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Gold flat ahead of US inflation data
  + stars: | 2024-02-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices were little changed on Tuesday, as investors held back from making big bets ahead of a U.S. inflation report that could give fresh perspective on the timing of the Federal Reserve's first rate cut. Spot gold was flat at $2,018.71 per ounce, as of 0424 GMT, after briefly slipping to a more than two-week low of $2,011.72/Oz on Monday. All eyes are on the January U.S. consumer price index inflation data due at 13:30 GMT. Americans reported a fairly stable outlook for inflation at the start of the year, a New York Fed survey showed. Spot platinum was flat at $888.89 per ounce, palladium rose 1.5% to $905.71, and silver edged 0.1% higher to $22.71.
Persons: Tim Waterer, Wang Tao Organizations: Federal, KCM Trade, New, Fed, Reuters, U.S ., Traders, U.S Locations: Moscow, Russia, U.S, ., China, Hong Kong
Palo Alto Networks , Eli Lilly , and Eaton rallied hard over the past 12 months — up 127%, 117% and 66%, respectively. This $315 level is also close to the 50-day simple moving average (red line). Eli Lilly Two potential entry points: $617 (the 50-day simple moving average) and $541 (the 200-day simple moving average) The 50-day simple moving average is $617, a roughly 16.5% pullback from current levels, while the 200-day simple moving average is $541, a 27% decline. Instead, keep a close eye on that 50-day moving average, looking for that gap between the moving average and the stock price to narrow. As we can see, $242 represents the current 50-day moving average, with $240 representing a level of resistance shares recently surpassed.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Eaton, it's, pullbacks, PANW, Mounjaro, they've, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, George Frey Organizations: Palo Alto Networks, Big Tech, Palo Alto, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Provo , Utah
Asked a double-edged question: "What can you do to make my Apple stock go up." On Friday, we had so many storylines going it is hard to get your head around Apple's Vision Pro launch and its import. Most of all, however, the customer satisfaction level allows him to experiment with something really radical: the Vision Pro. No one is buzzing about how Apple can't meet demand for the Vision Pro. People walk in an Apple store on the day the Vision Pro headset goes on sale in Los Angeles, Feb. 2, 2024.
Persons: Apple's, Mark Zuckerberg, Zuckerberg, Matt Horween, Tim Cook, Cook, AirPods, Goldman Sachs, Apple, Ray, that's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Mike Blake Organizations: Costco, Apple, Meta, Apple's Vision, Web Services, Reality Labs, Dow Jones Transportation, Federal Reserve, Huawei, Vision, Major League Soccer, CNBC Locations: China, Republic of China, Los Angeles
Of the mega-cap growth stocks, Apple (AAPL) has certainly been a bit of a technical outlier in recent months. That downtrend in Q2 began with a gap below the 50-day moving average in early August and continued with a number of failed attempts to regain that 50-day moving average on the way down. Chart suggests exhaustion Over the last three months, Apple has basically bounced back and forth between retests of the July high of around $198 and the 200-day moving average. This bearish momentum divergence suggests exhaustion of upside momentum and leaves me skeptical of further upside here. Key levels to watch include the 200-day moving average around $182, as well as the January swing low around $180.
Persons: AAPL, I'm, we've, it's, David Keller Organizations: Apple, Nvidia, Meta, David Keller https
I was surprised this week to note the large number of health-care names represented on the new highs list. Here are three stocks in the health-care sector that could provide further upside potential based on their improving technical characteristics. That all changed in November, when BSX finally broke above this well-established resistance level, pushing into the upper $50s this month. From November 2022 to June 2023, AMGN dropped from around $295 to $215, shedding about 27% of its value in just seven months. With any breakouts like this one, it's important to watch the previous resistance level which often serves as price support going forward.
