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"So why not be in a situation where you're just much more ready in case you...need to access this discount window?" An analysis of Fed data by Reuters, though, shows a lot still needs to be done to meet that goal. All told, about 3,800 banks borrowed from the discount window during the 11-year period detailed in the central bank data. The biggest banks also stepped up to borrow so as to reduce discount window stigma. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said small banks should think of the discount window as a backup.

Persons: Brittany Hosea, Jerome Powell, I’ve, Lorie Logan, Banks, Goldman Sachs, Huberto Ennis, Michelle Bowman, Brad Tidwell, SVB, Austan Goolsbee, Richmond Fed's Ennis, Neel Kashkari, Ann Saphir, Michael S, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Bank, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Reuters, Dallas, U.S, Fed, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Richmond Fed, National Credit Union Association, Chicago Fed, Federal Home Loan Bank, Minneapolis, Home Loan Bank, Thomson Locations: Santa Clara , California, U.S, Silicon, Washington, While California, Texas, Logan's, New Mexico, Louisiana, Henderson , Texas

Global Head of Fixed Income Group Sara Devereux said on Thursday the probability of another interest rate increase by the Fed this year stood at 50%. Beyond that, the U.S. central bank was likely to maintain a "hawkish hold" on rates. "We don't think they're going to cut rates anytime soon ... the Fed may have more work to do." Vanguard, which manages $8 trillion in assets, said its base case scenario remained for a shallow recession in 2024 as higher interest rates hit the economy. "The downside risk ... is the Fed overshoots and they drive us into a deeper recession."

Persons: Sara Devereux, Jerome Powell, Devereux, Davide Barbuscia, Matthew Lewis Organizations: YORK, Vanguard, Reserve, Thomson Locations: U.S, New York

☆ Inside the private-equity recruiting tornado that just hit — and why it may be turning some young bankers away from a career on the buyside
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-24 | by ( Emmalyse Brownstein | Reed Alexander | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Private-equity recruiting for 2025 roles officially kicked off Friday, including at Apollo and TPG. Many of those bankers had barely started their current investment-banking jobs, and others were still in training sessions for them. As always, the firms were recruiting first-year investment banking analysts for jobs that won't start until 2025. Midnight interviews are not uncommon in private-equity recruiting, nor are "exploding offers," which demand that candidates make a decision before leaving the interview room to prevent them from shopping around. $300,000 offersOver the years, on-cycle recruiting has crept up on candidates earlier and earlier.

Persons: I'm, It's, Carlyle, Warburg Pincus, —, webinar, headhunting, Brian O'Callghan, O'Callaghan Organizations: Apollo, TPG, nab, General Atlantic, KKR, Permira, TPG Capital, Labor Locations: York

☆ Cathie Wood says her flagship innovation fund has completely exited China
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-21 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Ark Invest's Cathie Wood said her flagship innovation fund has reduced its China exposure to zero as the developing market faces an economic slowdown. ARKK used to own shares in Chinese tech giant Tencent and property site KE Holdings . The innovation investor said she changed her stance on China after Beijing started to tighten its grip on the economy by cracking down the ultrawealthy and the tech sector. ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF) still owns a small stake in Chinese e-commerce company JD.com , but it has dumped other Chinese names like Pinduoduo and Tencent. Her flagship fund has had a banner year so far as her top holdings rebounded from sharp losses triggered by rising rates.

Persons: Cathie Wood, Tesla, Wood, ARKK, China's, she's Organizations: Ark, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Innovation, KE Locations: China, Beijing

When I was getting started with my business, I hired a business coach, and it was a great investment. My business coach helped identify ways I could grow my reach, find a niche, and make more money. Around that same time, I hired my first business coach — and it cost me $5,000. My business coach helped answer my questions in five ways. A business coach is trained to see your potential and all the opportunities that are right under your nose.

Organizations: Service, — Locations: Wall, Silicon

☆ Boats that follow orca-encounter protocol may escape unscathed — but if an orca's in a particular mood, all bets are off
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-05 | by ( Maiya Focht | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Her team found that 63% of slightly damaged boats didn't follow protocol, compared with 36% that did. Roughly half of the damaged boats followed protocol, and the other half didn't. The protocol didn't seem to have an effect. "In very severe damage, when towing is required, we don't find significant evidence to follow or not follow our protocol," she said in the webinar. But the leading ideas are curious young orcas or defensive behavior by orcas that have been harmed before, González said in the webinar.

