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Don't expect 'huge swings' on mortgage ratesElection uncertainty contributed to an upward swing in mortgage rates during October. But now that we have a president-elect, mortgage rates are expected to gradually come down over time, Lautz said. Experts say that mortgage rates might head into a "bumpy" or "volatile" path over the next year. "Our expectation is that rates are going to be in the 6% range as we move into 2025," she said. For example, if you bought your home around this time last year, when mortgage rates peaked at around 8%, you might benefit from a mortgage refinance, Lautz said.
Persons: Freddie Mac, it's, Jessica Lautz, Lautz, Jerome Powell, Robert Dietz, Jessica Lautz Jessica Lautz, Jeff Ostrowski, Jacob Channel Organizations: Getty, Federal Reserve, National Association of Realtors, Treasury, Trump, Federal, CNBC Locations: U.S
Trump's plan to transform federal land into housing will be costly, given minimal existing infrastructure, UBS says. Those policies, plus a set of potentially inflationary proposals, could drive up both home prices and mortgage rates, they say. Trump's plan to transform federal land into more housing seems particularly challenged, the analysts say. The higher rates will likely continue the housing lock-in effect, where existing homeowners prefer to remain locked in at their current lower rates. In prepared remarks on Thursday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the US is in no hurry to cut rates, signaling that mortgage rates could stay higher for longer.
Persons: , Donald Trump's, homeownership, Trump, JD Vance, Vance, homebuyers, Jerome Powell Organizations: UBS, Service, Builders
There's little appetite on Wall Street for undermining the central bank or ousting Jerome Powell. On Friday, billionaire Elon Musk endorsed a suggestion to let the president control the Federal Reserve, which is run by Chair Jerome Powell. Advertisement"He seems to be someone who has the ear of the president," Mark Spindel, an investment manager who co-wrote a history of Fed independence, told Business Insider of Musk's influence. Many Wall Streeters are concerned that undermining Fed independence would undercut investors' faith in the stock and bond markets. Trump is, Siegel said, extremely attuned to the stock market and uses it as a barometer of his success.
Persons: Elon Musk, Jerome Powell, , Powell, Mark Spindel, Trump, Jeremy Siegel, he'd, Stocks, reappoint Powell, Scott Bessent, Peter Orszag, Obama, Lazard, Wharton's Siegel, Gallup, Siegel, Spindel, Musk's, Volodymyr Zelenskyy Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Wall Street Journal, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Fed, Trump, Bloomberg, Federal, Treasury, Congress Locations: Powell, Europe, Japan, U.S, Trump
Hedge fund billionaire David Tepper's bet on China involved increasing his exposure to the leading e-commerce companies in the world's second-largest economy, according to the latest securities filing. Tepper's Appaloosa Management more than doubled its position in Temu parent PDD Holdings in the third quarter, according to the hedge fund's quarterly filing. Between Alibaba , PDD and JD.com , Appaloosa held roughly $2 billion of Chinese e-commerce stocks at the end of September. The quarterly hedge fund filing released Thursday showed only positions in U.S.-traded equities, including American depositary receipts, and some derivatives. PDD 6M mountain Chinese stocks like PDD Holdings have been volatile in recent months.
Persons: David Tepper's, Tepper, Stocks, Donald Trump's Organizations: Management, PDD Holdings, CNBC, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Wynn Resorts, iShares FTSE, iShares FTSE China ETF, Vistra Corp, NRG Energy, Amazon, Microsoft, UPS, Boeing, U.S . PDD Holdings, National Football League's Carolina Panthers Locations: China, PDD, Alibaba, iShares FTSE China, Lyft, U.S
Shaktikanta Das, governor of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), during an event at the Peterson Institute of Economics (PIIE) during the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank in Washington, DC, US, on Friday, Oct. 25, 2024. Central banks have managed to engineer a soft landing through a period of "continual and unprecedented shocks," but there is still a risk of global inflation returning and of economic growth slowing down, according to India's central bank chief. Speaking Thursday in Mumbai, India, at CNBC-TV18's Global Leadership Summit, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Shaktikanta Das said monetary policy from global central banks had largely "performed well" in recent years despite conflicts, geopolitical tensions and higher volatility. "A soft landing has been ensured but risks of inflation — as I speak to you here today — risks of inflation coming back and growth slowing down do remain," Das said. Das pointed to several contradictions in global markets to underline his view, including the appreciation of the U.S. dollar, even as the Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates.
