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China urges U.S. cooperation as Trump trade threat looms
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
A flag stall at the Yiwu Wholesale Market in Zhejiang province, China, on May 10, 2019. BEIJING — China emphasized the need for greater cooperation with the U.S., a day after it became clear President-elect Donald Trump would become the next leader of the White House. She was responding to a question about China's views and planned countermeasures, given the potential for increased U.S. tariffs and restrictions on high-end tech. "Together [we can] push China-U.S. economic and trade relations toward a stable, healthy and sustainable direction, for the benefit of both countries and the world," the commerce spokesperson said. Her comments echoed those of Chinese President Xi Jinping, who earlier in the day noted the benefits of bilateral cooperation in a congratulatory message to Trump, according to a Ministry of Foreign Affairs readout.
Persons: Donald Trump, Xi Jinping, Trump Organizations: U.S, White, China's Ministry of Commerce, CNBC, Ministry of Foreign Affairs Locations: Yiwu, Zhejiang province, China, BEIJING, U.S
(This is a wrap-up of the key money moving discussions on CNBC's "Worldwide Exchange" exclusive for PRO subscribers. Worldwide Exchange airs at 5 a.m. The "Trump trade" and how the Federal Reserve could impact the trend was top of mind for investors Thursday. Also, Wedbush's Dan Ives and Alex Fishman of Empros Capital share their outlook on tech under a second Trump administration. Fishman said the Trump administration benefits all private tech company valuations, but especially the names in what he calls the "Musk-economy," including Neuralink and the xAI.
Persons: Trump, Wedbush's Dan Ives, Alex Fishman, Victoria Fernandez, Crossmark, Fernandez, financials, Anna Paglia, Paglia, Trump Dan Ives, Ives, " Fishman, Elon, Fishman, Crossmark's Fernandez Organizations: PRO, Worldwide, Federal, Empros, State Street Global Advisors, Trump Administration, P Bank ETF, Tech, Trump, Exchange, Qualcomm Locations: Wedbush, Palantir, United States
Leading the way was Trump Media and Technology Group (TMTG), the company that owns the Truth Social media platform. Shares of Tesla, the electric automaker owned by Elon Musk, also saw a sizable gain — up 12%. Finally, the price of bitcoin saw an increase of 6.5%, briefly touching an all-time-high of more than $75,000. Trump served as keynote speaker at this year's annual Bitcoin conference in Nashville. Trump has generally pledged to extend or enact major tax cuts while loosening regulations, something that the business community is set to embrace.
Persons: Donald Trump —, Trump, Elon Musk, Musk, Kamala Harris, Isaac Boltansky Organizations: Trump Media, Technology, Social, TMTG, Tesla, Elon, Democratic, Trump Locations: Nashville
Detailed below is how a second Trump presidency is expected to impact American wallets. Trump's plan to cut the corporate tax rate is generally viewed as bullish for earnings, particularly for the consumer-discretionary, communication-services, and financial sectors. Further, if Trump's presidency is inflationary and leads to interest-rate hikes, that would hit housing affordability in the form of higher mortgage rates, which track the Federal Reserve's benchmark. AdvertisementThe former president has also said he plans to extend his slew of tax cuts from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 — also known as the "Trump tax cut." Trump's plan for universal tariffs is seen as offsetting a positive tax impact and would be especially costly for lower-earning Americans.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Trump's, Trump, bitcoin, Vance Organizations: Trump, Service, Biden, White
Markets, in particular, crave certainty, and the clear path forward will allow companies to adjust their business and hiring plans. But stocks may also be reacting to Trump’s victory, in particular. Trump flipped several swing states from President Joe Biden’s 2020 victory, and Republicans also took control of the Senate. So Trump’s victory, at least for now, appears to be keeping those rates somewhat higher. Other so-called Trump trades, including shares of his social media stock, Trump Media & Technology Group, surged Wednesday morning.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden’s, refocusing, Sam Stovall, Bitcoin, Crypto, Trump’s, Germany’s DAX, Australia’s, , Neil Newman, Hong, ” Daniel Murray Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Dow, Nasdaq, Republicans, Fed, JPMorgan, Democratic, CFRA Research, Gross, Treasury, Trump, Trump Media & Technology Group, CAC, Nikkei, Advisory, EFG Asset Management Locations: New York, Europe, Asia, China, Tokyo, Shanghai
