elon Musk, Elon Musk's, Warren, Tesla, Robyn Denholm, Musk, Hai Precision Industry —, , Australia's, Hong Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Wall, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Magic, Hollywood, Inc, Animal Kingdom, Trump, Trump Media, SpaceX, Twitter, Hai Precision Industry, SK Hynix, China's CSI, U.S Locations: New York City, U.S, Magic Kingdom, Disney's California, Friday's, Asia, Pacific, Taiwan, Australian, China
Watch Monday's full episode of Fast Money — August 12, 2024
  + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch Monday's full episode of Fast Money — August 12, 2024"Fast Money" is America's post-market show. Hosted by Melissa Lee and a roundtable of top traders, "Fast Money" breaks through the noise of the day, to bring you the actionable news that matters most to investors.
Persons: Melissa Lee
Oil prices were little changed in early Asian trading on Monday, holding on to most of last week's more than 3% gains, supported by geopolitical tensions and better economic data. Oil prices were little changed in early Asian trading on Monday, holding on to most of last week's more than 3% gains, supported by geopolitical tensions and better economic data. "Traders remain mindful of simmering tensions in the Middle East," ANZ analysts said in a note. Brent ended last week up more than 3.5% on the week, while WTI gained more than 4%, on supportive economic data and increased hopes of a U.S. interest rate cut. China's consumer prices rose faster than expected in July, and U.S. weekly jobless claims fell more than expected last week.
Persons: Ismail Haniyeh, Fuad Shukr, Israel, Brent, WTI Organizations: Brent, U.S, West Texas, ANZ, Gaza Civil Emergency Service, Federal Reserve Locations: Iran, Gaza, U.S
Looking back, quarterly earnings also played a key role in big stock moves for the portfolio. Looking ahead, we'll see an update on some key inflation data, plus a closer look at the state of the housing and retail sectors. ET: Producer Price Index Earnings: Home Depot (HD), Pandora (PANDY), Nu Holdings (NU), Sea Limited (SE) Wednesday, August 14 8:30 a.m. ET: Consumer Price Index Earnings: Tencent Holdings (TCEHY), Cisco (CSCO), UBS (UBS), JD.com (JD) Thursday, August 15 8:30 a.m. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Walt, Jim Cramer, we've, JD.com, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, Walt Disney, Microsoft, Ford Motor, Wynn Resorts, DuPont, Devices, Procter, Gamble, Club, Abbott Laboratories, Federal, Traders, Sun Life, Nu Holdings, Sea, Tencent Holdings, Cisco, UBS, Philadelphia Fed, Walmart, Materials, Deere & Co, Ross Stores, Lenovo, Housing, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: U.S, Dover, Wells Fargo, Nextracker, Eaton
U.S. equity futures fell on Sunday evening as investors braced for key inflation data, after almost completely reversing its violent market rout last week. S&P 500 futures dipped 0.08% and Nasdaq 100 futures inched lower by 0.05%. Fear often works in our favor as stock market investors. "Another round of good [inflation] data could help calm fears that the Fed is potentially losing the plot," Cox said. "Retail sales and retailer earnings may show that fears of a job market slowdown are overblown," she added.
Persons: Callie Cox, they'll, Cox Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Ritholtz Wealth Management, CNBC, Walmart
While there was some demand for protection against the prospect of volatility reemerging, overall sentiment across Wall Street had gotten more bullish. Until Wall Street can be sure that the consumer will hold on (or not), conviction is easily shaken. After years of weird times and outsize gains, Wall Street is dancing on a knife's edge. After years of weird times and outsize gains, Wall Street is dancing on a knife's edge. What happened on Monday was a sudden realization that the new structure may assert itself before Wall Street imagined it would.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, we've, they'd, corporates, Dow, Mandy Xu, Cboe's, Wall, Torsten Slok, Slok, Shake, Kevin Gordon, Charles Schwab, they've Organizations: Dow Jones, Bank of Japan, Big Tech, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Wall, Apollo Global Management, Corporations, Companies Locations: Asia, Japan, Mexico
Social media keeps catching Wall Street off guard
  + stars: | 2024-08-11 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +11 min
In 2015, he created TickerTags, a social media data aggregator that tracks company mentions, and sold it to Jefferies' M Science. To be fair…Speculating and making decisions based on social media trends is a risky wager. Wall Street doesn't always respond to social media trends that could negatively drive fundamentals because there aren't tools to understand the impacts, McKeown noted. In the event a social media trend is mentioned, it's not factored into their valuation model, Ober added. How social media sentiment plays into a thesis should depend on an investor's time horizon.
