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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBOJ decision on rates will be a 'very close call,' strategist saysYujiro Goto, head of FX strategy for Japan at Nomura, says wage data has been improving, but the Bank of Japan will be concerned about weak consumption.
Persons: Yujiro Goto Organizations: Nomura, Bank of Japan Locations: Japan
The new Ola electric scooters displayed during its launch at the Ola headquarters in Bangalore on August 15, 2021. With e-scooter prices starting at around $900, Ola Electric has become the biggest player in a country where adoption of clean vehicles is still low, but rising rapidly. In the IPO, Ola will issue new shares to raise $657 million while existing investors offload their stake of about $77 million to IPO investors, the term sheet showed. Aggarwal and investors such as SoftBank and Matrix Partners will sell part of their stakes in the IPO. Monday's newspaper ad showed 10% of the IPO will be reserved for retail investors, with proceeds going to fund capital expenditure and research and development efforts.
Persons: Manjunath Kiran, MANJUNATH KIRAN, Ola Electric, Narendra Modi's, Tesla, Ola, Bhavish Aggarwal Organizations: Ola, Getty, Tata Motors, TVS, Hyundai, West, Temasek, Fidelity, Nomura, Norges Bank, Reuters, Financial Express, Matrix Partners Locations: Bangalore, India
Financial transactions around the world were affected by a tech outage on Friday, hampering operations as workers at several firms struggled to log into their corporate systems. Employees at companies including JPMorgan Chase and Instinet, a brokerage firm owned by the Japanese bank Nomura, have had trouble gaining access to their work stations, according to people with knowledge of the matter who spoke on condition of anonymity. That has led to delays in some trades, though the companies have been working on workarounds, the people said. The London Stock Exchange said that its RNS corporate news service was unable to publish, citing a “third-party global technical issue” that it was investigating. The exchange operator added that the matter was not affecting securities trading and other services.
Organizations: Employees, JPMorgan Chase, Nomura, London Stock Exchange
Trump 2.0 could be bad news for global inflation, analysts say
  + stars: | 2024-07-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Brendan Smialowski | Afp | Getty ImagesA second presidential term for former President Donald Trump could reignite global inflation as his America-first policies drive up costs across the world, analysts warned. "The level of inflation is higher, inflation expectations are higher, and we're still in this inflation mindset." A recent poll of economists suggested, however, that the majority see inflation ticking higher under Trump due to his hard-line protectionist stance. watch nowThat higher inflation could spill over into Asia, too, Nomura's Gareth Nicholson said in a note to CNBC. In Europe, Goldman Sachs predicted in a Friday note that a Trump presidency could add a 0.1 percentage point increase to inflation as higher tariffs weigh on global trade.
Persons: Donald Trump, Brendan Smialowski, Michael Metcalfe, CNBC's, we're, Joe Biden, Trump, Nomura's Gareth Nicholson, Goldman Sachs, Manulife's Marc Franklin Organizations: Republican, Convention, Afp, Getty, Street Global Markets, Trump, Biden, CNBC, Republican National Convention Locations: Milwaukee , Wisconsin, America, U.S, Asia, Europe, China, Milwaukee, Pennsylvania
Read previewChina's belt-tightening consumers are dragging on the country's economy even as external demand supports exports, official data released on Monday shows. The fresh data shows China's economy continues to be bogged down by its real-estate crisis , stock-market volatility, geopolitical headwinds, and demographic challenges. AdvertisementPeople are just not spending enoughEven though disposable income grew in the second quarter of this year, consumers in China are reluctant to spend. Economic outlook for the second half of the yearChina's economic outlook isn't that rosy for the second half of this year either. However, they added that headwinds remain in the second half of the year, including the "tapering of post-COVID pent-up consumer demand."
Persons: , Nomura, China's, Donald Trump's, Yeap, Rong Organizations: Service, National Bureau, Statistics —, Reuters, Business, Bureau of Statistics, Nomura Locations: China, Beijing
In the meantime, you can stay up to date on the latest business news with CNN’s Business Nightcap newsletter. Access to credit is especially crucial for small, private businesses that aren’t able raise money through financial markets. “There were a number of programs out there to support small businesses during the depths of the pandemic, and there were relatively fewer filings than usual in 2021 and 2022.”Rising corporate bankruptcies could just reflect a lot of churn occurring in Corporate America, Jamner said. Don’t panicMost banks offer free checking if, for instance, customers have their paycheck direct deposited or they maintain an average minimum balance, reports my colleague Jeanne Sahadi. Marianne Lake, the head of Chase Bank, told the Wall Street Journal last week that Chase might stop offering free checking and other free banking services.
