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watch nowGoing into the Japanese market at this moment is akin to catching "a falling knife," Kelvin Tay, regional chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management, told CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia." Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon"The only reason why the Japanese market is up so strongly in the last two years is because the Japanese yen has been very, very weak. It strengthened sharply after the BOJ raised its benchmark interest rate last week to around 0.25% and decided to trim its purchases of Japanese government bonds. A stronger yen pressurizes Japanese stock markets, which are heavily dominated by trading houses and export-oriented firms by eroding their competitiveness. Ueda also said the 0.5% interest rate level — Japan has not seen that since 2008 — was not a barrier, and rates could go even higher.
Persons: Kelvin Tay, CNBC's, Tay, Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management, Nikkei, U.S, Bank of, Reuters Locations: Japan
The epicenter is Japan," Jim said during the Club's Morning Meeting. However, significant changes in the currencies can "force you to unwind the trade," Jim explained. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, we'll, Jim, Wells Fargo, we're, It's, Morgan Stanley, Stanley Black, Jim Cramer's, DOV Organizations: CNBC, Overseas, Nikkei, U.S ., U.S, Nextracker, Microsoft, Treasury, Energy, Uber Technologies, Caterpillar, Super Micro, Corp, NXT Locations: Japan, U.S, Dover, DuPont, Wells
The global sell-off in equities could end up being a mere "growth scare," according to Fundstrat managing partner and head of research Tom Lee. The index, known as Wall Street's "fear gauge," has more than doubled to above 50 since Friday, when it stood at roughly 23. For his part, Lee has been one of Wall Street's more bullish market commentators . But Lee opined that the sharp spike in Wall Street's fear gauge may suggest that a return to investor confidence could be over the horizon. "We have over three days where suddenly markets reversed, [and] declines like that are generally symmetric but you have to watch the VIX," Lee said.
Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, CNBC's, Russell Organizations: Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Bank of, greenback Locations: U.S, Asia, Japan
Hong Kong/London CNN —Japanese stocks on Monday suffered their biggest daily loss since 1987 as fears about a US economic slowdown sent shock waves through global markets. The Nikkei 225 index of leading stocks in Tokyo lost a staggering 4,451 points, its biggest point drop in history. On the more common, percentage measure, the index closed more than 12% down — according to Reuters, its largest one-day fall since October 1987. He was referring to “Black Monday” in October 1987, when global markets plunged and the Nikkei lost 3,836 points. The Nikkei closed down 5.8% Friday, as traders fretted about the impact of a stronger yen on Japanese companies.
Persons: ” Neil Newman, , Stephen Innes, Newman, Mohit Kumar, Taiwan’s Taiex, Kospi, Innes, Tom Kloza, Bitcoin Organizations: London CNN, Reuters, Advisory, CNN, Nikkei, Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, Management, Trading, Nasdaq, Dow, Jefferies, Traders, greenback, PMI, Intel, Brent, Oil Price Information Service Locations: Hong Kong, London, Tokyo, Japan, South Korea, , Asia, Europe, South, Shanghai, China, United States
AdvertisementThe amount of gold holdings in global reserves has doubled in just over five years, according to Bloomberg Intelligence analysis. "As the yellow metal carries no credit or counter-party risk, some deem it as being better insulated from financial sanctions, particularly those from the emerging world," wrote UBS' Czerwonko. Advertisement"The situation in competing jurisdictions is also dire; in the land of the blind, the one-eyed man can remain king," wrote Czerwonko. AdvertisementSimilarly, Bloomberg Intelligence said said a Wednesday report that a potential second Trump term could hasten a global currency regime change. "Any title toward isolationism in a Trump second term, such as altered US attitudes toward its role in NATO and international affairs would spur de-dollarization," wrote Bloomberg Intelligence analysts.
