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What a hung parliament in France could mean for markets
  + stars: | 2024-07-07 | by ( Matt Clinch | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Emmanuel Dunand | Afp | Getty ImagesInitial indications on Sunday evening for the French parliamentary run-off vote threw up some big surprises, leaving political commentators contemplating a "hung parliament" scenario that could prove challenging for both policymaking and financial markets. With none of the groups expected to hit the 289 seats needed for an absolute majority, gridlock could ensue over the coming weeks. The euro slipped about 0.3% against the U.S. dollar in thin trading on Sunday evening after the exit polls were released. "Regardless, uncertainty about the outlook for French policymaking is likely to be long-lasting," the analysts said. France is facing a challenging fiscal position, and the European Commission announced two weeks ago that it intended to place France under an Excessive Deficit Procedure due to its failure to keep its budget deficit within 3 percent of gross domestic product.
Persons: Emmanuel Dunand, France's, Emmanuel Macron's, policymaking, Jack Allen, Reynolds, Macron, David Roche Organizations: la Republique, Afp, Getty, Popular Front, Rassemblement National, U.S, Citi, Daiwa, European Commission, Capital Economics, Independent, National Rally Locations: France, la, Paris, Italy, Germany
On Tuesday, Mr. Biden suffered his first formal call to resign from the race from a Democratic member of Congress. At the White House press briefing on Tuesday, Karine Jean-Pierre, the White House press secretary, faced a nearly hourlong barrage of questions about the president’s abilities, medications and physical examinations, including whether he had received a neurological test. But he also preemptively announced whom he would endorse if Mr. Biden departed the ticket. Period.”Image Many Democrats worry that Mr. Biden has moved too slowly to confront fears about his mental fitness and stamina. “I came back and nearly fell asleep onstage,” Mr. Biden said.
Persons: Biden, wringing, Mr, Biden “, Nancy Pelosi, Puck, Biden’s, George Stephanopoulos, Kamala Harris, David Walter Banks, Hakeem Jeffries, Chuck Schumer, Jeffries, Tim Walz, Karine Jean, Pierre, , Jean, Trump, Jeff Zients, Jen O’Malley Dillon, James E, Harris, preemptively, , ” Mr, Clyburn, Ms, Joe Biden’s, Joe Biden, Haiyun Jiang, Jared Golden of, Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, Washington —, Sheldon Whitehouse, Lloyd Doggett of, Doggett, Privately, Dan Sena, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Gretchen Whitmer, David Walters of, David, Katie Glueck, Nicholas Nehamas Organizations: Democratic Party, Democratic, Biden, PAC, Republicans, White, ABC News, Credit, The New York Times, Gov, Democratic Governors Association, White House, Mr, MSNBC, CBS News, Trump, House Democratic, CNN, Transportation, Former Gov, Democratic National Committee, Locations: New Mexico , New Hampshire, Virginia, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Washington, Minnesota, South Carolina, San Francisco, Rhode, Lloyd Doggett of Texas, Austin, Trump, California, Michigan, David Walters of Oklahoma, McLean , Va, Europe
Of the latter, social media is littered with posts about the idea of "dark psychology" and how it's potentially used to manipulate partners. She said she sees dark psychology tricks used a lot in dating. They gradually belittle youWright said devaluation is another common dark psychology trick — and it usually happens after the idealization or love bombing phase. In the early stages of dating, one of Wright's clients "noticed their date was frequently contradicting things they had previously said or done." No amount of dark psychology tricks will ever bring them close.
Persons: , Annie Wright, Wright, It's, Wright's Organizations: Service, Business Locations: Berkeley , California
Of the latter, social media is littered with posts about the idea of "dark psychology" and how it's used to manipulate partners. "They're hacks or cheats to get what you want faster," Annie Wright, a relational-trauma therapist in Berkeley, California, told Business Insider. She said she'd seen dark psychology tricks being used a lot in dating. They gradually belittle youWright said devaluation is another common dark psychology trick — and it usually happens after the idealization or love bombing phase. No amount of dark psychology tricks will ever bring them close.
