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The four best-performing stocks in the S & P 500 year to date were down an average of 13.5% last week. .SPX 5D mountain The S & P 500's performance in the past five trading days. The anchoring effect of a persistently strong half-dozen $1-trillion to $3-trillion companies atop the S & P 500 while most stocks wallowed had the effect of suppressing index volatility. The S & P 500 is now about 3% off its record, and the Nasdaq 100 is in a roughly 5% retreat from its high. History says when the S & P 500 has been up more than 10% in the first half of a year , as in 2024, it has gone to further highs by year's end nearly every time.
Persons: Russell, Donald Trump, Cash, Parag Thatte, Thatte, Goldman Sachs, wallowed, Cantor Fitzgerald Organizations: Axonic Capital, Deutsche Bank, Nasdaq
While it offered few clues on how to tackle economic difficulties, the meeting did provide further insight into a shake-up of high-level personnel over the past year. If past sessions are a guide, a more detailed report may be released in the following days, but for now, “the plenum communique is light on specifics,” Evans-Pritchard added. That came days after China released disappointing economic data for the second quarter of this year. Analysts say that the coming months could offer more details on how Xi plans to revive the economy. Emphasizing short-term economic policies is rare in the history of the third plenums, said Larry Hu, chief China economist for Macquarie Group.
Persons: Hong Kong CNN — China’s, Xi Jinping, Xi, , Julian Evans, Pritchard, Qin, Li Shangfu, Li Yuchao, Jinming, Evans, , ” Evans, Mao, Larry Hu Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Communist Party, Capital Economics, Central, Defense, Liberation Army Rocket Force, of America, National Bureau, Statistics, Analysts, Macquarie Group Locations: Hong Kong, party’s, Beijing, China, policymaking, outflows, United States, Mao China
Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Rivian to $17 from $13. Analyst Frank Lee did raise his price target to $200 from $190, although he added that "the risk-reward is less attractive now." Guggenheim hiked the price target to $735 per share from $700. He did raise his price target for the stock to $225 from $180, although this price hike still implies that Tesla stock could fall 12%. Analyst Adam Jonas raised his price target on the stock to $17 from $13.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Jefferies, Frank Lee, Lee, Lisa Kailai Han, Michael Morris, Morris, Guggenheim, — Jesse Pound, Morgan Stanley's Simeon Gutman, Gutman, Seth Sigman, Truist, – Samantha Subin, TD Cowen downgrades Charles Schwab, Charles Schwab's, TD Cowen, Bill Katz, Charles Schwab, Katz, mgmt, — Lisa Kailai Han, Wells, Bank of America Wells, Mike Mayo, Mayo, Goliath, Dan Levy, Levy, Dennis Geiger, Geiger, Thomas Fitzgerald, Fitzgerald, David Windley, UnitedHealth's, Windley, UNH, Adam Jonas, Rivian, Jonas, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, HSBC, Qualcomm, Microsoft, Netflix, Guggenheim, Barclays, ISI, Citi, Mizuho, Bank of America, of America, Tesla, UBS, Sweetgreen, sss, IK, TD Cowen downgrades, Airlines, American Airlines, Delta, Jefferies, Presidential, Chevron, Volkswagen Locations: China, Tuesday's, Mayo, U.S, Tesla's, UnitedHealth, UNH's
The West could spur Russian inflation by easing sanctions on capital flows, Sergey Aleksashenko says. "Make it easier to depress the value of the ruble, make imports more expensive, and put pressure on Russian bank balance sheets." Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . In a collection of policy briefs the think tank put out this month, author Sergey Aleksashenko argued that the West should ease restrictions on Russian capital outflows.
Persons: Sergey Aleksashenko, Organizations: Service, Kremlin, Brookings, outflows, Business Locations: depreciating, Russian, Russia
Financial institutions snapping up Chinese government bonds are basically shorting the Chinese economy, China's central bank-backed Financial News reported on Saturday, citing what it said were the views of industry sources and experts. It came after the paper said late on Friday that China's central bank is determined to maintain a normal upward-sloping yield curve and correct bond-market risks. The move shows the central bank's desire to stabilise exchange rate and economic expectations, Financial News reported, citing unnamed experts. "Financial institutions frantically snapping up government bonds equals to expecting that interest rates will get lower and lower in the future," the paper said. "They are basically shorting China's yuan and the Chinese economy, increasing the pressure for capital outflows."