Persons: Shaktikanta Das, Das Organizations: Reserve Bank of India, Peterson Institute of Economics, International Monetary Fund, Bank, CNBC, Leadership, U.S ., Federal Reserve, U.S Locations: Washington , DC, Central, Mumbai, India, London
CNN —US wholesale inflation picked up more than expected in October, indicating that some price pressures persist at the producer level. Still, one potential favorable sign for inflation-weary consumers: Wholesale food prices dropped 0.2% for the month. FactSet consensus forecasts called for a 0.2% monthly gain and for the annual rate to heat up to 2.3%. Economists projected a 0.2% monthly gain and a 3% annual rate. Thursday’s PPI trajectory mirrored that seen in the latest Consumer Price Index data released Wednesday.
Persons: Price, Eugenio Aleman, Raymond James ’, Thomas Simons, Jefferies, ” Simons, ” Oren Klachkin, Donald Trump’s, , Christopher Rupkey, Rupkey Organizations: CNN, of Labor Statistics, PPI, Federal Reserve, , CPI, Nationwide
Overall, the S & P 500 jumped 2.4% since the last monthly meeting, while the Nasdaq and Dow climbed 4.5%, and 2%, respectively. Wells Fargo up 13.9% Ever since the Fed kicked off its monetary easing cycle with a jumbo 50-basis-point rate cut in mid-September, financial names have soared. Wells Fargo, which did take a hit one week ago, posted a record-high close Wednesday. Research analysts at Bank of America, for example, raised their price target on Wells Fargo Monday. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: It's, Donald Trump, Dow, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley —, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America —, Wells, Trump, dinged, Morgan, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Stephani Spindel Organizations: Nasdaq, Big Tech, Club, Microsoft, Trump, Depot, Dow, Wall Street, Jefferies, Bank of America, Meta, Fed, Wall, Research, Wells, Palo Alto Networks, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Wells, BlackRock, CrowdStrike, Wells Fargo, Amazon, American, Manhattan, New York City, U.S
Wholesale prices nudged higher in October, though largely in line with expectations and mostly consistent with the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates again in December, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Thursday. On a 12-month basis, headline wholesale inflation was at 2.4%. Excluding food and energy, core PPI rose 0.3%, also one-tenth more than September and also matching expectations. Services rose 0.3% on the month, accounting for most of the PPI increase, and was driven largely by a 3.6% surge in portfolio management prices. Goods prices nudged higher by 0.1% after falling the previous two months.
Persons: Dow Organizations: Federal Reserve, of Labor Statistics, PPI, Traders, Labor Department
Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. "The backdrop is already a more volatile FX market," Webb said, comparing markets now to when Trump was inaugurated in January 2017. But market volatility is at its lowest level since July, based on the VIX Index, Wall Street's favorite measure of uneasiness. Universa has demand for its strategy, Yarckin said, but it's coming from "a small subset of people." "I wonder if this is being underestimated" by the markets, Webb said.
Persons: Warren Buffett, , Donald Trump, Jonathan Webb, Webb, Trump, Wall, Brandon Yarckin, Universa, Warren, Berkshire Hathaway, Yarckin, Simon Aninat, haven't, Mark Spitznagel, Aninant, Mattias Eriksson, Eriksson, Elon Musk, It's Organizations: Universa Investments, Service, Twitter, C8 Technologies, Jefferies, Business, Oracle Locations: Omaha
See who stands to take home the biggest checks, according to the comp consultant Johnson Associates. It predicted that some financial-services professionals could see year-end bonus increases of as much as 35% over last year. Here's a look inside three slides from the Johnson Associates report that illustrate key findings. Johnson Associates' 2024 year-end incentives reportDebt underwriters stand to see the biggest bonus bumps this year — up to 35% over 2023, Johnson Associates' founder, Alan Johnson, told Business Insider. Johnson Associates' 2024 year-end incentives reportOverall, the numbers are good compared with the past couple of years, and OK in the grander scheme of things, he said.
