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Although Micron (MU) has not had Nvidia's meteoric performance, it has been a stellar stock, doubling in the last year and up over 50% in 2024. The AI boom has buoyed memory chips higher as these chips have become a more important component for artificial intelligence accelerators. However, the possibly unrealistic bar now being set for AI earnings reports saw Micron drop more than 7% on high volume. I want to express a short-term bearish view in Micron as I believe further profit-taking will occur in the third quarter. Micron is one of the largest semiconductor companies in the world, specializing in high-bandwidth memory and storage chips.
Persons: Long Organizations: Micron, Nvidia, JPMorgan, MU, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: CapEx
India is set to see billions in inflows into the country's rupee-denominated government debt market, as state bonds make their debut on JPMorgan's emerging market index on Friday. This is reportedly the first time Indian government bonds have been included in a global index. India has seen foreign inflows to the tune of about $10 billion into its bond market over the past nine months since the announcement, Puneet Pal, head of fixed income at PGIM India Mutual Fund, told CNBC "Street Signs Asia." Last September, JPMorgan said the inclusion of Indian bonds in its Government Bond Index-Emerging Markets will be staggered over 10 months, starting from a 1% weightage in June to a maximum 10% in April next year. Pal said that over the medium- to long-term, the inclusion of Indian government bonds will have a positive impact across the bond markets.
Persons: Puneet Pal, Deepak Agrawal, Pal Organizations: PGIM India Mutual Fund, CNBC, JPMorgan, Government, Kotak Mutual Fund Locations: India
What to know ahead of Friday’s Russell index rebalancing
  + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( Anna Gleason | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Health care and technology are playing key roles in this year's Russell rebalancing. With the index provider's annual reconstitution slated to take place at Friday's market close, FTSE Russell CEO Fiona Bassett noted that the indexes are adapting to trends in the broader market. Super Micro Computer and MicroStrategy are set to make their Russell 1000 debut starting Monday, according to this year's rebalancing prospectus. Meanwhile, in small caps, Bassett called the Russell 2000 "much more of a health-care story." So far in 2024, the Russell 1000 has gained 13.9%, while the Russell 2000 is higher by half a percent.
Persons: Russell rebalancing, FTSE Russell, Fiona Bassett, It's, Russell, Bassett, CNBC's Organizations: FTSE, Micro Locations: U.S
One fund has a formula that has enabled it to consistently beat the S & P 500 : the Hennessy Cornerstone Growth Fund. The fund uses a formula-based strategy for investing, according to its portfolio managers Neil Hennessy, Ryan Kelley, and Joshua Wein. "We're trying to combine value with momentum and some growth," Kelley said. Stocks the fund owns Most of the stocks in the outperforming fund aren't actually in tech but in the industrials, consumer, financials and health-care sectors — because of the formula they use. It is the only name which survived in the recent rebalancing to the current batch of 50 stocks, said Wein.
Persons: Neil Hennessy, Ryan Kelley, Joshua Wein, Kelley, Wein, They've, We're, aren't Organizations: Cornerstone Growth Fund, CNBC Pro, Micro Computer, Urban Outfitters Locations: United States
Risk sentiment was also capped as hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials kept near-term U.S. rate cut expectations in check in a boost to the dollar. The comments along with data showing a stable housing market kept expectations in check over when and by how much the Fed will cut rates. Markets are pricing in 47 basis points of easing this year, with a rate cut in September pegged at 66% probability, CME FedWatch tool showed. In the currency market, the dollar index , which measures the U.S. unit against six peers, was steady at 105.64, while the euro was at $1.0715. The yen touched a 34-year low of 160.245 per dollar on April 29, prompting Tokyo to spend roughly 9.8 trillion in late April and early May to support the currency.
Persons: Androniki, Lisa Cook, Cook, Michelle Bowman, Selena Ling, OCBC, OCBC's Ling, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Nikkei, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, . Federal, Reuters, Bank of Japan's, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, SINGAPORE, U.S, Asia, Pacific
AdvertisementThe best days and weeks of the year for the stock market are around the corner. If history is a guide, that suggests the S&P 500 could surge 4% next month to record highs, according to Goldman Sachs. Goldman SachsWhat's more, recent market trends show that July as a whole has been incredibly bullish for the stock market. If similar seasonal trends play out this year, a near-4% gain would catapult the S&P 500 to a new record at 5,665 based on current levels. As to what could drive more bullish returns over the coming weeks, Rubner highlighted that a record cash pile of more than $7 trillion sitting in money market funds could soon flood the market.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , Scott Rubner, Rubner, NDX Organizations: Nasdaq, Service
ETF Edge, June 24, 2024
  + stars: | 2024-06-25 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailETF Edge, June 24, 2024Fiona Bassett is CEO of FTSE Russell, one of the largest indexing firms in the world and the owner of the small-cap benchmark Russell 2000 and large-cap Russell 1000. She joins Todd Rosenbluth, Vettafi head of research, and CNBC's Bob Pisani on 'ETF Edge' to discuss the Russell rebalancing this week, trends in the Russell indexes, what's driving investors now and more.
