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The move comes as inflation remains on a downward trend while the job market continues to lose momentum. While that has helped rein in price pressures, it also puts the job market in jeopardy. So I’m going to be patient.”Still, rate cuts are expected to stretch through 2025, even during a Trump presidency, according to economists. On one hand, there’s evidence that America’s job market has continued to lose momentum in recent months. But since Trump’s economic vision could eventually stoke inflation, that could mean the Fed delivers fewer rate cuts in the coming years.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Donald Trump, Powell, “ I’m, Raphael Bostic, , Kamala Harris, Felipe Villarroel, , Trump, hasn’t, Arthur Burns, Richard Nixon, Ben Bernanke Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal, President, White, Atlanta Fed, Trump, TwentyFour Asset Management, Fed, CNN, White House, Capitol Locations: Jackson , Mississippi
The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday. It follows a 50-basis-point rate cut in September — the first cut in four years. CME FedWatch, which forecasts interest rate changes based on market predictions, estimated an all-but-certain 25 basis point cut as of Wednesday afternoon. "Borrowers should understand that 'falling interest rates' are not the same as 'low interest rates,'" Greg McBride, Bankrate's chief financial analyst, said in a commentary. AdvertisementWhat are your financial plans if the Fed makes another rate cut?
Persons: , Donald Trump, Trump, Jerome Powell, Powell, Helene, Milton, Cory Stahle, Julia Pollak, Greg McBride Organizations: Federal, Service, FedWatch, Boeing, BLS, Federal Reserve, PCE, Fed, asheffey
The NLRB filed a complaint against Apple, alleging labor law violations and retaliation. AdvertisementA culture of silenceScarlett's case is among other ongoing unfair labor practice complaints by former Apple employees. The future of labor organizing in Silicon ValleyThe NLRB has received an uptick in unfair labor practice filings from tech workers. "When we talk about labor law, we're really talking about unions and hourly labor, like retail, front line, and service workers," Scarlett said. Movements like #AppleToo reflect a greater push from tech workers, who expect more employer transparency.
Persons: Cher Scarlett, Scarlett, , I'm, Bernie Sanders, Howard Schultz, Apple, Slack, – they're, Evan Starr, we're, Matthew Bodie, They're Organizations: NLRB, Apple, Service, Labor Relations, National Labor Relations, SEC, University of Maryland, Employees, Microsoft, Google, The New York Times, University of Minnesota Law School, Activision Blizzard, Mozilla Locations: Oakland, California, Silicon Valley, USA
The Federal Reserve likely will stick to the business at hand when it wraps up its meeting Thursday with another interest rate cut, but will have its eye on the future against a backdrop that suddenly has gotten a lot more complicated. The focus, though, will turn to what's ahead for Chair Jerome Powell and his Fed colleagues as they navigate a shifting economy — and the political earthquake of Donald Trump's stunning victory in the presidential race. So while the immediate action will be to stay the course and enact the cut, which equals 25 basis points, the market's attention likely will turn to what the committee and Powell have to say about the future. The fed funds rate, which sets what banks charge each other for overnight lending but often influences consumer debt as well, is currently targeted in a range between 4.75%-5.0%. Market pricing currently favors another quarter-point cut in December, followed by a January pause then multiple reductions through 2025.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Donald Trump's, Powell, Krishna Guha, Guha Organizations: Federal Reserve, Evercore ISI
Morgan Stanley reiterates Live Nation as overweight Morgan Stanley raised its price target on the stock to $140 per share from $120. Bank of America reiterates Apple as buy Bank of America says it sees "limited" impact to Apple earnings regardless of the Presidential outcome. Bank of America reiterates Palantir as buy The firm says Palantir is an AI "juggernaut" following earnings on Monday. Bank of America reiterates Arista Networks as buy Bank of America says it sees share gains ahead for the networking equipment company. Morgan Stanley reinstates Krispy Kreme as equal weight Morgan Stanley says Krispy Kreme has a balanced risk/reward right now.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, it's bullish, Eli Lilly, Palantir, Bernstein, Eaton, Deutsche, there's, Jefferies, Rick Dreiling, MTZ, Morgan Stanley reinstates Krispy, Krispy Kreme Organizations: Bank of America, Boeing, JPMorgan, RBC, Microsoft, " Bank of America, Broadcom, Apple, Republicans, Arista Networks, Arista, Meta, Deutsche Bank, eBay, Barclays, Energy, Infrastructure, Communications, Resources, IDA Locations: San Antonio, Redmond , WA
Australia's central bank keeps rates unchanged at 4.35%
  + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Australia's central bank held its benchmark interest rate at 4.35% for the eighth meeting in a row, in line with expectations from economists polled by Reuters. The central bank expects that the headline rate will increase as these measures expire. The RBA instead pointed at the underlying inflation rate in Australia. The "trimmed mean" came in at 3.5% in the the September quarter, which was still "some way" from the 2.5% midpoint of the inflation target. Externally, the bank added that "heightened geopolitical risks and potential changes to trade and fiscal policies abroad add to this uncertainty."
