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☆ Treasury yields tumble as recession concerns take hold
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by over eight basis points to 3.7099%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 3.7315% after falling by around 14 basis points. U.S. Treasurys slid on Monday as fears about a recession grew after a series of key economic data was released last week. The data suggested an easing of the labor market, which prompted concerns about a recession. That came after the Fed earlier in the week left interest rates unchanged and hinted at a September rate cut.

Persons: Treasurys, July's nonfarm, Dow Jones Organizations: Treasury, Dow, Fed, PMI

☆ Why the Fed almost certainly isn’t going to do an emergency rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Investors are increasingly hopeful that will push Federal Reserve officials to come to their rescue with an emergency rate cut. But if something comes up in between those meetings that changes their views on the ideal level for rates, officials can gather for an unscheduled “emergency” meeting. By doing two large emergency cuts in succession, Fed officials didn’t have to weigh whether their actions would unnecessarily cause Americans to panic. Before those cuts, the last time the Fed was promoted to do an emergency rate cut was in the thick of the Great Recession shortly after Lehman Brothers collapsed in the fall of 2008. But he said he was “reluctantly” comfortable with an emergency cut since other central banks were doing it.

Persons: Austan Goolsbee, there’s, Lehman Brothers, ” Charles Plosser, “, ”, That’s, Janet Yellen, ” Yellen, Plosser Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, Chicago Fed, New York Times, Philadelphia Fed, Bank of Canada, European Central Bank, Bank of England, San, Committee, Fed, Treasury Locations: New York

☆ Our bend-don't-break economy is reaching its limit
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Go to newsletter preferencesSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. In today's big story, interest-rate cuts are almost certainly coming, but the relief won't be felt immediately . The big storyCrash landingKevin Dietsch/Getty, Tyler Le/BIOur bend-don't-break economy might finally have reached its limit. After a year of resiliency in the face of high interest rates, the cracks are showing in the US economy. But it's not a silver bullet, and the rate cut's effect will take time to make its way through the economy.

Persons: —, Kevin Dietsch, Tyler Le, it's, Chelsea Jia Feng, Claudia Sahm, Madison Hoff, McDonald's, Jared Siskin, Bobby, Jordan Grumet, Justin Best, Brian Stauffer, Michal Kosinski, Rob Price, sompong, Seng kui Lim, Getty, Joe Biden's, Elon, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Annie Smith, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, Relief, Getty, Fed, Amazon, Big Tech, Madison, Park Conservancy, Citadel, FIRE, Union Square Advisors, Nvidia, America Locations: resiliency, Central, Switzerland, Canada, Park, Paris, New York, London

As the Fed lowers rates this year, mortgage rates are expected to go down. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates were 5.99% this week, according to Freddie Mac data, which is an eight-basis-point decrease from the previous week. Now that the Fed has paused hiking rates, mortgage rates have come down a bit. Once the Fed starts cutting rates, which may happen this year, mortgage rates should fall even further.

Persons: —, Freddie Mac Organizations: Federal, of Labor Statistics, Zillow, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: Chevron

☆ The global 'carry trade' is unwinding. Here's why it's a brutal force crushing stocks worldwide.
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The unwind of the global yen "carry trade" is a force battering stocks. AdvertisementStocks plunged on Monday, and market pros say a lot of it has to do with the global unwind of the yen "carry trade." The carry trade refers to investors borrowing money at near-zero interest rates in Japan, and then redeploying that cash into higher-yielding assets around the world, such as stocks and bonds. "The selloff here is to a large extent attributable to the unwind of the so-called carry trade," Ed Yardeni told Yahoo Finance on Monday. AdvertisementThe unwind in the yen carry trade will go down as the biggest ever, according to a Monday note from Societe Generale.

Persons: —, Stocks, Ed Yardeni, that's, Yardeni, That's, Kit Juckes, Warren Buffett's, Juckes, It's Organizations: Service, Yahoo Finance, Bank of Japan, Federal, Bank of, Federal Reserve, Societe Generale Locations: Japan, Bank of Japan

☆ Insider Today: Mark Cuban vs. Big Pharma
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-04 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

But first: Big Tech reporting for duty. AdvertisementEven before Amazon, Apple, Meta, and Microsoft reported earnings, investors' focus was clear. Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg didn't shy away from his intention to keep plowing money into AI, but investors didn't mind. Softening demand from shoppers for Amazon led to a miss in reported net sales and a weaker-than-expected sales forecast for the third quarter. Also read:Getty Images; Jenny Chang-Rodriguez/BIMark Cuban's pharma missionIn 2022, Mark Cuban launched a low-cost online pharmacy with the goal of cutting drug prices for consumers.