Persons: It’s, ” “, Matt Rowe, Josh Jamner, Jamner, we’re, Reena Aggarwal, , , Banks, Jeanne Sahadi, Marianne Lake, Chase, Jaret, Read, Goldman Sachs, Jerome Powell, Mary Daly, Morgan Stanley, Charles Schwab, Adriana Kugler, Johnson, Kinder Morgan, Tom Barkin, Lorie Logan, Michelle Bowman, John Williams, Raphael Bostic Organizations: CNN’s Business, Washington CNN —, P Global Market Intelligence, CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas, Nomura Capital Management, Consumer, Institute for Supply, P, ClearBridge Investments, , Corporate America, Federal, Fed, Georgetown University Psaros Center, Financial Markets, Chase Bank, Wall, TD Securities, BlackRock, San Francisco Fed, Bank of America, PNC, State, US Commerce Department, US Labor Department, National Association of Home Builders, Johnson, US Bancorp, Discover, Vegas Sands, Northern Trust, Citizens, United Airlines, National Statistics, Federal Reserve, Richmond Fed, Netflix, Novartis, Abbott Laboratories, Marsh, Blackstone, Infosys, Cintas, T Bank, Nokia, American Airlines, European Central Bank, American Express, Fifth Third Bancorp, AutoNation Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Corporate, UnitedHealth, Wells Fargo, Vegas, Equifax, Northern, McLennan, Schlumberger, Haliburton
In a boost for Toyota, Indian state cuts levies on hybrid cars
  + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
A move by India's Uttar Pradesh state to waive some levies on hybrid cars will make them 10% cheaper, delivering Japan's Toyota Motor a big win in lobbying efforts and raising industry and analyst expectations that other states could follow suit. Just as it does with electric cars, the government of India's most populous state will also waive the registration tax on some hybrid car sales, it said in a July 5 notification. Hybrid cars offer fuel savings as they operate on both electric motors and combustion engines. "This is a sizeable incentive provided by a state for hybrid cars. Uttar Pradesh accounts for 10% of India's total car sales.
Persons: Maruti Suzuki, Morgan Stanley, Nomura Organizations: Toyota Motor Corp, Toyota, Maruti Locations: Georgetown , Kentucky, U.S, Uttar Pradesh, India's
TD Cowen reiterates Meta as buy TD Cowen raised its price target on Meta to $600 per share from $530. Bank of America downgrades Visa & Mastercard to neutral from buy Bank of America said it sees "limited upside" for the payment stocks. Bank of America downgrades WK Kellogg to underperform from neutral Bank of America said it sees weakening industry trends for WK Kellogg. "We're initiating coverage of Bausch + Lomb (BLCO) with an Outperform rating and $19 price target." Bank of America initiates Composecure as buy Bank of America said it's bullish on shares of the metal payment card manufacturer.
Persons: Bernstein, Iris, it's bullish, Argus, Teva, Piper Sandler downgrades, Piper, Jefferies, Redburn, Goldman Sachs, Tesla, Goldman, Eli Lilly, Morgan Stanley, Needham, BTIG, it's, TD Cowen, Meta, WK Kellogg, Cobra Kai, Truist, Nomura, Raymond James, Bausch Organizations: Iris Energy, Walmart, Fox Robotics, Spotify, Oracle, Barclays, Microsoft, Citi, Quest, Bank of America, MKS, Southwest Citi, Southwest Airlines, Amazon, YouTube, Meta, " Bank of America, Visa, Mastercard, of America, SNAP, Netflix, Apple, Nvidia Locations: Mounjaro, Alaska, Southwest, underperform
Sung Kook (Bill) Hwang, the founder and head of the private investment firm Archegos, arrives at the Manhattan Federal Courthouse in New York City, U.S., July 9, 2024. The jury, which began deliberations on Tuesday, found Hwang guilty on 10 of 11 criminal counts and Patrick Halligan, his Archegos deputy and co-defendant, guilty on all three counts he faced. Hwang and Halligan sat flanked by their lawyers as the verdict was read by a soft-spoken foreperson. Hwang, 60, had pleaded not guilty to one count of racketeering conspiracy, three counts of fraud and seven counts of market manipulation. At its peak, prosecutors said Archegos had $36 billion in assets and $160 billion of exposure to equities.