Organizations: Reuters, Reserve Bank of Australia Locations: Australia
See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's interest rates will affect your monthly payments. Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering in the mid-6% range, according to Zillow data. Current 15-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates are in the high 5% range, according to Zillow data. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile.
Persons: Trump, Harris, Donald Trump, Trump's, Kamala Harris, you'll, they've, Freddie Mac, it's, We'll Organizations: Investors, Trump, Federal, Fed, Zillow Locations: Chevron
Nebraska U.S. Senate Election Results 2024
  + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: 1 min
Nebraska is a red state with an incumbent Republican, Deb Fischer, running for re-election. Her main opponent, Dan Osborn, is an independent who is testing whether his pro-union, working-class message resonates at a time when the labor movement is resurgent.
Persons: Deb Fischer, Dan Osborn Locations: Nebraska
Boeing workers vote to accept deal, end strike
  + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Chris Isidore | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
New York CNN —Striking workers at embattled plane maker Boeing voted Monday to accept the company’s most recent offer, ending the costliest strike in the United States in more than 25 years. The International Association of Machinists (IAM) said rank-and-file members voted by 59% to approve the deal. But the deal did not restore the traditional pension plan they lost in 2014 from their previous labor deal. But despite the deep financial problems, Boeing had little choice but to settle the strike and get the workers back on the job. Boeing’s economic impactDespite its problems, Boeing is still a major contributor to the US economy, as it is the largest American exporter.
Persons: Boeing’s, “ I’m, , Jon Holden, , Holden, Kelly Ortberg, Workers ’, It’s, ” Holden, We’ll, they’ve, Ortberg Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Boeing, International Association of Machinists, IAM, ” Boeing, Workers, ” Companies, Research, Anderson Economic Group, Labor, Alaska Airlines Locations: New York, United States, Michigan
The euro rose 0.4% to $1.0876 but faces resistance around $1.0905, while the dollar dipped 0.3% on the yen to 152.45 yen . Analysts believe Trump's policies on immigration, tax cuts and tariffs would put upward pressure on inflation, bond yields and the dollar, while Harris was seen as the continuity candidate. "A Harris win and a split Congress would likely result in 'Trump trades' quickly reversed and priced out," he added. Uncertainty over the outcome is one reason markets assume the Federal Reserve will choose to cut rates by a standard 25 basis points on Thursday, rather than repeat its outsized half-point easing. Futures imply a 99% chance of a quarter-point cut to 4.50%-4.75%, and an 83% probability of a similar-sized move in December.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Republican Donald Trump, Harris, Chris Weston, Trump, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius Organizations: Democratic, Republican, Dealers, Trump, Reserve, of England, Norges Bank, Reserve Bank of Australia, Labor, China's National People's Congress, Reuters Locations: Asia, United States, Iowa, Treasuries, gilts, Beijing
Australian prime minister Anthony Albanese said he would cut student debt by 20% next year. AdvertisementThe Australian government on Sunday announced a sweeping plan to forgive 20% of student debt for around 3 million Australians. The debt relief is designed to promote "intergenerational equity," Albanese told Australian Broadcasting Radio on Monday, according to Bloomberg. AdvertisementHowever, Biden's efforts to grant broad student loan relief have hit several stumbling blocks. Biden's Education Department is continuing to work on debt relief proposals; if finalized, the latest one would benefit 8 million borrowers facing hardship.