Persons: , Alejo Czerwonko, Czerwonko, Trump Organizations: Service, UBS, Business, International Monetary Fund, Bloomberg Intelligence, Trump, NATO Locations: Ukraine, Moscow, Swiss, Americas
The Nikkei 225 sank 4.5% on Friday, extending a global stock rout that started following the release of weak US economic data. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised interest rates by 15 basis points to 0.25% on Wednesday, its second hike this year, and announced plans to taper off its policy of bond buying. ”The hike has narrowed the difference in interest rate between the United States and Japan, which pushed the Japanese yen higher against the greenback. Combined with strong corporate earnings and effective corporate governance reforms, the weak yen propelled the Nikkei 225 to all-time highs this year. “From a Japanese equity perspective, the earnings boost from a weak yen is set to diminish,” Citi analysts said on Thursday.
Persons: , Ken Cheung, Frank Benzimra, Korea’s, Australia’s Organizations: Hong Kong CNN — Japan’s Nikkei, Nikkei, Bank of Japan, Traders, Mizuho Securities, greenback, Societe Generale, ” Citi, Dow, Nasdaq, Labor Department, , ” ANZ, Federal Reserve Locations: Hong Kong, United States, Japan, Asia, Shanghai
Yen braces for BOJ decision with risk events aplenty
  + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
That is followed by inflation readings in France and the wider euro zone later in the day, alongside the Federal Reserve's policy decision, which takes center stage. With plenty of risk events to mark the month-end, currency moves were largely subdued in early Asia trade as investors were hesitant to take on fresh positions. "We anticipate that the BOJ will increase interest rates to around 0.25% at the upper limit." "A rate hike could help stabilize the yen's current levels, whereas the absence of a rate hike may trigger renewed selling pressure driven by carry trades." The yen similarly made headway against other currencies, with the euro falling 0.07% to 165.07 yen and the Australian dollar slipping 0.12% to 99.80 yen.
Persons: Gregor Hirt, Sterling eked, Julien Lafargue Organizations: Bank of Japan, Federal, CIO, Allianz Global Investors, Traders, Barclays Private Bank, New Zealand Locations: Bank, France, Asia
Dollar, yen hold tight ranges ahead of BOJ, Fed
  + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar and yen kept within close ranges on Tuesday as traders awaited a barrage of key central bank decisions, kicking off with midweek monetary policy meetings from the Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve. The dollar and yen kept within close ranges on Tuesday as traders awaited a barrage of key central bank decisions, kicking off with midweek monetary policy meetings from the Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve. The Japanese currency was taking a breather from its recent rally as the BOJ began its two-day meeting on Tuesday, having surged over 2% against the dollar last week. The Fed is widely expected to stand pat this week, but markets are betting the U.S. central bank will begin cutting rates at the following meeting in September. Investors will be listening for any hints that Fed Chair Jerome Powell may drop on how soon policymakers are prepared to cut rates at his press conference.
Persons: Matt Simpson, Jerome Powell, Powell, Jackson, Index's Simpson, Sterling, bitcoin Organizations: Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, Index, Fed, Treasury, Bank of England's Locations: U.S
De-dollarization is nothing but a myth — and it could backfire on countries like Russia and China. That's according to Jeffrey Christian, a commodities expert who thinks dollar dominance isn't going away anytime soon. He says countries phasing out the greenback also could face consequences, like liquidity issues and slow growth. AdvertisementDe-dollarization is probably a fad — and countries trying to stage a global shift away from the dollar may soon find that the movement will backfire. Despite the ongoing movement, dollar dominance isn't probably going away, given how pervasive the greenback is in financial markets, he told Business Insider in an interview.
Persons: Jeffrey Christian, , Christian, It's, it's Organizations: Service, CPM Group, Traders, Reuters, Bank of International, International Monetary Fund, UC, Berkeley Locations: Russia, China, India
Asia-Pacific markets were mixed on Friday after Thursday's sell-off saw some indexes in the region hit their lowest level in months. "There's a changing of the guard happening on Wall Street. In Asia, traders assessed July inflation data out of Japan's capital city of Tokyo, which is widely considered a leading indicator of nationwide trends. Tokyo's headline inflation slowed slightly to 2.2% in July from 2.3% in May, while its core inflation rate — which strips out prices of fresh food — remained unchanged at 2.2%, in line with expectations. The so called "core-core" inflation rate, which strips out prices of fresh food and energy and is watched by the Bank of Japan, fell to 1.5% from 1.8%.
