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☆ New York Stock Exchange mulls 24-hour trading — a move Steve Cohen may welcome
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-22 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

The New York Stock Exchange is considering going 24/7, the FT reported. The exchange polled market participants about the merits of round-the-clock trading, per the outlet. Meanwhile, a Steve Cohen-backed startup is seeking SEC approval for a 24-hour exchange. AdvertisementIn a move that may be appropriate for the city that doesn't sleep, as the song goes, the New York Stock Exchange is mulling whether trading should take place around the clock. The Financial Times reported on Monday that the NYSE's data analytics team had polled market participants about the merits of being open 24 hours a day.

Persons: Steve Cohen, — Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, SEC, Service, Financial Times, Treasury, Business

☆ Winners and losers now that the reflation trade is back. Who does well and who struggles
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

To see the impact of higher inflation and higher interest rates on companies, just look at the earnings release for CarMax this morning. For example, higher rates are generally bad for REITs beause REITs rely on debt financing. Higher rates also mean increased borrowing costs for utilities, which carry a lot of debt because they use a lot of capital. The problem is, energy and material stocks have already been rising due to higher oil and a still strong economy. Other potential beneficiaries of higher rates with a strong economy are defensive stocks, which tend to be less interest rate sensitive, like Kroger or Walmart .

Organizations: Energy, Communication, Kroger, Walmart Locations: Meta

☆ Swelling US debt could tip US markets into crisis as soon as next year, Wharton professor says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Market chaos could come next year if the US doesn't adjust its fiscal path, Joao Gomes told CNBC. The US can't afford to extend tax cuts next year, he said. If it doesn't adjust its fiscal trajectory soon, 2025 could be the year when markets start to roil, Wharton professor Joao Gomes warned. "That's something that could definitely happen to us next year," Gomes told CNBC on Thursday. "I think we'll have a serious debate next year about the tax cuts and whether to extend them or not," he said.

Persons: Joao Gomes, Wharton, —, It's, Gomes, Maya MacGuineas, Gomes isn't, Jamie Dimon, Ken Griffin Organizations: CNBC, US, Service, Bank of America, Penn Wharton Budget Model, Trump Administration, White House, Federal, Wall Locations: roil

☆ I'm buying a house in 2024. Here's why I'm sticking with a traditional fixed-rate mortgage despite the trendier options promising to save me money.
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-31 | by ( Cork Gaines | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Despite enticing alternatives, a fixed-rate mortgage remains the best option for us. With mortgage interest rates still close to 7%, alternative mortgages like adjustable-rate loans and mortgages with shorter maturities are gaining in popularity. AdvertisementThe beauty of the fixed-rate mortgage is that it offers certainty in an uncertain world. Any gain somebody might get with a lower interest rate might be offset by paying more for the house. So, we will be sticking with a fixed-rate mortgage and shopping around for the best rate.

Persons: —, Sarah Alvarez, Alvarez, Brandon Bell, Freddie Mac Organizations: Service, William, Mortgage, Business, ARM, Treasury, Street Journal, FG, National Association of Realtors Locations: Austin , Texas

☆ Wall Street is betting big on a soft landing for the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-18 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Read previewRisk is back in fashion on Wall Street as investors shed their fears and become more adventurous with their cash. Wall Street is betting big on a soft landing, where the Fed succeeds in bringing inflation down without unemployment surging or a recession taking hold. Related storiesSimilarly, Goldman Sachs analysts said in a recent outlook that "risk appetite is poised to grow" this year as recession relief and rate cuts embolden investors. When the music stopsThe outlook for stocks and the economy might seem brighter, but it's worth being at least a little skeptical of the current enthusiasm. "Nobody seems to care about valuations, and now you have Wall Street strategists laying claim that we are in a brand new era," veteran economist David Rosenberg said in a recent note.

