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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBank of Japan to 'hibernate' until political dust settles, says strategistMasahiko Loo of State Street Global Advisors gives his take on how Japanese politics and the Fed's surprise 50 basis point rate cut affects the Bank of Japan's next move.
Persons: Masahiko Loo Organizations: Email Bank of Japan, Street Global Advisors, Bank of Japan's
The price of bitcoin was recently higher by 3.5% at $62,417.48, according to Coin Metrics, building on a rally underway before the central bank decision Wednesday. Stocks tied to the price of bitcoin climbed in early trading Thursday. MicroStrategy , widely used as a high beta play on the price of bitcoin, gained 5%. It isn't out of the woods yet, however, said Yuya Hasegawa, crypto market analyst at Japanese bitcoin exchange Bitbank. "Bitcoin has some time until the BOJ makes the decision and could extend its gain during Thursday's U.S. session.
Persons: bitcoin, Stocks, Yuya Hasegawa, Bitcoin Organizations: Metrics, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Bank of, Thursday's U.S
Italy's FTSE MIB meanwhile was set to fall by around 39 points to 33,784. LONDON — European markets were headed for a lower open on Wednesday as investors considered key data from the region and looked to the U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate decision. In Europe, U.K. inflation figures for August were published Wednesday, coming in at 2.2% according to data from the Office for National Statistics. The data comes ahead of the Bank of England meeting and interest rate policy decision scheduled for later this week. The Fed is all but guaranteed to announce an interest rate cut on Wednesday, which would be its first since it started hiking rates in March 2022.
Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: CAC, LONDON, U.S . Federal, Office, National Statistics, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, U.S . Federal Reserve, Traders Locations: Europe, Asia, Pacific
Dollar pinned down by 50 bp Fed cut bets
  + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The dollar traded near its lowest levels of the year on Tuesday, on the eve of the expected the start to a U.S. easing cycle that markets are betting may begin with an outsized rate cut. The euro rallied overnight to $1.1138 and traded around there early in the Asia session, not far from the year's high against the dollar of $1.1201. Fed funds futures rallied on Monday to push the chance of a 50 basis point rate cut to 67%, against 30% a week ago. "That's because the contrast between central bank outlooks will remain starkest between the Fed and the BoJ, for the time being." The U.S. dollar index weakened 0.4% overnight to 100.7, not far from its 2024 low made last month at 100.51.
Persons: Sterling — Organizations: Macquarie, Fed, Bank of, The Bank of England, New, U.S Locations: U.S, Asia, Tokyo, Bank of Japan, New Zealand
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJapanese yen could trend towards 135 against the dollar on narrowing rate differentials: DBSChang Wei Liang of DBS Bank says the yen carry trade is largely over and any possible rate hike by the Bank of Japan could result further yen appreciation.
Persons: Wei Liang Organizations: DBS Bank, Bank of Japan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBOJ unlikely to raise rates this year amid leadership change and cooling economy, economist saysWith Japan's upcoming party leadership election on Sept. 27 and its cooling economy, "moving in that environment is tricky" for the Bank of Japan, said Martin Schulz, chief policy economist at Fujitsu.
Persons: Martin Schulz Organizations: Bank of Japan, Fujitsu
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury yield was down by less than one basis point to 3.6194%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last less than one basis point lower to 3.5506%. U.S. Treasury yields held steady on Tuesday as the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting is scheduled to begin, with policymakers widely expected to announce an interest rate cut at its conclusion. All eyes are on the Federal Reserve this week, with an interest rate cut from the central bank all but guaranteed. The key question across markets remains how big the rate cut from the Fed will be on Wednesday.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal, Federal Reserve, Fed, Traders, Bank of England, Bank of Locations: Bank of Japan
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Record close for DowThe S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose on Monday, with the Dow notching a record close. Next move for the BOJThe Bank of Japan won't be raising interest rates at its September meeting, according to a CNBC survey of 32 analysts. [PRO] "Golden age of fixed income"The U.S. Federal Reserve is poised to cut interest rates this week.