Persons: Johnson, , Goldman Sachs, Alan Johnson, it's Organizations: Service, Johnson Associates, Goldman, Blackstone, underwriters, Equity, Investment, Federal
Rather than face the humiliation of a rejection vote in the Senate, Cabinet nominees are more frequently withdrawn when it becomes clear they cannot be confirmed. Here’s a look at the Cabinet confirmation process, why it exists, where it’s gone wrong and how Trump wants to find a way around it. Presidents like Ronald Reagan, Clinton and both Bushes did use recess appointments, although usually for positions below the Cabinet level. While Democrats can no longer filibuster Cabinet nominees, they can slow the process down. Then, the Senate rejected Taney when Jackson put him forward for a Supreme Court nomination.
Persons: George H.W, Bush, John Tower, , Tower, Matt Gaetz, Donald Trump’s, Gaetz, Department of Justice –, Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kennedy, it’s, Bill Clinton, Zoe Baird, Joe Biden, Biden, Trump’s, Sen, John Thune, Ronald Reagan, Clinton, Mickey Kantor, Barack Obama, Senate can’t, , Republicans don’t, Mike Johnson, Let’s, Johnson, Edward Whelan, Roger B . Taney, Andrew Jackson, Taney, Jackson, Martin Van Buren, England . Taney, Scott Organizations: CNN, Pentagon, Florida Rep, Department of Justice, Senate, Former House, of Health, Human Services, White House, United Nations, CIA, Law, Public Service, Democratic, Partnership for Public Service, Office, National Labor Relations, US, Senators, Republicans, GOP, Trump, Republican, The Washington Post, Bank of, Federal Reserve, Taney Locations: Texas, Geneva, United States, The, England
One of the surest bets when the Federal Reserve began cutting interest rates was for bond prices to rise while yields came under pressure, but that hasn't played out according to plan. This market, which has defied so many historical patterns, has kept the pressure on bond yields up due to a variety of factors, including more persistent concerns about the federal deficit. But her bigger concern remains on the bond side of the markets. She said investors will be "more wary" given the election rally and the pulling forward of expectations about tax cuts and regulation and expectations they will contribute to growth. But it is in the bond market where investors should expect even more volatility.
Persons: hasn't, Donald's Trump, Anne Walsh, Nelson Peltz Organizations: Federal Reserve, Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, CNBC's, Alpha, DA Locations: New York City
European markets closed higher on Thursday as traders digested a slew of earnings and assessed fresh inflation data for a signal on the possible trajectory of interest rate cuts. The pan-European Stoxx 600 provisionally ended the day 1.08% higher, with all sectors and major bourses trading in the green. Shares of Burberry jumped more than 22%, after the British luxury house announced a sweeping overhaul strategy to stem declining sales. Investors are assessing the likelihood of another interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve in December after the latest U.S. inflation data. U.S. stocks were little changed Thursday, while Asia-Pacific markets traded in mixed territory overnight.
Persons: Donald Trump's Organizations: Burberry, Siemens, Bilfinger, Merck, Fincantieri, Metro Bank, Aviva, Deutsche Telekom, U.S . Federal Reserve, Federal Locations: Veon, Asia, Pacific
Price growth ticked higher in October as voters began casting ballots in a presidential election in which economic concerns played a big role. The consumer price index climbed to 2.6% last month since the same time last year, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday. Stock futures turned higher, while traders bid up the price of government bonds. All-important shelter costs rose 0.4% from September to October, accounting for over half the monthly gains, the BLS said. Over the past four years, consumer prices have cumulatively increased about 20%, with the costs of many other goods and services rising even faster.