Persons: —, BII, Goldman Sachs, David Rosenberg, Jeremy Grantham, there's, Ed Yardeni Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, Investors, BlackRock Investment Institute, Nvidia, Grantham, Swissquote Bank Locations: BlackRock

☆ David Rosenberg, Jeremy Grantham, and 4 other market gurus just rang the alarm on a stock market bubble
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-16 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Here are six recent bubble warnings from experts this week:Advertisement1. "We are nonetheless in a market bubble." Paul Dietrich"The Stock Market Bubble Is About to Burst — Look Out!" AdvertisementGrantham also suggested the AI craze would end and bring the stock market down with it. Michael GayedGayed flagged the recent surge in gold, utility stocks, and long-term Treasury bonds as evidence of mounting market jitters in an InvestorPlace op-ed this week.

Persons: —, David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch, Rosenberg, Paul Dietrich, Riley Wealth, Jeremy Grantham Stocks, Grantham, Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, Larry Summers, Summers, Michael Gayed Gayed Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Business, Rosenberg Research, North, Bloomberg, Bank of America, Tidal Locations: North American

☆ The average tax refund is over $3,000. Here are 7 ways to put it to good use
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( Jeanne Sahadi | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

New York CNN —The average federal tax refund is more than $3,000, according to the latest data from the IRS. … They don’t understand how much interest they’re paying,” Russ said. Create or add to an emergency fundYou can use your refund to start or bolster an emergency fund. If you have high-rate debt and you’re lacking emergency savings, Russ suggested you might use a portion of your refund to attack your debt and the other portion to create an emergency fund. If you need the money within three years, you might consider putting your refund in certificates of deposits and US Treasury bonds.

Persons: you’re, ”, Eric Bronnenkant, Keyana Russ, ” Russ, Russ, Bronnenkant, Roth, Bronnenkant, Charles Schwab, ” Bronnenkant Organizations: New, New York CNN, Ponds Financial, Invest, Roth IRA, Treasury Locations: New York, Ponds

☆ One Year After Bank Crisis, a Struggle Over What Needs to Change
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-10 | by ( Rob Copeland | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

They were forced into action after Silicon Valley Bank collapsed on March 10, 2023, quickly followed by two other lenders, First Republic and Signature Bank. Faced with the threat of a billowing crisis that could threaten the banking industry — the worst one since 2008 — rivals and regulators put together a huge bailout fund. Indeed, many bankers and their lobbyists now rush to describe the period as a regional banking crisis, a term that tends to understate how worried the industry was at the time. One reason for the increased tensions is that government officials are proposing rule changes that lenders argue will crimp their businesses, and would not have done much to stem Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse. In just a few days last March, Silicon Valley Bank went from a darling of the banking world to collapse.

Organizations: First, Signature Bank, Silicon Valley Bank Locations: Silicon

☆ Costco sold out of $2,000 gold bars. Now, it’s selling silver coins
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-07 | by ( Nathaniel Meyersohn | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Costco recently started selling silver coins for the first time, finance chief Richard Galanti told CNN. Costco is trying to replicate its recent success with gold bars. It began selling $2,000 gold bars online in September and sold more than $100 million worth of the bars last quarter. After all, not many people are actually stashing away gold bars in their homes. We constantly buy that stuff and intentionally run out of it from time to time.”Costco is also selling precious metals as they become more valuable.

Persons: Richard Galanti, King Charles III, “, ”, Galanti Organizations: New, New York CNN, Costco, CNN, Federal Reserve, Treasury Locations: New York

☆ China may have to resort to a tried-and-tested tactic to power its 'new leap forward'
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( Clement Tan | In Clemtan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Liu Liqun | Corbis Documentary | Getty ImagesChina may want a "new leap forward" in "productive forces" — but President Xi Jinping may need to resort to an old tactic to hit the country's ambitious growth target this year, one economist warns. While scant on specifics, the work report appears to suggest Beijing is refraining from the aggressive, bazooka-like stimulus that some markets observers were expecting. China has historically resorted to infrastructure building as a short-term fix to boost growth, particularly after the 2008-09 financial crisis. Goldman Sachs economists said that this pledge is the "most important positive surprise" from this year's government work report. Chinese Premier Li Qiang delivers a speech during the opening of the second session of the 14th National People's Congress at The Great Hall of People on March 5, 2024 in Beijing, China.

