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LONDON — European stocks are expected to rally at the start of the new trading week, with global markets keeping a close eye on U.S. inflation data out Wednesday. European markets are set to follow in the footsteps of their counterparts in Asia-Pacific, where markets were mostly higher overnight. The rally comes after global stock markets see-sawed last week with steep sell-offs followed by a sharp rebound. U.S. stock futures were lower as investors awaited key inflation data due later this week. In focus is the U.S. producer price index report for July, out Tuesday, followed by the country's latest consumer price index data on Wednesday, with investors looking for signs that price growth is stabilizing.
Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: CAC, IG Locations: Asia, Pacific, U.S
As fears of a recession grip stock markets and consumers get squeezed, outperforming fund manager Sean Peche is betting on an unexpected retail player: the French multinational Carrefour . Peche, a portfolio manager at Ranmore Fund Management, highlighted the company's defensive nature and ability to grow earnings amid inflation as a key attractive quality. Peche noted that Carrefour has significantly increased its revenue over the past few years while maintaining stable inventory levels. The retailer's total revenue increased from 74.2 billion euros ($80.96 billion) in 2018 to 84.9 billion euros in 2023, according to FactSet data, a rise of 14.4%. The fund manager also highlighted Carrefour's growth in own-label products, which now account for nearly 40% of revenues.
Persons: Sean Peche, Peche, You've, CNBC's, There's, Cedric Lecasble, Stifel, Lecasble, Mahamkali Organizations: Carrefour, Peche, Ranmore Fund Management, Ranmore Global Equity Fund, Tesco, FactSet, UBS Locations: French, U.S, Germany, Switzerland, Carrefour, France, Brazil, Europe
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Monday reviewed what could have lead to last week's massive sell-off, telling investors the declines may have been facilitated by failed market strategies from larger institutions. Japan's stock market also declined sharply, with the Nikkei seeing its worst day since the "Black Monday" crash of 1987. To Cramer, last week's declines might have been caused by money managers from a variety of firms who used Japan's low interest rates to borrow money an invest in other global assets. "We've had so many sell-offs based on mistaken strategies by large institutions," Cramer said. "Let's remember last Monday's selloff and consider that it might've been about nothing more than flailing money managers, which is often the case with these big market meltdowns."
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, We've, selloff Organizations: Dow Jones, Nikkei, Bank of Japan
U.S. crude oil topped $77 per barrel on Monday, rising for the fifth day as the Pentagon dispatched more forces to the Middle East in anticipation of an Iranian attack on Israel. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin ordered a carrier strike group, including F-35 warplanes, to accelerate its deployment to the region. Austin also ordered a guided-missile submarine to the Middle East. Here are Monday's energy prices:Israel has been preparing for strikes by Iran and the Hezbollah militia for nearly two weeks, after the assassination of a Hamas leader in Tehran. U.S. crude oil is trading higher even as OPEC lowered its global demand growth forecast by 135,000 barrels per day, citing softening consumption in China.
Persons: Lloyd Austin, Austin, Phil Flynn Organizations: Pentagon, Israel . Defense, UBS, Price Futures Group, Bank of Japan Locations: Israel, Iran, Tehran, China
US stocks were lower on Monday as investors looked to new economic data due out in the week. This week, markets will get updates on consumer and producer inflation and retail sales for July. The stock market ended last week nearly flat after the biggest sell-off in over two years. On Tuesday, data on wholesale inflation will be released, though the main event for the week will be consumer inflation data on Wednesday with the consumer price index report for July. On an annual basis, inflation is expected to show prices rose 3% last month, in-line with June figures.
Persons: Organizations: Service, Bank of America Locations: June's
New inflation data will arrive on Tuesday with the producer price index report for July. AdvertisementUS stocks wavered on Monday, struggling to keep the rally that materialized at the end of last week going ahead of new inflation data for July. On Tuesday, investors will digest the first of two inflation data points due out this week. The producer price index, a measure of wholesale inflation, is expected to be in-line with the June data at 0.2%. The second update will be the main event, with the consumer price index set to show the rise in inflation faced by the average consumer last month.