Persons: Anthony Albanese, , Albanese, it's, Andrew Norton, Richard Holden, Ayelet Sheffey, Biden's, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: Service, Sunday, Labor, Australian Broadcasting Radio, Bloomberg, Australian National University, University of New, ABC News, Biden's, Department Locations: University of New South Wales
The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday. It follows a 50-basis-point rate cut in September — the first cut in four years. CME FedWatch, which forecasts interest rate changes based on market predictions, estimated an all-but-certain 25 basis point cut as of Friday afternoon. Advertisement"Borrowers should understand that 'falling interest rates' are not the same as 'low interest rates,'" Greg McBride, Bankrate's chief financial analyst, said in a commentary. What are your financial plans if the Fed makes another rate cut?
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Powell, Helene, Milton, Cory Stahle, Julia Pollak, Greg McBride Organizations: Federal, Service, FedWatch, Boeing, BLS, Federal Reserve, PCE, Fed, asheffey
One bit of clarity they’re sure to get: The Federal Reserve’s latest interest rate decision, due to be announced Thursday. The Fed lowered borrowing costs in September for the first time in more than four years while signaling additional rate cuts. But a slew of economic figures have been released since the decision, which is important because the Fed’s decision are guided by what those figures show. Investors are betting with near certainty that the Fed will deliver a quarter-point cut, according to futures. Lower rates could entice home buyers to come off the sidelines, and for businesses it could continue plans that have “baked in” lower rates.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Jerome Powell’s, America’s, Harris, Harris ’, ” “, Lawrence Yun, ” Yun, they’re, It’s Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal, Fed, The Wall Street, US, Trump, Federal Reserve, Duke University, Institute for Supply, National Association of Realtors
As the Fed lowers rates, mortgage rates are expected to go down, though next week's cut is already priced in and is unlikely to have an impact. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowWhat Are Today's Mortgage Refinance Rates? See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering around 6.50%, according to Zillow data. But now that inflation has decelerated and the Fed has started cutting rates, mortgage rates have trended down.
Persons: they've, Freddie Mac, it's, Fannie Mae Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Boeing, Federal Reserve, Zillow, Fed, Mortgage, Association, ARM, . Government Locations: U.S, Chevron, Government
Expect a “noisy” jobs report Friday that will be heavily affected by storms and a labor strike, economists say. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is forecast to report that the U.S. economy gained 110,000 jobs in October, with the unemployment rate unchanged at 4.1%. “Unfortunately, it won’t be easy to interpret the October jobs report,” Chris Waller, a member of the Fed’s Board of Governors, said earlier this month. At 4.1%, the unemployment rate is still historically low, while the rate of inflation has effectively returned to the Fed’s 2% annual target. “Without an increase in hiring, even moderate levels of job losses will likely cause the unemployment rate to pick up.”
Persons: ” Chris Waller, Helene, Milton, Jason Redmond, , Julia Pollak, Pollak, Biden Organizations: Labor Statistics, Boeing, Fed’s, of Governors, International Association of Machinists, Aerospace Workers, Getty, ZipRecruiter, Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S . Department of Labor, Citi Locations: U.S, Tuesday’s, Seattle, AFP
The company did not respond to a detailed list of questions about Barnica’s care. When Barnica’s husband arrived, she told him doctors couldn’t intervene until there was no heartbeat. The law did not account for the possibility of a future emergency, one that could develop in hours or days without intervention, doctors told ProPublica. As the hours passed in the Houston hospital, Barnica couldn’t find relief. Meanwhile, Lima was pulling up Barnica’s medical chart to make an addition to her records.
