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AdvertisementIn the third quarter, US economic growth fell short of expectations but remained strong. "The increase in real GDP primarily reflected increases in consumer spending, exports, and federal government spending," the news release said. Consumer spending was a particular highlight, with personal consumption expenditures growing at a strong 3.7% annualized rate. AdvertisementThe weaker-than-expected GDP growth doesn't necessarily mean the US is heading toward a recession. Investment in nonresidential equipment had another strong quarter, surging at an annualized rate of 11.1%.
Persons: , David Kelly, Hurricane Helene, Hurricane Milton, Mark Hamrick Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Investment, Fed, Morgan Asset Management, Commerce Department, Hurricane Locations: Hurricane
While the cumulative effect of inflation has had a pronounced influence on the U.S. economy, the view in relative terms is getting progressively better. Judging by the personal consumption expenditures price index, inflation was expected to run at just a 0.2% rate in September and 2.1% from a year ago, according to Dow Jones estimates. "Another strong quarter of GDP growth and close-to-target quarterly inflation reading will be welcomed by the Fed stuck between balancing the risks of inflation and the labor market," Citigroup economist Alice Zheng said in a note Wednesday. Within the GDP report, the PCE rate for the quarter was just 1.5%, suggesting that the battle has been won. While the market is still betting heavily on more rate cuts this year, the Fed likely will be cautious.
Persons: Dow Jones, Alice Zheng, Shruti Mishra Organizations: Commerce Department, Labor, Citigroup, Bank of America Locations: U.S
Morgan Stanley estimated that bringing manufacturing back to the US could add $10 trillion to the economy. The bank pointed to a 20-year stagnation of the industrial economy as production was sent offshore. AdvertisementThe US economy could unlock trillions in value over the next decade if more manufacturing activity comes back to the US, according to Morgan Stanley. The Biden administration, meanwhile, has poured billions into its push to increase chip production in the US and boost the manufacturing and industrial sectors. The cumulative effects could be "pretty profound" across the US economy, Snyder said, with the boost to industry and manufacturing bound to raise GDP.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, , Chris Snyder, Snyder, Morgan Stanley's, Trump, Biden Organizations: Service, Biden, of Supply Management, Commerce Department, Economic
The EU and China have reportedly agreed to start talks on the planned imposition of tariffs on Chinese-made EVs. China's commerce ministry said it "does not accept" tariffs imposed by the European Union on Chinese electric vehicles, after the bloc increased tariffs on Chinese EVs to as high as 45.3% on Wednesday. The commerce ministry said "China will continue to take all necessary measures to resolutely safeguard the legitimate rights and interests of Chinese companies." China's commerce ministry also highlighted the EU has indicated it will continue to negotiate with China, adding that both sides are conducting a new round of consultations. On Oct. 25, Reuters reported the two sides were looking at possible minimum price commitments from Chinese producers or investments in Europe as an alternative to tariffs.
Persons: Xpeng Organizations: European Union, SAIC Motor, EU, World Trade Organization, Reuters Locations: Taicang Port, Suzhou, China's, Jiangsu Province, EU, China, Europe
Washington CNN —The US economy seems to have pulled off a remarkable and historic achievement. American shoppers continued to fuel economic growth in the third quarter with their spending, according to the report. That marked the biggest contributor to GDP growth in the third quarter by far. Government spending at both the federal and state level also contributed to third-quarter economic growth. Wednesday’s GDP report showed that the US economy remains on solid footing.
Persons: That’s, , James Bullard, Louis, Joe Biden, Harris Organizations: Washington CNN, Gross, Commerce Department, Federal, CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Fed, White, Biden
The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell more than 4 basis points to 4.232%, after briefly rising above 4.3% in the previous session to notch its highest level since July. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was down over 2 basis points at 4.094%. U.S. Treasury yields were lower on Wednesday, with investors poised to scrutinize economic data for further clues on the rate cut outlook. Ahead of the all-important October jobs report at the end of the week, investors will monitor a fresh batch of economic data on Wednesday. The Fed joined several other major central banks in easing monetary policy when it lowered rates by 50 basis points in September.
Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Commerce Department, Traders, Federal Reserve, Fed
The Commerce Department is expected to report Wednesday that gross domestic product grew at a hardy 3.1% annualized pace in the third quarter, adjusted for seasonality and inflation, according to the Dow Jones consensus forecast. Along with that, the release is expected to show that inflation moved closer or perhaps even below the Federal Reserve's 2% target. The Fed uses the personal consumption expenditures price index, included in the GDP estimate, as its primary inflation gauge. The report, then, should indicate a solid economy and easing inflation , the latter at least on a relative basis from how things looked a year ago. "Overall, another quarter of above-trend growth and a benign inflation reading will be welcomed by the Fed."
Persons: Dow, Oliver Allen, Allen, nudging, Alice Zheng Organizations: Commerce Department, Fed, Pantheon, stoke, Citigroup, Citi Locations: U.S
China's Ministry of Commerce on Thursday emphasized the country's efforts to restrict illegal exports of military goods to Russia as it seeks to cast Beijing as a neutral player amid the ongoing war in Ukraine. The term refers to goods or technologies that can be used for civilian as well as military purposes. China on Saturday unveiled an export control law for dual-use items, set to take effect Dec. 1. Despite the timing of its release, the text of China's new export control law does not mention specific countries. And Xi did not mention the export controls in during his trip to Russia, according to official statements.
Persons: Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin, Gabriel Wildau, Xi Organizations: SZ, Technology, China's Ministry of Commerce, Atlantic Treaty Organization, Saturday, U.S Locations: Shenzhen, China, Russia, Beijing, Ukraine, Kazan, Russian, Moscow
TSMC halted shipments to a client after its chips were found in Huawei products, per reports. Min-yen Chiang, a researcher, told BI it raises the questions about a "shadow network" of chip supply. TSMC, Huawei, and the Commerce Department did not immediately respond to Business Insider's requests for comments. Related storiesA 'shadow network' of chipsThe report adds to US concerns that Huawei is potentially obtaining advanced chips despite being blacklisted since 2020. "This question is slightly different than whether Huawei got restricted chips from TSMC through illegal channels," she told GZERO Media, a subsidiary of the Eurasia Group.
Persons: Chiang, , TSMC, John Moolenaar, Moolenaar, Kate Leaman, Leaman, JW Kuo, Xiaomeng Lu, Lu Organizations: Huawei, Service, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Huawei Technologies, AFP, Bloomberg, Chinese Communist Party, CCP, BIS, Commerce Department, US Commerce Department, Apple, Nvidia, Export, US Commerce, agency's Bureau of Industry, Security, Eurasia Group, GZERO Media Locations: Taipei
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Dover CEO Richard Tobin discussed the dynamic on the company's third quarter earnings call earlier Thursday . As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, it's, Tesla, ServiceNow, Salesforce, Oppenheimer, Textron, It's, We're, Richard Tobin, Tobin, Edwards Lifesciences, Dexcom, Newell, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Palo Alto Networks, Honeywell, Dover, Carrier Global, Aerospace, Union Pacific, United Parcel Service, Barclays, UPS, Federal Reserve, Boston Beer, Abbott Laboratories, Colgate, Palmolive, Centene, Newell Brands, New York Community Bancorp, Commerce Department, University of, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Palo, Dover
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company has denied that the U.S. was investigating its dealings with Chinese tech company Huawei, following reports that its chips were found in the Shenzhen-based firm's products. Tech-focused publication The Information had reported last week that the Commerce Department was probing whether TSMC had been making AI or smartphone chips for Huawei, in violation of U.S. export rules. We are not aware of TSMC being the subject of any investigation at this time," the TSMC spokesperson added. TSMC, which is the world's largest contract chip manufacturer, said that it has not supplied chips to Huawei since mid-September 2020. Citing anonymous sources, the report claimed the discovery was made after tech research firm TechInsights took apart a Huawei product and found a TSMC chip as part of its multi-chip system.