Persons: Sung Kook, Bill, Hwang, Patrick Halligan, Halligan, Prosecutors, Andrew Thomas, Barry Berke, William Tomita, Scott Becker, Archegos Organizations: Archegos Capital Management, Prosecutors, U.S . Justice Department, U.S, Attorney's, Southern, of, Credit Suisse, UBS, Nomura Holdings Locations: Manhattan, New York City, U.S, of New York
Mainland China investors these days are often focused on how well U.S. stocks are doing — and bemoaning tepid performance at home. But a look at first-half performance shows that many China stocks still rose by double-digits, including a few artificial intelligence plays. Zhongji Innolight Ranking third in CSI 300 performance in the first half was Zhongji Innolight, which climbed 70%. Nomura rates Zhongji Innolight a buy and its analysts met with the optical communication company in late June. The broad mainland China stock market, measured in Class A shares, has underperformed over the past two years, said Wanda Wang, a research manager at Morningstar.
Persons: BofA, Nomura, Wanda Wang, That's, Invesco's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, CSI, Apple, Foxconn, Bank of America Securities, Industrial, FII, Avary Holding, Avary, Chartered Bank, HSBC, JPMorgan, Nomura, Nasdaq, U.S, Morningstar, Capital, Shenzhen Stock Exchange Locations: China, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Avary Holding Shenzhen, Hong Kong
This week, the Nikkei and the broad-based Topix surpassed previous records to hit fresh all-time closing highs on Thursday. Earnings are the single driver to the current market rally, Jesper Koll, expert director at Tokyo-based financial services company Monex Group, told CNBC. watch nowJapan's largest union, commonly referred to as Rengo, announced that Japanese companies have delivered the largest wage hikes in 33 this year. Koll told CNBC this week: "I stand by my forecast — the Nikkei 225 is poised to climb to 55,000 before the end of next year." A note by Nomura, published Thursday, said the gains on the Nikkei and Topix do not look appear sustainable.
Persons: Richard A, Brooks, Jesper Koll, Koll, , Rengo, Nomura Organizations: Tokyo Stock Exchange, Afp, Getty, Nikkei, Monex, CNBC, Japan's Locations: Nihonbashi, Tokyo, Japan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNomura economist names two biggest 'winners' if protectionism against China rises in AsiaSonal Varma of Nomura says India and Malaysia are the "top two" when it comes to supply chain relocation strategy.
Persons: Asia Sonal Varma, Nomura Organizations: Nomura Locations: China, Asia, India, Malaysia
A screen displays the Nikkei 225 Stock Average figure on the trading floor at the Nomura Securities Co. headquarters in Tokyo, Japan, on Jan. 11, 2024. Information technology was the S&P 500's worst-performing sector, down more than 2%. Investors in Asia assessed South Korea's consumer sentiment index for June, as well as Japan's service sector producer prices. The services producer price index for Japan climbed 2.5% year on year in May, compared with the 2.7% rise in April. South Korea's consumer confidence index climbed in June to 100.9 from 98.4 in May.
Organizations: Nomura Securities Co, . Big Tech, Nvidia, Investors, Japan Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Asia, Pacific, South
"Flying Fairy," a 53% alcohol from Shanghai-listed Kweichow Moutai , saw wholesale prices drop by more than 5% in a week. He agreed the drop in wholesale prices won't have a big impact on Moutai's immediate earnings. What's also different about Moutai's stock decline is that investors aren't rushing in to bottom fish as they have in the past, Ye said. "The recent wholesale price drop we think is mostly triggered by the arbitragers in the market," Morningstar's Song said. She expects wholesale prices to increase in coming months given major Chinese holidays in the fall.
Persons: stoking, That's, Jennifer Song, Song, Kweichou Moutai, Ye Yuhua, What's, Ye, Moutai, Huatai, Moutai's, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Nomura, Morningstar, Stock, Capital, Financial Holdings, JPMorgan, Macquarie Locations: Shanghai, Guangzhou, Hainan
Over the last year, Swift's Eras Tour and its affiliated film cemented her economic prowess in the United States, injecting billions into the economy. AdvertisementLocal businesses are seeing Swift's impact weeks ahead of her concerts. Jo Hale/Getty ImagesEuropean economists monitoring inflation rates in the service sector are examining Swift's tour to see what impact it will have on Europe's economy. Barclays' Consumer Spend research found that Swift's tour is expected to boost the UK economy by £997 million ($1.26 billion). Economist George Moran told the Times, however, that he thinks it's unlikely Swift will impact decision-making at the Bank of England.
