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A specials trader works at his post on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 11, 2024. Stock futures edged slightly lower Sunday night as investors await the Federal Reserve's highly anticipated policy meeting, during which central bankers are expected to cut rates for the first time since 2020. S&P 500 futures hovered below the flatline, while futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 4 points, or less than 0.1%. The S&P 500 is less than 1% away from its July record and could notch a new all-time high this week. Central bankers are set to meet on Tuesday and Wednesday and are widely anticipated to make their first interest rate cut since they began hiking rates in March 2022.
Persons: Brian Belski, Mills, Olive Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Federal, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, BMO Capital, Darden, FedEx, homebuilder Locations: New York City, U.S, Olive Garden
Jim Cramer talks strong performance of homebuilder stocks
  + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer talks recent performance in homebuilders. Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email
Persons: Jim Cramer Locations: homebuilders
The Federal Reserve is set to meet Tuesday and Wednesday — and is is widely anticipated to make its first interest rate cut after embarking on a hiking campaign in March 2022. As it is, stocks are headed for a winning week ahead of the meeting. On Friday, the CME FedWatch tool showed markets were split how big the rate cut would be. Investors will also watch what Fed policymakers will signal in its summary of economy projections regarding future policy moves. He worries that stocks will rally heading into the central bank meeting, with investors possibly selling the news afterward.
Persons: It's, disinflation, Chadha, CNBC's, Dave Sekera, Giuseppe Sette, Sette, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, Morningstar's Sekera, Bank Asset Management Group's Bill Northey, Mills, homebuilder Organizations: Federal, Deutsche Bank, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Morningstar, U.S, Bank Asset Management Group's, Olive, Darden, FedEx, Index, Retail, Manufacturing, Housing, Philadelphia Fed Locations: U.S, Olive Garden, NAHB
Following the trade, Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust will own 100 shares of HD, increasing its weighting in the portfolio to about 1.1% from roughly 0.56%. Rates will come down and activity should pick up after the Fed gets a few rate cuts under its belt. That, at least, is what Toll Brothers CEO Doug Yearley said on "Squawk on the Street" earlier Wednesday when speaking about 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rates and the luxury homebuilder's business. If Yearley is correct, then it won't be too long until mortgage rates are at a sweet spot where housing turnover really starts to pick up. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, Doug Yearley, it's, Yearley, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Fed, Toll, CNBC
Investors and Wall Street analysts may want to take a closer look at stocks that could be winners under a President Kamala Harris after Tuesday night's debate . National polls showed a tight race heading into the debate, but some now believe Harris could get a bump from her performance. "We expect a near-term bounce towards Vice President Harris following the first debate with former President Trump, but the longer-term impact remains unclear," Raymond James Washington analyst Ed Mills said in a note to clients late Tuesday night. Wolfe Research has a similar list of stocks in an anti-Trump trade basket, including health care stocks like Centene and HCA . Of course, it could be difficult for new Democratic policies to become law even with a Harris win in November, depending on how Congressional races shake out.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, Raymond James Washington, Ed Mills, Isaac Boltansky, Daniel Clifton, Strategas, Wolfe, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Wall Street, Democrat, Walmart, Raytheon Technologies, Wolfe Research, Trump, UBS, Republicans, Democrats, Eaton Corp, Waste Management Locations: Democratic, Ukraine, Russia
In this article DHILENPHM Follow your favorite stocks CREATE FREE ACCOUNTShareholder returns for top homebuilders D.R. Horton and Lennar outpaced the wider S&P 500 between August 2014 and August 2024. Quintero's research suggests lower levels of competition among homebuilders may contribute to the U.S. housing shortage. "The supply shortage that we have estimated [is] anywhere from 2 [million] to 8 million. Some people put it at even 20 million housing units that we are short," said Tobias Peter, co-director of the American Enterprise Institute's Housing Center.