Persons: , Annie Wright, Wright, Wright's Organizations: Service, Business Locations: Berkeley , California
Former President Donald Trump is the clear favorite when it comes to the stock market, according to the latest results of CNBC's Delivering Alpha Stock Survey. Of the 400 investors, traders and money managers polled, 67% said Trump would be better for stocks than President Joe Biden. The S&P 500 rose 68% during Trump's four years in office versus the 44% gain so far under Biden's administration. Seventy-seven percent of the survey respondents said they trusted the central bank to do right by the American economy, but 23% said they didn't trust the Fed. The 400 money managers who took the survey were evenly split on where they stand on the direction of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden, there'll, we're Organizations: Alpha Stock Survey, Nasdaq, Biden, Federal Reserve
Cryptocurrencies rose broadly, a day after bitcoin slumped to under $60,000 for the first time since early May, leading to a broad sell-off in crypto assets. Solana was the crypto market leader on Tuesday, however. The token tied to Chainlink, which provides data feeds on the Solana network, gained 7%. Ether gained 2% and coins linked to other Ethereum rivals rose broadly. Cardano's ADA jumped more than 6%, Polkadot advanced 5% and Binance Coin rose 3%.
Persons: bitcoin, Noelle Acheson, Solana, Ben Kurland Organizations: Metrics, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Solana Foundation, ADA, Polkadot Locations: Solana
Bitcoin tumbles back to $60,000 to start the week
  + stars: | 2024-06-24 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Bitcoin continued its descent to $60,000 on Monday. The price of the flagship cryptocurrency was last down by more than 4% at $61,211.00, according to Coin Metrics. Digital asset investment products notched a second consecutive week of outflows, according to CoinShares. Last week crypto investment products saw their lowest trading volumes globally since the U.S. bitcoin ETFs launched in January. "We have now seen $1.2 billion of outflows from crypto ETFs over the last two weeks which all began after the FOMC meeting.
Persons: Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, James Butterfill, Eleanor Gaywood Organizations: Metrics, CNBC Locations: U.S
And don’t ask who else is coming. Romilly Newman, chef, food stylist, social media personality Don’t bring a guest to a seated dinner. Raul Tovar/Houses & Parties Rebecca Gardner Please don’t ask people to take off their shoes when entering your apartment. Bronson van Wyck Gosh, I don’t think you can avoid certain topics in 2024. But don’t think you’re décor.
Persons: Ivy Getty, Rufus Wainwright, We've, Lang Phipps, Kate Upton, Illa Gaunt, Rebecca Gardner, William Laird, Sarah Harrelson, Jen Rubio, Jason Sean Weiss Sarah Harrelson, Alex Hitz, Ariel Arce, Larry Milstein, Eat, Maneesh, “ I’m, Wes Gordon, Lizzi Bickford, Smile, Tefi Pessoa, Daisy Prince, There’s, , Kristy Hurt, headhunter, Kendall Werts, Don’t, Jorn Weisbrodt Rufus Wainwright, Harry Hurt III, Liz Lange, Athena Calderone, Jennifer Gilbert, Kyle Hotchkiss Carone, it’s, you’ve, you’re, , Krista Schlueter, The New York Times Molly Jong, Gary Jackson Bronson van, , Laila Gohar, Susan Gutfreund, it’ll, Josh Flagg, somebody’s, Bronson van Wyck, Max Tucci, Sara Ruffin Costello, David Sedaris’s, Steven Badius, Kyle Hotchkiss, Kendall Werts “, It’s, Truman Capote, Jennifer Gilbert Don’t, Romilly Newman, Raul Tovar, don’t, Emily Post, ” They’re, Jobe, Lela Rose, ” Lizzi Bickford, Paloma Sandoval, Elsie Richter, Whitney, I’m, Zibby Owens, Molly Jong, That’s, Yana Paskova, The New York Times Harry Hurt, Elise Taylor, Francis Hauert, Doris Hauert, Jana Platina, Plum Sykes, Putin, Julie Reiner, Karsten Moran, Jennifer Gilbert I, Ken Fulk, Nobody, Giselle, Emma Gwyther, The New York Times Kendall Werts, Sedi, Nikki Haskell, Andy Warhol, Richard Weisman, Patricia Altschul, Amy Sacco, Hunter McRae, The New York Times Patricia Altschul, Dorothy Parker, Joey Wolffer Joey Wölffer, they’re, now’s, Rufus Wainwright I’m Organizations: Yorker, The New York Times, Trump, Biden, The New York, Google Locations: Converse, Uggs, Gardens, East Hampton, N.Y, New York, Gary Jackson Bronson van Wyck, we’ll, Delmonico’s, Europe, stow, someone’s, New Hampshire, Ukraine, Israel
Oil steady amid US stock build but jitters abound
  + stars: | 2024-06-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices were little changed on Wednesday, staying close to their highest levels in seven weeks as the market weighed concerns over escalating conflicts against demand worries following an unexpected rise in U.S. crude inventories. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was down 20 cents to $81.37 per barrel. U.S. crude stocks rose by 2.264 million barrels in the week ended June 14, market sources said on Tuesday, citing American Petroleum Institute figures. However, gasoline inventories fell by 1.077 million barrels, while distillates rose by 538,000 barrels, the sources said, speaking on condition of anonymity. China data this week showed May industrial output lagged expectations, but retail sales, a gauge of consumption, marked their quickest growth since February.