Persons: —, Jeff Bottari, Rebecca Zisser, Tesla, Mark Zuckerberg, iStock, That's, Gen, Zers, Tyler Le, Tetiana Lazunova, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Cuban's, Mark Cuban, somebody's, Emily Durham Organizations: Service, Business, Big Tech, Getty Images, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Apple Intelligence, Amazon, pharma, Cuban's pharma, Cost, Pfizer, Novo Nordisk Locations: China

☆ I took a job in New Zealand after my life turned upside down. I love it here, but the pay isn't sustainable.
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-04 | by ( Tess Martinelli | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Read previewThis as-told-to essay is based on a conversation with Camille Fahrnbauer, a 26-year-old travel nurse from Georgia currently working in New Zealand. Travel nursing in the US was debilitating. So when my husband left me unexpectedly and my life flipped upside down, I took a nursing job in New Zealand. AdvertisementFor a fresh start, I signed a year-long nursing contract in New ZealandI'd been travel nursing across the West Coast for three years when I started feeling a pull to nurse abroad. Dubai is at the top of my list because it's reported to have a great work-life balance and solid pay.

Persons: —, Camille Fahrnbauer, It's, I've, I'd, we're, I'm, Tess Martinelli, tmartinelli@businessinsider.com Organizations: Service, Business, West Coast, Facebook Locations: Georgia, New Zealand, West, Auckland, Dubai

☆ Jamaican sprinting great Shelly-Ann Fraser-Pryce unexpectedly out of 100-meters
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-03 | by ( Andrew Greif | Andrew Greif Is A Freelance Sports Journalist. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +1 min

PARIS — A noise rippled through Stade de France on Saturday evening when, before a semifinal of the women’s 100 meters at the Paris Olympics, the lane belonging to Jamaican sprinting star Shelly-Ann Fraser-Pryce was unexpectedly left empty. Fraser-Pryce, long the standard-bearer for the event after winning Olympic gold in 2008 and 2012, bronze in 2016 and silver in 2021, did not start the race, a dropout that was not revealed publicly until her competitors stepped up to their starting blocks. It marked the second stunning withdrawal of a Jamaican star of these Olympics, after Shericka Jackson also withdrew from the 100 days earlier. Jackson will run the 200-meters. Richardson safely advanced to Saturday night’s final, though was beaten in her semifinal by Julien Alfred of Saint Lucia.

Persons: Shelly, Ann Fraser, Pryce, Shericka Jackson, Jackson, Fraser, Dina Asher, Smith, Sha’Carri Richardson, Richardson, Julien Alfred of Saint Lucia Organizations: PARIS, Stade de France, Paris Olympics, Great

☆ Scientists digitally dissect ancient Egyptian ‘screaming’ mummy
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-03 | by ( Katie Hunt | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

CNN —Ancient Egypt’s pyramids, pharaohs and artifacts delight the imagination, reigniting wonder of the distant past in every generation. Experts are also using the latest techniques to spill secrets hidden within discoveries made decades ago, with new research this week “digitally dissecting” an unusual mummy found in 1935. The "screaming woman" whose mummified remains were discovered in 1935 may have died violently, a new study suggests. — To keep swimmers and beachgoers safe, scientists are using artificial intelligence to detect juvenile sharks, which like to hang out near the shore. They find wonder in planets beyond our solar system and discoveries from the ancient world.