Persons: TSMC, TechInsights, TSMC's Organizations: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, New York Stock Exchange, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Huawei, CNBC, Wednesday . Tech, Commerce Department, U.S . Commerce Department, Reuters, . Locations: U.S, Shenzhen
Inflation is not deadDaly began her talk with an anecdote of a recent encounter she had while walking near her home. But the conversation encapsulated a dilemma for the Fed: If inflation is on the run, why are interest rates still so high? As evidenced by the young man's question, convincing people that inflation is easing is a tough sell. watch nowThe annual rate of CPI inflation was 2.4% in September, a vast improvement over the 9.1% top in June 2022. However, year-over-year spending increased just 1.7%, below the 2.4% CPI inflation rate.
Persons: Brandon Bell, Goldman Sachs, Mary Daly, Daly, Goldman, Jerome Powell, , hasn't, haven't Organizations: Walmart, Federal Reserve, San Francisco Fed, New York University Stern School of Business, Commerce Department, Fed, York Fed, Bank of America, National Federation of Independent Business Locations: Austin , Texas, U.S, , Wyoming, Atlanta, York
A customer during the grand re-opening of a Century 21 department store in New York, US, on Tuesday, May 16, 2023. Retail sales increased a seasonally adjusted 0.4% on the month, up from the unrevised 0.1% gain in August and better than the 0.3% Dow Jones forecast, according to the advanced report. Excluding autos, sales accelerated 0.5%, better than the forecast for just a 0.1% rise. The numbers are adjusted for seasonal factors but not inflation, which rose 0.2% on the month as measured by the consumer price index. Despite the decline in initial filings, continuing claims, which run a week behind, edged higher to 1.867 million.
Persons: Dow Jones, Helene, Milton Organizations: Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Dow, Labor Department, Stock, Boeing Locations: New York, Florida, North Carolina, U.S, Michigan
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Jim said he has previously debated selling some Danaher shares around their current levels of $275 but now he has "cold feet." As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim, Sartorius, Stocks, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Commerce Department, Nvidia, Broadcom, Club, CSX, Elevance, AMD Locations: Blackstone
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on Monday signaled that future interest rate cuts will be less aggressive than the big move in September as he expressed concern that the economy could still be running at a hotter-than-desired pace. The Federal Open Market Committee at its September meeting took the unusual step of lowering its baseline interest rate by a half percentage point, or 50 basis points, to a target range of 4.75%-5.0%. Along with the cut, officials indicated the likelihood of another half point lopped off in the final two meetings of 2024, along with another full percentage point of cuts in 2025. In the final revision for second-quarter growth, the Commerce Department also punched up the level of gross domestic income gain to 3.4%, an adjustment of 2.1 percentage points from the previous estimate and closer in line with GDP. “These revisions suggest that the economy is much stronger than previously thought, with little indication of a major slowdown in economic activity,” Waller said.
Persons: Christopher Waller, ” Waller, Waller, Organizations: Federal, Stanford University, The, Fed, Commerce Department
SpaceX launched its fifth test flight of its Starship rocket on Sunday and made a dramatic first catch of the rocket's more than 20-story tall booster. The Super Heavy booster lands on the company's launch tower during the fifth Starship flight on Oct. 13, 2024. There are not any people on board the fifth Starship flight. The SpaceX Starship sits on a launch pad at Starbase near Boca Chica, Texas, on October 12, 2024, ahead of the Starship Flight 5 test. Chandan Khanna | AFP | Getty ImagesWith the booster catch, SpaceX has surpassed the fourth test flight's milestones.
Persons: Elon, Dan Huot, Huot, Sergio Flores, we've, Chandan Khanna Organizations: SpaceX, Elon Musk's, Super, Federal Aviation Administration, Afp, Getty, FAA, U.S . Fish, Wildlife Service, Commerce, National Marine Fisheries Service, AFP Locations: Brownsville , Texas, Gulf of Mexico, Boca Chica , Texas, U.S, Texas, Starbase
China is studying further trade measures against Taiwan, the Ministry of Commerce said on Saturday, two days after Beijing slammed a speech by Taiwan President Lai Ching-Te. The Democratic Progressive Party, Taiwan's ruling party, has not taken any practical measures to lift "trade restrictions" on mainland China, the commerce ministry said in a statement on its official website. "At present, relevant departments are studying further measures based on the conclusions of the investigation into trade barriers from Taiwan (against mainland China)," it added. The Saturday announcement from China's commerce ministry could portend tariffs or other forms of economic pressure against the island in the near future. In May, China reinstated tariffs on 134 items it imports from Taiwan, after Beijing's finance ministry said it would suspend concessions on the items under a trade deal because Taiwan had not reciprocated.
