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☆ Body of final person missing from sunken superyacht found off Sicily
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Divers of the Vigili del Fuoco, the Italian Corps. of Firefighters leave Porticello harbor near Palermo, to resume research for a last missing person on August 23, 2024, four days after the British-flagged luxury yacht Bayesian sank. Divers on Friday found the body of the final person missing after a luxury yacht sank off the coast of northern Sicily, the Italian fire service said. Eighteen-year-old Hannah Lynch, daughter of British tech entrepreneur Mike Lynch, is the last person still unaccounted for, out of six people that went missing after the superyacht Bayesian sank suddenly during a violent storm in the early hours of Monday morning. Recaldo Thomas, a Canadian-Antiguan national who was working as a chef onboard, was confirmed dead earlier this week.

Persons: Hannah Lynch, Mike Lynch, Morgan Stanley, Jonathan Bloomer, Judy Bloomer, Clifford Chance, Chris Morvillo, Neda Morvillo, Recaldo Thomas, Angela Bacares Organizations: Italian Corps, Firefighters Locations: Porticello, Palermo, British, Sicily, Canadian

☆ Goldman Sachs cuts odds of U.S. recession to 20% after retail and jobs data
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-19 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Goldman Sachs has cut its probability forecast for a U.S. recession to 20% shortly after raising it, as fresh labor market data sparked a reassessment of market views on the economy. Economists at Goldman earlier this month raised their 12-month U.S. recession probability from 15% to 25% after the U.S. July jobs report of Aug. 2 showed nonfarm payrolls grew by a less-than-expected 114,000. That was down from the downwardly revised 179,000 of June and below the Dow Jones estimate of 185,000. The report triggered widespread concerns about the world's largest economy, and contributed to the sharp — but ultimately brief — stock market sell-off at the start of the month. Goldman initially cited this as a reason for hiking the probability of an economic downturn — but changed tack on Saturday, when it wrote in a note that it saw the odds down to 20% because data released since Aug. 2 showed "no sign of a recession."

Persons: Goldman Sachs, nonfarm payrolls, Dow Jones, Goldman Organizations: Goldman, U.S Locations: U.S

☆ UK economy expands 0.6% in second quarter; June growth stalls
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-15 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The U.K. economy grew by 0.6% in the second quarter of the year, the Office for National Statistics said Thursday, continuing the country's cautious recession rebound. The British economy has recorded slight but steady growth almost every month so far this year, as the U.K. exits a shallow recession. On an annual basis the economy was 0.9% bigger in the second quarter, against a forecast of 0.8%. The pace of growth is unlikely to continue into the second half amid weaker wage growth, high interest rates and supply challenges, Thiru added. Over the April-June period, U.K. wage growth excluding bonuses cooled to a two-year low, but remained relatively hot at 5.4%.

Persons: Richard Carter, Cheviot Organizations: National Statistics, Reuters, Institute of Chartered Accountants, ONS, Bank of England's, U.S . Locations: York, U.K, England, Wales, London

☆ France's 'Olympics truce' ends, returning political tensions to the fore
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Tom Weller/voigt | Getty Images Sport | Getty ImagesTime is running out on the so-called "Olympic political truce" declared by French President Emmanuel Macron in late July, pushing the country's rocky political landscape back into focus. The left-wing New Popular Front alliance won the highest number of seats and prevented a much-discussed victory for the far-right National Rally. Meanwhile, Macron's own politics and allied government have been "widely rejected by the French," Massoc added, and no party will form an alliance with far-right National Rally. Even within the leftist grouping, parties are divided and some will refuse any sort of alliance with centrists, she said. Under the French political system, the parliament has relatively little power and between 2017 and 2022, 65% of texts adopted were laws proposed by the government rather than parliament, Massoc noted.

Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Tom Weller, voigt, Macron, —, tussles, Gabriel Attal, Lucie Castets, Elsa Clara Massoc, Gallen, Castets, Massoc, Les, Renaud Foucart Organizations: Stade de France, Olympic Games, Getty, Paris, Front, New Popular, National Assembly, University of St, CNBC, centrists, CAC, Lancaster University Locations: France, Paris, —

☆ UBS posts $1.14 billion profit in second quarter, smashing expectations
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

General view of the UBS building in Manhattan, New York City, on June 5, 2023. Swiss banking giant UBS on Wednesday smashed net profit expectations for the second quarter, as revenue came in higher than expected. Net profit attributable to shareholders came in at $1.136 billion for the period, versus a company-compiled consensus forecast of $528 million. UBS had swung back to profit in the first quarter after two quarterly losses, but it warned that its net interest income would fall in both its global wealth management and its personal and corporate banking divisions. It has now been over a year since UBS completed the legal takeover of Credit Suisse, triggering a huge integration process and forming a wealth management juggernaut.