Persons: PBOC Organizations: Financial, People's Bank of China Locations: outflows
The IMF said in the report that emerging markets have seen a decline in the more volatile net portfolio inflows, but net inflows of foreign direct investment (FDI) has been more stable. At the same time, the report said that China saw net capital outflows over the 2022-2023 period, including net negative FDI inflows. Overall, global gross capital inflows declined to 4.4% of global GDP, or $4.2 trillion, in the 2022-2023 period, from 5.8 percent of global GDP, or $4.5 trillion, in 2017-2019. But the U.S. benefited strongly from the shifts, accounting for 41% of global gross inflows during the 2022-2023 period, nearly double its 23% share in 2017-2019. The U.S. share of global gross outflows also increased, to 21% from 14% during the same periods.
Persons: Christine Lagarde, Nicolas Dujovne, Yuri Gripas, David Lawder, Franklin Paul, Alistair Bell Organizations: Monetary Fund, Argentine, REUTERS, China, IMF, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, WASHINGTON, China, U.S
LONDON — The number of global millionaires is set to keep rising over the next five years — with the U.K. a stark outlier, according to the 2024 Global Wealth Report from UBS. Gains will be led by tech powerhouse Taiwan, where the number of millionaires is set to jump 47% on the back of the booming microchip industry and a rise in immigration by wealthy foreigners. The two hubs in which the most global millionaires are based, the U.S. and mainland China, are set to see their figures rise 16% and 8% respectively. Another country where the number of dollar millionaires is forecast to decline was the Netherlands, which is estimated to see a 4% drop in such wealthy individuals. The report meanwhile sees the number of U.S. dollar millionaires in Russia growing by 21%.
Persons: Paul Donovan, Donovan Organizations: UBS, Taiwan, UBS Global Wealth Management, Russia, Labour Party, Conservative Locations: Turkey, Kazakhstan, Indonesia, Japan, U.S, China, France, Italy, London, Dubai, Singapore, Netherlands, Russia
The next round of filings for spot ether ETFs with the SEC is due today, part of the ongoing regulatory process required before spot ether ETFs can be launched. One thing's for sure: the launch of spot bitcoin ETFs this year has been a success. That's still true for this year, but two of the top 10 ETF inflows year to date have been into spot bitcoin ETFs: iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) at number four, and Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Trust (FBTC) at number eight. Would 50% of the inflows of the spot bitcoin ETF be a win? We'll talk about this with Matt Hougan from Bitwise Asset Management, one of the applicants for a spot ether ETF.
Persons: That's, iShares, Matt Hougan, Matt, Nate Geraci Organizations: SEC, Nasdaq, Fidelity, Bitcoin, Stock, Aggregate, Blackrock US, Bitwise Asset Management, Edge
“What worries policymakers is the interest rate risk, which will rise once the dominant narrative shifts from deflation to reflation,” Hu from Macquarie said. If that happens, bond yields will rise as investors switch back into riskier stocks. The country’s “4,000 or so small and medium-sized banks” will be particularly vulnerable to the interest rate risk, he added. “The bubble formed by the rush of funds into the bond market is accumulating interest rate risks,” the Securities Times said in an editorial. Economic risksThe rapid decline in Chinese bond yields also poses significant risks to the economy.
Persons: , , Pan Gongsheng, SVB, Larry Hu, ” Hu, Macquarie, Hu, Zhang Jiqiang, Ken Cheung Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Silicon Valley Bank, People’s Bank of China, prudential, , Federal Reserve, Macquarie Group, Zheshang Securities, Securities Times, Japan’s Norinchukin Bank, Huatai Securities, Mizuho Securities Locations: Hong Kong, Silicon, United States, Shanghai, China, Beijing, SVB, outflows
In a few days, bankrupt Tokyo-based bitcoin exchange Mt. Disbursements will be in a mix of bitcoin and bitcoin cash, an early offshoot of the original cryptocurrency. Gox — short for "Magic: The Gathering Online Exchange" — was once the largest spot bitcoin exchange globally, claiming to handle around 80% of all global dollar trades for bitcoin. Gox users would likely translate to huge sales in bitcoin as investors look to lock in gains. Vijay Ayyar, head of consumer growth for Asia-Pacific at crypto exchange Gemini, said that the overall impact of the Mt.