Persons: Shaktikanta Das, Biden, Rick Rieder Organizations: Trade Center, CNBC, Dow, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nikkei, U.S ., Midea Group, Hong Kong, Bank of Japan, Bank of India, Intel, U.S . Federal Locations: Manhattan, Jersey City , New Jersey, Asia, Pacific, Hong
Kevin Dietsch | Getty ImagesA flurry of major central banks will hold monetary policy meetings this week, with investors bracing for interest rate moves in either direction. The U.S. central bank is widely expected to join others around the world in starting its own rate-cutting cycle. Elsewhere, Brazil's central bank is scheduled to hold its next policy meeting across Tuesday and Wednesday. Traffic outside the Central Bank of Brazil headquarters in Brasilia, Brazil, on Monday, June 17, 2024. The central bank delivered its first interest rate cut in more than four years at the start of August.
Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin, Kevin Dietsch, John Bilton, CNBC's, Bilton, David Volpe, Volpe, 25bps, Wilson Ferrarezi, BOE, Ruben Segura Cayuela Organizations: Federal Reserves, Washington , D.C, Federal, Traders, The Bank of England, Norway's Norges Bank, South Africa's, Bank, Bank of Japan, Morgan Asset Management, European, Bank of England, ECB, Emerald Asset Management, Banco Central, TS Lombard, Central Bank of, Bloomberg, Getty, Reuters, Bank of America Locations: Washington ,, U.S, Brazil's, Brazil, Central Bank of Brazil, Brasilia, South Africa, Norway, Japan
Gold prices at all-time highs as traders eye deeper U.S. rate cut
  + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices climbed to a two-week high on Thursday as U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell opened the door to cutting interest rates as early as September. Gold prices surged to record highs on Monday, driven by a softer dollar and expectations of a larger interest rate reduction by the U.S. Federal Reserve this week. Spot gold was up 0.5% at $2,588.29 per ounce, as of 0551 GMT, after hitting an all-time high of $2,589.23 earlier in the session. This would be Fed's first rate cut since 2020. Zero-yield bullion tends to be a preferred investment amid lower interest rates and geopolitical turmoil.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Tim Waterer, Donald Trump Organizations: Federal, U.S . Federal Reserve, KCM, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Republican, FBI Locations: China, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, South Korea
Currencies listless as markets waffle over Fed rate cut
  + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
A quarter-point reduction by the Fed as it kicks off its rate cuts is still seen as the slightly more likely outcome, but only marginally so. Futures price a total of 125 basis points in rate cuts in 2024. Investors are also looking to the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision on Friday, when it is expected to keep its short-term policy rate target steady at 0.25%. Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem meanwhile opened the door to stepping up the pace of interest rate cuts, the Financial Times reported on Sunday. The BoC, after keeping its key policy rate at 5%, a more than two-decade high, for a year, has trimmed it by a quarter point three times in a row since June.
Persons: Chris Weston, Fumio Kishida, Sanae Takaichi, Christine Lagarde, Philip R, Lane, Luis de Guindos Organizations: U.S, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Treasury, Fed, FedWatch, Bank of, Liberal Democratic Party, Sterling, European Central Bank, ECB, Bank of Canada, Financial Times, BoC Locations: Japan, Asia, China, South Korea
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda attends a session in the financial affairs committee at the lower house of parliament on Aug. 23, 2024 in Tokyo. Economists, FX strategists and Japan-focused fund managers are split over the timing of the Bank of Japan's next interest rate hike, according to a new CNBC International survey. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said last month that the central bank would continue to raise interest rates if inflation stayed on course, while also closely monitoring financial market conditions. "We think the central bank will be keen to move gradually and allow the impact of the July rate hike to be fully felt," said Jessica Hinds, director in Fitch Ratings' economics team. CNBC's survey found 18.75% of respondents expect a hike for the October meeting, while another 25% said a hike was possible.
Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Jessica Hinds Organizations: Japan, FX, Bank of Japan's, CNBC International, CNBC, Fitch Locations: Tokyo, Japan
Japanese former Defense Minister Shigeru Ishiba speaks during a press conference at the Foreign Correspondents' Club of Japan on Sept. 6, 2024 in Tokyo, Japan. Tomohiro Ohsumi | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesFormer defense minister Shigeru Ishiba is corporate Japan's top choice to replace Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, edging out Sanae Takaichi, who strives to become the nation's first female premier, a Reuters survey showed on Thursday. About 24% of respondents named Ishiba as the most desirable candidate, compared with 22% for Economic Security Minister Takaichi and 16% for Shinjiro Koizumi, the 43-year-old son of former premier Junichiro Koizumi. watch nowIshiba generally fares better than Koizumi in public opinion polls, but Koizumi has often come out on top among LDP supporters. Ishiba has held cabinet portfolios for agriculture and reviving local economies besides serving as defense minister and LDP policy chief.
Persons: Shigeru Ishiba, Tomohiro Ohsumi, Fumio Kishida, Sanae Takaichi, Kishida, Takaichi, Shinjiro Koizumi, Junichiro Koizumi, Koizumi, Ishiba, Kazuo Ueda Organizations: Defense, Foreign, Club of Japan, Getty, Former, Liberal Democratic Party, LDP, Economic Security, Bank of Japan Locations: Tokyo, Japan, United States
Nikkei jumps 3%, leading Asia-Pacific markets higher
  + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Anniek Bao | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A General view showing the Central Business District in Central on May 18, 2023 in Hong Kong, China. Asia-Pacific markets opened higher on Thursday, tracking gains on Wall Street after a volatile session spurred by inflation data. Japan's producer price index rose 2.5% year-on-year in August, less than the expected 2.8% and the 3% reported in the previous month. Investors will also look toward the release of Hong Kong's producer price index for the second quarter this afternoon. The listing is set to be the largest offering in Hong Kong since May 2021.
Persons: Jensen Huang, Goldman Sachs, Hong Organizations: Central Business District, Nikkei, Nvidia, Technology Conference, SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, SoftBank, Bank of Japan, Reuters, Midea Locations: Central, Hong Kong, China, Asia, Pacific, San Francisco, Tokyo, India
For investors holding Japanese assets denominated in yen, the decline of the currency led to the value of their gains increasing. McManus isn't the only one who increased his exposure into the Japanese market following the early August sell-off. Before the yen started to strengthen, "Japanese investors could benefit because their lives and portfolios are denominated in yen. As a result, an appreciating yen will help overseas investors realize gains from the Japanese market as it continues its rebound. "This suggests that, if the cycle is heading towards [a] period of persistent yen strength, global investors should overweight Japan," Jefferies said.
Persons: , we're, Janus Henderson, Julian McManus, McManus, Jefferies, Shrikant Kale, Janus Henderson's McManus, Morgan Stanley, Daniel Blake, Peter Perkins, Perkins Organizations: Toyota, Bank of, U.S, Nikkei, Bank of America, Macro Research, Partners, Federal Reserve Locations: Japan
Asia-Pacific markets have extended gains on Wednesday after producer prices in the U.S. came in lower than expected for July. In Japan, business sentiment at manufacturers turned slightly less confident in August compared with the month before, according to the Reuters Tankan survey. The Tankan survey — which tracks the Bank of Japan's quarterly survey of the same name — showed that the sentiment index for manufacturers slipped to +10 in August, while the non manufacturers index fell to +24. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is also due to announce its latest decision on its official cash rate on Wednesday. Economist expectations are varied, with a Reuters poll forecasting the central bank will maintain rates at 5.5%.