Persons: Sahar Saleem, Saleem, Saleem couldn’t, Venus, Guillermo Legaria, Lonely Guy, —, Ashley Strickland, Katie Hunt Organizations: CNN, Metropolitan Museum of Art, Kasr Al, Cairo University, Mercury, European Space Agency, Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, NASA, JPL, Caltech Venus, Lonely, —, CNN Space, Science Locations: ., Damietta, Egypt, Luxor, New York City, Kasr Al Ainy, Europe, Asia, Thailand, Southeast Asia

Mortgage rates are down in response to the labor market slowing. Average 30-year mortgage rates are now hovering in the low 6% range, according to Zillow data, the lowest they've been since January 2024. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowToday's refinance ratesMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. This is a significant slowdown compared when it peaked at 9.1% in 2022, which means mortgage rates should start trending down soon. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.

Persons: you'll, Fannie Mae Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Zillow, Mortgage, Association, Sky Locations: U.S, Chevron

☆ Stock market today: US indexes extend plunge after surprise unemployment spike and jobs miss
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks fell after a weak July jobs report raised concerns of a slowing economy. The US added 114,000 jobs in July, below estimates of 175,000, and the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.3%. Intel and Amazon's weak earnings reports also contributed to Friday's stock market decline. The unemployment rate also unexpectedly rose to 4.3% from 4.1%, its highest level since October 2021. The 10-Year US Treasury yield plunged nearly 20 basis points to a 2024 low of 3.80% immediately after the jobs report was released.

Persons: —, Stephen Brown Organizations: Intel, Service, Treasury, Capital Economics, Federal, CME, Amazon Locations: payrolls

☆ Unemployment unexpectedly rose in July as pressure ramps up for the Fed to cut interest rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The weak report all but confirms the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September, an outcome that was already carrying a near-100% probability heading into the report. AdvertisementFriday's jobs report comes after this week's Federal Open Market Committee meeting, where the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady once again. "I think it's past time for them to cut interest rates," Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody's Analytics, told Business Insider in July. "The question will be whether the totality of the data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks are consistent with rising confidence on inflation and maintaining a solid labor market," Powell said. There were around 3.3 million quits in June and the quits rate was 2.1%.

Persons: —, payrolls, Mark Zandi, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Service, Business, Labor Statistics, Reserve, Stock, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics

☆ Why the stock market is going berserk today
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The stock market is in shambles on Friday, with all three major indexes falling more than 2%. AdvertisementThe US stock market has plunged into chaos as investors digest a streak of negative economic data and disappointing mega-cap-tech earnings. Months ago, signs of a slowing economy would bolster expectations for Fed rate cuts, which are seen as rocket fuel for stocks. "Pressure will escalate on the Federal Reserve as market interest rates will continue the attempt to force their hand." She added: "A September rate cut is in the bag and the Fed will be hoping they haven't, once again, been too slow to act."

Persons: They're, —, John Lynch, Seema Shah, Ryan Detrick, Carson Organizations: Amazon, Service, Investors, Intel, Comerica Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, Asset Management, York Fed Locations: New York

Read previewThe July jobs report has thrown the economy's soft landing into question — and the Federal Reserve is taking the heat. AdvertisementGiven the jobs report, Nick Bunker, economic research director for North America at the Indeed Hiring Lab, told Business Insider that "the soft landing for the US labor market is in peril." Advertisement"The problem is there's very few indications that this is the labor market we're going to stick around in," Bunker said. "It's clear that momentum of the labor market continues to be downward. "But I continue to stand by the idea that this is still part of the soft landing that people thought was not possible."

Persons: —, it's, Nick Bunker, Claudia Sahm, Sahm, Jerome Powell, Julia Pollak, It's, We're, Bunker, Powell, Harris, doesn't, Labor Julie Su, Su, they've Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business, North America, New Century Advisors, Fed, Biden, Labor

☆ Everything you need to know about when a rate cut could happen
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Now the central bank is mulling over when to do something it hasn’t done since the darkest days of the pandemic: cut interest rates. “A rate cut could be on the table in the September meeting,” Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Wednesday, immediately jolting markets. When will the Fed cut rates? Rate cut probabilityThat said, investors are entirely convinced the Fed will cut rates at their September meeting, according to Fed funds futures data. Torsten Slok, Apollo Global’s chief economist, is maintaining his prior forecast that the Fed won’t cut rates at all this year.