Persons: , Louis Nevallier Organizations: Traders, Service, Fed, Pentagon Locations: Here's, Iran, Israel, Tehran
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading on May 31, 2024 in New York City. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Asia markets climb higherAsia-Pacific markets were mostly higher on Monday ahead of U.S. economic data later in the week. [PRO] Distinct marketWhile U.S. and Japanese indexes fell sharply amid recent volatility, the MSCI China index rose slightly, reinforcing China's distinct market status despite slower growth.
Persons: Disney, Indiana Jones, Donald Trump, Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Elon Musk, Elon Musk's, Warren, Tesla, Robyn Denholm, Musk, Hai Precision Industry —, , Australia's, Hong Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Wall, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Magic, Hollywood, Inc, Animal Kingdom, Trump, Trump Media, SpaceX, Twitter, Hai Precision Industry, SK Hynix, China's CSI, U.S Locations: New York City, U.S, Magic Kingdom, Disney's California, Friday's, Asia, Pacific, Taiwan, Australian, China
Yen slips, markets brace for U.S. inflation data
  + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Last week ended calmer, with Thursday's stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs data leading markets to pare bets for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year. "It's more a case of market squaring up a little bit ahead of the U.S. inflation data," said Christopher Wong, currency strategist at OCBC Bank in Singapore. The dollar was trading at 146.87 yen , up 0.2% from late U.S. levels on Friday. The Aussie was barely up at $0.6577 on Monday, while the New Zealand dollar stayed below last week's three-week high of $0.6035. Implied volatility on the yen, measured in yen options, has also subsided.
Persons: Bank of Japan's hawkishness, Jackson, Christopher Wong, J.P, Morgan Organizations: Bank of Japan's, Federal Reserve, Nvidia, OCBC Bank, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New, Bank, Japan, U.S . Commodity Futures Trading Commission Locations: U.S, Singapore, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
CNN —Donald Trump’s campaign, which has whiffed in its early attacks on Kamala Harris’ new presidential campaign, will grapple this week for a more effective foothold after the vice president transformed an election of stunning surprises. On Sunday, for instance, he spread a new false conspiracy theory over the size of Harris’ rally crowd in Michigan last week. Trump’s campaign was also forced on Saturday to deny a report in The New York Times that he’d privately referred to Harris as a “b*tch” as he bemoaned her momentum. Therefore, a debate expected between Trump and Harris on ABC on September 10 looms as a pivotal new moment in the campaign. But as Trump has shown in recent days, he still hasn’t worked out a way to respond to the suddenly changed circumstances of the campaign.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Kamala Harris ’, Harris, he’d, bullish, Tim Walz, Joe Biden, , Biden, Trump, Biden administration’s, , Harris ’, Elon Musk, Walz, , “ It’s, ” Trump, Sen, JD Vance, Vance, CNN’s Dana, ” Vance, Kamala Harris, Vance wriggled, Trump’s, Nick Fuentes, Usha, Fuentes, Donald Trump …, “ misspoke, there’s, she’s, hasn’t Organizations: CNN, The New York Times, Republican, bullish Republicans, Minnesota Gov, Trump, New York Times, Siena College, Democratic, San, Ohio Republican, GOP, Army National Guard, Congress, Union, CBS, Court, White, Minnesota, ABC, Fox Locations: Michigan, Montana, The, Siena, Wisconsin , Michigan, Pennsylvania, Chicago, North Carolina, San Francisco, Ohio, Iraq, “ State, , America, Russia, China
Did you have a job, own a home, and have significant investments in the stock market? If the answer was yes to all three, then there's a decent chance you're feeling OK about the current state of your finances. But the job market has slowed over the past year. To be sure, not everyone has enough extra cash to invest in the stock market. This is among the reasons a growing share of Americans have dipped their toes into the stock market.