Persons: Dow, Organizations: Dow Jones, Reuters, Bank of Japan, Reserve Bank of New Locations: Ginza, Tokyo, Japan, Asia, Pacific, U.S, South Korea, China, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
watch nowEconomists have said it is difficult to accurately assess the scale of the yen carry trade, with estimates varying widely. Some analysts, using Japan's foreign portfolio investments, say the yen carry trade could total as much as $4 trillion, Reuters reported. "The real Japan strategy is not just a quick carry trade, borrowing at close to zero interest rates in Japan and investing in high yield assets. Analysts at Barclays said systematic selling pressure does not appear to have been exhausted yet and it's "too early" to call an all-clear to the carry trades unwind. We expect volatility to remain elevated, which should continue to hurt EM carry trades," the analysts at Barclays said in a research note published Sunday.
Persons: Kazuhiro Nogi, Richard Kelly, he'd, Kelly, CNBC's, Nogi, Jesper Koll, Koll, What's Organizations: Tokyo Stock Exchange, Afp, Getty, Bank of Japan, TD Securities, Reuters, TS Lombard, Bank of, The Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, Monex, Barclays Locations: Tokyo, Japan, MEX, Brazil, Bank of Japan, U.S
On Thursday, traders get the latest reading on the state of the consumer with retail sales data for July. Hot CPI and inline retail sales (up 0.1% to 0.5%) — JPM believes that a hot CPI print and retail sales matching expectations could fuel "stagflation risks." Expect the S & P 500 to gain and Nasdaq and Russell to perform similarly. Inline CPI and cool retail sales — How much equities move in this outcome depends on the magnitude of the downside surprise in retail sales. In this scenario, traders expect a broadening in the market that includes the S & P 500 gaining.
Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Powell, Jackson, — JPM, Russell, JPM Organizations: Federal, JPMorgan, CPI, Wall, Federal Reserve, Bank of, Nasdaq, Russell
In this article 8301.T-JP Follow your favorite stocks CREATE FREE ACCOUNTwatch nowCorrections in the yen and the unwinding of the carry trade are positive developments for Japan, said Jesper Koll, a veteran investor who remains bullish on the Japanese market. The yen carry trade began unwinding last week, as interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan strengthened the yen, and led to a sharp sell-off in markets globally. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon U.S. dollar/Japanese yen"It is correct to put a price on money. According to Koll, it's possible that as much as 75% of the yen carry trade could have been unwound, though the total size of the carry trade has not been reliably ascertained. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Nikkei 225
Persons: Jesper Koll, , CNBC's, unwinding, it's, Koll, Claude Trichet Organizations: Monex, Bank of Japan, Nikkei, European Central Bank Jean, CNBC, U.S ., Bank of Locations: Japan, U.S
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Monday reviewed what could have lead to last week's massive sell-off, telling investors the declines may have been facilitated by failed market strategies from larger institutions. Japan's stock market also declined sharply, with the Nikkei seeing its worst day since the "Black Monday" crash of 1987. To Cramer, last week's declines might have been caused by money managers from a variety of firms who used Japan's low interest rates to borrow money an invest in other global assets. "We've had so many sell-offs based on mistaken strategies by large institutions," Cramer said. "Let's remember last Monday's selloff and consider that it might've been about nothing more than flailing money managers, which is often the case with these big market meltdowns."
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, We've, selloff Organizations: Dow Jones, Nikkei, Bank of Japan
U.S. crude oil topped $77 per barrel on Monday, rising for the fifth day as the Pentagon dispatched more forces to the Middle East in anticipation of an Iranian attack on Israel. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin ordered a carrier strike group, including F-35 warplanes, to accelerate its deployment to the region. Austin also ordered a guided-missile submarine to the Middle East. Here are Monday's energy prices:Israel has been preparing for strikes by Iran and the Hezbollah militia for nearly two weeks, after the assassination of a Hamas leader in Tehran. U.S. crude oil is trading higher even as OPEC lowered its global demand growth forecast by 135,000 barrels per day, citing softening consumption in China.
