Top related persons:
Top related locs:
Top related orgs:

Search resuls for: "CME FedWatch"


25 mentions found


Asian shares extend global rally
  + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( Stella Qiu | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Brent oil rose 1% to $76.89 a barrel, giving up some of its earlier gains to as high as $78.73, while U.S. crude climbed 1.2% to $72.61 a barrel, after hitting a session high of $75.06. Oil prices have recently come under pressure amid heightened concerns about China's slowing economic recovery. "With Saudi Arabia protecting oil prices from sliding too low ... we think oil markets are now more prone to a shortfall later this year," said Vivek Dhar, a mining and energy commodities strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia. S&P 500 futures dipped 0.1% and Nasdaq futures dropped 0.3% in Asian hours, after a strong rally on Friday, driven by a mixed U.S. jobs report, a resolution to the debt-ceiling issue and the prospect of a U.S. rate pause this month. The U.S. dollar remained elevated on Monday at 104.14 against its major peers, after gaining 0.5% on Friday on the jobs report.
Persons: Brent, Vivek Dhar, Hong, Fitch, Himani Sarkar, Sam Holmes Organizations: Nikkei, Saudi, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, bbl, Japan's Nikkei, Nasdaq, Treasury, AAA, U.S, Bank of Canada, Reuters, BOC, Thomson Locations: SYDNEY, U.S, Saudi Arabia, OPEC, China, Asia, Pacific, Japan, United States, Australia, Canada
Gold eases as firmer dollar offsets support from bets on Fed pause
  + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices edged lower in rangebound trading on Monday as the dollar firmed after a strong U.S. payrolls report, overshadowing support from prospects that the Federal Reserve would pause its rate hikes this month. Spot gold was down 0.2% at $1,944.69 per ounce as of 0256 GMT, trading in a $6 range. But the unemployment rate surged to a seven-month high of 3.7% from a 53-year low of 3.4% in April. Asian shares extended a global rally on optimism that the Fed would pause its rate hikes this month, while oil prices jumped. Spot silver inched down 0.2% to $23.53 per ounce, platinum rose 0.2% to $1,005.00 per ounce, while palladium shed 0.6% to $1,412.46.
Persons: nonfarm, Philip Jefferson, Matt Simpson Organizations: Argor Hebaeus SA, Federal, Reuters, Index, U.S . House Locations: Swiss, Budapest, Hungary, U.S
The Wall Street Journal reported Monday that financial industry regulators could announce a proposal, as early as this month, seeking to increase the rainy-day funds of big banks. Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo, while never a worry during the recent mini-banking crisis, have both seen their stocks decline in the wake of the SVB collapse and struggle to regain their footing. Should Morgan Stanley really be penalized more than others just because it offers fee-based wealth management solutions, which through strong execution have grown? However, we're inclined to consider a capital requirement change opportunistically, especially as it relates to Morgan Stanley. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: financials Morgan Stanley, Wells, it's, Morgan Stanley, isn't, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Bing Guan Organizations: Street, Bank, WSJ, Assistance, CNBC, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Wells Fargo
Mortgage rates are starting June much higher than they started last month. The average 30-year mortgage rate increased to 6.79% last week, according to Freddie Mac, while they were at 6.39% in early May. If the Fed pauses rates, this would likely take the upward pressure off of mortgage rates. But whether mortgage rates will drop in 2023 hinges on if the Federal Reserve can get inflation under control. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.
Persons: Freddie Mac, there's, you'll, Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal Reserve, Zillow, Mortgage, Association, Sky Locations: Chevron
The exuberant mood looked set to continue in Europe, with Eurostoxx 50 futures up 0.45%, German DAX futures up 0.49% and FTSE futures 0.18% higher. The Treasury Department had warned it would be unable to pay all its bills on June 5 if Congress failed to act. "The market's focus is shifting to the economic front and Fed's decision on rates now," said Tina Teng, markets analysts at CMC Markets. AMP's Oliver said the prevailing sentiment now is that there will be a pause in June and that's helped markets. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index (.AXJO) rose 0.42%, while Japan's Nikkei (.N225) was 1% higher, continuing its hot run.
Persons: DAX, Shane Oliver, Tina Teng, Patrick Harker, Harker, AMP's Oliver, that's, there'll, Australia's, Sterling, Brent, Ankur Banerjee, Lincoln, Kim Coghill Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S . Senate, Representatives, Treasury Department, AMP, CMC Markets, Labor, Philadelphia Federal, Japan's Nikkei, Treasury, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Europe, Sydney, U.S, China, Shanghai
The Treasury Department had warned it would be unable to pay all its bills on June 5 if Congress failed to act. Markets though seemed to have moved on to focus on what the Fed will do in two weeks as U.S. economic data bolstered the case for the Fed to stand pat. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX), which has been languishing near two-month lows, should get a lift. In the corporate world, Goldman Sachs plans to cut more jobs, the bank's president said, as a difficult economic environment weighs on dealmaking. In January, it let go about 3,200 employees, its biggest head count reduction since the 2008 financial crisis.