Persons: Mónica, González, Serge Melesean, there's, John Hargrove Organizations: Service, Orca Behavior, SeaWorld, Bloomberg Locations: Portuguese, Spain, Strait, Gibraltar, Mayotte, France

☆ Meet the family of orcas thought to be behind the recent boat encounters and attacks — White Gladis' pod
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-03 | by ( Rebecca Cohen | Jenny Mcgrath | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

White Gladis, the orca believed to be behind recent boat encounters, has a family acting with her. Meet White Gladis' familyWhite Gladis is part of a 6-orca pod including herself, two siblings, two calves, and a mother. She gave birth to White Gladis in 2005, who is her oldest offspring, followed by Gladis Clara and Gladis Dalila. White Gladis went on to give birth to Gladis Filabres in 2015 and Gladis Tarik in 2021. Gladis Clara, White Gladis' sibling, is a male orca, but the sex is unknown for Gladis Dalila and White Gladis' two offspring.

Persons: White Gladis, White, —, Gladis Blanca, Gladis Clara, Gladis, Gladis Filabres, Gladis Tarik, Gladis Lamari, hasn't, Gladis Dalila, Black, Gladis Peque, Gladis Isa, Gladis Matteo, Gray Gladis, Mónica, Kenneth C, Gladis Olvera Organizations: Service, Orca, Guardian, for Whale Research, Orca Working Locations: Gibraltar, Strait, Gibraltar White, orcas, Southern, Iberian

☆ White Gladis, the killer whale who could be behind orcas attacking boats, was pregnant when she started the 'uprising'
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-28 | by ( Rebecca Cohen | Jessica Orwig | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Scientists believe the orca White Gladis was pregnant when she started ramming into boats in 2020. White Gladis later gave birth to her calf in 2021, following a 16-18 month pregnancy. White Gladis is just one among many orcas in this apparent uprising. White Gladis first started ramming boats in the summer of 2020 and later gave birth to her calf in 2021, according to LiveScience. Many orca experts that Insider has spoken to maintain that White Gladis' behavior isn't rooted in trauma or revenge.

Persons: White Gladis, —, she's, Mónica González, Alfredo López Fernandez, LiveScience, Forbes, White, Renaud de Stephanis, Deborah Giles Organizations: Service, University of Aveiro, Orca Working, Orca, BBC Locations: Spain, Portugal

☆ I make 6 figures working 20-hour weeks as a freelance writer. Here's what my typical day looks like hour by hour.
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-27 | by ( Zulie Rane | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +13 min

Zulie Rane is a freelance writer who earns six figures a year while working around 20 hours a week. At the end of this article, you should have a solid idea of what it's like to be a freelance writer. 7:00 - 8:00 a.m: Start the day (for real this time)I start a day in the life of a freelance writer with an alarm. After all, it's not just a day in the life of a freelance writer — it's a day in the life of a freelance writer and her two cats. Hopefully this snapshot of my Mondays gives you a good idea of what it's like to be a freelance writer.

Persons: Zulie Rane, —, Astrid, dislodging, it's, Sally, — it's, Slack, I've, I'm, you've, there's, Here's Organizations: Service, Twitter Locations: Boston, Salem, Euronews, Spain

The world's third-largest aircraft maker after Airbus (AIR.PA) and Boeing (BA.N), Embraer bagged 13 fresh orders for commercial jets at the Paris Airshow, falling short of market estimates and previous years' levels. The 13 new orders compared with 74 secured at Le Bourget in 2019 and 28 in Farnborough last year. They also lagged some upbeat market forecasts, including expectations by JPMorgan analysts for at least 30 orders. In Paris, investors were especially disappointed by the lack of orders from the booming Indian airline market, which handled an all-time-high 500-plane transaction to Airbus and new orders to Boeing. "We believe that most of the pre-event excitement has already been adjusted in share prices," said XP Investimentos, while also rates Embraer a "buy."