Persons: Lloyd Austin, Austin, Phil Flynn Organizations: Pentagon, Israel . Defense, UBS, Price Futures Group, Bank of Japan Locations: Israel, Iran, Tehran, China
Yen slips, markets brace for U.S. inflation data
  + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Last week ended calmer, with Thursday's stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs data leading markets to pare bets for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year. "It's more a case of market squaring up a little bit ahead of the U.S. inflation data," said Christopher Wong, currency strategist at OCBC Bank in Singapore. The dollar was trading at 146.87 yen , up 0.2% from late U.S. levels on Friday. The Aussie was barely up at $0.6577 on Monday, while the New Zealand dollar stayed below last week's three-week high of $0.6035. Implied volatility on the yen, measured in yen options, has also subsided.
Persons: Bank of Japan's hawkishness, Jackson, Christopher Wong, J.P, Morgan Organizations: Bank of Japan's, Federal Reserve, Nvidia, OCBC Bank, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New, Bank, Japan, U.S . Commodity Futures Trading Commission Locations: U.S, Singapore, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
This week's violent global market meltdown started in Japan — where Warren Buffett has big investments — but the damage was limited. The Nikkei 225 index , a benchmark for Japanese stocks, plunged 12.4% on Monday, its worst day since "Black Monday" in 1987, triggering a domino effect globally. The stocks Buffett holds cratered as much as 30% initially, but bounced back by the end of the week along with the broader market. The Japanese trading houses also reported second-quarter earnings earlier this week, mostly exceeding analyst expectations and maintaining their full-year guidance. Away from Japan, Buffett was in a selling mood in the second quarter.
Persons: Warren Buffett, Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett's, it's Organizations: Bank of Japan, Berkshire, Mitsubishi, Mitsui, Sumitomo —, Sumitomo, Tokyo Stock Exchange, Apple, Buffett Locations: Japan, Omaha, Berkshire
While there was some demand for protection against the prospect of volatility reemerging, overall sentiment across Wall Street had gotten more bullish. Until Wall Street can be sure that the consumer will hold on (or not), conviction is easily shaken. After years of weird times and outsize gains, Wall Street is dancing on a knife's edge. After years of weird times and outsize gains, Wall Street is dancing on a knife's edge. What happened on Monday was a sudden realization that the new structure may assert itself before Wall Street imagined it would.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, we've, they'd, corporates, Dow, Mandy Xu, Cboe's, Wall, Torsten Slok, Slok, Shake, Kevin Gordon, Charles Schwab, they've Organizations: Dow Jones, Bank of Japan, Big Tech, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Wall, Apollo Global Management, Corporations, Companies Locations: Asia, Japan, Mexico
The latest global market volatility has reinforced China's status as a distinct market, even if its growth has slowed recently. While U.S. tech stocks plunged and Japanese stocks swung wildly in a historic two days of price action , Chinese stocks suffered less . The investors remained net buyers of Chinese stocks for the third quarter so far as of Aug. 6, the data showed. Finally, the low correlation of the China stock market with the U.S. stock market could provide investors with diversification benefits." Chinese stocks, especially those traded on the mainland, have historically been less correlated to global market moves due to Beijing's capital controls and other restrictions.
Persons: Matt Wacher, William Yuen, Invesco, That's, Steven Sun, Paul Christopher, Morningstar's Wacher, it's, Wacher Organizations: Nasdaq, Nikkei, Morningstar Investment Management, U.S, HSBC, Technology, Shanghai —, Bank of, Federal Reserve, Treasury, HSBC Qianhai Securities, National Bureau, Statistics, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Index Locations: Asia, U.S, Shanghai, China, Pacific, EPFR, Hong Kong, Bank of China, Wells Fargo
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