Organizations: UBS, Wednesday, Credit Suisse Locations: Manhattan , New York City, Swiss

LONDON — European stocks are expected to open higher Tuesday, regaining some positive momentum after last week's volatility. The U.K.'s FTSE index is seen opening 26 points higher at 8,233, Germany's DAX up 18 points at 17,288, France's CAC 40 up 14 points at 7,259 and Italy's FTSE MIB 62 points higher at 32,084, according to data from IG. European stocks closed mixed on Monday as forthcoming U.S. and U.K. inflation data dominated investor attention. U.K. wage data released by the Office for National Statistics on Tuesday showed that pay excluding bonuses grew 5.4% year-on-year between April and June — the lowest rate in two years. U.K. inflation data, due on Wednesday, will be the first print since the BOE cut interest rates by 25 basis points.

Persons: Germany's DAX, Jack Kennedy, BOE Organizations: LONDON, CAC, IG, Office, National Statistics, Reuters, Bank of England, U.S Locations: France, Spain, Italy

☆ Market sell-off won't last for one key reason, CIO says: There's no tech bubble to burst
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Global markets are cautiously rebounding from an early-August rout — and one asset manager says there's no need to fear a burst tech bubble causing a persistent downturn. "I just don't see a tech bubble. Pointing to the Nasdaq, Singh noted that on an equally-weighted basis — giving each stock the same weight regardless of market capitalization — the index is flat over the last three years. "So if you have 100 stocks and seven of them are doing well because they have delivered [on] earnings, that's fine. The tech sector's recent bull run has in part been powered by the so-called "Magnificant Seven" of Apple , Amazon , Alphabet , Meta , Microsoft , Nvidia and Tesla .

Persons: —, there's, Wall, Manish Singh, CNBC's, Singh Organizations: Crossbridge, Nasdaq, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla

U.S. Treasury yields were lower Friday as investors continued to assess the state of the U.S. economy after labor data buoyed sentiment. The yield on the 10-year Treasury was around 6 basis points lower at 3.94% at 4 p.m. Nonetheless, it was holding near the level it was at last week before a weak U.S. jobs report helped trigger a run of global market volatility. The yield on the 2-year note was up less than 1 basis point on the day at 4.051%. Yields and prices move in opposite directions, and one basis point equals one one-hundredth (0.01%) of a percent.

Organizations: Treasury Locations: U.S

LONDON — European stocks closed higher on Friday as global equity markets looked to rebuild from the recent sell-off. Global markets have been volatile this week as they have tried to shake off Monday's rout. The initial sell-off was in part triggered by separate U.S. jobs data last week coming in weaker than expected. Both moves have led analysts to caution that markets may have outsize reactions to data releases and central bank commentary through August — typically a volatile month for stocks. Asia-Pacific markets were mostly higher on Friday.

Persons: — Organizations: City of, LONDON Locations: City, City of London, U.S, Asia, Pacific

☆ Bull trap? It's 'make or break' time for U.S. soft landing case, strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-09 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

U.S. stocks have whipsawed since last Friday, with a sharp sell-off followed by a bounce-back on Thursday. This led the S&P 500 to its strongest session since 2022, leaving it around the 5,310 level. The S&P 500 is facing a key test level as the consensus view of a soft landing for the U.S. economy reaches a "make or break" point, according to one strategist. But essentially what that means is a bull trap squeeze, where there's a lot of leveraged, bullish views on [the] back of a consensus soft landing view, which ultimately is now make or break." William described a bull trap as a selling point in which bullish consensus is proven wrong.