Persons: , haven't, there's, There's, It's, what's, Roland Hesmondhalgh, he's, Republicans —, Tiffany Bell, didn't, Bell, she's, she'll Organizations: Service, Business, Federal Reserve, University of Michigan, Republicans, Federal Locations: Virginia, Pennsylvania, Houston
Commodity prices have tumbled over the past month, signaling underlying weakness in the global economy despite the U.S. stock market bouncing back from recession fears. But commodity markets may be telling a different story about the global economy. The Invesco DB Base Metals Fund is down more than 7% over the past month, while crude oil futures dropped 14% from July 5 through Aug. 5. @HG.1 YTD mountain Copper futures, YTD Weakness in China, the world's second-largest economy, is weighing on copper and oil in particular, Melek said. OPEC on Monday lowered its global oil demand growth forecast this year by 135,000 barrels per day as expectations in China have softened.
Persons: Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Bart Melek, DBB @HG, We've, Melek, I'm Organizations: U.S, Investors, Invesco DB Base Metals, Wolfe Research, TD Securities, DBB, Metals, Copper, CNBC, Global, Beijing, European Union, World Trade Organization, Federal Reserve, Securities Locations: U.S, China, Beijing, Jackson Hole , Wyoming
In a note on Aug. 7, Goldman's analysts revealed a number of top picks, including three buy-rated Japanese stocks with over 40% upside potential over the next 12 months. Year-to-date, Asics shares are up 99.5%. Goldman has a target price of 3,100 Japanese Yen ($21.07) on the stock, giving it around 50% upside potential at the time of the note. Goldman has a target price of 6,900 Japanese Yen on the stock, or 37% potential upside. Goldman has a target price of 4,850 Japanese Yen on the stock, giving it around 54% upside potential at the time of the bank's note.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, U.S . Asics Corporation Goldman, Sho Kawano, Asics, Goldman, Suntory Beverage & Food Goldman, Takashi Miyazaki, Miyazaki, Ryo Harada, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nikkei, Tokyo Stock Exchange, U.S . Asics Corporation, Asics Corp, Suntory Beverage & Food, Asia Pacific, Suntory, Yen, Hitachi Locations: U.S, Japan, Europe, Asia
These women talk openly about being rich and wanting to help other women become rich too. She also launched a platform called Treasury, which says it has helped women invest over $80 million in the stock market. "I couldn't really find anyone who was teaching money the way that I wanted to learn it," Sacks said. And it's probably getting really smart about how you save money, taking the money that you are saving and investing it and building wealth." Young women, on the other hand, are turning to more tried-and-true tactics.
Persons: Dave Ramsey, Tori Dunlap, It's, Dunlap, Dow Jones, Simran Kaur, Rachel Rodgers, Z, Kaur, Zers, Haley Sacks, Sacks, Cartier, Kylie Jenner, Suze Orman, it's, they're, Rita Soledad Fernández Paulino, Leah Sheppard, Gen Zers, , Rita Soledad Fernández Paulino Sacks, Kyla Scanlon, Scanlon, aren't, Fernández Paulino, weren't Organizations: Economic, Institute, Washington State, Carson College of Business, GameStop, Fidelity Investments, Federal Reserve's Survey, Consumer Finances Locations: Tacoma , Washington, Dunlap, Instagram, Zealand, York, California
S & P down 5.50% here, headlines of a Nikkei crash, and another great Yen carry unwind happening. I traded for a hedge fund and served as senior technical analyst for an foreign exchange company during the great financial crisis of 2008 that saw a severe yen carry unwind. If the line is headed south the dollar is weakening relative to the yen, and the yen is strengthening relative to the dollar. I believe that the July 11th CPI print that came 0.1% below expectations was the culprit to this whole yen carry unwind. Could this yen carry unwind move further?