Persons: Liu Liqun, Xi Jinping, Wang Dan, Wang, Erica Tan, Goldman Sachs, Li Qiang, Li, Lintao Zhang Organizations: Bund, Getty, Hang Seng Bank, CNBC, China Investment Corporation, Maybank, Seng Bank, National People's Congress, of People Locations: China, Beijing, overcapacity, Covid, Gorges

☆ Analyst on China issuance plan for 'ultra-long' special treasury bonds
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina plan to issue $139 billion in 'ultra-long' special treasury bonds a positive surprise: AnalystWendy Chen, senior investment analyst at GAM Investments, says that means China's central government is "taking more share of the burden — in terms of fiscal stimulus — from the local governments."

Persons: Wendy Chen Organizations: China, GAM Investments

☆ Market prophet Gary Shilling warns stocks could crash 30% — and says the odds are 'very much in favor of a recession'
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-05 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Stocks may crash 30% and a recession could hit within months, Gary Shilling said. Shilling predicted the housing market would rebound in time, and dismissed de-dollarization fears. AdvertisementA legendary market prophet has warned that overpriced stocks may come crashing down, and a recession might strike within months. "Stocks are very, very expensive now" relative to both corporate earnings and rival assets like Treasury bonds, Gary Shilling recently told the Retirement Lifestyle Advocates radio show. The president of A. Gary Shilling & Co. is known for making several prescient market calls over the past four decades.

Persons: Gary Shilling, Shilling, —, Merrill Lynch's, bitcoin, It's, there's Organizations: Service, Polaroid, Federal Reserve, Fed, Companies, Homes, greenback

☆ Oil prices fall as market shrugs off China growth pledge, OPEC+ production cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-05 | by ( Spencer Kimball | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

An oil and gas industry worker walks during operations of a drilling rig at Zhetybay field in the Mangystau region, Kazakhstan, November 13, 2023. Crude oil futures fell for a second consecutive day Tuesday as China's pledge to boost economic growth and OPEC+ production cuts failed to lift prices. The West Texas Intermediate contract for April dropped 72 cents, or 0.91%, to $78.02 a barrel. May Brent futures shed 57 cents, or 0.69%, to $82.83 a barrel. The Beijing government on Tuesday set an economic growth target of about 5% for 2024 and announced the issuance of $138.9 billion in "ultra-long" special Treasury bonds to fund major projects.

Persons: Brent Organizations: West Texas Intermediate Locations: Mangystau, Kazakhstan, Beijing

☆ The fastest-growing hedge funds are now investing conglomerates. That's changing how investors judge the biggest firms.
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-29 | by ( Bradley Saacks | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

The rise in multi-manager hedge funds over the past five years has forced allocators to create a separate due diligence model for the fastest-growing segment in the industry. Even an executive at a midsized multi-manager admits their firm and its peers are "more like corporations than hedge funds." AdvertisementA new type of hedge-fund kingsFounders were once simply the best traders and money-makers, spinning out of banks' trading desks and larger hedge funds. Bobby Jain, the former Millennium executive starting his own multi-billion hedge fund, hasn't traded in decades but was a part of the leadership team at one of the biggest hedge funds in the world. Jobs at multi-manager platforms are roughly a quarter of the industry's overall roles, despite these funds holding roughly 14% of the assets.

Persons: —, allocators, Griffin's, Izzy Englander's, Jack Springate, Allen Cheng, Cheng, Bobby Jain, hasn't, Michael Gelband, Dmitry Balyasny, Steve Cohen, Izzy Englander, Ajay, Kevin Lyons, Lyons, Springate Organizations: Service, Business, Fortune, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Aon, Millennium, Treasury Locations: Schonfeld's

☆ This shift in the Treasury market may set investors up for solid gains
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-24 | by ( Josephine Rozzelle | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Investor sentiment toward intermediate-term Treasury bonds may be changing. "So, they're looking to reposition the fixed-income portion of their portfolio to take advantage of where interest rates are likely to go next." It's a shift from last year when short-term bonds and money market funds saw large inflows. "Taking on some duration risk makes sense, but I wouldn't go too far out on the curve," he said. "The risk-return dynamics [of] getting too far out on the long end don't make a ton of sense to me."