Persons: Ankur Banerjee, Joe Biden, Patrick Harker, Labor Department's, Goldman Sachs, Ella Irwin, Edmund Klamann Organizations: Ankur, Reserve, U.S, Senate, Treasury Department, Fed, Philadelphia Federal, Nikkei, Labor, Twitter, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Asia, Europe, U.S, Japan, Singapore
SINGAPORE, June 2 (Reuters) - Asian stocks surged on Friday as the progress on the bill to raise U.S. debt ceiling and increasing hopes that the Federal Reserve might stand still on interest rates in its next meeting helped perk up investor appetite for risky assets. Harry Ottley, an economist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia, said the signs of slowing wage pressure has raised hopes that the Federal Reserve will pause raising interest rates in two weeks. Comments from Fed officials also helped embolden Fed pause hopes, with Philadelphia Federal Reserve President Patrick Harker saying U.S. central bankers should not raise interest rates at their next meeting. In early Asian hours, the two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, was up 0.6 basis points at 4.347%, having slipped around 5 basis points on Thursday. The yield on 10-year Treasury notes was up 0.2 basis points to 3.610%, while the yield on the 30-year Treasury bond was down 0.6 basis points to 3.829%.
Persons: Chuck Schumer, Harry Ottley, CBA's Ottley, embolden, Patrick Harker, Harker, Sterling, Brent, Ankur Banerjee, Lincoln Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, Senate, Democratic, Treasury, Japan's Nikkei, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Federal, Traders, U.S . House, Labor, Philadelphia Federal, Nasdaq, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Washington, Asia, Pacific, Japan, China, Shanghai, U.S
"The underlying numbers in the report today show that the Fed can probably feel comfortable with maybe one more rate hike, and then pausing." Or, at least those concerns were true until Friday's explosive rally, when more than six New York Stock Exchange issues rose for every one that fell, and all 11 sectors in the S & P 500 gained. Friday's advance carried the S & P 500 to its highest since Aug. 18, 2022, when the benchmark closed at 4,283.74. Another favorable straw in the wind may simply be the fact that the 11.2% rally in the S & P 500, just since the mid-March lows accompanying the failure of Silicon Valley Bank, is so hated and mistrusted. Week-ahead calendar Monday 9:45 a.m.: S & P Global Services PMI (May) 10 a.m.: Durable goods and factory orders (April) 10 a.m.: ISM services PMI (May) Tuesday Earnings: J.M.
Persons: Megan Horneman, Canaccord Genuity, JC O'Hara, Roth MKM, Ross Mayfield, Baird, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, Brown, Forman, — CNBC's Alexander Harring, Fred Imbert, Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Verdence Capital Advisors, Nvidia, New York Stock Exchange, Silicon Valley Bank, Bank of America, P Global Services PMI, PMI, Growers, Ciena, GameStop Locations: Broad, 2H23, Silicon
The Dow soared 700 points to end the week as traders cheered the end of the debt ceiling fight. The Senate voted to send the bill to raise to country's borrowing limit for two years to Biden's desk. Markets were also encouraged by strong nonfarm payroll data that showed employers added 339,000 jobs in May. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen had warned that the US would run out of cash in early June without raising the debt ceiling. Nonfarm payroll data for May showed that employers added 339,000 jobs last month, blowing past estimates of 180,000.
Persons: , Joe Biden's, Janet Yellen Organizations: Dow, Service, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Fed
The Hang Seng (HSNGY)closed 4% higher, notching its biggest one-day gain in three months. Brent crude, the benchmark for global oil prices, gained almost 1.6% to trade at $75.46 a barrel. Hang Seng reboundsIn Hong Kong, the two best-performing stocks were Chinese real estate developers Longfor Group (LNGPF) and Country Garden Services, soaring 17% and 12% respectively. Citing people familiar with the matter, Bloomberg reported Friday that China was working on such measures. Elsewhere in Asia, South Korea’s Kospi index ended the day 1.3% up, Japan’s Nikkei 225 was 1.2% higher, and the Shanghai Composite Index gained 0.8%.
Persons: Philip Jefferson, Joe Biden, , , Richard Hunter, ” Dow, Germany’s DAX, DAX Organizations: London CNN — Global, US, Markets, Treasury, Interactive, Nasdaq, CAC, Brent, Longfor, Garden Services, Bloomberg, Nikkei Locations: Hong Kong, London, China, France, Qingdao, Asia, South, Shanghai
New York CNN —The Dow surged over 700 points mid-afternoon Friday as investors applauded Congress’s passage of the debt ceiling deal and celebrated a cheerful jobs report. The blue-chip index soared 734 points, or 2.2%, putting it on track for the best daily gain since November 2022. A mixed May jobs report also helped boost stocks. “The May jobs report is a particularly difficult one for the Fed to parse,” Bank of America economists wrote in a Friday note. “We think the May jobs report is just soft enough to justify a hold.”