Persons: it's, Todd Gordon Organizations: Nikkei, Markets, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
While there was some demand for protection against the prospect of volatility reemerging, overall sentiment across Wall Street had gotten more bullish. Until Wall Street can be sure that the consumer will hold on (or not), conviction is easily shaken. After years of weird times and outsize gains, Wall Street is dancing on a knife's edge. After years of weird times and outsize gains, Wall Street is dancing on a knife's edge. What happened on Monday was a sudden realization that the new structure may assert itself before Wall Street imagined it would.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, we've, they'd, corporates, Dow, Mandy Xu, Cboe's, Wall, Torsten Slok, Slok, Shake, Kevin Gordon, Charles Schwab, they've Organizations: Dow Jones, Bank of Japan, Big Tech, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Wall, Apollo Global Management, Corporations, Companies Locations: Asia, Japan, Mexico
The latest global market volatility has reinforced China's status as a distinct market, even if its growth has slowed recently. While U.S. tech stocks plunged and Japanese stocks swung wildly in a historic two days of price action , Chinese stocks suffered less . The investors remained net buyers of Chinese stocks for the third quarter so far as of Aug. 6, the data showed. Finally, the low correlation of the China stock market with the U.S. stock market could provide investors with diversification benefits." Chinese stocks, especially those traded on the mainland, have historically been less correlated to global market moves due to Beijing's capital controls and other restrictions.
Persons: Matt Wacher, William Yuen, Invesco, That's, Steven Sun, Paul Christopher, Morningstar's Wacher, it's, Wacher Organizations: Nasdaq, Nikkei, Morningstar Investment Management, U.S, HSBC, Technology, Shanghai —, Bank of, Federal Reserve, Treasury, HSBC Qianhai Securities, National Bureau, Statistics, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Index Locations: Asia, U.S, Shanghai, China, Pacific, EPFR, Hong Kong, Bank of China, Wells Fargo
In May, six Adani Group companies disclosed they had received notices from SEBI alleging violation of Indian stock market rules. Alongside the inquiry into the Adani group, SEBI sent a "show cause" notice to Hindenburg Research alleging that the short-seller violated the country's rules by setting up a short-bet using non-public information. Hindenburg Research said these allegations were "nonsense" in a note published on its website in July, which also made public the regulator's notice. In its latest report, Hindenburg attempts to draw a link between offshore funds that traded in Adani Group shares and personal investments of Buch and her husband. It says that Bermuda-based Global Opportunities Fund, which according to a Financial Times investigation was used by entities connected to the Adani group to trade in share of group companies, had sub-funds.
Persons: Puri, Hindenburg, Buch, Vinod Adani, Gautam Adani, SEBI Organizations: Hindenburg Research, Hindenburg, SEBI, Sunday, Securities and Exchange Board of India, Adani, Adani Group, Fund, Financial Times, Buch, Securities, Exchange Board of India Locations: Krakow, Poland, Puri Buch, Buch, Bermuda
For example, this season started with the banks roaring higher on great numbers, legitimately great numbers led by a phenomenal Bank of America quarter. The later just made no sense because it is pulling away from Intel on the low end and if Nvidia really does have production problems then AMD is the de facto winner. In fact, the only stock that didn't suffer from an Nvidia relation, Apple, got through earnings without too much trouble. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.
Persons: , techs, We've, Warren Buffett, Buffett, industrials Eaton, Donald Trump, we've, execs, I've, Kamala Harris, Trump, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Rob Kim Organizations: Federal Reserve, of America, Bank of America, Club, Apple, Fed, SL Green, Boston Properties, Nvidia, Arista Networks, Micron, Dell, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Devices, Intel, AMD, Accenture, Deloitte, McKinsey, White, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: Lowe's
U.S. equity futures fell on Sunday evening as investors braced for key inflation data, after almost completely reversing its violent market rout last week. S&P 500 futures dipped 0.08% and Nasdaq 100 futures inched lower by 0.05%. Fear often works in our favor as stock market investors. "Another round of good [inflation] data could help calm fears that the Fed is potentially losing the plot," Cox said. "Retail sales and retailer earnings may show that fears of a job market slowdown are overblown," she added.