Persons: Thursday's, Adam Sarhan Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Investments, Bank of Japan, greenback Locations: Asia, Pacific, Tokyo
Donald Trump wants a weaker dollar in order to boost exports for US manufacturers. Other ways Trump could weaken the dollar would also risk raising US debt or inflation, Barclays said. AdvertisementDonald Trump's proposed policies run counter to one another, with his plan to increase trade tariffs complicating his intent to weaken the dollar, Ajay Rajadhyaksha of Barclays wrote in the Financial Times. Other options for weakening the dollar exist, but none come without consequences, the strategist noted. He cited alternative plans: raising US debt could help, at the cost of Treasury market volatility and more inflation pressure.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, , Donald Trump's, Ajay Rajadhyaksha, Rajadhyaksha Organizations: Barclays, Service, Financial Times, Bloomberg, Republican, America, Trump, Federal Reserve, Treasury Locations: stagflation, Japan
Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has said he wants a weaker dollar to boost US exports. Economists and analysts say a weak dollar policy would be costly and politically difficult to implement. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementRepublican presidential nominee Donald Trump has made it clear he would like a weaker dollar to make American exports more competitive. But economists and analysts are flagging challenges to making the greenback weaker — especially if Trump wins a second term.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Michael Strobaek, Lombard Odier Organizations: Service, Trump, Lombard, Business Locations: America, Swiss
Oil drops on weak sentiment, set for weekly decline
  + stars: | 2024-07-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices ticked higher on Thursday, buoyed by a bigger-than-expected weekly decline in U.S. crude stocks. Oil prices fell on Friday, setting up for a second weekly decline, as mixed economic signals weighed on investor sentiment and boosted the dollar. Brent crude prices fell by 51 cents, or 0.6%, to $84.50 a barrel by 0035 GMT. "Crude oil was under pressure amid a broader risk-off tone across markets," Hynes said. Oil prices found some support in the prior two sessions after the U.S. government reported a bigger-than-expected weekly decline in oil stockpiles.
Persons: Daniel Hynes, Hynes, Brent, WTI, FGE Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, U.S, ANZ, Reuters
Oil prices rise on bigger-than-expected drop in U.S. crude stocks
  + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Oil prices ticked higher on Thursday, buoyed by a bigger-than-expected weekly decline in U.S. crude stocks. Brent futures rose 13 cents, or 0.2%, to $85.21 a barrel by 0023 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude rose 31 cents, or 0.4%, to $83.16. Lower interest rates often spark buying and boost oil demand. The European Central Bank, meanwhile, is all but certain to keep interest rates unchanged on Thursday, but signaled that its next move is likely to be a cut. A weaker dollar can boost demand for oil by making greenback-denominated commodities like oil cheaper for holders of other currencies.
Persons: Brent Organizations: U.S, West Texas, U.S . Energy, Administration, American Petroleum Institute, Federal, European Central Bank Locations: Brent, United States, Europe, China
Turkey came out miles ahead of the rest of the world in an annual global wealth ranking — in a result that may come as surprising, given the country's high levels of inflation. The next-highest countries in terms of average wealth growth per adult were Russia and Qatar with nearly 20% and South Africa with just over 16%. But for Turks who own assets like homes, wealth has grown, as inflation pushes up the costs of those holdings. In a call with journalists, some of the report's authors broke down the relationship between inflation and wealth rises in Turkey. The report also noted the "currency effect", which is what changes wealth growth the most — local currency growth figures for wealth are often significantly different from those in dollar terms.