Persons: , , Keith Lerner Organizations: New, New York CNN, Dow, Nasdaq, Senate, Advisory Services . Futures, ” Bank of America Locations: New York, United States
Fed officials pointed toward a rate hike "skip" at its June 13-14 meeting, giving time for the central bank to assess the impact of its tightening cycle thus far against still-strong inflation data. U.S. manufacturing contracted for a seventh straight month in May as new orders continued to plummet amid higher interest rates, but factories boosted employment to a nine-month high. "We have made clear that we still have ground to cover to bring interest rates to sufficiently restrictive levels," Lagarde said in a speech. Money markets are pricing in an 85% chance of a 25 basis point hike when the ECB meets on June 15. "There's a sort of narrowing interest rate differential ... when the ECB is expected to hike one or two more times and the Fed is more questionable about that."
Persons: Christine Lagarde, Edward Moya, Patrick Harker, payrolls, Lagarde, John Velis, Hannah Lang, Joice Alves, Rae Wee, Andrew Heavens, Will Dunham, Mark Potter, Leslie Adler Organizations: Federal Reserve, Reserve, European Central Bank, Fed, OANDA, Philadelphia Federal, ADP, Institute for Supply Management, ECB, BNY Mellon, Thomson Locations: OANDA . U.S, Washington, London, Singapore
LONDON, June 1 (Reuters) - The euro held its ground on Thursday, above a two-month low, after European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde said inflation remains too high and further policy tightening was necessary. But the current level is still more than three times the ECB's 2% inflation target. "Today, inflation is too high and it is set to remain so for too long," Lagarde said in a speech. Money markets are pricing in an 85% chance of a 25 bps hike when the ECB meets on June 15. Another 25 bps hike is expected in July, according to Refinitiv.
Persons: Christine Lagarde, Lagarde, Simon Harvey, Luis de Guindos, Carol Kong, Joice Alves, Rae Wee, Simon Cameron, Moore, Sharon Singleton, Andrew Heavens Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB, Reserve, U.S . House, Fed, U.S, Democratic, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Thomson Locations: Europe, London, Singapore
The dollar was mixed in Asia trade and barely reacted to the vote, with the euro rising 0.04% against the greenback to $1.06895. Fed officials including the vice chair-designate pointed towards a rate hike "skip" in June, giving time for the U.S. central bank to assess the impact of its tightening cycle thus far against still strong inflation data. Elsewhere, the Japanese yen rose nearly 0.1% to 139.24 per dollar. CHINA'S BUMPY RECOVERYIn Asia, the Chinese offshore yuan rose over 0.1% to 7.1077, reversing some of its losses from the previous session, when it slumped to a six-month low. The yuan had fallen nearly 3% against the dollar in both the onshore and offshore markets in May, as China's post-COVID economic recovery struggles to gain steam.
Persons: Sterling, Carol Kong, Christopher Wong, Rae Wee, Christian Schmollinger Organizations: Federal Reserve, House, Democratic, U.S, Fed, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, U.S ., New, People's Bank of China, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Asia, Japan, China, New Zealand
New data out Wednesday showed that job openings and hiring both rose in April, while unemployment sits near 53-year lows. What’s happening: The number of available jobs in the United States rose unexpectedly in April after three months of declines. Job openings climbed to 10.1 million in April, according to data released Wednesday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has said that he wants to see more slack in the labor market. “I love what I do,” Dimon told Bloomberg, adding he’s “quite happy” in his current job.
Persons: won’t, , Jerome Powell, Philip Jefferson, , Jefferson, Mark Hamrick, , Sam Stovall, David Kotok, Joe Biden, It’s, Mitch McConnell, ” Biden, Biden, Jamie Dimon, Elon Musk, Dimon, he’s, ” Dimon, Matt Egan, he’d Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Fed, Index, Commerce Department, FedWatch, Cumberland Advisors, Senate, , JPMorgan, Bloomberg Television, Bloomberg Locations: New York, China, Europe, United States, America
After spending much of May steadily climbing, mortgage rates have finally cooled a bit. A pause or cut in rates would likely remove some of the upward pressure off mortgage rates and allow them to trend down somewhat. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage Refinance Rates TodayMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Mortgage rates started ticking up from historic lows in the second half of 2021 and increased significantly in 2022.