Persons: Fiona Bassett, Russell, Todd Rosenbluth, Bob Pisani Organizations: FTSE Russell
What the Russell rebalancing means for investors
  + stars: | 2024-06-25 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhat the Russell rebalancing means for investorsFiona Bassett is CEO of FTSE Russell, one of the largest indexing firms in the world and the owner of the small-cap benchmark Russell 2000 and large-cap Russell 1000. She joins Todd Rosenbluth, Vettafi head of research, and CNBC's Bob Pisani on 'ETF Edge' to discuss the Russell rebalancing this week and what it says about investor sentiment.
Persons: Russell, Fiona Bassett, Todd Rosenbluth, Bob Pisani Organizations: FTSE Russell
[The stream is slated to start at 1:15 PM ET. Please refresh the page if you do not see a player above at that time.] CNBC's ETF Edge is dedicated to the fastest-growing trend in investing right now: ETFs. Every Monday, Bob Pisani will be joined by a panel of top market participants to offer educational and actionable advice to help you build your best portfolio.
Persons: Bob Pisani Organizations: Edge
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPaying close attention to market darlings coming under pressure, says Citi's KaiserStuart Kaiser, Citi head of equity trading strategy, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss how the market rebalancing may have affected this week, Nvidia's price action in yesterday's session, and much more.
Persons: Citi's Kaiser Stuart Kaiser Organizations: Citi
There has been a fair amount of nervous chatter lately about the state of the stock market. As of Thursday's close, the S & P 500 was up about 15% in 2024, while the Nasdaq Composite was just shy of 19%. Companies like Microsoft , Cisco Systems and Intel were among the biggest gainers in the S & P 500. Further, the S & P 500 Equal Weighted Index , with a roughly 4% gain in 2024, is far underperforming its capital-weighted counterpart. .SPXEW .SPX YTD line The S & P 500 Equal Weighted Index vs. the S & P 500 in 2024 Having said that, in years past, these types of divergences would worry me to the point of distraction.
Persons: it's, Bubbles, It's, rebalancing, Ron Insana Organizations: Nasdaq, Microsoft, Cisco Systems, Intel, Federal Reserve, Nvidia, CNBC Locations: U.S
U.S. stock futures hovered near the flatline Thursday night after the S&P 500 briefly climbed above 5,500 for the first time. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average inched lower by 3 points, or 0.01%.S&P 500 futures were unchanged, and Nasdaq 100 futures advanced 0.07%. In Thursday's regular session, the S&P 500 closed 0.25% lower. At its highs of the day, the broad market index was up by as much as 0.34%, reaching 5,505.53. The S&P 500 is tracking for a roughly 0.8% advance, while the Nasdaq is up 0.2%.
Persons: Dow, Jamie Cox Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Microsoft, Harris Financial
More than $200 billion in assets track the JPMorgan Emerging Market Index in which India will eventually have a weight of 10% by March 2025, suggesting total passive inflows of at least $20 billion over the 10-month period. Since there is no precedent for these debt index-related inflows, bankers' estimates of the timing of flows are based on similar index adjustments in the equity markets. "Obviously, all this is a first and you can't be sure how things will be," the head of trading at a large foreign bank cautioned. In anticipation, large foreign banks could look at building short dollar/rupee positions to help manage inflows when they happen, an FX trader at a foreign bank said. As a senior banker at a large foreign bank said: "all the pipes that have been put in place might not work."
Organizations: JPMorgan, Reserve Bank of India, FX Locations: India
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The shift presents challenges for tech-focused ETFs and could affect their holdings of heavyweights like Nvidia , Microsoft , and Apple . Markets are pricing in at least two rate cuts this year, while Fed officials have indicated only one rate cut is likely. Nvidia takes the crown Nvidia on Tuesday surpassed Microsoft to become the world's most valuable public company with a market cap of $3.34 trillion. Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler signaled the likelihood of a rate cut later this year.