Persons: That's, Joe Biden’s, ” Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab, , Donald Trump, Trump, Jerome Powell Organizations: of Labor Statistics, BLS, Charles, Charles Schwab Center, Financial Research, ” Voters, White House, Trump, Investors, Adobe, National Retail Federation, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Citi Locations:
Mortgage rates continued to climb last week as investors considered the future of the economy under a Trump presidency. The mortgage market basically took a breather. “Mortgage rates continued to increase last week, driven by higher Treasury yields as financial markets digested the likely impacts of a Trump presidency,” said Joel Kan, the Mortgage Bankers Association’s deputy chief economist. Last year at that time, mortgage rates were 75 basis points higher. “FHA mortgage rates bucked the overall trend and were lower over the week, which likely helped some borrowers,” Kan said.
Persons: Trump, , Joel Kan, Kan, ” Kan, Matthew Graham Organizations: Mortgage, , Trump, Federal Housing Administration, U.S . Department of Veterans Affairs, Veterans, Mortgage News
That’s nearly double the household income of $56,800 needed to afford a new home in 2019. Just 36% of US households earned enough to afford a new home, compared to 59% in Q3 2019. A shortage of homes in the US, combined with increased demand, helped create intense competition, leading to skyrocketing home prices in cities across America. A major contributor to the home affordability crisis: rising mortgage rates. Mortgage rates, which are the interest rates a lender charges on a home loan, ballooned in 2022 and 2023 as the Federal Reserve hiked interest rates to combat inflation.
Persons: That’s, Louis, ” Barbara Denham Organizations: CNN, Oxford Economics, Midwest, Oxford, Federal Reserve Locations: America, San Jose , California, California, San Francisco , Los Angeles, San Diego, Cleveland , Louisville, Detroit, St, Florida , Arizona, South Carolina
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed has room to continue to cut as monetary policy is still restrictive, says Annex's Brian JacobsonBrian Jacobson, Annex Wealth Management chief economist, joins CNBC's 'Power Lunch' to discuss reactions to the latest CPI data, expectations for the Federal Reserve, and more.
Persons: Annex's Brian Jacobson Brian Jacobson Organizations: Fed, Wealth Management, Federal Reserve
The core CPI accelerated 0.3% for the month and was at 3.3% annually, also meeting forecasts. The consumer price index , which measures costs across a spectrum of goods and services, increased 0.2% for the month. That took the 12-month inflation rate to 2.6%, up 0.2 percentage point from September. Inflation perked up in October though pretty much in line with Wall Street expectations, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday. Energy costs, which had been declining in recent months, were flat in October while the food index increased 0.2%.
Persons: Dow Jones, Trump, Ellen Zentner Organizations: Dow, of Labor Statistics, Stock, Federal Reserve, Energy, BLS, White, CPI, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Housing-related inflation accounted for half of the monthly rise, and energy prices were flat after dragging down the overall index for four of the past six months. The Consumer Price Index measures price changes across commonly purchased goods and services. Still, October’s increase was to be expected, due to unfavorable comparisons from a year ago and stubborn housing-related inflation. Consensus estimates were for a 0.2% monthly increase and a 2.6% annual increase in the overall CPI, according to FactSet. A potential ‘inflation shock’ in the wingsAlthough the broader US economy survived the sharpest inflation run-up seen in a generation, Americans’ finances — and their sentiment — were far from unscathed.
Persons: , ” Stephen Juneau, Donald Trump, Larry Summers, Kate Bolduan, Trump’s, Lindsay Rosner, Jerome Powell Organizations: CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics ., Bank of America, BLS, , Trump, Biden, CNN News Central, Federal Reserve, Goldman Sachs Asset Management Locations: Ukraine
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), after Republican Donald Trump won the U.S. presidential election, in New York City, U.S., November 6, 2024. U.S. stocks slid on Thursday, as fresh comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled that economic strength could warrant some patience with future rate cuts. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 189 points, or 0.4%, after falling more than 250 points at the lows of the session. "The strength we are currently seeing in the economy gives us the ability to approach our decisions carefully," Powell said. Those moves come after the October producer price index released Thursday rose 0.2%, matching forecasts from economists polled by Dow Jones.