While many Silicon Valley VCs and founders aren't huge Trump fans, their industry thrives when startups are getting acquired or going public quickly. The Biden administration clamped down heavily on tech M&A, so Trump's win could be a financial boon for the sector. Stephen Hays, the founder and managing partner of What if Ventures, said money is already moving again. AdvertisementBig Tech returns to the tableAs president, Trump could roll back some of the antitrust policies that his opponent would have continued. "People are keeping to themselves and just getting on with their business," said Conrad Burke, a managing partner of MetaVC Partners.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Reid Hoffman, Laurene Powell, Vinod Khosla, Harris, Donald Trump's, aren't, Biden, There's, Jordan Nof, Stephen Hays, Trump, Elon, Lina Khan's, Lulu Cheng Meservey, Y, Lina Khan, Kevin Dietsch, Brandon Brooks, — Trump's, JD Vance —, Chris Farmer, Mason Angel, Louis Lehlot, Lardner, Michael Greeley, Crypto, hasn't, Gary Gensler, Bitcoin, Brian Garrett, Garrett, Jenny Fielding's, Fielding, Conrad Burke, Leslie Feinzaig, bundlers, Kamala, I've Organizations: Democrat, White House, Trump, Tusk Venture Partners, Ventures, Tech, Federal Trade, Investors, Foley, Big Tech, Markets, Flare Capital, Biden, SEC, Crosscut Ventures, Google, Microsoft, MetaVC Partners Locations: Europe
Crypto stocks — Cryptocurrency-related names soared after investors bet that a Trump presidency would lead to a more supportive regulatory environment. Cannabis stocks — Shares of cannabis companies dropped after voters rejected a Florida ballot measure to legalize the sale and use of marijuana in the state. Dollar Tree and Dollar General also respectively lost more than 6% and 5%. Steel stocks — U.S.-based steel stocks rallied on the back of Trump's victory. Shares of Nucor and Cleveland-Cliffs respectively rallied 16% and 20%, while United States Steel climbed 8%.
Persons: Donald Trump, Donald Trump's, Trump, Tesla, bitcoin, Goldman Sachs, Wells, Joe Biden's, Sunrun, Wegovy, CoreCivic, Trump's, — CNBC's Michelle Fox, Alex Harring, Hakyung Kim, Sarah Min, Samantha Subin Organizations: Republican, Trump Media & Technology, Bank, Citigroup, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, CVS Health, CVS, Trump, SolarEdge Technologies, Enphase Energy, Novo Nordisk —, Novo Nordisk, — Geo, White, Aurora Cannabis, , CNBC, Holdings, Steel, U.S, Cliffs, United States Steel Locations: Novo Nordisk — U.S, Danish, Florida, Tilray, U.S, Canada, China, Cleveland
Detailed below is how a Trump presidency is expected to impact American wallets. Trump's plan to cut the corporate tax rate is generally viewed as bullish for earnings, particularly for the consumer-discretionary, communication-services, and financial sectors. Trump's plan for universal tariffs is seen as offsetting a positive tax impact and would be especially costly for lower-earning Americans. Trump has proposed expanding the child tax credit, which currently provides up to $2,000 per child. In August, the vice presidential candidate JD Vance floated a child tax credit proposal that would include $5,000 per child for families of all income levels.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Trump, bitcoin, Vance Organizations: Trump, Service, Biden, White Locations: Americas
Following the trade, Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust will own 325 shares of HON, decreasing its weighting to 2% from 2.45%. With Honeywell shares rallying Wednesday alongside other industrials as part of the "Trump Trade," it's an opportunity to sell into strength a stock that has disappointed. We will realize a small gain of about 2% on stock purchased in late 2021. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, Donald Trump, Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer, Jim, Republican Donald Trump, Andrew Kelly Organizations: Honeywell, Republican, U.S, NBC, Trump Trade, CNBC, Home Depot, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Wells Fargo, Depot, U.S, New York City
Shortly after the opening bell, we will be selling 150 shares of Morgan Stanley at roughly $128.81 and 240 shares of Wells Fargo at roughly $71.02. There's strength across the board in premarket trading, with Wells Fargo ripping 10% higher, Morgan Stanley up more than 8%, and fellow Club holding BlackRock jumping more than 4%. Wells Fargo is one of the biggest winners in the group because there are greater odds its Federal Reserve-imposed asset cap will be removed. That's very positive for the future earnings of investment banks like Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs . As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer's, Donald Trump, Wells, Trump, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, There's, , Trump's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: WFC, Republican, NBC, Trump, Club, BlackRock, White House, Federal, CNBC Locations: Wells Fargo, Wells
A French trader profited $48 million betting on Trump's election win via Polymarket. The trader, known as Théo, wagered heavily on Trump winning the Electoral College and the popular vote. AdvertisementThe Polymarket "whale" who bet about $30 million on a Donald Trump election win saw about $48 million in profits, according to data from the crypto-based betting platform. As of Wednesday morning, the Theo4 Polymarket account is sitting on about $22 million in profits. Related VideoMeanwhile, the three other accounts controlled by the whale — Fredi9999, PrincessCaro, and Michie — have a combined $26 million in profits.