Persons: Dave Calhoun, Josh Hawley, Calhoun, Hawley, Paul Ashworth, Susan Collins, Collins, Adriana Kugler, " Kugler, Jeff Cox, Cox, Claudia Sahm, , Kif Leswing, Bob Pisani, Leslie Josephs, Alex Harring, Samantha Subin, Spencer Kimball, Yun Li, Lim Hui Jie Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Federal Reserve, Fed, Boeing, Federal, North, Capital Economics, Boston Federal, Peterson Institute for International Economics Locations: New York City, U.S, North America, Boston, Lawrence , Massachusetts, Washington
The usual rebalancing of the S & P 500 index and the exchange traded funds around it is a quarterly event occurring Friday. There are exchange-traded funds that follow the broad market benchmark and ETFs that track the S & P 500 sector indexes, including technology. The S & P 500 indexes are pure indexes. Nvidia could become 99% of the S & P 500 by market capitalization, and it would be reflected in the index. This trio dominates the S & P 500 technology index.
Persons: Dow, Matthew Bartolini, Bartolini, We've Organizations: Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, SPDR Technology, Broadcom, P Technology, SPDR, SPDR Americas Research, Regulators Locations: Americas, SPDR Americas
CNBC Daily Open: Boeing's 'moment of reckoning'
  + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Immigrants, jobs and inflationImmigration has helped the U.S. job market sustain a strong run in recent months without reigniting inflation, economists and analysts say. This dynamic — a hot job market and cooling inflation — is in part the result of increased inflows of immigrants. The conglomerate sold 1.3 million shares for $39.8 million, reducing its holding to 6.9%. [PRO] S&P 500 to hit 6,000Evercore ISI predicts the stock market will soar to unprecedented heights, setting a new year-end target for the S&P 500 at a record 6,000.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, CNBC's Rebecca Picciotto, Ryan Cohen, Keith Gill, Matthew Bartolini, Berkshire Hathaway, Charlie Munger, Tesla Organizations: CNBC, Microsoft, Apple, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Minneapolis Federal, GameStop, Fund, Nvidia, SPDR Locations: U.S, SPDR Americas, Berkshire, BYD
But while fundamental factors around these names are supportive of their multiples, the market isn't in the all-clear zone, according to Charles Schwab chief investment strategist Liz Ann Sonders. "AI and its enthusiasm — I think that's very legitimate," Sonders told CNBC's " Squawk on the Street " on Monday. "At this stage in the game, the trajectory of earnings, you could argue, is supportive of valuations." In contrast to the dot-com bubble, the current AI rally has much stronger fundamental factors correlated to momentum, Sonders said. "You're looking at the party of stocks and what they're doing, or just what the index is doing courtesy of a very small number of stocks," Sonders said.
Persons: Charles Schwab, Liz Ann Sonders, Sonders, CNBC's, brining Organizations: Nvidia
At stake is one of the top two spots in the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) , whose June rebalance is based on market cap values as of Friday's close. The market caps of Microsoft, Apple and Nvidia were all within $100 billion of each other as of Thursday's close, according to a FactSet calculation. This type of big shift in an index fund is unusual, but not unprecedented. The fund tracks an index from S & P Dow Jones Indices that uses weighting caps to keep the index in bounds. Depending on how many shares of Nvidia are required, it might cause a short-term spike in the name," Bajaj said.
Persons: Dow, Dow Jones, Matthew Bartolini, Bartolini, Mohit Bajaj, SPDR, Bajaj, Todd Sohn, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, Technology, Apple, Microsoft, Dow Jones, Dow Jones Indices, UBS, SPDR, Amazon, Trading, WallachBeth, Bajaj, Street Global Advisors, NYSE Technology Locations: U.S, SPDR Americas, rebalancing
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMorgan Stanley's Sherry Paul: Now is the time to take gains and redistribute to other value playsSherry Paul, Morgan Stanley Private Wealth managing director, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss whether anything in Paul's investing thesis changed this week, when the next market rebalancing pivot will come, and much more.