Persons: David Botset, you'll, Nate Geraci Organizations: Federal

☆ ETF Edge, February 21, 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-21 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailETF Edge, February 21, 2024David Botset, Schwab Asset Management head of innovation and stewardship, and Nate Geraci, The ETF Store president, join CNBC's Bob Pisani on 'ETF Edge' to discuss the risk of high tech concentration, spot bitcoin trading, the growing investor appetite for intermediate-term Treasury bonds and more.

Persons: David Botset, Nate Geraci, Bob Pisani Organizations: Schwab Asset Management

☆ Rock & hard place: What's a bond investor to do now?
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-21 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRock & hard place: What's a bond investor to do now? David Botset, Schwab Asset Management head of innovation and stewardship, and Nate Geraci, The ETF Store president, join CNBC's Bob Pisani on 'ETF Edge' to discuss the growing appetite for intermediate-term Treasury bonds and the bond conundrum facing investors.

Persons: David Botset, Nate Geraci, Bob Pisani Organizations: Schwab Asset Management

☆ The economy's gone from strength to strength after the pandemic — but no one quite knows why, or what comes next
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-20 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

America has gone from a pandemic crash and recession fears to stocks at record highs and an economic boom. Lockdowns, wars, shortages, inflation, interest rates, day trading, and AI have all played a role. Noam Galai/SOPA/Getty ImagesMany Americans also socked away money during the pandemic, as they saved on expenses like travel and live entertainment. Stimulus-fueled demand, combined with pandemic and war-related supply disruptions, caused inflation to spike to a 40-year high of 9.1% in June that year. The Fed swiftly raised interest rates to rein in the price growth, lifting them from virtually zero to upward of 5% in under 18 months, and hasn't touched them since.

Persons: —, We've, Noam Galai, hasn't, It's, dory Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, GameStop, AMC Entertainment, AMC, Bank Locations: America, China, Ukraine

☆ Gauging the risk of contagion from NYCB and commercial real estate woes
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-09 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The latest concern threatening regional banks started on Jan. 31, when New York Community Bancorp. reported unexpected fourth quarter loss and a large loan loss reserve against futures losses, due in part to the bank's commercial real estate (CRE) exposure. One worry is that the NYCB credit downgrade could spur ratings agencies to take a closer look at other banks, or cause clients to again pull deposits out of regional banks. Determining exactly how unique NYCB's exposure to commercial real estate is will be a key focus for investors and analysts in coming weeks. A note on Wednesday from Wolfe Research analysts focused on banks and commercial real estate showed that regional banks have in general reduced their commercial real estate exposure over the past 15 years.

Persons: NYCB, Ian Lyngen, hasn't, Lyngen, D.A, Davidson, Peter Winter, Winter, Macrae Sykes, Banks, They're, Sykes, Wells Fargo, Jerome Powell, Bond, Tom Fitzpatrick, RJ O'Brien, Fitzpatrick, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Investors, New York Community Bancorp, Moody's, Street, Silicon Valley Bank, BMO, Treasury, Wolfe Research, UBS, Gabelli, CNBC Locations: Silicon, Wells

☆ Early retiree who earned $380,000 in passive income last year: Your 'best option' for making money while you sleep
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-05 | by ( Ryan Ermey | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Sam Dogen is the author of "Buy This, Not That"Sam Dogen knows a thing or two about passive income. By reinvesting his passive income along with money he made through his website and book sales, Dogen was able to boost the family's income over the years as well. In 2023, Dogen's passive income portfolio, which includes stock, bond and real estate investments, among others, generated about $380,000. According to Dogen, the best way to begin earning passive income is through your brokerage account. "If you want passive income right now, I think the best option is Treasury bonds at 5%," he says.