Persons: Lai Ching, detests Lai, Lai Organizations: Taiwan, Ministry of Commerce, Democratic Progressive Party, Taiwan Affairs Office, Reuters Locations: China, Beijing, Taiwan, People's Republic of China
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell arrives to a news conference following the September meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee at the William McChesney Martin Jr. Federal Reserve Board Building on September 18, 2024 in Washington, DC. This week's inflation data provided more evidence that the Federal Reserve is nearing its objective, fresh on the heels of the central bank's dramatic interest rate cut just a few weeks ago. Consumer and producer price indexes for September both came in around expectations, showing that inflation is drifting down to the central bank's 2% target. The Wall Street investment bank on Friday projected that the Commerce Department's personal consumption expenditures price index for September will show a 12-month inflation rate of 2.04% when it is released later this month. The Fed prefers the PCE as its inflation gauge though it uses a variety of inputs to make decisions.
Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin Jr, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Austan Goolsbee Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, Washington , DC, Commerce, Fed, PCE, Chicago Fed, CNBC Locations: Washington ,
China penalizes European brandy in tit-for-tat response
  + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
An investigation has preliminarily determined that dumping of brandy from the EU is threatening China’s own brandy sector with “substantial damage,” the Chinese Commerce Ministry said. It also accounted for 99% of China’s brandy imports last year, with French brandy shipments reaching $1.7 billion. The Chinese commerce ministry gave no details. Ahead of the vote, in late August, China had suspended its planned anti-dumping measures on EU brandy, in an apparent goodwill gesture, despite determining that EU brandy had been sold in China at below-market prices. At the time, the Commerce Ministry said its probe would end before January 5, 2025, but that it could be extended.
Persons: Hennessy, Remy Martin, Pernod Ricard, Remy Cointreau, Martell Organizations: Paris Reuters, European Union, Chinese Commerce Ministry, EU, Commerce Ministry, China’s Commerce, distillers, SAIC, European Locations: Beijing, Paris, China, France
The headline consumer price index rose 0.61% in September from a year earlier, after August's annual increase of 0.35%, and missed a forecast rise of 0.80% in a Reuters poll. Thailand's annual headline inflation quickened in September due mainly to higher prices of diesel and some vegetables, the commerce ministry said on Monday, and was still below the central bank's target range of 1% to 3%. The headline inflation rate is expected to be 1.25% in October and about 1.49% in the final quarter of 2024, Poonpong Naiyanapakorn, director of the trade policy and strategy office, told a press conference. In the January to September period, average annual headline inflation was 0.20%. The commerce ministry on Monday revised its forecast for the full year to between 0.2% to 0.8%, from between zero and 1% seen earlier.
Persons: Poonpong Naiyanapakorn Organizations: CPI
Key Fed inflation gauge at 2.2% in August, lower than expected
  + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting all-items PCE to rise 0.1% on the month and 2.3% from a year ago. Excluding food and energy, core PCE rose 0.1% in August and was up 2.7% from a year ago, the 12-month number 0.1 percentage point higher than July. "All quiet on the inflation front," said Chris Larkin, managing director of trading and investing at E-Trade from Morgan Stanley. Personal income increased 0.2% on the month while spending rose 0.2%. At their meeting last week, policymakers indicated a likelihood of another half percentage point in cuts this year then a full point in reductions for 2025, though markets expect a more aggressive path.