Persons: LEN PHM, Horton, Lennar, LEN, Luis Quintero, Tobias Peter, Margaret Whelan, Whelan Organizations: Industry, Johns Hopkins University Carey School of Business, American Enterprise Institute's Housing Locations: United States, California, Texas
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJuly new homes sales numbers are 'almost too good to be true,' says Oppenheimer's Tyler BatoryTyler Batory, Oppenheimer executive director, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the housing market and what's at stake for homebuilder stocks as the Fed signals potential rate cuts.
Persons: Oppenheimer's Tyler Batory Tyler Batory, Oppenheimer
Stifel upgrades Starbucks to buy from hold Stifel upgraded the coffee chain following the management shakeup that included a new CEO. Jefferies upgrades Sportradar to buy from hold Jefferies upgraded the Swiss global sports tech company, saying it's becoming "increasingly attractive." Morgan Stanley reiterates Target as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's sticking with its overweight rating heading into Target 's earnings next week. Berenberg reiterates Eli Lilly as buy Berenberg raised its price target on the drugmaker to $1,050 per share from $1,000. TD Cowen upgrades Ilumina to buy from hold TD Cowen sees revenue growth ahead for the biotech company.
Persons: Wolfe, PulteGroup, rais, Brian Niccol, Baird, Tesla, it's bullish, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Elliott, Wells, Equitrans, ETRN, Jefferies, it's, SRAD, Bernstein, Chipotle, Morgan Stanley, Berenberg, Eli Lilly, Lilly, circumspection, Ross, BURL, ROST, Oppenheimer, TD Cowen, mgmt Organizations: Stifel, RBC, Johnson, underperform RBC, Elliott Management, Barclays, Nvidia, JPMorgan downgrades Emerson, JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, Ball Corp, Ball Corporation, Montrose Environmental, Stock, Intuit, Citi, Palo Alto, Bank of America, TJX Companies, Argus Locations: Florida, Underperform, Swiss, Montrose, QuickBooks, Burlington, Coinbase, China, Hershey
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe are set up for 'very nice fall' in the housing sector, says Evercore's Stephen KimStephen Kim, Evercore ISI head of housing research, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the Fed's rate path impact on the housing sector, why homebuilder stocks are incredibly cheap, and what investors should buy at today's levels.
Persons: Evercore's Stephen Kim Stephen Kim, Evercore
In 1973, the median size of completed single-family homes was 1,525 square feet, according to US Census data. But as the cost of buying a home has exploded and McMansions have fallen out of favor, homebuilders have reversed course, building smaller homes with an eye to first-time buyers. Today, smaller, often more affordable homes under 1,000 square feet are harder to come by in most US suburbs. According to an NAHB survey, 17% of homebuilders said they built homes on smaller lots in 2023 to support home sales, and 14% said they built more townhouses. Smaller homes and fewer amenitiesHeather Eisenmann, a Realtor who specializes in selling new construction in Clarksville, Tennessee, said that she’s noticed that many of the new homes she shows now have smaller bedrooms and living rooms.
Persons: Jordyn Carias, , homebuilders, Alan Ratner, , we’ve, Levittowns, wasn’t, Jacob Anbinder, ” Anbinder, Levitt, Irving Haberman, Michael Murray, Heather Eisenmann, she’s, ” Eisenmann Organizations: CNN, Zelman, Associates, National Association of Homebuilders, Cornell University, Sons, National Association of Realtors, Census Bureau Locations: Muscatine , Iowa, America, Levittown, New York, Puerto Rico, Real, United States, Horton, Clarksville , Tennessee, Muscatine, Sacramento
The stock market is gearing up for its rate cut era
  + stars: | 2024-07-26 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
Data Thursday showed the economy expanded at a robust 2.8% annualized rate during the second quarter, blowing past economists’ expectations. While the Fed has penciled in just one rate cut for this year, traders are betting on up to three, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. While the market was broadly higher on Friday, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq on Wednesday logged their worst daily performances since 2022. Shares of smaller companies tend to perform poorly when rates are high, since they have more floating rate debt than their larger counterparts. Investors are also picking at other areas of the market poised to gain when rates come down.