Persons: Ron William, CNBC's, William, that's, Ron William's Organizations: Advisory Locations: U.S, —

Media and chemicals stocks both slipped 0.6%, while travel stocks gained 1.28%. On Wall Street, stocks gained after U.S. weekly initial jobless claims figures came in lower than expected, alleviating some concerns about the state of the labor market. Last Friday's U.S. jobs report had shown slowing employment growth, sparking recession fears and subsequent market volatility. There was an element of market overreaction to that initial jobs report, Janet Mui, head of market analysis at RBC Brewin Dolphin, told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe" on Thursday morning. "The jobs data is actually not that bad, employment is still growing and particularly importantly, real wage growth is still positive.

Persons: Janet Mui, CNBC's, Mui Organizations: Anadolu, Getty, Media, Global, U.S, RBC Locations: Amsterdam , Netherlands, U.S

☆ No sign of U.S. recession in freight demand, CEO of shipping giant Maersk says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-07 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Shipping giant Maersk, considered a barometer for global trade, is not seeing signs of a U.S. recession as freight demand remains robust, the company's chief executive said Wednesday. "We've seen in the last couple of years, actually, [the shipping container] market remaining surprisingly resilient to all the fear of recessions that there has been," Vincent Clerc told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe" Wednesday, adding that container demand was generally a good indicator of underlying macroeconomic strength. The last week has seen a sudden escalation in worries about a recession in the world's biggest economy, the U.S., following a set of weaker-than-expected jobs data which has divided economists and market participants. U.S. retail trade inventories — a measure of unwanted build — in May were up 5.33% from a year ago at $793.86 billion, according to the most recent release from the U.S. Census Bureau. A report released by leasing platform Container xChange on Wednesday said indicators suggest inventories are higher than demand, meaning a less "prosperous time" in the coming months for container traders, the logistics market and retailers who stockpiled.

Persons: We've, Vincent Clerc, CNBC's, Clerc Organizations: Shipping, Maersk, U.S . Census Locations: U.S

"That, of course, requires more capacity, more ships in order to move global trade around the world, and that has created some shortages here in the second quarter and in the third quarter that we're dealing with at the moment," Clerc told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe." Maersk on Wednesday reported lower year-on-year revenue in the second quarter and across the first half of the year. It also posted second-quarter underlying profit of $623 million, a drop compared to the $1.35 billion reported in the same period last year. Container demand has been more robust than expected but is expected to cool in the coming quarters, Clerc said. Maersk shares were 1.8% lower at 11:33 a.m. in London.

Persons: Vincent Clerc, Clerc, CNBC's Organizations: Maersk Locations: Africa, Good, Europe, U.S, Asia, London

☆ Correction in the dollar-yen was overdue and may be 'healthy' for markets, former ECB chief says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

A carry trade involves an investor borrowing a currency with low interest rates and reinvesting it in higher-yielding assets elsewhere — taking advantage of that differential to make a financial gain. Investors piled into yen carry trades in recent years, attracted by Japan's low volatility and ultra-loose monetary policy. Global stock markets meanwhile plunged as "safe haven" assets such as the Swiss franc and U.S. Treasurys were bolstered. "You can't unwind the biggest carry trade the world has ever seen without breaking a few heads," Kit Juckes, chief foreign exchange strategist at Societe Generale, said in a Monday note. Trichet told CNBC Tuesday: "The correction can be seen as a healthy correction, in some respects.

Persons: it's, Jean, Claude Trichet, CNBC's, Treasurys, Kit Juckes, Trichet Organizations: European Central Bank, ., Bank of Japan, U.S, Global, Swiss, Societe Generale, CNBC, Federal Locations: France's, U.S, Europe, United States

☆ European stocks to extend declines after Bank of England rate cut as global sentiment sours
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Boris Roessler | Picture Alliance | Getty ImagesLONDON — European stocks were set to open lower Friday, extending losses amid a global downturn as a busy week of market action draws to a close. Germany's DAX was on course to open 104 points lower at 17,984, according to IG data, with France's CAC 40 down 40 points at 7,325. The regional Stoxx 600 index on Thursday suffered its worst session since mid-June, pulled down by financials as French bank Societe Generale downgraded its outlook and the Bank of England cut interest rates for the first time since 2020. The central bank decision took its key interest rate to 5% from 5.25%, in a move that markets had not been fully convinced it would carry out. Asia-Pacific markets saw steep losses Friday, with Japan's benchmark indexes tanking as much as 5%.