Persons: ProPublica, Josseli Barnica, Barnica’s, , , Barnica, Susan Mann, Amber Thurman, Candi Miller, Brian Kemp, Donald Trump, Sen, Ted Cruz, Roe, Wade, Greg Abbott, Ken Paxton, Paxton, ” Paxton, , ” Barnica, couldn’t, Shirley Lima, Steven Porter, Leilah, hadn’t, Rosa Elda Calix, Lima, Joel Ross, abetted, Dobbs, Jackson, Biden, Dr, Sanjay Gupta, Sherif Zaafran, doesn’t, can’t, he’s, Mariam Elba, Doris Burke, Lizzie Presser Organizations: Barnica’s, Houston Healthcare, Healthcare, Harvard University, Georgia Gov, Fox News, U.S, Supreme, El Salvadoran, OB, , HCA Healthcare, HCA, GYN, Texas Medical, CNN, CNN Health Locations: Houston, Texas, Massachusetts, Ohio, Ireland, United States, Georgia, , U.S, Honduras, Cleveland, But Texas, Tennessee, Colorado, America, Dallas, El Salvador
Expect the unexpected in the jobs report
  + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +11 min
In any other month, the finishing touch would be a clean reading on the labor market from the official jobs report. However, a common thread among economists is that the strikes and hurricanes could take a 100,000-job bite out of the October jobs report. The last time there were back-to-back major hurricanes — Harvey and Irma in 2017 — the forecasts for the following month’s jobs report were for a loss of 33,000 positions. And each contribute to two of the biggest numbers in the monthly jobs report. A key date to keep in mind for the jobs report is October 12, as it anchors the “reference period” for both surveys.
Persons: , Claudia Sahm, “ It’s, That’s, aren’t, FactSet, Joe Brusuelas, — Harvey, Irma, Sahm, Oliver Allen, Milton, , Harris, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, We’re, Biden, Jared Bernstein, Joe Biden’s, Organizations: CNN, Boeing, Reserve, New Century Advisors, Labor, Survey, Bureau of Labor Statistics, of Labor, Challenger, ADP, BLS, RSM, Pantheon Macroeconomics, Republicans, The New York Times, Siena College, Associated Press Locations: Washington and Oregon
New York CNN —More than 30,000 Boeing workers will vote again Monday on whether or not to end a crippling seven-week strike. The deal is not significantly different from an offer rejected by nearly two-thirds of membership just over a week ago. And it happened 10 years ago at Boeing, when about two-thirds of members rejected an offer that ended the pension plan. Despite its many problems, Boeing is a major force in America economy, and it is the largest American exporter. Ending the strike is important for Boeing’s new CEO, Kelly Ortberg, who started in the job just five weeks before the strike began.
Persons: it’s, , , John Deere, “ It’s, Brandon Felton, we’ve, Jon Holden, haven’t, ” Holden, you’ve, , hasn’t, Lindsey Wasson, Holden, What’s, Max fuselages, David Ryder, they’ve, Kelly Ortberg, Ortberg, “ Ortberg Organizations: New, New York CNN, Boeing, International Association of Machinists, Labor, ” Union, United Auto Workers, CNN, IAM, , Anderson Economic Group, Anderson, Reuters, Alaska Airlines Locations: New York, Michigan, Seattle, America
Both presidential campaigns have discussed ideas for cutting housing costs. Economists say lowering labor and building material costs is far more important to home building. Housing policy experts and economists disagree, saying lower energy costs would not significantly boost construction or make homes cheaper. Notably, under the Biden administration, the US has produced and exported more crude oil than ever before in the country's history, even as housing costs have soared. AdvertisementLabor costs and cutting red tape are also keyLabor costs are generally growing as a portion of overall construction costs, Basu said.
Persons: JD Vance, Trump, , Donald Trump, Sen, Vance didn't, I'm, Anirban Basu, they're, Basu, Biden, Andrew Justus, Justus, might've, Vance, Nolan Gray, they'll, hasn't, Kamala Harris Organizations: Service, Biden, Associated Builders and Contractors, Trump, Niskanen, Labor Locations: Nevada, California
He added, "Votes of union workers in the United States against tentative agreements tend to reflect the white-hot anger of union employees against their employers. Tentative agreements are their only chance for them to express their frustration with their employer and their anger at the way they have been treated." A BNSF spokesperson said it is planning to attend the formal national labor negotiations even as it has announced nine tentative union agreements, five of which have already been ratified. It also has tentative agreements with the International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers (IBEW), SMART-TD, SMART-TD-YDM (Yardmasters Department), the International Brotherhood of Boilermakers, and Iron Ship Builders (IBB). To date, Norfolk Southern has reached tentative agreements with 10 of its 13 unions, covering approximately 67% of its craft workforce.
