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☆ Prepare for a new high-volatility market regime
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

A spike in the VIX of this magnitude has not occurred since 2020, when the COVID-19 related decline in the S & P 500 was maturing. We believe another high-volatility regime is upon us, with the prolonged low-volatility regime that preceded it coming to an abrupt halt. If our long-term trend following measures were to deteriorate behind the S & P 500, we would be more inclined to reduce exposure. A rebound in the S & P 500 (i.e., a VIX pullback) can be used to hedge partial exposure from a top-down perspective. Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only.

Persons: It's, Katie Stockton Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities

☆ Airlines may be struggling but global travel is in an uptrend. These companies are set to benefit
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Global Jets ETF , whose largest holdings are Southwest Airlines , United Airlines , American Airlines and Delta Air , is off 7.5% just since the end of June. GE Aerospace GE Aerospace is a pure play on the rise of global air travel, according to John Belton, portfolio manager at Gabelli Funds. Just about all 18 analysts polled by LSEG consider GE Aerospace a buy, with five rating it a strong buy. Central to the investment thesis for GE Aerospace is its market leadership. "The air travel industry is a growth industry," Galluccio said.

Persons: Richard Branson, John Belton, Belton, Nicholas Galluccio, Galluccio, Morningstar, that's, Tony Bancroft, Bancroft, there's, wanderlust Organizations: Virgin Group, U.S . Global Jets ETF, Southwest Airlines, United Airlines, American Airlines, Delta Air, Transportation, Boeing, Airbus, Gabelli, International Air Transport Association, AAR Corp, Teton Advisors, Westwood, Equity, GE Aerospace GE Aerospace, Gabelli Funds, New York Stock Exchange, General Electric, GE Aerospace, LSEG, GE, Airlines, Morningstar, Growth, Max, Federal Aviation Administration, Aerospace & Defense ETF, Heico Corporation, Triumph, TransDigm Locations: U.S, Eastern Europe

☆ Investors should wait before chasing Meta here, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

After reaching a peak around $320 in July 2023, META spent four solid months bouncing between price support around $280 and retesting the July peak. With this week's earnings beat, we'll likely see META test the upper end of this new trading range. Here we can see the recent trading range in much better context, but we can also see weakening momentum conditions. The declining momentum on the weekly chart suggests a serious headwind to META's attempt to break out of its recent trading range. The 2023 range was finally eclipsed once we saw an upside break above a clearly defined resistance level.

Persons: we'll, David Keller Organizations: Meta, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Samsung second-quarter operating profit soars 1,458% as AI demand remains strong; results top estimates
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Sheila Chiang | In Sheilachiang | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Revenue: 74.07 trillion Korean won (about $53.45 billion) vs. 73.74 trillion Korean won74.07 trillion Korean won (about $53.45 billion) vs. 73.74 trillion Korean won Operating profit: 10.44 trillion Korean won vs 9.53 trillion Korean won Samsung's revenue for the quarter ended June jumped 23.42% from a year earlier, while operating profit soared 1,458.2%. For the second half, Samsung said it expects the demand from server AI to stay strong across server products including HBM and SSD. The firm added that expanding capacity to meet demand for HBM and server DRAM could further constrain supply of conventional memory chips. Memory momentumHBM memory chips are crucial for AI chips – which have seen a huge demand enabled by the AI boom. The South Korean electronics giant saw record losses in 2023 as the industry reeled from a post-Covid slump in demand for memory chips and electronics.

Persons: Joan Cros, CLSA, SK Kim Organizations: Samsung, Mobile, Getty, Nurphoto, Samsung Electronics, Korean, SK Hynix, Nvidia, SK, Daiwa, Markets, Business Locations: Barcelona, Spain, LSEG, Korean

☆ The key price support levels to watch as sellers return to Nvidia
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Todd Gordon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

To start let's examine the 200-day moving average on the daily chart below shown as a dashed blue line. Looking back to the most recent correction in April, that was the support level of the price-to-moving average spread: 34%. We could be approaching a support level based on this analysis. This could occur by price continuing to move lower along with the moving average trending higher as the recent higher price readings factor into the average. The 50-day moving average of the daily volume totals is clearly in a decline since April.