Persons: Omer Taha Cetin, that's, Disbursements, bitcoin, Gox, , John Glover, Glover, James Butterfill, bitcoin's, Gemini, Lennix Lai, Butterfill, Bitcoin, Jacob Joseph, Joseph, Alex Thorn, Thorn, Vijay Ayyar, Gox disbursement, Ayyar Organizations: Anadolu, Getty, CNBC, bitcoin, Barclays, CoinShares, Gemini, JPMorgan, Arkham Intelligence, Analysts, U.S . Securities, Exchange, Federal Reserve Locations: Tokyo, Gox, Mt, bitcoin, Asia, Pacific
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Dow up, Nvidia sinksThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 260 points as investors rotated out of technology and into banking and energy stocks, such as Goldman Sachs and Chevron. He expressed concerns about potential criticism from former President Donald Trump if rate cuts occur before the election. "I suspect the market is probably more right than wrong when it says the rate cuts are likely to come after the election," he said. James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares, attributes the sell-off to concerns over the number of rate cuts.
Persons: Dow, Goldman Sachs, David Rubenstein, Rubenstein, CNBC's Andrew Ross Sorkin, Donald Trump, Bitcoin, James Butterfill, Shein Organizations: CNBC, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Chevron, Nasdaq, Treasury, The Carlyle, Federal Reserve, Novo Nordisk Locations: Israel, Lebanon, Novo, North Carolina, Danish, London, U.S, Beijing, Singapore, China
Bitcoin tumbles back to $60,000 to start the week
  + stars: | 2024-06-24 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Bitcoin continued its descent to $60,000 on Monday. The price of the flagship cryptocurrency was last down by more than 4% at $61,211.00, according to Coin Metrics. Digital asset investment products notched a second consecutive week of outflows, according to CoinShares. Last week crypto investment products saw their lowest trading volumes globally since the U.S. bitcoin ETFs launched in January. "We have now seen $1.2 billion of outflows from crypto ETFs over the last two weeks which all began after the FOMC meeting.
Persons: Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, James Butterfill, Eleanor Gaywood Organizations: Metrics, CNBC Locations: U.S
A team of economists recently analyzed 20 years of peer-reviewed research on the social cost of carbon, an estimate of the damage from climate change. They concluded that the average cost, adjusted for improved methods, is substantially higher than even the U.S. government’s most up-to-date figure. That means greenhouse gas emissions, over time, will take a larger toll than regulators are accounting for. In fact, the news from Wall Street lately has mostly been about retreat from climate goals, rather than recommitment. Banks and asset managers are withdrawing from international climate alliances and chafing at their rules.
Locations: Banks
Between 2013 and 2022, Israel attracted a net inflow of over 10,500 high-net-worth individuals, according to Henley & Partners. According to Henley & Partners data, in 2023, inquiries about immigration programs in exchange for investments from Israelis increased by 232%. Despite the recent net outflow of millionaires, Marconi told Business Insider there remains a draw for wealthy individuals. Additionally, as the world's only Jewish state, he said it would always attract wealthy individuals seeking religious refuge. AdvertisementIn an article for Henley & Partners, Marconi also pointed out that Israel had long "stood out as a rare economic bright spot in a turbulent region."
Persons: , Dan Marconi, Marconi, Israel Organizations: Service, Henley Private Wealth, Henley & Partners, Business, Henley & Partners Israel, Marconi, BI, Israel Locations: Israel, Gaza
The UAE expects to see a net inflow of 6,700 millionaires from around the world by the end of 2024, according to new research. The tiny Gulf nation is expected to see an unprecedented net inflow of 6,700 millionaires from around the world by the end of 2024, according to the report released on June 18. That's according to new research by Henley Private Wealth Migration Report . The United Arab Emirates is set to be the world's leading wealth magnet for the third year in a row. The data for the report was supplied by global wealth intelligence firm New World Wealth and features insights on the inflows and outflows of millionaires and their migration patterns globally.
Persons: Dominic Volek, Hannah White Organizations: Henley Private Wealth, United, Henley & Partners, Henley, Partners, Singapore, Institute for Government, Millionaires Locations: UAE, United States, United Arab Emirates, Henley, States, America, Singapore, Canada, Australia, Italy, Switzerland, Greece, Portugal, Japan, East, India, Russia, Africa, United Kingdom, Europe, Asia, China, Kingdom, Korea, Brazil, Taiwan, Taipei, Nigeria, Vietnam
LONDON — A record number of millionaires is expected to leave the United Kingdom this year, according to new research, with this year's general election expected to further exacerbate the exodus. The U.K. came second to only China in Henley's ranking, with the eastern Asian giant expected to see net outflows of 15,200 millionaires in 2024. "However, this trend began to reverse around a decade ago as more millionaires began to leave the country and fewer came in," it said in its report. "Notably, during the six-year period from 2017 to 2023 post-Brexit, the U.K. lost a total of 16,500 millionaires to migration. Hannah White, CEO of the Institute for Government think tank, noted that the millionaire exodus could be accelerated by this year's general election.