Persons: , Dow, Russell, Stephen Lee Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Big Tech, Nasdaq, MRB Partners, YouTube, Logan Capital Locations: New York
Here are Wednesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: RBC upgrades Estee Lauder to outperform from sector perform RBC said it sees an attractive risk/reward. Morgan Stanley reiterates Tesla as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's standing by shares of Tesla following the release of disappointing earnings. Morgan Stanley initiates Biohaven as overweight Morgan Stanley said it sees "value creation" for the biotech company. Morgan Stanley downgrades General Motors to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley said it sees a more "balanced" risk/reward for shares of GM. " Cantor Fitzgerald downgrades Tesla to neutral from overweight Cantor downgraded Tesla following earnings on Tuesday.
Persons: Lauder, Raymond James, Taylor Morrison, it's, Morgan Stanley, Tesla, Tesla's, TD Cowen, JFrog, Cowen, Lockheed Martin, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Smith, Stifel, GOOGL, Jefferies downgrades, Gamble, Jefferies, Piper Sandler downgrades Ulta, Piper, Gordon Haskett, Joel Anderson, Cantor Fitzgerald downgrades Tesla, Cantor Organizations: RBC, Taylor Morrison Homes, Tesla, Lockheed, Spotify, JPMorgan, Garden Entertainment, Apple JPMorgan, Apple, Jefferies downgrades Colgate, Palmolive, Procter, Colgate, Gamble, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, Motors, GM, Barclays, Disney, Universal Studios, Davidson Locations: GenAI, Malibu
AdvertisementIn doing so, they have etched out a new niche at the most rarefied heights of the residential market, in part by persuading buyers who might have lavished millions of dollars – or more – to rent instead. Rental projects, on the other hand, while less lucrative upfront, offer more stability for owners with a long time horizon. It recently reconsidered the plan based on the success of the building's rentals, Aries said, and is now offering the penthouse unit for rent. A guest room at a Maison Hudson luxury apartment Kira Turnbull for The CollectionBased on the success of Maison Hudson, Wainbridge is planning identical projects in Los Angeles and Miami Beach, according to Oudinot. Advertisement"The demand is thin and high and very volatile" at the top of the residential market, according to Nancy Packes, a real estate advisor and broker.
Persons: , Ken Griffin, , Maison, Tyrone McKillen, McKillen, Maison Hudson, Kira Turnbull, Jay, Beyonce, Erin Boisson Aries, Douglas Elliman, Aries, Maison Hudson Kira Turnbull, Maison Hudson's, Mikhail Kurnev, Kurnev, Jacques Oudinot, Barths, Oudinot, Wainbridge, Nancy Packes Organizations: Service, Business, Maison Hudson, Bel Air, Wainbridge, Miami Locations: Manhattan, West, Los Angeles, Maison, London, Fasano, Paris, Saint, St, Maison Hudson, Miami Beach
Goldman Sachs initiates Talos Energy as buy Goldman said the energy company has a "strong oil mix and free cash flow." Goldman Sachs downgrades Lennar to neutral from buy Goldman downgraded the homebuilder stock mainly on valuation. Goldman Sachs initiates Webtoon as buy Goldman said it's bullish on shares of the digital storytelling company. TD Cowen initiates Berkshire Hathaway as hold TD Cowen said it likes the stock but valuation is full right now. " "We upgrade CHRW to Buy from Underperform and raise our PO to $99 from $76, on 22.5x our 2025e EPS."