Persons: Ricardo Evangelista, Israel Katz, Jun Rong Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, American Petroleum Institute, Reuters, U.S . Energy, Administration, Hezbollah, U.S, IG Locations: Ukrainian, Russian, East, Israel, Iran, China, Singapore
President Emmanuel Macron called the snap elections Sunday after his party lost to the far right in a vote for EU lawmakers, a shock move that rattled markets for French stocks and government bonds. There has been widespread speculation since then that the National Rally, the party of far-right doyenne Marine Le Pen, is poised to become the most powerful force in parliament, unseating Macron’s centrist bloc. The risk of something similar happening in France is real, according to the country’s finance minister, Bruno Le Maire. “This comes down to the (parties’) plans that are on the table, whether we can, yes or no, finance this debt,” Le Maire said. The National Rally has promised to raise public spending and slash VAT on electricity and fuel.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Pen, , Truss, Bruno Le Maire, Le Maire, , ” Le Maire, ’ jitters, Ludovic Marin, La Tribune Dimanche, Frank Gill, Moody’s, ” Joseph Ataman, Mark Thompson Organizations: London CNN —, EU, National, , AAA, Getty Images Stock, haven’t, CNN, BFMTV, La Tribune, National Rally, European Central Bank, ECB Locations: France, ‘ France, French, Portugal, Europe, Italy, AFP, Paris, London
The Dow Jones and S&P both hit all time highs with the Dow Jones closing over 38,000 points for the first time ever as stocks continue to rise. (Photo by Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images)Stock futures were little changed Thursday, following a fresh record close for the S&P 500 and strong quarterly results from Adobe . Stocks are coming off a winning session that saw the S&P 500 notch its fourth-straight record close. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are on pace to end the week higher. Wholesale inflation unexpectedly ticked down by 0.2% last month, while economists polled by Dow Jones expected the gauge to increase by 0.1%.
Persons: Dow Jones, Michael M, headwinds, Dow, Barbara Doran, CNBC's, Elon Musk Organizations: NEW, New York Stock Exchange, Getty, Adobe, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Wall, Capital Locations: New York City
The Paris-based IEA said Wednesday that it expects growth in global oil production — led by the United States and other countries in the Americas — to “inflate the world’s spare (oil) capacity cushion” to levels seen only once before, during the coronavirus pandemic when oil prices crashed. By 2030, global oil supply will outstrip demand by a “staggering” 8 million barrels per day, according to forecasts published by the agency in its medium-term oil market report. “(That’s) a major, major surplus and… might be one of the highest in the history,” Fatih Birol, the IEA’s executive director, told reporters. The IEA also forecast growth in global oil demand to “slow progressively” over the rest of the decade, with demand peaking by 2029 before contracting slightly the year after. Despite the cuts, oil prices have trended downward in recent months.
Persons: London CNN —, upend, ” Fatih Birol Organizations: London CNN, Organization of, Petroleum, International Energy Agency, The, , OPEC, CNN, IEA, Brent, West Texas Locations: OPEC, The Paris, United States, Americas, Russia, Syria, China
It was Monday, June 10, the first day of Goldman Sachs' 2024 summer internships at its Manhattan headquarters. Goldman Sachs received a record 315,126 applications for its 2024 internship program, up severalfold from the 53,107 applications it received a decade ago. Goldman interns mingle Emmalyse BrownsteinDay 1 began with basics like how to access their Goldman email account and log into their company dashboards. For lunch, the bank served sandwiches and wraps and displayed chocolate-covered cookies emblazoned with the Goldman Sachs logo for dessert. See Solomon's full letter to interns below:AdvertisementJune 11, 2024 Welcome to Goldman Sachs On behalf of our people around the world, welcome to Goldman Sachs.