Persons: I've, BSX, Stryker, SYK, AMGN, David Keller Organizations: Boston, Stryker Corp, Inc, David Keller https
Gold poised for second weekly gain as Fed pause hopes hurt dollar
  + stars: | 2023-11-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
REUTERS/Alexander ManzyukGold held steady on Friday, set for its second consecutive weekly gain, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar as markets grew confident that the Federal Reserve was done with its interest rate hikes. The dollar index was on track for a second weekly drop, making gold less expensive for other currency holders. Markets have dialed back expectations of Fed rate cuts in 2024 after data showed number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell more than expected last week. Earlier this week, the Fed minutes showed the central bank would proceed "carefully" and "all participants judged it appropriate to maintain" the current rate setting. Platinum eased 0.1% to $914.68, but was heading for its second weekly rise.
Persons: Alexander Manzyuk Gold, Tim Waterer, CME's, Waterer, Wang Tao Organizations: REUTERS, Federal, KCM Trade Locations: Siberian, Krasnoyarsk, Russia, U.S
A rebound in the 10-year Treasury yield could weigh on stocks, putting a dampener on the market's recent rally, according to veteran trader Art Cashin. I would watch that yield on the 10-year. … We may get another retest of the higher level in yields, while all that Fed jabber is going on," he added. If the yield on the 10-year Treasury note begins to move above 4.55%, Cashin said that could put "mild pressure" on the equity markets. You can see that the tone of many of the commentators who were getting more and more bearish are now stepping back from that," Cashin said.
Persons: Art, Cashin, Stocks, We've Organizations: UBS, Federal, Traders
2023: The year of chasing yield Investors historically chase after stock performance, but 2023 has been the year of chasing after yield performance. This year, the combined assets under management at money market funds grew to a record $6 trillion. There have been large inflows into short-term Treasury funds like the Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH) and, surprisingly, even into long-term Treasury ETFs like the iShares 20+Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). Still, some think a large chunk of the money in short-term Treasuries and money markets is "scared money" and will be "sticky." Those institutional investors "Don't want any money in cash because it will lag behind the stock market," he told me.
Persons: Paul McCulley, they're, Mark Lehman, Eric Balchunas, Jeff Seyffart, Alec Young, Steve Sosnick, Jim Besaw, Besaw, Mike O'Rourke, JonesTrading, Matt Maley, Miller Tabak, Chris Murphy Organizations: Federal, CNBC, Citizens JMP Securities, Treasury, Treasury Bond ETF, Bloomberg, Schwab Money Fund, MapSignals, Interactive Brokers, Gentrust, UBS Locations: Susquehanna
Technical strategist Katie Stockton said that recent stock gains have been "explosive." But falling bond yields should continue to provide a boost to stocks if the pullback persists. The surge in equities, Wilson explained, is mostly a consequence of falling bond yields. Key government bond yields have pulled back sharply from 16-year highs in recent weeks. She said signs flashing in the TLT Treasury ETF point to an extended period of bond yields correcting from recent highs.
Persons: Katie Stockton, Stockton, , November's, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Wilson, JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic Organizations: Service, CNBC Wednesday, TLT Treasury Locations: Stockton, TLT
A man wearing a mask walks past the headquarters of the People's Bank of China, the central bank, in Beijing, China, February 3, 2020. The regional economic and policy events calendar this week is jammed with top-tier releases which are sure to give local assets strong steers, especially from China. China's economic surprises index turned positive three weeks ago but despite stronger-than-expected third quarter GDP growth, that momentum has faded. This week's 'data dump' will give a clearer picture of how the economy started the fourth quarter. Indonesia's quarter-on-quarter growth rate is expected to more than halve to 1.71% from 3.86%, according to a Reuters poll, and annual growth is expected to essentially hold steady just above 5%.
Persons: Jason Lee, Jamie McGeever, Josie Kao Organizations: People's Bank of China, REUTERS, Reserve Bank, Reuters, Bank of Korea, Bank of Japan, Nikkei, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, Asia, U.S, Thailand, Philippines, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Indonesian, Japan
The stock market is following a rare pattern that could signal big gains next year, NDR said. The S&P 500 rallied for five months straight this year, followed by three consecutive months of losses. A five-month winning streak earlier this year was immediately followed by a three-month selloff from August through October. That's an unusual pattern in the history of the market, one that has only been observe four times since 1926. AdvertisementAdvertisement"Over the past 50 years, the S&P 500 was up every time from one to 12 months later," the strategists said.