Persons: Republican Donald Trump, Jerome Powell, Stocks, Powell, Tesla, Dow Jones, Donald Trump's, Jay Woods Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Republican, U.S, Federal, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Trump, Russell, PPI, Dow, Freedom Capital Locations: New York City, U.S, Dallas
So far on Wednesday, the stock market was largely ignoring the morning's inflation report because the main CPI reading was as economists expected. But a look deeper into the report spells trouble for a stock market — and president-elect — that are going to want the Federal Reserve to keep cutting rates throughout next year to keep fueling the bull market. However, in recent months, policymakers have focused more on the headline number, saying shelter costs, which have an outsized influence on core CPI, will come down. But core inflation has remained unusually stubborn, suggesting the Fed may have to hold rates higher than investors were previously anticipating. Core CPI showed a third straight monthly increase of 0.3%, bringing the annual rate to 3.3%.
Persons: Chris Rupkey, Jerome Powell, Rupkey, Donald Trump, , Jeff Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, White, Washington , D.C Locations: Washington ,
Americans’ debt is growing — but so are incomes
  + stars: | 2024-11-13 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
CNN —Americans are continuing to pile on debt at record levels — but for many households, those IOUs are completely manageable, according to new data released Wednesday. Balances grew across all major debt categories, with credit cards and auto loans continuing to see the biggest gains. However, by and large, most households have been able to handle that rising debt: Their after-tax income has grown even more, according to the New York Fed. Disposable personal income hit $21.8 trillion in the third quarter, bringing the total debt balance to income ratio to 82%. And, for 18 months running, that pay growth has outpaced inflation, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data released Wednesday.
Persons: Delinquencies, , ” “, ” Donghoon Lee, Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of New, New York Fed, of Labor Statistics
New York CNN —Larry Summers has some unsolicited advice for President-elect Donald Trump: Don’t keep your campaign promises — unless you want to send prices skyrocketing once again. “If he carries through on what he said during his campaign, there will be an inflation shock significantly greater than the one the country suffered in 2021,” Summers told Kate Bolduan on CNN News Central on Wednesday. “I hope that he will get the message from this election and adjust his programs so that it’s not inflationary,” Summers told CNN. “In his first term, President Trump instituted tariffs against China that created jobs, spurred investment, and resulted in no inflation,” Karoline Leavitt, a Trump transition spokesperson, said in a statement. They just didn’t want the consequences that came with it in terms of increased inflation,” Summers said.
Persons: Larry Summers, Donald Trump, Summers, Clinton, ” Summers, Kate Bolduan, That’s, Trump, Obama, , ” Karoline Leavitt, ” Scott Bessent, ” Bessent, Axios, Trump “, Kamala Harris, Biden, I’ve, Organizations: New, New York CNN, Treasury, Federal Reserve, CNN News Central, CNN, Trump, Wall Street Journal Locations: New York, China, Ukraine
"Investors should take advantage as munis are poised to deliver good performance into year-end and 2025, in our view," he added. Interest income from municipal bonds is free of federal income taxes. Further, if the investor resides in the same state that issues the bond, the interest income can be exempt from state taxes. Both of those tax cuts could reduce muni bond demand, Li said. As for any potential changes in the individual tax rate, UBS' Mukherjee doesn't necessarily see a big impact on demand.
Persons: Sudip Mukherjee, Mukherjee, Yingchen Li, Trump, Li, Donald Trump, Bank of America's Li, downgrades Organizations: Federal, UBS Global Wealth Management, Bank of America, muni, Republicans, Senate, Democrats, GOP, UBS, Investment, Bank of America's
My bank has lowered the APY on my high-yield savings account by almost half a percent recently. AdvertisementIt's never pleasant to receive an email from your bank informing you that the interest rate on your high-yield savings account is decreasing. From August until the end of October, the annual percentage yield (APY) on my high-yield savings account has fallen from 4.6% to 4.2%. After paying off my bills every month, I would put the remainder of my paycheck into my high-yield savings account and watch the number creep up. Is there anything I can do about the state of my savings account, or do I have to watch my yield erode away slowly?
Persons: I'm, , I've, Jerome Powell, Patti Black, it's, Jerome Powell's, Black, Daniel Milan, Milan, that's, Richard McHorter, There's, McHorter, Trump's, What's, Zer, Christine, cji Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Savant Wealth, Cornerstone Financial Services, SRM Private Wealth, Treasury Locations: Milan, California, New York City
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