Persons: Wells, Piper Sandler, Piper, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Guggenheim, CrowdStrike, Lennar, it's, TD Cowen, Berkshire Hathaway, Raymond James downgrades Estee Lauder, Raymond James, Fitch, JMP, it's bullish, Jefferies, Baird, Henry Schein, Bernstein, Stifel, BURL, Morgan Stanley, Robinson, Oppenheimer, Coinbase's Organizations: Apple, Nvidia, Energy, Talos Energy, Guggenheim, Webtoon Entertainment, Inc, JPMorgan, Abercrombie, Citi, Tamboran Resources, Resources, Nvidia Citi, Amazon, ramping, Airlines, AAL, opp, Jefferies, Genomics, Micron Citi, MU, Samsung, " Bank of America, Underperform Locations: Berkshire, China, U.S, Wells Fargo, Burlington, 3Q24
Verizon : Shares dropped 6% after the telecom giant's quarterly revenue missed Wall Street estimates. "Buy T-Mobile ," Jim Cramer said. Buy T-Mobile." Lennar : Shares fell more than 1% after Goldman Sachs downgraded the homebuilder to a neutral rating following the stock's recent outperformance. "That's a big run, but if you think the Fed is doing a soft landing, you should just stay long this stock," Cramer said.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Abercrombie, Cramer, Goldman Sachs Organizations: CNBC, Club, Verizon, Fitch, JPMorgan, Micron, Citigroup, Stifel
Analysts polled by FactSet were expecting $3.75 per share on revenue of $9.61 billion. The company also authorized a $4 billion share repurchase program Domino's Pizza – The pizza retail chain plummeted nearly 13% after posting mixed second-quarter results. Domino's reported per-share earnings of $4.03, which came in above the $3.68 analysts polled by LSEG had expected. Cintas posted earnings of $3.99 per share compared to the $3.79 per share that analysts polled by FactSet were expecting. Taiwan Semiconductor – U.S.-listed shares fell more than 2% despite the company posting better-than-expected earnings results for the second quarter.
Persons: Horton –, FactSet, Domino's, LSEG, Blackstone, Cintas, Kinder Morgan, Donald Trump, , Lisa Kailai Han, Michelle Fox Organizations: Street Journal, Infosys –, United Airlines –, LSEG, Discover Financial, Warner Bros, Times, Alaska Air Group, Alaska Air, Taiwan Semiconductor – Locations: Taiwan
Charles Schwab – The financial services giant slid more than 10% following its second quarter results. Earnings for the second quarter were 83 cents a share, topping the 80 cents expected from analysts polled by LSEG. UnitedHealth – The stock popped 6.5% after the health insurance giant posted second quarter results that came in better than expected. PNC Financial – The bank stock jumped 4.7% after stronger-than-expected earnings for the second quarter. Rio Tinto said that its Pilbara iron ore production in the second quarter came in 2% lower compared to the year-ago period.
Persons: Charles Schwab –, LSEG, Morgan Stanley, Jefferies, FactSet, , Sarah Min, Lisa Kailai Han, Pia Singh, Jesse Pound, Michelle Fox, Darla Mercado Organizations: Group, Match Group, Bank of America, LSEG . Revenue, Revenue, PNC Financial, PNC, Rio Tinto –, Rio Tinto, U.S, Home, Federal Reserve, Toll, Builders, . Semiconductor, Nvidia, Devices, Broadcom, VanEck Semiconductor Locations: Rio, Rio Tinto – The
Homebuilder sentiment at the lowest level since December 2023
  + stars: | 2024-07-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHomebuilder sentiment at the lowest level since December 2023CNBC's Rick Santelli and Diana Olick report on the latest economic data to cross the tape.
Persons: Rick Santelli, Diana Olick
Several stocks due to report earnings this week could see large moves in the wake of those numbers. This week will see a larger group of corporate earnings, including streaming giant Netflix and chipmaker Taiwan Semiconductor . NFLX YTD mountain Netflix stock. Analysts polled by LSEG expect Netflix to report earnings per share growth of about 40%. The firm is set to report results for the fiscal third-quarter ended June 30 this coming Thursday.