Persons: , Ned Davis, That's, Tom Lee Organizations: NDR, Service, Ned Davis Research, Treasury
A panic spike could send stocks higher heading into November, according to Bank of America. Notably, the S & P 500 closed below its 200-day moving average, suggesting a break in the uptrend, and drew near a key psychological support level at 4,200. Bank of America's Stephen Suttmeier said the CBOE 3-Month Volatility Index (VIX3M) and the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) could flash an oversold reading below 1.0 as the S & P 500 nears its support levels, a possible capitulation signal indicating it's time for investors to buy. Regardless, Bank of America broadly anticipates the S & P 500 will close the year out at 4,600, according to the CNBC Market Strategist Survey . "In our view, this tactical panic likely coincides with a break below the 200-day MA at 4233 (SPX closed below it on 10/20) and the "FOMO rally / soft-landing" breakout point near 4200 on the SPX," Suttmeier added.
Persons: Stocks, of America's Stephen Suttmeier, Suttmeier, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, of America's, U.S ., Treasury, CNBC Market, Survey
Gold skids, but holds above $1,900 as Israel-Hamas war rages
  + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A worker handles an Argor-Heraeus SA one kilogram gold bar at Solar Capital Gold Zrt. Spot gold fell 0.7% to $1,919.21 per ounce by 0423 GMT and U.S. gold futures dropped 0.5% to $1,932.70. Given the surge in prices, gold will likely remain in focus for traders seeking to buy dips, which makes $1,920 and $1,900 of area of interest. But if tensions in the Middle East continue to escalate, shorting gold may not end too well for bears over the near-term. Data on Friday showed that COMEX gold speculators increased net short position by 11,784 contracts to 14,788 in week ended Oct. 10.
Persons: Hungary Gold, Matt Simpson, Wang Tao, Joe Biden, Jerome Powell's Organizations: Heraeus SA, Solar, Hamas, Investors, Federal Locations: Budapest, Hungary, Israel
The criticality of trust is even clearer today as generative AI is changing the landscape of what's possible with AI. For example, generative AI models can produce highly believable, well-structured responses so it can be hard to identify an incorrect response without the right subject matter expertise. Generative AI does not have test-retest reliability, meaning you can ask the same question many times to an LLM and get different answers each time. Many business leaders are feeling pressure from investors, clients, employees, and others to accelerate their adoption of AI, including generative AI, but they're weighing the urgency to act against the potential risks. AI governance is how you define policies and establish accountability throughout the AI lifecycle.
Persons: That's Organizations: IBM Institute for Business, IBM, Trust, Transparency, IBM Consulting
For active traders who like to time buying and selling around seasonal events, the next few weeks are Market Timing Heaven. The volatility is encapsulated in one of the more enduring seasonal trades: Sell Rosh Hashanah (which begins at sundown Friday this year), buy Yom Kippur (Sept. 25). Traders sell positions due to seasonal weakness at the start of Rosh Hoshanah, then return to the market after Yom Kippur. The period from Yom Kippur to Passover, which starts on April 22, 2024, is traditionally an up period, good for an average gain of 6.9%. It means market timers expecting seasonal weakness for the next few weeks are also expecting seasonal strength in the fourth quarter.
Persons: Rosh Hoshanah, Jeff Hirsch, Hirsch, Tom McClellan, McClellan, Todd Sohn Organizations: Triple, Triple Witching, Federal, Traders Locations: Yom, Rosh, Yom Kippur, Strategas
Gold gains as U.S. inflation data takes center stage this week
  + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Gold prices rose on Monday, supported by a retreat in the dollar as investors looked forward to U.S. inflation data that could define the Federal Reserve's moves on interest rates. Spot gold gained 0.3% to $1,922.89 per ounce by 0313 GMT, having lost 1% in the previous week. Gold had found support around its 200-day moving average, an important technical level not easy to crack, he said, adding that if U.S. inflation undershoots that could weigh further on the U.S. dollar. Spot gold may retest a resistance at $1,930 per ounce, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao. The U.S. Consumer Price Index data for August due on Wednesday is expected to shape the Fed's interest rate decisions this year.