Persons: Le Bourget, Gabriel Araujo, Conor Humphries, Leslie Adler Organizations: SAO PAULO, Embraer, EMBR3, Airbus, Boeing, Paris, Le, JPMorgan, American Airlines, Royal, Salam Air, Thomson Locations: China, Farnborough, U.S, Paris, Royal Jordanian, New York

☆ A notorious market bear who called the 2000 and 2008 crashes says stocks are set to suffer 'profound' losses as valuations remain at historic extremes — and dismisses the current rally as a 'narrow an
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-24 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

It also doesn't offer a fair characterization of the entire S&P 500's performance. Hussman's preferred valuation measure is total market cap of non-financial stocks to total revenue of non-financial stocks. According to Bank of America, 80% of the S&P 500's returns over a 10-year period can be attributed to valuations. The red line in the chart below shows the gauge, while the blue is the S&P 500's price action. Predicted in April 2007 that the S&P 500 could lose 40%, then it lost 55% in the subsequent collapse from 2007 to 2009.

Persons: John Hussman, Hussman, hasn't, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, David Rosenberg, Solita, 18.5x, it's, Jeremy Grantham, Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, Michael Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler, Piper Sandler Kantrowitz Organizations: Hussman Investment Trust, Bank of America, Rosenberg Research, UBS, University of Pennsylvania, Housing

☆ Everyone wants to know when consumer demand is going to come back for real. Here's what FedEx execs are watching.
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-23 | by ( Emma Cosgrove | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

FedEx's massive overhaul is showing early signs of success but package volumes are still down. For the year ahead, FedEx expects moderate revenue growth of between 1% and 3% year over year. FedEx is expecting package volumes to finally bounce back after five straight quarters of declines. FedEx's guidance for the next 12 months includes moderate revenue growth, somewhere between 1% and 3% year over year. "Green shoots," or signs of potential revenue growth, are beginning to show in Europe however, she said.

Persons: We're, Raj Subramanian, Morgan Stanley, Brie Carere, Carere, hasn't, Jason Furman, Mike Lenz, Subramanian Organizations: FedEx, Tuesday, Target, Harvard Locations: Europe, North America, Trans

☆ Flying the F-35 stealth fighter can leave pilots looking 'like they are 100 years old,' says test pilot
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-17 | by ( Isobel Van Hagen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

F-35 test pilots described how intense it is to fly the aircraft, The Jerusalem Post reported. "After some training, pilots come out looking like they are 100 years old," another test pilot said. Tony "Brick" Wilson, an F-35 test pilot for the American defense company who formerly served in the US Navy, described the "g-forces" — or gravitational force — must deal with when flying the hi-tech US fighter jets. Monessa "Siren" Balzhiser, another F-35 test pilot for the company, also addressed "g-forces" in the discussion. The F-16 has three separate screens and displays, with each screen tied to a specific sensor," she said, per The Jerusalem Post.

Persons: Lockheed Martin webinar, —, Lockheed Martin, Tony, Wilson, Balzhiser Organizations: Jerusalem Post, Lockheed, Service, US Navy, Aircraft, US Air Force, Russian, AIM Locations: Jerusalem, Russia, Ukraine

☆ Asia inflation has peaked, region's growth to overtake U.S. and Europe, Morgan Stanley says
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-15 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Citing reasons for his optimism, he said Asia is expected to deliver healthier growth rates while the West lags behind. Asia inflation 'not as intense'"We're definitely expecting growth in these two economies to be constrained by the fact that they have had this significant inflation problem," Ahya said in reference to the U.S. and Europe. The U.S. inflation rate has been holding well above the Fed's 2% annual target. Chetan Ahya Chief Asia Economist at Morgan StanleyChina's consumption 'on track'Another driver of Asia's growth is China's projected recovery in the second half of the year. "We're expecting China's recovery to broaden out in second half of this year," Ahya said.