Persons: Boris Roessler, Germany's DAX, BOE Governor Andrew Bailey, BOE, Joe Tuckey Organizations: Getty, France's CAC, Societe Generale, Bank of England, CNBC, Argentex, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of, Apple, Intel, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Frankfurt, Bank of Japan, Europe, Asia, Pacific

☆ Bank of England to make knife-edge call on interest rates as markets favor cut: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Blurred buses pass the Bank of England in the City of London on 7th February 2024 in London, United Kingdom. LONDON — Several analysts expect the Bank of England to announce an interest rate cut on Thursday, but a lack of clear signaling from the central bank has shrouded the decision in uncertainty. The Bank Rate has been held at a 16-year high of 5.25% since August 2023. The decision will be announced at midday U.K. time and will be followed by a press conference. Thursday will also see the release of the quarterly Monetary Policy Report, which will contain economic growth and inflation projections.

Persons: BOE Organizations: Bank of England Locations: City of London, London, United Kingdom

☆ Barclays profit dips in the second quarter, beats estimates
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

LONDON — Barclays on Thursday reported second-quarter net profit attributable to shareholders of £1.2 billion ($1.54 billion), slightly lower than a year ago, as the British lender's net interest income fell. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected attributable net profit of £1.03 billion for the period, according to LSEG data, in a decline from the £1.3 billion logged in the second quarter of 2023. Barclays posted revenue of £6.3 billion for the latest quarter, above a forecast of £6.25 billion. Net interest income at it consumer bank dropped 4% year-on-year to £3.15 billion across the January-June period, as the lender's net interest margin declined from 3.2% to 3.15%. The lender's restructure split the corporate and investment bank across Barclays U.K., Barclays U.K. Corporate Bank, Barclays Private Bank and Wealth Management, Barclays Investment Bank and Barclays U.S. Consumer Bank.

Persons: Venkatakrishnan Organizations: Barclays Plc, LONDON, Barclays, Reuters, Tesco Bank, Barclays U.K, Corporate Bank, Barclays Private Bank, Wealth Management, Barclays Investment Bank, Barclays U.S . Consumer Bank Locations: Canary, London, British

☆ European markets head for mixed open ahead of Bank of England decision
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

LONDON — European markets are set to open mixed on Thursday as investors process a raft of central bank action. The Bank of England announces its latest monetary policy decision at midday London time. Market pricing slightly favors a 25 basis point interest rate cut from the U.K. central bank, kicking off its path of monetary easing. Investors are still processing Wednesday's surprise move from the Bank of Japan, which raised its benchmark interest rate to around 0.25%, its highest level since 2008, and hinted at more tightening to come. The decision powered the yen to a four-and-a-half month high against the U.S. dollar, as Japanese stocks tumbled.

Persons: Germany's DAX, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: CAC, Bank of England, U.S, Bank of Japan, U.S . Locations: U.S . Federal, —

☆ Bank of England's rate cut is on a knife-edge even with inflation on target
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Market pricing on Wednesday morning suggested a 60% probability of a rate cut at the BOE's Aug. 1 meeting. That is far less conviction than traders had before the European Central Bank enacted its own rate cut at the start of June; while pricing for the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut for the first time in this cycle in September has hit 100%. watch nowIn both May and June, seven MPC members voted to hold, as two voted to cut by 25 basis points. Headline U.K. inflation spiked higher than in the U.S. and euro zone over the last two years, but has also cooled more quickly. "I would rather hold rates until there is more certainty that underlying inflationary pressures have subsided sustainably," Haskel said.

Persons: Mike Kemp, BOE, Jonathan Haskel —, —, Haskel Organizations: of England, Bank of England's, European Central Bank, U.S . Federal Reserve, MPC Locations: City of London, U.S, BOE, U.K

☆ European markets head for higher open ahead of euro zone inflation, Fed decision
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

LONDON — European markets looked set to maintain positive momentum on Wednesday, with euro zone inflation due and corporate earnings still in focus. On the data front, inflation figures for the euro zone will be published at 10 a.m. London time. It comes after second-quarter gross domestic product for the euro zone came in at 0.3% on Tuesday, slightly higher than expected. In the U.S., the Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates steady on Thursday. In Asia, all eyes are on the Bank of Japan as it raised its benchmark interest rate to 0.25% from its previous range of 0% to 0.1% and outlined a plan to taper its bond buying program.