Persons: Callie Cox, they'll, Cox Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Ritholtz Wealth Management, CNBC, Walmart
The poll found Harris beating Trump 50% to 46% among likely voters in all three states, though those leads are within the survey's margins of error. Likely voters are a subset of the entire pool of registered voters surveyed. From Monday to Thursday, the poll surveyed 619 registered voters in Michigan and 661 registered voters in Wisconsin. Trump has a nine-point lead with voters on his handling of the economy compared to Harris, according to the Times/Siena poll. The Times/Siena poll found Walz had a 36% favorability rating among registered voters, the same as Trump's running mate, Ohio Sen. JD Vance.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Joe Biden, Biden, Recessionary, Tim Walz, Walz, Ohio Sen, JD Vance, Vance Organizations: New York Times, Siena, Trump, The Times, Democratic, Times, Republican, Minnesota Gov Locations: Michigan , Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Siena, Philadelphia
Mortgage rates fell dramatically this week, with 30-year mortgage rates even briefly dipping below 6% for the first time since early 2023, according to Zillow data. This should remove a lot of the upward pressure off of mortgage rates and allow them to ease. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage Refinance Rates TodayMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. As inflation slows and the Federal Reserve is able to start cutting the federal funds rate, mortgage rates are expected to drop.
Persons: they've, Fannie Mae Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Zillow, Mortgage, Association, ARM Locations: Chevron
With this in mind, CNBC Pro screened for the most overbought and oversold stocks on the Street, as measured by their 14-day relative strength index, or RSI. Alternatively, stocks are viewed as oversold with an RSI below 30, which suggests a possible buying opportunity. While shares are slightly positive on the week, up nearly 1%, the stock has tumbled 10% in 2024. TTWO YTD mountain Take-Two Interactive Software, year-to-date Other stocks that made the oversold group are artificial intelligence infrastructure play Super Micro Computer and Ulta Beauty . The stock closed out the week nearly 25% higher and is up more than 41% this year.
Persons: Stocks, Hugh Johnston, Mars, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, CNBC Pro, Disney, Software, Lockheed, RBC Locations: U.S
A wild week of trading on Wall Street ended with the S & P 500 back roughly where it started, but the lessons learned by whipsawed investors over those five days could determine what happens next. The S & P 500 had its worst day since 2022 on Monday, and then its best since 2022 on Thursday. But with the S & P 500 ending the week down less than 0.1% in a calm session on Friday, the market seems to have stabilized. .SPX 5D mountain The S & P 500 finished the week nearly flat. And I think that has to do with investors really being a little bit skeptical about some of this equity market volatility."
Persons: Tim Hayes, Ned Davis, Gennadiy Goldberg, didn't, Jeremy Schwartz, Peter Berezin, aren't, Wellington, Frank Gretz, RJ O'Brien, Tom Fitzpatrick, Fitzpatrick Organizations: Wall, Treasury, Ned, Ned Davis Research, TD Securities, CNBC, Japan —, Nikkei, Bank of Japan, BCA Research, Wellington Shields, Associates Locations: Japan
The recent sell-off in stocks could be a warning sign for what's coming for the economy, Mark Mobius said. If you look at the money supply growth in America, it is very low now," he said. We have more problems in the US and, that will affect the global situation unless the money supply is increased much more than it is now." Disruptions in the stock market are usually the signal "before the actual economic effects are seen," he added. A full-fledged bear market is unlikely, Bank of America said, as the market isn't flashing technical signals that would suggest a peak in stock prices.
Persons: Mark Mobius, Mobius, , Monday's, Stocks Organizations: Economic, Service, Mobius Capital, Bank of Japan, Economic Times, Fed, Bank of America Locations: Japan, America
The third pattern he looks for, which he picked up from Minervini, is the volatility contraction pattern (VCP). AdvertisementIntraday VCPThe VCP pattern can be spotted over multiple days or weeks. The spike in green volume bars parallel to the first price spike demonstrates this in the chart below. AdvertisementFor Gajjala, it's an easier pattern to trade because the contraction period is longer than other patterns he watches for. Below is an example of a trade Gajjala took on Syntec Optics Holdings (OPTX) on November 17.
Persons: aren't, Gajjala, Mark Minervini, Norman Zadeh Organizations: Service, US, Business, Syntec Optics Holdings Locations: Dallas, Minervini
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