Persons: Dow Jones, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Commerce Department, Fed, Stock Locations: U.S
The savings rate slumped below 3% prior to the 2008 financial crisis, SocGen strategist Albert Edwards said in a note to clients on Wednesday. AdvertisementThe low savings rate attests to strong consumer spending, which has propped up the economy so far. That sounds like it should be good news, but the issue is that the savings rate is likely to rise again after plummeting to such low levels. Related storiesThat was what happened leading up to the Great Financial Crisis, when an uptick in the savings rate preceded the recession, Edwards noted. And while households aren't nearly as indebted as they were during the financial crisis, Americans are still showing signs of financial strain.
Persons: , Société, Albert Edwards, Edwards, " Edwards Organizations: Service, Commerce Department, Business, Primerica, San Francisco, McKinsey & Company, US, New York Fed
Hong Kong CNN —Beijing says it’s investigating fashion retailer PVH Corp, the owner of Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger, for refusing to source cotton from the Xinjiang region, in a move that could lead to sanctions on an American company with major business interests in China. The ministry said in a statement that New York-based PVH (PVH) is suspected of “violating normal market transaction principles” by boycotting cotton sourced from China’s far western region of Xinjiang. Being banned by China would deal a big blow to PVH, which, like other global fashion firms, sources extensively in the country. Western apparel brands have faced pressure in China over their position on Xinjiang cotton before. In March 2021, Swedish multinational H&M was pulled from major e-commerce stores in China and blocked by several major navigation, review and rating apps.
Persons: Hong Kong CNN —, Calvin Klein, Tommy Hilfiger, Biden, PVH, , Joe Biden, , Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Hong Kong CNN — Beijing, PVH Corp, Commerce Ministry, CNN, Chinese Ministry of Commerce, US, State Department Locations: China, Hong Kong, Xinjiang, United States, York, , Swedish
WASHINGTON — The U.S. Commerce Department on Monday proposed prohibiting key Chinese software and hardware in connected vehicles on American roads due to national security concerns, a move that would effectively bar Chinese cars and trucks from the U.S. market. The planned regulation, first reported by Reuters, would also force American and other major automakers in years ahead to remove key Chinese software and hardware from vehicles in the United States. President Joe Biden’s administration has raised concerns about data collection by connected Chinese vehicles on U.S. drivers and infrastructure and potential foreign manipulation of vehicles connected to the internet and navigation systems. The proposed prohibitions would prevent testing of self-driving cars on U.S. roads by Chinese automakers and extend to vehicle software and hardware produced by Russia and could be extended to other U.S. adversaries. The group said there is “very little” connected vehicle hardware or software “that enters the U.S. from China.
Persons: WASHINGTON, Joe Biden’s, Jan, Gina Raimondo, We’re, , Liz Cannon, Jake Sullivan, ” Sullivan, Lin Jian, Washington “ Organizations: The U.S . Commerce Department, Reuters, White House, The Commerce Department, U.S . Commerce, Commerce Department, Motors, Ford Motor, U.S, The, White, National, Foreign Ministry, Alliance, Automotive Innovation, GM, Toyota, Volkswagen, Hyundai Locations: The U.S, U.S, United States, Russia, China
The Biden administration has raised serious concerns about the collection of data by Chinese companies on U.S. drivers and infrastructure through connected vehicles as well as about potential foreign manipulation of vehicles connected to the internet and navigation systems. The planned regulation, first reported by Reuters, would also force American and other major automakers in the coming years to remove key Chinese software and hardware from vehicles in the United States. The U.S. Commerce Department on Monday proposed prohibiting key Chinese software and hardware in connected vehicles on American roads due to national security concerns - a move that would effectively bar nearly all Chinese cars from entering the U.S. market. The move is a significant escalation in the United States' ongoing restrictions on Chinese vehicles, software and components. The rules would apply to all on-road vehicles but exclude agricultural or mining vehicles not used on public roads.
Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, Gina Raimondo, Raimondo, We're, Jake Sullivan, Sullivan, Jan Organizations: White, White House, Reuters, U.S . Commerce Department, United, National, Embassy, U.S, The Commerce Department, Alliance, Automotive Innovation, General Motors, Toyota, Hyundai Locations: Rose, Washington ,, United States, U.S, Yantai, Shandong province, Russia, China, Washington
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