Persons: Jerome Powell, we’re, It’s, Powell, ”, ” Powell, Torsten Slok, Apollo Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, European Central Bank, CNN Locations: New York, “

☆ I'm 30 years old and only make enough money to cover the essentials. I rely on my parents to pay for fun things.
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( Zach Moser | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

As much as I may enjoy them, I don't need them the same way I need to pay rent and buy groceries. Related storiesIt's not rent or utilities or the many things I'm fortunate enough to be at least able to afford. The author — pictured with his mom and sisters — relies on his parents financially for fun things. I don't buy a lot of groceries, mostly rice, cheese, and occasionally eggs. But when my parents are here, I'm ordering the Weissbeer that's new on the draft list for a limited time only.

Persons: Miller, —, It's, it's, I'm, they've Organizations: Service, Gatorade, CVS Locations: Wawa, It's

☆ Trump said having JD Vance as his VP will have 'virtually no impact' on the race. Political scientists say otherwise.
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( Joshua Nelken-Zitser | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Read previewDuring a chaotic and sometimes combative interview at the National Association of Black Journalists conference on Wednesday, former President Donald Trump said vice presidents have "virtually no impact." "Historically, the vice president — in terms of the election — does not have any impact. The Influence of Vice Presidential Candidates in Presidential Elections." AdvertisementHe said that they act as "attack dogs" on behalf of the presidential candidate and work to drum up support for them. For those who do become vice president, history shows they can play a meaningful role in governing.

Persons: —, Donald Trump, Sen, JD Vance, Trump, Vance, Vance's, Karen Hult, Christopher J, Devine, Joel Goldstein, Andrew Gelman, Gelman, Richard Yon, Yon, Gore, Mondale, Carter, Cheney, Bush, Biden, Obama Organizations: Service, National Association of Black Journalists, Business, Virginia Tech, Saint Louis University, Columbia University, Shadows Locations: Trump, Clinton

☆ Stock market today: Indexes tank as data paints a negative picture for the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks nosedived on Thursday after several discouraging economic data points. The ISM manufacturing index dropped from 48.5% in June to 46.8% in July, marking an eight-month low. Investors are pricing in a 100% chance of Fed rate cuts in September, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Meanwhile, new data shows ISM manufacturing slid further into contraction territory in July. Jensen Huang just got $12 billion richer in a single day as Nvidia's stock soared on Wednesday.

Persons: —, Jerome Powell, Jensen Huang Organizations: Service, Reuters

☆ Yen braces for BOJ decision with risk events aplenty
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

That is followed by inflation readings in France and the wider euro zone later in the day, alongside the Federal Reserve's policy decision, which takes center stage. With plenty of risk events to mark the month-end, currency moves were largely subdued in early Asia trade as investors were hesitant to take on fresh positions. "We anticipate that the BOJ will increase interest rates to around 0.25% at the upper limit." "A rate hike could help stabilize the yen's current levels, whereas the absence of a rate hike may trigger renewed selling pressure driven by carry trades." The yen similarly made headway against other currencies, with the euro falling 0.07% to 165.07 yen and the Australian dollar slipping 0.12% to 99.80 yen.

Persons: Gregor Hirt, Sterling eked, Julien Lafargue Organizations: Bank of Japan, Federal, CIO, Allianz Global Investors, Traders, Barclays Private Bank, New Zealand Locations: Bank, France, Asia

☆ I was financially dependent on my ex-husband. Post-divorce, I taught myself about money and built a 6-figure business.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Perri Ormont Blumberg | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewThis as-told-to essay is based on a conversation with Beth Keeton, a 34-year-old publicist in Fort Worth, Texas. After the crumbling of my marriage, a divorce, and landing back on my feet, I started my own business. AdvertisementIf there's one lesson I've learned, it's that when your gut tells you something feels off, you need to listen. Now, I listen to what my gut tells me, which has protected my business in many ways.

Persons: —, Beth Keeton, It's, I'm, didn't, Dave Ramsey, I've, would've Organizations: Service, Elephant House, Business, Peace University Locations: Fort Worth , Texas

☆ Euro zone inflation rises to 2.6% in July, above expectations
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Headline inflation in the euro zone unexpectedly rose to 2.6% in June, the European Union's statistics agency said Wednesday. In June, inflation had come in at 2.5%, easing slightly from the 2.6% of May. Economists polled by Reuters had been expecting the headline figure for July to be unchanged from June's reading at 2.5%. Core inflation, which excludes more volatile energy, food, alcohol and tobacco prices, hit 2.9% in July, versus a Reuters estimate of 2.8%. The inflation rates come just a day after the release of the zone's second quarter gross domestic product, which the European Union's statistics office said grew 0.3% in the three months to the end of June.