Persons: Steve Eisman, Eisman, We're, Todd Gordon, Gordon, NVDA Organizations: CNBC, Nvidia, Jan, Edge, Inside Edge, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: NVDA

☆ A massive tech sell-off and small-cap rally are just getting started. Make 5 investments to avoid missing out.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-26 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Small caps should also get a boost from interest rate cuts, which typically translate to disproportionately large gains for the group. That helps confirm what investors are realizing: small caps are the place to be. When large caps sneeze, the market catches a coldThe small-cap breakout has coincided with large technology stocks breaking down. Small caps also tend to have less of an international presence than their larger peers, so they don't miss out as much when converting overseas profits to dollars. The small-cap index is closely tied to economically sensitive parts of the market, which should continue to participate in this rally.

Persons: —, chartmaster, BMO Capital Markets David Keller, who's, Russell, David Keller, StockCharts.com, Keller, you've, he'd, Keller didn't Organizations: Service, Tech, Nvidia, Meta, Business, BMO Capital Markets, BMO Capital, BMO, Therapeutics, Myriad Genetics, Holdings

☆ We're in a 'buffalo' market, Bank of America says. Here's what that means for investors
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-25 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Experts say those stock moves and shuffling sectors are common during a bull market. But Bank of America is calling today's conditions something else — a buffalo market — which is still in the bull family. But unlike the bull market, it may get tired after a strong runup. "It might roam, it might wander in the summer months," said Marci McGregor, head of portfolio strategy at Merrill and Bank of America Private Bank. The firm's outlook sees markets finishing higher this year, based on factors including earnings, the investment cycle, financial conditions, interest rates and generative artificial intelligence.

Persons: Marci McGregor, McGregor Organizations: Financial, Bank of America, Merrill, Bank of America Private Bank Locations: New York City

☆ 3 dividend-paying stocks with attractive charts as broader market struggles
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-25 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A subsequent pullback saw the price bounce off that breakout level, which also lined up with the 50-day moving average. This is a sector full of low-volatility, high yielding stocks that have often provided downside protection in down market phases. ES just broke to a new three-month high this week, and the stock features a dividend yield around 4.5%. When the broad market averages take a bearish turn, equity investors are often best served by getting defensive. These three stocks feature improving technical profiles, along with dividend yields well above the average for the S & P 500.

Persons: Philip Morris, BTI, Eversource, we've, David Keller Organizations: American Tobacco PLC, Eversource Energy, Eversource, Nasdaq, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S, British American

☆ A look at Spotify’s chart after its post-earnings jump — and where it can go from here
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-23 | by ( Todd Gordon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

This reaction is especially encouraging, as it's happening during a tumultuous market environment with lots of geopolitical and domestic political uncertainty. Looking at Spotify, we own it in our growth portfolio at Inside Edge Capital, first adding the position in February 2023. Judging by this post-earnings reaction, I see the stock moving above $400 in coming months. -Todd Gordon, Founder of Inside Edge Capital, LLC DISCLOSURES: Gordon owns SPOT personally and in his wealth management company Inside Edge Capital. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Todd Gordon, Gordon Organizations: Spotify, Netflix, Communication, Edge, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Don't bet on the stock-market rotation as small-caps historically suffer when rates come down, Barclays says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-19 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Small-caps historically decline before and after the first interest rate cut, Barclays reported. This argues against the growing narrative that the easing cycle will boost small-caps, the bank said. AdvertisementBarclays ResearchTheir finding opposes many prevailing viewpoints on Wall Street, where rising bets of lower interest rates have sent investors piling into the small-cap trade. In part, falling interest rates might help ease debt burdens, but they can also signal a cooling economy — which favors large-cap exposure. Market veteran Ed Yardeni wrote this week that the small-caps trade has no legs, given the sector's lackluster forward earnings, revenue, and profit margins.