Persons: Hannah White Organizations: Henley Private Wealth, Henley, Institute, Government Locations: United Kingdom, Britain, China, Henley's, Europe, Africa, Asia
At stake is one of the top two spots in the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) , whose June rebalance is based on market cap values as of Friday's close. The market caps of Microsoft, Apple and Nvidia were all within $100 billion of each other as of Thursday's close, according to a FactSet calculation. This type of big shift in an index fund is unusual, but not unprecedented. The fund tracks an index from S & P Dow Jones Indices that uses weighting caps to keep the index in bounds. Depending on how many shares of Nvidia are required, it might cause a short-term spike in the name," Bajaj said.
Persons: Dow, Dow Jones, Matthew Bartolini, Bartolini, Mohit Bajaj, SPDR, Bajaj, Todd Sohn, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, Technology, Apple, Microsoft, Dow Jones, Dow Jones Indices, UBS, SPDR, Amazon, Trading, WallachBeth, Bajaj, Street Global Advisors, NYSE Technology Locations: U.S, SPDR Americas, rebalancing
Economists polled by Reuters expect headline consumer price inflation to ease to 0.1% from 0.3% last month, and core price inflation to remain steady on the month at 0.3%. Powell is likely to strike a relatively dovish tone at the press conference, however, given disappointing growth indicators since the last Fed meeting, Williams said. Japanese wholesale prices rose 2.4% in the year to May, Bank of Japan data showed on Wednesday, beating market forecasts for a 2% increase. The yen held steady at 157.16 per greenback after slipping to its lowest since June 3 at 157.40 the previous day. While Japan's central bank will likely discuss bond buying cuts to pre-empt yen selling pressure, dollar/volatility this week largely depend on Wednesday's U.S. CPI and Fed meeting, he added.
Persons: Jerome Powell's, Kieran Williams, Powell, Williams, Emmanuel Macron's, Sterling, Wei Liang Chang, bitcoin Organizations: U.S, Consumer, Fed, Reuters, Asia FX, InTouch, Bank of Japan, Bank of, DBS, CPI Locations: Czech, U.S, Asia, Bank of Japan
India's stock market has been topsy-turvy in the past week. WealthMills Securities' equity market strategist Kranthi Bathini says "India's stock markets need stable policy continuity going forward." "The Union Budget has consistently increased allocations for infrastructure development. Strong digital economy and startup ecosystem Another longer-term theme on Sengupta's radar is the digital economy and startup ecosystem. Riding the consumer wave Aside from sectors poised for growth, WealthMills Securities' Bathini suggests looking out for names set to benefit from the strong consumer.
Persons: turvy, Narendra Modi's, Modi, Dhruba Jyoti Sengupta, Kranthi Bathini, Sengupta —, Sengupta, Bathini Organizations: Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party, BJP, Lok Sabha, Wrise, CNBC Pro, BSE, Bombay Stock Exchange, WealthMills Securities, Budget, Hindustan, Indian Railway Catering, Tourism Corporation, Indian, Construction, Titagarh, Systems, India, Canara Bank, Bajaj Finance, Securities, Hindustan Aeronautics, Tata Motors, Reliance Industries Locations: Lok, Asia, East, Europe, India, uptrend
A record $7.3 trillion in money market funds could soon be reinvested elsewhere, according to Goldman Sachs. AdvertisementA "wall of money" is headed for the stock market this summer and will drive equities to record highs, according to a recent note from Goldman Sachs' trading desk. Goldman Sachs managing director Scott Rubner highlighted in the note that a record $7.3 trillion is sitting in money market funds, and a large chunk of that is poised to flow into stocks. AdvertisementIf the Fed cuts rates, then the cash yield on money market funds should drop from its current level of about 5%. AdvertisementWith stocks already trading at records, the gains Rubner expects would send the stock market to fresh highs.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, seasonals, , Scott Rubner, Rubner, NDX Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq
Read previewBarry Sternlicht became a real estate billionaire by snapping up commercial properties on the cheap during market downturns. The 63-year-old Miami-based executive, who built his firm Starwood Capital into a more than $100 billion real estate investment behemoth, has now found himself on the flipside of that formula. The situation is a reversal of fortune for Sternlicht, who is more used to capitalizing on real estate dips than becoming entangled in them. But investor sentiment darkened as interest rates rose and put pressure on real estate asset values. "They're concerned that there may be more markdowns in net asset value if interest rates stay higher for longer.