Persons: Horton, D.R Organizations: Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, Delta Air Lines, PepsiCo, Netflix, chipmaker Taiwan Semiconductor, CNBC, LSEG, Taiwan Semiconductor, Bank of America, United Airlines
If Thursday's move into real estate stocks is reflective of a bigger trend, there's still time to make winning investments in the housing sector. As big technology stocks tumbled, traders jumped into real estate-connected holdings on a hunch that the sector would benefit from a lower-rate environment. Exactly 55% of analysts rate the stock a buy, with an average price target showing shares can rise close to 15%. About 2 out of every 3 analysts rate the stock a buy, and the average price target implies shares can climb almost 20%. The average price target reflects further upside of more than 16% over the next year.
Persons: Wells, Sam Reid, Reid, Azek, Reuben Garner, Seth Sigman, Sigman Organizations: Home, CNBC Pro, CNBC, Toll, Barclays Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo
As earnings season begins ramping up, there are some early reports to watch that have historically beaten expectations and rallied as a result. Earnings season kicks into higher gear next week, with major names including Goldman Sachs , United Airlines and Netflix on the docket. Bespoke Investment Group screened for stocks reporting next week that have beaten the Street's consensus earnings estimate at least 75% of the time. Entering this earnings season, JPMorgan Michael Rehaut named the stock one of his longs. But the average analyst, while having a buy rating, sees a correction of more than 2% coming over the next year.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, John Pancari, Pancari, Ally, LSEG, Horton, JPMorgan Michael Rehaut, Rehaut, D.R, David Roman Organizations: United Airlines, Netflix, Wall, Investment, JPMorgan
Kelly Evans: The cuts are coming
  + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Kelly Evans | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Seeing the June CPI print with a negative sign. You can be pretty sure now that Fed rate cuts are coming. Core CPI for the past three months annualized is now running just 1.1%. In fact, core goods prices have dropped 12 out of the past 13 months in the CPI. We could actually be at a pretty nice economic inflection point right now--but only if the labor market doesn't keep slowing.
Persons: we've, we're, Julia Coronado, J.P, Morgan, Powell, Goldman Sachs, Gary Cohn, Kelly Twitter, @KellyCNBC, @realkellyevans Organizations: CPI, Treasury, Trump, CNBC, Nasdaq
Bill Smead warns of poor long-term performance for stock indexes like the S&P 500. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Smead doesn't like the long-term outlook for big stock-market indexes like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100. Despite their recent resilience and rallies to new highs, he said he sees a few red flags that could lead to poor performance for the broader market ahead.
Persons: Bill Smead, , Morningstar Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Business
Why the Price of Wood and Lumber Keeps Changing
  + stars: | 2024-07-03 | by ( Emily Stewart | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +10 min
And then there was lumber mania, when lumber prices soared to records. After peaking in spring 2021, lumber prices briefly collapsed before jumping back up to $1,400 in early 2022. Paul Jannke, a principal at Forest Economic Advisors, said this housing-market malaise is a big problem for the lumber industry. While those in the lumber industry may not be having a fantastic time, if you're in the market for lumber, it's a good time to buy. Jannke said that while the lower lumber prices hadn't resulted in lower housing costs, "homebuilder margins are at or near record levels."
Persons: Stinson Dean, Deacon Lumber, they've, Dustin Jalbert, RISI, Jalbert, they're, Paul Jannke, Jannke, It's, Dean, Robert Dietz, They've, Dietz, They're, Emily Stewart Organizations: Federal, Forest Economic Advisors, Housing, National Association of Home Builders, Business Locations: British Columbia, China, Canada
Back in late May I published a bearish thesis on the homebuilders and laid out a trade for D.R. Since then, homebuilders have continued to underperform the S & P 500 and as 10-year yields continue to climb back towards 4.5%. I believe that there is further downside and currently there is another opportunity to take another bearish trade on DHI. Just earlier this week the $140 support level was broken and we can now confirm a new bearish trend. The total risk on this trade would be $625 per contract if DHI is above $140 at expiration.
Persons: Horton, homebuilders, DHI Organizations: D.R, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: DHI
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