Persons: Kazuhiro Nogi, Morgan Stanley, Chetan Ahya, Ahya, We're Organizations: Mount Fuji, Afp, Getty, Federal Reserve, Asia, Nurphoto, People's Bank of China Locations: U.S, Europe, Asia, India, Indonesia, Japan, Central, China, Jakarta

☆ How to land a job with Blackstone, Apollo, KRR, and other private equity titans
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-06 | by ( Kaja Whitehouse | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Private equity is often seen as the Holy Grail of finance jobs — but breaking in can be challenging. We also have data on private equity pay and the industry's top recruiters. Here is what we found about pay at private equity firms, including Blackstone, Apollo, and Bain Capital. Private equity recruiting has been starting earlier than ever Getty ImagesPrivate equity firms like to recruit young talent from investment banks. These days, the private equity recruiting process has started earlier than ever, resulting in middle-of-the-night interviews with offers being made — and blown up — all before Labor Day.

Persons: —, bymuratdeniz, Blackstone, Samantha Lee, Drew Angerer, Skye Gould, Jon Gray, Grace Koo, Read, Carlyle, Alex Crisses, Thoma Bravo, Warburg Pincus, Wharton's, Axel Springer Organizations: Blackstone, KKR, Service, Apax Partners, Oaktree, of Foreign Labor, Apollo, Bain Capital, Labor, General Atlantic, PJT Partners, Partners, dealmakers, Wall, University of Michigan Locations: Carlyle, Blackstone, Axel

☆ Blackstone will help prevent an office market 'catastrophe', says JPMorgan's commercial real estate chief
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( Al Yoon | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Reports on the death of offices are "just wrong," JPMorgan's commercial real estate chief said. Office buildings are losing value as more people opt to work from home and companies need less space. No 'catastrophe' for the office market"You get the headline written that the office market is a catastrophe," Brooks said during a JPMorgan outlook webinar on June 1. In April, Blackstone announced the final close of its Blackstone Real Estate Partners X, the largest real estate fund ever raised, with $30.4 billion in capital commitments. Through its real estate investment trust, Blackstone has maintained some exposure to office buildings.

Persons: Blackstone, delinquencies, Alfred Brooks, Brooks, JLL, Manus Clancy, JPMorgan —, hasn't, They're Organizations: JPMorgan, Blackstone, Blackstone Real Estate Partners Locations: Brookfield, Blackstone, Los Angeles

☆ JPMorgan's commercial real estate chief lays out how Blackstone will help prevent an office market 'catastrophe'
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( Al Yoon | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

☆ The job market held up in May. But the Fed may have already decided to pause
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Washington, DC CNN —The US labor market picked up momentum in May, once again defying expectations of a slowdown. Many economists, including those at the Fed, still expect a recession later in the year. The labor market and signs of future disinflationThe May jobs report mostly showed that the labor market held up. Some top economists have argued that the strong labor market has had a minor, albeit growing, impact on inflation. Hawkish Fed officials still think the Fed’s job isn’t done.

Persons: That’s, Joe Biden’s, ”, Philip Jefferson, Patrick Harker, “, ” Harker, It’s, ” Julia Pollak, ZipRecruiter’s, you’ve, you’d, Dave Gilbertson, hasn’t, Ben Bernanke, ” Jack Macdowell, Louis President James Bullard, Bullard, Louis Fed’s, Louis, Jerome Powell, there’s, Ian Shepherdson, Eugenio Alemán, Raymond James Organizations: DC CNN, Federal, Fed, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, National Association for Business Economics, CNN, Employers, of Labor Statistics, BLS, UKG, The Palisades Group, Hawkish Fed, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Louis Fed, Pantheon Locations: Washington, Washington ,

Harker said he sees promising signs the Fed's rate hikes so far -- five full percentage points since March 2022 -- are having a cooling effect, particularly on housing prices. Uncertainty over inflation dynamics and the pace of credit tightening make him wary of continuing to raise rates. Harker said he expects the economy to grow less than 1% this year, and for the unemployment rate, now at 3.4%, to rise to around 4.4%. He said he could envision the Fed cutting rates if unemployment rises significantly faster, or inflation falls more rapidly, than he currently forecasts. "We don't have to keep moving rates up, and then have to reverse course quickly."

Persons: Patrick Harker, Harker, Corp's, Ann Saphir, Paul Simao Organizations: Philadelphia Federal, National Association for Business Economics, Thomson

Analysts say the proposed debt ceiling deal could have only marginal effects on the US economy. "The impacts will be negative but small," Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, told CNN. Here's what's in the proposed deal and how it would show up in the broader economy:What's in the deal? It would keep non-defense spending relatively flat in fiscal 2024 and then set a cap of 1% in spending increases for fiscal 2025. The debt deal and GDP.