Persons: Türkiye, Samuel Adams, Adams Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, CNBC Locations: Turkey, Swiss, Russia, Qatar, South Africa, U.S, London, Japan
West Texas oil prices climbed about 2.4% on Wednesday on a bigger-than-expected weekly drop in U.S. crude stockpiles and as a weaker U.S. dollar overshadowed signs of slower economic growth in China. On Tuesday, Brent closed at its lowest since June 14 and WTI at its lowest since June 21. A weaker U.S. dollar also helped support oil prices after it fell to a 17-week low against a basket of other major currencies. A weaker dollar can boost demand for oil by making greenback-denominated commodities like oil cheaper for holders of other currencies. Also supporting crude prices was rising geopolitical risk, said George Khoury, global head of education and research at CFI, adding that tensions in the Middle East and Europe could continue to fuel risks.
Persons: Brent, WTI, George Khoury, Rystad, Svetlana Tretyakova Organizations: Huntington Beach , California ., U.S, West Texas, Energy Information Administration, American Petroleum Institute, CFI Locations: Huntington Beach , California, Huntington Beach , California . West Texas, China, Brent, United States, East, Europe, Liberia, Red Sea, Iran, Yemen, Beijing
An employee handles one kilogram gold bullions at the YLG Bullion International Co. headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Friday, Dec. 22, 2023. Gold prices advanced Tuesday, on track for a record close as rising expectations of a September interest rate cut bolstered demand for bullion. Gold futures advanced 0.6% to $2,443.80. According to UBS, central bank buying of bullion is the highest it's been since the late 1960s. The U.S.-listed shares of Harmony Gold and Gold Fields rose 6% and 4%, respectively.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Joni Teves, Teves, Gold Organizations: Co, Federal, U.S, greenback, UBS, Citi, Miners, Harmony Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, Ukraine, China, U.S
The risk-sensitive Australian dollar fell 0.18% to $0.6771, while the New Zealand dollar slid 0.35% to $0.6097. Under a Trump presidency, market analysts expect a more hawkish trade policy, less regulation and looser climate change regulations. Against the dollar, the yen was last 0.3% lower at 158.36, having strengthened to a roughly one-month high of 157.30 per dollar on Friday. "The confirmed FX intervention undertaken by the MOF in April and May proved that policymakers are prepared to be canny about choosing the timing of their moves," said Jane Foley, head of FX strategy at Rabobank. "In order to make more 'bang for their buck', FX intervention in quiet conditions or after the release of softer U.S. economic data seems like a sensible move.
Persons: Donald Trump, Jack Ablin, It's, Trump, Rong Ren Goh, Jane Foley Organizations: Trump, Cresset, New Zealand, Eastspring Investments, Cash U.S, Investors, . Bank of Japan, Finance, Analysts, Rabobank Locations: Asia, Japan, U.S, Tokyo
Read previewVladimir Putin's claims that Russia's economy is doing just fine may soon be hard to back up. That's mainly because Russia is losing two things its economy desperately needs, he told Business Insider — a robust energy trade and a steady flow of US dollars. Moscow's economy is extremely dependent on petrodollars, or dollars obtained through the oil and gas trade, Gorodnichenko said. AdvertisementThat could put Russia's economy on the fast track to a recession in the next 12 months, Gorodnichenko predicted. Withering energy empireThe energy trade is Russia's biggest money maker.
Persons: , Vladimir Putin's, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Gorodnichenko, Putin, Gorodnichkeno Organizations: Service, UC Berkeley, Business, Kremlin, Bank for International Settlements, Soviet Union Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Soviet, Soviet Union, China
If elected, Donald Trump has promised to maintain the dollar as the world's reserve currency. But his policies risk deteriorating faith in the greenback, according to one think tank. At number 13, the former president pledged to keep the US dollar in place as the world's main reserve currency. But a second Trump term might actually erode greenback's dominant role, wrote Mark Sobel, US chair of the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum. During his first term, Trump threatened to leave NATO and took the US out of key agreements, such as the Iran nuclear deal, Paris Climate Accord and Trans-Pacific Partnership, Sobel wrote.