Persons: Matt Simpson, Gold, Wang Tao, Tim Waterer Organizations: U.S ., The U.S ., U.S, Consumer Locations: The
The bullish view Just four of the 15 strategists expect the S & P 500 to end the year higher than current levels, albeit very slightly. He expects the S & P 500 to end the year at 4,500 — up 2.3% from its current level. Instead, Peng said the S & P 500 's performance will likely broaden over the second half of this year. She expects the S & P 500 to remain flat by the end of the year at 4,300. UBS expects the S & P 500 to end the year at 4,100 — a drop of 7% from current levels.
Persons: Stocks, BlackRock Karim Chedid, Jerome Powell, Karim Chedid, Chedid, Chadha, Charles Schwab Liz Ann Sonders, Ken Peng, Peng, Savita Subramanian, Andreas Bruckner, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Matt Rowe, Mark Haefele, Christian Abuide, Sameer Samana, Rowe, Wouter Sturkenboom, Sturkenboom Organizations: CNBC Pro, Investment, iShares EMEA, BlackRock, Reserve, Deutsche Bank, Citi Global Wealth Investments, Big Tech, Bank of, Equity, Nomura, UBS Global Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, UBS, Lombard, RBC Wealth Management, U.S, Global Market, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment, Nomura Private Capital, EMEA, APAC, Northern Trust, Wells Fargo Investment Institute Locations: U.S, Asia, Europe, Wells Fargo, Northern, Samana
In 2019, it launched its International Fund. Today, the investor manages the Diamond Hill International Fund (DHIAX) , rated five stars by Morningstar. Mohanraj expects that's because of the fund's emphasis on differentiated bets. The Diamond Hill fund, which is benchmarked against the MSCI ACWI ex USA Index, has roughly $65 million in assets, a 1.150% expense ratio, and . "And it's that idea of a highly curated portfolio, of what I want to own in international, that's the mindset."
Persons: Krishna Mohanraj, Sanford C, Bernstein, that's, Mohanraj, Morningstar, DHIAX, What's, Dino, they've, Mario, V, Prem Watsa who's, Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett's Organizations: Diamond Hill Capital Management, Diamond Hill, International Fund, i2 Technologies, Sanford, Dino Polska SA, Polska, Dino Polska, Nintendo, Mario Bros, Office, Fairfax Financial Locations: Diamond, South India, U.S, Warsaw, Poland, Japanese, Fairfax, Canadian, Canada, Berkshire
Gold flat as investors await U.S. data for rate cues
  + stars: | 2023-07-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold bars and gold coins of different sizes lie in a safe on a table at the precious metal dealer Pro Aurum. Gold was flat on Thursday as investors awaited a raft of U.S. economic data that could influence the Federal Reserve's policy trajectory, after minutes of its June meeting reaffirmed expectations that interest rates could remain higher for longer. Spot gold held its ground at $1,917.46 per ounce by 0459 GMT, while U.S. gold futures fell 0.2% to $1,924.10. Therefore, a series of labor market data will be on watch, but much will still revolve around a continued moderation in wage pressures, he added. Rising U.S. interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.
Persons: Gold, Jun Rong, Wang Tao, Janet Yellen's Organizations: Aurum, IG, Traders, Investors, U.S . Labor, Labor, Survey, Treasury Locations: U.S, Janet Yellen's Beijing
The company develops new materials using nanoparticle printing tools. A Dutch startup developing new materials using nanoparticles has secured $15.8 million in a round led by Plural. VSParticle, which launched in 2014, aims to cut the time it takes to engineer new materials with its nanoparticle printing tools, which break down materials into the size of nanoparticles so they can be reassembled. "With VSParticle's technology, we can reduce the time it takes for material discovery from 15 years to only one," van der Vugt added. Currently, the startup makes its money by selling its nanoparticle printing tools to universities, and research and development teams, which form the bulk of its client base.