Organizations: Reuters, ECB Locations: Germany

☆ Ron Insana: The economic slowdown is here, and the Fed will be key to avoiding a recession
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

It is a question based on recent market behavior, corporate profit reports and prospective economic policy changes at home and abroad. It suggests that declining inflation and economic weakness may well be in our future. Recent U.S. economic data has been unexpectedly steady, with recent growth pegged at an annual rate of 2.8% in the second quarter. Unemployment data flashes a warning sign The unemployment rate remains low at 4.1% as of June, but it has risen from 3.7% back in January . Some economists argue that an increase of half a percentage point in the unemployment rate, off the lows, is a precursor to a recession.

Persons: you've, Ron Insana Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Procter, Gamble, Federal Reserve, Clearwater, CNBC Locations: Clearwater, Japan, Switzerland, Venezuela, U.S

☆ Drop bears: The true history of a fake Australian animal
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Ben Westcott | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

“Once prey is within view, the Drop Bear will drop as much as eight meters to pounce on top of the unsuspecting victim. When CNN Travel asked Australian film star Chris Hemsworth for advice on avoiding drop bears in 2018, he said: “Bring an umbrella.”The origins of the drop bearDespite the drop bear’s popularity and growing international reputation, its actual origins are unknown. Not every Australian grew up with stories of drop bears, but those who do remember being told about drop bears by their parents, especially people who grew up in the country or in farming communities. The Drop BearsThere is, however, one clear marker of when the mythical drop bears began to enter Australian pop culture. Tell them you’ve got to be wary or (the drop bears) will drop down and take you,” Batchelor said.

Persons: they’ll, ”, Ian Coate, “, Chris Hemsworth, Clint, Paul Hogan, Hogan, Indiana Jones, koalas, savaging Hogan, Coate, ” Coate, Chris Toms, Johnny Batchelor, ” Batchelor, Toms, you’ve, Batchelor, It’s, Bears Batchelor, thylacoleo, Australia’s Coates, Coates, isn’t Organizations: CNN, of Australia, CNN Travel, National Library of Australia, Canberra Times, TAM, Clint, US, Aussie, Bears, Google, Bundaberg, ITV Locations: Australian, “, Goannas, Australia, Zealander, Sydney, New Zealand, New South Wales, Bundaberg Rum

☆ It’s not the end of the world if the Fed doesn’t cut rates tomorrow
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

New York CNN —The Federal Reserve is all but certain to hold interest rates steady at its meeting this week. That’s why Torsten Slok, Apollo Global’s chief economist, is maintaining his prior forecast that the Fed won’t cut rates at all this year. “There are still two more CPI releases before the September 18 [Fed] meeting, so we have to wait and see if the downtrend in inflation continues,” he told CNN. Fed officials have signaled that September will be when they finally lower interest rates. The difference between a few months for that initial cut “really doesn’t matter unless there’s some big shock that hits the economy in that time,” Fed Governor Christopher Waller said earlier this month.

Persons: Alan Blinder, Paul Krugman —, Blinder, what’s, Brandon Bell, Torsten Slok, Apollo, ”, Sean Snaith, it’s, Christopher Waller, Waller Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, CNN, ” University of Central, ” Locations: New York, ” University of Central Florida, Iran, Israel

☆ Stocks are approaching a 'watershed' moment as rate cuts unlock opportunity in unloved areas of the market, Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The stock market is about to see a major shift once the Fed cuts rates, Jeremy Siegel said. The top economist thinks value stocks could start outperforming growth stocks once the Fed eases policy. Cooling inflation data supports a Fed rate cut by September, Siegel predicted. The Wharton School finance professor pointed to opportunity lurking in value stocks, an unloved group of the market that's underperformed this year when compared to growth stocks. Growth stocks have outperformed partly due to Wall Street's AI craze, which has ignited investor fervor for growth stocks, like mega-cap tech firms.

Persons: Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, —, Powell Organizations: Service, Wharton School, CNBC

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