Persons: Donald Trump, OMFIF, , Donald Trump's, Mark Sobel, Sobel, Trump, Biden Organizations: Service, Republican National, Trump, Monetary, Financial, Treasury, Social Security, NATO, Paris Climate Accord, Pacific Partnership Locations: Iran, Paris
Early Friday, the yen also suddenly strengthened against the dollar after the U.S. inflation data release, prompting analysts and traders to suspect a possible intervention from the country's ministry of finance. The yen traded at 158.55 against the U.S. dollar at roughly 12 a.m. Tokyo time after trading around 161.52 late Thursday. The currency strengthened further against the greenback, currently standing at 158.23. On Friday, Japan's top currency diplomat Masato Kanda said that authorities will take action as needed in the foreign exchange market. Reuters also reported that Kanda said recent yen moves were somewhat rapid, but declined to comment on whether authorities had intervened in the currency.
Persons: Masato Kanda, Kanda Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, greenback, Reuters Locations: Asia, Pacific, U.S, Tokyo
Gold climbs as traders brace for U.S. inflation data
  + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices firmed for a third consecutive session on Thursday, with investors awaiting U.S. inflation data due later in the day for more insights on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path. Gold prices firmed for a third consecutive session on Thursday, with investors awaiting U.S. inflation data due later in the day for more insights on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path. Any downside surprise in the CPI report could weaken the dollar and push up gold prices to the $2,400 level, said Marex analyst Edward Meir. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Wednesday that the U.S. central bank would make interest rate decisions "when and as" they were needed. Spot silver climbed 0.7% to $31.04 per ounce, platinum firmed 0.4% to $993.25 and palladium gained 0.7% to $992.90.
Persons: Edward Meir ., Lisa Cook, Meir, Jerome Powell, Wang Tao Organizations: Index, Traders Locations: U.S
Dollar adrift ahead of U.S. inflation test; sterling firms
  + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar fell a touch on Thursday although moves were largely subdued ahead of a U.S. inflation report due later in the day, while sterling firmed on receding expectations for an August rate cut from the Bank of England (BoE). The dollar fell a touch on Thursday although moves were largely subdued ahead of a U.S. inflation report due later in the day, while sterling firmed on receding expectations for an August rate cut from the Bank of England. BoE Chief Economist Huw Pill on Wednesday said price pressures in Britain's economy were persistent and that the timing of a first rate cut was an "open question". His colleague Catherine Mann signalled she is unlikely to vote for an interest rate cut in August. Against the greenback, the euro gained 0.04% to $1.0834, and the Aussie dollar rose 0.01% to $0.6754.
Persons: BoE, Huw Pill, Catherine Mann, Carol Kong, Jerome Powell Organizations: Bank of England, Monetary, ANZ, MPC, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Federal Reserve, U.S, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New, Bank of Japan Locations: U.S, Asia, Japan
There are other reasons the dollar has been propelled higher as some European and Asian currencies have seen lackluster growth. A strong dollar makes US exports more expensive and reduces the profits of American companies operating overseas when earnings are converted back to dollars. And while a strong dollar lowers the cost of imported raw materials, it can boost inflation and hurt foreign investments. The families of victims of two fatal crashes of the 737 Max oppose the deal, the department said. Beyond the fatal crashes of the 737 Max jets, the company has faced a series of questions about the safety and quality of its planes.
Persons: it’s, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, , Lisa Shalett, Morgan Stanley, Louis Navellier, Jeanne Sahadi, Read, Max, Chris Isidore Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, Republican, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, Navellier, Associates, New York Federal Reserve, Boeing, Justice Department, Alaska Airlines Locations: New York, , China, Japan, United States
The Chinese yuan made up 99.6% of Russian foreign exchange market in June, Bloomberg reported. This comes after the dollar and euro were barred from Russia's main exchange. One expert predicted this would happen, claiming the yuan would become Russia's main trade currency "once and for all." AdvertisementAverage daily volumes in the foreign exchange market contracted by close to a third in the month's second half, the bank report said. AdvertisementHowever, a surge of Russian demand for the Chinese currency has created a yuan liquidity shortage, Bloomberg separately reported.
Persons: , Moex, Alexandra Prokopenko Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, of, Moscow Exchange, Treasury, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, Bank of Locations: of Russia, Moscow, Russia, Beijing, Bank of Russia
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