Persons: Aaike van der, VSP, van, Vugt, van der, Sten Tamkivi Locations: European
I joined AutogenAI, a company that has built a language model companies use for bid and tender writing, in July 2022. At university, I focused mostly on analytic philosophy, such as mathematical logic, formal logic, philosophy of science, and linguistics. It is fundamental to understand that when prompting a large language model, you are, in some way, communicating with it. The command, "make this paragraph better," assumes the language model knows whether that means longer, shorter, clearer, or less boring. Though this may be intuitive to you, it isn't explicitly clear to the language model.
Persons: Teodora Danilovic, , I've Organizations: Service, King's College, Serbian Locations: King's College London, London, Serbian, Silicon Valley
If the S&P 500 can avoid a pullback, it could make a push toward its all-time high. Investors who weren't ready for the remarkable stock market rally of the last three months may not have completely missed out yet, according to several strategists Insider recently spoke with. While some top investing minds think this market rally isn't trustworthy, others are confident that the path of least resistance for US stocks is higher. He believes the S&P 500 is more likely to hit new highs in early 2024 than retest its Fall low of about 3,500. The S&P 500 is trading at roughly 19.2x forward earnings, he said, adding that equal-weighted funds have a forward earning ratio of about 15.5x.
Persons: Brad Bernstein, we've, I've, Bernstein, Jason Draho, Bernstein's, Draho, Jack Caffrey, Caffrey, Michael Sheldon, chartmaster David Keller, Keller, who's, David Keller, StockCharts.com, Brian Belski, Sheldon, Belski, that's Organizations: Federal Reserve, UBS Wealth Management, UBS Global Wealth Management, JPMorgan Asset Management, Fed, RDM Financial, BMO Capital Markets, BMO Capital Locations: US
"Further strength might beget further strength because of the FOMO factor," he added, using the popular acronym for "fear of missing out." "Inflation has clearly subsided, and yet labor market strength has remained intact," wrote BMO Capital Markets chief investment strategist Brian Belski in a recent note. “Moving past the debt ceiling and at least having some economic data that looks ok is actually enough to get some people interested,” said Keith Lerner, co-chief investment officer at Truist Advisory Services. Lerner on Monday shifted his expected S&P 500 range for this year up to 3,800-4,500, from 3,400-4,300 previously, citing improving earnings trends among other factors. For Hans Olsen, chief investment officer at Fiduciary Trust Co, that’s an ominous sign.
Persons: Cash, Chuck Carlson, Brian Belski, BofA, , Keith Lerner, Lerner, Monday, John Lynch, Hans Olsen, Olsen, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Diane Craft Organizations: YORK, BofA Global, Deutsche Bank, Horizon Investment Services, BMO Capital Markets, ” BMO, Reuters Graphics, ISI, Advisory, Comerica Wealth Management, Microsoft, Nvidia, Reuters, Thomson
Crypto prices were a little sleepy to kick off the first week of May, but investors remain confident in its long-term up trend, and charts show there could be another short-term crypto rally underway, according to Canaccord Genuity. Bitcoin is on pace to end the week up less than 1%, according to Coin Metrics. Meanwhile, ether is looking to notch a 4% gain on the week, thanks in part to its meme-driven rally Friday . Bitcoin and ether ended April higher by 3.3% and 4.3%, respectively. However, there could be a two- to four-week rally underway in both bitcoin and ether , with upside potential of about 32% and 12% from current levels, respectively, Canaccord chart analyst Javed Mirza said in a note Thursday.
Organizations: ~$
Stocks face a "make or break" moment this week and could rally to 4,750, Fundstrat said. That's because the Fed could soon issue its last rate hike, which is expected to be bullish for stocks. A Fed pause could be a "make or break" moment for stocks, Lee said, as steep rate hikes weighed heavily on equities in 2022. That's largely because easing inflation indicators could pressure the Fed to hold back on its hawkish monetary policy, Lee said. He has been bullish on stocks through much of the bear market, previously predicting that the S&P 500 would hit another all-time-high in 2022, the year the benchmark index actually sank 20%.
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