Persons: wagered, , Donald Trump, Michie —, Trump, Théo Organizations: Polymarket, Trump, Electoral College, Service, Wall Street Journal Locations: France
The global tariff threat is fueling calls for frontloading from all around the globe," he said. But they added it is based on the belief is tariffs increase the costs of trade, in turn lowering demand and volumes. "Shipping is a global industry feeding on international trade, so another Trump presidency is a step in the wrong direction," said Sand. "The knee-jerk reaction from U.S. shippers will be to frontload imports before Trump is able to impose his new tariffs." Logistics companies serving the Mexico to U.S. cross-border trade tell CNBC new Trump tariffs can have a negative impact on historic cross-border truck trade.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Paul Brashier, Brashier, Swift, Ben Slupecki, Morningstar, Lars Jensen, Jensen, Peter Sand, Slupecki, Jefferies, Omar Nokta, Robert Lighthizer, Piper Sandler, Matthew Rubel, USTR, Obama, Peter Boockvar, Stephen Lamar, Lamar, Matthew Shay, Elect Trump Organizations: ITS Logistics, Trump, frontloading, Trucking, Hunt Transport Services, Schneider National, Norfolk Southern, CSX, Republican, U.S ., Maersk, . Shipping, Vespucci, CNBC, Shipping, U.S . Trade, Committee, Trade, White, Bleakley Financial, American Apparel and Footwear Association, National Retail Federation, Congress, Biden, Logistics Locations: United States, U.S, Maersk, East Coast, Mexico
Stocks exploded higher, bonds tanked and crypto boomed to historic peaks, indicating lofty hopes for when the president-elect takes office in January. However, there's still a lot of game left to be played, and the score could change a lot in future days. Essentially, strategists worry Trump's plan for punishing tariffs, higher spending and lower taxes will send bond yields higher, generally a recipe for trouble in stocks. "The question for me is how much can the Trump rally extend in the short term, but it strikes me that selling long positions into a rally makes a good deal of sense." "This suggests an asymmetric risk/reward framework with a much higher probability of downside than upside," said Lisa Hornby, head of U.S. fixed income at Schroders.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Stocks, there's, Mark Dowding, Lisa Hornby Organizations: Trump, RBC Global Asset Management, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, Schroders
Gold holds steady as market awaits U.S. election outcome
  + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold held steady on Wednesday as investors keenly awaited the outcome of a tightly contested U.S. presidential race. Spot gold held its ground at $2,745.42 per ounce, as of 0218 GMT. Gold is considered a hedge against geopolitical and economic uncertainties and tends to thrive in a low-interest-rate environment. Elsewhere, Perth Mint reported a decline in October gold sales, while silver sales slipped to their lowest in four months. Spot silver fell 0.53% to $32.49 per ounce, platinum shed 0.6% to $993.45 and palladium was down 2.17% to $1,052.25.