Persons: Morgan Stanley's Sherry Paul, Sherry Paul, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Morgan Stanley Private Wealth
The S & P 500 made a new record high, its 25 th of the year. And on the surface, there is a stolid calm that suggests a system in comfortable equilibrium, the market achieving a kind of homeostasis. Four of the past five days last week, the S & P 500 moved less than 0.2%. The S & P 500 is up almost 2% since its closing peak at the end of the first quarter, perhaps the moment of maximum belief in a seamless soft economic landing. Three stocks together now account for fully 20% of the S & P 500 market value, mocking the notion of diversification and dashing most active investors' hopes of beating the bogey.
Persons: Keith Gill, Michael Mauboussin, Scott Chronert Organizations: Nvidia, GameStop, Apple, Microsoft, Federal Reserve, Investment, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Fed, Citi, CPI Locations: rebalancing, U.S
Crypto's culture encourages investors to "HODL," or hold on for dear life, in the rollercoaster ride of bitcoin 's extreme fluctuations. But this long-prized practice may diminish as adoption of ETFs grows, particularly if traditional investors who are accustomed to rebalancing their portfolios regularly add in bitcoin exposure. "From a risk management point of view, rebalancing is a good thing. But rebalancing also means that they're going to be sellers along this journey." At the moment, long-term holders are selling, as is normal during bull markets, after accumulating bitcoin during the bear market.
Persons: Donald Marron, rebalancing, Julio Moreno Organizations: Urban Institute Locations: Austin , Texas
The year has reached its halfway mark — and stocks are still adding on to gains. The S & P 500 hit yet another fresh record on Wednesday , as did the Nasdaq Composite. That brings the S & P 500 to gain 12.93% year-to-date. Some say the U.S. Federal Reserve could be forced to hold off on interest rate cuts if inflation is sticky. "We believe the likely main volatility trigger is still the timing of potential Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts."
Persons: Scott Wren, Wren, Schroders, Jason Yu Organizations: Nasdaq, U.S . Federal, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, CNBC Locations: Wells Fargo, Asia
A soft landing is on the horizon, too — or already here depending on who you ask — and recent data reinforces that. AdvertisementThere has been a ton of moderation in this rate particularly when comparing recent changes to those seen in 2022, another sign pointing to a soft landing. AdvertisementThe soft landing might already be hereDavid Kelly, chief global strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, believes the US has already achieved a soft landing. "To me, a soft landing is when the unemployment rate has basically hit its full-employment level, and the inflation rate is gradually coming down to a rate that's acceptable," Kelly said. Advertisement"In other words, a fairly comfortable soft landing with occasional turbulence," Draho added.
Persons: , That's, it's, Joseph Briggs, Goldman Sachs, Briggs, Nick Bunker, Bunker, David Kelly, Kelly, Jason Draho, Draho, It's Organizations: Service, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, North America, UBS, Morgan Asset Management, UBS Global Wealth Management
Those highly appreciated positions can change the risk profile of your portfolio, particularly if it's been a long time since you last rebalanced. Managing the tax hit Trimming heavily appreciated positions in a portfolio that's held in a taxable account may come with a capital gains hit. One potential way to mitigate the tax is to use realized losses to offset those capital gains. In a year when losses exceed capital gains, investors can apply up to $3,000 of those losses to offset ordinary income and then carry over the remainder. Normally, these holdings would be the ones subject to the heftiest capital gains taxes if they were sold.
Persons: Blair duQuesnay, it's, Morningstar, Amy Arnott, Arnott, Roger Aliaga, Diaz, We've, Aliaga, Russell Organizations: Nvidia, Ritholtz Wealth Management, CNBC's, Vanguard, Investors, Federal Reserve, Bond Market, SEC, Aggregate Bond, U.S, Taxpayers Locations: New Orleans
The S & P 500 is a mere 1.2% from its all-time high, yet only 60% of its member stocks are up for the year and just over 40% last week were above their 50-day moving average. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, 1-year We seem to undergo one of these periods of decrying a lack of market breadth every few months in recent years. Bespoke Investment Group last week looked at the small number of past instances when the S & P 500 was so close to a record yet most stocks were beneath a 50-day average. The 100-day correlation between the S & P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has hit its lowest level since the dot-com bust of the early 2000s, according to CNBC's Data & Analytics group. The S & P 500 at the highs hit 21-times forward earnings, and we've spent very little time above that outside the pandemic melt-up and the tech boom/bust a quarter-century ago.
Persons: Warren Pies, Dow, Scott Chronert, we've Organizations: Investment, 3Fourteen, Nvidia, Treasury, Microsoft, Apple, Dow Jones, Dell Technologies, Citi, UBS Locations: Banks
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