Persons: , Barry Sternlicht, SREIT, Sternlicht, Matt Malone, REITs, Malone, Kevin Gannon, Gannon, Jon Mechanic, Fried Frank, Mechanic, Barry Organizations: Service, Starwood Capital, Starwood, Income Trust, Business, Federal Reserve, Shareholders, Westin, Caesars, Opto Investments Locations: Miami, Vegas, SREIT
This report is from this week's CNBC's "Inside India" newsletter which brings you timely, insightful news and market commentary on the emerging powerhouse and the big businesses behind its meteoric rise. "This particular product, and broadly speaking, the domestic investor, has driven the upsurge in the Indian stock markets," Mahesh Nandurkar, head of India research at Jefferies, told CNBC. For instance, of the nearly 4,900 actively traded India-listed stocks, 300 stocks had a fall in revenue in the last two consecutive financial years. Foreign investors have historically had a significant influence on local equity markets. For now, the savings directed into equity markets are still a tiny proportion of the overall savings Indians put away annually.
Persons: it's, Mahesh Nandurkar, Hermes, Jonathan Pines, Deepak Jasani, Jefferies, Nandurkar Organizations: Association for Mutual Funds, SBI Equity, Opportunities, ICICI Prudential, Advantage Fund, Jefferies, CNBC, Federated Hermes, HDFC Securities Locations: India, Japan
Ethereum has jumped over the past 24 hours as odds of an imminent ETF approval have soared. AdvertisementAccording to Standard Chartered Head of FX Research Geoff Kendrick, ETF approvals would cement ether's chances of reaching $8,000 by this year's end. AdvertisementSecondly, big outflows are also less likely to be an issue for ether, Kendrick pointed out. Once ether funds are established, the price highs that it can achieve bode well for bitcoin, Kendrick added. "An ETH ETF approval will further legitimise the sector and therefore be BTC positive as well.
Persons: Ethereum, , That's, Eric Balchunas, Geoff Kendrick, Kendrick, bode Organizations: SEC, Chartered, Service, bitcoin, Securities and Exchange Commission, Bloomberg, Bloomberg Intelligence, Standard Chartered, FX, BTC Locations: VanEck
Grayscale Investments announced that CEO Michael Sonnenshein stepped down on Monday, ending a 10-year run as the leader of the largest crypto asset manager. Under Sonnenshein, Grayscale played a key role in pushing the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to allow bitcoin ETFs. "The crypto asset class is at an important inflection point and this is the right moment for a smooth transition. In 2022, Grayscale launched a lawsuit against the SEC, after regulators turned down its bid to convert the investment vehicle into an exchange-traded fund. Michael Sonnenshein at the 2022 Forbes Iconoclast Summit at New York Historical Society on Nov. 3, 2022.
Persons: Michael Sonnenshein, Peter Mintzberg, Goldman Sachs, Edward McGee, Sonnenshein, Arturo Holmes Organizations: Investments, BlackRock, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC, Fidelity, Forbes, Summit, New York Historical Society, Getty Locations: OppenheimerFunds
Read previewBlackstone, the world's largest landlord, contends the worst is over for commercial real estate. In the first quarter, shareholders in Blackstone Real Estate Income Trust, or BREIT, its $59 billion flagship real estate investment fund, pulled out almost a billion dollars a month on average, according to the company's first-quarter earnings statement. A similar investment fund operated by Barry Sternlicht's Starwood Capital has had an even greater retreat by investors. Share pricing is determined through appraisals of the value of the underlying real estate holdings. In May, Blackstone Real Estate Partners X also completed the $3.5 billion acquisition of Tricon Residential, an owner of single family rental homes.
Persons: , Barry Sternlicht's, Kevin Gannon, BREIT, reinvigorating, anemic, REITs, Jonathan Gray, Blackstone Heidi Gutman, NBCUniversal, Jon Gray, they're, Gray, outperformance, redemptions, Blackstone, Gannon, They're, Sternlicht, Todd Henderson, REIT, Henderson, It'll Organizations: Service, Investors, Income Trust, Business, Barry Sternlicht's Starwood Capital, Starwood Real, Blackstone, Starwood, KKR, Apollo, Federal Reserve, Communities, Blackstone Real Estate Partners, Tricon Locations: Blackstone, Brookfield, BREIT, Tricon, Nashville, DWS
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