Persons: Freddie Mac, it's Organizations: Federal, Zillow Locations: Chevron
A handful of hard-right Republican lawmakers said on Monday they would oppose a deal to raise the United States' $31.4 trillion debt ceiling. "Still, a higher debt ceiling and some reduction in spending in the FY24 budget are the middle ground." "Outside of any volatility generated by the debt ceiling issues, expectations for Fed rate hikes are likely to keep the dollar bid in the near term." Longer-dated U.S. Treasuries rallied in Asia on Tuesday on the debt ceiling deal. Until then, higher U.S. Treasury yields and weak expectations for BoJ tightening can push USD/JPY higher."
As the Fed aggressively hiked rates in 2022, mortgage rates also spiked. But if the central bank believes more increases are necessary, mortgage rates could remain elevated. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowToday's refinance ratesMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. But whether mortgage rates will drop in 2023 hinges on if the Federal Reserve can get inflation under control. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.
Dollar eases as deal over U.S. debt ceiling lifts risk appetite
  + stars: | 2023-05-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
A handful of hard-right Republican lawmakers said on Monday they would oppose a deal to raise the United States' $31.4 trillion debt ceiling. "Still, a higher debt ceiling and some reduction in spending in the FY24 budget are the middle ground." "Outside of any volatility generated by the debt ceiling issues, expectations for Fed rate hikes are likely to keep the dollar bid in the near term." Longer-dated U.S. Treasuries rallied in Asia on Tuesday on the debt ceiling deal. Until then, higher U.S. Treasury yields and weak expectations for BoJ tightening can push USD/JPY higher."
SINGAPORE, May 29 (Reuters) - The dollar held firm on Monday supported by growing expectations of further rate hikes by the U.S. Federal Reserve, though news that a debt ceiling deal had been finalised drew some of the safe haven bids away from the greenback. DEBT DEAL DONE? "We've got a risk-positive response so far to the debt deal news," said NAB's Attrill. "Obviously there's still the need to get this debt deal over the line, but I think markets are happy to travel on the presumption that it will get done before the new X-date." U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen had on Friday said the government would default if Congress did not increase the $31.4 trillion debt ceiling by June 5, having previously said a default could happen as early as June 1.
Looking ahead, investors this week will be laser-focused on Washington, as Congress prepares to vote on a bill to raise the U.S. debt ceiling . But the shortened trading week ahead still features some key earnings and economic data. ET: S & P/Case Shiller home price index (March) 10 a.m. ET: Employment report: Non-farm payrolls and jobless rate (May) Looking back Last week, three Club holdings reported earnings. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Gold prices slip on U.S. debt limit deal, Fed rate-hike bets
  + stars: | 2023-05-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Gold prices edged lower on Monday as a tentative deal sealed over the weekend to suspend the U.S. debt ceiling coupled with jitters around higher-for-longer interest rates dampened demand for the non-yielding metal. Spot gold was down 0.1% at $1,944.09 per ounce by 0252 GMT, hovering near two-month lows hit on Friday. Gold, which offers no yield of its own, tends to fall out of favor among investors when interest rates rise. Asian shares and U.S. stock futures rose as the deal to suspend the U.S. government's debt ceiling ended a protracted stalemate. Spot silver fell 0.2% to $23.26 per ounce, platinum edged 0.1% higher to $1,023.83, and palladium rose 0.3% to $1,428.07.
The yen's renewed decline has come on the back of rising U.S. Treasury yields, as bets grow that interest rates in the United States would stay higher for longer. Cash U.S. Treasuries were untraded in Asia on Monday, owing to the Memorial Day holiday in the United States, while futures were broadly steady. DEBT DEAL DONE? "We've got a risk-positive response so far to the debt deal news," said NAB's Attrill. "Obviously there's still the need to get this debt deal over the line, but I think markets are happy to travel on the presumption that it will get done before the new X-date."
Why does Wall Street expect a rate hike in June?
  + stars: | 2023-05-28 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
CNN —Wall Street expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates in June. Not only that, it finally believes the central bank when it says it likely won’t cut rates this year. Futures traders expected a roughly 66% chance of a quarter point rate hike in June as of Friday afternoon, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. That’s a drastic about-face from even earlier this month, when Wall Street expected the central bank to slash rates multiple times this year starting as early as this summer. “If it comes in hotter than expected, it almost locks a rate hike in” for June, said Heppenstall.
The closely watched core PCE index — where volatile components of food and energy are excluded — unexpectedly ticked up: The Fed’s go-to gauge was up 4.7% for the year. In March, the core PCE gauge grew by 4.6%. Economists had forecast that core PCE would hold steady at 4.6%, according to Refinitiv. Consumer spending jumped 0.8% in April from March, double what economists had expected. Excluding the effects of inflation, real consumer spending increased 0.5%, reflecting a boost seen from new car purchases, according to the report.
Total: 25