Persons: , Taylor, Swift, Taylor Swift's, Ben Julius, Julius, Taylor Swift, Jo Hale, Lucas Krishan, Krishan, Kevin Mazur, George Moran, Moran, Nomura Organizations: Service, Business, Tourist Italy, Wembley, Getty, European Central Bank, Barclays, Consumer, New York Times, Securities, Rights, Bank of England, Times Locations: Europe, United States, Italy, Milan, London, Central, Paris, France
A view of the headquarters of the Swiss National Bank (SNB), before a press conference in Zurich, Switzerland, March 21, 2024. The Swiss National Bank on Thursday trimmed its key interest rate by 25 basis points to 1.25%, continuing cuts at a time when sentiment over monetary policy easing remains mixed among major economies. The figures assumes a SNB interest rate of 1.25% over the prediction period. Switzerland already has the second-lowest interest rate of the Group of Ten democracies by a wide margin, following Japan. It became the first major economy to cut interest rates back in late March and was earlier this month followed by the European Central Bank, and questions are now mounting over whether it will proceed with a third rate cut this year.
Persons: Kyle Chapman Organizations: Swiss National Bank, Reuters, Swiss, U.S ., Nomura, European Central Bank, Ballinger Group, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of England Locations: Zurich, Switzerland, Swiss, London, Japan
That suggests the Bank of England won’t follow the European Central Bank in cutting interest rates when it meets Thursday. A rate cut in August, when UK policymakers meet next, is now also less likely. Other economists, including analysts at Nomura, thought an August rate cut was still possible if pay rises and the price of services cooled further. “For an August rate cut, we will need other economic news to play ball,” the analysts wrote in a note. UK inflation peaked at 11.1% in October 2022, driven to a 41-year high by surging food and energy costs.
Persons: , Zara Noakes, Rebecca Florisson, Jake Finney Organizations: London CNN —, Bank of, Bank of England, European Central Bank, JPMorgan Asset Management, Nomura, “ Workers, Work Foundation, Lancaster University, PwC Locations: United Kingdom, England, United States, Europe
Citi analysts said the EU's additional tariffs were "generally benign," while one analyst from Morningstar pointed out that the additional duties were "modest" in comparison to U.S. hikes on Chinese EVs last month. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon BYD vs GeelyOn Wednesday, the EU said it would impose extra tariffs on Chinese EV players with a large footprint in Europe. BYD will be subject to additional tariffs of 17.4%, Geely will get an extra 20% duty. Citi analystsThe EU said in a statement it has provisionally concluded that Chinese EV makers benefits from "unfair subsidization," which resulted in "threat of economic injury" to EU's EV industry. watch nowThe additional duties come after the EU launched a probe in October.
Persons: Geely, Li, Morningstar, Joe Biden, Vincent Sun, Europe Joseph Webster, Webster, BYD, Tesla, Paul Triolo Organizations: Automotive Exhibition, Getty, Nurphoto, European Union, Li Auto, SAIC, Citi, EU, EV, Morningstar, Wednesday, Ministry of Commerce, Atlantic Council's Global Energy Center, Volvo, Nomura, Albright, Group Locations: Beijing, China, Geely, EU, Europe, U.S, Hungary, Swedish, Belgium
Chinese electric car company Nio launched its lower-cost brand Onvo on Wednesday, May 15, 2024, in Shanghai, China. CNBC | Evelyn ChengBEIJING — Chinese electric car company Nio plans to expand to the Middle East this year, CEO William Li said on an earnings call Thursday, at a time when rivals have been increasing their global footprint. The nearly 10-year-old company will also start shipping its lowest-cost brand, Firefly, in the first half of next year, Li said. The battery and electric car giant said in November it opened a showroom in Dubai Festival City as part of a collaboration with Al-Futtaim Electric Mobility Company. watch nowAs competition in the Chinese electric car market intensifies, Nio launched a lower-priced brand called Onvo in May.