Persons: Gold, Republican Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Kyle Rodda, Jerome Powell's, Matt Simpson Organizations: Republican, D.C, Edison Research, Federal Reserve, Trump, Traders, Perth Mint Locations: Istanbul, Tuesday's U.S, Washington
Shares of Truth Social owner Trump Media & Technology Group spiked 13% on Tuesday morning. Trump Media is losing money and generates very little revenue. Its main product, conservative social network Truth Social, remains tiny. Trump Media, which trades under the stock ticker symbol “DJT,” has plenty at stake. If Trump loses the election, Trump Media has little to fall back on.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump, bitcoin, Matthew Tuttle, It’s, ” Tuttle, , it’s, Gene Munster, I’m Organizations: New, New York CNN, Social, Trump Media & Technology Group, Traders, Trump Media, Trump Trade, Geo Group, White, Tuttle Capital Management, CNN, Paramount Global, CBS, Venture, Trump Locations: New York, Trump’s
Bitcoin, an asset tied to a Trump victory given the candidates courtship of the industry, soared to a record $75,000 . Heading into the election, investors and analysts pointed to several stocks and sectors that could benefit from a Trump win. Here's a roundup of some of those: Steel stocks If Trump regains the presidency, JPMorgan expects steel stocks to outperform . Related stocks that could outperform under a Trump victory include Nucor , Cleveland-Cliffs , Kaiser Aluminum and MP Materials , according to Peterson. Supporters of Trump have also used the stock as a way to invest in a Trump victory.
Persons: Donald Trump ., Trump, Kamala Harris, Here's, Bill Peterson, Peterson, UBS's, Goldman Sachs, Strategas, Lazard, Wolfe, Tesla, Elon Musk's, Marion Laboure, bitcoin, Nic Puckrin, David Zerzos, Zerzos, Marcelli, Seth Seifman, Russell, Joe Biden, IWM, , Halliburton, Trump's, ULTA, Michael Bloom, Sean Conlon, Alex Harring, Fred Imbert, Pia Singh Organizations: U.S, NBC, Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Trump, JPMorgan, Aluminum, Financials Bank of America, of America, UBS's Trump, UBS, Swiss, Citigroup, Citizens, Wolfe Research, GOP, Trump Media & Technology, Trump Media, ISI, Deutsche Bank, Investors, Jefferies, Military, Strategas, Gas Energy, Evercore ISI, Exxon Mobil, Halliburton, Companies Locations: Nucor, Cleveland, U.S, China, U.S . Southern
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLeaning into the Trump trade side of election outcomes, says Stifel's Brian GardnerCornell Belcher, Brilliant Corners Research's founder and president, and Brian Gardner, Stifel's chief Washington policy strategist discuss exit polling data and what to focus on this election.
Persons: Brian Gardner Cornell Belcher, Brian Gardner, Stifel's Organizations: Trump Locations: Washington
The euro rose 0.4% to $1.0876 but faces resistance around $1.0905, while the dollar dipped 0.3% on the yen to 152.45 yen . Analysts believe Trump's policies on immigration, tax cuts and tariffs would put upward pressure on inflation, bond yields and the dollar, while Harris was seen as the continuity candidate. "A Harris win and a split Congress would likely result in 'Trump trades' quickly reversed and priced out," he added. Uncertainty over the outcome is one reason markets assume the Federal Reserve will choose to cut rates by a standard 25 basis points on Thursday, rather than repeat its outsized half-point easing. Futures imply a 99% chance of a quarter-point cut to 4.50%-4.75%, and an 83% probability of a similar-sized move in December.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Republican Donald Trump, Harris, Chris Weston, Trump, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius Organizations: Democratic, Republican, Dealers, Trump, Reserve, of England, Norges Bank, Reserve Bank of Australia, Labor, China's National People's Congress, Reuters Locations: Asia, United States, Iowa, Treasuries, gilts, Beijing
Market analysts predicted choppy trading and sharp swings going into the US presidential election. AdvertisementMarket analysts are braced for volatility ahead of Tuesday's presidential election as traders shuffled their bets on a Donald Trump or Kamala Harris victory. The drivers of market performance — economic growth, corporate earnings, and innovation — ultimately outshine the impact of political changes. The Trump trade is a stronger dollar, weaker bonds/ higher bond yields and stronger crypto. With one day left of this campaign, the dollar is falling, and the dollar index is at a two-week low.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, , who'll, Naeem Aslam, Joshua Mahony, Harris, Hal Cook, Hargreaves, Kathleen Brooks, Trump Organizations: Service, Republican, Democratic, Federal Reserve, Zaye, Trump, FX Locations: Iowa, United States
Strategist: Rising bond yields are a result of the 'Trump trade'
  + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStrategist: Rising bond yields are a result of the 'Trump trade'Thierry Wizman of Macquarie Group says it is 'no coincidence' that bond yields have risen alongside the Trump odds for a presidential win. He says if U.S inflation continues to trend higher, the Fed could pause in December.