Organizations: HSBC, Adidas, Kanye, Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan Locations: London, U.S, Asia

☆ Johnnie Walker-maker Diageo plunges 10% on full-year sales decline, but Guinness a bright spot
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

John Morrissey serves pints of Guinness at a traditional Irish pub in Dublin on May 21, 2024, in Dublin, Ireland. Shares of spirits giant Diageo tumbled more than 10% on Tuesday morning, after the Johnnie Walker-maker posted its first sales decline since the start of the pandemic. The London-based company said organic net sales dropped 0.6% in the full-year to June 30, largely due to weakness in the Latin America and Caribbean region. Reported net sales were down 1.4%. "The situation in Latin America is concerning as it was the primary reason for the profit warning earlier in the year.

Persons: John Morrissey, Johnnie Walker, Smirnoff, Captain Morgan, Don Julio, Tanqueray, Chris Beckett, Cheviot Organizations: Diageo, Guinness, Revenue Locations: Dublin, Ireland, London, America, Caribbean, North America, Europe

☆ Europe stocks head for mixed open ahead of central bank meetings; Standard Chartered announces $1.5 billion buyback
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

LONDON — European markets are set to see a mixed start to Tuesday, as earnings continue to dominate stock action and investors brace for U.K. and U.S. central bank decisions. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 index is seen slipping just below the flatline, according to IG data, while France's CAC 40 and Germany's DAX rise just 8 and 21 points, respectively. U.K. bank Standard Chartered announced its biggest-ever share buyback, of $1.5 billion, as it raised its outlook in half-year results. Oil major BP hiked its dividend as it beat second-quarter earnings estimates.

Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: CAC, Chartered Locations: U.S

☆ French telecoms network hit by vandalism within days of arson attacks against national railways
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Normal train service had resumed on the French rail network by Monday — when authorities reported damage to telecoms infrastructure, which caused local power outages and raised the specter of further national disruption. Secretary of State for Digital Affairs Marina Ferrari that France's telecoms network was experiencing isolated outages due to damage carried out overnight in several regions. It was not immediately clear whether vandalism to the telecoms network was connected to the damage and arson carried out on the rail network last week. Disclosure: CNBC parent NBCUniversal owns NBC Sports and NBC Olympics. NBC Olympics is the U.S. broadcast rights holder to all Summer and Winter Games through 2032.

Persons: —, State for Digital Affairs Marina, Ferrari, Dmitry Peskov, Gerald Darmanin, Darmanin Organizations: Paris, Olympics, State for Digital Affairs, CNBC, NBCUniversal, NBC Sports, NBC Olympics, NBC, Games Locations: Vandieres, France, Paris, Russia, U.S

☆ Heineken shares fall 7% after first-half profit miss
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

In this photo illustration, bottles of Heineken beer are displayed on July 31, 2023 in San Anselmo, California. Heineken shares opened nearly 7% lower on Monday, after the brewing giant's first-half profit growth came in weaker than analysts had expected. In an update that had been keenly-awaited by analysts, Heineken revised its operating profit organic growth forecast for the year to a range between 4% to 8%. The major miss was in Europe, which saw just 0.2% profit growth versus an expectation of 15.1%, largely because of increased promotional spending in a competitive market, Barclays said. Heineken said it "consolidated leadership" in low and no-alcohol beer sales, with Heineken 0.0 — a no-alcohol beer — up 14%.

Persons: Heineken, Dolf van den Brink, CNBC's, Van den Brink Organizations: Heineken, Beer, CR, Barclays, CNBC Locations: San Anselmo , California, London, China, Europe, Brazil, Egypt, Vietnam

☆ European stocks head for mixed open as selloff eases; U.S. inflation data due
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-26 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange as a picture of Vice President Kamala Harris is displayed on a television screen, on July 22, 2024. Overall, Stoxx losses have eased from last week, when the regional index recorded its worst performance since October. LONDON — European markets are heading for a mixed open Friday, as a global stock selloff eases and investors await U.S. inflation. The biggest item on the data front Friday is the U.S. personal consumption expenditures price index, due at 8:30 a.m. Asia-Pacific markets largely rebounded Friday, as Tokyo's headline inflation slowed slightly to 2.2% in July from 2.3% in May.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Wall, Dow Jones, Mercedes, Stellantis Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, LONDON, Mercedes Benz Locations: U.S, Asia, Pacific, .

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