Persons: Goldman, Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, Chocolate, JPMorgan Chase, Emmalyse, Solomon, Will Bousquette, Jean Altier, Lou D'Ambrosio, Dan Dees, David Organizations: Service, Business, tote, JPMorgan, Goldman, BI, Invest Locations: Manhattan, New York City, New York, Dallas, San Francisco, Palm, bagels, Hudson
French election shock hits stocks and the euro
  + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
London CNN —The decision by French President Emmanuel Macron to call a snap election after losing to the far right in a vote for European lawmakers roiled markets and the euro Monday. The first round of the French election is scheduled for June 30, followed by the second round on July 7. Under the French system, parliamentary elections are held to elect the 577 members of the lower house, the National Assembly. Higher yields indicate that investors want a bigger premium to buy French bonds given the political uncertainty. “A right-wing majority in the (French parliament) would hamper any reform plans.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Macron, Générale, , , Mike O’Sullivan, whittle, Andrew Kenningham, ” Mohit Kumar Organizations: London CNN, BNP, Credit Agricole, National, National Assembly, CNN, Capital Economics, Jefferies Locations: Paris, Europe, , France
Liberal TV viewers have a new mantra: T.G.I.M.! Monday nights have suddenly broken out in the Nielsen ratings — and in national relevance — thanks to a rare confluence: two TV superstars of the political left who have limited their regularly scheduled broadcasts to that one evening. In a frazzled media age, their once-a-week programs have become something close to appointment viewing. Ms. Maddow’s Monday program is far and away the highest-rated hour of MSNBC’s entire week. Mr. Stewart’s “Daily Show” significantly outdraws the other weeknight editions of the show, and has proved to be a rare breakout hit for Comedy Central.
Persons: Jon Stewart, Rachel Maddow, Maddow’s, Stewart’s Organizations: Liberal, Nielsen, Comedy Central
OPEC+ to extend deep oil production cuts into 2025
  + stars: | 2024-06-02 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
CNN —The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies — a group of leading oil producers known as OPEC+ — agreed Sunday to extend a voluntary production cut of 2.2 million barrels of crude oil a day into 2025. The group also released its 2025 production requirements for member and nonmember countries, which were essentially the same as this year’s. Despite the OPEC+ cuts, equivalent to about 5.7% of global crude supply, and ongoing tensions in the Middle East, global oil prices have fallen by about 10% since hitting a five-month high in early April. The IEA expects global supply to increase by just 580,000 barrels per day this year. Sunday’s OPEC+ decision coincides with Saudi Arabia selling some more shares in its oil company Aramco.
Persons: , Russia —, Brent Organizations: CNN, of, Petroleum, United, Emirates, Brent, West Texas, International Monetary Fund, International Energy Agency, IEA, Saudi, Aramco Locations: OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Russia, United States, , Syria, China, Europe, Paris, Riyadh
When I became a parent, I realized that too much screen time was not good for my kids' developing brains. But my oldest, aged 6, kept asking to play video games because all his friends were already doing it. A video game system that gets kids movingI felt a little hypocritical for not allowing my son to play video games after my husband and I spent so much time doing so growing up. The video game console has a camera that records your movement, and instead of using a remote to play games, you use your body. We've reserved playing video games when it's raining or snowing outside, and they can't ride their scooters around our neighborhood.
Persons: , doesn't, It's Organizations: Service, Nintendo, Business
The ongoing S&P 500 rally could extend to 5,500 this year, UBS said. Tech earnings have remained strong, with ex-Mag 7 tech firm profits revised 7% higher since March. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementWith last month's equity jitters already quashed, the ongoing rebound is the start of an extensive summer rally, UBS said. According to a note published Tuesday, the S&P 500 could reach the firm's upside scenario of 5,500 by this year's end.
Persons: Disinflation, , Marcelli, That's Organizations: UBS, Tech, Service, Global Wealth Management, Microsoft, Nvidia, Apple
The best strategy for tackling those moments of stress actually involves some preparation: Highly successful people get ahead of their unsteadiness with a key mindset shift, according to Lisa Feldman Barrett, a neuroscientist, author and psychology professor at Northeastern University. They don't see stress as something bad to be overcome, but instead as something natural that can be managed. Instead, she recommends doing exercises beforehand to practice doing what unnerves you, and to help train yourself to understand and handle the stress differently. "It's a shift from making the sensation go away to getting better at performing while I'm feeling the sensation," he said. Plus, sign up for CNBC Make It's newsletter to get tips and tricks for success at work, with money and in life.
Persons: Lisa Feldman Barrett, Barrett, Wharton, Adam Grant's, Ted, Grant, speck, ted Organizations: Northeastern University, CNBC
Read previewThis as-told-to essay is based on a conversation with Calli Nguyen, a 24-year-old social media marketer from Baton Rouge, LA, about getting fired after less than one week of work. I now feel that getting fired after less than a week of employment was a blessing in disguise. The experience taught me that not every opportunity is a good opportunity. Afterall, I did list my social media marketing skills on my résumé. AdvertisementMy boss wanted her social media marketing to look a certain way: showcasing stock photos of attractive women with outdated fonts.