Persons: Trump, Thierry Wizman Organizations: Macquarie Group
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJay Clayton: The Trump voter is a different voter today than the Republican voter of 20 years agoGary Cohn, IBM vice chairman and former National Economic Council Director under President Trump, and Jay Clayton, Apollo non-executive chairman and former SEC Chairman, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the 2024 election, gauging the Trump trade, reinventing the federal government, and more.
Persons: Jay Clayton, Gary Cohn, Trump, Apollo Organizations: Republican, IBM, National Economic, SEC, Trump
Safe-haven gold on track for best month in seven
  + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold Bullion from the American Precious Metals Exchange seen in this picture taken in New York on Sept. 15, 2011. Gold prices climbed to a record high on Thursday and were headed for their best month in seven on safe-haven demand ahead of the U.S. presidential election, while investors awaited U.S. inflation report for clues on the interest rate path. Spot gold was steady at $2,786.89 per ounce, as of 0254 GMT, after hitting a record high of $2,790.15 earlier in the session. "Traders want to buy gold whether it rises or falls, and that has kept retracements small and consolidations tight. All three metals were on track for a monthly gain.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Kyle Rodda, Matt Simpson, Bullion Organizations: Precious Metals, U.S, Republican, Democratic, Trump, Capital.com, Index Locations: New York, U.S, United States, Index ., China
Trump's tariffs a starting point negotiation not as disruptive
  + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrump's proposed tariffs may be a starting point for negotiation & not as disruptive as markets fearAnastasia Amoroso of iCapital says the financials and industrial stocks have outperformed from the recent Trump trade. She says Trump's proposed tariffs may be used as a deal-making strategy with the rest of the world.
Persons: Anastasia Amoroso, iCapital, Trump, Trump's
This is the first in a five-part series about the impact both Trump and Harris presidencies could have on US consumers. To date, Trump and Harris have outlined specific policy proposals that will impact different parts of the stock market. The guide covers four specific asset classes, and is divided between the Trump and Harris impact on each. Advertisement"Our upbeat projections for the stock market in 2024 and 2025 are predicated on a view that hype over AI will continue to fuel a stock market bubble," the research firm said. And since presidential actions usually impact rates, the bond market will be shaped by what either Trump or Harris end up doing.
Persons: Harris, , Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Today's, they're, BofA, It's, Financials, Trump's, Trump, Peter Berezin, Joe Biden's, Bonds, Crypto, Bernstein, Gautam Chhugani, bitcoin, Chhugani, Harris Harris, she's, I'm, Larry Fink, Biden, it's Organizations: Trump, Service, Business, Wall, Bank of America, Allies, Foundation, BCA Research, Harris, Democratic, Economics, Capital, Federal, Harris Capital Economics, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, bitcoin, BlackRock, Capital Economics, Fed Locations: China
And how should investors be thinking about future equity returns as the bull market enters its third year riding stellar multi-year performance and facing demanding valuations? So, expansionary policies that would quicken the economy's metabolism and produce more inflation was exactly what the market craved then – but now? Right now, the S & P 500 is up 42% from 18 months ago and fetches 22-times expected earnings. No reliable augurs of a coming bear market are in evidence: S & P up 10 of 11 months, making a new high in September, credit spreads resolutely narrow, all point to an upside bias over a span of months, at least. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD Which leaves the question of just how much upside, if any, a bull should reasonably expect from here.
Persons: Warren Pies, Pat Tschosik, Ned Davis, Donald Trump, payrolls, Harris, Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Fed, 3Fourteen Research, Trump, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Dow, Leuthold, quicken, Wall Locations: U.S, China, Wells
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