Persons: It's, Bud Light's, influencer Dylan Mulvaney, BUD, Kirk McKeown, Chris Camillo, Jefferies, Camillo, Bud, didn't, Paul Johnson, Laxman Narasimhan, misperception, Sara Senatore, I've, Senatore, Chipotle, Keith Lee, dollies, Brian Niccol, Goldman Sachs, They're, Matt Ober, they're, I'd, McKeown, it's, Ober Organizations: Service, Business, Anheuser, Busch, Wall Street, Pew Research Center, Molson, TAP, Starbucks, Nicusa Investment, Columbia Business School, of America Locations: Palestine, Gaza, SBUX
Can Dirt Clean the Climate?
  + stars: | 2024-08-10 | by ( Somini Sengupta | Matthew Abbott | Photographs | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
Across 100,000 acres in the vast agricultural heartland of Australia, an unusual approach is taking root to slow down the wrecking ball of climate change. Farmers are trying to tap the superpowers of tiny subterranean tendrils of fungus to pull carbon dioxide out of the air and stash it underground. It’s part of a big bet that entrepreneurs and investors around the world are making on whether dirt can clean up climate pollution. Like Loam Bio, companies like Andes and Groundworks Bio Ag are also experimenting with microbes. Silicate Carbon is milling leftover concrete into a fine powder, while several companies are scorching crop waste into charcoal.
Organizations: Farmers Locations: Australia, Australian, Mati
The third pattern he looks for, which he picked up from Minervini, is the volatility contraction pattern (VCP). AdvertisementIntraday VCPThe VCP pattern can be spotted over multiple days or weeks. The spike in green volume bars parallel to the first price spike demonstrates this in the chart below. AdvertisementFor Gajjala, it's an easier pattern to trade because the contraction period is longer than other patterns he watches for. Below is an example of a trade Gajjala took on Syntec Optics Holdings (OPTX) on November 17.
Persons: aren't, Gajjala, Mark Minervini, Norman Zadeh Organizations: Service, US, Business, Syntec Optics Holdings Locations: Dallas, Minervini
New York CNN —After a prolonged period of calm, financial markets went into a tailspin this week. One trigger for the selloff was the unraveling of the Japanese yen carry trade. Some investors say there could be more volatility to come, particularly since it’s unclear how much more the yen carry trade could unwind. The carry trade is “enormous. The unwinding of the carry trade and weak labor data came at a delicate time rife with uncertainty for Wall Street.
Persons: Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, , Steve Sosnick, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Dow, Liz Young Thomas Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nikkei, Dow, Nasdaq, Bank of Japan, Companies, Federal Reserve, Investors, CNBC, Interactive Brokers, Markets, Republican, Home Depot, Walmart Locations: New York, Israel, Ukraine, Russia
It’s called a sector rotation, and it happens all the time as part of the natural course of a business cycle. The US economy is still pretty strong, growing at an annualized rate close to 3% in the most recent quarter. But it’s not as if Americans have stopped going to restaurants — they’re just being a bit more discerning when they do. Instead, they’re going to Texas Roadhouse, where they can sit down and have some service with their meal. Or they’re swinging through Chipotle, which saw sales shoot up 11% last quarter at stores open at least a year.
Persons: CNN Business ’, they’ve, that’s, it’s, they’re, , Mark Hoplamazian, Marriott’s, Disney, Hugh Johnston, — they’ve, Pete Werner, wouldn’t Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Wall, Texas, Disney, CNN, Bloomberg Locations: New York, , Texas
Global markets reached levels of turbulence rarely seen this week, but traders at Goldman Sachs are unfazed and don't believe it is a sign of a big danger lurking. The S & P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average on Monday suffered their biggest one-day declines since 2022. The market then roared back with the S & P 500 posting its biggest gain since 2022 on Thursday. After the late-week comeback, the S & P 500 is only down for the week by about half a percent. .VIX 5D bar Wild week for VIX Goldman traders expect gains going forward, but they see the path higher as a "choppy" one.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Wall Street's, Goldman, VIX Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Eli Lilly, LLY Organizations: Goldman, Dow Jones, Monday, JPMorgan, pharma
The recent unwinding of the yen "carry trade" could remain a long-term headwind amid already turbulent markets. JPY= YTD mountain The Japanese yen's appreciation against the U.S. dollar marked the unwinding of the so-called carry trade. "There's still quite a significant yen short position out there," Osborne said. He estimates that there is still a roughly $15 billion yen short position through July 30, still to be covered. In other words, that short position could drive more strength in the yen as that position is covered.