Persons: Berkshire Hathaway, Jeremy Ferguson, Ferguson, Joe Biden, Richard Edelman, Mooney, Green, Murphy, Welch, Daniel Imbro, Stephen, Brotherhood of Railway Carmen, we've, Mark George, Imbro, it's Organizations: Union Pacific, CSX, BNSF, Canadian Pacific, Canadian Pacific Kansas City —, SMART, Railway Labor, National Carriers ' Conference Committee, Railroads, NSC, National Conference of Firemen, Oilers, Tran, Transportation Communications Union, TCU, Brotherhood of Railway, International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers, Yardmasters Department, International Brotherhood of Boilermakers, Iron Ship Builders, Norfolk, Norfolk Southern, National Carriers ' Locations: Southern, Berkshire, Canadian Pacific Kansas, United States, Norfolk Southern, Norfolk
The monthly jobs report is typically closely-watched watched by traders and creates a reaction in the market. To be sure, storms in the Southeast and the Boeing labor strike were cited as downward pressures on the labor market. To Elizundia's point, fed funds futures are now pricing in 99.9% odds the central bank cuts rates by 25 basis points next week, and an 83.6% chance it lowers borrowing costs by another quarter-point percentage in December. There was no Fed meeting in October. "And yet, a deeper ponder of the numbers suggests that, beneath all the noise and disruption, is a fundamentally slowing labor market.
Persons: , Dow jones, Elizundia, Seema Shah, Shah, Stocks Organizations: Dow, Boeing, Fed, Federal Reserve, Asset Management, U.S Locations: U.S
Inflation increased slightly in September and moved closer to the Federal Reserve’s target, according to a Commerce Department report Thursday. The personal consumption expenditures price index showed a seasonally adjusted 0.2% increase for the month, with the 12-month inflation rate at 2.1%, both in line with Dow Jones estimates. Fed officials target inflation at a 2% annual rate, a level it has not achieved since February 2021. The annual rate was 0.1 percentage point higher than forecast but the same as in August. Consumer spending rose 0.5%, topping the outlook by 0.1 percentage point.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Commerce Department, Fed, Energy, Labor Department, of Labor Statistics
CNN —Inflation has slowed further and is just a hair’s breadth from the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, which is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, showed prices rose 2.1% for the year ended in September, a slowdown from 2.3% in August, according to Commerce Department data released Thursday. The annual increase, which marks a fresh three-and-a-half-year low, fell right in line with what economists were expecting, according to FactSet consensus estimates. However, falling gas prices helped to keep the lid on any gains. Many states are seeing gas prices below $3 a gallon, a trend that’s expected to continue in the coming weeks as global supply eclipses demand.
Persons: ” Olu Sonola Organizations: CNN, Inflation, Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, Fitch
Key Fed inflation rate hits 2.1% in September, as expected
  + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Inflation increased slightly in September and moved closer to the Federal Reserve's target, according to a Commerce Department report Thursday. The personal consumption expenditures price index showed a seasonally adjusted 0.2% increase for the month, with the 12-month inflation rate at 2.1%, both in line with Dow Jones estimates. Fed officials target inflation at a 2% annual rate, a level it has not achieved since February 2021. The annual rate was 0.1 percentage point higher than forecast but the same as in August. In September, the Fed slashed the rate by a half percentage point, a move virtually unprecedented during an economic expansion.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Commerce Department, Fed, Energy, Labor Department, of Labor Statistics
Boeing strike will dent last jobs report before election
  + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Leslie Josephs | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Boeing workers gather on a picket line near the entrance to a Boeing facility during an ongoing strike on October 24, 2024 in Seattle, Washington. Boeing 's more than seven-week machinist strike is set to hit Friday's U.S. jobs report — the last one that will be released before Nov. 5 presidential election and the Federal Reserve's meeting next week. Some 44,000 U.S. workers were on strike when the Labor Department conducted its survey in mid-October. About 33,000 of them are Boeing machinists, who walked off the job on Sept. 13 after overwhelmingly voting against a union-endorsed labor contract and in favor of their first strike since 2008. Boeing's machinist strike has complicated the plane maker's already difficult position as its new CEO Kelly Ortberg tries to steer the giant U.S. manufacturer and exporter out of safety, quality and financial crises.
Persons: Christopher Waller, I'm, Kelly Ortberg Organizations: Boeing, Labor Department, Bank of America, Federal Locations: Seattle , Washington, Hurricane Milton, Seattle
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