Persons: Mark Zandi, Goldman Sachs, Ian Shepherdson, Gregory Daco Organizations: Moody's, CNN, Internal Revenue Service, Pantheon, Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: West Virginia

☆ Debt ceiling deal won’t have much impact on the US economy, analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-31 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

The US economy is the world’s largest, so the relatively modest effects on growth could be good news for investors who feared the debt ceiling crisis could have posed a greater and more widespread drag. Here’s what’s in the proposed deal and how it would show up in the broader economy. What’s in the debt ceiling dealThe deal would suspend the federal government’s $31.4 trillion debt limit through January 2025. The debt deal and GDPEconomists at Goldman Sachs expect the deal to reduce federal spending by as much as 0.2% of gross domestic product per year over the two years of the deal, compared with their baseline estimate. “Getting this uncertainty out of the way for markets and decision makers has a real impact,” said Mike Skordeles, head of US economics at Truist Advisory Services.

Persons: Joe Biden, Mark Zandi, Biden, Goldman Sachs, ” Goldman Sachs, Ian Shepherdson, Gregory Daco, ”, Mike Skordeles, Zandi, ” Michael Reynolds Organizations: DC CNN, House Republicans, Moody’s, CNN, Internal Revenue Service, Congressional, Pantheon, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Truist Advisory Services, Investment, “ Locations: Washington, West Virginia

☆ There's a right way to give negative feedback to get positive results, according to a management professor. Here are 3 tips on how to deliver them.
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-09 | by ( Jessica Love | Kellogg Insight | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Clinical professor Brooke Vuckovic shared how to give negative feedback at work. Whatever the problem, their performance is not up to par—which means it's time for a tough conversation. So as you prepare for a tough conversation about your employee's performance—and prepare you must—what should you keep in mind? Commit to listening well and staying attunedIn the drive to plow through to the end of the conversation, leaders too often fail to think through the skills required to foster a productive discussion. But even if the conversation is going quite smoothly, it is important to wrap up in a way that feels complete.

☆ Fears mount that Europe's commercial real estate sector could be the next to blow
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-14 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Investors are questioning the health of the commercial real estate sector following a string of recent banking crises. Mike Kemp | In Pictures | Getty ImagesConcerns are mounting around the health of Europe's commercial real estate market, with some investors questioning whether it could be the next sector to blow following last month's banking crisis. Analysts at Citi now see European real estate stocks falling by 20%-40% between 2023 and 2024 as the impact of higher interest plays out. In a worst-case scenario, the higher-risk commercial real estate sector could plummet 50% by next year, the bank said. Pere Vinolas Serra, chief executive of Spanish real estate company Inmobiliaria Colonial and chairman of the European Public Real Estate Association (EPRA), said the situation in Europe looks paradoxically strong.

☆ Barbara Corcoran says every successful person she knows has imposter syndrome: 'That's what drives them'
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-03 | by ( Megan Sauer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Corcoran, an entrepreneur and longtime investor on ABC's "Shark Tank," cited herself an example. And on "Shark Tank," it leads her to seek out entrepreneurs who question themselves. "Everyone's got self-doubt," Corcoran said. It may even be a shared experience among "Shark Tank" investors. Disclosure: CNBC owns the exclusive off-network cable rights to "Shark Tank."

☆ A publicist shares the email template she uses to land top podcast spots for her clients and 5 pitch must-haves
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-18 | by ( Alice Draper | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Alice Draper is a publicist who cold-pitches her coaching clients to podcasts for exposure. I've found that podcast hosts with an engaged and loyal listenership choose guests based on the value they provide to the podcast audience, rather than the short-term financial gains they may receive. List value-driven talking pointsAn important question that's on almost every podcast host's mind is: What value will my listeners get from this guest interview? If you haven't spoken on a podcast before, it's still worth pitching hosts and focusing on the quality of your story angle and talking points. Here's the email template I use for all of my clients when pitching them to podcasts:

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