Persons: —, Venu Krishna, Russell, June's, Tom Lee, Ed Yardeni, Liz Young Thomas Organizations: Barclays, Service, NASDAQ, Federal

☆ Downside targets to watch for Nvidia, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

It's time to consider downside targets for A.I.-darling Nvidia. The first half of 2024 was all about stocks like Nvidia Corp. (NVDA) riding the A.I. On the short-term chart of NVDA, we can see a series of bearish engulfing patterns in mid-June and again in mid-July. And when the price returned to that price range earlier this month, we saw the same pattern of short-term distribution. This support level also lines up with a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the April to June rally phase, and also lines up with the 50-day moving average.

Persons: I'd, David Keller Organizations: A.I, Nvidia Corp, Nvidia, Nasdaq, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Fund manager picks the stocks and sectors that investors should play right now
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( Amala Balakrishner | In Amala-Balakrishner | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Portfolio manager Chad Morganlander named a raft of sector and stock plays for investors right now, and revealed he was bullish on small-cap names. Besides small-cap stocks, Morganlander also likes "large cap value stocks." Value stocks are often cheaper than so-called growth stocks and typically trade at a lower price than what the company's performance indicates. Stocks to play Morganlander believes several sectors and stocks make good plays for investors right now. From the health-care sector, the portfolio manager is also bullish on United Health , as he says its PE multiple of around 17 times gives it "competitive positioning."

Persons: Chad Morganlander, Russell, Morganlander, CNBC's, Stocks Organizations: Crossing Advisors, Nasdaq, Union, Union Pacific, United Health, Microsoft, Big Tech Locations: U.S, Union Pacific

☆ Using 'bear put spreads' to cash in on a stock that's run too far, too fast
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-16 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

I feel like the stock has gone too far, too fast, however, and provide an options trade that wins if the shares pull back. Ross (ROST) has benefited significantly from this trend, with its stock rising by 20% over the past two-and-a-half months. Support and Resistance: Using basic support and resistance concepts, we can identify short-term resistance around the 150 level. With ROST trading around $148.08, my plan is to buy an at-the-money (ATM) put spread. Regardless of ROST's current trading price, my long strike will be set above the current price, and the short strike will be positioned below it.

Persons: ROST, Nishant Pant Organizations: Ross Stores, RSI, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Forget the Magnificent 7: UBS just refreshed its 'Super 8' list of global stock picks
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-16 | by ( Amala Balakrishner | In Amala-Balakrishner | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

But for those looking for alternatives, UBS has refreshed its list of "highest conviction and most investable" tech stocks in Asia. So far, UBS' Asian Super 8 has gained 8.3% since its inception in February, beating the 6.7% returned by the benchmark MSCI Asia-Pacific index. "We believe the valuation discount across the value chain in Asia's technology sector offers a defensive catch-up play for investors," UBS' analysts wrote. Tencent has been making headlines recently, with several analysts bullish, including Goldman Sachs , which included the stock in its conviction list. The company, which also goes by the name Foxconn, is expecting over 40% year-on-year growth in its AI server sub-segment this year, UBS' analysts noted.

Persons: Tencent, Goldman Sachs, Hon Hai Taiwan's, Hai, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, UBS, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, U.S, Hai Precision Industry, Taiwan Stock Exchange, Lenovo Lenovo, Lenovo, Hong Kong Exchange Locations: Asia, China, U.S