Persons: , Calli Nguyen, It's, I've, Afterall, Ma'am, Z, it's, doesn't Organizations: Service, Business Locations: Baton Rouge , LA
Four years ago, I started commuting to my high school — which is an hour away — by train. But that ended when I started high school at The Hudson School, which is 25 miles away from my home in Madison, New Jersey. AdvertisementNow that I'm a high school senior, I look back fondly on my four-year commute. AdvertisementI imagined how much easier it would be if I were a regular high school student who took the bus to school. Still, I'm glad I got to commute 25 miles every day before heading off to collegeLooking back at the past four years, I realize commuting has helped prepare me for the real world — outside high school.
Persons: , COVID, didn't, I'm Organizations: Service, The Hudson School, Hudson School, New Jersey Transit Locations: Madison , New Jersey, New, Europe, Hoboken
U.S. stock futures were little changed Monday night after a losing day for the major benchmarks. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures flickered near the flatline. The 30-stock Dow dropped 248 points, or 0.65%, in its sixth straight losing day. Those losses follow a rise in yields that had investors shrugging off strong earnings from Goldman Sachs , as well as hot retail sales data. Big bank earnings are set to continue Tuesday, with the release of results from Bank of America, Johnson & Johnson and Morgan Stanley.
Persons: Dow, Goldman Sachs, we're, Lauren Goodwin, CNBC's, Johnson, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Treasury, Saturday, New York Life Investments, Bank of America, United Airlines, Traders Locations: Israel, U.S, UnitedHealth
But several realtors told CNN that their clients are now citing another reason: Russia’s war in Ukraine, and the fear that the conflict could spread. A record-breaking number of Poles bought property in Spain in 2023, topping the previous record set the year before, according to Polish outlet Bizblog. Lopez said a client last month bought a property because they wanted to avoid being conscripted into the Polish military. “The trigger, really, was the war in Ukraine.”But most buy just for peace of mind – a back-up plan, for those wealthy enough to afford one. “Obviously, we are in NATO, but I must say there’s a big amount of people who are really, really afraid,” she said.
Persons: Agnes Marciniak, She’s, , , Kostrzewa, Volodomyr Zelensky, Ukraine “, Donald Trump, Donald Tusk, , Maria Ruiz Lopez, Lopez, Wieslaw, John Keeble, Liivia Illak, she’s, ” Illak, Alexey Navalny, Putin, they’ve Organizations: CNN, realtors, United States, NATO, Getty Locations: Baltic, Ukraine, Russia, Europe, Spain, Warsaw, Poland, Andalucia, Malaga, Belarus, Estonia, Lithuania, Russian
Oil prices head back up on Middle East jitters
  + stars: | 2024-04-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A view of an oil well at Arab Desert in Jebel Dukhan, Bahrain on March 4, 2024. Oil prices rose in early trade on Friday on heightened tensions in the Middle East, where Iran has promised to retaliate for a suspected Israeli air strike on its embassy in Syria, which could risk disruptions to supply from the oil producing region. Israel is keeping up its war in Gaza but is also preparing for scenarios in other areas, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Thursday. "The European Central Bank's decision to leave policy rates unchanged ... was expected, but accompanying statements open the door for near-term monetary easing," S&P Global Market Intelligence said in a note. However in the U.S., Federal Reserve officials signalled on Thursday no rush to cut interest rates, as sticky U.S. inflation remains a concern.
Persons: Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Benjamin Netanyahu Organizations: Brent, U.S, West Texas, Israel, Washington, ANZ Research, Organization of, Petroleum, P Global Market Intelligence, Federal Locations: Jebel Dukhan, Bahrain, Iran, Syria, Damascus, Gaza, Israel, Tehran, Europe, U.S
The dollar spiked overnight and traders slashed their bets on when — or whether — the Fed would cut interest rates this year. Such uncertainty could last for months and complicate President Biden’s bid for a second term. Traders this morning were pricing in less than two rate cuts for 2024 — down from more than six at the start of the year — possibly starting in July. The growing view on Wall Street is that inflation will need to get closer to the Fed’s 2 percent target before the central bank makes a move. Some are going even further: Larry Summers, the former Treasury secretary and a critic of the Fed’s handling of inflation, told Bloomberg that a rate increase can’t be ruled out.
Persons: Biden’s, Larry Summers Organizations: Fed, Biden U.S, Treasury, Bloomberg
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