Persons: Sam Dogen, Dogen, Stocks Organizations: U.S ., Treasury Locations: San Francisco

☆ I bought a bigger house, and the buyer's remorse hurts. My family didn't need it, but I still think it'll be worth it.
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( Jordan Pandy | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

I didn't want to buy the house in 2024 because I think bidding wars are going to return — because mortgage rates will come down. I don't think about it as trying to make a profit anymore. You want to save as much as possible, invest as much as possible, which creates a more lean and frugal lifestyle so you can retire early. But do you really want to live a lean lifestyle — and then retire early to a very lean and frugal lifestyle? Rental properties were what gave me the courage to retire early, along with negotiating a severance package in 2012.

Persons: —, Sam Dogen, It's, Dogen, I've, I'm, it's, you've Organizations: Service, Business, San Locations: San Francisco

☆ Gold set for best week in 7 as dollar softens ahead of US jobs data
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Bullion has climbed 1.8% this week, set for its best weekly gain since late December. Lower interest rates boost non-yielding bullion's appeal. Spot gold rose nearly 1% on Thursday after data from the U.S. Labor Department showed initial jobless claims rose more than expected last week. Fed Chair Jerome Powell pushed back on the idea of an interest rate cut in the spring, but expressed confidence in inflation moving towards the desired 2% range. Money market pricing shows traders are nothing but sure about a rate cut in May.

Persons: Brian Lan, Jerome Powell Organizations: Novosibirsk Refining Plant, Treasury, Federal Reserve, GoldSilver, U.S . Labor Department Locations: Novosibirsk, Russia, Singapore, U.S

☆ The Fed pushed back against imminent rate cuts this week. Here's what that means for the housing market.
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-01 | by ( Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

More importantly, though was Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's pushback against the idea that rate cuts are imminent. So, what does this mean for the housing market, which is eagerly anticipating lower rates to make housing even slightly more affordable? According to Redfin, pushing out timelines for Fed rate cuts means mortgage rates are likely to remain elevated for longer this year, but it doesn't mean relief is off the table for homebuyers in 2024. "Regardless of any short-term volatility in mortgage rates, we expect rates to come down gradually throughout the year," Redfin's Chen Zhao wrote following the Fed meeting. AdvertisementThe real estate group notes that other forces are at work in the mortgage market as well, and the Fed isn't the only input.

Persons: —, Jerome Powell's pushback, Redfin's Chen Zhao, Redfin, we'll, Powell, Fannie Mae Organizations: Service, Reserve, Business, US Department of, Treasury, Bank of America

☆ Gold prices gain as traders assess hopes for sizeable Fed rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Spot gold rose 0.5% to $2,046.63 per ounce by 0355 GMT. The Fed left interest rates unchanged and knocked down the idea that the U.S. central bank could cut rates in the spring, but dropped a long-standing reference to possible further hikes. Futures pared bets for a rate cut in March to 35.5% from 90% at 2023-end, but increased chances of a reduction in May to 96%, according to LSEG's interest rate probability app IRPR. Traders are pricing in about 142 basis points (bps) of Fed rate cuts for this year, up from bets of about 130 bps of reductions on Wednesday morning. Data showed U.S. private payrolls rose far less than expected in January.

Persons: Gold, Jigar Trivedi Organizations: Korea Gold Exchange, Reserve, Reliance Securities, Traders, U.S, New, New York Community Bancorp, Treasury, Investors Locations: Seoul, South Korea, U.S, New York

☆ The hedging property of Treasury bonds is here, says JPMorgan Asset Management’s Priya Misra
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe hedging property of Treasury bonds is here, says JPMorgan Asset Management’s Priya MisraPriya Misra, JPMorgan Asset Management fixed income portfolio manager, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, why she believes there's still a 25-30% chance or a hard landing, the Fed's rate path outlook, and more.

Persons: Priya Misra Priya Misra, there's Organizations: JPMorgan, Management

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