Persons: Nio, Evelyn Cheng, William Li, Li, BYD, Nomura, Nio's Li Organizations: CNBC, United, United Arab Emirates, United Arab, Dubai Festival City, Al, Futtaim Electric Mobility Company, Tesla, BMW Locations: Shanghai, China, Evelyn Cheng BEIJING, Middle East, U.S, United Arab, Europe, United Arab Emirates, Dubai, 2H24
Nomura Research: China is facing a 'balance sheet recession'
  + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNomura Research: China is facing a 'balance sheet recession'Richard Koo of Nomura Research Institute says the situation China is facing is similar to what Japan faced in the 1990s.
Persons: Richard Koo Organizations: Nomura Research, Nomura Research Institute, Japan Locations: China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNomura: Don't expect the Bank of Japan to hike rates till OctoberKyohei Morita of Nomura discusses the outlook for Japan's interest rates.
Persons: Kyohei Morita, Nomura Organizations: Email Nomura, Bank of Japan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNomura: We expect India's central bank to keep its GDP growth projection of 7%Sonal Varma of the bank says "growth has surprised on the upside consistently."
Persons: Sonal Varma Organizations: Email Nomura
It also reflects that there's money in the system — but Chinese consumers are just really not that keen on dropping their hard-earned cash at Starbucks or Gucci. China's demand for gold jewelry softened in the first quarter of this year due to the surge in gold prices but was still holding up well, according to the council. Gen Z Chinese consumers ditch luxury for goldUnlike the rush into gold assets, Chinese consumers are not running out to buy even more stuff, particularly foreign imports. China's savings rate was around 32% last year — compared to around 4% in the US, according to a McKinsey analysis of official data. "Chinese households are increasingly confronted by the weak long-term Chinese growth outlook and the slumping prices in China's residential real estate market," said Biswas.
Persons: , Rajiv Biswas, Gen, LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton, Gucci, Yves Saint Laurent, Laxman Narasimhan, Nomura, Lynn Song, Jean, Jacques Guiony, Biswas, McKinsey Organizations: Service, Gucci, Business, World Gold, Bloomberg, Starbucks, Huawei, Nomura, ING, McKinsey Locations: Japan, China, American, Greater China
The Shanghai-based company reported Wednesday that net profit soared 246% to 28 billion yuan ($3.9 billion) in the first quarter of 2024, more than double the average analyst estimate of 12.62 billion yuan ($1.7 billion), according to LSEG data. Revenue jumped 131% to 86.81 billion yuan ($12 billion) in the period, also comfortably beating expectations. He is still the company’s biggest shareholder, with a stake of 25% stake, and ranks as China’s second richest man with a fortune of nearly $52 billion, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. Temu, PDD’s international app, was launched in 2022, and as of last November it had acquired nearly 17% of the US online discount store market, according to Earnest Analytics. Last month, South Korean regulators investigated Temu on suspicion of false advertising and unfair ppractices, according to the Yonhap news agency.
Persons: Nomura, PDD, Colin Huang, Pinduoduo, Alibaba’s Taobao, Morgan Stanley, , Lei Chen, Chen Organizations: Hong Kong CNN — PDD Holdings, Revenue, Nasdaq, Bloomberg, Data Locations: Hong Kong, Shanghai, , PDD’s, Alibaba, Hangzhou, Beijing, China, European
A real estate construction site in Wanxiang City, Huai 'an City, East China's Jiangsu province, May 17, 2024. Future Publishing | Future Publishing | Getty ImagesBEIJING — China's sweeping moves on Friday to increase support for real estate will take time to show results, analysts said. Despite the news, S&P is still sticking to its base case from earlier in the month that China's property market is likely still "searching for a bottom," Edward Chan, director, corporate ratings, said during the firm's webinar on Monday. But he pointed out that for real estate to see significant stabilization, homebuyers' demand and confidence will need to improve after a market downturn of nearly three years. "We believe Beijing is headed in the right direction with regard to ending the epic housing crisis," Nomura's Chief China Economist Ting Lu said in a report Monday.
Persons: Huai, Edward Chan, Ting, Nomura, Goldman Sachs, Chief China Economist Hui Shan, Ting Lu, P's Chan Organizations: Future Publishing, Getty, BEIJING, Chief China Economist, China Locations: Wanxiang City, City, East China's Jiangsu, Hong Kong, Beijing, Ting Lu, China
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