☆ Investors bet a Fed rate cut to spur rotation from crowded stocks to neglected as bull market continues
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-13 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Last Thursday, 87% of S & P 500 stocks outperformed the index itself, which Goldman Sachs called "the most in the history of our data set." Its total gain of 57%, measured by the S & P 500, is almost exactly half the post-1929 average too. For good measure, this year the S & P 500 has posted the best-ever start to a presidential election year. Arguably something close to it is already priced in to a considerable degree, with the S & P 500 pushing 22-times forward earnings again. The elevated sentiment backdrop is par for the course for a bull market, but sometimes associated with pauses or pullbacks.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Russell, it's, It's Organizations: Strategas, New York Stock Exchange, CPI, Federal, Big Tech, Nasdaq, Fidelity Investments, Federal Reserve, Treasury Locations: superlatives, Bull

☆ These stocks set to report earnings next week have a history of beating estimates
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

As earnings season begins ramping up, there are some early reports to watch that have historically beaten expectations and rallied as a result. Earnings season kicks into higher gear next week, with major names including Goldman Sachs , United Airlines and Netflix on the docket. Bespoke Investment Group screened for stocks reporting next week that have beaten the Street's consensus earnings estimate at least 75% of the time. Entering this earnings season, JPMorgan Michael Rehaut named the stock one of his longs. But the average analyst, while having a buy rating, sees a correction of more than 2% coming over the next year.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, John Pancari, Pancari, Ally, LSEG, Horton, JPMorgan Michael Rehaut, Rehaut, D.R, David Roman Organizations: United Airlines, Netflix, Wall, Investment, JPMorgan

☆ Bitcoin could be heading for a 'summer of 2021 style' correction between record highs, data shows
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Bitcoin is not expected to retest its record until later this year, but data shows this correction could get uglier before a recovery begins — similar to how the cryptocurrency fared between two all-time highs in 2021. A bitcoin valuation indicator, CryptoQuant's Bitcoin Profit and Loss Index, is currently hovering around its own 365-day moving average. "Bitcoin is at a level where a local bottom can form or a major 'summer of 2021' style correction can occur," said Julio Moreno, CryptoQuant's head of research. "Prices have typically bottomed out when traders' margins touch extremely negative levels as seen currently." Bitcoin is currently retesting key support at $57,000 for a third day after sliding below that level last week.

Persons: Bitcoin, Julio Moreno, CryptoQuant's, Moreno Organizations: Traders

☆ One of Wall Street's most bullish firms shares 8 overlooked growth stocks with up to 131% upside to buy before a long-awaited breakout
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Shares of small- and midsize companies, or "SMID caps" for short, have lagged behind their large-cap peers in recent years, including 2024. Large caps may lead for a while longer, Oppenheimer researchers wrote in a July 9 note. AdvertisementOppenheimerHowever, SMID caps have quietly but consistently built momentum throughout this year, even though they haven't broken out yet. "Each of these unconfirmed averages are maintaining above prior breakout levels and their 200-day average," Oppenheimer researchers wrote. Within SMID caps, Oppenheimer is especially bullish on midsize growth stocks.

Persons: —, Oppenheimer Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Business, Medicines, Zeta Global

☆ The 4 Apple suppliers set to pop on iPhone 16 series launch: BofA
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Amala Balakrishner | In Amala-Balakrishner | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

"A solid iPhone replacement cycle and spec upgrade should help HH's better sales/earnings in 2025-26," the investment bank's analysts wrote. The bank expects the China-based design and manufacturing giant to see strong margins as demand for its casings increases in tandem with better iPhone shipment cycles between 2025 and 2026. "We lift Foxconn Industrial Internet (FII)'s 2024-26E earnings by 2-6% on potentially better iPhone casing sales and strong AI server contribution," the analysts wrote. "We expect BYDE's casing profitability to gradually improve on better operation efficiency (higher automation rate, improving yield)," the analysts wrote. They have lifted the company's 2025-2026 earnings expectations by 2% to "reflect potentially better iPhone volume, robust auto expansion as well as rising AI-related contribution (server, robot)."