Persons: , Shaun Osborne, Osborne, Everyone's, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, FedWatch, Ben Emons Organizations: Bank of, U.S, Scotiabank, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Wolfe Research, Swiss Locations: Bank of Japan, Japan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEarn Your Leisure founders on teaching the youth about finances, investing and moreEarn Your Leisure’s Troy Millings and Rashad Bilal, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss retail traders and unpacking a volatile week.
Persons: Troy Millings, Rashad Bilal
Watch Friday's full episode of Fast Money — August 9, 2024
  + stars: | 2024-08-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch Friday's full episode of Fast Money — August 9, 2024"Fast Money" is America's post-market show. Hosted by Melissa Lee and a roundtable of top traders, "Fast Money" breaks through the noise of the day, to bring you the actionable news that matters most to investors.
Persons: Melissa Lee
Up to this point, wealth management businesses have only facilitated trades if customers specifically requested exposure to these new spot crypto funds. Of Morgan Stanley's $1.5 trillion in assets under management, the bank disclosed in a May 13F filing that it held around $270 million in spot bitcoin ETFs. The expectation is that other wirehouses and asset managers, who have been on the sidelines performing in-house due diligence on spot crypto ETFs, might feel the pressure to soon follow Morgan Stanley's lead. The spot ether ETFs, which launched less than three weeks ago, have seen relatively tepid flows compared to the blockbuster launch of spot bitcoin ETFs in January. The bitcoin funds collectively hold $54.30 billion in assets under management, versus $7.25 billion across the spot ether funds.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Morgan, Morgan Stanley's Organizations: BlackRock, Fidelity Locations: bitcoin, Japan, lockstep
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. It's a big one for retail with earnings from Home Depot and Walmart and, more broadly, the Commerce Department's July retail sales report. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Eli Lilly, Cowen, TJ Maxx, we'll, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Apple, Nvidia, Management, Home Depot, Walmart, Commerce, TJX, Reserve, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Marshall's
U.S. Treasury yields were lower Friday as investors continued to assess the state of the U.S. economy after labor data buoyed sentiment. The yield on the 10-year Treasury was around 6 basis points lower at 3.94% at 4 p.m. Nonetheless, it was holding near the level it was at last week before a weak U.S. jobs report helped trigger a run of global market volatility. The yield on the 2-year note was up less than 1 basis point on the day at 4.051%. Yields and prices move in opposite directions, and one basis point equals one one-hundredth (0.01%) of a percent.
Organizations: Treasury Locations: U.S
Stocks ticked up Friday as the stock market built on its incredible comeback from Monday's violent rout. The broad market index ended the week just shy of completely reversing its weekly losses. The S&P 500 advanced 0.47% to finish at 5,344.16. Week to date, the broad market index was just 0.04% lower. The Dow on Monday tumbled 1,000 points, while the S&P 500 lost 3% for its worst day since 2022.
Persons: Stocks Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, Federal Reserve
Prices of safe-haven gold edged higher on Thursday, supported by Middle East tensions and optimism surrounding U.S. rate cuts, while traders awaited economic data for clues on the Federal Reserve's policy trajectory. Gold prices rose more than 1% on Thursday, supported by firm safe-haven demand and growing expectations for a sizeable interest rate cut from the U.S. Federal Reserve in September. Spot gold rose 1.27% to settle at $2,463.3. Brokerages including J.P.Morgan, Citigroup and Wells Fargo have forecast a 50-basis-point interest rate cut by the Fed in September after last week's U.S. jobs data. Gold prices fell as much as 3% on Monday, caught in a global sell-off driven by fears of a U.S. recession.
Persons: Alex Ebkarian, Bullion Organizations: Federal, U.S . Federal Reserve, J.P.Morgan, Citigroup, Fed Locations: Iran, Israel, Wells, U.S
JPMorgan raises 2024 recession odds to 35%
  + stars: | 2024-08-08 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The bank raised its probability for a U.S. or global recession to 35% by year end, chief global economist Bruce Kasman told clients in a Wednesday note. Meanwhile, JPMorgan kept its odds for a recessionary period by the second half of 2025 at 45%. But traders got better news on the labor market front on Thursday, with the volume of weekly jobless claims coming in lower than economists expected. To be sure, despite raising his odds, Kasman said investors should not assume all signs point to a recession. In fact, Kasman described his increase to near-term recession risk as modest.
Persons: Bruce Kasman, Kasman, Goldman Sachs Organizations: JPMorgan, Federal, Fed Locations: U.S
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