Persons: Ming, Chi Kuo, Ross Young, Hai, BofA, Foxconn, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Tech, Apple, Bank of America, Hai Precision Industry, Taiwan Stock Exchange, American Depository, New, Industrial, Taiwan Stock Exchanges, U.S . Its, Shenzhen Stock Exchange, China 5G, Semiconductor, Hong Kong Exchange, Hong Locations: U.S, New Taiwan, China, Shanghai, Taiwan, U.S . Its Shanghai, Hong Kong

☆ Still some downside to bitcoin within a long-term uptrend, says Fairlead Strategies' Katie Stockton
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStill some downside to bitcoin within a long-term uptrend, says Fairlead Strategies' Katie StocktonKatie Stockton, Fairlead Strategies founder and managing partner, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss bitcoin's recently volatility, latest market trends, and more.

Persons: Katie Stockton Katie Stockton

☆ French stocks ETF looks poised to resume uptrend following election, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Despite the pullback, a primary uptrend remains in place for the CAC 40, in addition to the related iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ) . Both proxies for French stocks appear to be finding their footing, which suggests that the market is welcoming the latest news regarding the election. Once the final outcome is determined, it would be natural for investors to respond favorably to the removal of uncertainty, particularly given the oversold status of French stocks. This suggests a counter-trend phase of outperformance is possible for French stocks versus U.S. stocks. Recent stabilization in many French stocks shows a positive reaction to widespread intermediate-term oversold conditions, which we gauge using the weekly stochastic oscillator.

Persons: LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton, Katie Stockton Organizations: CAC, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: France, EWQ

☆ Stocks will struggle and a recession is on the table if the Fed fails to cut rates by September, Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The rally in stocks could be endangered if the Fed doesn't cut rates soon, Jeremy Siegel warned. The Wharton professor made the case for the central bank to cut rates in September as data softens. AdvertisementThe rally in stocks and the strength of the economy is at risk if the Fed doesn't start cutting interest rates soon, according to Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel. No rate cut in September could put a recession on the table, Siegel warned, in addition to endangering the trajectory for stocks. Advertisement"So although I think stocks are still in an uptrend and the growth stocks are still certainly walloping the value stocks, I think Powell has to take note," Siegel said.

Persons: Jeremy Siegel, Wharton, —, who's, Siegel, Powell Organizations: Service, CNBC, Atlanta Fed, New, Fed

☆ A buying opportunity in a consumer stock with a long-term bullish trend, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

I'm always on the lookout for stocks with ideal technical set-ups, and my favorite one is a chart with a long-term uptrend and short-term pullback. I actually call this setup a "fat pitch" chart. So when a chart is in a primary uptrend, and then has a decent pullback to make a higher low, this fat pitch chart can often provide a fantastic "buy on the dips" opportunity. We can also see that the RSI is currently just above the 40 level, which tells us that the price momentum remains fairly bullish despite the recent price pullback. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: I'm, CROX, that's, trendline Organizations: Crocs, Inc, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ A full breakdown of the S&P 500's chart and what it indicates about the second half
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-02 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Let's look at what the the S & P 500's first half taught us about the chances for more gains in the second half. From Q1 1995 through Q2 1998, the S & P 500 was up 14 straight quarters. Below are four important factors we're continuing to watch closely into the year's second half. 116 of them are up more than the S & P 500 (+14.8%) through July 1 st , 2024. Good closes The S & P 500 has closed above its intra-day mid-point 77/125 trading days through Monday.

Persons: We've, That's, they'll, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Goldman's favorite stocks for the second half — including 3 additions to its conviction list
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-02 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Goldman Sachs welcomed three new stocks into its conviction list as the second half of the trading year commences. Cloud stock Snowflake, meanwhile, is at an "attractive" entry point, Goldman said, as shares have dived more than 28% so far this year. Despite this, Goldman sees Snowflake's technology as key to the next phase of the artificial intelligence revolution. The average analyst surveyed by LSEG sees the stock rebounding 49% over the next year. Snowflake shares rose more than 5% in Monday's session.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, LSEG, Sridhar, Snowflake Organizations: Fox Corp, Fox, Goldman, Sporting, Wall Locations: Israel

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